Elon Musk's STUNNING Prediction | Sam Altman Attempts to Harness the Power of a Thousand Suns.
Summary
TLDRThis comprehensive discussion delves into the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), predicting a future where AI exceeds human cognitive abilities. With insights from industry leaders like Elon Musk and Sam Altman, the narrative explores the implications of AI on energy consumption and the innovative efforts to overcome these challenges, such as fusion energy projects by Helion Energy. Additionally, it addresses the controversies surrounding AI's impact on creative industries, highlighting both the opportunities for individual creators and the potential threats to traditional roles. The script also critiques the negative media portrayal of tech influencers and envisions a future where AI and automation could revolutionize industries and society, despite economic and ethical dilemmas.
Takeaways
- 🔥 Rapid advancements in AI and high-level intelligence are expected to surpass human cognitive tasks within 2-5 years, with digital intelligence possibly exceeding all human intelligence by 2029-2030.
- 💡 The exponential growth in digital compute capacity compared to biological compute suggests a future where AI's cognitive capabilities vastly outstrip those of humans.
- 🛠️ Energy consumption by AI technologies is becoming a significant concern, with instances like a Microsoft engineer highlighting the massive power demands of AI training clusters.
- 🔌 Helion Energy, backed by notable figures like Sam Altman, is focusing on developing net electricity from fusion by 2024, aiming to address the energy demands of burgeoning technologies.
- 🌎 The increasing power needs of AI and other technologies are pushing advancements in energy production, particularly in fusion energy, seen as a potential limitless and clean power source.
- 📸 Criticisms of mainstream media target influential tech and finance figures, suggesting a trend where legacy media attacks for traffic due to declining engagement with their own content.
- 🎥 The script discusses the impact of AI on creative industries, highlighting how it could democratize film production, allowing individual creators to compete with Hollywood by reducing barriers to entry.
- 📚 Comparing AI's impact to historical technological shifts, such as photography's influence on art, the script suggests AI could similarly revolutionize content creation across various fields.
- 🚀 The potential of AI to automate tasks and create efficiencies raises questions about economic models for distributing wealth and addressing job displacement in the future.
- 💻 Open source and affordable AI tools for content creation are highlighted as pivotal for enabling small creators and artists to realize their visions without the need for extensive resources.
Q & A
What is the timeline for AI to surpass human intelligence according to the script?
-The script suggests AI could surpass individual human intelligence by the end of the next year and potentially exceed the cumulative biological compute of higher-level brain functions by around 2029 or 2030.
What are the challenges mentioned regarding the deployment of AI technology?
-The script mentions challenges like the immense energy consumption of AI technologies, which could potentially strain power grids, as illustrated by a situation with Microsoft not being able to colocate a large number of GPUs without affecting the power supply.
What is the significance of Helion Energy's Polaris project mentioned in the script?
-Helion Energy's Polaris project is significant because it is expected to demonstrate net electricity from fusion in 2024, indicating a potential breakthrough in achieving a limitless source of carbon-free power.
Who are some of the key investors in Helion Energy?
-Key investors in Helion Energy include Sam Altman, Mithril Capital, Capricorn Investment Group, and Dustin Moskovitz. Mithril Capital is associated with Peter Thiel.
What is the next big challenge after chips, as discussed in the script?
-After the challenge of computing power (chips), the script discusses energy as the next big challenge, highlighting the significant power demands of AI technologies.
How does the script describe the impact of AI on the future of work and energy consumption?
-The script suggests that AI's rapid advancement will significantly impact work by automating cognitive tasks and presents energy consumption by AI technologies as a looming challenge that needs innovative solutions like fusion energy.
What criticisms are leveled against legacy media in the script?
-The script criticizes legacy media for attacking influencers and using hit pieces as a means to generate traffic, suggesting that this approach is a survival strategy due to declining engagement with their content.
What concerns are raised regarding the accessibility of AI technologies for small creators?
-Concerns mentioned include the high cost of compute and energy for using advanced AI technologies, which might prevent small creators from accessing these tools, potentially leaving them at a disadvantage compared to big studios.
What optimistic view does the script present about AI and creativity?
-The script expresses optimism that AI could empower creators, especially in fields like filmmaking, by reducing the barriers to creating content and enabling individuals to bring their stories and visions to life with less resource constraint.
How does the script address the debate on the future impact of AI on jobs and the economy?
