Elon Musk's STUNNING Prediction | Sam Altman Attempts to Harness the Power of a Thousand Suns.

AI Unleashed - The Coming Artificial Intelligence Revolution and Race to AGI
27 Mar 202429:10

Summary

TLDRThis comprehensive discussion delves into the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), predicting a future where AI exceeds human cognitive abilities. With insights from industry leaders like Elon Musk and Sam Altman, the narrative explores the implications of AI on energy consumption and the innovative efforts to overcome these challenges, such as fusion energy projects by Helion Energy. Additionally, it addresses the controversies surrounding AI's impact on creative industries, highlighting both the opportunities for individual creators and the potential threats to traditional roles. The script also critiques the negative media portrayal of tech influencers and envisions a future where AI and automation could revolutionize industries and society, despite economic and ethical dilemmas.

Takeaways

  • 🔥 Rapid advancements in AI and high-level intelligence are expected to surpass human cognitive tasks within 2-5 years, with digital intelligence possibly exceeding all human intelligence by 2029-2030.
  • 💡 The exponential growth in digital compute capacity compared to biological compute suggests a future where AI's cognitive capabilities vastly outstrip those of humans.
  • 🛠️ Energy consumption by AI technologies is becoming a significant concern, with instances like a Microsoft engineer highlighting the massive power demands of AI training clusters.
  • 🔌 Helion Energy, backed by notable figures like Sam Altman, is focusing on developing net electricity from fusion by 2024, aiming to address the energy demands of burgeoning technologies.
  • 🌎 The increasing power needs of AI and other technologies are pushing advancements in energy production, particularly in fusion energy, seen as a potential limitless and clean power source.
  • 📸 Criticisms of mainstream media target influential tech and finance figures, suggesting a trend where legacy media attacks for traffic due to declining engagement with their own content.
  • 🎥 The script discusses the impact of AI on creative industries, highlighting how it could democratize film production, allowing individual creators to compete with Hollywood by reducing barriers to entry.
  • 📚 Comparing AI's impact to historical technological shifts, such as photography's influence on art, the script suggests AI could similarly revolutionize content creation across various fields.
  • 🚀 The potential of AI to automate tasks and create efficiencies raises questions about economic models for distributing wealth and addressing job displacement in the future.
  • 💻 Open source and affordable AI tools for content creation are highlighted as pivotal for enabling small creators and artists to realize their visions without the need for extensive resources.

Q & A

  • What is the timeline for AI to surpass human intelligence according to the script?

    -The script suggests AI could surpass individual human intelligence by the end of the next year and potentially exceed the cumulative biological compute of higher-level brain functions by around 2029 or 2030.

  • What are the challenges mentioned regarding the deployment of AI technology?

    -The script mentions challenges like the immense energy consumption of AI technologies, which could potentially strain power grids, as illustrated by a situation with Microsoft not being able to colocate a large number of GPUs without affecting the power supply.

  • What is the significance of Helion Energy's Polaris project mentioned in the script?

    -Helion Energy's Polaris project is significant because it is expected to demonstrate net electricity from fusion in 2024, indicating a potential breakthrough in achieving a limitless source of carbon-free power.

  • Who are some of the key investors in Helion Energy?

    -Key investors in Helion Energy include Sam Altman, Mithril Capital, Capricorn Investment Group, and Dustin Moskovitz. Mithril Capital is associated with Peter Thiel.

  • What is the next big challenge after chips, as discussed in the script?

    -After the challenge of computing power (chips), the script discusses energy as the next big challenge, highlighting the significant power demands of AI technologies.

  • How does the script describe the impact of AI on the future of work and energy consumption?

    -The script suggests that AI's rapid advancement will significantly impact work by automating cognitive tasks and presents energy consumption by AI technologies as a looming challenge that needs innovative solutions like fusion energy.

  • What criticisms are leveled against legacy media in the script?

    -The script criticizes legacy media for attacking influencers and using hit pieces as a means to generate traffic, suggesting that this approach is a survival strategy due to declining engagement with their content.

  • What concerns are raised regarding the accessibility of AI technologies for small creators?

    -Concerns mentioned include the high cost of compute and energy for using advanced AI technologies, which might prevent small creators from accessing these tools, potentially leaving them at a disadvantage compared to big studios.

  • What optimistic view does the script present about AI and creativity?

    -The script expresses optimism that AI could empower creators, especially in fields like filmmaking, by reducing the barriers to creating content and enabling individuals to bring their stories and visions to life with less resource constraint.

  • How does the script address the debate on the future impact of AI on jobs and the economy?

    -It suggests that while AI will lead to significant changes in the job market and economy, there needs to be a global solution to ensure the benefits of AI and automation are distributed equitably, mentioning ideas like an equity fund for all citizens.

Outlines

00:00

🚀 The Inevitability of Advanced AI

The script discusses the inevitable advancement of AI, suggesting that within a few years, AI could surpass human cognitive abilities in every aspect. The debate is not about if, but when this will happen, with predictions pointing towards the end of the next year or within five years at the latest. The conversation extends into the collective human intelligence being overtaken by digital intelligence around 2029 or 2030, driven by the exponential growth of digital computation compared to biological computation. This segment encapsulates the rapid pace of AI development and its potential to outperform human intelligence on a large scale.

