ICT Forex Scout Sniper Basic Field Guide - Vol. 8
Summary
TLDR本视频是ICT狙击交易系列的第八也是最后一集,名为逃脱与躲避。视频中回顾了整个系列的核心概念,强调了理解市场结构、价格行为和大型资金流向的重要性。通过分析不同时间段的市场行为,如纽约开盘和伦敦闭市,以及结合时间、价格理论和斐波那契工具,交易者可以识别高概率、低风险的交易机会。视频还强调了风险管理的重要性,建议交易者在掌握基础知识和技能后,逐步增加风险敞口,以稳步增长资金。
Takeaways
- 📈 交易计划的总结与回顾:本视频是对之前系列教程的总结,旨在回顾和概述交易者应该从每个单独部分中获得的知识。
- 🕒 学习时间的重要性:强调了花费六个月时间逐步学习每个概念的重要性,以便深入理解每个组件。
- 🌐 市场结构的理解:讲解了如何识别市场在一天中不同时间的行为模式,特别是在纽约时间下午2点至5点以及伦敦交易时段。
- 📊 价格行为的观察:强调了观察和理解价格行为模式的重要性,特别是在特定时间段内重复出现的行为。
- 💡 技术分析的基础:介绍了如何通过观察大型基金和机构交易的动向来理解市场趋势,而不是试图预测价格走势。
- 🔄 市场循环与周期性:讨论了市场在一周内的循环模式,以及如何利用这些模式来识别交易机会。
- 📉 风险管理:强调了风险管理的重要性,包括合理的止损设置和避免过度杠杆。
- 🎯 交易策略的执行:详细说明了如何在不同的时间框架下执行交易策略,从日线到5分钟线。
- 🌟 交易心态的培养:讨论了作为交易者需要培养的耐心和目标导向的心态,以及如何避免在市场上无目的地交易。
- 📌 交易信号的识别:提供了如何识别市场中的交易信号,包括价格突破和关键支撑/阻力位的测试。
- 🚀 交易成功的关键:总结了成功交易的核心要素,包括理解市场结构、价格行为、风险管理以及耐心等待高概率交易机会。
Q & A
这个视频系列的主要目的是什么?
-这个视频系列的主要目的是提供一个总结和概览,帮助观众理解在每个单独剧集中学到的概念,并强调了重复学习和实践的重要性。
为什么讲师强调观众需要花时间学习每个组件?
-讲师强调观众需要花时间学习每个组件,是因为这样可以帮助他们深入理解每个概念,并最终能够将这些组件综合起来,形成自己的交易计划或市场参与过程。
讲师提到了哪些特定的交易时间段?
-讲师提到了几个特定的交易时间段,包括纽约时间下午2点到5点,伦敦交易时段,伦敦闭市时间在GMT 1500到1600之间,以及纽约开市时间在GMT 1200到1400之间。
讲师如何看待基本面分析?
-讲师认为基本面分析是非常重要的,但他自己并不以基本面作为交易的核心原则。他依赖于价格行为来传达那些比他更懂基本面的聪明资金的动向。
讲师如何描述市场中的“聪明钱”?
-讲师将市场中的“聪明钱”描述为大型基金、机构银行和拥有大量资金的交易者,他们能够在市场上留下明显的足迹,并且他们的交易行为能够引起价格的重大变动。
什么是ICT狙击系列技能集?
-ICT狙击系列技能集是讲师在视频中介绍的一套交易技能和策略,包括理解市场结构、识别大型资金流动、利用价格行为信号等,旨在帮助交易者构建自己的交易计划。
讲师为什么建议交易者在市场动态中寻找特定的模式?
-讲师建议交易者在市场动态中寻找特定的模式,是因为这样可以帮助他们识别出大型资金的流动,并在适当的时机进行交易,从而提高交易的成功率和降低风险。
讲师提到了哪些关于风险管理的建议?
-讲师提到了几个关于风险管理的建议,包括使用止损订单、不过度杠杆、在模拟账户中练习直到完全自信、以及始终保持低风险暴露。
讲师如何看待交易中的“街头资金”?
-讲师认为“街头资金”通常是没有计划、缺乏目标导向的交易者,他们在市场中无目的地交易,容易在安静的市场中过度交易,导致损失。
讲师为什么强调在交易中要有耐心?
