Arjo's "Fair Value Gap" Theory

Arjo
16 Dec 202325:05

Summary

TLDRThe video script delves into the concept of fair value gaps in the market, explaining how they can predict market movements. It emphasizes the importance of the third candle in a three-candle pattern to identify breakaway gaps, which are unlikely to be retraced before reaching a certain level. The script also discusses how understanding fair value and market structure can help traders capitalize on these gaps for short-term gains. It suggests that by recognizing where the market has offered fair value and where it hasn't, traders can determine which gaps are most likely to be respected or traded into, both in the short and long term.

Takeaways

  • πŸ“ˆ Fair value gaps are crucial in understanding market movements and can predict which gaps will be traded back into.
  • πŸ” To analyze fair value gaps, focus on the third candle of a three-candle pattern, as it indicates whether the gap is a breakaway gap or not.
  • 🟒 Green fair value gaps represent normal gaps expected to be retraced into in the short term, while red ones indicate breakaway gaps that won't be traded back into before reaching a certain draw on liquidity.
  • πŸ“Š The third candle's behavior (closing above the previous candle's high) is a general rule of thumb to determine if a gap is a breakaway gap.
  • πŸ“‰ Understanding breakaway gaps is essential for capitalizing on market opportunities, as they represent a high probability of not trading back into the gap in the short term.
  • ⏳ Time is a critical factor in determining which fair value gaps to trade into, as it affects the likelihood of retracement.
  • πŸ”„ The market structure and the concept of fair value suggest that gaps above intermediate-term highs are the areas where fair value has not been offered yet.
  • 🎯 When trading, consider the overlapping of highs with fair value gaps to identify the most relevant gaps for potential market moves.
  • πŸ“ Fair value is about offering a balanced opportunity for both buyers and sellers, and understanding this can help predict market behavior.
  • πŸš€ Adding time to the analysis of fair value gaps can enhance the accuracy of predicting market movements and potential trading opportunities.

Q & A

  • What is the main theory discussed in the transcript?

    -The main theory discussed is that fair value gaps can reveal everything you need to know about the market, including which gaps will be traded back into and which are breakaway gaps.

  • What is the significance of the third candle in a three-candle pattern?

    -The third candle in a three-candle pattern is significant because it can indicate whether a fair value gap is a breakaway gap or not, which determines if the gap will be traded back into in the short term.

  • How can you identify a breakaway gap?

    -A breakaway gap can be identified if the third candle of the fair value gap closes above the previous candle's high, indicating that the gap will not be traded back into before reaching a certain draw on liquidity.

  • What is the difference between a breakaway gap and a normal fair value gap?

    -A breakaway gap is a type of fair value gap that will not be traded back into before reaching a draw on liquidity, while a normal fair value gap is expected to have a retracement into it in the short term.

  • How does understanding fair value gaps help in trading?

    -Understanding fair value gaps helps traders to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as to anticipate market movements, which can lead to more informed and profitable trading decisions.

  • What is the role of time in understanding fair value gaps?

    -Time plays a crucial role in understanding when a fair value gap will be traded back into. By considering the time frame and the market structure, traders can better predict the likelihood of a gap being filled or respected.

  • How does the market structure relate to fair value gaps?

    -The market structure, including intermediate-term highs and lows, helps to determine which fair value gaps are relevant and which ones the market will likely respect or target for future movements.

  • What is the importance of the previous candle's high and low in identifying fair value gaps?

    -The previous candle's high and low are important because they help to determine the nature of the fair value gap. If the current candle closes above the previous high, it suggests a breakaway gap, while closing below the previous low indicates a bearish fair value gap.

  • How can traders capitalize on the knowledge of fair value gaps?

    -Traders can capitalize on this knowledge by using it to make informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades, as well as to manage risk and anticipate market reactions to certain price levels.

  • What is the significance of overlapping fair value gaps and highs in the market structure?

    -Overlapping fair value gaps and highs in the market structure indicate areas where the market has offered fair value to both buyers and sellers. These areas are often respected by the market and can serve as potential support or resistance levels.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“ˆ Understanding Fair Value Gaps and Breakaway Gaps

The paragraph discusses the concept of fair value gaps in the market and how they can predict market movements. It explains that fair value gaps, particularly the third candle in a three-candle pattern, can indicate whether a gap will be retraced. The distinction between breakaway gaps (which are not expected to be retraced before reaching a certain level) and normal fair value gaps is highlighted. The speaker uses examples from NASDAQ to illustrate these concepts.