05:00

🌐 AI's Energy Demand and Future Solutions

This part delves into the significant energy demands of AI, highlighted by anecdotes such as the challenges faced by Microsoft in powering its GPT-6 training clusters. The narrative shifts to the potential energy crisis this demand could precipitate, likened to previous crunches in chip availability. The script then transitions into discussing Helion Energy's venture into fusion power, backed by prominent figures like Sam Altman, as a solution to meet the future energy needs of AI development. This section underscores the intersection of AI's growth with energy sustainability challenges and the innovative approaches being considered to address them.

10:00

🎬 The Impact of AI on Independent Filmmaking

The conversation moves to the impact of AI on the film industry, suggesting a democratization of filmmaking through AI tools that enable individuals to produce content comparable to big studios. This part acknowledges the challenges and fears of displacement within the industry but emphasizes the potential for AI to empower small creators and diversify the types of stories being told. The narrative reflects on the evolution of content creation and the positive implications of AI in fostering a more inclusive and creative filmmaking landscape.

15:01

🔍 Examining the Resistance to AI in Creative Fields

This segment addresses the skepticism and resistance towards AI within creative communities, particularly in the arts and filmmaking. It debates the notion that AI might dilute the quality of creative works by making the production process too accessible or formulaic. The script counters this by highlighting historical instances where technological advancements initially met with resistance eventually led to broader horizons for creative expression. It also touches on the potential for AI to level the playing field for creators, allowing for a richer diversity of content.

20:03

🌍 Envisioning a Future Shaped by AI and Automation

The script speculates on the broader societal implications of AI and automation, particularly on employment and economic structures. It discusses the potential for significant disruption but also the opportunity for a reimagined societal model where wealth and productivity gains from AI are more equitably distributed. The narrative explores the concept of an American Equity Fund as a potential solution to ensure that the benefits of AI-driven productivity are shared across society, thereby mitigating the risks of economic inequality exacerbated by automation.

25:03

🤖 Accessibility and Equality in the Age of AI

The final part of the script addresses concerns about the accessibility of advanced AI technologies to smaller creators versus large corporations. It challenges the notion that AI tools like Sora will be exclusive to big Hollywood studios, arguing instead for a more inclusive model where AI tools are made accessible to a wider audience, thereby empowering individual creators. The script concludes with a reflection on the excitement and potential that AI holds for enhancing creative expression, even among those traditionally excluded from high-budget production processes.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Artificial Intelligence (AI) refers to the simulation of human intelligence in machines that are programmed to think and learn like humans. In the context of the video, AI is seen as a transformative technology that will significantly impact various cognitive tasks and potentially surpass human intelligence in certain areas within the next few years. The discussion revolves around the prediction of AI's capabilities and its potential to alter the landscape of computing and energy consumption.

💡Cognitive Tasks

Cognitive tasks are mental activities that involve various processes such as thinking, learning, memory, problem-solving, and decision-making. In the video, the speaker anticipates a future where AI can perform almost any cognitive task, indicating a level of AI advancement that could match or surpass human capabilities in these areas.

💡Digital Intelligence

Digital intelligence refers to the collective intelligence of all AI systems and their ability to process information, solve problems, and make decisions. The video discusses the growth of digital intelligence and compares it to human intelligence, suggesting a future where digital intelligence could exceed the cognitive capacity of humans combined.

💡Energy Consumption

Energy consumption refers to the amount of energy used by a system or process. In the context of the video, it highlights the increasing power demands of AI and computing technologies, which could lead to challenges in provisioning and infrastructure, such as the potential impact on power grids due to large-scale GPU clusters.

💡Fusion Energy

Fusion energy is a form of power generation that comes from the process of nuclear fusion, where two atomic nuclei combine to form a heavier nucleus, releasing vast amounts of energy. In the video, it is presented as a potential solution to the energy demands of AI and computing technologies, with the mention of a company called Helion Energy that aims to demonstrate net electricity from fusion.

💡Computing Power

Computing power refers to the ability of a computer or computing system to perform operations or processes quickly and efficiently. It is a critical factor in the advancement and capability of AI technologies. The video discusses the rapid growth of computing power and its implications for the development of AI, as well as the challenges it poses in terms of energy requirements.

💡Nuclear Fusion

Nuclear fusion is a process that combines two or more atomic nuclei to form a single, heavier nucleus, releasing energy in the process. It is considered a potentially limitless and clean source of energy. The video mentions the pursuit of nuclear fusion as a solution to the energy demands of AI and the technological advancements being made in this field.

💡Legacy Media

Legacy media refers to traditional forms of media, such as newspapers, television, and radio, that have been established for a long time. The video discusses the challenges faced by legacy media in the modern digital age, where they struggle to maintain views and engagement, leading them to resort to attacking influencers for traffic.

💡Innovation

Innovation refers to the process of creating new ideas, methods, or products. It is a key theme in the video, which highlights the potential of AI to drive innovation in various fields, including entertainment and energy production. The discussion emphasizes the transformative impact of AI on traditional industries and the emergence of new possibilities for creators and inventors.

💡Economic Model

An economic model is a theoretical representation of the economic system, which simplifies and abstracts the real-world economic activities for analysis and prediction. In the video, the economic model is discussed in the context of how society should adapt to the changes brought about by AI and automation, particularly in terms of wealth distribution and addressing unemployment.

