3. Order flow

Odoniz
18 Jan 202452:53

Summary

TLDRIn this technical analysis series lesson, we delve into the basics of institutional order flow, exploring how significant market movements are influenced by institutional trades. We cover the concepts of liquidity, liquidity pools, and the strategic placement of stops by retail traders, providing insight into how institutional traders engineer liquidity to execute large orders without causing market disruption. Through practical examples and chart analyses, we illustrate the concept of stop hunting and how it plays a crucial role in understanding market dynamics. The lesson emphasizes the importance of recognizing high probability liquidity pools and offers strategies to avoid being caught in stop hunts, aiming to enhance trading strategies by incorporating institutional order flow insights.

Takeaways

  • πŸ’­ Institutional order flow is crucial for understanding market movements and can significantly change how one perceives the markets.
  • πŸ“ˆ Markets are influenced by the actions of institutional traders who face unique challenges due to the size of their trades, including slippage and front running.
  • πŸ’‘ Engineering liquidity is a strategy used by institutional traders to create the necessary conditions for executing large orders without drastically affecting the market.
  • πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ Liquidity pools are areas with a high concentration of stop losses or pending limit orders, acting as untapped sources of liquidity.
  • πŸ”¨ Stop hunting occurs when price moves to trigger the stop losses, creating liquidity for institutional traders to enter or exit positions.
  • πŸ‘€ Identifying high probability liquidity pools involves looking for areas where retail traders are likely to place their stops, such as below swing lows or above swing highs.
  • πŸ“‰ Not every swing high or low qualifies as a liquidity pool; selection should focus on those with significant market attention and visibility.
  • 🚨 Strategies for retail traders to avoid being caught in stop hunts include adjusting stop placement, monitoring price action, and understanding market dynamics.
  • πŸ’° Trading involves risks, and understanding institutional order flow can provide an edge, but it's not foolproof or a guarantee of success.
  • πŸ“Ί The script emphasizes the importance of education and practice in trading, recommending following experienced traders and utilizing demo accounts to hone skills.

Q & A

  • What is institutional order flow in the context of financial markets?

    -Institutional order flow refers to the buying and selling orders executed by large institutional investors, which can significantly influence market prices due to the size of their trades.

  • Why do institutional traders face difficulties executing large orders?

    -Institutional traders face difficulties such as slippage and front running because their large orders can significantly impact the market price, making it hard to execute orders at the desired price without moving the market.

  • What is slippage in trading?

    -Slippage occurs when there is a difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed, often resulting in a worse price for the trader.

  • How do institutional traders engineer liquidity?

    -Institutional traders engineer liquidity by creating conditions that encourage trading at certain levels, thereby ensuring that there are enough buyers or sellers at those levels to fill their large orders without significantly moving the market.

  • What are liquidity pools?

    -Liquidity pools are areas in the market where there is likely to be a concentration of limit orders or stops, offering a source of liquidity that can be tapped into by traders looking to execute large orders.

  • What is stop hunting?

    -Stop hunting is a strategy where traders intentionally push the price to levels where many stop-loss orders are placed, triggering them to create sudden price movements that the hunters can profit from.

  • How can retail traders distinguish between a genuine market move and stop hunting?

    -Retail traders can look for signs like price action, divergence, and candlestick patterns around key levels, and avoid placing stops at obvious levels to reduce the risk of being caught in a stop hunt.

  • Why is trading based on institutional order flow considered advantageous?

    -Trading based on institutional order flow is considered advantageous because it aligns smaller traders' actions with the movements caused by large institutions, potentially leading to more successful trades by following the market's dominant direction.

  • What is front running?

    -Front running is a practice where traders anticipate large institutional orders and enter positions ahead of them to profit from the subsequent price movement caused by the execution of these large orders.

  • Why are some assets more influenced by technical analysis and institutional order flow than others?

    -Some assets are more influenced by technical analysis and institutional order flow because they have higher liquidity and institutional interest, making their price movements more predictable based on order flow analysis compared to assets dominated by retail traders.

Outlines

00:00

πŸ“Š Introduction to Institutional Order Flow Basics

The lesson focuses on institutional order flow basics, outlining how market prices are influenced by institutional actions. The presenter explains the format of the lesson, which resembles a lecture with pre-prepared slides and charts, emphasizing a conversational approach to teaching. A disclaimer clarifies that the presentation is not financial advice but for educational and entertainment purposes. The video also gives shoutouts to individuals who introduced the presenter to concepts of order flow, liquidity, and market analysis, acknowledging the value of both free and paid resources available on their Twitter profiles. The outline promises to address the challenges institutional traders face, the mechanics of order flow, liquidity pools, and how these concepts can be applied to develop trading strategies.

05:01

πŸ”„ The Challenge of Large Institutional Trades

This section discusses the dilemma faced by institutional traders due to their large order sizes, highlighting the issues of market impact, slippage, and front running. It explains that institutional traders cannot simply use market orders without affecting the price significantly due to the volume of their trades. The video then introduces the concept of 'engineering liquidity' as a strategy used by institutional traders to execute large orders more efficiently. This involves creating market conditions that encourage other participants to take the opposite side of their trades, thus mitigating the problems of slippage and front running.

10:01

πŸ“ˆ Understanding Liquidity and Its Engineering

The video explains the fundamental principle that for every buyer, there needs to be a seller and vice versa, introducing the concept of liquidity in trading. It further elaborates on how institutional traders engineer liquidity by manipulating market conditions to create the necessary buyers or sellers for their large orders. This manipulation is achieved by influencing retail traders' perceptions of the market direction, thereby generating the opposite trading interest needed for the institution's orders to be filled.