05:02

πŸ’‘ Capitalizing on Fair Value Gaps

This section focuses on how to use the knowledge of fair value gaps to make profitable trades. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the draw on liquidity and how to identify breakaway gaps. The speaker guides through a thought process for capitalizing on these gaps by looking at different time frames and premium arrays. The goal is to identify when and where to enter trades based on the behavior of the third candle in a fair value gap.

10:04

πŸ” Trading Strategies with Time Frames

The paragraph delves into the practical application of trading strategies using different time frames. It explains how to identify fair value gaps in various time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts. The speaker advises on when to wait for retracement into a gap and when to expect a move towards draw liquidity. The concept of trading off and into fair value gaps is discussed, with an emphasis on not missing out on opportunities due to waiting for a gap to be filled.

15:06

πŸ“Š Market Structure and Fair Value

This part of the script explores the relationship between market structure and fair value. It explains that fair value is about offering both buyers and sellers a chance to participate in the market. The speaker discusses how the market seeks to rebalance by offering fair value, which is often seen in the form of gaps. The concept of overlapping fair value gaps and their significance in market structure is highlighted, along with the idea that the market will respect these areas to continue moving in a particular direction.

20:06

πŸš€ Enhancing Trading with Fair Value and Time

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion by summarizing the understanding of short-term and long-term fair value gaps and their relevance to trading. It introduces the concept of adding time as an additional factor to enhance trading strategies. The speaker teases the idea of a money-making team and invites the audience to a new website for more features and learning resources. The paragraph ends with a reminder to join the Sunday weekly forecast live stream for more insights.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Fair Value Gaps

Fair Value Gaps refer to the price differences that occur in the market, which are believed to indicate future market movements. In the video, the speaker discusses how these gaps can signal whether a price will revert to a previous level or continue in the direction of the gap. The speaker uses the NASDAQ as an example to illustrate how different types of gaps, such as breakaway gaps, can be identified and analyzed for trading opportunities.

πŸ’‘Breakaway Gaps

A breakaway gap is a type of gap in the market where the price moves significantly in one direction and is not expected to be filled (or traded back into) in the short term. The speaker explains that understanding the third candle of a three-candle pattern is crucial in identifying a breakaway gap. If the third candle closes above the previous candle's high, it suggests a high probability of a breakaway gap, indicating a continuation of the current trend.

πŸ’‘Candle Patterns

Candle patterns are graphical representations used in technical analysis to understand market sentiment and predict future price movements. The video emphasizes the importance of the third candle in a three-candle pattern, as it can indicate whether a fair value gap is a breakaway gap or not. The first candle can be any type of formation, the second is typically an expansion phase, and the third candle's behavior determines the nature of the gap.

πŸ’‘Retracement

Retracement refers to a temporary reversal in the price movement of a financial instrument, typically following a strong trend. In the context of the video, retracement is discussed in relation to fair value gaps, where the market may retrace into a gap before continuing its trend. This concept is used to identify potential entry and exit points for trades.

πŸ’‘Draw on Liquidity

Draw on liquidity refers to the market's tendency to move towards a level where there is a significant concentration of orders, either to buy or sell. This concept is used in the video to predict where the market might move next, especially in relation to breakaway gaps and fair value gaps. The speaker suggests that understanding draw on liquidity can help traders anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions.

πŸ’‘Market Structure

Market structure in the video refers to the overall organization and behavior of the market, including the distribution of buyers and sellers. The speaker discusses how understanding market structure can help identify areas of fair value and potential turning points. For instance, an area above a significant high may not have offered fair value yet, suggesting that the market may eventually move to that level to balance out the buying and selling pressure.

πŸ’‘Timeframes

Timeframes in trading refer to the duration over which a particular chart or data is observed. The video mentions different timeframes such as weekly, daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute charts. The speaker uses these timeframes to analyze the market and identify fair value gaps and potential trading opportunities. By looking at multiple timeframes, traders can get a more comprehensive view of the market's behavior and make more informed decisions.

πŸ’‘Fair Value

Fair value in the context of the video is a concept that represents a balance between buyers and sellers in the market. The speaker explains that the market is always seeking to offer fair value, meaning that both parties should have an equal opportunity to participate. This concept is used to understand why certain price levels may act as support or resistance and why gaps may or may not be filled.

