The Electoral College lets Republicans act like the ‘Trust Fund Party,’ says Hayes
Summary
TLDRThe script criticizes the Republican Party's reliance on structural advantages in the US political system, exemplified by the disproportionate representation in the Senate and the Electoral College. It points out that despite fielding controversial candidates like Donald Trump, the party can still win due to these systemic biases. The script also discusses the potential for the party to提名extreme candidates and the importance of the pro-democracy coalition in countering this trend. It emphasizes the need for decisive victories to overcome the advantages built into the system and to move towards a post-Trump era.
Takeaways
- 😔 The Republican Party is criticized for its dysfunction and the nomination of Donald Trump for the third consecutive election.
- 🗽 The structure of U.S. elections and political institutions, such as the Senate and Electoral College, is seen as providing a significant advantage to Republicans.
- 🔄 Despite the small population of states like Wyoming, they have the same Senate representation as heavily populated states like California.
- 🏆 The Electoral College system is based on the Senate structure, which can lead to a close race for the presidency even if one candidate wins the popular vote by a large margin.
- 🤔 The script suggests that the Republican Party's success is akin to a 'trust fund' party, not needing to work hard to win elections due to systemic advantages.
- 🏋️♂️ The script implies that the Republican Party can afford to run less competitive candidates and still win due to the current political system.
- 📉 The dysfunction within the Republican Party has led to losses in winnable races outside of the benefits of the Electoral College.
- 🗳️ In states like Arizona, the Republican Party has seen a collapse at the statewide level, partly due to poor candidate quality.
- 🎭 The script discusses the controversial statements and alleged behaviors of Mark Robinson, a Republican candidate in North Carolina, and questions his electability.
- 👥 The importance of the pro-democracy coalition doing the hard work to prevent a Republican win is emphasized, as winning by a clear majority is not guaranteed.
Q & A
What is the main criticism of the Republican Party as described in the transcript?
-The main criticism is that the current Republican Party is dysfunctional and malformed, with a structural advantage in the United States' political institutions, which allows them to win elections despite not needing to persuade voters or field strong candidates.
How does the United States Senate contribute to the Republican Party's advantage according to the transcript?
-The United States Senate is seen as contributing to the Republican advantage because it is not a representative body, with smaller states like Wyoming having the same number of senators as larger states like California, which tilts the balance in favor of Republicans.
What is the Electoral College's role in the context of the transcript's discussion?
-The Electoral College is highlighted as a system that also provides an advantage to Republicans, as it is built off the Senate structure and can lead to a candidate winning the presidency without a clear popular vote majority.
Who is mentioned as a clear favorite to win the popular vote but still faces a close race in the Electoral College?
-Kamala Harris is mentioned as a clear favorite to win the popular vote but still faces a close race in the Electoral College.
What is referred to as the 'Trust Fund Republican Party' in the transcript?
-The term 'Trust Fund Republican Party' refers to the idea that the Republican Party, due to structural advantages, does not have to work hard to win elections, much like rich kids living off inheritances without having to work for a living.
Why does the transcript suggest that the Republican Party can run terrible candidates and still win?
-The transcript suggests that the Republican Party can run terrible candidates and still win because of the structural advantages provided by the Constitution, such as the Senate and Electoral College, which effectively subsidize their success.
What is the significance of the 2016 popular vote margin mentioned in the transcript?
-The 2016 popular vote margin, where Donald Trump lost by 3 million votes, is significant because it illustrates that despite losing the popular vote, Trump still won the presidency due to the Electoral College system.
How does the transcript describe the situation of the Arizona Republican Party?
-The transcript describes the Arizona Republican Party as having effectively collapsed at the statewide level, largely due to candidate quality issues.
What controversial statements are attributed to Mark Robinson in the transcript?
-Mark Robinson is quoted as making controversial statements about Jews, abortion, and homosexuality, which are criticized in the transcript.
What is the significance of the mention of Project 2025 in the transcript?
-Project 2025 is mentioned as a group that wants to outlaw pornography and imprison those who produce or distribute it, contrasting with the personal behavior of Mark Robinson, who is accused of frequenting adult video stores.
What does the transcript suggest as a necessary condition for the Republican Party to move past Trump?
-The transcript suggests that for the Republican Party to move past Trump, they need to lose decisively in elections, which would reduce the political influence of Trump and allow the party to rebuild.