15:02

πŸ’§ Identifying Liquidity Pools

Liquidity pools are defined as areas on the price chart where a significant number of limit orders or stop-loss orders are likely to be placed by retail traders. The video delves into how these pools are formed and why they represent untapped liquidity for institutional traders. It uses examples to illustrate how market movements towards these pools can trigger a cascade of orders, thereby releasing liquidity. The discussion includes how retail traders typically place their orders and how institutional traders exploit these behaviors.

20:05

πŸ” Techniques for Spotting Liquidity Pools

This part of the video outlines methods for identifying high-probability liquidity pools on charts, emphasizing the importance of being selective. It suggests focusing on deep swing points, ranges, and significant highs and lows that are visible across multiple time frames. The presenter argues that these points are more likely to attract retail stop orders, making them prime targets for institutional traders looking to engineer liquidity. The section encourages traders to think critically about where retail traders are likely to place their stops and to focus on the most obvious and significant levels for potential liquidity pools.

25:09

🎣 Exploring Stop Hunting Tactics

Stop hunting is introduced as a strategy where price is deliberately moved to trigger retail traders' stop-loss orders before reversing direction. The video explains how this practice benefits institutional traders by providing them with the liquidity to execute large orders. It discusses the mechanics of stop hunting, the types of orders involved, and the psychological aspects that make retail traders vulnerable to such tactics. Through examples, it demonstrates how institutional traders might initiate selling to trigger a wave of stop losses and then capitalize on the resulting liquidity to execute their own large orders at more favorable prices.

30:10

πŸ“Š Chart Examples and Analysis

The video presents several chart examples to illustrate the concepts of liquidity pools and stop hunting in action. It shows how institutional traders might manipulate the market to trigger retail stop losses, using price movements around significant highs and lows as case studies. These examples underscore how understanding these tactics can provide insights into market dynamics and potentially improve trading strategies by anticipating and avoiding common traps set by institutional traders.

35:11

πŸ› οΈ Strategies to Avoid Being Caught in Stop Hunts

This final section offers practical advice on how traders can avoid falling victim to stop hunts and liquidity pool traps. It emphasizes the importance of placing stop-loss orders thoughtfully, monitoring price action for signs of manipulation, and considering divergences as indicators of potential false breakouts. The presenter suggests being cautious with stop placements and advises against putting stops at too obvious levels. Additionally, the use of a trading journal is recommended to identify patterns in stop hunts and improve decision-making in future trades. The conclusion reinforces the educational nature of the video and invites viewers to consider the complexities of institutional trading tactics.

Mindmap

Keywords

πŸ’‘Institutional Order Flow

Institutional order flow refers to the buying and selling activity conducted by large financial institutions, such as banks, hedge funds, and investment firms. In the video, this concept is crucial for understanding how these entities influence market prices through their large transactions. The presenter explains that institutional traders face unique challenges, such as avoiding slippage and front-running, due to the size of their orders. These traders engineer liquidity to execute their trades more effectively, impacting the market's direction.

πŸ’‘Liquidity

Liquidity in financial markets refers to the ease with which an asset can be bought or sold without causing a significant change in its price. The video discusses how institutional traders create liquidity by generating buying or selling interest, crucial for executing their large orders. Liquidity pools, identified as areas with high potential for limit orders or stops, are targeted by institutional traders to fulfill this need.

πŸ’‘Slippage

Slippage occurs when there is a difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed. This concept is significant in the video as it highlights one of the challenges institutional traders face when entering or exiting large positions. The presenter emphasizes that to minimize slippage, these traders must strategically engineer liquidity in the market.

πŸ’‘Front Running

Front running is a practice where traders capitalize on advance knowledge of large pending transactions to execute orders that benefit from the subsequent market move once the large transaction is processed. The video discusses how institutional traders aim to avoid being front-run by others, as it can lead to unfavorable execution prices for their large orders.

πŸ’‘Liquidity Pools

Liquidity pools are defined in the video as areas on the price chart where a significant number of limit orders or stop-loss orders are likely to be placed. Institutional traders look for these pools as they represent potential sources of liquidity necessary for executing their large orders without causing drastic price movements.

πŸ’‘Stop Hunting

Stop hunting is a strategy where traders seek to drive the market price to levels where stop-loss orders are congregated to trigger those orders intentionally. In the video, this technique is presented as a method used by institutional traders to create liquidity by activating the stop-loss orders of retail traders, thereby facilitating the execution of their large orders at desired prices.

πŸ’‘Retail Traders

Retail traders are individual investors trading their own money, typically in smaller amounts compared to institutional traders. The video contrasts these traders with institutional ones, noting that retail traders' stop-loss orders often create liquidity pools that institutional traders can exploit for their benefit.

πŸ’‘Technical Analysis

Technical analysis involves evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volume. The video situates institutional order flow within the broader context of technical analysis, indicating that understanding these flows can provide insights into potential market movements and improve trading strategies.

πŸ’‘Liquidity Engineering

Liquidity engineering is a process where institutional traders manipulate market conditions to create liquidity, which they can use to execute large orders more efficiently. The video explains how these traders may intentionally push the price to trigger stop-loss orders or entice other market participants into creating the liquidity they need.

πŸ’‘Market Sentiment

Market sentiment refers to the overall attitude of investors toward a particular security or financial market. It's an underlying theme in the video, as institutional order flow and liquidity engineering tactics can significantly influence market sentiment, leading to price movements that align with the institutional traders' objectives.

Highlights

Introduction to institutional order flow basics, covering what moves price, where it moves to, and the objectives.

Disclaimer highlights that the presentation is not financial advice and emphasizes the risks involved in trading.

Shout outs to individuals who introduced the presenter to order flow concepts, liquidity, and trading strategies.