-讲师强调在交易中要有耐心,因为耐心等待特定的价格行为模式可以帮助交易者避免冲动交易,提高交易的准确性和盈利概率。
Outlines
🎥 课程总结与逃避追击
这是ICT狙击交易系列的第八也是最后一集,本集名为“逃避追击”,主要是对前七集内容的总结和概览。讲师强调了通过六个月的学习,观众应该已经对每个单独的部分有了深入的理解。本集并不打算引入新的技术概念,而是鼓励观众复习和深入理解之前的内容。
💡 市场动态与价格行为
讲师解释了市场是如何通过大型基金的进入和退出来移动的,价格寻求收益,而收益的位置是未来价格行动的催化剂。他强调了价格行为背后的驱动力,并指出作为交易者,我们应该关注价格行为而不是试图预测市场动向。
📈 价格模式与交易策略
讲师讨论了价格模式,特别是大型基金和机构级订单流如何影响市场。他强调了理解这些模式的重要性,并且指出零售交易者无法像大型基金那样推动市场。他还提到了在特定时间窗口内观察到的价格行为的重复模式。
🕒 交易时间与市场活动
讲师详细讨论了不同交易时段的市场活动特点,如伦敦开盘、纽约开盘和伦敦收盘等。他解释了这些时段内价格行为的特定模式,并强调了在这些时段内交易的重要性。
📊 图表分析与交易决策
讲师指导观众如何通过观察图表来识别市场结构和潜在的交易机会。他强调了在每日图表上识别关键支撑和阻力水平的重要性,并讨论了如何结合市场结构和订单流来做出交易决策。
🌐 市场结构与资金流向
讲师继续深入探讨市场结构和资金流向的概念,解释了如何通过识别关键的高点和低点以及市场结构的变化来确定交易方向。他还提到了如何使用指数移动平均线来确定市场的趋势。
📈 交易计划与风险管理
讲师强调了制定交易计划和风险管理的重要性。他建议交易者应该在模拟账户中练习,直到他们能够严格遵守规则和纪律。他还讨论了如何使用斐波那契回撤和扩展来确定入场点和盈利目标。
📊 多时间框架分析
讲师介绍了如何结合多个时间框架来进行市场分析,从每日图表到4小时、1小时、15分钟和5分钟图表。他解释了如何在不同的时间框架上识别和确认交易信号,以及如何利用这些信号来制定交易决策。
🚀 交易执行与心态建设
讲师总结了整个课程的核心概念,并强调了耐心和纪律在交易中的重要性。他鼓励交易者专注于高概率、低风险的交易机会,并建议使用小额风险来追求更大的回报。最后,他提醒交易者,理解和应用这些概念需要时间和实践。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡交易系列
💡逃脱与躲避
💡价格行为
💡时间窗口
💡机构资金
💡市场结构
💡交易计划
💡风险管理
💡交易心理
💡交易策略
Highlights
本系列视频的目的是总结和回顾之前的教学内容,而不是引入新的技术概念。
通过六个月的学习,观众应该对每个单独的部分有了深入的理解。
交易者需要理解每个交易组件,并将其整合成一个交易计划或市场参与过程。
时间对于理解交易概念至关重要,特别是在特定时间段内的价格行为。
市场只有在大资金进出时才会移动,价格寻求收益,收益的位置是未来价格行动的催化剂。
交易者应该等待聪明的资金首先移动价格,而不是试图预测价格走势。
交易者需要理解大型基金和机构级交易对零售账户的影响。
交易者应该在市场动态中寻找特定的模式和行为,而不是无目的地交易。
市场在特定的日子和时间窗口内会有重复的价格行为模式。
交易者应该专注于在市场动态中寻找高概率、低风险的交易机会。
风险管理和资金管理对于交易成功至关重要,不应该过度杠杆或过度交易。
交易者应该使用斐波那契回撤水平来确定交易的入场点和盈利目标。
伦敦开盘和纽约开盘是理想的交易时段,具有独特的特征。
交易者应该在高时间框架的方向上交易,并寻找与高时间框架时间和价格理论相匹配的交易设置。
交易者应该等待市场确认,而不是追逐价格,特别是在市场动态中。
交易者应该在控制风险的前提下,专注于每周至少一次的高概率交易设置。
交易者应该在学习和实践交易时保持耐心,不要急于求成。
通过系统地学习和实践,交易者可以将复杂的交易概念内化并简化其交易过程。
Transcripts
well hello folks this is ICT with the
eighth and final installment in the
scout sniper trading series this
episode's going to be called
escape-and-evasion now what it's going
to be doing essentially is providing you
a summary and an overview of what it is
specifically that you should have
gleaned going through each individual
installment now it's not my aim to
produce additional technical concepts in
this episode in fact what I've done was
I forced you to spend six months if you
do two calculations on your calendars
you'll see that we've spent six months
from the initial installment to now this
one being the last in the series to be
released because what I did was I forced
you to look at the concepts over a
period of time okay you have to have a
sample set of looking at each individual
component that was produced and released
in modular form each episode had its
individual premise in mind for you to
study and utilize in your own exercise
and training so that way allows in the
individual of viewers the time that's
necessary to adopt the understanding
that each component requires once we
understand all the components
collectively ok and intimately on each
component once that's understood then
it's very easy for someone that's a
mentor or a teacher to conceptualize it
into a trading plan or a process of
engaging the market so I guess it's a
long way around saying you need to take
the time to study each individual
component know it intimately understand
why it does what it's doing ok and what
am i referring to well the time of day
theory ok what happens between 2 o'clock
and 5:00 a.m. New York time barricades
are in the London session what do you
typically see what type of price actions
usually you know characteristic of that
time of day the london close between
1500 and 1600 GMT that time window
typically you know produces something
else in turn
of price action that's very generic and
repeats itself over and over again the
New York open okay twelve to fourteen
hundred GMT okay what happens during
that timeframe okay on a daily basis
doing that over a period of time builds
an understanding again intimately on
what each individual component of each
installment that we produced and shared
with you so by having that amount of
time and that exercise oriented approach
to learning hopefully you've done that
if you haven't obviously this episode
will more or less and force you to go
back through it again okay and actually
it's in my intentions really to make you
go through that series one more time and
it's not for YouTube views or statistics
and you need to try to get more views
because that's not my interest if I
could get a handful of really
exceptional traders okay that are
consistently delivering the results that
they aim for that's my goal you know I
don't monetize my videos I'm not trying
to get you know hits or or stats so it's
really the feedback okay that I get a
high off of so it's with really that I'm
hoping that if this video series has
been helpful to you if it's insightful T
is to help you build a foundation to
price action analysis I would love to
have you know some feedback you can
reach me an iced et at the inner circle
trader.com it's really the driving force
behind why I do what I do is I do not
sell courses I do not sell seminars I do
not sell books I do not sell any
information whatsoever I do this because
of you know just a sheer passion and
sharing it I'm successful in my own
right so by sharing it certainly not to
take anything from me but I certainly do
enjoy and really get invigorated by the
the feedback of new developing traders
or folks that have been trading for a
long period of time they come on to the
ICT concepts and it really gives a super
charge to their understanding in price
action and hopefully the results are you
know positive so let's get on to this
presentation okay so what was it we're
gonna be looking at in this presentation
we're gonna covering well we're gonna be
reviewing the series okay and basically
going over what it is specifically that
you as the viewer okay should have
gleaned now we're going to be looking
specifically at the ICT sniper series
skill set we have to understand that you
know going through this video series
we've learned that the market moves only
by means of large funds entering and
exiting price seeks yield so where
yields are and where yields are moving
towards that is going to be a catalyst
for where future price action will ensue
okay so you have to understand that
price in itself isn't just simply moving
around you know aimlessly there is a
driving force fundamentally okay driving
force behind price action we cannot
always discern what that is okay there
are fundamental traders that I
admittedly they may be very very astute
in terms of the fundamentals but me as a
trader I simply can't grasp fundamentals
as a central tenant to my trading so I
rely on price acting to convey those
that are smarter than me in that realm
okay because large funds and and banks
are more in tune with the fundamentals
and the drivers behind
currency exchange I allow them to you
pretty much leave their footprint in the
sand and then if they're doing something
specific I'm gonna be looking to follow
suit okay so it removes all the
necessity of being a genius and we do
not look to predict price moves okay we
would rather wait for smart money to
move price initially now this is going
to help you hone the skill of patience
and if you understand what that front
print looks like and we talked about
that in several examples in the series
it allows you to simply wait for that if
you will roadsign okay because most
