10 Dividend Stocks Super Investors Own! | Perfect Time To Buy? |
Summary
TLDRIn this episode, we explore the top 10 stocks held by super investors like Warren Buffett, analyzing their potential as buying opportunities. Alphabet leads with a 15% upside, followed by Microsoft and Meta Platforms. Amazon and Visa show strong buys with significant outperformance over the S&P 500. Apple and UNH are near their intrinsic value, while MasterCard and Wells Fargo offer modest margins of safety. Disney stands out with the highest upside potential at 27%. The analysis includes valuations, dividend yields, and expected EPS growth, providing investors with insights into these market leaders.
Takeaways
- π Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOG) is the most held stock by super investors, with 33 holding GOOGL and 26 holding GOOG.
- π’ Alphabet's stock has seen a 15% increase over the last 12 months and a 440% increase over the last 10 years, outperforming the S&P 500.
- πΉ Alphabet's stock is currently trading around the midpoint of the 52-week range and has a forward P/E of 20.9, making it the lowest valued among the Magnificent 7 on this basis.
- π Analysts expect Alphabet to show double-digit increases in earnings per share (EPS) for three of the next four quarters.
- π° The intrinsic value of Alphabet is calculated to be $188 using a DCF model, suggesting an 18% upside.
- πΉ Microsoft Corporation is the second most held stock by super investors, with a 31% increase over the last 12 months and a 10% dividend increase announced.
- πΌ Meta Platforms is the third most held stock, with a strong buy rating and a forward P/E of 25.2, slightly higher than Alphabet.
- π Amazon is ranked fourth, with a 33% increase over the last 12 months and a forward P/E of 39.6, and is considered a strong buy at a 10% margin of safety (MOS).
- π³ Visa is similar to Microsoft in terms of holding and performance, with a 18% increase over the last 12 months and a forward P/E of 29.4, currently trading near its intrinsic value.
- π Apple has seen a 24% increase over the last 12 months and is trading at a premium according to the intrinsic value calculation, with a forward P/E of 32.4.
- π₯ UnitedHealth Group (UNH) is in the portfolio of the presenter, with a 20% increase over the last 12 months and a forward P/E of 21, trading near its intrinsic value.
- π³ MasterCard has a 20% increase over the last 12 months, a forward P/E of 35, and a 5% MOS, with Wall Street's price target aligning with the intrinsic value.
- π° The Walt Disney Company shows the most upside potential among the top 10 stocks, with a 27% MOS and a forward P/E of just under 19.
Q & A
Which company is the most held stock by super investors according to the script?
-Alphabet, with 33 super investors holding GOOGL and 26 holding GOOG.
What is the approximate one-year return for Alphabet based on the script?
-Alphabet is up around 15% over the last 12 months.
What is the dividend yield for Alphabet mentioned in the script?
-Alphabet recently offered a dividend yield of 0.5%.
What is the forward P/E ratio for Alphabet discussed in the video?
-The forward P/E ratio for Alphabet is 20.9.
What is the intrinsic value of Alphabet calculated by the script's analysis?
-The intrinsic value of Alphabet is calculated to be $188.
What is the estimated upside for Alphabet if the growth estimate is 10%?
-For a 10% growth estimate, Alphabet implies an 18% upside.
What is the second most held stock by super investors as per the script?
-The second most held stock by super investors is Microsoft Corporation.
How much dividend increase did Microsoft announce recently, as mentioned in the script?
-Microsoft announced a 10% dividend increase.
What is the intrinsic value of Microsoft according to the script?
-The intrinsic value of Microsoft is calculated to be $462.
What is the margin of safety for Microsoft at the current price?
-The margin of safety for Microsoft at the current price is 5%.
Which stock has the highest dividend yield among those discussed in the script?
-Wells Fargo has the highest dividend yield at 3% among the stocks discussed.
What is the forward P/E ratio for Amazon mentioned in the script?
-The forward P/E ratio for Amazon is 39.6.
What is the one-year return for Visa as per the script?
