What does a deeper look at the Budget 2024 maths reveal?
Summary
TLDRIn this episode of Mutra, Deputy Editor Sharad Ragavan and Associate Professor Radika Pande dissect the intricacies of the recent budget. They discuss the balance between fiscal consolidation and expenditure, with a focus on increased revenue expenditure and steady capital expenditure. The conversation spans tax revenue projections, the quality of government spending, and the fiscal deficit target set at 4.9%. They also touch on the government's shift towards reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio and the implications of factor market reforms.
Takeaways
- π The budget projects an increase in revenue expenditure by 55,000 CR compared to the interim budget, while keeping capital expenditure the same at 11.11 lakh CR.
- πΌ The government received a higher-than-anticipated dividend from the RBI, providing additional fiscal space of around 1.5 lakh CR, which influenced the budget allocations.
- π’ There's a strategic balance in the budget aimed at accelerating fiscal consolidation while also boosting spending, with a tilt towards the former.
- πΌ The employment incentive scheme and PM AAS yoga are among the areas receiving increased funding in the budget.
- π The net tax revenue projection for the central government has been reduced by around 18,000 CR compared to the interim budget, with states receiving a larger share.
- π The gross tax revenue projections for the year are similar to the previous financial year, with a slight reduction in corporate tax expectations due to subdued company profits.
- π The nominal GDP growth assumption is conservatively set at 10.5%, which could provide a cushion for tax revenue if it surpasses this estimate.
- π½ The fiscal deficit target for the year is set at 4.9% of GDP, with plans to reduce it further to 4.5% in the next financial year.
- π There's a reduction in the government's reliance on short-term borrowing, which could help in reducing market yields.
- π The government is shifting its focus from just meeting fiscal deficit targets to reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio, indicating a new fiscal policy framework.
Q & A
What was the main focus of the discussion in the video?
-The main focus of the discussion was the analysis of the budget, particularly the changes in revenue and capital expenditure, tax revenue projections, and the government's fiscal consolidation strategy.
How did the post-election budget projections differ from the interim budget projections?
-The post-election budget showed an increase in revenue expenditure by 55,000 CR compared to the interim budget, while keeping the capital expenditure the same. The government used the additional RBI dividend to increase revenue expenditure and reduce the deficit.
What was the additional revenue expenditure allocated for in the budget?
-The additional revenue expenditure was allocated for employment incentive schemes, increased allocation for PM AAS yoga, and financial assistance for states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh.
How did the tax revenue projections for the full year budget compare to the interim budget?
-The gross tax revenue projections were broadly the same between the interim and full year budgets, with a slight reduction in net tax revenue to the central government, which was compensated to the states.
What was the projected growth rate for income tax and corporate tax collections in the budget?
-The projected growth rate for income tax was around 13.5%, which was considered realistic. The corporate tax growth rate was scaled down to 12.8% from the interim budget's projection of 14.5% due to subdued company profits.
What was the nominal GDP growth assumption in the budget, and why is it considered conservative?
-The nominal GDP growth was assumed to be 10.5%, which is considered conservative because it assumes a real GDP growth of 7% and a GDP deflator of 3.5%. This is seen as conservative because recent trends show WPI and CPI inflation rates that could push nominal GDP growth higher.
What was the government's target for fiscal deficit in the budget?
-The government targeted a fiscal deficit of 4.9% of GDP for the year, which is a step towards the fiscal consolidation path with a target of 4.5% for the following year.
How did the budget address the issue of borrowing and debt?
-The budget aimed to reduce reliance on short-term borrowing and increase long-term borrowing to manage debt more effectively. It also indicated a shift in focus from targeting a specific fiscal deficit number to reducing the debt to GDP ratio.
What was the government's approach to factor market reforms as discussed in the budget?
-The government announced a new economic framework that would include factor market reforms such as land and labor, with an emphasis on collaboration between the central government and state governments. The budget also tied a portion of the capital expenditure allocation to the implementation of these reforms.
What was the audience's question regarding the government's commitment to the new tax regime?