individuals sit in front of the charts
and you have really have no idea what it
is they're specifically looking for but
hopefully with this series we have
zeroed in on what specifically you're
looking for
that initial move that quick sudden move
away from a particular price level that
indicates fundamental flows being driven
by institutional level trading okay
retail trading cannot move the market we
are just little fleas on the big dogs
okay so if the dogs running okay
hopefully we're on for the ride
and bottom line is we can just take a
little bite here and there but
ultimately we can't make the weight so
we just ride them now the typical
business model and trading is simply
understanding that there's a generic
price action theory that unfolds on a
daily basis that goes over and over and
over again between London to New York
and London close okay there's a small
little pocket of action that goes on in
Asia but we didn't spend any time of any
significance really in that but I do
have a video dealing specifically with
Asian trading so if you look at that on
my youtube channel you can certainly
glean what it is that's useful for that
that time window or kill zone but
specifically moves repeat in specific
times of day and specific days of the
week and that phenomenon again is very
generic it's not attributed to any one
author it's not attributed to any one
specific you know source it's just a
generic observation that I've made over
the years and gleaning certain things
from Larry Williams in trading day of
the week understanding with his bond and
as a P trading really gave me the
insight to hey look you know what he's
right you know because he mentioned in
his teachings that you know humans by
far and large were really good starters
okay but we really suck really at you
know finishing okay and we spent a lot
of time throughout the week
okay trying to chase money but as we get
closer to Friday when the markets are
closing our interest really wins and we
anticipate the weekend so we spend the
most time of our weekend studying
looking at fundamental data price charts
and we're all in a hurry to get ready to
do something new for the new week and
that's why typically the weekly higher
lows formed in the first couple days of
the week
in the weekly range unfolds with that in
mind so we learned that there's a
specific generic business model that
takes place and we understand how market
makers deal with in that overall price
model long term higher timeframe charts
illustrate to the direction of smart
money now a smart money again we've
identified as the large funds the
institutional banks the traders that
have huge huge accounts and a large
supplies of money to really caused these
major shifts in price week as traders
week and retail level we cannot cause
these major price spikes okay it was
just simply not enough of us but when we
have higher level entities okay to have
really deep pockets when they do
exchange transactions in the marketplace
they can't hide that okay so there's a
very very telling footprint okay left in
the charts if you understand what it is
you're looking for
it really tips the cards and lets you
know what it is they're doing smart
money or large funds are not scalpers
okay they require and produce sustained
moves so that's that was hopefully one
of the main paradigm shifts that you you
encountered with this series because
you're gonna need the understanding of
waiting for specific price action okay
to unfold before you take action on your
retail account because if you're a
scalper and you don't understand the
concepts of how large funds and order
flows directly impact you as a trader
even as a scalper you will fail okay you
have time to have them you have to
understanding that you know price has to
move by a larger entity and without that
institutional quote-unquote sponsorships
I like to refer to as in price moves
you're simply going to not see the
advancements in price that you hope to
make even as a scalper so we we did a
very
in death study of smart money and large
funds and institutional level order
flows so when you see that type of thing
unfolding in your charts you know that's
a green light go you need to start
following that market okay now trading
in environments where institutional
flows move price will as a direct result
make your equity rise because you know
that the market is predisposed to move
on a grand scale not miners static
little short-term blips and in this
static price action that's not how you
want to be trading even in any other
asset class not just simply in FX you
have to have that environment where
things are moving okay as traders we
need price movement if if price is
stagnant there's a reason for that and
we're gonna talk more about that as we
go quiet markets are quiet for
fundamental reasons specifically dead
money or Street money invariably trade
during these times because they need to
be doing something because they have no
plan they're like a dog in a meat market
they're nibbling on this and nibbling on
that we as specifically detail-oriented
traders okay very patient very
goal-oriented okay we are we are trained
to look for specific things in the
market place we don't simply go in there
because we have time to sit in front of
the computers to do some trading we are
looking for something specifically in
the price charts before we even
contemplate putting on a trade okay and
that's the divider between the stupid
street money okay or the neophyte rookie
traders that just because they read some
website ok claiming to give you the
introductory course on price and forex
that will not equate to success because
there's a whole lot of other things that
have to go on that the majority of
teaching and resources on the internet
simply do not have the understanding or
the you know the responsible nature and
we've been revealing it to you ok so
just simply because it's
and you think it's safe and you your
stop-loss OBC because I hasn't been
moving around that much think about it
as a new trader when you first got
involved fast markets are scary right
why that's what you want is a trader
okay you're in control of the risk
you're in control of the leverage so a
fast market can be tamed with your
leverage okay but quiet markets are
basically they're just graveyards
waiting for you to begin to bury
yourself in because you'll over trade
them because even if it's a small stop
that you think you're safe by
implementing small stops still get
tripped if you're wrong in 90% of the
time new traders have no idea what
you're doing and this static price
action alone will come down and tag you
out but you are a new trader you're
going to over trade a quiet market
because you need to give that money back
and the cycle repeats and we talked
about that type of thing in this series
you require the professional trader
volatility and volatility is the
tell-tale sign that's someone with more
money than you is moving the market and
it's time to start paying attention to
that particular asset class okay price
moves typically in an overall weekly
direction okay and you want to be
trading in that direction whether your
short term day trading or if you're
looking like we teach in this series
here one shot one kill
one weekly setup per week to build
discipline to build you skill set
development and understanding how the