-Visa has seen an 18% increase over the last 12 months.
What is the margin of safety for Apple at the current price according to the script?
-The margin of safety for Apple at the current price is considered to be none, as it's trading at a premium to its intrinsic value.
What is the intrinsic value of Walt Disney calculated by the script's analysis?
-The intrinsic value of Walt Disney is calculated to be $66.
What is the estimated upside for Walt Disney if the margin of safety is 10%?
-For a 10% margin of safety, Walt Disney is estimated to have a buy price at $111.
Outlines
π Stock Analysis: Super Investors' Top Holdings
This paragraph discusses the top stocks held by super investors like Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman. It focuses on Alphabet (Google), which is the most held stock among these investors. The stock has seen a 15% increase over the last 12 months and has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the last decade. The video analyzes Alphabet's current trading price, dividend yield, and forward P/E ratio. A DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) model is used to estimate Alphabet's intrinsic value at $188, suggesting an 18% upside. The video also discusses the company's future earnings growth expectations and provides a margin of safety analysis, suggesting that Alphabet is a strong buy with a 15% margin of safety.
πΌ Microsoft and Meta Platforms: Super Investors' Holdings
The second paragraph delves into Microsoft Corporation and Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook), two other top holdings among super investors. Microsoft has seen a 31% increase and a 10% dividend increase, and is considered a strong buy by Wall Street and Seeking Alpha, with a hold from Quant. The video provides an intrinsic value estimate for Microsoft at $462, with a 5% margin of safety (MOS) up to $439. Meta Platforms, with a double buy rating, has seen a 77% increase over the last 12 months and a 37% dividend. The intrinsic value is estimated at $567, with a 5% MOS. Both companies are expected to show double-digit EPS growth in the upcoming quarters, and the video concludes that while Microsoft is not a strong buy at the current MOS, Meta Platforms might be considered with a higher MOS.
π Amazon, Visa, and Apple: Super Investors' Portfolio Insights
The third paragraph covers Amazon, Visa, and Apple, which are also among the super investors' favorite stocks. Amazon has shown a 33% increase over the last 12 months and is expected to have double-digit EPS growth in three of the next four quarters. The intrinsic value is estimated at $226, with a 15% MOS. Visa, with a double buy rating, has seen an 18% increase over the last year and is trading near its 52-week high. The intrinsic value is $323, with a 10% MOS. Apple, with a singular buy rating, has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last decade but is currently trading at a premium according to the video's analysis. The intrinsic value is estimated to be slightly above the current market price, with a 10% MOS at $187. The video suggests that while Amazon and Visa might be considered for investment with their current MOS, Apple may not offer as much value at present.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Super Investors
π‘Portfolio
π‘Alphabet
π‘Margin of Safety
π‘Dividend
π‘Forward P/E
π‘EPS Growth
π‘Intrinsic Value
π‘DCF Model
π‘Quant
Highlights
Super investors like Warren Buffett and Bill Ackman reveal their portfolio holdings every quarter.
Top 10 stocks held by super investors are discussed, with analysis on buying opportunities.
Alphabet is the most held stock by super investors, with 33 holding GOOGL and 26 holding GOOB.
Alphabet has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last 10 years, with a 440% increase.
Alphabet's current trading price is around the midpoint of the 52-week range.
Alphabet has a forward P/E of 20.9, the lowest in the Magnificent 7 on this valuation basis.
Alphabet anticipates double-digit increases in earnings per share for three of the next four quarters.
The intrinsic value of Alphabet is calculated to be $188, implying an 18% upside.
Microsoft Corporation is the second most held stock, with a 31% increase over the last year.
Meta Platforms is the third most held stock, with a strong buy rating from Wall Street.
Amazon is the fourth most held stock, with a 33% increase over the last 12 months.
Visa is held in the presenter's portfolio, with a 71% dividend yield and a forward P/E of 29.4.
Apple has a singular buy rating from Wall Street and a forward P/E of 32.4.