💡Cultural Shift

A cultural shift refers to a significant change in the beliefs, behaviors, and norms of a society or group over time. The video discusses the cultural shift towards embracing AI and the changes it may bring to various industries, including the film and entertainment sectors.

Highlights

The rapid pace of technological change is making the ability to predict the future increasingly valuable, particularly in the field of AI.

AI is expected to reach a level capable of outperforming human cognition in various cognitive tasks within the next few years.

The milestone where AI surpasses human intelligence collectively is anticipated to occur around 2029 or 2030.

The growth rate of digital computation is astonishing, with AI requiring massive amounts of power.

Kyle Corbett's tweet about the challenges of provisioning infinite band class links between GPUs in different regions has garnered significant attention.

Helon Energy, backed by Sam Altman and other investors, aims to demonstrate net electricity from fusion by 2024.

Sam Altman's influence on Helon Energy as its chairman since 2015 is noteworthy, with the company's Polaris project expected to be one of the most important factories in the world.

Fusion energy, a potentially limitless source of carbon-free power, has been pursued by engineers for decades, with commercial viability still a topic of skepticism.

Microsoft's agreement to purchase electricity generated from Helon Energy's fusion project in 2028 signifies a significant investment in the technology.

The discussion around the impact of AI on various industries, including film and gaming, suggests a shift towards more formulaic content and a need for new economic models.

The potential for AI to democratize content creation, allowing smaller studios and independent creators to produce high-quality work, is a positive development.

The comparison of AI's impact on traditional art forms to the historical reaction to photography and its evolution into various technologies is insightful.

The comment on the vanishing points in art and architecture, particularly in Tokyo, as an example of how AI might influence creative fields.

The concern that AI and automation could lead to massive unemployment and the need for a new economic model to distribute the wealth generated by these technologies.

The idea of an American Equity Fund as a potential solution to the economic disruptions caused by AI and automation, where citizens receive dividends from company ownership.

The optimism that AI will be a net positive for creators, allowing for more innovation and unique content production, especially in smaller studios.

The potential for AI to streamline the creative process for artists, allowing them to produce work more efficiently and focus on their core creative strengths.

The importance of adapting and embracing change brought about by AI, and the need for global solutions that benefit all, rather than being industry-specific.

Transcripts

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when when things are changing rapidly

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the the ability to predict the future I

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think is becomes a lot hotter because of

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the rate of change is so great but I

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think some things are fairly obvious to

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predict which is that we'll have ai or

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hii that's at a level that it can really

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to almost any cognitive I think really

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not almost really any c task that's just

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a question of when one could debate is

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it you know spatter than any human at

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the end of next year or is it 2 years or

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3 years but it's not more than 5 years

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that's for sure not like it will

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definitely happen but if you say what if

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you ask me like what's the 50th

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percentile where it's like the you know

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your kind of over under is kind of even

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that that's where I why I think it's

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probably end of next year before AI can

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do better than any individual te could

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do but there's it's it's a much higher

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bar to say well is a swap than you know

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human intelligence collectively but if

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the rate of change continues that that's

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why I think probably 2029 or maybe 2030

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is where digital intelligence will

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probably exceed uh all human

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intelligence combined and and there I

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think it's always coule to look at these

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like fundamental ratios if you look at

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the ratio of digital to biological

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compute if you sum up the higher level

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cognitive capacity of of humans and

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think of that us Compu then well and

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then compare that to what is the digital

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compute and the rate at which this is

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growing is just bugles the mind but

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that's why I think it's you know I think

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2029 or 2030 or thereabouts that's I

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think a reasonable type rate for where

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you'd expect the the a cumulative

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interal compute to probably exceed the

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cumulative biological compute of higher

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level brain functions so more and more

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people are expecting the next big crunch

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next big wall that we hit to come from

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energy the first was chips the amount of

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compute we had access to now as we're

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rapidly ramping up production energy

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will likely be the next big thing here's

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Kyle Corbett he had this tweet that

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gathered 1.3 million views he's saying

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that he spoke to a Microsoft engineer on

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the gbt 6 training cluster project he

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ketched or complained about the pain

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they're having provisioning infin band

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class links between gpus in different

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regions he asked why not just collocate

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the cluster in one region the Microsoft

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engineer answered oh yeah we tried that

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first we can't put more than 100,000

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h100s those Nvidia gpus they can't put

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more than 100,000 of them in a single

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state as in uh one of the states in the

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United States they can't put that in a

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single state without bringing down the

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power grid so I don't know too much

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about Kyle but some people that I tend

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to trust in the space are seemingly sort

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of taking that tweet seriously but

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whatever the cas is that tweet is kind

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of directionally correct AI is drawing a

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lot of power a lot of people including

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Elon Musk Sam Altman all the folks at

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Microsoft are seeing that as the next

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big crunch now there is this company

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helon energy who are constructing

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Polaris expected to demonstrate net

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electricity from Fusion in 2020 4 and

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they're excited to announce that helon

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has raised 500 million from Sam Alman

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and as well as participation from other

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existing investors mythro Capital

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Capricorn Investment Group and dust and

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Dustin moscowitz mythro capital I I'm

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guessing this is Peter teal he tends to

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name everything with a nod to tolken and