How often has the Republican Party won the popular vote in presidential elections since the fall of the Berlin Wall, according to the transcript?
-According to the transcript, the Republican Party has won the popular vote only once since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
Outlines
🗳️ Dysfunction in the Republican Party and Electoral Advantages
The paragraph discusses the perceived dysfunction within the Republican Party, particularly with Donald Trump as the nominee for the third consecutive election at the age of 78. It highlights the structural advantages that the Republican Party has in the U.S. political system, such as the non-representative nature of the U.S. Senate, where Wyoming with 580,000 people has the same number of senators as California with 39 million. The Electoral College is also mentioned as a system that favors Republicans. The narrative suggests that despite potentially losing the popular vote, the Republicans could still win the presidency due to these structural advantages. The paragraph also touches on the close race between Kamala Harris and the hypothetical scenario of her winning the popular vote by a margin of 1 million votes, yet the actual race being extremely close. It criticizes the Republican Party for not needing to work hard to persuade voters due to the system's bias, likening them to trust fund kids living off their parents' wealth. The paragraph concludes with examples of Republican candidates with controversial backgrounds and statements, suggesting that the party's reliance on extreme candidates leads to repeated losses in winnable races.
📰 Controversial Republican Candidates and the Need for Decisive Defeat
This paragraph delves into the controversy surrounding Mark Robinson, the Republican Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina, who is running for governor. It mentions his past controversial statements and behaviors, including his views on Jews, abortion, and homosexuality, which are described as extreme and antisocial. The paragraph also discusses allegations about Robinson's frequent visits to adult video stores, as reported by multiple sources, including an owner and an employee. Despite these allegations, Robinson's campaign denies them, and a spokesman refers to the journalists reporting the story in derogatory terms. The paragraph emphasizes the need for the Republican Party to nominate less extreme candidates and for the electorate to repeatedly defeat such candidates at the ballot box. It suggests that a decisive win for Vice President Kamala Harris could lead to a post-Trump Republican Party, but this outcome is not guaranteed. The paragraph concludes with a call for the pro-democracy coalition to work hard to prevent a Republican victory, given the party's historical lack of popular vote wins since the fall of the Berlin Wall.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Republican Party
💡Dysfunctional
💡Electoral College
💡Popular Vote
💡Polarized Electorate
💡Trust Fund Republican Party
💡Kamala Harris
💡MAGA Movement
💡Democracy
💡Constitution
💡Project 2025
Highlights
The Republican Party is perceived as uninterested in change and maintaining a dysfunctional status quo with Donald Trump as the nominee for the third consecutive election.
The structure of U.S. elections and political institutions is criticized for providing a significant advantage to Republicans.
The United States Senate is highlighted as not being representative, with Wyoming and California having the same number of senators despite a vast difference in population.
The Electoral College is described as functioning similarly to the Senate, potentially leading to a close race despite a popular vote lead for Kamala Harris.
The Republican Party is likened to a 'trust fund' party, benefiting from systemic advantages without needing to persuade voters.
Despite fielding poor candidates, the Republican Party is still favored to win the Senate.
The Republican Party's ability to win elections despite losing the popular vote by a significant margin is discussed, referencing Donald Trump's 2016 victory.
The Arizona Republican Party's collapse at the statewide level is attributed to candidate quality issues.
Kari Lake's refusal to concede the gubernatorial race and her continued presence in politics is mentioned.
North Carolina's upcoming governor race is noted as less competitive than expected, with Mark Robinson as the Republican nominee.
Mark Robinson's controversial statements about Jews, abortion, and homosexuality are highlighted.
Allegations about Mark Robinson's frequent visits to adult video stores are discussed, with multiple sources providing accounts.
The contrast between Robinson's public stance on pornography and his alleged private behavior is pointed out.
The potential impact of the 'MAGA' movement on the Republican Party's future and the need for it to lose repeatedly is analyzed.
The importance of Vice President Kamala Harris winning by a decisive margin to reduce Donald Trump's political influence is emphasized.
The challenge for Democrats to win by a large margin to overcome systemic advantages against them is discussed.
Former Congresswoman Liz Cheney's decision to vote for Kamala Harris due to the danger posed by Donald Trump is mentioned.
Transcripts
IN FACT THE REPUBLICAN PARTY
ISN'T INTERESTED TO DO ANYTHING
AT ALL.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT HOW
DYSFUNCTIONAL, HOW MALFORMED
THE CURRENT REPUBLICAN PARTY IS
WITH DONALD TRUMP AS THE
NOMINEE FOR THE THIRD
CONSECUTIVE ELECTION.