UNH (UnitedHealth Group) is in the presenter's portfolio, with a strong buy rating and a forward P/E of 21.
MasterCard has a double buy rating, with a 53% dividend yield and a forward P/E of 35.
Wells Fargo has a double buy rating, with a 3% yield and a forward P/E of 10.7.
The Walt Disney Company has the most upside at 27%, with a double buy rating and a forward P/E of 19.
Transcripts
every quarter super investors like
Warren Buffett like Bill Amman reveal
what they have been purchasing in their
own portfolio over the last few months
and in today's episode we're going to
take a look at the top 10 stocks that
the super investors hold within their
own portfolio and mention whether or not
we believe they are great buying
opportunities now and what price we do
see these with certain margins of safety
now the first one that every investor or
the majority do hold is alphabet now we
can see 33 super investors hold gol in
fact another 26 hold goog now the
difference between those are purely down
to the Voting Rights so if we were to
add these two up together we can in fact
see it would be the most held stock by
super investors by quite some margin so
what do we think about this company well
it is up around 15% over the last 12
months we also note over the last 10
years it has outed the SNP it is up
440 and right now we see it trading
around the midpoint of the 52e range
where we get a double buy rating from
Seeking Alpha and Wall Street with a
hold from Quant now it did recently
offer a dividend. 5% and we do see it
now with a forward P 20.9 this is
essentially the lowest traded company in
the Magnificent 7 on a valuation from
this basis and when we take a look at
how they've performed well nice to
report over for the next four quarters
they are anticipating three of them to
be double digit increases to the
earnings per share and we note
historically they have outperformed in
terms of analyst targets over the last
four quarters giving them a 100% track
record now taking a look at the
valuation of this company our value of
$188 how we got to this we did run it
through a DCF model now we'll show our
process for this company but moving
forward we will make it very brief what
we have done is we've put it through the
free cash cash flow analysis free cash
flow year on-ear average growth of 24%
and as we can see forward looking we've
gone 10% we want to be conservative that
is lower than the previous year increase
lower than the average growth rate and
with that 10% including our discount
rate we ultimately get the present value
of future cash flows and terminal value
which we add together with their cash
subtract total debt get to the x value
divide by the shares outstanding and as
we can see 188 which does imply 18%
upside now some people may say that is
too low so for the 15% estimate we can
in fact see 265 which for confirmation
does come through this calculation
giving 67% upside and for those who are
a lot more bullish about the future
prospects at 20% 372 does indicate 34%
which is more than double the current
trading price now we will take the 10%
which we do believe to be on the more
conservative side but as always you can
grab a copy of this model by clicking on
the pin comment below running your own
numbers whether it's for alphabet or any
others first thing we want to point out
Wall Street are very bullish they do see
28% upside $24 price Target and when we
run through the margin of safety on this
channel we always like to start off with
10% and we execute on this if we believe
it meets our three golden criteria wide
Mo strong financial metrics good
forward-looking data if you believe that
well it buy up to
$169 then we keep going till it's near
the current trading price and in today's
episode we see a 15% MOS Wall Street see
28 % upside and remember this is based
on what we would say as a conservative
10% estimate moving forwards so in our
opinion the number one stock held by
super investors does look like a fairly
strong buy before we continue we also
want to let you know we have released
our latest fre weekly article where you
can get access to this and many others
by clicking on that pin comment below
and getting access straight away we have
in fact also within this released our 25
undervalued stocks for the month of
September for your own consideration and
on top of that just last week we also
released a spreadsheet looking at 22
stocks in the S&P which have the most
upside right now according to Wall
Street so do go ahead check that out by
clicking below the second most held
stock by super investors is Microsoft
Corporation now this is up 31% remember
they just announced yesterday a 10%
dividend increase with a massive share
buyback authorization program over the
last 10 years another one that has
significantly out formed the S&P it is
