The Only Day Trading Strategy You'll Ever Need (Beginner to Pro)

JeaFx
17 Jul 202425:09

Summary

TLDRThis video script outlines a day trading strategy focused on price action, emphasizing the importance of having a consistent strategy to achieve profitability in trading. It details how to identify market trends by analyzing high and low structures and using supply and demand zones to determine entry and exit points. The strategy advocates for simplicity, a strong balance of profits and losses, and the use of structural confirmation across different time frames to minimize losses and maximize gains. The presenter also addresses the psychological aspect of trading, suggesting techniques to manage risk tolerance and่€ๅฟƒ็ญ‰ๅพ… trading setups.

Takeaways

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Consistent profitability in trading is achieved through a strategy with a positive expected outcome.
  • ๐Ÿ”„ Traders often lose due to a lack of strategy or by frequently switching strategies after encountering losses.
  • ๐Ÿ“Š The proposed trading strategy is price action focused, eschewing indicators for a purer market view.
  • ๐Ÿšซ The strategy avoids fundamental analysis, relying solely on chart patterns and price movements.
  • โ†—๏ธ The strategy advocates for making more on winning trades than losing on losing trades to ensure long-term profitability.
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Understanding market structure through highs and lows is crucial for determining market direction and making informed trading decisions.
  • ๐Ÿ”„ Market trends eventually reverse, and recognizing these reversals is key to capitalizing on new trading opportunities.
  • ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Supply and demand zones are used to identify potential entry and exit points in the market based on historical price consolidation areas.
  • ๐Ÿ”„ The strategy emphasizes the importance of risk management, aiming for a strong balance between profits and losses.
  • โฑ๏ธ The strategy is applicable across different time frames, demonstrating the universality of price action concepts.

Q & A

  • What is the key to becoming a consistently profitable trader according to the script?

    -The key to becoming a consistently profitable trader is to have a trading strategy that has a positive expected outcome.

  • What are the two main problems that cause traders to lose money?

    -The two main problems are having no strategy at all, leading to random trades without a statistical edge, and strategy hopping, where traders switch between systems after experiencing losses instead of working through them.

  • Why is it important to focus on price action in trading?

    -Focusing on price action is important because it allows traders to directly observe what the market is doing without any interference from indicators or external factors.

  • How does the script define a downtrend and an uptrend?

    -A downtrend is defined by the market making lower lows and lower highs, while an uptrend is characterized by the market making higher highs and higher lows.

  • What is the significance of marking highs and lows in the market?

    -Marking highs and lows helps traders identify the direction of the market trend and determine whether they should be buying or selling.

  • Why is it recommended to view market structure as larger waves rather than marking every single small movement?

    -Viewing market structure as larger waves simplifies the analysis and keeps the trading strategy relevant by focusing on significant trends rather than getting lost in minor fluctuations.

  • How does understanding market reversals help in trading?

    -Understanding market reversals helps traders avoid trading on the wrong side of the market and can turn these reversals into trading opportunities.

  • What is the concept of supply and demand in the context of trading?

    -Supply and demand in trading refers to the balance between buyers and sellers in the market. When demand exceeds supply, the market goes up, and when supply exceeds demand, the market goes down.

  • Why are demand zones considered good places to buy and supply zones good places to sell?

    -Demand zones are seen as good places to buy because they represent areas of consolidation before a large upward move, indicating a previous level of strong buying interest. Supply zones are good places to sell because they represent areas of consolidation before a large downward move, indicating a level where sellers are willing to sell at a premium.

  • How does the script suggest managing risk and maintaining profitability in trading?

    -The script suggests managing risk and maintaining profitability by making more money on winning trades than what is lost on losing trades, thus balancing profits and losses.

  • What is the 'standard confirmation' technique mentioned in the script?

    -The 'standard confirmation' technique involves using structural confirmation or a change in market structure on a lower time frame to validate trades set up on a higher time frame.

Outlines

00:00

๐Ÿ“ˆ Importance of Strategy in Trading

The paragraph emphasizes the necessity of a trading strategy with a positive expected outcome for consistent profitability. It outlines the common pitfalls traders face, such as lacking a strategy or frequently switching strategies after initial losses, leading to frustration and failure. The speaker introduces a day trading strategy focused on price action, devoid of indicators and fundamental analysis, and highlights the simplicity and reliance on chart analysis. The strategy aims to ensure profits by making more on winning trades than losing ones, focusing on market trends indicated by higher or lower highs and lows.

05:02

๐Ÿ” Understanding Market Structure and Trends

This section delves into the concept of market structure, explaining how to identify trends by observing the formation of higher or lower highs and lows. It introduces the idea of 'fractal concepts' in price action, applicable across different timeframes. The paragraph discusses the inevitability of market trend reversals and the importance of recognizing these to avoid trading against the market. It also outlines the use of supply and demand zones as key indicators for potential trading opportunities, suggesting that these zones are areas of market consolidation before significant price movements.