AT 78 YEARS OLD AND DEGRADING
BEFORE OUR EYES.
YOU MAY WONDER LIKE I DO AND
LIKE WE ALL DO I THINK OF HOW
WE GOT HERE.
I THINK THE ANSWER IS STARING
US IN THE FACE.
THE WAY AMERICA'S ELECTIONS AND
POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS ARE
STRUCTURED PROVIDES A MASSIVE
ADVANTAGE FOR REPUBLICANS.
SO THE UNITED STATES SENATE OF
COURSE, WHICH IS NOT A
REPRESENTATIVE BODY, TILTS
MASSIVELY TOWARD REPUBLICANS
THE WAY THE CURRENT PARTIES ARE
SORTED.
THE 580,000 AMERICANS WHO LIVE
IN WYOMING ARE REPRESENTED BY
THE SAME NUMBER OF SENATORS AS
THE 39 MILLION PEOPLE WHO LIVE
IN CALIFORNIA.
AND OF COURSE THE ELECTORAL
COLLEGE FUNCTIONS IN A SIMILAR
FASHION.
ACTUALLY BUILDS OFF THE SENATE
ITSELF.
EVEN IF IT APPEARS THAT KAMALA
HARRIS RIGHT NOW IS A PRETTY
CLEAR FAVORITE TO WIN THE
POPULAR VOTE, PROBABLY BY A
MARGIN OF 1 MILLION VOTES AT
THE MINIMUM.
THE ACTUAL RACE IS EXTREMELY
CLOSE.
HARRIS HOLD A NARROW LEAD IN
THE POLLING ADVANTAGE.
THE POLLING AVERAGE OF
PENNSYLVANIA, WHICH WE SEE AS
THE TIPPING POINT STATE AND THE
ELECTION IS A TOSSUP.
WHEN YOU HAVE THESE ADVANTAGES
AND THEY ARE ENORMOUS.
ONE HOUSE OF CONGRESS, THE
SENATE AND THE ELECTORAL
COLLEGE WHICH ELECTS THE
PRESIDENT, PLUS AN EXTREMELY
POLARIZED ELECTORATE AND YOU
WIND UP WITH WHAT I LIKE TO
CALL THE KIND OF TRUST FUND
REPUBLICAN PARTY.
IT IS LIKE RICH KIDS LIVING OFF
THEIR PARENTS LARGESS YOU NEVER
HAVE TO WORK FOR A LIVING.
REPUBLICANS DON'T NEED TO GET
OFF THE COUCH AND DO THE HARD
WORK OF PERSUADING VOTERS TO
GET TO 50 PLUS ONE BECAUSE THE
CONSTITUTION IS SUBSIDIZING
THEIR GOLF LIFESTYLE -- AND
THAT IS HOW YOU WIND UP WITH
DONALD TRUMP AT THE TOP OF THE
TICKET.
AGAIN, THE REPUBLICANS ARE THE
CLEAR FAVORITE TO WIN THE
SENATE, DESPITE FIELDING TRULY
AWFUL CANDIDATES AND THE
REPUBLICAN PARTY CAN RUN
TERRIBLE CANDIDATES AND IT CAN
LOSE THE POPULAR VOTE BY 3
MILLION, AS DONALD TRUMP DID IN
2016.
WHICH IS NOT A SMALL AMOUNT.
IT IS OVER A PERCENTAGE POINT.
AND STILL STUMBLE BACKWARDS
INTO POWER.
THIS MASSIVE DYSFUNCTION HAS
COST REPUBLICANS SOME OTHERWISE
VERY WINNABLE RACES IN CYCLE
AFTER CYCLE AFTER CYCLE, WHICH
DO NOT HAVE THE BENEFIT OF THE
ELECTORAL COLLEGE.
THE ARIZONA REPUBLICAN PARTY,
FOR EXAMPLE, HAS EFFECTIVELY
COLLAPSED AT THE STATEWIDE
LEVEL, IMPROBABLY.
IN LARGE PART DUE TO CANDIDATE
QUALITY ISSUES.