-It suggests that while AI will lead to significant changes in the job market and economy, there needs to be a global solution to ensure the benefits of AI and automation are distributed equitably, mentioning ideas like an equity fund for all citizens.
Outlines
🚀 The Inevitability of Advanced AI
The script discusses the inevitable advancement of AI, suggesting that within a few years, AI could surpass human cognitive abilities in every aspect. The debate is not about if, but when this will happen, with predictions pointing towards the end of the next year or within five years at the latest. The conversation extends into the collective human intelligence being overtaken by digital intelligence around 2029 or 2030, driven by the exponential growth of digital computation compared to biological computation. This segment encapsulates the rapid pace of AI development and its potential to outperform human intelligence on a large scale.
🌐 AI's Energy Demand and Future Solutions
This part delves into the significant energy demands of AI, highlighted by anecdotes such as the challenges faced by Microsoft in powering its GPT-6 training clusters. The narrative shifts to the potential energy crisis this demand could precipitate, likened to previous crunches in chip availability. The script then transitions into discussing Helion Energy's venture into fusion power, backed by prominent figures like Sam Altman, as a solution to meet the future energy needs of AI development. This section underscores the intersection of AI's growth with energy sustainability challenges and the innovative approaches being considered to address them.
🎬 The Impact of AI on Independent Filmmaking
The conversation moves to the impact of AI on the film industry, suggesting a democratization of filmmaking through AI tools that enable individuals to produce content comparable to big studios. This part acknowledges the challenges and fears of displacement within the industry but emphasizes the potential for AI to empower small creators and diversify the types of stories being told. The narrative reflects on the evolution of content creation and the positive implications of AI in fostering a more inclusive and creative filmmaking landscape.
🔍 Examining the Resistance to AI in Creative Fields
This segment addresses the skepticism and resistance towards AI within creative communities, particularly in the arts and filmmaking. It debates the notion that AI might dilute the quality of creative works by making the production process too accessible or formulaic. The script counters this by highlighting historical instances where technological advancements initially met with resistance eventually led to broader horizons for creative expression. It also touches on the potential for AI to level the playing field for creators, allowing for a richer diversity of content.
🌍 Envisioning a Future Shaped by AI and Automation
The script speculates on the broader societal implications of AI and automation, particularly on employment and economic structures. It discusses the potential for significant disruption but also the opportunity for a reimagined societal model where wealth and productivity gains from AI are more equitably distributed. The narrative explores the concept of an American Equity Fund as a potential solution to ensure that the benefits of AI-driven productivity are shared across society, thereby mitigating the risks of economic inequality exacerbated by automation.
🤖 Accessibility and Equality in the Age of AI
The final part of the script addresses concerns about the accessibility of advanced AI technologies to smaller creators versus large corporations. It challenges the notion that AI tools like Sora will be exclusive to big Hollywood studios, arguing instead for a more inclusive model where AI tools are made accessible to a wider audience, thereby empowering individual creators. The script concludes with a reflection on the excitement and potential that AI holds for enhancing creative expression, even among those traditionally excluded from high-budget production processes.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Artificial Intelligence (AI)
💡Cognitive Tasks
💡Digital Intelligence
💡Energy Consumption
💡Fusion Energy
💡Computing Power
💡Nuclear Fusion
💡Legacy Media
💡Innovation
💡Economic Model
💡Cultural Shift
Highlights
The rapid pace of technological change is making the ability to predict the future increasingly valuable, particularly in the field of AI.
AI is expected to reach a level capable of outperforming human cognition in various cognitive tasks within the next few years.
The milestone where AI surpasses human intelligence collectively is anticipated to occur around 2029 or 2030.
The growth rate of digital computation is astonishing, with AI requiring massive amounts of power.
Kyle Corbett's tweet about the challenges of provisioning infinite band class links between GPUs in different regions has garnered significant attention.
Helon Energy, backed by Sam Altman and other investors, aims to demonstrate net electricity from fusion by 2024.
Sam Altman's influence on Helon Energy as its chairman since 2015 is noteworthy, with the company's Polaris project expected to be one of the most important factories in the world.
Fusion energy, a potentially limitless source of carbon-free power, has been pursued by engineers for decades, with commercial viability still a topic of skepticism.
Microsoft's agreement to purchase electricity generated from Helon Energy's fusion project in 2028 signifies a significant investment in the technology.