10:04

๐Ÿ’น Applying Supply and Demand Zones in Trading

The paragraph explains the practical application of supply and demand zones in trading. It describes how to identify these zones on a chart and use them to determine entry points for trades. The concept of buying from demand zones in uptrends and selling from supply zones in downtrends is introduced. The speaker provides a real-world example of how to plot and trade a demand zone, illustrating the process with a chart example. The importance of risk-reward balance in trades is highlighted, with the speaker advocating for larger wins to offset potential losses.

15:05

๐Ÿ“‰ Trading in Downtrends and Reversals

This section continues the discussion on trading strategies, focusing on how to trade in downtrends and handle market reversals. It describes the process of identifying supply zones and using them to enter sell trades, with a detailed example of setting up a trade with stop loss and target levels. The paragraph also touches on the psychological aspect of trading, discussing risk tolerance and how it affects trading decisions. The speaker suggests using low time frame structure confirmation to minimize losses and increase the probability of successful trades.

20:07

๐Ÿ”„ Confirming Trade Setups with Lower Time Frames

The final paragraph introduces the concept of using lower time frame structure confirmation to validate trade setups. It explains how to use market structure on a smaller time frame to confirm trends observed on a larger time frame, thereby increasing the likelihood of successful trades. The speaker provides an example of how to apply this confirmation method, detailing the process of identifying a shift in trend and the subsequent trade entry. The paragraph concludes with a reminder of the importance of strategy and consistency in trading, and the option for viewers to explore further learning resources.

Mindmap

Keywords

๐Ÿ’กTrading Strategy

A trading strategy is a well-defined plan that outlines the specific conditions under which a trader enters and exits trades. In the video, it's emphasized as the key to becoming a consistently profitable trader. The speaker discusses the importance of having a positive expected outcome and avoiding the pitfalls of either having no strategy or frequently changing strategies, which are common reasons traders lose money.

๐Ÿ’กPositive Expected Outcome

This refers to a trading approach where the potential gains from successful trades are expected to outweigh the losses from unsuccessful ones over time. The video underscores that a solid trading strategy must have a positive expected outcome to ensure profitability. It's tied to the concept of making more on winning trades than losing on losing trades.

๐Ÿ’กPrice Action

Price action is the movement of an asset's price over time, reflecting supply and demand dynamics. The script focuses on a price action trading system, which means the strategy is based on interpreting price movements on charts without using technical indicators. The speaker explains how to read market direction from price action, which is central to identifying trends and potential trading opportunities.

๐Ÿ’กMarket Structure

Market structure in the context of the video refers to the pattern of highs and lows that form during a market trend. Understanding market structure is crucial for identifying trends and potential reversal points. The speaker illustrates how to recognize uptrends (higher highs and higher lows) and downtrends (lower lows and lower highs) to determine the direction of the market.

๐Ÿ’กSupply and Demand Zones

Supply and demand zones are areas on a price chart where the market has previously consolidated before a significant price movement. The video describes how to identify these zones and use them as entry points for trades. Demand zones are areas of consolidation before an upward move, suggesting potential buying opportunities, while supply zones are before a downward move, indicating selling opportunities.

๐Ÿ’กRisk-Reward Ratio

The risk-reward ratio is a measure used in trading to evaluate the potential risk of a trade against the potential reward. The video stresses the importance of having a favorable risk-reward ratio, aiming to win more on profitable trades than to lose on unprofitable ones. This concept is integral to the trading strategy presented, as it helps in maintaining profitability even with a win rate of around 50%.

๐Ÿ’กStop Loss

A stop loss is an order placed by a trader to close a trade at a certain price to limit potential losses. In the script, the speaker explains how to set stop loss orders in relation to supply and demand zones or other significant price levels to manage risk effectively. Proper stop loss placement is a key component of the trading strategy to protect capital.

๐Ÿ’กTrending Markets

Trending markets are those that exhibit a clear and sustained upward or downward movement. The video's trading strategy is particularly effective in trending markets, as it capitalizes on the momentum of the trend. The speaker mentions that the strategy may not work as well in choppy or range-bound markets, highlighting the importance of market context in trading.

๐Ÿ’กReversals

A reversal in trading signifies a change in the direction of the market trend. The video discusses the importance of recognizing market reversals to avoid trading against the new trend and to turn them into potential trading opportunities. Understanding and identifying reversals is crucial for adapting to market changes and maintaining profitability.

๐Ÿ’กRisk Tolerance

Risk tolerance refers to an individual's willingness to take on risk in trading or investing. The script mentions that different traders have different risk tolerances, which can influence their trading behavior, particularly when facing losses or losing streaks. The speaker suggests strategies to accommodate varying risk tolerances, emphasizing the need for a personalized approach to trading.

Highlights

A consistently profitable trading strategy requires a positive expected outcome.

Traders often lose due to lacking a strategy or giving up on a good strategy too soon.

The proposed trading strategy is price action focused, avoiding indicators and fundamental analysis.

The strategy emphasizes simplicity and a balance between profits and losses.

Understanding market direction is crucial for determining whether to buy or sell.

Market trends are identified by looking at the high and low structure of price movements.

Fractal concepts apply across all time frames, simplifying the trading approach.

Market reversals should be understood to avoid trading on the wrong side of the market.