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uh the Lord of the Rings mythro Capo

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Peter teal yep nailed it that company

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palente tier with Alex karp be teal is

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behind that as well palente tier the

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original meaning is that thing that you

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see across vast distances this orb is a

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Palante tier and of course there's the

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teal fellowship and there's many many

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more tolken references but this helon

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energy a lot of it is driven by Sam Sam

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Alman has helion's chairman since 2015

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he helped with strategy in Focus here's

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Sam Alman tweeting in in July 25th 2023

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saying this maybe one of the most

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important factories in the world right

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now helon energy and February 1st of

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this year this is where helon helon

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energy will soon start to install

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Polaris so that's a human there for

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scale yesterday Jimmy apples posted

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somewhere in the desert Sam Alman is

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building a big special something also

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helon working alongside American clean

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power but again I'm not talking more

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than that and Microsoft is kind of in on

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this too so Microsoft agrees to buy

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electricity generated from Sam Alman

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back fusion company helon in

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2028 so Fusion is combining and fishing

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is dividing or splitting so when we take

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the atom and we split it that's the

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atomic bomb for example that's if it

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causes kind of a chain reaction and if

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it's a controlled fishing then and if

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that happens in a controlled scenario

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like an atomic power plant that's how we

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can harness energy so that's fishing by

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the way Chernobyl the HBO series uh from

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2019 was so good if you haven't seen

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that one it was so good I it was so good

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I was kind of uh blown wa but yeah

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that's fishion and then Fusion is

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combining so nuclear fusion is the

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combination of two or more Atomic nuclei

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so kind of like the center of the atom

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the nucleus putting two of them together

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to form one or more different nuclei and

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the process creates a massive release of

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energy which is kind of the same process

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that we have in our sun or in any sun I

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guess so if I'm understanding the

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project correctly they will build a sun

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here somewhere here there'll be a sun

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here I may be glossing over some of the

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technical details but Microsoft and

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helon want to build the world's first

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Fusion plant and seize Energy's Holy

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Grail so looks like they're building the

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commercial facility in Washington state

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and the goal is to get up and running by

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2028 Engineers for decades have chased

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the promise of Fusion Energy a

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potentially Limitless source of carbon

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free power so far none of the commercial

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devices have been able to produce more

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electricity than they required to

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operate it some people are skeptical it

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will ever work Business Insider

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publishes a hit piece against Sam Altman

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they're saying some VCS are over the Sam

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Altman hype basically saying that Sam

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Alton is not cool and no one even likes

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him anymore now there's been quite a bit

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of hit pieces recently from various

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Legacy Media newspapers against various

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people in Tech and in finance they're

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doxing people revealing their personal

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identity against their will there's been

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Bill Amman Mir Mora Sam Alman Elon Musk

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has been getting it for quite a while

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why are they engaging in this silly

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Behavior well well here's balag G saying

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here's his take on it Legacy Media

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doesn't get views for their own content

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anymore just look at the tanking

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engagement so they need to attack

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influencers for traffic if you even yell

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at them they get paid so just ignore to

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the maximum extent possible and let them

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fall they deserve it they recently did a

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hit piece on Andrew huberman of huberman

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labs which to me is where I draw a line

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here's the piece Andrew huberman's

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mechanism of control you can tell he's a

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bad guy because of how like look how

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scary that is he's controlling your mind

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this article is like 10 pages long but I

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didn't read all of it but but as far as

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I can tell they dug up some stuff from

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his personal life sounds like they dug

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up some romantic relationship and so now

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Andrew huberman is bad he's a bad person

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and you should not listen to him

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according to these people so so for

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those of you keeping track at home Elon

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Musk is bad Andrew hubman is bad Joe

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Rogan is bad she talks about him and

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this uh piece as well Lex Freedman is

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bad too this image must terrify them now

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Bill Amman is bad the anonymous account

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of Beth Jos well that's bad we have to

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dox some so you know here he is on Lex

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fredman and recently launching his very

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own startup so that might have backfired

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a little bit so let's add Beth Jos and

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Bill Amman to this now Peter teal is on

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this list as well I don't think they

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ever liked them but they really didn't

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like them when he took out Gawker and

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now to this list of bad bad bad people

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let's add Sam Alman apparently so these

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are the bad people and if you follow

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these people you're a bad person

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yourself now whatever your opinion of

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these people are you maybe like them

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maybe maybe you like them maybe you

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don't that's totally cool just don't

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base your opinion on the death rattle of

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an obsolete Legacy Media brand I think

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BAGI here is Right Legacy Media doesn't

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get views for their own content anymore

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this is their survival strategy they

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need to attack influencers for traffic

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that is becoming their business model so

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really fast I just wanted to answer some

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of the comments are coming in for

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everybody that comments on my channel I

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really appreciate that so I really

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appreciate those I try to read as many

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as I can I used to be able to read every

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single one and it's just not possible

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anymore but I'll try to highlight some

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of the ones that kind of jump out of me

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and internal commented I think you're

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being too negative about the quality of

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modern movies maybe you're watching the

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wrong ones many are excellent I'm sure

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they are uh I guess my point is more

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that for example with music with video

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games and with with movies too you go

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back a few decades and it seemed like

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there was a lot more people just kind of

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where that's artists or coders that

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wanted to make video games like there