The discussion around the impact of AI on various industries, including film and gaming, suggests a shift towards more formulaic content and a need for new economic models.
The potential for AI to democratize content creation, allowing smaller studios and independent creators to produce high-quality work, is a positive development.
The comparison of AI's impact on traditional art forms to the historical reaction to photography and its evolution into various technologies is insightful.
The comment on the vanishing points in art and architecture, particularly in Tokyo, as an example of how AI might influence creative fields.
The concern that AI and automation could lead to massive unemployment and the need for a new economic model to distribute the wealth generated by these technologies.
The idea of an American Equity Fund as a potential solution to the economic disruptions caused by AI and automation, where citizens receive dividends from company ownership.
The optimism that AI will be a net positive for creators, allowing for more innovation and unique content production, especially in smaller studios.
The potential for AI to streamline the creative process for artists, allowing them to produce work more efficiently and focus on their core creative strengths.
The importance of adapting and embracing change brought about by AI, and the need for global solutions that benefit all, rather than being industry-specific.
Transcripts
when when things are changing rapidly
the the ability to predict the future I
think is becomes a lot hotter because of
the rate of change is so great but I
think some things are fairly obvious to
predict which is that we'll have ai or
hii that's at a level that it can really
to almost any cognitive I think really
not almost really any c task that's just
a question of when one could debate is
it you know spatter than any human at
the end of next year or is it 2 years or
3 years but it's not more than 5 years
that's for sure not like it will
definitely happen but if you say what if
you ask me like what's the 50th
percentile where it's like the you know
your kind of over under is kind of even
that that's where I why I think it's
probably end of next year before AI can
do better than any individual te could
do but there's it's it's a much higher
bar to say well is a swap than you know
human intelligence collectively but if
the rate of change continues that that's
why I think probably 2029 or maybe 2030
is where digital intelligence will
probably exceed uh all human
intelligence combined and and there I
think it's always coule to look at these
like fundamental ratios if you look at
the ratio of digital to biological
compute if you sum up the higher level
cognitive capacity of of humans and
think of that us Compu then well and
then compare that to what is the digital
compute and the rate at which this is
growing is just bugles the mind but
that's why I think it's you know I think
2029 or 2030 or thereabouts that's I
think a reasonable type rate for where
you'd expect the the a cumulative
interal compute to probably exceed the
cumulative biological compute of higher
level brain functions so more and more
people are expecting the next big crunch
next big wall that we hit to come from
energy the first was chips the amount of
compute we had access to now as we're
rapidly ramping up production energy
will likely be the next big thing here's
Kyle Corbett he had this tweet that
gathered 1.3 million views he's saying
that he spoke to a Microsoft engineer on
the gbt 6 training cluster project he
ketched or complained about the pain
they're having provisioning infin band
class links between gpus in different
regions he asked why not just collocate
the cluster in one region the Microsoft
engineer answered oh yeah we tried that
first we can't put more than 100,000
h100s those Nvidia gpus they can't put
more than 100,000 of them in a single
state as in uh one of the states in the
United States they can't put that in a
single state without bringing down the
power grid so I don't know too much
about Kyle but some people that I tend
to trust in the space are seemingly sort
of taking that tweet seriously but
whatever the cas is that tweet is kind
of directionally correct AI is drawing a
lot of power a lot of people including
Elon Musk Sam Altman all the folks at
Microsoft are seeing that as the next
big crunch now there is this company
helon energy who are constructing
Polaris expected to demonstrate net
electricity from Fusion in 2020 4 and
they're excited to announce that helon
has raised 500 million from Sam Alman
and as well as participation from other
existing investors mythro Capital
Capricorn Investment Group and dust and
Dustin moscowitz mythro capital I I'm
guessing this is Peter teal he tends to
name everything with a nod to tolken and
uh the Lord of the Rings mythro Capo
Peter teal yep nailed it that company
palente tier with Alex karp be teal is
behind that as well palente tier the
original meaning is that thing that you
see across vast distances this orb is a
Palante tier and of course there's the
teal fellowship and there's many many
more tolken references but this helon
energy a lot of it is driven by Sam Sam
Alman has helion's chairman since 2015
he helped with strategy in Focus here's
Sam Alman tweeting in in July 25th 2023
saying this maybe one of the most
important factories in the world right
now helon energy and February 1st of
this year this is where helon helon
energy will soon start to install