-The audience questioned why the government was not encouraging public investments by increasing ATC limits, given its commitment to the new tax regime. The response indicated that the government was nudging people towards the new tax regime, which does not have many exemptions and deductions, and that future incentives would be provided under the new tax regime.
Outlines
π Economic Analysis of the Indian Budget
The video segment begins with a discussion on the intricacies of the Indian budget, focusing on the changes post-elections. The revenue expenditure is noted to have increased by 55,000 CR, while the capital expenditure remains at 11.11 lakh CR. The government's strategy to balance fiscal consolidation with spending is highlighted, with a significant portion of the additional RBI dividend being allocated to boost revenue expenditure. Key allocations are mentioned, including employment incentive schemes, PM-AAS yoga, and financial assistance to states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh. The conversation also touches on the fiscal space created by the anticipated RBI dividend and the government's approach to managing it.
πΌ Corporate and Income Tax Projections
This part of the script delves into the budget's tax projections, comparing them with the previous financial year. The gross tax revenue is expected to increase by 10.8%, mirroring the growth rate of the previous year. The net tax revenue projection after excluding the state's share is also discussed. A detailed analysis of the expected changes in income tax and corporate tax collections is provided, with a focus on the potential impact of subdued corporate profits due to rising commodity prices. The discussion also covers the government's conservative approach to tax revenue projections and the possibility of surpassing these targets, especially considering the robust Advanced Tax collections observed.
π’ Disinvestment and Asset Monetization Outlook
The conversation shifts to the government's plans for disinvestment and asset monetization. Despite previous years' underachievement, the budget maintains a target of 50,000 CR for miscellaneous receipts. The potential shortfalls in achieving these targets are discussed, along with the challenges in capital expenditure due to the election cycle and monsoon months. The script also mentions the increase in the state's share and the implications of interest-free loans on the budget.
π Fiscal Deficit and Government Expenditure Quality
The script discusses the government's focus on improving the quality of expenditure, with a rising share of capital expenditure as a percentage of GDP. It contrasts this with the declining share of revenue expenditure, leading to a compression in the overall size of the government budget. The fiscal deficit target for the year is set at 4.9%, with plans to reduce it further to 4.5% in the subsequent year. The strategy to reduce reliance on short-term borrowing to manage market yields and the broader fiscal policy framework focusing on debt-to-GDP ratio reduction are also covered.
π Factor Market Reforms and Economic Framework
The final part of the script addresses audience questions about the government's commitment to factor market reforms, labor codes, and land reforms. It highlights the announcement of a new economic framework that includes land and labor reforms, and the government's intent to collaborate with state governments for implementation. The script also touches on the political implications of these reforms and the government's approach to nudging state governments towards reform through financial assistance.
πΌ Tax Regime and Public Investments
The last paragraph addresses questions about the government's approach to tax regimes and public investments. It discusses the shift towards the new tax regime, the incentives provided for it, and the rationale behind not increasing the ATC limit, which is part of the old tax regime. The script emphasizes the government's efforts to encourage a tax regime without numerous exemptions and deductions, and the focus on moving individuals and businesses towards this new system.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Budget
π‘Revenue Expenditure
π‘Capital Expenditure
π‘Fiscal Consolidation
π‘Mutual Funds
π‘Market Risks
π‘Gross Tax Revenue
π‘Net Tax Revenue
π‘Disinvestment
π‘Asset Monetization
π‘Fiscal Deficit
Highlights
The budget projections after the elections show an increase in revenue expenditure compared to the interim budget estimates.
The government received a higher-than-anticipated dividend from the RBI, providing additional fiscal space.
The budget aims to balance fiscal consolidation with boosting spending, with a tilt towards accelerating fiscal consolidation.
The employment incentive scheme and PM AAS yoga are among the areas receiving increased funding.
Financial assistance for states like Bihar and Andhra Pradesh is part of the budget.
Capital expenditure remains unchanged, focusing on maintaining fiscal consolidation.
Gross tax revenue projections are similar to the previous year, with adjustments in capital gains and income tax.