Overview of the problems institutional traders face, such as slippage and front running, due to their large order sizes.

Explanation of how institutional traders engineer liquidity to mitigate issues of slippage and front running.

Definition and importance of liquidity pools, areas likely to have a lot of limit orders or stops.

Discussion on stop hunting, where price trades through an area where retail stops are resting before moving in the opposite direction.

Strategies for developing an understanding of institutional order flow to improve trading.

Clarification that the concepts of institutional order flow are visible on any timeframe and are not a 'magic voodoo' but can significantly impact market understanding.

Warning against getting too obsessed with the concepts and marking out every single swing high and swing low as a liquidity pool.

Techniques for distinguishing a stop run from a genuine breakdown, acknowledging the inherent difficulty.

Definition of a retail trader versus an institutional trader, highlighting the scale of trading and the capital involved.

The necessity for an institutional trader to find or create liquidity for executing large orders without significantly impacting the market price.

Detailed examples of liquidity pools and how they are identified, including below swing lows and above swing highs.

A cautionary note on the importance of being selective in identifying genuine liquidity pools to avoid being misled by market movements.

Transcripts

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how's it going everyone we have got

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another lesson as part of the technical

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analysis Series today and this one is

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going to be on institutional orderflow

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Basics so essentially we're going to

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cover what moves

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price where it moves price to and for

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what

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objective um now before I jump into the

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disclaimer if you're not too familiar

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with the format of these lessons um

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typically the way it works is kind of

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just like a lecture I have some pre-prep

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pre-prepared slides and some

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pre-prepared charts and we just go

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through them in a sort of no editing uh

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free flow conversation very one-sided

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conversation more of a lecture but

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anyway that's how we run things and

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let's jump into it uh disclaimer

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presentation or basically anything I say

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isn't financial advice I mean I'm

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obviously not a financial advisor um

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trading is very risky you might lose all

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your money and um so trade demo accounts

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that's a good way of not losing your

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money if you only trade demo accounts

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and this is for entertainment purposes

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only with that said let's jump into a

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few shout outs very quickly essenti

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essentially these are the people who

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introduced me to orderflow Concepts and

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liquidity and all that type of stuff uh

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Trader

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danty ICT Trader SZ and Trader Simon now

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these are their Twitter handles and if

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you go on their Twitter

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um there's a wealth um of free and paid

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information that you can get it's all

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very good and recommended by myself um

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so go ahead and check them out and thank

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you to those gents for the content that

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they

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provide with that said let's jump into

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the outline what are we going to cover

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nothing's different compared to how we

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normally run this we're going to have

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some general remarks to start off we're

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then going to essentially frame um this

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lesson in the following context we're

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going to assess the problems that

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institutional Traders face and then by

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analyzing how they solve them we can get

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an idea of how order flow institutional

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order flow works and we'll then cover

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liquidity liquidity pools uh put those

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together to get an idea of stop hunting

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and then put all of that together to

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just develop some strategies and see how

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we can use this in our

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trading General remarks uh again this

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isn't some totally magic voodoo Guru

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type thing but certainly it's made a

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very big difference in the way I look at

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markets um and as it says here markets

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tend to make a lot more sense uh once

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you get this once you get the idea uh of

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the basics of institutional order flow

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uh some assets are more technical than

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others you know gold Euro Yen a lot of

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Forex pairs uh Bitcoin to an extent um

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follow the follow this stuff really well

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uh on stuff like lower cap altcoins with

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so much retail presence you know I doubt

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you have any banks trading shitcoins uh

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that essentially means the technical

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analysis can stay quite simple and by

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that I mean you know your triangles your

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flags you know your chart pattern

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Candlestick type stuff um but certainly

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once you get into the more liquid bigger

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assets this stuff and where you know the

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big boys are playing this stuff plays a

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much more prominent role these concepts

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are visible on any time frame and we'll

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jump into time frames and discussing

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those a bit later uh this point is quite

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important don't get obsessed with these

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Concepts and essentially don't take them

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too far uh I'll drone on a lot about

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what makes a good liquidity pool and you

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know that type of stuff they really the

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areas we should be paying attention to

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on our charts just don't be that person

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who gets really excited at this idea and

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starts marking out every single swing

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high and swing low as a um liquidity

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pool but again that will be covered at

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some detail we'll look at techniques for

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distinguishing a stop R from a breakdown

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um but it's inherently quite difficult

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to do which is why it works uh any but

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regardless we'll look at some techniques

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to try to protect your capital and then

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defining some terms at the end a retail

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Trader is an individual trading a

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personal account with usually smaller

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size not as much Capital whereas

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institutional Trader is someone trading

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other other funds not their own accounts

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you know that might be a firm desk um

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whatever it may be so they're trading

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money for an institution as opposed to

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their own

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account so let's contextualize

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essentially why order flow is important

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and um how we frame this discussion so

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if you're an Institutional Trader you're

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trading a lot of size right if you're

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one of these big Banks desks firms funds

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whatever uh and you're an experienced

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Trader you know you've been there for a

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bit they've taken you off the sim ages

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ago and you're in there with quite big

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amounts now with that said a quick

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reminder or a refresher hope hopefully

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um you can't buy and sell to yourself

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right there needs to be someone on the

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opposite side of your trade so for every

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buyer there needs to be a seller and for

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every seller there needs to be a buyer

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okay now going back to our institutional

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dilemma if you're trading big size you

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can't smash the market buy and sell

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button to get positions at least not

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very often um and these big Traders

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really do have issues um if they were to

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employ technique or just generally as

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well putting away their position size

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you know you might think oh well you

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know I risk 1 to 3% of my capital and I

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get filled just fine no slippage I can