Supply and demand zones are key for identifying entry points in the market.

Demand zones indicate areas of consolidation before upward moves, suggesting buying opportunities.

Supply zones indicate areas of consolidation before downward moves, suggesting selling opportunities.

The strategy advocates for making more on winning trades than losing on losing trades.

Risk tolerance plays a role in how traders handle losses and the number of trades they take.

Low time frame structure confirmation can be used to minimize losses and confirm trade setups.

The strategy may not provide trades every day but is designed for long-term profitability.

The importance of sticking to a strategy and not jumping between different systems for consistent results.

Further learning resources are available for those interested in deepening their understanding of the strategy.

Transcripts

play00:00

the only way that you can become a

play00:01

consistently profitable Trader is to

play00:03

have a trading strategy that has a

play00:06

positive expected outcome by far the

play00:08

biggest reason that Traders lose is

play00:10

because they don't build a strategy they

play00:12

run into one of two problems first off

play00:14

you might have no strategy at all which

play00:16

means you will just be taking random

play00:18

trades meaning some will win some will

play00:20

lose but there's no backing to them and

play00:22

there's no way to build a statistical

play00:24

Edge and this random sporadic trading

play00:26

style is not going to let you win now

play00:28

the other problem might be strategy

play00:30

popping where you find a good strategy

play00:32

you come across it and you trade it for

play00:33

a little bit but then eventually you

play00:35

start running into losses and instead of

play00:37

just working through the losses you just

play00:39

give up on that system entirely move on

play00:41

to another one and repeat the same

play00:42

process jumping from system to system

play00:45

until eventually you get too frustrated

play00:47

and give up so it's a lack of strategy

play00:49

that makes Traders lose and it is only a

play00:52

strong trading strategy that can save

play00:54

you from the downfall that most Traders

play00:56

run into so in this video I'm going to

play00:58

lay out a day trading strategy for you

play01:00

which will be the only system that you

play01:02

need to start generating profits in the

play01:04

market now this system is going to be a

play01:06

purely price action focused system which

play01:09

means we won't be using any indicators

play01:11

and all of our attention and focus will

play01:13

be on the charts charts are the most

play01:15

direct way to look at the markets

play01:17

because they show us exactly what price

play01:19

is doing without any interference we

play01:21

will also be keeping things incredibly

play01:23

simple which means we won't be using any

play01:25

fundamental analysis so no data no

play01:27

politics no economics will come into the

play01:29

picture this is purely chart work now

play01:32

when we're trading we are guaranteed to

play01:34

lose some of the trades we take because

play01:36

we know that we're going to lose a

play01:37

certain portion of the trades that we

play01:39

take the best way that we can maintain

play01:41

profitability long term is to actually

play01:43

make more money on the wins than we lose

play01:45

on our losing trades so that's the

play01:47

approach we're going with in this system

play01:49

you'll see me tie this in when we get

play01:50

into the actual analysis so Simplicity

play01:53

and a strong balance of those profits

play01:55

and losses is what this system is all

play01:57

about let's get to it the first thing

play01:59

you need to be able to do with this

play02:01

strategy because it's price action

play02:02

focused is read the direction of a

play02:04

market now we obviously need to know

play02:06

whether a market is going down or up so

play02:09

that we know whether we should be buying

play02:11

or selling all right so we're going to

play02:13

look at structure from a high and low

play02:16

format we're not going to use trend

play02:18

lines or indicators or anything else

play02:20

what we are looking for simply when

play02:22

we're looking for Trends in a market is

play02:24

is the market making lower lows and

play02:26

lower highs or is the market making

play02:29

higher highs and higher lows if the

play02:31

market is making lower lows and lower

play02:33

highs this is a downtrend and throughout

play02:35

a downtrend we should only be looking to

play02:38

sell but if a market is making higher

play02:41

highs and higher lows like this Market

play02:43

here this is a market where we should

play02:45

only be looking to buy so to show you

play02:48

how to correctly Mark highs and lows in

play02:51

a market we will start from this point

play02:54

now from here we've actually formed a

play02:56

low in the Market at this level so this

play02:58

is going to be our low low then we

play03:01

formed a higher high because the market

play03:03

High here was higher than the previous

play03:05

one now this higher high when this

play03:08

prints actually validates this higher

play03:10

low because until we actually make a new

play03:13

high over this level the market could do

play03:15

whatever it wanted to do within this

play03:17

range and it wouldn't yet be seen as a

play03:19

viable valid structure point for this to

play03:21

become validated as a low we do have to

play03:24

see this new high formed following that

play03:26

then once we formed this High just here

play03:29

at this level we would then see the

play03:31

formation of a higher low but this

play03:34

higher low once again wouldn't be

play03:35

validated until this region when we go

play03:38

to break now once we break into new

play03:40

highs and print the next higher high

play03:43

that validates this higher low as the

play03:45

next significant leg in the trend now as

play03:48