πŸ’‘Trading Strategies

The video discusses various trading strategies based on the analysis of fair value gaps, breakaway gaps, and market structure. The speaker provides insights into how traders can capitalize on the knowledge of these concepts to make profitable trades. For example, understanding when a gap is likely to be filled or when the market will respect a certain level can help traders decide when to enter or exit a trade.

πŸ’‘Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. The video heavily relies on technical analysis to explain the concepts of fair value gaps, candle patterns, and retracements. The speaker uses technical analysis tools to predict future market movements and identify trading opportunities.

Highlights

Understanding fair value gaps is crucial in the market as they can indicate potential future price movements.

Fair value gaps are identified through a three-candle pattern, with special attention to the third candle.

Breakaway gaps are a type of fair value gap that is unlikely to be traded back into before reaching a certain level of liquidity.

The third candle's behavior in a fair value gap can help determine if it's a breakaway gap or not.

If the third candle closes above the previous candle's high, it suggests a breakaway gap with a high probability.

Fair value gaps can be used to identify potential trading opportunities and to manage risk.

The concept of fair value is about offering a balanced chance for both buyers and sellers to participate in the market.

Market structure analysis can help in understanding which fair value gaps are more likely to be traded back into.

Fair value gaps that overlap with previous highs or lows are more relevant for trading decisions.

The market is always seeking liquidity, which can be understood through the concept of fair value gaps.

Understanding the time factor in relation to fair value gaps can enhance trading strategies.

The speaker's website offers resources for traders to improve their understanding and application of fair value gaps.

The speaker's YouTube channel provides a weekly forecast and live streams for traders to follow.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of not only identifying fair value gaps but also understanding their context within the market structure.

The speaker suggests that by understanding fair value gaps, traders can gain an edge over 99% of other traders.

The speaker provides a detailed explanation of how to analyze and trade using fair value gaps, including the use of different time frames.

The speaker's approach to fair value gaps combines technical analysis with an understanding of market psychology and liquidity.

The speaker's method involves a step-by-step process of identifying, analyzing, and capitalizing on fair value gaps.

Transcripts

play00:00

I have a theory that fair value gaps

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tell you everything you need to know in

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the market so that also means that fair

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value gaps tell you which fair value

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gaps will be traded back into right

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exactly so let's dive straight into it

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first step understanding the three

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candle pattern but paying extra

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attention to details because we are

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going to pay extra attention to the

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third candle of that three candle

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pattern right here I have marked out all

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the recent fair value gaps on NASDAQ

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what you're seeing here and the gray

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boxes you are seeing right there are all

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the recent weekly fair value gaps on

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NASDAQ starting with this one and that

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one and that one right there that one

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that one that one and that one now can

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you notice a certain difference right

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here where they all have the three

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candle pattern meaning they all create a

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fair value Gap with the first one right

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there creates a fair value Gap with 1 2

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3 the second fair value Gap 1 2 3 right

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there can you already notice a

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difference between that first fair value

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Gap and that second fair value Gap with

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paying attention to the third candle so

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if we dissect a fair value Gap being

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created again it's a three candle

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pattern with the first candle can do

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whatever it wants can be consolidation

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expansion whatever it wants to be the

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second candle is of course always an

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expansion phase what we're seeing on

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that first for V Gap right there it's

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always an expansion phase because that

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creates the overall body of the fair Gap

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the actual Fair Val Gap then the third

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candle can either consolidate be an up

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candle be a down candle and depending on

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what that third candle is is how we

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already will know if it is a breakaway

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Gap a breakaway Gap is a fair value Gap

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but within fair value gaps you also have

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a different kinds of gaps where a

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breakaway Gap is a fair value Gap but a

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breakaway Gap is understanding that the

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Gap will not be traded back into before

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we reach a certain draw on liquidity so

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in the short term in the next few

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candles next two three candles we will

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not trade back into a breakaway Gap so

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if we understand the third candle of a

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fair value Gap then we can understand

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and have a great idea already if that

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fair value Gap is actually a breakaway

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Gap and if we look at this screen right

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now then we see the red fair value gaps

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and we have green fair value gaps all

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the red fair value gaps are Breakaway

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gaps and the green fair value gaps are

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just your normal fair value gaps that we

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can expect a retracement into in the

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short term as well why is that because

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if we again look at that first Fair Val

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Gap what do we see we have again 1 2 3

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this last candle the third candle right

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there that can be a consolidation

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expansion whatever it wants to do but if