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get in and out of Market sure you can

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but if you're trading one to three% of a

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massive account at some institution

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that's going to be a bit different and

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so what are the difficulties um that

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these that these Traders face well the

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first would be slippage and slippage is

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essentially um the difference between

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the price at which a Trader expects an

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order to be executed uh and then the

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price at which it is actually executed

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you know the discrepancy in the uh the

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price between those two things so the

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order that you put in and the order that

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you actually get and that difference is

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slippage which makes your position worse

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usually and then the other thing is

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front running which essentially means

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that if you're a big player moving big

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size in the market trying to get trying

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to buy or offer a certain level um

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you'll get essentially front run which

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means smaller Traders getting ahead of

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where you want to be and essentially not

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giving you your fill um and that's

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because you live uh a big you leave a

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bigger footprint you know your actions

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as a big Trader visible um also through

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the you know a bunch of tools the ladder

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the order book The Chart itself you know

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by the candlesticks and the volume Etc

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so those the difficulties you face you

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can't just tuck away your full position

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size at Market Market because you

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probably get slipped uh and there's a

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very good chance you get front run as

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well when the retail Traders notice that

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there's a big boy in town and they want

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to jump ahead of

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you so that's the Dilemma now the

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question is how do the institutional

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Traders get around this issue well the

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answer is by engineering liquidity and

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we'll get to what that means

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shortly engineering liquidity great

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sounds like a very useful term what does

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it actually mean well we need to first

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talk about what liquidity itself means

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so let's revisit this concept that for

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every seller there needs to be a buyer

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and for every buyer there needs to be a

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seller right again you can't just trade

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with yourself there needs to be someone

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uh on the opposite side of your position

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if you get a

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fill now what are the implications of

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this as simple as it sounds well that

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means that

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longs provide short liquidity and shorts

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provide long liquidity right let's take

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a moment to consider what that means

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that means if you want to short if you

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want to sell you need someone to be

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buying from you so the liquidity for

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your shorts will be the buyers the Longs

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okay and the opposite is true of course

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that if you want to go long if you want

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to buy you need people to sell to you so

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how do buyers get their liquidity that's

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via shorts via sellers right should be

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obvious but if you need to pause and

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replay whatever do it at your own pace

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um now how does this apply to our

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institutional Trader dilemma well if

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you're a big if you're a big player and

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you want to go

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long you need someone to be selling to

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you and if again this is just basically

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rehashing this and if if you're an

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Institutional Trader wanting to go short

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you need people to be buying your short

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from you you always need to pay your

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order with someone else if you're

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long there need to be shorts to pair it

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with if you're short there need to be

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longs to pair it with right so that

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leaves us with the question how do

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institutional Traders create sellers if

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they want to go long so engineer long

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liquidity and how do they create buyers

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if they want to go short engineer short

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liquidity and that in itself sounds

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quite difficult to do you know how do

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you

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convince the market participants that

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it's going in One Direction before you

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know bamboozling them and taking it in

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the other direction

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completely you know how do you create

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sellers for your buyers and how do you

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create buyers for your sells well the

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short version

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is if you need to create sellers you

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want you want to make the market looks

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like look like it's going to itself

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even though it isn't and if you want to

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create buyers you need to make the

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market look like it's going to go

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vertical even if it doesn't but we we'll

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cover this in great detail so now that

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we've understood liquidity what are

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liquidity pools now my definition is

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liquidity pools are areas where there

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are likely to be a lot of limit orders

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or stops uh and we'll cover this in

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great detail a tiny bit

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later but essentially pending limit

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orders are sources of untapped

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liquidity uh which is released or

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triggered by Price trading through a

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certain

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area right so if we draw up a rough

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example so this is our level okay let's

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say this is our support level and the

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market is let's say in a

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downtrend okay and see have Market

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trades into the

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level bounces and everyone's saying oh

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it's a deadcat bounce maybe hit some

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resistance and then it actually comes

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back down into the level

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now what is below what is either at this

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level or slightly below it well there

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are orders what type of orders uh we'll

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cover this in Greater detail again in a

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couple of slides but if you're a retail

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Trader if this low gets taken out you

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know if the market goes through and

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makes a lower low most retail Traders

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will want to be short this so they've

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seen this they''re missing the downtrend

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thinking okay this is a dead cat bounce

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dude I really want get short this asset

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if it takes out this low my textbook

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tells me it's made a lower low and it's

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going to go to so what does that

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mean what is actually below this low

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well a couple things actually and again

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this will be covered oh this is so ugly

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anyway there are two things below it one

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is the limit order to sell for people

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who want to get in on this move you know

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they're seeing it dump they're like oh

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man I want to short this it's made this

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low and now it's coming down and they're

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salivating at their mouth thinking oh

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dude if this low gets taken I'm short

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it's going to that means it's made a

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lower low baby pip says it falls off a

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cliff and it's going lower that's one

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type of limit order that's below this

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low what is the other type of limit

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order and that's that's a that's the

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cell right what is the other type of

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limit order below this slow well if you

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longed the dead cap bounce or whatever

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this bounces so let's say you're

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watching this bang and you bought

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somewhere here and you didn't sell here

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and now it's coming down where is your