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was just more space to create and try

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stuff out and over time it seemed like

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it became more formulaic I mean like

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look at the video game Space right you

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have you know Battlefield Call of Duty

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which is kind of very similar games

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right and like everybody's trying to

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copy that then something like pubg

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creates the arena style fighting and

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then fortnite and everybody else is

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trying to copy that so it just seems

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like at the end of the day it's just a

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bunch of big studios that are kind of or

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whether that's game development or

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movies they're kind of just trying to

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rehash the same thing I mean how many

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super superhero movies do we have and

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the problem with that is you have to

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start targeting the low common

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denominator because you want to reach

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the widest possible audience and because

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of the amount of money that's available

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to be made but also just be spent on

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advertising and stuff like that the

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little niche Studios they're going to

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have a harder time creating something

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unique for Their audience it's hard to

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get it out there but when they do it's

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incredible right Minecraft was made

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pretty much I think almost

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single-handedly by Notch and went on to

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be sold to Microsoft for like a billion

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you know you have like John Romero John

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carmac I think there's one other guy

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they create to Doom that becomes this

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incredible thing you know I think stard

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do Valley was coded by one person went

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on to be this Mega hit so small creators

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doing their thing can produce incredible

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content right so you don't need billions

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of dollars and a staff of you know

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hundreds or thousands of people to

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produce incredible games or music or

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whatever but that's what a lot of these

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like big studios do and they kind of

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push everybody else out and I mean

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that's how business works I'm not

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complaining but when something comes

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along and gives smaller creators the

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ability to create something and directly

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share that with the world I see that as

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a win the cream will rise to the top

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hopefully this person saying working

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very much at the bottom of the film

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industry all this looks like I have

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chosen my career very poorly I expect to

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in my life destitute and bitter

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brilliant and I certainly understand the

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concern I tend to be more optimistic so

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I don't think that's the case in fact I

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think movies will be the last thing to

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go but also I think this wave is coming

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for everyone and and the solutions that

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will be needed are are more Global

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they're not going to be industry by

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industry we need kind of a higher level

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solution if that makes sense so this

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person is saying the idea that Sora will

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help others compete with the holwood

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elites is a misguided statement and this

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person is described so uh second Earth

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they're describing they have credits

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acting color correcting and editing

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features film feature films that were

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distributed internationally and he

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describes a situation of of working

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working very hard traveling getting

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experience working with other for

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example these upcoming this upcoming

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Brazilian director becoming a journalist

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and a lot of the crafts and all for the

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sole purpose of creating a Netflix

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worthy film for the price that Hollywood

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terms micro budget it's the only reason

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he could help make this film act in it

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in the midst of the of the strikes it's

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us that Sora is going to destroy it's

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it's not the elites it's the hardworking

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independent creators that wanted to

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prove how much can be created with the

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willpower and enough experience so I I

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hope that Sora empowers creators I am

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again I feel kind of optimistic but I

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mean certainly I'm sure there's a lot of

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situations that I don't understand I

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mean the situation you described here

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and I apologize if I'm misunderstanding

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it but it seems like what you're saying

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is like you worked really hard for so

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long and they created this movie for

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very very little amount of money so you

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basically you know the expression is

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bent over backwards to create this movie

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that Hollywood they don't even want to

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touch that because of you know it's not

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enough money for them and to me I mean

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this seems bad this shouldn't happen

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because it's this idea of trying to claw

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tooth and nail to create something that

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is so cheap that you know Hollywood

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doesn't want pursue it that's not what I

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would call an ideal situation I almost

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feel like an ideal situation would be

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you not having to do that and just

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producing the best film that you can

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regardless of capital or connections or

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anything like that and then hopefully

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having that that film be able to compete

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with a studio that has billions of

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dollars to create that film that's what

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I'm hoping for right because in that

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situation it's the best thing that you

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can produce going head-to-head with the

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best thing that they can produce on an

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equal playing field so that's that's how

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I'm seeing it but again I I'm not an

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expert on any of the things that you've

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said here so I could be completely wrong

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but I'm certainly hoping that Ai and

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things like it will be a net positive

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for creators in whatever industry that

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they're in so this is the video that I

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did about Sora so somebody saying

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couldn't play due to copyright oh the

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sick irony well so by copyright I meant

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Google's copyright matching so if

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somebody has has some content in their

play13:44

system already that they that they've

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uploaded first they can claim it as

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their own and so so in that situation

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you know since they uploaded first if I

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play it that that could create issues I

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I don't know if it's technically

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copyrighted content I believe I mean I

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guess it depends on where you are in the

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world I mean a lot of countries are

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trying to come up with the copyright

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laws how they relate to AI generated

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content but yes this response was

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probably referring to the music which

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wasn't AI generated rather than the

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video yeah this is true it's more of a

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audio issue than the video issue

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disturbing horror films going to be wild

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I agree I played a horror game at my

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friend's house in the VR where you

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actually you're like I think it was the

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HTC Vibe which is one of like the more

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expensive but one of the more advanced

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ones and I got to say there were times

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where I just wanted to take the headset

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off and say stop like I'm not playing

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anymore it's way too scary and realistic

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when we're adding the ability to create

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something like that with AI and turn it

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into 3D spaces in virtual reality I

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can't even imagine how creepy some of