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it wants to expand higher meaning as a

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general rule of thumb if it wants to

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close above the previous

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candle High meaning previous candle high

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of the second candle that is the

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expansion phase if it wants to close

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above that right there then that as a

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general rule of thumb means that we are

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not going to trade back into the F Gap

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right there before we continue higher so

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here we can see yes eventually we trade

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back into it but in the short term we do

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not trade back into it then that is

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already the first indication but not the

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only one that it is that that is a

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breakaway Gap then the second Fair Val

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Gap the green one right there this is

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the previous weak high as in that is the

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previous high of that candle again this

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is fractal it's not only on the weekly

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do we close above it no a great

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indication that once we leave behind

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that F Gap we actually want to trade

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into it to then continue higher with in

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the third Fair Val Gap what do we see do

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we close above that previous candle High

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the second candle right there no so we

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trade back into it that third fair value

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Gap also a green Fair Val Gap because

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what do we see on the previous candle

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low do we close below it right there no

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so the next candle in the short term can

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trade back into the F Val Gap that was

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created then after that what do we see

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on this candle right there again 1 2 3

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we see that we are closing above the

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previous candle's high and that is the

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same for the next candle right there

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which both these Fair V gaps right there

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are what Breakaway gaps where this right

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there the next Green Fair Val Gap is not

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why not because again same exact thought

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process right there so that is only the

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first step and if we understand that

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first step that's already an incredible

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step we already know more more than 99%

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of the Traders on which fair value Gap

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will actually be traded back into but

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this is all fun of games but how do we

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now actually capitalize on this the

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knowledge is fun but we want to make

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money here so what do we do in this

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situation so I want us to pay attention

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to this green fair value Gap right there

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going to remove it going into the replay

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mode to show you exactly the thought

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process right here we are moving higher

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we are moving towards a draw on

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liquidity so understanding the draw on

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liquidity right here is again the

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closest premium array right there we've

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been moving higher draw liquidity the

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closest premium array now why is this

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Breakaway Gap quite important to

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understand because on the next candle

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the next weekly candle that opens we now

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have a weekly fori Gap sitting right

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there so now we need to take into

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account all right if we want to reach

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this draw liquidity right there do we

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first come back into this weekly for Gap

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or do we already deliver higher towards

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a draw on liity first so what will be

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traded back into first the discount

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array right there in the form of that

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Weekly fair value Gap or the draw

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liquidity in the form of that Premier

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That Swing high sitting right there well

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based on our understanding already we

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knew that if this right here closes

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above the the previous week high the

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previous candle high that third candle

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closes above the second candle which is

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the expansion phase we understand

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already that this now has a high

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probability of being a breakaway Gap

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meaning that we are likely going to

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trade into this draw liquidity first

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before we actually reach for that

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Breakaway Gap meaning that on the weekly

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time frame we currently do not have a

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clear discount array the tradeoff of so

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what do we do we are now going down one

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time frame so if you have a breakaway

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Gap you go down a time frame to look for

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a new fair value Gap to trade off of so

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if we go down into the daily time frame

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then on the daily time frame we are now

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seeing that we have the draw liquidity

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right there and we also have this daily

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Fair Val Gap sitting right there so that

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daily fa Val Gap is now the f back up we

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want to trade off of so here we are now

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first targeting this context High

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because again understanding that market

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maker model we are forming a market

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maker buy model here moving from a

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discount array to that premium array

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this is the area right there where we

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want to get involved and afterwards we

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need that new context again so this

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daily fi Gap will again be responsible

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currently to push price higher so why is

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that important because now we are not

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left waiting for that Weekly F Gap to

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hopefully be touched sometime no we are

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already getting involved right there

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where it's the same exact premise can

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you see where this candle close right

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there did it close above that previous

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candle's high no so what will it do

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trade into the fair value Gap sitting

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right there that is the highest

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probability thing to happen so so now

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what do we do we go into the 4our as

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well to see all right how can we now

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look to potentially capitalize on this

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ID that we have if we skip price a few

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ticks right there then eventually we are

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seeing this very interesting we are now

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creating this 4our for Gap right there

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that 4our for Gap let's take it into

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account what is happening well we have

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that third candle the third candle is

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closing above the previous candle high

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sitting right there what is this price

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action likely going to reach for first

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the fair value Gap right there that we

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might trade higher off of or this draw

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on liquidity right there well based on

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this knowledge based on the knowledge