long as the market stays Above This

play03:51

level from this point onwards the market

play03:53

is going to continue to be in an uptrend

play03:56

of course it will form new higher lows

play03:59

in the trend

play04:00

and then the same rule will apply

play04:02

providing the market stays Above This

play04:03

level buys will remain valid okay now

play04:06

eventually the markets will reverse

play04:08

we'll discuss this in just one moment

play04:10

but trending structure and understanding

play04:11

whether we are trending down or up based

play04:14

on the high and low structure of the

play04:16

market is the first and biggest step in

play04:19

this trading system being a price action

play04:21

focused system structure is incredibly

play04:24

important a question you might be asking

play04:26

is why am I viewing the structure like

play04:29

this for example example where I'm

play04:30

seeing these larger movements and why am

play04:32

I not considering each of these tiny

play04:34

little movements that happen within now

play04:36

it would be incredibly valid to say that

play04:39

there are smaller Trends taking place

play04:41

within the larger Trend that we're

play04:42

looking at but in order to keep the

play04:44

market relevant we should remain at one

play04:46

time frame and view structure as larger

play04:49

waves so rather than marking up every

play04:51

single small movement within each

play04:53

trending move we actually just view it

play04:55

as one larger push okay same on the way

play04:58

down there will be bearish Trends happen

play04:59

happening within but we just want to see

play05:01

that as one pullback same again here

play05:04

don't worry about every single intricacy

play05:06

view it as one individual push these

play05:09

price action concepts are what we call

play05:11

fractal Concepts which means they work

play05:13

across all time frames so here for

play05:15

example we're looking at the hourly now

play05:17

with this day trading system you'll see

play05:19

us more so using low time frames like

play05:21

the 10 minute and 5 minute later in the

play05:23

video but the concepts are exactly the

play05:25

same we can view structure on the hourly

play05:27

the same as we can view it on the weekly

play05:29

the same as we could view it on the one

play05:30

minute it really does not matter which

play05:32

time frames we're looking at the price

play05:34

action is going to be the same the

play05:36

concepts that we trade with will be the

play05:37

same market trends will eventually come

play05:40

to an end uptrends and downtrends cannot

play05:42

last forever there will be reversals in

play05:44

the market which we need to understand

play05:46

because if we don't understand reversals

play05:48

we'll be trading on the wrong side of

play05:49

the market and if we do understand

play05:51

reversals we can turn these into trading

play05:53

opportunities so taking a look at the

play05:55

price action from this point onwards

play05:56

we've got a higher high a higher low

play05:59

higher high higher low higher high now

play06:03

you can see at this point just here we

play06:05

broke through the higher low now this

play06:08

would then be a lower low okay so this

play06:11

is a point where we've shifted from

play06:12

higher highs and higher lows into a

play06:15

lower low now following on from a break

play06:17

into a lower low we see a lower high

play06:20

then we see a new lower low we see a

play06:22

lower high and so on and so on and so on

play06:25

okay you're seeing this trend continue

play06:26

through so marking the structure from

play06:28

the high we've got lower low lower high

play06:31

lower low lower high lower low lower

play06:33

high lower low lower high lower low so

play06:36

we were in an uptrend but when we broke

play06:38

the structure into that lower low that

play06:40

kicked off a new downtrend where we then

play06:42

would instead of looking to buy we would

play06:44

be focused on selling all right so this

play06:47

is the core component that you need to

play06:49

understand about the markets it's just

play06:50

this Market Structure Theory we are only

play06:52

going to be buying in a market that is

play06:54

forming higher highs and higher lows we

play06:57

will only be selling in a market that is

play06:59

forming low lower lows and lower highs

play07:00

so that's the theory of Market structure

play07:02

that's the first thing we need to be

play07:04

aware of the foundation of everything

play07:06

we're going to do once we have an idea

play07:08

of the direction the Market's going in

play07:09

whether it's an uptrend or a downtrend

play07:11

the doors are then open to find actual

play07:13

trading opportunities and to do this

play07:15

we're going to use a concept called

play07:17

supply and demand to explain what supply

play07:19

and demand is real quick the markets are

play07:21

driven by a battle between buyers and

play07:23

sellers when there are more people

play07:25

buying than selling the markets will go

play07:27

up when there are more people selling

play07:29

than buying the markets will go down now

play07:31

this generally happens because of demand

play07:33

okay so if demand is high for an asset

play07:36

the market prices will appreciate

play07:38

because people want to buy an asset

play07:39

they'll be willing to pay more for it

play07:41

when demand is low for an asset the

play07:43

markets will go down because prices have

play07:45

to go lower to actually entice people to

play07:47

pay the prices think of it like this if

play07:49

you found a car that you really wanted

play07:51

to buy and it was on the market for

play07:53

$50,000 but the price went up to 55,000

play07:56

you might buy it anyway cuz you really

play07:57

want it now if you did like the car but

play07:59

you weren't massively interested in it

play08:01

and the price was $50,000 you might not

play08:03

want to pay it but if that price goes

play08:05

down to 40,000 or 35,000 maybe you'll be