institutional and large order flows move
the market and you can sit on your hands
and wait for really these cherry setups
where you just simply are just not
you're not interested in all the little
tiny minor moves you just want something
that's really locked for a high
probability low-risk opportunity dynamic
and/or explosive moves result from
higher time frame analysis and time and
price theory by coupling the higher time
frame analysis concepts and time and
price Theory kill zones train day the
weak premise you will have the
ingredients for a very very dynamic
price action based model of trading
entering what markets move opposite to
your intended trade is optimal that's
the premise behind the ICT optimal trade
entering the OTE forces you to trade in
the opposite direction of where you
intend to profit from okay your selling
during a rally you're buying during a
decline that's how that price pattern
works because you are doing that you
will overcome the dealer spread much
more quickly and you'll be closer to
your stop versus waiting for the market
to move we're looking for what you think
is confirmation but it's moving farther
away from where your intended stop loss
placement should be thereby requiring
you to take on more risk
okay then necessary so we've learned
that with a paradigm shift of looking at
how the markets are ideally and
optimally traded when it's moving away
from your intended trade direction and
it takes some skill set exercises that
require you to be in the market looking
at how price moves on a lower timeframe
because it gives you several
opportunities a couple times a day where
you can do these types of skill set
exercises and see what it's like when
you be buying when it's a bearish candle
okay when's a bull face bears candle it
takes some reverse thinking okay because
it looks like it's kind of continued to
go lower and that's exactly what the
myopic retail traders think and those
that continuously lose their shirt you
have learned how to think differently
your mindset has now been plugged in to
how smart money operates because they
have to buy when prices go down and they
sell when prices are going up market
makers generally price markets higher to
sell into the rally we understand that
that's the market maker sell model by
having that template in mind we can
understand that when price rallies okay
and goes into a resistance level the
price model okay
generically speaking if you will will
generally unfold as that graphic that I
shared in the series a Kay depicts okay
and the same thing is said for a market
maker by model
market makers will generally price
markets lower to buy into that drop so
it gets back to the fundamental premise
that we do not we don't chase price okay
we understand where price may be trying
to get to and when it gets to specific
price levels then in and then it only is
when we stock setups and price patterns
to facilitate or execute a trade entry
we don't care if prices explosively
moved 150 pips and our setup has moved
okay outside the parameters of potential
entry and price takes off and goes and
leaves us behind we do not care about
that because we understand that the
premise that we used to trading repeats
over and over and over again we don't
have to force ourselves into a trade and
we don't have to chase it and jump on
board after it's done moves 40 pips
there's no there's no there's no need
for that okay and hopefully this series
has produced that mindset in you because
if you're chasing price you're looking
through your count away very very
quickly now significant price moves are
typically seen immediately after stops
are rated now we've given you exercises
to look for where clean levels are on
your chart if you see several times
where the short-term highs have made
rallies up to a specific price level but
neither one made of any significant
sweep above the previous high that is an
indication that the levels to clean and
folks that are trading that market they
may sell into those highs okay and their
stop-loss orders would be just above
those particular highs when you see that
phenomenon and same thing said for equal
lows okay or double bottom lows I don't
like double bottoms because to me
they're just classic scenarios for folks
to put their stops bolete beneath it and
then what'll happen is you'll get a
turtle soup okay or a similar pattern
like that where it will barely go down
spike through it rate it and then very
dramatically and dynamically run the
other way okay and when you see that
happen if you don't take action during
the raid itself okay if you're not
student off to know how to trade those
raids then you can simply wait for them
to unfold and then wait for the order
block to be retested after that initial
move up because it's going to be the
same thing that we look as a classic
price rally we wait for the pullback and
then we buy into it I mean same things
said for a selling scenario now
Fibonacci can be used in trade execution
and we use it for stop placement and
target setting okay and using the skill
set exercises that we released in this
series there's nothing outside of that
that I do with Fibonacci that is
necessity or necessary rather that you
need to do with Fibonacci to make it any
more complicated than this you're
looking to find a pullback between the
69 and 79 percent retracement levels and
hopefully that is an overlay of an order
block within a higher time frame
directional premise and it's simply that
you just wait for that to unfold and you
use your swing projections and your
mortgage structure to define highs and
lows that you would look for extensions
in your Fibonacci for price objectives
okay now London open and New York open
are ideal day trade sessions with unique
traits typically we learned that the
long open has specific characteristics
that's inherently directly related to
the higher low of the daily range and
the New York open typically has a
specific characteristic that is in
relationship to what takes place during
the long and open and by specifically
trading those time windows or ICT kill
zones you have the highest probability
to trade when specific market turning
points take place now the majority of
the daily range highs and or lows form
in specific time windows or what I
commonly refer to as icy tilt ICT kill
zones
it's not enough simply because you have
the free time to sit from the charts you
expect price to move you have to be on
board and plugged in when the the
players are you know on the on the
playing field if the banks are not
looking to do anything transactionally
the markets are not going to be moving
and we've identified where they
generally like to cluster in terms of
volatility we see a volatility injection
and London open a volatility injection
during to New York open and a volatility
injection at the London close and very
very minor little movements in Asia okay
and we look for weekly set up stead of
line with higher timeframe time and
price at key support means less
resistance levels so we understand how
to look at higher time frames for
resistance we understand how to break
down the directional bias on the higher
time frame daily and for our we
understand how to look at specific times
of the day in specific days of the week
we understand by blending all those
things
that's what facilitates or defines a