Polaris so that's a human there for
scale yesterday Jimmy apples posted
somewhere in the desert Sam Alman is
building a big special something also
helon working alongside American clean
power but again I'm not talking more
than that and Microsoft is kind of in on
this too so Microsoft agrees to buy
electricity generated from Sam Alman
back fusion company helon in
2028 so Fusion is combining and fishing
is dividing or splitting so when we take
the atom and we split it that's the
atomic bomb for example that's if it
causes kind of a chain reaction and if
it's a controlled fishing then and if
that happens in a controlled scenario
like an atomic power plant that's how we
can harness energy so that's fishing by
the way Chernobyl the HBO series uh from
2019 was so good if you haven't seen
that one it was so good I it was so good
I was kind of uh blown wa but yeah
that's fishion and then Fusion is
combining so nuclear fusion is the
combination of two or more Atomic nuclei
so kind of like the center of the atom
the nucleus putting two of them together
to form one or more different nuclei and
the process creates a massive release of
energy which is kind of the same process
that we have in our sun or in any sun I
guess so if I'm understanding the
project correctly they will build a sun
here somewhere here there'll be a sun
here I may be glossing over some of the
technical details but Microsoft and
helon want to build the world's first
Fusion plant and seize Energy's Holy
Grail so looks like they're building the
commercial facility in Washington state
and the goal is to get up and running by
2028 Engineers for decades have chased
the promise of Fusion Energy a
potentially Limitless source of carbon
free power so far none of the commercial
devices have been able to produce more
electricity than they required to
operate it some people are skeptical it
will ever work Business Insider
publishes a hit piece against Sam Altman
they're saying some VCS are over the Sam
Altman hype basically saying that Sam
Alton is not cool and no one even likes
him anymore now there's been quite a bit
of hit pieces recently from various
Legacy Media newspapers against various
people in Tech and in finance they're
doxing people revealing their personal
identity against their will there's been
Bill Amman Mir Mora Sam Alman Elon Musk
has been getting it for quite a while
why are they engaging in this silly
Behavior well well here's balag G saying
here's his take on it Legacy Media
doesn't get views for their own content
anymore just look at the tanking
engagement so they need to attack
influencers for traffic if you even yell
at them they get paid so just ignore to
the maximum extent possible and let them
fall they deserve it they recently did a
hit piece on Andrew huberman of huberman
labs which to me is where I draw a line
here's the piece Andrew huberman's
mechanism of control you can tell he's a
bad guy because of how like look how
scary that is he's controlling your mind
this article is like 10 pages long but I
didn't read all of it but but as far as
I can tell they dug up some stuff from
his personal life sounds like they dug
up some romantic relationship and so now
Andrew huberman is bad he's a bad person
and you should not listen to him
according to these people so so for
those of you keeping track at home Elon
Musk is bad Andrew hubman is bad Joe
Rogan is bad she talks about him and
this uh piece as well Lex Freedman is
bad too this image must terrify them now
Bill Amman is bad the anonymous account
of Beth Jos well that's bad we have to
dox some so you know here he is on Lex
fredman and recently launching his very
own startup so that might have backfired
a little bit so let's add Beth Jos and
Bill Amman to this now Peter teal is on
this list as well I don't think they
ever liked them but they really didn't
like them when he took out Gawker and
now to this list of bad bad bad people
let's add Sam Alman apparently so these
are the bad people and if you follow
these people you're a bad person
yourself now whatever your opinion of
these people are you maybe like them
maybe maybe you like them maybe you
don't that's totally cool just don't
base your opinion on the death rattle of
an obsolete Legacy Media brand I think
BAGI here is Right Legacy Media doesn't
get views for their own content anymore
this is their survival strategy they
need to attack influencers for traffic
that is becoming their business model so
really fast I just wanted to answer some
of the comments are coming in for
everybody that comments on my channel I
really appreciate that so I really
appreciate those I try to read as many
as I can I used to be able to read every
single one and it's just not possible
anymore but I'll try to highlight some
of the ones that kind of jump out of me
and internal commented I think you're
being too negative about the quality of
modern movies maybe you're watching the
wrong ones many are excellent I'm sure
they are uh I guess my point is more
that for example with music with video
games and with with movies too you go
back a few decades and it seemed like
there was a lot more people just kind of
where that's artists or coders that
wanted to make video games like there
was just more space to create and try
stuff out and over time it seemed like
it became more formulaic I mean like
look at the video game Space right you
have you know Battlefield Call of Duty
which is kind of very similar games
right and like everybody's trying to