play08:08

enticed to actually buy the car now okay

play08:10

pretty much the same exact Theory here

play08:11

we're just looking at different assets

play08:13

so when the price is going up in the

play08:14

Euro USD Market that just means that

play08:16

people want Euros for specific

play08:18

macroeconomic reasons so when the demand

play08:21

is high markets will go up when demand

play08:23

is low markets will go down now I've

play08:25

explained that to you so that you can

play08:26

understand the theory behind what I'm

play08:27

about to show you which is supply and

play08:30

demand zones following on from the

play08:32

theory of supply and demand that I just

play08:34

explained I want to show you now how we

play08:36

can translate this over to the charts

play08:38

this comes in the form of zones so we

play08:41

have demand zones and we have Supply

play08:43

zones a demand zone is an area of

play08:46

consolidation which is just an area

play08:47

where the Market's gone sideways before

play08:49

a large upward move a supply zone is the

play08:52

same an area of consolidation before a

play08:55

large downward move demand zones take

play08:57

place in uptrends Supply zones take

play08:59

place in downtrends and the theory is

play09:02

always to buy from demand and sell from

play09:04

Supply now the reason that we see demand

play09:06

zones as a good place to buy from is

play09:08

because if we consider what's happening

play09:10

in this market the Market's going up

play09:12

that means that people want to buy the

play09:14

fact that we saw a large push from this

play09:17

consolidation from this demand Zone

play09:18

shows us that this was seen as a good

play09:20

price to buy from so we can then assume

play09:22

if the market comes back to this level

play09:24

Traders are going to see this as a

play09:26

discounted price to buy from again we'll

play09:28

see a new influx of demand and new

play09:30

buying leading us into new highs so the

play09:33

concept is to wait for pullbacks into

play09:35

demand zones and buy once the market

play09:36

retests them now for Supply we're

play09:39

looking at the opposite in a market

play09:41

that's moving in a downtrend there's an

play09:43

excess of Supply so demand is not strong

play09:45

enough and people who have the asset are

play09:47

going to have to sell it off at a lower

play09:49

price in order to induce people to

play09:51

actually enter the market and encourage

play09:53

people to get on the other side of their

play09:55

trades so in a downtrend a supply zone

play09:57

or a consolidation before a large

play09:59

downward move is going to be seen as a

play10:01

premium price to sell from so if the

play10:03

Market's able to get up to here sellers

play10:06

are going to be happy to sell their

play10:07

assets because they are getting a better

play10:09

price than they would be if they were

play10:10

selling down here this means if we were

play10:13

seeing the market move in a downtrend we

play10:15

would wait for a pullback into a supply

play10:17

Zone and then sell okay so this is the

play10:20

theory of demand and Supply this ties

play10:22

directly in with Market structure and

play10:24

these demand zones and Supply zones are

play10:26

exactly where we're going to be getting

play10:27

into our trades here here's a real

play10:30

example of a demand Zone and how we

play10:32

would plot it on the chart and how we

play10:33

would trade it so to begin with we can

play10:35

see the market here is in an uptrend

play10:38

okay we're forming these higher highs

play10:40

and higher lows so the market is clearly

play10:42

in a phase where we would be looking to

play10:44

buy now from this point onwards if we

play10:46

wanted to buy this Market we would use

play10:49

demand zones to do that to mark on a

play10:51

demand Zone we just need a tool that's

play10:53

going to show us a box I use this

play10:55

rectangle tool and we just want to Mark

play10:56

a consolidation before a large up move

play10:59

so here we see there's been a large up

play11:01

move here we see there was a

play11:02

consolidation so we had a push-up then

play11:04

the market moved sideways that's the

play11:06

consolidation then we have another

play11:07

push-up so it's this area here that's

play11:10

going to be the demand zone now the rule

play11:12

that I like to use to mark my supply and

play11:14

demand zones is the last candle before

play11:16

the impulse so an Impulse is just a prot

play11:19

trend movement in the market like this

play11:21

the last candle before it is just going

play11:22

to be whichever the final consolidation

play11:24

was before we see a push away okay so

play11:26

this one here we have Wix either side

play11:28

it's a indecision candle it's the last

play11:30

candle before the impulse when the

play11:32

market returns into this demand Zone we

play11:34

would then look to buy as we just stated

play11:37

because this is seen as a discounted

play11:39

price we know that buyers are in control

play11:41

of this Market but people might not be

play11:43

happy to buy up here so this demand Zone

play11:45

which is where lots of buying took place

play11:47

before is definitely going to be seen as

play11:49

a good price to buy this asset so once

play11:51

the market returns to this level we

play11:53

would look to buy a simple trade example

play11:56

using this would look just like this we

play11:59

we have our stop loss below the Zone we

play12:01

have our entry on the demand Zone and

play12:03

our Target would then go up towards the

play12:05

highs okay so towards the next higher

play12:07

high the previous higher high that was

play12:09

formed because we know if this Market is

play12:11

uptrending it should continue on through

play12:14

and form a new higher high so targeting

play12:16

the previous high is a very safe way to

play12:18

get into a trade as you can see this

play12:20

trade would have played out for

play12:22

2.77% in profit okay which is obviously