high probability low-risk trade
lastly trade with controlled risk
management and equity management always
it's not enough by having sound
principle oriented trading concepts it's
not enough if you over leveraged or if
you over trade you will blow your
account okay so it's important that you
work within a demo account setting until
you're absolutely 100% confident with
your ability to stick to within a realm
of rules and discipline oriented trading
only then when you decide I can't define
it for you I'm not suggesting that you
should start trading live money until
you yourself have assumed a
responsibility you've assumed the
understanding that's necessary for you
as a trader emotional psychologically
before you place a single penny at risk
in the market place you need to define
yourself as a trader what specifically
you're going to be doing okay and then
when you understand that even then still
keep your risk exposure very very low
okay what analysis and process is used
to study the daily chart okay we're
gonna be looking at the Mac review one
large funds and order flows now the ICT
daily chart time frame checklist is now
this is what you're doing okay when you
first sit down your your chart and you
first begin your analysis on a
particular payer asset class if you will
you have your daily chart opened up okay
what is it that you're supposed to be
doing well our concepts that we shared
in this video series
okay teach us that the very first thing
is that we look to see where yields are
okay because the market seeks yield and
where yields are supplied thereto is
where price will draw to okay and we
understand that the 10-year German and
the 10-year USD bond yields are useful
you can look at the European UK rather
10-year bond yield as well and when you
start seeing these divergence as we
discussed okay
that's usually a telling sign that we're
going to be seeing a shift but if you
are familiar with the futures market you
could look at the ten-year T note okay
and whatever the T no price is doing
just that's going to be the opposite
what yields are doing so if t knots are
going up yields are going down and if T
notes are going down in the futures
price that means yields are going up
okay and yields that go up well
generally oh no no higher time frame
basis will generally pull price up in
the currency market okay so it's always
chasing your yield the yield itself is
the directional premise you follow where
the yield is okay or if you want to use
the futures market it's gonna be the
opposite with the T note you're doing
okay now seasonal tendency these are
something that I consider but they are
not a panacea they're not a be all end
all and there's no guarantee now I use
them as I suggested in this video series
they're more like a roadmap and if I was
ask you you know in the states we
have you know pretty routine seasonal
influences we understand when the snow
is most likely to occur what months of
the year we understand when it's gonna
be hot we understand when it's gonna be
cool we understand when there's going to
be a lurchy season okay
seasonal tendencies are valuable because
we can look at when the large
significant price moves are most likely
to occur specifically during certain
months of the year I would counsel you
to utilize the seasonal tendency in that
capacity first until you grow in your
understanding of how the seasonal
tendency chart really communicates
what's going on it's not simply looking
at the lowest low and the seasonal
tending to start and say okay well the
market makes a low in this chart between
this month and that months therefore I'm
only to be looking to be buying then no
you have to have some other technical
you know characteristics behind the idea
not just simply doing because a seasonal
tendency suggest that it's gonna make a
lower high okay we're really more
inclined to following when there's a
large price swing that usually moves in
one direction or the other that's really
the basis for how I use seasonal
tendencies okay we look on a daily chart
for obvious key support resistance
levels now we note these with at least
two to three years of data on our screen
okay by having that that amount of data
on your chart it really will remove the
necessity of having your weekly chart
analysis done okay but it will at least
give you the higher level support
resistance levels that may be outside
the scope of most myopic you neophyte
traders that simply don't look beyond
into the last couple weeks okay now do
not discount the levels acquired on the
study of weekly and monthly charts okay
because these two are odds builders they
have the the impact okay of creating
very very dynamic reversals okay and if
you ignore them okay you really
handicapping yourself so while I didn't
spend a whole lot of time in this series
doing that it would be very foolish of
me not to at least include it as
jes tchen that you should be looking at
the monthly weekly charts periodically
not a whole lot just once in a while
just take a gander and you'll and you'll
hopefully see you're within a range that
you know facilitates you know sound
trading with the daily chart and lower
timeframes in mind okay on the daily
chart we try to determine the current
market structure okay are we in a
bullish market structure or a bearish
market structure have we just
encountered a market structure shift
okay it has a specific key hide and
taken out so now we would be looking for
a buy model to unfold or is it a swing
low of any importance its unfolded where
we now look for bearish markets moves
and sell model to unfold
okay and what price swing are we trading
in is it a long term price swing as well
and Mia turn swing or is a short term
swing okay these are things that you
have to discern that overly build upon
the type of trade that you're going to
be hunting what our large funds doing
and where is the order flow suggesting
prices trading up or down basically it's
like market structure or you know order
flow where if we take out specific highs
and lows again in conjunction with
market structure as a whole if we see
flows are bullish okay we need to be
starting to look for our tools to
suggest and support the notion that the
higher prices are in order and vice
versa for you know selling scenarios
overlaying the nine exponential moving
average and 18 exponential moving
average okay for the buy and sell models
is very useful for directional bias it's
one of the reoccurring themes I get an
email all the time you know how do I
know if the markets going to go up I
don't know if it's gonna go down well
first I'll tell you now like I tell
everybody an email I don't know for
certain it's always going to be up or
down I just have a odds of knowing over
a period of time I'm more often right
than I'm wrong in terms of directional
premise and that's all you need in
trading but to mathematically define how
you as a neophyte trader can classically
determine a bullish or bearish market
okay just by looking at the nine and
eight
we'll give you a very very good tool for
looking for weekly setups when a9
exponential moving average is greater
than the expansion moving average that
means the nine is above the 18 we look
to focus simply on taking long trades
okay we're only trying to buy that
market when a nine exponential moving
average is less than the exiting