copy that then something like pubg
creates the arena style fighting and
then fortnite and everybody else is
trying to copy that so it just seems
like at the end of the day it's just a
bunch of big studios that are kind of or
whether that's game development or
movies they're kind of just trying to
rehash the same thing I mean how many
super superhero movies do we have and
the problem with that is you have to
start targeting the low common
denominator because you want to reach
the widest possible audience and because
of the amount of money that's available
to be made but also just be spent on
advertising and stuff like that the
little niche Studios they're going to
have a harder time creating something
unique for Their audience it's hard to
get it out there but when they do it's
incredible right Minecraft was made
pretty much I think almost
single-handedly by Notch and went on to
be sold to Microsoft for like a billion
you know you have like John Romero John
carmac I think there's one other guy
they create to Doom that becomes this
incredible thing you know I think stard
do Valley was coded by one person went
on to be this Mega hit so small creators
doing their thing can produce incredible
content right so you don't need billions
of dollars and a staff of you know
hundreds or thousands of people to
produce incredible games or music or
whatever but that's what a lot of these
like big studios do and they kind of
push everybody else out and I mean
that's how business works I'm not
complaining but when something comes
along and gives smaller creators the
ability to create something and directly
share that with the world I see that as
a win the cream will rise to the top
hopefully this person saying working
very much at the bottom of the film
industry all this looks like I have
chosen my career very poorly I expect to
in my life destitute and bitter
brilliant and I certainly understand the
concern I tend to be more optimistic so
I don't think that's the case in fact I
think movies will be the last thing to
go but also I think this wave is coming
for everyone and and the solutions that
will be needed are are more Global
they're not going to be industry by
industry we need kind of a higher level
solution if that makes sense so this
person is saying the idea that Sora will
help others compete with the holwood
elites is a misguided statement and this
person is described so uh second Earth
they're describing they have credits
acting color correcting and editing
features film feature films that were
distributed internationally and he
describes a situation of of working
working very hard traveling getting
experience working with other for
example these upcoming this upcoming
Brazilian director becoming a journalist
and a lot of the crafts and all for the
sole purpose of creating a Netflix
worthy film for the price that Hollywood
terms micro budget it's the only reason
he could help make this film act in it
in the midst of the of the strikes it's
us that Sora is going to destroy it's
it's not the elites it's the hardworking
independent creators that wanted to
prove how much can be created with the
willpower and enough experience so I I
hope that Sora empowers creators I am
again I feel kind of optimistic but I
mean certainly I'm sure there's a lot of
situations that I don't understand I
mean the situation you described here
and I apologize if I'm misunderstanding
it but it seems like what you're saying
is like you worked really hard for so
long and they created this movie for
very very little amount of money so you
basically you know the expression is
bent over backwards to create this movie
that Hollywood they don't even want to
touch that because of you know it's not
enough money for them and to me I mean
this seems bad this shouldn't happen
because it's this idea of trying to claw
tooth and nail to create something that
is so cheap that you know Hollywood
doesn't want pursue it that's not what I
would call an ideal situation I almost
feel like an ideal situation would be
you not having to do that and just
producing the best film that you can
regardless of capital or connections or
anything like that and then hopefully
having that that film be able to compete
with a studio that has billions of
dollars to create that film that's what
I'm hoping for right because in that
situation it's the best thing that you
can produce going head-to-head with the
best thing that they can produce on an
equal playing field so that's that's how
I'm seeing it but again I I'm not an
expert on any of the things that you've
said here so I could be completely wrong
but I'm certainly hoping that Ai and
things like it will be a net positive
for creators in whatever industry that
they're in so this is the video that I
did about Sora so somebody saying
couldn't play due to copyright oh the
sick irony well so by copyright I meant
Google's copyright matching so if
somebody has has some content in their
system already that they that they've
uploaded first they can claim it as
their own and so so in that situation
you know since they uploaded first if I
play it that that could create issues I
I don't know if it's technically
copyrighted content I believe I mean I
guess it depends on where you are in the
world I mean a lot of countries are
trying to come up with the copyright
laws how they relate to AI generated
content but yes this response was
probably referring to the music which
wasn't AI generated rather than the
