Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse on how the crypto industry will rebuild
Summary
TLDRSEC Chair Gary Gensler maintains skepticism of crypto despite Bitcoin ETF approval, still calling most assets securities. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicts eventual crypto regulation clarity in the US, though timing remains uncertain. He discusses Ripple's growth into custody along with other verticals, stock buybacks providing investor liquidity without urgency to IPO under hostile US regulators. Garlinghouse conveys optimism on crypto in 2024 with increased compliance and solving real-world problems, expecting retail caution but long-term trajectory mirroring early internet firms.
Takeaways
- 😊 Gary Gensler and the SEC have consistently lost court cases related to crypto regulation
- 👍 There is optimism that future SEC leadership will be more constructive in working with the crypto industry
- 🔥 Brad sees clear demand and growth potential for crypto custody services
- 📈 Ripple plans to continue growing through acquisitions in 2024
- 😎 Brad believes putting compliance first will put the crypto industry on a good trajectory
- 🎯 Ripple remains focused on blockchain infrastructure for enterprises
- 🤔 Brad doesn't see going public in the US as a priority given the regulatory environment
- 💡 Brad sees crypto following the dot-com hype cycle with long term potential
- ⏳ There is optimism that US crypto regulation will pass in 2024, likely around stablecoins first
- 🙌 Brad welcomes AI displacing crypto as the 'cool kid' and sees it as a sign of maturity
Q & A
What is Brad Garlinghouse's view on the SEC's stance towards crypto after the approval of the Bitcoin ETF?
-Garlinghouse believes the SEC and its chair Gary Gensler have not changed their skeptical tone towards crypto despite the Bitcoin ETF approval. He thinks Gensler is repeating the same stance unsuccessfully and has become a political liability by not acting in the best interests of US citizens and the economy.
How does Garlinghouse view the prospect of an Ethereum ETF being approved soon?
-Garlinghouse is confident there will be other crypto ETFs approved after Bitcoin, including for Ethereum, though he does not want to speculate on the exact timeline.
What are the chances of comprehensive crypto regulation being passed in the US in 2024 according to Garlinghouse?
-Garlinghouse believes there is a good chance legislation around stablecoins specifically will pass in 2024, as the US Treasury wants it. He thinks regulatory clarity is needed on stablecoins and will benefit the crypto industry overall.
How can the US regain leadership in crypto according to Garlinghouse?
-If clearer crypto regulations are passed in the US, Garlinghouse believes it will help the US compete again as a leading jurisdiction for crypto. Other countries have taken the lead partly due to lack of regulatory clarity in the US.
When does Garlinghouse expect the Ripple vs SEC lawsuit to conclude?
-Most of the case has been resolved in Ripple's favor already with the charges against Garlinghouse and Larson dismissed. Only a small part around institutional XRP sales remains open but Garlinghouse feels confident of the outcome after repeated wins.
What are Ripple's main areas of focus and growth in 2024 according to Garlinghouse?
-Ripple will continue growing its core RippleNet payments business and newly acquired custody business, which is seeing high demand already. It will likely expand into other verticals through acquisitions given its strong balance sheet.
Why is an IPO not a priority for Ripple currently according to Garlinghouse?
-With no immediate need to raise capital and an unfavorable regulatory environment in the US, Ripple is not prioritizing an IPO right now. Shareholder liquidity is still important though, hence the share buybacks.
How does Garlinghouse explain the more cautious crypto retail investor sentiment currently?
-Garlinghouse thinks retail investors may be more cautious given the crypto winter following hype and speculation. But he encourages long-term thinking, as the internet went through similar cycles before mass adoption.
How does Garlinghouse feel about crypto losing the hype to AI currently?
-Garlinghouse feels it's good crypto is more boring now, as hype cycles are common with new technologies like AI. He believes crypto fundamentals remain strong for long-term growth.
What are Garlinghouse's thoughts on stablecoins being a key focus of US crypto regulation?
-He believes regulatory clarity is needed on stablecoins, which have proven utility already. It will benefit the industry and bring any issues to light. Major stablecoins like USDT and USDC are here to stay in his view.
Outlines
😀 SEC stance on crypto unchanged despite Bitcoin ETF approval
Paragraph 1 discusses the SEC's unchanged negative stance on crypto even after approving a Bitcoin ETF. SEC chair Gary Gensler continues to call most crypto assets securities. Brad believes Gensler is acting against public interest and may eventually be replaced.
😊 Ripple lawsuit mostly resolved, institutional sales case continues
Paragraph 2 covers the status of Ripple's lawsuit with the SEC. The case against Ripple executives Garlinghouse and Larson has been dismissed. The judge ruled XRP itself is not a security. An aspect related to institutional sales continues in court but Ripple feels confident.