now trading at the the upper end of the
52e range although we do know both Wall
Street and Seeking Alpha consider this a
buy with Quan giving this a hold in
terms of the yield again fairly trivial
69% and in terms of the valuation
currently at a 33 on the forward PE we
also know very similar to alphabet
moving forwards three of the next four
double digit EPS anticipated and they
have historically out formed in terms of
what the analysts have expected for this
company now in terms of our valuation we
have an intrinsic value of
$462 and whil this is a very high
quality company when we run it through
the calculation in today's episode we
only see a 5% MOS up to around
$439 now if you want that 10% you would
have to wait around $46 at 15% around
393 and at the 20% Mark around 370
however no one knows if it will hit any
of these marks right now as we said 5%
MOS with Wall Street indicating 17%
upside they are a l more bullish with a
$55 price Target now right now this
isn't one that we do believe is a strong
buy as we said only 5% MOS and we would
like to see a lot higher in terms of
that safety before executing although
this is one that we already do hold in
our own portfolio third most held stock
is meta platforms very similar to
Microsoft a double buy where they hold
from quum and similarly Wall Street do
give this a strong buy this one is now
trading right there towards his 52 we
high up 77% over over the last 12 months
over the last 10 years again following
that theme that it has out formed the
S&P and similar to alphabet recently
announced the dividend 37% so again on
the lower end but as we can see a lot
cheaper in terms of valuation versus
Microsoft but marginally higher than
alphabet around
25.2 in terms of analyzing the forward
movements well we can in fact see all
four of the next quarters they are
anticipating double digit EPS growth and
they have historically over the last
year perform analyst and their target
now in terms of our valuation with an
intrinsic value of
$567 we have here a MOS of 5% very
similar to Microsoft although we do note
unlike Microsoft where Wall Street were
a lot more bullish we see their 550
price Target indicating very minimal
upside similar to Microsoft though our
investment strategy for meta is the same
we don't believe right now with a 5 MOS
this is one to consider unless it is
maybe a part of a group of companies
that you do dollar cost averag in over a
certain period we then move on to
Company Number Four which is Amazon
where we have again very very similar
Strong by Wall Street buy from seek
Alpha and a hold from qu this one
doesn't currently pay a dividend with a
forward P of 39.6 trading at the upper
end of the 52e range great performance
over the last 12 months up 33% very
strong performance over the last 10
years massively out forming the S&P up
over 1,000% we also note over the next
four quarters three of them double digit
growth expected and similarly they have
outperformed management Expectations by
quite some distance in terms of
valuation well
$226 very similar to alphabet we do
believe this is a fairly strong buy now
at a 10% MOS a buy 204 at 15% around1
192 and it isn't currently at the $181
mark But if it was to get there we would
see a 20% MOS but right now 15% MOS with
Wall Street pretty much fairly similar
price as us
$223 upside of 20% and like we said
similar to alphabet our conclusion is
the same this is definitely one we would
consider in the portfolio given the MOs
given the upside and just the general
strength of this company as we have
analyzed over the last few days we then
move on to Visa similar to Microsoft
this one does sit within our own
portfolio and it has hit a double buyer
rating where they hold from quum this
one also trades at the upper end of the
52e range a 71% yield and in fact as we
can see a forward PE of
29.4 over the last 12 months up 18% over
the last 10 years again up
446 significantly outperforming the S&P
and we also know three of the next four
quarters double digit expectations to
the earnings per share and out of the
last four quarters at a bare minimum
they've either been in line or they have
outperformed now our valuation of Visa
today as we can see
$323 on the intrinsic value marginally
higher than Wall Street 316 where they
see upside of 9% terms of a margin of
safety well at 10% pretty much is where
we see this company right now and for
those that want to see at 15% a buy 274
at 20% around 258 and it wasn't really
there that long ago so this is
definitely one we would consider to add
with at least a minimum 20% MOS for
those that also want to see at the 25%
level
242 but in today's episode 10% MOS with
9% upside as always do give us your
thoughts as we go along these stocks
today we then move on to Apple where we
have just a singular buyer rating from