video yeah this is true it's more of a
audio issue than the video issue
disturbing horror films going to be wild
I agree I played a horror game at my
friend's house in the VR where you
actually you're like I think it was the
HTC Vibe which is one of like the more
expensive but one of the more advanced
ones and I got to say there were times
where I just wanted to take the headset
off and say stop like I'm not playing
anymore it's way too scary and realistic
when we're adding the ability to create
something like that with AI and turn it
into 3D spaces in virtual reality I
can't even imagine how creepy some of
that stuff is going to be Lori meloy
8998 saying as someone who has worked on
very big and small Productions in the
film and TV industry I want it bring it
on that's the that's what I want to hear
that's exciting to me the dream of my
life has become has was to become a
filmmaker I'm an artist and a writer
since childhood I never had the
opportunity to exploit it till now I
wish you the best of luck I can't wait
to see what people produce we'll be
doing some tutorials probably on how to
do this stuff once it's out to everybody
John Lewis Dash is saying the parallel
to photography is shocking there were
many artists mostly painters who decried
the end of their craft when photography
became more popular oh boy well I'll
attempt
it from today painting is dead was
attributed to Paul de ro a French artist
after seeing the results of Photography
the technologies that evolved from
photography includes Cinema smartphones
Medical Imaging satellites all these
would have come later or not at all if
artists had been successful in retarding
the expansion of Photography and that's
actually the a similar point was made by
Sam Altman on the Lex Freedman podcast
that's what people were saying about
yeah photography or and then down the
road about digital phototography like
each time they said that the uh that
format was dying because of this new
technology Leo came wither 9737 says I
can't wait for Sora to go open
source I'm thinking that's a little bit
sarcasm that opening eyes I got an open
source there AI even though it's kind of
in the name but there are multiple open
source Sor projects uh you know spoiler
alert they don't look anywhere near as
good as Sora this comment first they
came for the data clerks then they came
for the customer reps this is like that
saying about you know they came for the
Socialists and they came for the unions
and then I didn't speak up so there's no
one to speak up up when they came for me
but looks like there's kind of a plot
tost at they end saying so speak up
adapt and embrace the change for the AI
Revolution here to stay reshaping
careers in ways still strange lest you
two become its future prey and certainly
adapting and embracing the change is
very good I also think we do need to
start thinking about about other
solutions that are more positive for
everybody there was a time when 90% of
the Earth's population were like farmers
and Hunters right and they toil day and
night to make food now we work less and
have more things we live longer because
of technology and automation we just
need to make sure that Ai and Robotics
brings benefit to to all and is not to
uh too overly concentrated oh this is
interesting so this person is saying the
vanishing points going two directions
isn't wrong if there are two streets
branching off at different angles and
the buildings in the middle is
triangular which I can say super common
in Tokyo since Tokyo streets aren't made
on a grid yeah I saw somebody on Twitter
basically saying how something about the
vanishing lines was wrongly Drew a bunch
of little lines on there like see it's
all wrong I didn't really follow their
reasoning but to me it wasn't wrong it
wasn't obviously wrong there was nothing
about it that that seemed surreal so
this comment here part-time human thank
you for commenting he's saying I
disagree with this point there has never
been such an abundance of esoteric and
interesting films to choose from I mean
if you're looking if you're just looking
at Blockbusters then sure but there are
Studios making cool stuff I agree also I
think it's kind of funny to think that a
person who knows nothing about
storytelling or film making could
suddenly nail it because because of this
tool I think we're in agreement here
like right the Blockbusters that whole
thing is dying and where we're seeing
more and more Innovation and Cool Stuff
taking shape are like the smaller
Studios some of the best movies I've
seen movies or or series you know such
as for for Netflix and outside of
Netflix they weren't made by the big
studios some of them were crowdfunded
and a lot of that I think was driven by
new technology new ways of distribution
it was easier for more people to do
stuff and share it and I think Sora and
things like it AI in general is the next
step on the path of that Evolution I
think we're going to keep seeing you
know the big blogbuster studios produce
you know whatever stuff I mean some of
it be good some of bad but in general
it's going to be formulaic right it's
going to be sequels of superhero movies
and whatever nothing wrong with that but
it's just going to be formula they're
going to keep hammering the thing as
long as it's making money and there's
going to be smaller Studios they're
going to produce incredible stuff that's
going to be interesting it's going to be
Niche Niche whatever it's going to be
more if you like a certain particular