🤑 Ripple focused on payments, custody, exploring new markets in 2024
Paragraph 3 discusses Ripple's focus for 2024. They will continue growing payments and custody products. Ripple is cash flow positive and exploring acquisitions in new verticals like blockchain infrastructure for enterprises. An IPO is not a priority currently.
Mindmap
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Keywords
💡SEC regulation
💡Bitcoin ETF
💡crypto regulation
💡Ripple lawsuit
💡crypto adoption
💡crypto winter
💡compliance
💡custody services
💡SEC leadership change
💡retail investor confidence
Highlights
Gary Gensler has become a political liability in the United States and I think he's not acting in the best interest of the citizenry.
There will be other ETFs for sure, but an Ethereum ETF, I'm very optimistic about what we're going to see this year.
The stablecoin market has really surprised people in some ways in terms of solving a real need.
If the US regulation does pass this year, with clearer rules for the industry, it will help the US compete with other jurisdictions who took an early lead.
Ripple's core product Ripple Payments has continued to grow and we'll continue to invest in more payout markets around the world.
Ripple entered the custody market in 2023 and our incremental investment in 2024 will be in the custody business.
Ripple thinks about entering other vertical markets beyond payments and custody through acquisitions.
Ripple has been cash flow positive the last couple years, allowing us to invest in acquisitions even with the market shift.
Going public in the US with a hostile SEC doesn't sound appealing, so an IPO is not a short term priority.
Shareholder liquidity is important, which is why we've done tender offers and repurchased over $1B in stock.
I'm optimistic about crypto in 2024 by focusing on compliance, solving real problems, not just speculation.
Retail investors may be cautious after crypto's difficult winter, but long term there's momentum despite self-inflicted wounds.
Crypto going boring now is a good thing - it's progressing beyond the hype cycle like the early internet days.
AI is transformational but business models unclear - crypto was similar years ago and now further along positively.
Bitcoin not far off its all-time high shows optimism for what we'll see in crypto this year despite recent issues.
Transcripts
it certainly didn't sound like the SEC
or or the chair Gary gansler changed
their tone even after the approval of
the Bitcoin ETF there was a statement
Gary genser said he didn't endorse
Bitcoin uh he still called most other
crypto assets Securities is this
postering or do you think there's a
chance yesc has changed its
stance there's an expression about you
know one of the definitions of insanity
is doing the same thing over and over
again and not expecting a different
outcome I think Gary gendler is doing
the same thing over and over again and
thinks that somehow he's going to win in
court he has continued to lose in court
uh I do think the chair of the SEC Gary
gendler has become a political liability
in the United States and I think he's
not acting the best interest of the
citizenry he's not acting the best
interest of the longterm growth of the
economy uh and I don't understand it and
I think at some point you know there
will be a new chair of the SEC and I
think uh that'll be a good thing for the
American people there were a couple of
interesting things after that Bitcoin
ETF uh was approved proved in that
statement one and I paraphrase here was
effectively G Gary genter saying just
because we allowed the Bitcoin ETF don't
think we're now going to allow a bunch
of other crypto assets the second
interesting thing was the price of ether
skyrocketed immediately after on hopes
that they could now next be an eth ETF
um what are the chances of that I think
it's a certainty
I I I I I'm not going to put a horizon
on the time but I think there will be
other ETFs for sure X1 there will be
other ETFs for sure but but an xof
E1 I love this game we play look uh I am
very op that's fine the sad part of that
reality is we have a Bitcoin ETF only
because a US court said to the SEC
you're being arbitrary and capricious in
your apply of your applic application of
the law what would be sad is if every
ETF had to go through that same Journey
journey and for Gary gendler to get
smacked down by the US court system
again that that might be it might be
necessary but you know again at some
point I think Gary gendler won't be the
chair of the SEC and that'll be a good
thing for the American people there's
what the secc does and then there's what
is going on in Washington uh in amongst
lawmakers and that's those are those are
linked but also separate now the US
hasn't passed any kind of comprehensive
regulation around uh crypto assets at
this point unlike you know you see in
the European Union with Ma and some of
the other jurisdictions you mentioned
earlier as well to buy um but there are
a number of bills trying to make their
way through the lawmaking process one of
those is around stable coins there a
number of other others as well um do you
think that in 2024 there is the
political will given it's an election
year as well to to pass some of these
bills and bring them into law I I said
earlier I don't like to predict things B
based on time and this one I will I
think this year there will be uh
legislation that passes I I won't be as
uh you know predictive about which one I
think it likelihood is that the
stablecoin uh Clarity for stable coin I
can't remember the name of the bill that
has been uh you know going through the
the system in Washington DC but I think
we will see that in part because the US
Treasury wants it right I think the