exponential moving average or in other
words the nine is below the 18 we focus
on shorts only okay we highlight key
swing lows and swing highs now by having
that we we have to note the high to low
to open the close on each of the three
bars that comprise a swing high and
swing low because those specific levels
are going to be very very sensitive now
if you spend a lot of time looking at
price charts okay on a daily chart do
some exercises indicate the further you
build your understanding of how the
high-low open and close prices are
sensitive because when price goes back
to those levels eventually at a later
time you'll see many times that that's
exactly where price patterns will form
and they'll happen to occur
during an ICT kill zone identify major
reaction levels where price obviously
and strongly moves away from particular
level okay that's the footprint we're
looking for when we see that we know
Winston
we have institutional sponsorship so we
have the first pullback that's what we
buy or if it's declined the first rally
up okay that's when we look to sell in
to highlight potential order blocks
where price will possibly react in
similar fashion now I'm not going to
revisit order blocks because I did it
exhaustively in this series so if you
understand that concept of how I
determine where institutional order
blocks are you'll know what I mean by
this okay and I'm going to take a moment
here to to amplify what we're doing
because this may look like an
oversimplification so far in this video
but I really want you to understand
there was a whole lot of information
delivered to you over seven individual
videos I'm not going to build up each
piece of this with examples because you
already have that understanding in the
video itself so you have to take that
information and build it upon this
checklist okay and amplify your
understanding what's necessary
now all levels and order blocks are
carried over to the lower for hour and
16 min and lesser timeframes okay what
analysis and process is used on the
study of the 4-hour chart now the
intermediate view on large funds and
order flows it's the ICT 4-hour chart
time frame checklist
okay now the daily analysis is kept in
focus here occasionally because we're
down on a 4-hour chart does not mean we
simply toss away the analysis and the
premise that's arrived at looking at the
daily chart and we hold on to this bias
ok derived on the daily chart as our
foundational basis for trade ideas while
the daily analysis is in a by model we
look for key support levels to stock
setups on and conversely while the daily
analysis is in a sell mode we look for
key resistance levels to stock setups on
majority of stop orders are discernible
on this timeframe look for rating
candidates because they're going to
provide you the quiddity and where
there's liquidity pools there's going to
be very discerning clear highs and lows
that if taken out and it would still
keep the overall price structure you
need a bullish or bearish but you got to
ask yourself always you know where's the
guys that are profiting right now where
are they
placing their stop-loss order because
before the next significant price move
happens invariably that levels rated and
tested and then quickly seeing price
reject and go the other way
define for our order flow and couple
this with market structure
what I mean by that okay well we look at
the for our trend okay we look at key
highs and lows if a specific short-term
high is taken out on a four-hour chart
once that's taken out our overflow a
market flow has changed to bullish okay
and we're gonna be looking for that to
be in alignment with the higher time
frame daily ideally the same thing would
be seen on the daily chart in other
words if we have a short-term high taken
out on a daily chart order flow is now
bullish so if you're looking at the four
hour time frame when the for our market
flow and/or order flow changes to
bullishness we have both in agreement
okay that's simply not enough you have
to have that coupled with market
structure are we having a entering a
term a long term or short term low or
high forming and where are we at in
terms of price swings okay by blending
all those components together okay
you'll find that you're buying a support
when the daily trend or bias is up and
conversely the same thing could be said
in Reverse when it for our order flow is
coupled with the market structure okay
you're gonna be selling resistance when
the daily is down look for reaction
levels within the daily directional
premise or bias that means your for our
charts gonna see quick sudden rallies or
declines okay
ideally those moves will be in the same
direction that you have arrived at for a
bias on your daily chart if it's not you
don't trade it that's not your trade
okay so we're filtering out a specific
side of the marketplace that we want to
be you know executing our trades on yes
you're gonna miss trades I'm promising
you that you're gonna miss trades I'm
promising you you're gonna miss
explosive dynamic moves that are
counter-trend
who cares you want to be consistently
taking one solid setup per week
profiting moving to the sidelines and
waiting for the next setup order blocks
can be fine-tuned on this period and
more precise levels at or near
institutional level
so in other words by taking your your
80s your 20s your 50s and your full
figures those levels will be very close
if many if not many times these
precision levels that you will see these
formations and price patterns take place
if in doubt on the daily chart the
4-hour chart can be used as the guiding
light on directional bias all for our
analysis is carried out and over 2 to
60-minute chart and or lower timeframes
okay what analysis and process is used
on a study of the 60-minute chart now
this is a short-term view on large funds
and/or order flows the ICT 60 minute
chart time frame checklist is as follows
the daily analysis is still kept in
focus here and again we are still
holding on to this as our basis and
foundational basis for trade ideas the
daily analysis could be mixed so consult
the for our perspective if that's the
case ideally daily in four hours should
agree the order blocks on both daily and
four-hour will produce the highest
probability setups so it's important
that you focus there first the reaction
levels seen on the 60 minute chart will
permit fine-tune entry with the
utilization of order blocks and those
order blocks will be selected based on
the same premise that you find on the
4-hour and daily a sudden quick
advancement in price or decline in price
then a return to the point of origin
viewing the weekly perspective on a 60
minute basis will provide a good vantage
point for swings now when you're looking
at a weekly section of price action okay
it's very easily studied with a 60
minute time frame if not a 60 minute a
15 minute is
is good as any but for now sticking to
the three hard timeframe if you look at
your weekly basis overall perspective
rather well in price action other words
looking at two to three weeks worth of
data one a one-hour chart is is ideal
gives you a good vantage point for
understanding where prices are swinging
and and retracing back into that way you
can find what range you're trading
within look for logical levels where
retail traders and funds would possibly