type of thing you're going to have that
and this idea of like you know a person
who knows nothing about storytelling or
film making could suddenly nail it
create something great because of this
tool well my thing is let's say you have
somebody that has a story to tell like
they're a great Storyteller they have a
great story but they don't know anything
about film making specifically right
they don't know how to use the camera
the sound equipment they don't know how
to do casting right but they have the
story they have the idea but they have
the money the connections the skills
that you know the classical skills that
fil making requires I'm thinking you
know before AI this person we would
never hear their story we're unlikely to
hear their story post AI post Sora we
might but again your point is well taken
and I apologize a lot of people are I
think a little bit annoyed of me for
like overly criticizing Hollywood maybe
I went too far of that my point is just
that it seems that music gaming and film
over the last let's say few decades or
whatever it went from being more art to
now being more science more like a
conveyor belt cranking out widgets it's
a little bit more formulaic it's a
little bit more about you know the ROI
and your investment and so whenever the
smaller groups of individual can produce
really cool stuff anything that allows
them to do that I'm kind of in general
like excited about that whether that's
distribution of social media or some of
these AI tools or whatever urgent is
saying excellent reporting West thank
you sir for context the Ottoman Empire
held a critical geopolitical Advantage
control of trade routes to the Far East
that produced oh boy thank you so much
for taking the time to do this let's see
they produced en normal they produced
enormous wealth so he's making the point
that the ships the technology behind
ships and being able to do open ocean
navigation contributed in a big way
towards the decline of the Ottoman
Empire and that the printing press they
did play a very minor role in in that
shifting geopolitical reality but it was
the tech advances that did the damage
but I think his point here is well taken
he's saying that you know a lot of this
Tech Will automate jobs it will threaten
jobs we don't have an economic model for
coping with these disruptions I don't
think we can stop it nor should we we do
need to figure out how to distribute the
new found wealth and it disturbs me that
most economists seem
clueless I I am with you on this one sir
it feels like sence fiction books uh
have done almost a better job of
thinking through some of these problems
than than some of the economists um I
did talk about Sam alman's uh blog post
the he with a lot of other people at
open Ai and even outside open AI Moors
law for everything where he kind of
spells out how this whole thing is going
to go how AI will bring massive
unemployment but also a rapid drop in in
prices because the biggest sort of thing
that props up prices is paying for human
labor and one of the ideas that he had
there is this idea of for example having
the American Equity Fund so this is for
more of a us-based thing but this could
be on a per country basis or whatever
and the idea is in nutshell that a
certain percentage of every big company
there's a sort of uh there's a certain
size they would they would have to be
but a certain percentage of every
company becomes part of this American
Equity Fund and each person that lives
in the country receive some Equity some
stock units in that fund so for example
imagine a situation where robots take
over and Amazon becomes hyper profitable
or their warehouses are fully run by
robots Microsoft Google all of them are
doing incredibly incredibly well
meanwhile there's massive unemployment
no one has jobs if we don't do anything
I mean you can imagine kind of a chaotic
environment while at the same time these
companies you know 10x 100x 1,000x
because basically their biggest cost
well the prices they pay for everything
start decreasing they can output more so
he's saying you know right now we're
taxing income why instead of taxing
income each person would get a a small
dividend from their ownership in these
companies to cover their basic living
expenses again to really understand what
he's talking about here I think it's
important to read this post we've
covered it in a few different videos but
but the basic idea as I understand it is
as the value of human labor drops and
the value of these automated companies
improve you know you stop taxing the
income you start taxing the company and
providing and each person that Liv in a
country has a small ownership in all
those companies seem similar to if you
have a 401k and you're buying let's say
the S&P 500 right the 500 biggest
companies in America it would be similar
to kind of receiving a little piece of
that to each citizen that lives in that
region the reason that that I personally
kind of keep mentioning this plan the
reason is this one I feel like both
people on the right and the left could
get behind something like this this
doesn't go against anyone's values two
something like Ubi where the government
basically gives you a paycheck kind of
like welfare means to to me and a lot of
other people that kind of that could be
kind of scary because that could really
lead us to kind of a dystopia where the
government controls whatever you can do
they can cut off your basically cut off
your income when there are no jobs