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stop loss going to be well typically

play12:33

retail Traders would put their stop loss

play12:35

below the most recent or you know

play12:38

relevant swing low now what is a stop

play12:42

loss if you're long well if you're long

play12:45

that means your bought

play12:47

contracts and your stop loss is

play12:50

essentially the reverse so that would be

play12:53

an order to

play12:55

sell so we know that below this level

play12:59

and more importantly below this low

play13:01

there are two sources of selling the

play13:05

first is the people who are waiting for

play13:07

this low to get broken to jump on board

play13:10

the short that's one source of selling

play13:12

it's a limit order to sell if price

play13:14

takes out this low and then your second

play13:17

source of selling is people who longed

play13:20

and have a stop loss below this low and

play13:24

when the market takes it out their stop

play13:26

loss is triggered they're long and that

play13:28

means means they sell the contracts that

play13:31

they bought that's two sources of

play13:33

selling again we'll cover this in

play13:34

excruciating detail that's just to give

play13:36

you an idea that unta there is untapped

play13:39

liquidity um in these areas in the form

play13:43

of you know you've got untapped

play13:45

liquidity um let's actually go back to

play13:49

the to the slides because they're very

play13:50

useful

play13:53

here if this ever decides to

play13:56

load I'm not sure why it's so difficult

play13:59

hold on let me try this one more

play14:03

time you it take however long you need

play14:09

darling no you're not going to

play14:12

cooperate I'll give you three seconds

play14:15

one two a this is so annoying let's try

play14:19

a different

play14:21

slide can I present from

play14:24

beginning yay okay sorry about that so

play14:29

pending limit orders are essentially

play14:31

untapped liquidity which is released or

play14:33

triggered by Price trading through a

play14:34

certain area so from an Institutional

play14:37

perspective um buy orders when buy

play14:41

orders flood the market that's short

play14:43

liquidity and when sell orders flood the

play14:45

market that's long liquidity so in the

play14:48

example that we just had and again don't

play14:51

worry if I'm moving quickly because I

play14:52

will address this very thing a bit later

play14:55

so if we have price doing this in our

play14:59

example and then it comes back and takes

play15:01

out this level what the retail Traders

play15:04

are doing is they're selling below here

play15:08

the fact that this low gets taken out

play15:10

creates Sellers and again this goes back

play15:13

to our two sources Source One of selling

play15:16

is people who have a limit order to

play15:17

short below this low hey it's made a

play15:19

lower low it's going to the and the

play15:22

second source of selling is people who

play15:24

longed at An Inconvenient position

play15:27

didn't take any profits and then have a

play15:29

stop loss below the low so essentially

play15:31

just by the market taking out this low

play15:33

it creates a source two sources of

play15:36

selling and if we go back to our basic

play15:38

order flow things when sell orders flood

play15:41

the market that actually provides long

play15:44

liquidity right and again this will be

play15:48

covered I'm tired of I know I've

play15:49

repeated it a million times but uh you

play15:51

will see

play15:53

so this looks really cool how but how do

play15:55

we identify liquidity pools um well the

play15:58

simple test is where retail Traders

play16:01

taught to put their

play16:02

stops um and if you're like me who well

play16:06

like probably 99% of people who started

play16:08

off with essentially um retail sources

play16:12

of Education you know your gurus your

play16:14

YouTube videos your textbooks and so on

play16:17

um these four things are

play16:20

typically where it goes so either below

play16:22

swing lows above swing highs right so in

play16:27

in sort of trending markets and so on

play16:28

you know if price takes out a swing low

play16:31

oh well it's made a lower low so it's

play16:33

going to go lower right and then the

play16:34

same in the other direction that if you

play16:37

have a high and the market trades above

play16:40

it it's made a higher high and then it's

play16:41

supposed to go to the moon right and the

play16:44

other thing is range highs and range

play16:46

lows and what I mean by that is

play16:49

essentially when you have a period of

play16:53

consolidation where price is doing this

play16:56

type of thing you know price is ranging

play16:59

and so you will

play17:00

have liquidity on both sides of the

play17:05

range so you'll have people waiting with

play17:08

their orders just above to buy the

play17:10

breakout and you have people with their

play17:11

orders just below waiting for the

play17:15

breakdown more on liquidity pools

play17:18

because that's not

play17:19

enough I'll reiterate that newer Traders

play17:22

get too excited and assume that above

play17:24

every little high or below every little

play17:26

low there's liquidity pool this is wrong

play17:28

okay if this model of understanding

play17:32

order flows to be successful you must be

play17:34

selective in what makes a good liquidity

play17:38

pool so how what are some of the filters

play17:41

we can apply um to essentially be able

play17:43

to map out good liquidity pools from bad

play17:45

ones or essentially higher probability

play17:47

areas from lower probability

play17:50

areas

play17:52

um so let's look at some of the

play17:54

categories the first one is the deeper

play17:57

the swing

play17:59

you know the ones that really stand out

play18:00

on the chart as a big swing in and a big

play18:03

swing away um those tend to be you know

play18:06

above those deep swing highs and Below

play18:08

those deep swing lows those are your

play18:10

high probability areas for one um and

play18:14

now this is related to the first point

play18:16

but swing points visible on the higher

play18:18

time frames also tend to work better

play18:20

because and this is this bit's really

play18:22

important um it's not just the time

play18:25

frame that's crucial but it's really

play18:27

this that more Traders see them okay

play18:30

we're trying to essentially suck in as

play18:32

many retail Traders uh as we can with

play18:35

these swing points and you know the more

play18:38

they stand out the more visible they are

play18:40

the more likely that there will be

play18:41

orders above or below them right as I

play18:44

say here a lot of the time as you know