There is a reduction in net tax revenue for the central government, with an increase in states' share.
The budget projects a realistic increase in income tax and a more conservative growth in corporate tax due to potential pressures on company profits.
The nominal GDP growth assumption is conservative, potentially allowing for better-than-expected tax revenue.
The quality of government expenditure has improved, with a focus on capital expenditure over revenue expenditure.
The fiscal deficit target for the year is set at 4.9%, with a plan to reduce it to 4.5% in the following year.
The government's borrowing strategy includes a reduction in short-term borrowing to manage market yields.
There is a shift in focus from targeting a specific fiscal deficit number to reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The budget includes measures to nudge states towards implementing factor market reforms, including labor and land reforms.
The government encourages a shift to the new tax regime, which is more streamlined and less reliant on exemptions.
The budget's overall approach indicates a commitment to fiscal responsibility and structural reforms.
Transcripts
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related documents carefully hello and
welcome to this episode of mutra I'm TCA
Sharad ragavan Deputy editor at the
print and this time we're going to be
discussing the budget mats the budget
happened a few days ago and there were a
lot of headlines about it a lot of
interviews but the nitty-gritties of the
actual numbers in the budget that's what
we're going to analyze and to do that we
have with us radika pande associate
professor at nipfp thank you so much
radika for joining thank you Sharad but
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thank you so much and now radika coming
to the budget how does this budg buget
projections it comes after the elections
how do they vary from the interim budget
projections which were before the
election yeah so after the elections if
we see there is there are two more two
most important changes one is that the
revenue expenditure has increased as
compared to the interim budget so uh
while the capex has been kept uh same
which is 11.11 lakh CR cap the revenue
expenditure has increased by 55,000 CR
over the interim uh budget estimates so
uh we know that the government got the
RBI dividend more than anticipated so
there is an additional fiscal space of
around rupees 1.5 lakh CR and we
discussed that earlier that what the
government would do would it focus more
on fiscal consolidation or boosting
spending or a balance or a combination
or a balance and we see that the
government has tried to strike a balance
here and uh you know it's the Tilt is
more toward towards uh you know
accelerating the path of fiscal
consolidation so we see that of the uh
additional um uh RBI dividend around
55,000 CR has been used to uh increase
Step Up Revenue expenditure and the rest
has been used to reduce the deficit so
that's the combination and if you look
at the revenue expenditure the
additional 55,000 CR a part of it is
going on the employment incentive scheme
that was uh announced anounced in the
budget a part of it is going on the PM
AAS yoga because there the allocation
has increased as compared to the interim
uh as compared to the interim budget and
then there are few other uh increase and
there is also there's going to be
financial assistance for Bihar and Andra
Pradesh and a few more States so on the
expenditure side we see that there has
been an increase of 55,000 CR on Revenue
expenditure but capital expenditure has
been kept same now on the uh Revenue
side the gross tax revenue is broadly
same uh because what we saw from interim
budget to uh the ful year budget that
capital gains tax has been reduced
whereas uh income tax has capital gains
tax has been increased whereas income
tax has been uh reduced the slabs have
been rationalized yeah yes and then the
corporate tax on foreign companies has
been uh reduced so overall if we see
there is uh not much change between the
interim budget and the final budget when
we look at the gross tax revenue uh but
there is a uh reduction in the net tax
revenue to the central government there
is a reduction of around 18,000 CR from
the interim budget to the full year
budget and this uh additional is being
is going to the states so in absolute
level the uh states share in the uh
Devolution in the total uh centers taxes
has increased in absolute levels
but not in terms of as a proportion of
the gross tax revenue which is still
same as 35% which was similar to what
was in FY 24 remember that the finance
commission recommendation is 41% 41% of
the shareable taxes have to be uh given
to States but what we see is 35% but in
absolute term there is an increase and
rest we know is accounted for by cesses
and sarch charges which are not shared
with the states right so now sticking to
the tax uh projections that they have
for the year uh by how much are Income
Tax and corporate tax collections