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the simple knowledge that we currently

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have on Breakaway gaps which we are

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going to add on to as well this is only

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the first part we understand that right

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now there's a higher probability of

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coming into the draw liity first before

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even coming into the 4our valap right

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there so let's not get left waiting

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because on the 4H hour we simply do not

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have any discount array do not have a 4H

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hour F Gap to trade off of right now so

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what do we do we allow ourselves to go

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down a time frame right now to see do we

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have a discount array do we have a fair

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vag up here to trade off of no not yet

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why not because we are not creating that

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fa vag up just yet just after the next

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candle so what can we do again we can go

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down another time frame right there to

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find that fair value Gap so here on the

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15minute time frame right there do we

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now have a 15 minutes Fair VAP yes so if

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we want to trade in into any fair valap

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then it will be the 15 minute fair value

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Gap sitting right there so if we skip

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price a few ticks right there that is

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exactly what we are seeing which if we

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waited endlessly for the 4our V up right

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there or even even the 1 hour then we

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would simply not have that sting into it

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before we reach the draw liquidity

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sitting right there that is extremely

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important to know to of course

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capitalize on the Move also not get left

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behind understanding which fi gaps we

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want to trade into because we can trade

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off of them but we can also trade

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towards them because here we are on the

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daily time frame again and we are seeing

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we're pushing higher nicely that daily F

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Gap we've reached the first Target right

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there so right now we want to wait again

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let's wait a little bit because we also

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understand right now that what is

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happening whilst this new week is

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forming right there we also see that of

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course there's a new weekly fair value

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Gap forming which that right there is

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the previous candle High which will

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create a new fair value Gap in the form

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of this this fair value Gap sitting

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right there so here on the daily time

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frame we want to now wait a little bit

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because we know there is currently a

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weekly fa Val Gap in the making as well

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and what do we see on the daily time

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frame we now see something very

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interesting because we also see that we

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are now failing to create a new fair

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value Gap higher of that previous fair

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value gap which is already a concept

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we've gone over a lot of times because

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that indicates that there's a lack of

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intention currently which is in perfect

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alignment right now with understanding

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that Breakaway Gap as well because here

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we are not closing above that previous

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candle high on a weekly basis right

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there which means that the next few

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candles we can look to trade into the

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weekly fi Gap and we can also look again

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to trade off of that Weekly fair value

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Gap by understanding again that here on

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the weekly time frame we have what we

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don't have that close above that

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previous candle high right there which

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indicates that this is not a breakaway

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gap which indicates that there's a high

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probability we will likely trade into

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this faga first before we actually move

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to the draw liquidity and that Weekly V

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Gap is again where we can trade into it

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and we can also look to trade off of it

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trading off of it right there is the

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highest probability thing to do which if

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we now look to trade offit then again

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the first Target is this High then of

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course after that it's this draw on

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liquidity sitting right there so if we

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understand that and we go into the 4our

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time frame then on the 4our time frame

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We are continuing higher nicely overall

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right there eventually right there NFP

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also happens and we haven't even

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Incorporated time just yet where NFP

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right there stinks into that 4-Hour for

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V Gap sitting right there and eventually

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continues higher targeting of course the

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first Target sitting right there but at

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this moment in time we create again that

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new 4our app also continue higher

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off of that then right there on that day

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on that Monday what do we have we have

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on the 1 hour a 1 hour for V up in the

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making currently and right there we

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could argue that we have this candle

play14:25

well argue we see clearly that this

play14:28

candle right there is closing above that

play14:31

next candle's High all right so likely

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we will reach the draw liquidity first

play14:37

before we actually retrace into the 1H

play14:39

hour for Gap so let's dive into a time

play14:42

frame below the 1 hour right there which

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on the 15 minute we see we have this