play12:24

a very nice profitable trade to take now

play12:28

moving on to the next move we had a new

play12:30

higher high form which would mean we

play12:32

would once again look for a demand Zone

play12:35

if we use our demand Zone tool just here

play12:37

we can Mark out this kind of last candle

play12:39

before the impulse if we'd have bought

play12:41

here we would have lost the trade okay

play12:43

so let's say we had our stop below we

play12:46

were looking for a trade up to the highs

play12:47

or further we would have lost this

play12:49

position because the market traded into

play12:51

the demand but then just traded all the

play12:52

way through it however this loss would

play12:54

have then been a 1% loss take a look at

play12:57

the buy we just took that's a 2. 77% win

play13:00

so after taking these two trades you're

play13:02

still going to be up

play13:04

1.77% you can see how by weighing the

play13:07

risk reward by winning more on our

play13:09

winning trades than we lose on our

play13:10

losing trades we stay afloat and we

play13:12

balance those profits and losses very

play13:13

well okay now this also leads us on to

play13:15

the next thing which is by forming this

play13:17

lower low we have obviously instigated a

play13:19

market reversal so what we've actually

play13:22

done by forming this low here is take

play13:24

away any opportunity to buy in the

play13:26

future and we've now instead shifted

play13:28

into sell selling okay now if we take a

play13:30

look at the Zone just here we will see

play13:33

we have a clear Supply zone so now that

play13:35

we formed a lower low we would use the

play13:37

supply as our selling area all right so

play13:40

what we would do is place our sell order

play13:42

on the Zone our stop loss above the high

play13:46

and then our Target down into the recent

play13:48

low which would be just about here

play13:52

tackling this low right so now you can

play13:55

see this trade is a 2.97%

play13:59

position now this highlights the

play14:00

importance and the beauty of the risk to

play14:02

reward system that we've developed as

play14:05

I've already discussed I want to make

play14:06

sure that we're winning more on our

play14:08

winning trades than we lose on our

play14:09

losing positions and over those three

play14:11

trades where we had two wins and one

play14:13

loss the total net profit coming out at

play14:15

the end would be

play14:17

4.74% this is because the wins that we

play14:20

take are almost three times bigger than

play14:21

the losses so even if we're losing half

play14:23

the trades we take or even more than

play14:26

half the trades we take we will still be

play14:27

profitable due to the fact that we're

play14:29

making more on our winners than we lose

play14:31

on our losers it's very important

play14:33

element of the system and it's one of

play14:34

the easiest ways that you can get

play14:36

profitable by bringing this in you'll

play14:38

also notice that those three trades that

play14:39

we just took all look very similar they

play14:41

follow the exact same format meaning

play14:43

they're easy to consistently apply to

play14:45

the markets so now the format for our

play14:48

trades is very simple we are looking to

play14:51

find the trending Direction obviously in

play14:53

this instance it's now bearish because

play14:55

we're forming lower lows and lower highs

play14:57

then we want to identify the open Supply

play15:00

zones and we use these Supply zones for

play15:02

our selling entries we put our stops

play15:05

over the high and our targets down into

play15:07

the recent lows and we just look to

play15:09

rinse and repeat this process until the

play15:12

trend turns on us you can see here we

play15:15

get a tap in and on the way through to

play15:17

making a new lower low we get a 3.58%

play15:21

win now we can look for another Supply

play15:24

last candle before the impulse I'm going

play15:26

to be using this one here we want to

play15:28

have selling order on that level we have

play15:31

our targets down into the low and then

play15:35

for our stop loss we always want to make

play15:36

sure our stop loss is clearing any

play15:38

significant highs so we put our stop

play15:40

loss Above This high now this for me

play15:43

this trade is not a high enough risk

play15:44

reward for me to risk money on so I'm

play15:46

generally going to be looking for 2.5%

play15:48

or more for a win just because I don't

play15:51

want to risk $100 to make only 1994 back

play15:54

I want to be looking to make $250 back

play15:56

for every $100 risk okay but this setup

play15:59

is still valid so let's just see how it

play16:01

plays

play16:02

through you'll see we get a win there

play16:04

nice and simple because we're just

play16:05

following the trend it's a very easy way

play16:07

to trade so again we can follow the same

play16:09

process using this last candle before

play16:11

the impulse we can Mark out the swing

play16:14

low and we can set up a new position

play16:16

which is going to be selling from Supply

play16:19

stop above the high targets down into

play16:22

the low you can see that this one

play16:24

actually would have returned a bit more

play16:25

profit but because we didn't put the

play16:26

stop over this high it was stopped out

play16:29

now these Wicks are going to happen

play16:31

sometimes and they will lead you to lose

play16:33

trades but let's just take a look at the

play16:35

performance here we have a 2.97% win we

play16:38

have a 3.58% win we have a potential

play16:41

1.94% win and then this one which could

play16:43

have been a win if I had put my stop a

play16:45

little bit higher would have been a 1%

play16:47

loss for me in reality so even then we

play16:50

are achieving a significant amount of

play16:52

profit we've made over 7% here between

play16:55

three wins and one loss which means we

play16:57

could actually lose three or four TR in

play16:59

a row and we'd still be up enough profit