have their stops resting near again
looking for possible liquidity pools
before the next significant price
advancement or decline use market
structure concepts and fibs to stock
possible confluences where setups will
form again you're down to your lower
other three higher timeframe
perspectives by utilizing your fibs on
this particular price chart we'll give
you a very dynamic risk to reward ratio
okay your risk will be very low many
times ideally you want to be hunting one
two three risk the reward okay so don't
you remain hoping to make it as much as
three times what you're risking the day
of the week theory is a rough idea where
the weekly high or low is likely to form
so by implementing that idea with
studying the 60-minute chart with a two
to three week vantage point in terms of
how much data you have on your chart
that will give you a very good basis to
work within if we are bullish and
hunting a weekly long set up typically
Monday to wednesday typically the weekly
low is established if we are bearish and
hunting and weekly short set up monday
to wednesday typically the weekly high
is established we are not looking to
trade every day we're looking for one
solid set up per week consistently that
should be your goal you can trade
intraday day trades in the same
directional premises we've arrived at on
the daily and for
do not use the 60-minute without at
least referring to the four-hour and
ideally with the daily as well okay but
if you are a day trader and you're using
this course of understanding in price
action as your beginning point or
foundational study and you simply want
to be a day trader and aren't limiting
yourself to just taking one set up per
week if you're trading in the
directional premise that's arrived at by
using these concepts you can still do
you day trading but still focusing on
that one side of the marketplace either
being a buyer or seller based on daily
and for our all daily and for hour and
60-minute analysis is carried over to
the 15 and or five-minute time frames
okay what analysis and processes use the
study of the 15 and five-minute chart
okay this is the execution view on large
funds and/or order flows and the ICT 15
over 50 I'm sorry 15 or 5 minute chart
time frame checklist the daily for hour
and 60-minute perspective is maintained
even while studying price action on the
lower timeframe 15 or 5 minutes charts
have the days separated with vertical
lines to highlight possible day of the
week theory again if we're looking for
the weekly higher load of form it's
going to generally happen between Monday
Tuesday or Wednesday and there's more
detail as to when it's more specifically
expected to happen in the video series
if you go through the material but for
now we can generalize it by saying
Monday to wednesday the weekly high or
low is formed so that way you can trade
the rest of the week in that directional
bias note the asian range high and low
each day 5 GMT is the end of the asian
range parameter so what happens after 5
GMT which is essentially 12:00 midnight
New York time my time that's where I
classify the new day now one could argue
again like I mention
in the video course that the new day
starts in Wellington and I'll leave that
up to you to decide but for now if you
want to look at the market the way I'm
looking at the market I consider
midnight the new day and what happens
after that price point as many times
many more valuable in terms of what
takes place prior to that look for the
daily highs to form in cell models
between 7:00 GMT and 10:00 GMT this is
typically the London session London
invariably has a high probable
likelihood if you will of forming the
daily candles high or low okay and if we
formulated the trading bias to be
bearish okay we could be hunting the
daily candles high to form between a
specific time window and generally
that's 7 GMT to 10 GMT or the London
session and consciously if you look at
the daily lows you could find them
forming in by models between 7:00 GMT
and 10:00 GMT now typically the daily
high or low is formed on a sharp counter
trend direction on that day in other
words it's the Judas swing it's a false
move initially to fake everyone out and
then quickly rejects and goes the other
way okay we stock the setups by
combining time and price theory we hunt
inside time windows and within large
order blocks found on the 60 minute for
our and daily time frames opposite daily
high or low is formed inside the 15 GMT
216 GMT hours London close what am i
mean by that that means that if the high
is formed in London the low and the
candle for that day is generally made
during the 1500 GMT to 1600 GMT if the
the reverse is made in London okay
the opposite
spectrum of the daily candle range
higher low is formed obviously during
London close so I guess one could easily
say that the higher lows formed in
London open and during London close the
higher lows formed conversely when time
and price Theory overlap trading
patterns will form and that could be in
the form of an optimal trade entry
harmonic pay trading patterns and even
simple diversions okay so having this on
this understanding will facilitate a
whole nother level of trading for you in
that way you can identify very very high
probability low risk trade scenarios
where price action alone as the catalyst
is already predisposed to move in that
direction use fibs and swing projections
to determine possible price objectives
to form risk to reward ratios use fibs
to fine-tune entry points inside order
blocks with London and New York ICT kill
zones if the London setup is missed or
you were incorrect and stopped out you
can use 12:00 GMT the 14 GMT do New York
open session now most of the time New
York open is a continuation set up on
the heels of what London's action
already placed in so in other words if
London posted the daily high and it's
been going lower many times the New York
open session will be a retracement
within the range formed for the daily
candle at that point from the high May
in London to now continuation going into
the London clothes completing the daily
candles price action now you'll want to
avoid the New York open setups if daily
swings are maturing into key support
resistance New York open could produce
reversals
all trades should be limited to one
percent risk of total account balance
ideally while learning 0.25 in other
words one-quarter of 1% to 1/2 of 1%
risk should be the beginning traders
parameter so for maximum risk exposure
as you get more consistent obviously you
can move towards 1% risk but I would
certainly advise you not to go above 2%
even though it's commonly driven down
our throats that 2% is the industry
standard most professionals do not trade
with 2% if a loss has taken reduced risk
and leverage in half until the loss is
recouped it's slow and steady that's
what wins the race ok so even though one
could argue it's going to take you
longer to recoup the loss if you have
less risk exposure but I'm going to
counsel you to go back to how we are
looking at trades if we're looking with
for trades that have three-to-one payout
in other words we're making is many
times three or more times what we've
risk it doesn't take very long to recoup
the loss okay
so theoretically one could argue the
thought process of that it's going to
take you longer that doesn't hold water