play18:47

simplistic as it well as simple as it

play18:49

sounds it's kind of common sense as the

play18:51

bits that really stand out and the bits

play18:53

that're really going to attract the most

play18:56

attention um and again uh we'll cover

play18:59

this in the chart examples but 15

play19:00

minutes hourly daily don't limit

play19:02

yourself only to high time frames or

play19:04

only to low time frames these are my

play19:05

favorite time frames for what it's worth

play19:07

for looking out for these setups uh

play19:10

extended consol consolidation ranges are

play19:13

good um for liquidity pools and as I

play19:16

pointed out in the earlier amazing

play19:18

diagram um with a screenshot rectangle

play19:20

above the Range High and below the range

play19:22

low uh tend to attract uh a lot of

play19:26

orders of people essentially waiting for

play19:28

break either way um High time frames

play19:31

highs and lows you know what is where is

play19:33

the daily High the weekly High um

play19:35

sometimes the monthly High depends

play19:37

depends how you trade but those types of

play19:39

significant areas um tend to attract a

play19:43

lot of orders as well uh equal highs and

play19:45

equal lows you know those stand out like

play19:47

a sore thumb anyway but just in case and

play19:50

then if you're unsure always ask

play19:53

yourself where the retail Traders stops

play19:55

resting um but these categories should

play19:57

be plenty uh to be able to identify

play20:00

where these are at and we'll look at

play20:01

some chart examples um now actually um

play20:05

let me actually think about this now you

play20:07

know what let's cover stop hunting then

play20:09

once we've got the full picture we'll

play20:10

look at some charts bear with me um now

play20:14

what is stop hunting now that we know

play20:17

the purpose of

play20:18

liquidity

play20:20

and how to identify high probability

play20:23

liquidity

play20:24

pools we can take a look at stop hunting

play20:27

and see how it fits into the picture

play20:29

well my definition of stop hunting is

play20:31

that where price trades through an area

play20:33

where retail stops we resting before

play20:36

usually moving in the opposite direction

play20:39

now this bit is important what do I mean

play20:41

by stops and this is something I covered

play20:43

in the rough drawing but we can cover it

play20:44

in more detail here well in the bullish

play20:48

case you know if the if you're long the

play20:50

market you have a big candle down you

play20:53

get stopped out and the market goes

play20:54

higher that that I I guarantee that has

play20:57

happened to every single person who's

play20:59

ever traded anything um that you have a

play21:01

the Market's you know you're long the

play21:02

Market's trending up everything's good

play21:04

you move up your stop or you have your

play21:06

stop below or low one candle or you know

play21:08

one move takes you out you think okay

play21:10

well the uptrends broken at least I'm

play21:12

out and then the market proceeds to

play21:14

continue it's uptrend and you're kind of

play21:16

sat there thinking what the hell just

play21:17

happened um so in this examp that's a

play21:20

very good example um and that's the one

play21:22

I'm using as my reference

play21:23

here so that's a bullish example where

play21:26

the market takes out a low

play21:28

or breaks support quote unquote it

play21:31

doesn't actually break it obviously cuz

play21:32

the market goes higher that creates

play21:35

Sellers and long liquidity is engineered

play21:39

now again you might need to go back a

play21:41

few slides and if this doesn't make

play21:42

sense to you but long

play21:45

liquidity if you want to go long you

play21:47

need sellers so by creating sellers so

play21:50

you break support or take out a low

play21:53

people start selling and you can get

play21:55

filled on your long okay that should

play21:57

make sense

play21:59

now what I mean by stops that comes in

play22:01

two

play22:02

forms so let's take let's you know let's

play22:05

draw it again who's it going to hurt

play22:07

these ugly

play22:08

diagrams

play22:10

um let's just

play22:13

draw the

play22:15

market like this right with this low

play22:19

being our

play22:21

level

play22:22

now what is below this low well anyone

play22:26

who's long will typically Ally have

play22:28

their stop loss below a recent or

play22:30

standout swing low right so if you're

play22:33

long the market let's say you're a

play22:35

crypto Trader and then typical F and you

play22:37

long the top uh a lot of the time

play22:40

especially if you're a trend Trader you

play22:42

know you only look you look for higher

play22:44

lows and all that type of stuff you look

play22:45

where the highs and lows are forming uh

play22:47

your stop loss where you know you're

play22:49

wrong or the trend has changed will be

play22:52

below the swing low right so that's

play22:55

where your stop loss is now if you're

play22:58

long and again I've covered this but

play23:00

again to reiterate if you're long and

play23:02

you have a stop loss if your stop loss

play23:04

gets triggered by the market going below

play23:08

your stop let's say this level is your

play23:10

stop if your stop loss gets triggered

play23:13

you bought

play23:14

contracts and so when your stop comes

play23:17

into play that's an order to sell right

play23:20

and we know that selling is long

play23:22

liquidity so that's your your first

play23:25

source of long liquidity your first

play23:27

source of selling is the stop losses of

play23:31

the people who went long and put their

play23:34

stop loss below the swing low what is

play23:36

the second source for liquidity is

play23:39

essentially your fomo buyers who see

play23:42

this low you know see this High form and

play23:45

they're looking at this come down and

play23:47

they're thinking okay look if this low

play23:50

gets taken that means the trend is

play23:51

broken um we've made you know if I made

play23:54

this a bit longer doesn't really matter

play23:55

we can just pay attention to this you

play23:57

know they're seeing the market you know

play24:00

fall off a cliff down into this low and

play24:02

they're saying hey if the market takes

play24:04

out this low it's going to make a lower

play24:07

low and I want to be short that so

play24:08

they're saying I'll put my limit order

play24:11

to sell slightly below this low so I

play24:13

know it's broken and then the market

play24:15

ideally should tank and make a lower low

play24:17

so you have two sources of selling at

play24:20

these swing points right so you have

play24:23

stop

play24:25