expected to increase by and are these
realistic yeah so now when we are
talking about realistic let's talk in
terms of you know comparing with uh FY
24 that is the last year and because we
have the benefit of the provisional
actual numbers because this time around
the government has also released the
provisional actual uh so we don't need
to compare with the revised estimates
which is one way of doing but a better
way of doing is to uh compare with the
provisional actuals which are one step
closer to the final numbers actual final
numbers yeah though they are un audited
but they are uh closer to the actual
numbers so okay so when we look at the
from the tax side when we see the gross
tax revenue the uh gross tax revenue is
likely to increase by 10.8% which is
similar to what was projected in FY 24
you know the same growth rate has been
maintained uh the net tax revenue is
likely to increase by 11% net tax
revenue which is after excluding the
state's share now when we come to income
and corporation tax you know earlier in
interim budget the growth was projected
at more than 14% but now for the final
uh budget we have seen that the growth
rate projection for corporation tax has
been scaled down a bit and uh that is
because you know today there's a
statement also that you know the
company's profits for the first quarter
have been subdued and therefore they
have Revis downwards their uh growth
assumptions for corporation tax for FY
25 so in the interim budget the
corporate tax were expected to grow by
14.5% now they are expected to grow by
12.8% and there could be challenges on
corporate taxation front because you
know profits are now coming under
pressure the comp's profits are now
coming under pressure mainly because of
increase in the commodity prices you
know commodity prices are uh rebounding
again so uh on the corporation tax there
could be some challenge but on income
tax last year we saw that income taxes
grew by more than 25% and this time they
have kept the target at somewhere around
13.5% which seems realistic even though
they have increased the standard
deduction and they have rationalized the
taxes but on income taxes I think the
assumptions are realistic because even
if we look at the uh first quarter
Advanced Tax collections they have been
quite robust the other uh important
Point uh underpinning all this
discussion is the growth rate of nominal
GDP right and the nominal GDP growth has
been assumed at 10.5% which is the same
which is the same as interim budget and
uh again it is on a conservative side
because it assumes a real GDP growth of
7% and a GDP deflator of 3 and a half%
which does seem very conservative which
which seems conservatives because you
know and GDP deflator is a combination
of WPI and CPI more so WPI WPI has a 60%
weight roughly and CPI has 40% weight so
now we are seeing that WPI is inching up
you know earlier it was in the
contractionary zone now it's inching up
so if WPI Rises if GDP deflator Rises
our nominal GDP growth uh could surpass
10.5% and that would again give cushion
to the tax to GDP ratio so that is again
something that could support the uh
assumption so overall the tax revenue
projections look realistic they look
conservative the only uh pressure could
emerge from corporate uh taxes if the uh
profit margin of companies uh continue
to remain under pressure due to to the
rise in commodity prices and on income
tax uh uh most likely there is going to
be some sort of balancing between the
reduction in the due to the tax laab
restructuring and this ltcg and
short-term capital gains and all of that
being raised absolutely and also you
know the income tax collections have
been rising because of the change in the
treatment of dividend distribution tax
that was introduced in fy21 so we are
seeing a a surge in collections of uh
income tax so we do see that that is
likely to continue and only pressure
could emerge from the corporate tax okay
and now the other major thing that a lot
of people look look at in the budget
especially recently is what they're
projecting on disinvestments correct and
their asset monetization and things like
that because they went very big on all
of this uh over the last few years
there's the public sector Enterprises
policy there was the asset monetization
scheme and all of that so what is the
the Outlook this year yeah so it's
similar to what they had done in the
interim budget and now the practice is
that uh they uh you know give a combined
category which is miscellaneous receipts
or other Capital re it's not called
disinvestment it's not called
disinvestment it's not called asset
monetization and they give a uh one
figure which is 50,000 CR which is
similar to what was there in the last
year even though last year they were uh
they under achieved the target it was
50,000 CR they achieved around 33,000
33,000 CR so again they have kept on
around 50,000 CR so we don't see much uh
traction happening there and uh there
could be some again shortfall due to uh
this uh disinvestment and asset