KARI LAKE LOST THE
GUBERNATORIAL RACE TWO YEARS
AGO AND REFUSES TO CONCEDE THAT
SHE IS NOT CURRENTLY THE
GOVERNOR, WHICH SHE IS VERY
MUCH NOT, SEEMS -BENT TO
CONTINUE THAT TREND AS SHE RUNS
FOR SENATE IN NOVEMBER.
NORTH CAROLINA'S UPCOMING
GOVERNOR RACE IS MUCH LESS
COMPETITIVE THAN YOU MIGHT
EXPECT THINGS TO THIS MAN, MARK
ROBINSON.
WE HAVE COVERED HIM BEFORE IN
THE SHOW.
HE IS THE CURRENT REPUBLICAN
LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR OF THE
STATE OF NORTH CAROLINA.
HE MIGHT BE THE WORST NOMINEE
HIS PARTY HAS PUT FORWARD FOR
MAJOR OFFICE IN RECENT MEMORY
AND THAT IS SAYING SOMETHING.
>> IN 2018 ROBINSON BOASTED
THAT THIS FOOLISHNESS ABOUT
DISARMING MILLIONS OF JEWS AND
MARCHING THEM TO CONCENTRATION
CAMPS WAS HOGWASH.
HE ALSO SAID THAT THE MOVIE
BLACK PANTHER WAS CREATED BY A
JEW TO PULL MONEY OUT OF YOUR
POCKETS.
>> EVERYBODY KNOWS THAT
ABORTION IN THIS COUNTRY IS NOT
ABOUT PROTECTING THE LIVES OF
MOTHERS.
IT IS ABOUT KILLING THE CHILD
BECAUSE YOU ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE
ENOUGH TO KEEP YOUR SKIRT DOWN
OR YOUR PANTS UP.
THERE IS NO REASON ANYBODY
ANYWHERE IN AMERICA TO BE
TELLING ANY TIME ABOUT
HOMOSEXUALITY, ANY OF THAT
FILTH AND YES I CALLED IT FILTH.
FILTH.
>> SO THAT GUY, TALKING ABOUT
YOUR POCKET, THAT GUY IS
CURRENTLY ONE OF TWO MEN THAT
WILL RUN THE STATE OF NORTH
AIRLINER.
THERE ARE ONLY TWO PEOPLE ON
THE BALLOT.
HIS BACK STORIES THAT HE FOUND
JESUS IN THE 1980S AND SLOWLY
REFORMED.
IS NOW PART OF A MOVEMENT
WORKING TO CREATE A RIGHT-WING
THEOCRACY IN AMERICA.
THIS WEEK WE DID GET MORE
INSIGHT TO HIS POLICY.
ACCORDING TO A NEW REPORT FROM
THE ASSEMBLY AND NORTH
CAROLINA, WHICH HAS NOT BEEN
CONFIRMED BY NBC NEWS, SIX MEN
SAY ROBINSON WAS A REGULAR
CUSTOMER AT MULTIPLE ADULT
VIDEO STORES, OFTEN PAYING TO
VIEW OR PURCHASE PORNOGRAPHY AS
FREQUENTLY AS FIVE NIGHTS A
WEEK.
PRACTICALLY A JOB.
ROBINSON'S CAMPAIGN DENIES THE
ALLEGATIONS AND A SPOKESMAN
CALLED THE ALLEGATIONS A WORD
WE CANNOT REPEAT AND CALLED THE
JOURNALISTS REPORTING THE STORY
DEGENERATES.
BUT AGAIN, MULTIPLE SOURCES ON
THE RECORD, MEN WHO WORKED AT
OR FREQUENTED THOSE STORES
INCLUDING THE OWNER TOTALLY
DIFFERENT STORY.
ONE GUY NAMED DAN LIVINGSTON,
WHO AGAIN WENT ON THE RECORD
WITH HIS ACTUAL NAME, TOLD THE
ASSEMBLY HE USED TO SEE
ROBINSON FREQUENTED A SHOP
CALLED THE GROWTH.
HE SAID ROBINSON USUALLY CAME
IN WITH A PIZZA, PURCHASED A
PREVIEW OF AN ADULT FIRM AND
WENT INTO A PRIVATE BOOTH TO
WATCH IT AND EAT.
HEY, IT IS A FREE COUNTRY,
OKAY?