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that stuff is going to be Lori meloy

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8998 saying as someone who has worked on

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very big and small Productions in the

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film and TV industry I want it bring it

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on that's the that's what I want to hear

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that's exciting to me the dream of my

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life has become has was to become a

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filmmaker I'm an artist and a writer

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since childhood I never had the

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opportunity to exploit it till now I

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wish you the best of luck I can't wait

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to see what people produce we'll be

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doing some tutorials probably on how to

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do this stuff once it's out to everybody

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John Lewis Dash is saying the parallel

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to photography is shocking there were

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many artists mostly painters who decried

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the end of their craft when photography

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became more popular oh boy well I'll

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attempt

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it from today painting is dead was

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attributed to Paul de ro a French artist

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after seeing the results of Photography

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the technologies that evolved from

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photography includes Cinema smartphones

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Medical Imaging satellites all these

play15:35

would have come later or not at all if

play15:37

artists had been successful in retarding

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the expansion of Photography and that's

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actually the a similar point was made by

play15:43

Sam Altman on the Lex Freedman podcast

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that's what people were saying about

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yeah photography or and then down the

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road about digital phototography like

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each time they said that the uh that

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format was dying because of this new

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technology Leo came wither 9737 says I

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can't wait for Sora to go open

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source I'm thinking that's a little bit

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sarcasm that opening eyes I got an open

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source there AI even though it's kind of

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in the name but there are multiple open

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source Sor projects uh you know spoiler

play16:14

alert they don't look anywhere near as

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good as Sora this comment first they

play16:18

came for the data clerks then they came

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for the customer reps this is like that

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saying about you know they came for the

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Socialists and they came for the unions

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and then I didn't speak up so there's no

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one to speak up up when they came for me

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but looks like there's kind of a plot

play16:31

tost at they end saying so speak up

play16:33

adapt and embrace the change for the AI

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Revolution here to stay reshaping

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careers in ways still strange lest you

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two become its future prey and certainly

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adapting and embracing the change is

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very good I also think we do need to

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start thinking about about other

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solutions that are more positive for

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everybody there was a time when 90% of

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the Earth's population were like farmers

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and Hunters right and they toil day and

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night to make food now we work less and

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have more things we live longer because

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of technology and automation we just

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need to make sure that Ai and Robotics

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brings benefit to to all and is not to

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uh too overly concentrated oh this is

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interesting so this person is saying the

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vanishing points going two directions

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isn't wrong if there are two streets

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branching off at different angles and

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the buildings in the middle is

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triangular which I can say super common

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in Tokyo since Tokyo streets aren't made

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on a grid yeah I saw somebody on Twitter

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basically saying how something about the

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vanishing lines was wrongly Drew a bunch

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of little lines on there like see it's

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all wrong I didn't really follow their

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reasoning but to me it wasn't wrong it

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wasn't obviously wrong there was nothing

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about it that that seemed surreal so

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this comment here part-time human thank

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you for commenting he's saying I

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disagree with this point there has never

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been such an abundance of esoteric and

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interesting films to choose from I mean

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if you're looking if you're just looking

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at Blockbusters then sure but there are

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Studios making cool stuff I agree also I

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think it's kind of funny to think that a

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person who knows nothing about

play17:55

storytelling or film making could

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suddenly nail it because because of this

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tool I think we're in agreement here

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like right the Blockbusters that whole

play18:03

thing is dying and where we're seeing

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more and more Innovation and Cool Stuff

play18:07

taking shape are like the smaller

play18:08

Studios some of the best movies I've

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seen movies or or series you know such

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as for for Netflix and outside of

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Netflix they weren't made by the big

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studios some of them were crowdfunded

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and a lot of that I think was driven by

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new technology new ways of distribution

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it was easier for more people to do

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stuff and share it and I think Sora and

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things like it AI in general is the next

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step on the path of that Evolution I

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think we're going to keep seeing you

play18:36

know the big blogbuster studios produce

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you know whatever stuff I mean some of

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it be good some of bad but in general

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it's going to be formulaic right it's

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going to be sequels of superhero movies

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and whatever nothing wrong with that but

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it's just going to be formula they're

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going to keep hammering the thing as

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long as it's making money and there's

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going to be smaller Studios they're

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going to produce incredible stuff that's

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going to be interesting it's going to be

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Niche Niche whatever it's going to be

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more if you like a certain particular

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type of thing you're going to have that

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and this idea of like you know a person

play19:07

who knows nothing about storytelling or

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film making could suddenly nail it

play19:11

create something great because of this

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tool well my thing is let's say you have

play19:15

somebody that has a story to tell like

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they're a great Storyteller they have a

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great story but they don't know anything

play19:22

about film making specifically right

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they don't know how to use the camera

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the sound equipment they don't know how

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to do casting right but they have the

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story they have the idea but they have

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the money the connections the skills

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that you know the classical skills that

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fil making requires I'm thinking you

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know before AI this person we would

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never hear their story we're unlikely to

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hear their story post AI post Sora we

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might but again your point is well taken

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and I apologize a lot of people are I

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think a little bit annoyed of me for

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like overly criticizing Hollywood maybe

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I went too far of that my point is just

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that it seems that music gaming and film

play20:00

over the last let's say few decades or

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whatever it went from being more art to

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now being more science more like a