stable coin Market has really surprised
people in some ways in terms is solving
a real need and I think it only makes
sense for there to be regulatory Clarity
around that I think that's good for the
whole industry and you know one of the
things we you said earlier is you know
are there skeletons in the closet the
stable coin Market because there hasn't
been clear rules of the road uh it'll be
interesting as that that comes to frish
you know the two primary obviously usdt
and usdc I I think they are you know
here to stay and I think you're going to
see other entrance in that market too
you you said before that the the U the
US risks losing some of the leadership
around around this industry that other
countries uh have taken a lead um and a
lot of that is due to what the SEC does
and the fact there isn't clear
regulation in the US if the regulation
does pass this year if there's clearer
rules for the for the road uh for the
for the broader industry does that help
will will the US be able to compete with
some of these other jurisdiction who
took an early lead in in this industry I
I for sure yes I I don't think the the
market has passed the US I think it has
passing and you are seeing I mean look
we have publicly shared uh over 70% of
Ripple's hiring last year was non- us
despite the fact that there's still a
majority of our employees in the United
States why would we want to hire in a
market where we have a hostile
government we have a government who
won't provide the clarity we have asked
for where we had to fight for years and
spend well well over100 million doar in
the court system to fight them so you
know there will continue to be a lot of
activity I think in London in Dubai in
Singapore or in some of the other uh you
know Capital Financial capitals of the
world but I think the US eventually
figes it out uh I don't know how to
predict what's going to happen in the
election cycle but no matter what
there's going to be you know a shift if
you will and I think we will see a shift
at the SEC hopefully to a a new chair
that is uh constructive and wants to
work with the industry and not put their
own agenda ahead of the the American
peoples um I've been asking you this
since 2020 because that's how long it's
been going on for Ripp
versus the SEC lawsuit when when do we
get a conclusion look but most of it has
been resolved right so the SEC filed a
lawsuit in December of 2020 so just over
three years ago against me against Chris
Larson and against Ripple the case
against uh Chris and Brad myself uh have
been dismissed entirely with prejudice
meaning they can't ever bring it back
and the case against Ripple they lost on
everything they cared about I mean their
primary tenant was that xrp is a
security and in the judge Torres opinion
what she wrote is xrp is in of itself
not a security so I feel very good about
that the SEC then asked for approval to
appeal that decision and that was denied
so I mean look the SEC has lost
consistently in this case uh there is a
piece of the case that continues around
institutional sales because investment
contracts where Ripple sold xrp to in
institutions who wanted to speculate the
irony there is you know again the sec's
one of their missions is to protect
investors how many of our institutional
xrp sales did they lose
money
none like what are we arguing about what
are we anyway so look that will uh
proceed through the court system for a
little bit longer but I I feel very good
about where we are and I I I frankly
really pleased for the whole xrp
ecosystem and the whole crypto Market
benefited immensely from that legal win
um just for the last five minutes Brad
let's talk about Ripple what your focus
is this year where where you're going
and the future um um for for 2024 where
are you putting your energy well a
couple things come to mind there
obviously uh our core product R Ripple
payments has continued to grow uh and
that's something we'll continue to
invest in more uh payout markets around
the world we uh through an acquisition
entered the custody Market in 2023 uh
certainly a lot of our investment our
incremental new investment in 2024 will
be invested in the custody business uh
is that in ant is that in anticipation
of of some of these bigger investors
getting in to the markets and well I
mean I on one hand I say yes however
there's already a tremendous amount of
demand I mean that business is growing
very quickly we announced publicly just
a month or two ago that HSBC is a new uh
client of that business so you know
these are Big accounts as well as more
mid-market accounts the custody business
is very real and is going to continue to
grow nicely you know I do think Ripple
thinks about entering other vertical
markets so payments custody I think
we'll do other things in 2024 some of
the those will probably enter through
acquisition uh we've been super
fortunate to have a very strong balance
sheet at a time that uh you know that
the market has shifted and the the
valuations of a lot of these companies
is not what it once was that's been an
opportunity for us and so we're going to
continue to play offense and what are
the areas that interest you
then I was thinking about being your
wardrobe
consultant no I'm not going to announce
the world you know the key areas but
look ripple at its core is a block chain
infrastructure company serving
Enterprises we started with payments and
financial institutions we've moved into
custody a lot of overlap with those same
financial institutions uh but we're
going to expand with that same thematic
of infrastructure enterprise-based uh it
served us well and what what are your uh
growth expectations this year what what
Revenue growth are you tracking this
year will you be profitable this year so