monetization the other shortfall could
also arise due to capital expenditure
because you know it's again they are
targeting 11.11 lakh cor and given now
you know in the first two months capix
was quite subdued due to the election
cycle and now only eight months are left
and even amongst those eight months
these are the monsoon month Monsoon
months so we don't see much activity
happening during the monsoon month and
also that State's share has been
increased from 1.3 lakh CR to 1.5 lakh
CR and that is also a conable part of it
is tied to the rolling out of these are
those interest free loans interest free
loans 50e interest free loans and the
interim budget were 1.3 lakh CR now it
is 1.5 lakh CR so there is a challenge
on the absorption of the implementation
execution of Big Ticket capital
expenditure or Big Ticket investment
projects and uh there could be some
savings on account of under spending on
capital expenditure similar to what we
saw last year last year also there was a
saving of 50,000 CR the target was 10
thou 10 lakh CR and there was a saving
of 50,000 CR okay so now since we are
talking about uh capital expenditure
and you mentioned Revenue expenditure
before that can we say that the quality
of overall government expenditure has
improved and the size of the budget also
if you could tell us a little bit about
that yeah certainly this uh quality of
expenditure has improved because if we
see uh expressed as a share of GDP we
see that you know capital expenditure as
a share of GDP has been rising since uh
uh preco time you know particularly from
covid onwards we saw that the share of
capital expend as a share of GDP has
risen and now it's reached 3.4% of GDP
and uh correspondingly the share of
Revenue expenditure Revenue expenditure
as a share of GDP has been gradually
declining and uh the uh cumulative
impact of these two Trends has been that
the size of the government budget is
also getting compressed the size of
government budget can be expressed as a
ratio of total government expenditure
upon GDP and if if we look at that ratio
for uh the current year the total
expenditure to GDP is uh likely to be
15% it used to be 16% uh 2 years back
and slightly higher amount earlier so we
are seeing a gradual compression of the
size of the budget the share of capital
expenditure Rising the share of Revenue
expenditure uh gradually declining
though in this year's uh budget the full
budget we are seeing that there has been
again some reversal of that because of
the constraints because of the diverse
expectations of expenditure because of
new items of expenditure like uh
employment generation schemes and so on
there is a slight uptake in Revenue
expenditure but if we look over the
medium term we see that the quality of
expenditure has uh improved and the
focus has been more towards
capex okay and now the other metric of
uh the quality of government spending or
you know how well it is be doing with
its finances is of course the fiscal
deficit right and uh the government has
pegged it at
4.9% for this year which we kind of
expected they might do but it's still at
the lower end of what we thought they
might do we thought maybe 5% yes so
because we uh you know we were expecting
a greater chunk would be towards uh
boosting spending but here what we are
seeing is that while there has been an
increase in Revenue expenditure but
greater Focus has has been on
accelerating the path of fiscal
consolidation so that next year when
they might not get the benefit of higher
dividend uh reducing the fiscal deficit
to 4.5% is not much of a problem for
them because FY 26 fiscal defit Target
is 4.5% so that's why they have tried to
accelerate the path of fiscal uh
consolidation from uh 5.1% which was
earlier invis in the interim budget to
4.9% of uh G GDP and there also you know
the borrowing have also been uh lowered
by 12,000 CR through the issuance of
dated Securities and what they have done
very interestingly is that they have cut
their Reliance on short-term borrowing
right and which is you know we have to
place it in the larger context you know
what we talked about inclusion of
government bonds and what all sorts of
implications could arise due to that and
we saw that there was an influx of uh uh
foreign funds and RBI did intervene
through the sale of bonds so that was
putting an upward pressure on yields and
therefore what government has done is
that it has cut its Reliance on
short-term borrowing which would have
the uh objective of which would have the
consequence of reducing the yields so
that is one important thing and the
other is that they have reduced their
Reliance on short-term borrowings so
overall Market borrowing there is not
much of a reduction through government
securities reduction is happening on T
bills and on U the uh small saving
instruments right so now since we are
talking about borrowing and debt the
government has indicated both in
interviews and in the budget itself that
the focus is shifting from targeting a
particular fiscal deficit number say for