play14:48

15minute Fair Val Gap sitting right

play14:51

there now this situation what you would

play14:54

do here is you would still use the 15

play14:57

minutes forap just to keep the objective

play15:00

right there because we have that context

play15:02

sitting there so we can't take that away

play15:05

but if we look at this 15 minutes for

play15:07

vag Gap what do we also see we do see

play15:10

right there that on the 1 hour the 1

play15:12

hour vag Gap is even a little bit higher

play15:14

than the 15 minutes for vag G so what do

play15:16

you do in a very rare situation like

play15:19

this you just simply wait you wait if we

play15:24

get that retracement into the 1our for

play15:26

Gap perfectly fine we're still happy to

play15:28

get involved because we still had that

play15:30

15 minutes for Gap as well sitting

play15:33

inside that 1 hour for Gap so the rule

play15:35

overall is still valid but we understand

play15:38

that it might not want to trade into

play15:41

that 1our for Gap so what do we do we

play15:44

just wait if it trade into it we are

play15:46

still bullish we take a trade off it if

play15:49

not and we reach that draw liquidity

play15:51

right there perfect we also know why and

play15:55

we don't want to trade off that 1 hour

play15:57

fori gap anymore because because again

play15:59

we are looking at shortterm returns into

play16:02

fair value gaps not after a few candles

play16:04

no what are the next candles likely

play16:07

going to do right there and in the next

play16:09

candles we do see that we are coming

play16:11

into that 1our fi Gap right there to

play16:14

then continue higher towards the draw

play16:16

liquidity overall this was the first

play16:18

understanding as in this is the basic

play16:21

knowledge of a breakaway Gap that you

play16:24

have just learned what is the next

play16:26

knowledge of a breakaway Gap because

play16:28

after we take that draw liquidity both

play16:30

those draw liquidities actually then

play16:32

what do we do Which F vaps do we use

play16:35

right now because we have quite a f v

play16:36

gaps to choose from right here so what

play16:38

do we actually do right now this is

play16:41

where the flot concept now comes in plus

play16:46

the fair value concept again a quick

play16:49

story on Fair Value what actually is

play16:51

fair value the market is always offering

play16:54

fair value in other words rebalancing

play16:56

something those are the same things fair

play16:58

value and rebalancing or the market is

play17:01

seeking liquidity so if we understand

play17:04

that then what actually is fair value

play17:06

fair value is like it already says in

play17:09

the name it's offering fair

play17:12

value meaning that both buyers and

play17:16

sellers should get a fair chance to get

play17:19

involved in the market so when there's

play17:21

only buyers in the market there should

play17:23

also be a fair chance for sellers to get

play17:25

involved if they want to get involved

play17:27

then let's offer them a fair chance to

play17:30

actually get involved which is why a

play17:33

bullish fair value Gap right there is

play17:35

usually what it's only buyers in the

play17:38

market which is why it's called a fair

play17:41

value Gap in the first place because

play17:43

there's a lack of fair value there so we

play17:47

need some sellers inside that bullish

play17:49

fair value Gap to actually offer the

play17:52

fair value to then continue higher so

play17:54

with that logic we could argue that

play17:57

every fair value Gap should be traded

play17:59

back into right and that was also my

play18:01

first understanding of a fair value Gap

play18:03

until I dove deeper into it because if

play18:07

we zoom out a little bit and we make use

play18:10

of overall structure Market structure of

play18:14

the market then what do we actually see

play18:17

well if we zoom out then here we have

play18:20

this buy side offering so here we've

play18:22

been going higher so overall we can

play18:24

argue there has been buy side offered

play18:27

right there after after we make this

play18:29

retracement into the weekly fair value

play18:31

Gap to offer some fair value and after

play18:35

that we move a higher again so in those

play18:38

recent swings one 2 three right there

play18:42

that creates what creates a mitigation

play18:45

block but not only that that also

play18:48

creates a fair value area because if we

play18:52

want to continue higher right now then

play18:54

where is the only place that we have not

play18:57

offered fair value just yet everything

play19:01

Above This high right there because

play19:03

everything above that high what happened

play19:06

let's zoom in a little bit everything

play19:07

above that high we only had buy side

play19:12

where below that high so this area again

play19:15

is where we had what we had buy sides in

play19:19

the form of this move higher right there

play19:22

we had sell side in the form of that

play19:24

move lower buyers and sellers both got a

play19:27

fair chance to get involved after that

play19:29

we move higher above that high which is

play19:33

what we call a market structure an

play19:35

intermediate term High which creates the

play19:38

area above that high again above the

play19:41

intermediate ter High which is the only

play19:43

area that we have not offered fair value

play19:46

in the short term right there I hope I

play19:49

can hear some clicking sounds in your

play19:51

mind because which also means of course

play19:54

that if everything above that high is

play19:56

not offered fair value value just yet

play19:59

then the only place that we can return

play20:02

to to continue higher is what it's the

play20:06

high right there with the

play20:08

overlapping fair value Gap that is the

play20:12

area that price is going to want to

play20:14

respect right there to then continue

play20:17

higher off of that which we are

play20:20

consistently seeing look at these highs

play20:23