you know we have been cash flow positive
the last couple of years uh you that has
been a unique place in the market and
allowed us to invest not only in the
core of Ripple but also in Acquisitions
even you know recently you may have read
we did a tender offer to our
shareholders we've now repurchased uh
over a billion dollars of stock from our
shareholders uh that's something that's
important to us quite frankly because it
is not an immediate term priority to go
public uh you know in the United States
trying to go public with a very hostile
regulator that has to approve your S1
that doesn't sound like a lot of fun to
me you know coin obviously had their S1
approved and now the SEC is suing them
for doing things that was outlined in
their S1 now that as I mentioned there's
a hearing tomorrow in the US about some
of that but I think it's indicative of
uh why would we want to subject
ourselves to an SEC that is openly
hostile to this industry so so in terms
of an IPO an exit of some sort is that
sort of parked to the side at this point
yeah you looking elsewhere outside the
US for a listing I I mean yes to all of
those uh
I don't think about an IPO as an exit I
think about an IPO as a step in the
journey uh you know shareholder
liquidity is important to me we have
investors that first invested in Ripple
in 2012 so uh they've been in this deal
for you know 11 and a half years and so
we want to provide that liquidity which
is one of the reasons why we've done
these tender offers and now per
repurchased just over a billion dollars
of stock uh you know we have looked at
other jurisdictions that have clear
rules of the road but honestly a lot of
people go public because they need to
raise Capital yeah Ripple is not really
in a place where we need to raise
capital and so it it is not a short-term
priority we're obviously keeping that
option open uh and we'll evaluate it you
know as time continues and we'll
evaluate again as we have uh new
Regulators sitting at the United States
SEC and I guess some of it's Market
dependent as well last year was an
interesting uh you know space with the
in the tech World more broadly there
were a lot of secondaries BuyBacks but
very few IPOs the market wasn't
obviously very great for him so I guess
it's also you know how how the broader
markets play out as well for sure that's
part of it and not just the public
markets but also the crypto markets and
you know I think uh coinbase's stock is
in a much stronger position now than it
was a year ago but uh obviously well off
its highs from three years ago when it
went public so I it's just not a huge
priority we have a lot of capital very
strong balance sheet we can continue to
play offense through an acquisition
point of view invest in the business
you know as we started this conversation
I am very optimistic about the crypto
Market in 2024 uh because of those
things around putting compliance first
right making sure we focused on solving
real problems for customers and not just
the speculative cycle I think will put
the whole industry and a really good
trajectory how do you think the retail
investor feels because the you know we
know in previous Cycles uh more broadly
you know you get the initial bump up
sort of at the phase we're in now and
what takes it really to those alltime
High is the the the the fever amongst
the retail investors now the last cycle
was was special it was a very different
crypto winter to one that we had seen
before characterized by a lot of
bankruptcies a lot of contagion and then
obviously the issues with FTX and
binance as well um do you think the
retail investor at this point may be a
little bit more cautious this time
around this cycle about dipping the toe
back in I I think probably yes but you
know look uh one of the I think
advantages I've been around the block
once or twice I remember the earliest
days of the internet as we know it and
you know the retail investor really drew
the hype cycle of Internet 1.0 and I'm
talking about 1999 2000 and then you had
a wash out in 2001 2002 and that was a
painful you know the dotc crash but
today when we sit here the some of the
most valuable companies on the planet in
alphabet meta you know these are
companies that were born of that era
and so I I think that what happens in
the short term around crypto is you know
I take a very long View and I I
encourage whether you're a retail
investor or an Institutional Investor I
think if you take a long-term view about
where these markets are going and why
there's so much momentum despite the
self-inflicted wounds I mean again as
you and I talked backstage Bitcoin is
not that far from its all-time high
right now yeah and I'm I'm very
optimistic about what we're going to see
this year um BR just as we WRA up uh I
was walking down the prominade yesterday
and crypto has been displaced by AI as
the cool kid on the block how do you
feel about that I'm thrilled you're
thrilled why look I I think that it's
good that crypto is boring now right
it's cryp I
don't look I I think uh everything every
new technology goes through a hype cycle
I think AI is also a technology here to
stay transformational in a lot of ways
but also not exactly clear what the
business models are how it's going to
play out and I think that's where crypto
was a few years ago and I think now
we're further along and I think that's a
very positive thing for the crypto
industry I'm excited about what's going
on in AI uh I'm I'm a Voyer not a
participant in that world but uh it's
going to be interesting rad always a
pleasure to speak to you that was a
well- win tour as always thank you so
much for joining me today Round of
Applause for Brad Garling CEO of r
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