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conveyor belt cranking out widgets it's

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a little bit more formulaic it's a

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little bit more about you know the ROI

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and your investment and so whenever the

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smaller groups of individual can produce

play20:17

really cool stuff anything that allows

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them to do that I'm kind of in general

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like excited about that whether that's

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distribution of social media or some of

play20:25

these AI tools or whatever urgent is

play20:27

saying excellent reporting West thank

play20:29

you sir for context the Ottoman Empire

play20:31

held a critical geopolitical Advantage

play20:33

control of trade routes to the Far East

play20:36

that produced oh boy thank you so much

play20:39

for taking the time to do this let's see

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they produced en normal they produced

play20:43

enormous wealth so he's making the point

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that the ships the technology behind

play20:46

ships and being able to do open ocean

play20:49

navigation contributed in a big way

play20:51

towards the decline of the Ottoman

play20:54

Empire and that the printing press they

play20:56

did play a very minor role in in that

play20:58

shifting geopolitical reality but it was

play21:00

the tech advances that did the damage

play21:03

but I think his point here is well taken

play21:05

he's saying that you know a lot of this

play21:07

Tech Will automate jobs it will threaten

play21:09

jobs we don't have an economic model for

play21:12

coping with these disruptions I don't

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think we can stop it nor should we we do

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need to figure out how to distribute the

play21:19

new found wealth and it disturbs me that

play21:21

most economists seem

play21:23

clueless I I am with you on this one sir

play21:26

it feels like sence fiction books uh

play21:30

have done almost a better job of

play21:32

thinking through some of these problems

play21:34

than than some of the economists um I

play21:37

did talk about Sam alman's uh blog post

play21:40

the he with a lot of other people at

play21:41

open Ai and even outside open AI Moors

play21:44

law for everything where he kind of

play21:45

spells out how this whole thing is going

play21:47

to go how AI will bring massive

play21:49

unemployment but also a rapid drop in in

play21:52

prices because the biggest sort of thing

play21:54

that props up prices is paying for human

play21:56

labor and one of the ideas that he had

play21:58

there is this idea of for example having

play22:00

the American Equity Fund so this is for

play22:03

more of a us-based thing but this could

play22:05

be on a per country basis or whatever

play22:08

and the idea is in nutshell that a

play22:10

certain percentage of every big company

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there's a sort of uh there's a certain

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size they would they would have to be

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but a certain percentage of every