anywhere they can tell you where to live
what to eat you know something like the
digital dollar can be programmed to only
work if you stay within your city or
expire at the end of the month so you
can't save you're only forced to consume
with the idea of this Equity Fund we all
become shareholders in those companies
in that situation you want want Amazon
to do well you want Google to do well
you want McDonald's to do well because
you're a stakeholder in that company it
also kind of prevents the government
from being too abusive because it's not
just them doing out the money or if we
determine that this is a bad idea this
is a bad system then well we need
something different then we need another
approach because I agree with urget here
that I don't think we can stop it nor
should we I agree with that we need to
figure out how to distribute that New
Wealth that new productivity gain from
Ai and robots and all the scientific
progress that we're going to see as a
result of it so that the advantages are
positive for most humans so Dr Austin
Thomas is saying the problem is that the
compu and energy cost is too expensive I
doubt that small creators will get
access to this anytime soon or at least
be able to afford it big Hollywood
Studios will be able to pay large sums
of money for it and save a few cents at
the expense of actual artists because it
will be priced in priced just marginally
less expensive than paying wages and
benefits for artists that is why opening
eyes scoring Hollywood Studios already
small creators have not gotten access
they are not the target audience I
understand this point so open ey will
sell directly to the big guys leave the
little guys out I I don't believe that
will be the case for a number of reasons
one because very little things in Tech
actually work like that they're all
interested in acquiring the biggest user
bases imaginable they want to sell their
product or service to everybody in the
world especially if it's digital with
Apple phones Android phones is there
such a thing as a let's say a $20,000
Apple phone I mean I'm sure there's some
like collector's items or whatever but
for the most part it's cheap enough to
where a lot of people can afford it if
not you can get one of the cheaper let's
say Android phones that most people
around the world use they want to sell
it to everybody on the planet they will
make the most amounts of phones and sell
it to everybody same thing with you know
Adobe and and Google search is free for
everybody because they want to sell ads
I just don't understand why open AI
wouldn't sell this to the world they
want 8 billion people using it
potentially I mean just look at GPT 3.5
it's free for the world to use GPT 4 you
pay 20 bucks a month and the problem is
that the compute and energy cost is too
expensive I mean there are other text to
video AI companies that are selling
services for like 20 bucks a month
Runway AI P laabs etc etc and you know
anyone can sign up they're actively
trying to get more users on board paying
them 20 bucks a month to have the
ability to generate videos the problem
is their output quality just isn't as
good as Sora Sora is kind of the next
big leap forward so I would be really
surprised if open AI restricts something
like Sora to just the big Hollywood
Studios I think what he going to try to
do is just distribute it to like every
possible person that can use it to get
as many users using it as just as
possible roleplay gamer saying you
heavily emphasize that artists are angry
but I believe it's mostly people who are
not artist artists that are angry in the
name of artists after listening to what
their favorite social media influencers
have to say about AI stealing jobs as a
writer and artist myself AI excites me
in the future because of AI I may
actually be able to turn my series into
anime without a multi-million dollar
wall standing in the way I I love to
hear this this is uh incredible for me
to hear I can't wait for this to to be
here and to be the case it could also
cut out thousands of hours of work when
it comes to artwork I usually like to
design all my characters from scratch
but once I already have a design
manually drawing many different
scenarios is extremely time-consuming
and being able to streamline the process
would be extremely helpful being able to
create many times faster will be amazing
I love everything about this and I hope
you're right that it's not like the real
artists that are angry but it is some
like influencers worrying about jobs and
kind of their followers kind of getting
upset on their behalf uh from the artist
that I've talked to a good friend of
mine like I think I mentioned in the
video is very excited he's like I can't
wait if you get if you get Advanced copy
you know I want to use it because yeah
you're right I mean you create a concept
you create a world a character a
storyline and AI allows it to allows you
to just kind of multiply that into
different scenes different uh different
scenarios Etc so you take your idea your
creation and you just have ai do kind of
the the busy work of Translating that
into a full full length anime I think
the stuff that this is going to produce
is going to be incredible I can't can't
wait Mike Paradise Mike Paradise says
lol they go um in all the right places
proceeds to um in the right place thank
you for uh picking up on that this video
was getting too long so we will split it
into two parts see you in the next one
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