example 3% as is mandated by law they're
now focusing more on bringing the debt
to GDP ratio down right could you tell
us a little bit more about this yeah so
if we go back to 2018 when the uh NK SN
committee gave its recommendations on
the new fbm architecture there also uh
the fbm was amended to introduce debt to
GDP ratio as an anchor for uh fiscal
policy because uh prior to that the only
targets were in terms of the deficits
fiscal deficit Revenue deficit effective
Revenue deficit and so on now Focus has
shifted now from uh you know the what
the budget speech indicated was that
there would be a shift from uh focusing
on a single number of fiscal deficit to
fixing it at such a level that there is
a reduction in the debt to GDP ratio now
debt to GDP ratio is a stock it's an
outstanding stock and that requires uh
you know that you have to bring down the
ratio either through increasing in GDP
or through reducing reduction in
borrowing so uh fiscal deficit has to be
fixed in a way that there is a reduction
in debt to GDP ratio that's what the
government has articulated as the new
fiscal policy framework now the next
logical step should be that they should
come up with a uh Glide path for Deb to
GDP ratio right at least set some
targets set some Target that you you
want to reduce the debt to GDP ratio but
by how much do you want to reduce it by0
5% or quarter per of uh how much do you
want to reduce it each year that is is
very important and that should be made
part of the fbm legislation so that it
is clear to the various stakeholders to
households to investors to foreign
investors and it imparts transparency to
the fiscal framework already we see that
credit rating agencies have given a
thumbs up to the fiscal framework uh
announced by the government so the next
step should be to have a transparent uh
Glide path towards the debt to GDP ratio
absolutely especially now if there's
greater scrutiny on because of bond
inclusion and all of that we need to be
more transparent absolutely but now
radika we have a number of questions
from the audience and now I know that
there were a lot of you who asked
several questions but I can take only
one per person so that's what I'm going
to do um a lot of your questions are
have probably already been answered in
the discussion we've had so far and so
I've chosen the ones that wouldn't have
gotten covered during the discussion so
Satoshi asks do you think strong tax
buoyancy would be maintained in the next
few years thanks to the progress in
formalization under the new employment
linked incentive schemes as well as GST
and digitization policies I think when
we see tax Bo Andy all the tax numbers
that they have projected in for fi25
most of them are quite on the
conservative side and therefore even tax
buoyancy is on the conservative side so
it is likely to be maintained and the
government might be able to do better
than uh what they have assumed in the uh
in the budget so yes you know till now
tax have been taxes have been B and they
are likely to be so in the uh in this
financial year itself and collections
have uh in the last few years outpaced
what the budget estimate has been
absolutely so last year also we saw that
even they outpaced the uh Revenue the
revised estimates also there were more
than that so that is likely to uh
continue at least in uh this financial
year okay and uh Gotham asks isn't the
exemption given to
corporates uh on utilizing CSR funds for
employment a wrong precedent as this
defeats the very purpose of CSR and it's
getting back to the company itself in
terms of an asset yeah so see uh firstly
the CSR guidelines are formulated by
Ministry of corporate Affairs and uh
anything what for what all purposes the
uh CSR funds can be uh utilized that is
all provided or mandated by the MCA
through their guideline now CSR is to be
spent on some of the important pressing
problems and given that employment is
one of the pressing problems I think a
small proportion you know it's it's
capped at 10% 10% of the training
expenses have to be uh can be utilized
through CSR so I don't see any uh
problem in that how well it will be
implemented we'll see we don't have much
experience on how the these schemes
would actually work but in terms of the
intent and purpose I don't see any
problem with the utilization of CSR uh
fund because uh if it could be used to
address some of the address one of the
major grave problems of the economy
there should not be any problem no
absolutely right employment and Skilling
is possibly our biggest problem yeah and
if companies can spend some amount of
their CSR funds on this and they can
show that that is that is the that's
going to be a big social service and
that will improve the quality
employability and benefit the companies
in the long run absolutely adiya asks uh
even though the Finance Minister
mentioned about the factor market
reforms in Her speech looking at the
entire speech she does not really talk
about the labor codes or their
notification or any kind of initiatives
on land reforms has the government truly