play17:01

to pay us thousands of dollars when

play17:03

we're trading with funded capital and

play17:04

look eventually the Market's going to

play17:06

reverse on you okay when it does you're

play17:08

going to be stopped out of your trade

play17:09

and you will lose a position but that

play17:12

will just open up the doors to new

play17:13

opportunity where you can start trading

play17:15

the market the other way so for example

play17:17

in this market where we've started to

play17:18

see the market making new highs we could

play17:21

instead now tackle Buys so we could

play17:24

focus on demand zones and we could use

play17:26

our demand Zone entries stop losses

play17:28

below the lows and we could look for

play17:30

trades to the upside okay so we could

play17:32

look to continue the trend to the upside

play17:34

from this

play17:38

point as you can see the trade gets

play17:40

tapped in and we start moving higher

play17:42

because we've shifted the direction now

play17:44

once again so when the Market's in a

play17:46

downtrend we just trade it for as long

play17:48

as we can and take advantage of as many

play17:50

opportunities as possible and when the

play17:52

market shifts back into an uptrend we

play17:54

just look to take advantage of each of

play17:55

the up moves until it once again

play17:57

reverses on us this is not a system that

play18:00

tries to win every single trade because

play18:01

that's not possible anyway this is just

play18:04

a system that you can use to take

play18:05

advantage of trending movements while

play18:07

they occur and by the time the market

play18:09

reverses you will be out with a nice

play18:11

healthy profit every Trader has what we

play18:13

call a risk tolerance and this is a

play18:15

completely personal thing your risk

play18:17

tolerance is how well you can handle

play18:18

taking a losing trade or running through

play18:20

a streak of losses some people are

play18:23

completely unfazed by losses which is

play18:24

great that's the ideal way to trade that

play18:27

way you can follow out the statistical

play18:28

Edge and you don't need to worry about

play18:30

one or two or three losses because you

play18:31

know you're going to make money long

play18:33

term but for other people with lower

play18:35

risk tolerances you might even though

play18:37

you know a system works have a hard time

play18:39

holding out through two or three losing

play18:41

trades in a row so if you want to

play18:43

minimize the losing streaks there is

play18:44

something you can do a little simple tip

play18:47

I'm going to show it you now so if we

play18:48

lead back to this setup that we looked

play18:50

at previously we see the market came

play18:52

into a supply Zone after forming a lower

play18:54

low and then we had a new selloff now if

play18:57

you want to confirm that these offs are

play18:59

indeed very likely to happen you can use

play19:01

what we call low time frame structure

play19:03

confirmation so I actually call this the

play19:06

standard confirmation it's just a

play19:07

completely boring name I gave to it what

play19:09

it is is structural confirmation or a

play19:12

change in the market structure that

play19:13

looks like this so in a downtrend we

play19:16

want to see a market shift from higher

play19:17

highs and higher lows into lower lows

play19:19

and then we look to sell the lower high

play19:22

so in the standard confirmation setup we

play19:24

want to see this happen and then we want

play19:27

to sell from this area here okay now if

play19:31

we consider this is on the 10-minute

play19:33

time frame the trend we're currently

play19:34

looking at and the market structure

play19:36

shifts to the downside or happening on

play19:37

the 10-minute time frame the whole setup

play19:40

the supply Zone everything's formed on

play19:41

the 10-minute time frame so what we

play19:42

would do from this point is once the

play19:44

market approaches the supply Zone we

play19:46

would go down to a lower time frame so

play19:48

for example let's go down to the 2

play19:50

minutes okay now by going down to the

play19:52

two minute time frame we now get a

play19:54

deeper insight into the two-minute Trend

play19:56

the smaller Trend within to Mark out

play19:58

this 2minute Trend we've got a low

play20:00

higher high higher low higher high

play20:02

higher low higher high higher low higher

play20:05

high equal low then we have this higher

play20:07

highight just here from that point we

play20:10

failed to make any new highs and instead

play20:13

we actually came down and broke into new

play20:15

lows okay so this is the change in the

play20:19

trend this is the first indication that

play20:21

we're shifting into lower lows so this

play20:24

is that standard confirmation that we

play20:25

just mentioned right if you remember

play20:27

what we said we want to see see that

play20:29

shift then we want to sell the pullback

play20:31

that's the selling point which in this

play20:33

instance would be the pullback into this

play20:36

Supply so we have a supply Zone just

play20:38

here it's that last candle before the

play20:40

impulse to the downside that would be

play20:42

where we want to sell the market so we

play20:44

would place our selling order on that

play20:46

zone our stop loss would go above the

play20:48

high and then our Target would go down

play20:50

into the low right so that would be our

play20:53

Target now if we allow this trade to

play20:55

play out you'll see we trade back into

play20:57

that Supply then then we get the sell

play20:59

off all the way down to our Target so

play21:01

what we've actually done here is use

play21:03

Market structure to make sure the lower

play21:04

time frame agrees with the higher time

play21:06

frame that 10-minute time frame which in

play21:08

this instance for day trading would be

play21:10

our higher time frame was bearish now

play21:12

we've actually used the two-minute Trend

play21:14