CONSENTING ADULTS HAVE THE RIGHT TO PURCHASE SOME PIZZA
RIGHT TO PURCHASE SOME PIZZA
AND THEN GO AND PRODUCE OR
PURCHASE THAT KIND OF MATERIAL,
PORNOGRAPHY, AT LEAST FOR NOW,
THOUGH I SHOULD SAY DONALD
TRUMP'S FRIENDS AT PROJECT 2025
WANT TO CHANGE THAT.
ACCORDING TO THEM PORNOGRAPHY
SHOULD BE OUTLAWED AND PEOPLE
WHO PRODUCE OR DISTRIBUTE IT
SHOULD BE IN PRISON.
NO I DON'T THINK IT IS SUPER
LIKELY THAT MARK ROBINSON, WHO
AGAIN IN THIS ARTICLE WITH SIX
SOURCES INCLUDING A NAMED
SOURCE SAID HE WOULD FREQUENT
THE SHOP FIVE NIGHTS A WEEK.
OFTEN WITH PIZZA.
THAT HE WILL WIN HIS ELECTION,
BUT THIS IS AN EXAMPLE AGAIN OF
THE REPUBLICAN INSTINCT TO
NOMINATE THESE KINDS OF GUYS.
THE MOST EXTREME, ANTISOCIAL
CANDIDATES AND THEY HAVE TO BE
DEFEATED AT THE BALLOT BOX OVER
AND OVER AND OVER AGAIN BECAUSE
THE ONLY WAY THEY WILL
DISAPPEAR -- THEY KEEP TRYING
IT.
AS JONATHAN MARTIN PUT IT IN
POLITICO THIS WEEK, IF
REPUBLICANS WANT TO WHEN THEY
NEED TRUMP TO LOSE BIG.
TRUMP WILL NEVER CONCEDE DEFEAT
NO MATTER HOW THOROUGH HIS
LOSS, YET THE MORE DECISIVELY
VICE PRESIDENT KAMALA HARRIS
WINS THE POPULAR VOTE AND
ELECTORAL COLLEGE, THE LESS
POLITICAL ART -- OXYGEN HE WILL
HAVE.
REPUBLICANS CAN START BUILDING
A POST TRUMP PARTY.
THAT OUTCOME IS FAR FROM A
GIVEN.
THINK OF IT THIS WAY.
DONALD TRUMP COULD DISAPPEAR
FROM PUBLIC AND NEVER APPEAR
FROM NOW TO ELECTION DAY.
STILL HAVE A PRETTY GOOD SHOT
OF WINNING THE WHITE HOUSE AND
REPUBLICANS TAKING THE SENATE.
LIKE A COIN FLIP, MAYBE.
THAT MAKES IT ALL THE MORE
IMPORTANT THAT AGAIN THE
COUNTRY'S PRO-DEMOCRACY
COALITION DOES THE HARD WORK OF
PREVENTING THAT OUTCOME.
BECAUSE THE REALITY IS WINNING
A CLEAR MAJORITY IS NOT ENOUGH.
LISTEN TO THIS.
THE REPUBLICAN PARTY OF THE
UNITED STATES, ONE OF TWO MAJOR
PARTIES.
THE PARTY HAS WON THE POPULAR
VOTE ONE TIME SINCE THE FALL OF
THE BERLIN WALL.
SAY IT AGAIN.
ONLY ONE TIME SINCE THE
COLLAPSE OF THE IRON CURTAIN
HAVE REPUBLICANS MANAGED A
NATIONAL MAJORITY IN A
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION.
SO IT IS INCUMBENT ON DEMOCRATS
TO WIN BY SUCH A LARGE PORTION
THAT IT OVERCOMES THE
ADVANTAGES AGAINST THEM.
EVEN SOME REPUBLICANS KNOW THIS
IS THE CASE, LIKE FORMER
CONGRESSMAN LIZ CHENEY WHO
SPOKE EARLIER TODAY IN MARK
ROBINSON'S HOME TURF OF NORTH
CAROLINA.
>> IS A CONSERVATIVE, AS
SOMEONE WHO BELIEVES IN AND
CARES ABOUT THE CONSTITUTION I
HAVE THOUGHT DEEPLY ABOUT THIS
AND BECAUSE OF THE DANGER THAT
DONALD TRUMP POSES, NOT ONLY AM
I NOT VOTING FOR DONALD TRUMP,
BUT I WILL BE VOTING FOR KAMALA
HARRIS.
>> THE MAGA MOVEMENT NEEDS TO
LOSE OVER AND OVER AGAIN.
DEMOCRACY WILL NOT BE ON A
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