losses of people who long at a bad time

play24:29

and put their stop loss below the swing

play24:31

low and again when those are triggered

play24:33

if you're long with a stop it turns into

play24:35

a cell and the second group of people

play24:39

are the ones who are essentially foming

play24:41

in on this dump and they're saying not

play24:44

these people not in a position they're

play24:46

waiting to short right they're saying oh

play24:48

dude this low gets taken we're falling

play24:50

off a cliff and typically the limit

play24:52

order to sell will be a bit below this

play24:54

low and so when the market takes out

play24:56

this low it gets flooded with sell

play24:59

orders the stop losses flood the market

play25:02

and the limit orders flood the market

play25:05

that's a lot of selling now what is

play25:08

selling good

play25:10

for well let's underline it what is

play25:13

selling good for sellers created equals

play25:17

long liquidity so if you're a big

play25:20

player the amount of

play25:22

selling that takes place below the swing

play25:25

low is really good for you right at that

play25:28

point no one's going to front run you

play25:29

you're not going to get slipped there

play25:31

are all the orders in the world to

play25:33

sell in the market and you can just pick

play25:36

them up pair your Longs with the retail

play25:39

shorts and then ultimately Drive the

play25:42

market higher and again those make sense

play25:45

when we look at the charts and so what's

play25:47

the result of what we've just shown here

play25:50

the sell orders flood the

play25:53

market the selling is long

play25:56

liquidity and the institutional Traders

play25:59

can pair their Longs with the retail

play26:01

shorts and take take the market higher

play26:03

they want they need people to sell to go

play26:07

long when price takes out a

play26:10

low and triggers stops of those who are

play26:13

long so knocks them out and puts people

play26:17

on the wrong side of the market there's

play26:20

a ton of shorts which provide long

play26:22

liquidity and the big players can just

play26:23

pick them up um

play26:26

happily right now a lot of the time and

play26:29

this is actually the interesting thing

play26:31

um if you're if you're an Institutional

play26:33

Trader and you want to

play26:36

trigger um you know you want to take out

play26:39

I should make this a bit longer really

play26:40

and you want to take out this low the

play26:43

institutional Trader himself will

play26:44

actually start

play26:46

selling which sounds silly he like why

play26:48

is he putting himself underwater because

play26:51

if he wants to go

play26:52

long why would he sell and put himself

play26:55

in a losing position well it's because

play26:57

he knows that if he takes out this

play27:00

low that there's a ton of liquidity

play27:02

which he can pick up and then without or

play27:05

with much less risk and with more

play27:07

liquidity you can take the market higher

play27:09

so a lot of the time it's not the

play27:11

market uh well it is the market

play27:13

indirectly but it's actually the trader

play27:16

Who Wants to Be Long who starts out by

play27:19

taking

play27:20

out the low so he dumps in order to get

play27:24

more liquidity for a pump um you know he

play27:28

doesn't mind holding an underwater

play27:30

position for a bit if he knows that once

play27:33

this low is gone he can collect all the

play27:35

shorts in the world he wants all the

play27:37

long liquidity in the world he wants and

play27:39

take the market

play27:42

higher okay last couple slides before we

play27:45

go to charts I promise so the

play27:48

relationship between liquidity pools and

play27:49

stop hunting should now be clear uh

play27:52

namely that retail Traders stops which

play27:55

tend to accumulate around similar areas

play27:58

and those similar areas being you know

play27:59

the list we talked about a couple slides

play28:02

ago they create the liquidity

play28:05

pools you know the liquidity pools I say

play28:07

here are simply areas where

play28:10

stops and now we know that stops mean

play28:12

two things stop losses of people on one

play28:15

side of the market and limit orders of

play28:17

people who want to get in on the market

play28:19

have built up and have not yet been

play28:22

triggered now you need to think like an

play28:24

Institutional Trader if you needed to

play28:26

collect liquidity

play28:28

where would you get it and I reiterate

play28:31

the principle here in terms of the

play28:32

institutional trading mindset if you

play28:34

want to go long where would price need

play28:37

to go to create sellers sellers not

play28:41

sillers um and Trigger sell

play28:44

stops you know sellers equal long

play28:47

liquidity which is why going back to the

play28:49

example I just showed a lot of the time

play28:52

the big Traders will engineer the

play28:55

liquidity themselves

play28:57

you know they will start selling to take

play29:00

out a low and then go long so they hold

play29:04

an underwater position for the means of

play29:07

engineering liquidity and of course the

play29:08

opposite is true that if you're looking

play29:10

to go short um where would price need to

play29:14

go to create buyers and Trigger buy

play29:16

stops and buyers equal short

play29:18

liquidity um you know so it's the same

play29:21

it's exactly the same thing you can tell

play29:22

I really like drawing on the screenshot

play29:25

software if you have the mark Market

play29:28

making

play29:29

highs and you're an you're an

play29:32

Institutional Trader who wants to be

play29:33

short you know that a lot of people are

play29:35

going to be looking at these highs right

play29:38

now who is what is resting Above This

play29:42

High well buy

play29:44

orders what do you mean by buy orders

play29:47

again it goes back to our two sources

play29:49

anyone who's short or most people who

play29:52

are short will have their stop loss

play29:55

Above This high if you're short and have

play29:57

a stop that's an order to buy right so

play29:59

that's Source One of buying what's

play30:01

Source two of buying that's your

play30:03

breakout Traders Trend Traders whatever

play30:06

it may be who are thinking hey dude if

play30:08

the market takes out this high that

play30:10

means it's made a higher high and it's

play30:11

going to go to the

play30:12

moon so what happens at this

play30:16

level and again this goes back to the

play30:18

institutional Trader engineering the

play30:20

liquidity himself if he wants to go

play30:24

short he could start actually well

play30:28

probably a bit closer to the level um

play30:30

but in theory you know if this happened