to see that the 2minute time frame has

play21:15

also agreed that it is bearish which

play21:18

means if we sell now we have full

play21:20

agreement across all time frames meaning

play21:22

we have the highest probability setup we

play21:24

essentially use confirmation in the form

play21:26

of low time frame structure to validate

play21:29

the trade and tell us Yep this trade is

play21:31

good to go if you use this format you

play21:33

are going to lose less trades and the

play21:35

trades you do take will be bigger you

play21:36

can see we were actually able to dial

play21:38

the stop loss in because we were trading

play21:40

from confirmed structure so we can put

play21:42

our stop Above This High instead of

play21:44

having to put it all the way above the

play21:45

previous high that means that I believe

play21:47

this was a 3.58% trade before this would

play21:50

now be a 4.76% trade so we make around

play21:53

1.2% more just by following this format

play21:56

however do be warned you have to kind

play21:58

pick your poison here while you will

play22:00

avoid a lot more losses you're also

play22:01

going to take a lot less trades if we

play22:03

consider the example previous to this

play22:05

right we had a trade into this Supply

play22:08

the confirmation didn't happen here so

play22:10

this would be a missed opportunity so

play22:12

the 2.97% you made there that just

play22:14

wouldn't exist you'd have missed that so

play22:16

if you're a Trader with a good mindset

play22:18

and reasonable risk aversion and you

play22:20

don't mind taking losing trades or

play22:22

losing streaks because you know the

play22:23

statistical Advantage will make you

play22:25

money long term then I would just trade

play22:27

with the normal sell limits of on the

play22:28

zones as we mentioned but if you're a

play22:30

Trader who gets a little bit more

play22:31

stressed out about losses and you want

play22:33

to minimize the chance of running into

play22:35

losing trades this is a great way to do

play22:37

that but it will mean that you are going

play22:39

to miss some setups that otherwise you

play22:41

would have caught so in order to win as

play22:43

a Trader we need to have a strategy

play22:45

something we can consistently follow a

play22:47

set of rules and a process that we can

play22:49

apply every single time we come to the

play22:51

charts and all of the trades we take

play22:53

should look similar we should be able to

play22:55

explain the exact Concepts and the exact

play22:58

reasons behind every trade because if

play23:00

our trades come under the confines of a

play23:02

strategy and a system it means they are

play23:04

repeatable which means it's easy to stay

play23:06

consistent and we can use the

play23:08

statistical advantage of winning more on

play23:10

our winners than we lose on our losers

play23:12

to make money long term so some final

play23:14

notice this system is only going to win

play23:17

around 50% of the time sometimes the

play23:19

markets will get into a choppy range and

play23:21

you will be stopped out two three four

play23:23

or five times in a row it only works in

play23:26

trending markets but fortunately the

play23:27

markets do trend quite a lot of the time

play23:29

and when they do multiple opportunities

play23:31

will present themselves as you've just

play23:33

seen so we can take advantage of the

play23:35

markets throughout every step of a trend

play23:37

this strategy along with any other

play23:39

trading strategy will not give you

play23:41

trades every single day sometimes you

play23:43

will be waiting for a few days maybe

play23:45

even a week or two where there are no

play23:47

viable setups for you so I want you to

play23:49

remember that so you don't get impatient

play23:51

because if you do just wait for the

play23:52

setups to form you will make money long

play23:54

term if we think back to the start of

play23:55

this video it's messing up your

play23:57

application of the system jumping from

play23:59

strategy to strategy and all of this

play24:01

other stuff that actually causes you to

play24:03

take the losses and lose control of your

play24:05

trading so I've just given you a crazy

play24:07

amount of information here but there's

play24:09

still a lot more to learn so now you've

play24:11

got two options number one head over to

play24:13

my YouTube channel and start digging

play24:15

into the hundreds of free videos that

play24:17

I've got I teach so many different

play24:19

Market Concepts in incredible detail

play24:21

these videos alone will give you massive

play24:23

amounts of information that you can use

play24:25

to become profitable and number two if

play24:27

you like what you see and you want to go

play24:29

deeper with this you want to get all of

play24:30

my trades my personal priority support

play24:33

daily analysis videos and my full

play24:35

30-hour trading course teaching you

play24:37

everything you need to know about risk

play24:39

management macroeconomics technical

play24:41

analysis trading plans back testing

play24:43

journaling you name it then click the

play24:45

top Link in the description and that

play24:46

will take you through to that you'll be

play24:48

able to see some reviews some results

play24:50

because this stuff really works that's

play24:52

the fastest way to get winning but if

play24:54

you don't want to do that just yet check

play24:55

out this YouTube video this is a great

play24:58

place to go next we'll build upon the

play24:59

foundations of what we've already

play25:01

discussed in this video so I hope you've

play25:03

enjoyed it I hope you put this strategy

play25:04

to the test in the markets thank you for

play25:06

watching and I'll see you in the next

play25:08

one

Rate This
โ˜…
โ˜…
โ˜…
โ˜…
โ˜…

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

Related Tags
Trading StrategyPrice ActionMarket StructureRisk ManagementSupply and DemandTechnical AnalysisDay TradingProfitabilityMarket TrendsTrading Psychology