play22:18

company becomes part of this American

play22:20

Equity Fund and each person that lives

play22:22

in the country receive some Equity some

play22:24

stock units in that fund so for example

play22:26

imagine a situation where robots take

play22:29

over and Amazon becomes hyper profitable

play22:31

or their warehouses are fully run by

play22:33

robots Microsoft Google all of them are

play22:35

doing incredibly incredibly well

play22:36

meanwhile there's massive unemployment

play22:39

no one has jobs if we don't do anything

play22:42

I mean you can imagine kind of a chaotic

play22:44

environment while at the same time these

play22:46

companies you know 10x 100x 1,000x

play22:48

because basically their biggest cost

play22:51

well the prices they pay for everything

play22:52

start decreasing they can output more so

play22:55

he's saying you know right now we're

play22:56

taxing income why instead of taxing

play22:58

income each person would get a a small

play23:01

dividend from their ownership in these

play23:03

companies to cover their basic living

play23:05

expenses again to really understand what

play23:07

he's talking about here I think it's

play23:09

important to read this post we've

play23:11

covered it in a few different videos but

play23:13

but the basic idea as I understand it is

play23:14

as the value of human labor drops and

play23:18

the value of these automated companies

play23:20

improve you know you stop taxing the

play23:23

income you start taxing the company and

play23:25

providing and each person that Liv in a

play23:27

country has a small ownership in all

play23:28

those companies seem similar to if you

play23:30

have a 401k and you're buying let's say

play23:32

the S&P 500 right the 500 biggest

play23:35

companies in America it would be similar

play23:37

to kind of receiving a little piece of

play23:38

that to each citizen that lives in that

play23:41

region the reason that that I personally

play23:43

kind of keep mentioning this plan the

play23:45

reason is this one I feel like both

play23:47

people on the right and the left could

play23:49

get behind something like this this

play23:50

doesn't go against anyone's values two

play23:53

something like Ubi where the government

play23:55

basically gives you a paycheck kind of

play23:57

like welfare means to to me and a lot of

play23:58

other people that kind of that could be

play24:00

kind of scary because that could really

play24:01

lead us to kind of a dystopia where the

play24:04

government controls whatever you can do

play24:05

they can cut off your basically cut off

play24:07

your income when there are no jobs

play24:09

anywhere they can tell you where to live

play24:11

what to eat you know something like the

play24:13

digital dollar can be programmed to only

play24:16

work if you stay within your city or

play24:18

expire at the end of the month so you

play24:19

can't save you're only forced to consume

play24:22

with the idea of this Equity Fund we all

play24:25

become shareholders in those companies

play24:27

in that situation you want want Amazon

play24:29

to do well you want Google to do well

play24:31

you want McDonald's to do well because

play24:33

you're a stakeholder in that company it

play24:36

also kind of prevents the government

play24:37

from being too abusive because it's not

play24:39

just them doing out the money or if we

play24:42

determine that this is a bad idea this

play24:44

is a bad system then well we need

play24:45

something different then we need another

play24:47

approach because I agree with urget here

play24:50

that I don't think we can stop it nor

play24:52

should we I agree with that we need to

play24:54

figure out how to distribute that New

play24:56

Wealth that new productivity gain from

play24:59

Ai and robots and all the scientific

play25:01

progress that we're going to see as a

play25:02

result of it so that the advantages are

play25:05

positive for most humans so Dr Austin

play25:07

Thomas is saying the problem is that the

play25:09

compu and energy cost is too expensive I

play25:11

doubt that small creators will get

play25:12

access to this anytime soon or at least

play25:14

be able to afford it big Hollywood

play25:16

Studios will be able to pay large sums

play25:18

of money for it and save a few cents at

play25:20

the expense of actual artists because it

play25:22

will be priced in priced just marginally

play25:24

less expensive than paying wages and

play25:26

benefits for artists that is why opening

play25:28

eyes scoring Hollywood Studios already

play25:30

small creators have not gotten access

play25:32

they are not the target audience I

play25:34

understand this point so open ey will

play25:36

sell directly to the big guys leave the

play25:38

little guys out I I don't believe that

play25:41

will be the case for a number of reasons

play25:42

one because very little things in Tech

play25:45

actually work like that they're all

play25:46

interested in acquiring the biggest user

play25:49

bases imaginable they want to sell their

play25:52

product or service to everybody in the

play25:54

world especially if it's digital with

play25:56

Apple phones Android phones is there

play25:58

such a thing as a let's say a $20,000

play26:01

Apple phone I mean I'm sure there's some

play26:03

like collector's items or whatever but

play26:05

for the most part it's cheap enough to

play26:06

where a lot of people can afford it if

play26:08

not you can get one of the cheaper let's

play26:09

say Android phones that most people

play26:12

around the world use they want to sell

play26:14

it to everybody on the planet they will

play26:16

make the most amounts of phones and sell

play26:18

it to everybody same thing with you know

play26:20

Adobe and and Google search is free for

play26:22

everybody because they want to sell ads

play26:24

I just don't understand why open AI

play26:27

wouldn't sell this to the world they

play26:29

want 8 billion people using it

play26:32

potentially I mean just look at GPT 3.5

play26:34

it's free for the world to use GPT 4 you

play26:37

pay 20 bucks a month and the problem is

play26:39

that the compute and energy cost is too

play26:41

expensive I mean there are other text to

play26:44

video AI companies that are selling

play26:46

services for like 20 bucks a month

play26:47

Runway AI P laabs etc etc and you know

play26:51

anyone can sign up they're actively

play26:53

trying to get more users on board paying

play26:55

them 20 bucks a month to have the

play26:57

ability to generate videos the problem

play26:59

is their output quality just isn't as

play27:01

good as Sora Sora is kind of the next

play27:03

big leap forward so I would be really

play27:06

surprised if open AI restricts something

play27:09

like Sora to just the big Hollywood

play27:10

Studios I think what he going to try to

play27:12

do is just distribute it to like every

play27:15

possible person that can use it to get

play27:18

as many users using it as just as

play27:22

possible roleplay gamer saying you

play27:24

heavily emphasize that artists are angry

play27:26

but I believe it's mostly people who are

play27:27

not artist artists that are angry in the

play27:29

name of artists after listening to what

play27:31

their favorite social media influencers

play27:33

have to say about AI stealing jobs as a

play27:35

writer and artist myself AI excites me

play27:37

in the future because of AI I may

play27:39

actually be able to turn my series into

play27:41

anime without a multi-million dollar

play27:43

wall standing in the way I I love to

play27:45

hear this this is uh incredible for me

play27:47

to hear I can't wait for this to to be

play27:50

here and to be the case it could also

play27:52

cut out thousands of hours of work when

play27:54

it comes to artwork I usually like to

play27:55

design all my characters from scratch

play27:57

but once I already have a design

play27:59

manually drawing many different

play28:01

scenarios is extremely time-consuming

play28:03

and being able to streamline the process

play28:05

would be extremely helpful being able to

play28:07

create many times faster will be amazing

play28:09

I love everything about this and I hope

play28:11

you're right that it's not like the real

play28:13

artists that are angry but it is some

play28:15

like influencers worrying about jobs and

play28:17

kind of their followers kind of getting

play28:19

upset on their behalf uh from the artist

play28:21

that I've talked to a good friend of

play28:22

mine like I think I mentioned in the

play28:24

video is very excited he's like I can't

play28:26

wait if you get if you get Advanced copy

play28:28

you know I want to use it because yeah

play28:29

you're right I mean you create a concept

play28:32

you create a world a character a

play28:34

storyline and AI allows it to allows you

play28:37

to just kind of multiply that into

play28:38

different scenes different uh different

play28:41

scenarios Etc so you take your idea your

play28:44

creation and you just have ai do kind of

play28:46

the the busy work of Translating that

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into a full full length anime I think

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the stuff that this is going to produce

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is going to be incredible I can't can't

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wait Mike Paradise Mike Paradise says

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lol they go um in all the right places

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proceeds to um in the right place thank

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you for uh picking up on that this video

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was getting too long so we will split it

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into two parts see you in the next one

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