overlapping with the for gaps look at

play20:25

these highs overlapping with the for

play20:27

gaps look at SE lows right there

play20:29

overlapping with the F gaps because

play20:31

those areas are where fair value is

play20:34

meaning we should respect those areas

play20:37

respecting again meaning that we are

play20:39

wicking those areas but we are not

play20:42

closing below it and we are not creating

play20:44

bearish fair value gaps lower if we do

play20:48

do that and we do create those bearish

play20:51

fair value gaps lower for example in

play20:53

this instance right there where we also

play20:55

have those lows but we create bullish

play20:57

Fair value gaps higher right there then

play21:00

that means that we will Target opposing

play21:03

liquidity why is that because the market

play21:07

is either doing one of two things

play21:09

offering fair value or seeking liquidity

play21:13

so if it's not offering that fair value

play21:16

which that right there is fair value

play21:17

then it should move higher right if it's

play21:20

not doing that and it wants to continue

play21:22

lower and we have bearish Fair fire gaps

play21:24

then it's doing what it's seeking

play21:26

liquidity so this fair value Gap right

play21:29

there is the exact fair value Gap that

play21:33

you want to trade off of which also

play21:35

means that this fair value Gap right

play21:37

there the lower fair value gaps even

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that lower fair value Gap right there

play21:41

are all IR relevant the value Gap that's

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overlapping with the high that's the

play21:49

relevant fair value Gap but why then on

play21:53

this high right there we had to sting

play21:55

into that lower for fire gap because

play21:58

that is where now time comes in where we

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have three factors we looked at that

play22:04

previous candle High previous candle low

play22:06

that close what is that third candle

play22:08

right there doing is it closing above a

play22:10

previous candle High Etc that indicates

play22:13

the first step to understand that

play22:15

breakway Gap then the next scenario is

play22:18

understanding the fair value and then

play22:20

the next understanding which we can go

play22:22

over in the next video so if you want

play22:24

that then please leave down a comment

play22:27

and tell me if you would like that the

play22:29

next step and the validating factor is

play22:33

understanding time and after we continue

play22:36

higher right there of course what are we

play22:37

doing well we are also creating now what

play22:40

daily fair value gaps higher right there

play22:42

do we want to trade into those daily for

play22:44

GS well if we zoom out a little bit more

play22:47

then what do we see we see the same

play22:51

thing happening right here with the fair

play22:54

value offering right there so if if we

play22:58

want to continue higher we will want to

play23:01

respect these highs right there with

play23:04

overlapping Fair Val gaps to then

play23:06

continue higher off of that which means

play23:09

that overall if we have very low fair

play23:12

value gaps sitting in these lags they

play23:14

are currently not relevant because if we

play23:16

want to continue higher towards this

play23:18

higher draw liquidity in the form of

play23:20

that fap first and then afterwards even

play23:23

the highs then we will want to respect

play23:26

the F gaps that are overl happing with

play23:28

the highs which means that everything

play23:30

below that becomes what a breakaway Gap

play23:34

and we confirm that with that extra

play23:36

layer and to sum it up right there what

play23:38

have we just done we Now understand on

play23:41

the short term so in the next few

play23:44

candles if price wants to trade into a f

play23:47

Gap right there and we also understand

play23:49

in the longer term where price wants to

play23:52

trade into fi gaps does it want to trade

play23:54

into the lower fi gaps into the previous

play23:56

Breakaway gaps or does it want to

play23:58

respect the fire gaps that are at the

play24:01

fair value area right there so both on

play24:04

the short term and the long term We Now

play24:08

understand which fair value Gap actually

play24:11

wants to be traded back into and now

play24:14

imagine if we add time into the mix so

play24:17

of course if you like this then you will

play24:19

absolutely be blown away by the

play24:21

money-making team and I have good news

play24:23

because the website for the moneymaking

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team is open again so we have moved to a

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new website in that new website we are

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working on again a lot of new features

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as well to help you to excel your

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learning curve so if you have any

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questions about that about the new

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website Etc what you can expect what's

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the difference between the masterclass

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and Essentials then please feel free to

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reach out to info@ rio. then of course I

play24:51

would also be very happy to see you

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tomorrow on Sunday weekly forecast of

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course the live stream here on YouTube

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so make sure to turn on your

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notifications 8:30 a.m. New York local

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time perfect thank you

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