okay and if you put it too if you put
these concepts to task you'll see what I
mean it's it's so much more understood
obviously by applying it and seeing it
in action even in a demo account setting
which is what I advise you to do anyway
do not rush the patterns wait for the
setups and the time of day for the
highest possible odds do not feel rushed
you don't need to rush simply because
you have time that be sitting in from
computers does not equate to profitable
trading so it's really important I
hammer that in your head focus on 16
minute reaction levels for ideal risk to
reward ratios again many times 1 2 3 or
better in other words you want at least
three times what you hope to absorb as a
not hope too but if you're willing to
take a loss in other words if you take a
loss of 20
okay you're looking for ideal trades at
least 60 pips or more okay so the set up
that you're trading do the parameters
that outline that trade idea the the
risk is defined to 20 pips ideally you
want 60 pips or more in terms of profit
potential okay so if you stay in that
realm you'll you'll be very very
effective in terms of long term trading
you only need to be about 70% of the
time you know to be wildly profitable
wildly profitable but if you trade with
three to one
you could be far less accurate in terms
of your trading and still be profitable
and that's really where you want to
start as a trader if you have no
foundation in the daily or four hour
time frames you have absolutely zero
reason to be this late in this stage of
analysis don't even look at a 15-minute
timeframe don't look at a 5 minute chart
because what you're gonna do is you're
gonna talk yourself into a trade that
may or may not have its foundation or
premise built upon the higher time frame
daily in four-hour and one-hour charts
stay patient and stay focused results
will manifest and absolutely surprise
you now hopefully this course has been
insightful to you and it's been crammed
with a lot of price action analysis
concepts that are unique to me but there
are many in the world of naysayers okay
that have watched some of my material or
if not all of my material and walked
away thinking well he has too many
moving parts okay and there's too many
things for his concepts to be applicable
and again I'm revisiting that because I
want to close with the premise in mind
that think about the the concept of
writing a bike okay when you're a child
and you watch someone maybe was your
older brother or sister riding the
bicycle okay you aspired to do that very
thing and perhaps that person that you
were aspiring to ride like okay was able
to do a wheelie in other words he could
ride on his rear rear wheel okay or when
I was growing up we were
like the years of BMX bicycling and
trick you know trick riding where you
could sit on the handlebars and ride
backwards on the bike and that's
advanced level riding okay you can't do
the things that those types of riders
okay perform until you get past the
training wheels but before you even get
to the training list you got to be able
to get on the bike and mount yourself
and stay on it before you can even start
pedaling there's stages of development
okay now obviously if you were to break
down each component from the the
grandest scale of being proficient at
riding a bicycle to the minut detail of
simply beginning the origin of aspiring
to want to ride the bicycle okay
anything and everything could be made
very daunting with a immeasurable level
of explanation but this in terms of
trading in speculation is so dangerous
to a trader with no real understanding
it's important that you have as much
understanding general knowledge before
you put your money at risk okay and I
think if you studied this information
and you had traded prior to
understanding these things you would
feel a little foolish on your part did
you
you're probably questioning why you were
trading before you understood these
types of things and that's good that you
identify that but my main point here is
while it takes a large amount of time
and effort on my part and yours to
discern the general approach and
concepts and core tenants to how I view
an analysis the overall summary of these
things okay are very condensed and even
this summer here once you understand
specifically what it is it's expected of
you as a trader you could take this
entire summary and place it in a form of
simple text that will fit on a business
card okay you basically
this is a summarized view of what it is
you should have gleaned from this course
but ultimately it's this if the daily
chart suggests it's going to go up and
the 4-hour is in agreement that it's
going to go up use the one-hour chart to
set up a time frame set up that allows
at least 3 to 1 risk to reward okay so
to summarize that would be simply this
look at an hourly chart by when the
daily and four-hour suggests it's it's
likely to go higher
use your fibs the full pull an optimal
trade entry pattern where it overlaps
with an order block you use a previous
high as your first objective to exit
with profit and then use Fibonacci
extensions to take your additional
profits look to be buying on a Monday
Tuesday or Wednesday when it's bullish
ok and diverse reverses said for sells
you tying your entries during London in
New York risk only 1% or 1/4 percent or
1/2 percent based on your understanding
so it's either if you're brand new at
this it's one quarter of 1% even in a
demo account don't think just cuz it's
not real money you know you're not gonna
you learn anything you're gonna learn a
whole lot or as much as a half of 1% but
certainly no more than 1% because it's
important that you develop the idea of
growing your money steadily but not
exponentially quick ok that can come at
a later time when you understand a lot
more about yourself as a trader not in
the beginning ok so simply having the
understanding of all of the things that
we've talked about in here ok and
incorporating that into a process by
doing that systemically over and over
and over again it will become ingrained
in your memory it'll be a process of
simply just doing it and not thinking
about it but collectively if you
understand everything that was talked
about and conceptionally broken down the
understanding of actually doing those
very things
the procedure can be really condensed to
a business card amount of space in terms
of
identifying but if you were to take that
business card in handed to someone that
has no understanding or general
understanding of how the markets operate
that business card is the same thing I
said when I initially came out on baby
pips and said that I could put this
information on the front of USA Today
and it would go largely ignored because
it would go right over everyone's head
so that's why I forced you number one
with six months of study time I forced
you to have exercises modulae and now
with this even though if someone's just
looking at this video module they're
thinking this is ridiculous this is
useless that's precisely my point
you got to go back through the videos
take those pieces of information that
arrived at this summary and when you
formulate it in this form here when you
understand each component you have
absolutely the ICT million-dollar
trading plan and with that guys I wish
you good luck and good trading
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