given up given up on its reform agenda
for or now due to political compulsion
there were some land reforms though yeah
so they what she announced was uh that
the government would come up with a new
economic framework which would uh
capture all factor market reforms which
would include land which would include
labor and the fact that they want to
have a collaborative uh effort from
States as well because you know if we
look at the labor codes there were some
resistance from States so now all this
would require collaboration from States
as well as the central government and
that is why if you see what the Finance
Minister mentioned was that the 1.5 lakh
CR which has been allocated for uh
assistance towards capital expenditure a
large part of that would be linked with
these uh reform so this is I think a way
to nudge the state governments also to
implement uh the various factor market
reforms and to simplify uh the registry
and all of these things and to implement
these reforms so I think it's going to
be uh the conditions to utilize the fund
will be conditional upon States
partnering with the central government
in rolling out these reforms and there
was some talk about digitization of land
records which is a big reform yeah crop
surveys digitization of land record so
all those things integrating digital
public infrastructure in agriculture so
those reforms were there and they are
likely to be taken forward as part of
the uh you know their Vision towards
vixit bhat which would have a new
economic framework you know rational
iation of FDI laws overseas Investments
all these were part of that so
everything cannot be rolled out as part
of the budget speech but the government
has articulated its intent and they want
States also to be equal Partners towards
that and to nudge them uh they have they
will be some part of that 1.5 lakh CR
loan would be tied to the implementation
of these reforms right and yes you're
absolutely right the labor code
notification did not find mention read
from on that what you will uh the
political compulsions of course are not
something that we are going to go into
this is an economic show so now we have
another question this is also by
somebody named adya it's from a
different handle so I don't know if it's
the same adya or not but uh they ask
when the government seems to be so
committed that they want everyone to be
shifted to the new tax regime and
they've provided incentives in every
budget in respect of the new tax regime
what is stopping the government from
introducing the new tax regime and why
the government is not encouraging public
Investments by increasing ATC limits ATC
limit is part of the old tax regime and
the new tax regime has been introduced
already has been introduced and this
entire the the rationalization of slabs
that have been introduced are all part
of the new tax regime increase in
standard deduction is also applicable to
only those individuals who are part of
the new tax regime so by all measures
the government is trying to nudge people
to move from the old tax regime to the
new tax regime uh they want people to
move to a regime which is uh which does
not have many exemptions and deduction
so therefore the exemption limit under
Section ATC and all those incentive
measures which earlier used to be part
of budget statements do not find mention
here because now the nudge clearly is to
move towards new tax regime and whatever
incentives would be provided in Du
course also would be part would be under
the new tax regime right so there you go
now looking deeper into the budget past
all of the announcements past all of the
words and looking at the numbers what it
shows is that now the capital
expenditure amount has not been
increased but a little more of the hus
of this spending has been put on the
state governments uh which is which is
interesting Revenue expenditure of
course has increased by some amount
because there are all of these
employment linked incentive schemes and
some other announcements that have been
made on the revenue side the income tax
revenue projections seem uh realistic
corporate tax revenue might come lower
than what is projected and what what is
projected is already lower than earlier
because their profits are down the
quality of government expenditure is has
been improving over the medium term
which means that there's more
expenditure on growth generating areas
like capital expenditure and less on
Revenue expenditure and the fiscal
deficit has come at 4.9% which again
seems like a realistic uh number I think
the projection is 4.9% which seems
realistic and they're on track for 4.5%
in the next year and the focus seems to
be shifting towards bringing the debt to
GDP uh level down now this is a great
articulation of intent but we would love
to to see actual targets being fixed to
this because that's the only way we can
hold the government accountable but on
that note that's all we have for you
thank you so much for watching
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