Wall Street this one is trading at the
upper end of the 52e range a yield of
46% and a forward P of 32.4 over the
last 12 months up 24% over the last 10
years again another outperformer of the
S&P up
774 and we note only two of the next
four quarters double digit growth
expected that again the trend does
continue where they have outperformed in
terms of what analysts were expecting
then we get to the valuation the first
one today where we do believe the
current price is above the intrinsic
value therefore we see this company
trading at a bit of a premium however
Wall Street on the other hand they have
a price target of $250 and they see 14%
upside so running it through the MOs
just for those that are curious at 10% a
buy at 187 at 15% around 177 and at the
20% Mark 166 but as we said we do
believe this right now is trading at a
little bit of a premium we then move on
to UNH another one that does sit in our
portfolio alongside visa and Microsoft
we get a strong buy rating from Wall
Street a buy from Seeking Alpha with the
hold from quam this one does trade at
the upper end of the 52 we range a yield
of 1.45% and as we can see here a
forward PE of around 21 over the last 12
months up 20% over the last 10 years
again up
572 significantly outperforming the S&P
and they've also outperformed in in
terms of expectations over the last year
and we do also note two of the next four
anticipated double digit growth now in
terms of unh and the valuation well we
pretty much see it right now trading at
its intrinsic value by a few dollars
difference and we also see here that
Wall Street don't see much more upside
with $600 price Target and 3% upside now
in terms of mos we at 10% a Buy around
528 at 15% a b 498 again something we
have seen not too long ago at 20% around
4 69 but though right now as we
mentioned this company similar to Apple
is trading near enough around its
intrinsic value so if you are buying you
may be paying a little bit of a premium
depending at what price you are getting
it we then move on to MasterCard where
we get a double buy and a hold from
Quant this one is trading pretty much
towards its 52e highs a yield of 53% a
forward PE of around 35 and a nice 20%
gain over the last 12 months with over
the last 10 years up
564 again this one like all of them so
far today has out formed the S&P and
again similar theme double digit EPS
growth expected over each quarter with
outperformance over the previous four
then we look at Mard and we do see in
terms of the valuation there is a little
bit of a MOS level not massive at the 5
level up to $54 if you're waiting for a
10% that would be around
478 again for those that are interested
15% at 451 20% at 424 although right now
5% MOS with mid single digit increase of
7% in terms of wall Street's
expectations of 530 which is in line
with our own intrinsic value the ninth
most owned stock by super investors we
have Wells Fargo and company with a
double buy rating a hold from qu this
one is trading in the mid to uper end of
the 52e range probably the highest
yielder we've seen today at 3% and a
forward P of 10.7 now over the last 12
months up 26% pretty much around the
same as the S SMP over the last 10 years
they up only 6% now in terms of their
performance they have outperformed over
the analyst expectations over the last
four quarters we do know three of the
next four are expected to be negative
growth to the earnings per share now in
terms of the valuation the first one
where we actually see some nice upside
of 16% price target of $64 where our own
intrinsic value of 66 is only marginally
higher now a temp MOS a buy at 5953 at
15% around 56 which is pretty much where
it's at today at 20% if you wanted to
wait it would be around $53 so
conclusion for this company 15% MOS with
16% upside this then brings us on to the
final company the Walt Disney with
double buy and a hold from quam this one
is trading at the lower end of the 52e
range a yield of around 1% with a
forward Peak just under 19 over the last
12 months up 9% over the last 10 years
very marginal growth 4.6% very similar
to what we saw at Wells Fargo and we do
like to report over the last four
quarters they have out formed analyst
targets moving forwards the next quarter
strong double digit growth although we
can see fluctuations over the next three
now in terms of the valuation for Walt
Disney we see probably the most upside
at stock number 10 27% and when we do
run it through the MOs we at 10% a buy
111 15% a by at 105 20% a by at 98 and
in fact in today's episode for the Walt
Disney Company we see 25% margin of
safety with Wall Street giving 27%
upside as always if you enjoy today's
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as always have a great day and we'll see
you all on the next one
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