play30:31

he could start buying right doing the

play30:34

opposite of his desired objective to get

play30:36

price Above This High you get the stop

play30:40

losses get triggered flood the market

play30:42

with buys the limit orders get triggered

play30:45

flood the market with buys and then he

play30:46

can sell into those buys as much as he

play30:49

wants

play30:51

okay and the general OB so the two

play30:53

points being made is that this liquidity

play30:55

is engineered a lot of the time by the

play30:57

institutional Traders themselves they

play31:00

will hold an underwater position um for

play31:03

a bit in order to achieve the greater

play31:06

desired outcome and the second Point

play31:09

um is that yeah well it's pretty much

play31:12

the same actually didn't read this fully

play31:14

is that this one this way this is why

play31:16

often markets will take out a low before

play31:18

going up or take out a high before

play31:19

falling off a cliff and it's the

play31:21

institutional Traders themselves

play31:23

creating buyers they can sell to or

play31:25

creat a or creating sellers Tak can buy

play31:29

from um you know what we can actually

play31:32

look at some charts and then go into the

play31:34

preventative strategies next let's look

play31:36

at some of these charts so this is the

play31:38

bond on the 15 minute time frame now

play31:42

even without knowing any of this I

play31:44

should hope that this area stands out to

play31:46

you you can see the market had a deep

play31:48

swing into

play31:49

it right and then a deep swing away let

play31:53

me actually close this before I get any

play31:56

notifications so you can see the market

play31:58

made a deep swing into this and then a

play32:00

deeper swing away this is going to

play32:01

attract a lot of attention you know

play32:02

there's not much clutter and it kind of

play32:04

stands out so we know

play32:08

probabilistically I hope that's a word

play32:11

that there are two types well well

play32:13

basically this is a liquidity pool um

play32:16

there are buyers Above This high right

play32:19

people thinking well if it takes out

play32:21

those high it's going to make a higher

play32:22

high and go somewhere here or here right

play32:25

or anyone who's short

play32:28

um we'll be thinking you know if if they

play32:32

if they're short somewhere you know

play32:34

whatever at a bad time they're thinking

play32:36

hey but if this High gets taken out I'm

play32:38

wrong so that's your two again the two

play32:41

sources of buying and what happens

play32:43

Market rallies into it you can see it

play32:46

takes it out by just a little bit with

play32:48

this Wick right the high gets taken all

play32:52

those and those two sources of buying

play32:55

also get triggered the stops get

play32:56

triggered and the limit orders to buy

play32:58

get triggered and that provides your

play33:00

institutional Traders with all the short

play33:03

liquidity in the world they need buying

play33:05

is short liquidity lots of buying Above

play33:08

This high thank you very much and the

play33:10

market falls off the cliff now

play33:12

interestingly where does it fall off a

play33:13

cliff 2 I mean if this doesn't stand out

play33:16

to you as a swing point I don't know

play33:17

what does right you can see a massive

play33:20

dump into it and then a massive pump

play33:22

away from it so what's below this low a

play33:27

liquidity

play33:28

pool people thinking hey if this low

play33:31

gets taken we're going to go lower and

play33:34

again I don't know what type of system

play33:36

you're trading but anyy Longs is saying

play33:39

um if this low gets taken I'm wrong and

play33:42

I should short or I'll get stopped out

play33:44

whatever it may be so what happens the

play33:47

whole world is looking at this market

play33:49

look at this scary candle

play33:52

um where is

play33:54

it look at the scary candle coming in to

play33:58

this low this a 5 15 minute time frame I

play34:00

mean look at this who's going to have

play34:02

the balls to go long that but as you can

play34:06

see it would have paid off quite nicely

play34:08

lows below here lows get taken you can

play34:11

see by these Wicks lows get taken the

play34:13

market is flooded with what orders to

play34:16

sell people wanting to short a break of

play34:18

this low Source One people with a stop

play34:21

loss below this low Source two the

play34:24

market maker the big desk your

play34:27

institutional Trader whatever firm you

play34:28

pref whatever term you prefer they get a

play34:32

lot of selling a lot of sellers below

play34:34

this low what is selling selling is long

play34:37

liquidity what does the market do

play34:40

rallies higher low and then proceeds to

play34:43

go vertical right and again you could

play34:45

draw this and whatever else um but those

play34:48

two are the examples that stand out the

play34:50

most let's look at a couple more or a

play34:52

few more now this is the daily time

play34:55

frame on the dollar

play34:57

Yen so again we're showing some

play34:59

different some different time frames

play35:01

here now I hope you'll agree that these

play35:04

two swing points stand out like a sore

play35:07

thumb on the chart big swing into it low

play35:11

big swing away these are really big

play35:13

moves so where's a what what are the

play35:17

retail Traders looking

play35:18

at the bits that stand out the most on

play35:21

the chart and I hope this for you makes

play35:24

sense it certainly does to me so let's

play35:26

go for the lows first deep swing in deep

play35:29

swing away you know higher low here

play35:32

great we've made a higher low and then

play35:34

the market comes here and at this stage

play35:37

it's made you know it's closed

play35:42

below essentially you know this level

play35:45

has failed to act as support at this

play35:46

stage it's broken here and everyone's

play35:49

thinking okay well we sort of broken

play35:52

this level and the only thing that's

play35:54

left is this low if that low gets taken

play35:56

I want to be sure this market and look

play35:58

what happens again quite a cruel example

play36:01

because you actually get a daily close

play36:02

below it but the market takes out this

play36:05

low although it does give you a slight

play36:07

hint with this long Wick but again

play36:08

nothing too crazy Market takes out the

play36:11

low a bunch of selling happens below it

play36:15

what is selling selling is long

play36:16

liquidity and look at the next candle

play36:18

the next day the market pretty much just

play36:19

goes vertical back up to this level now

play36:22

let's look at the opposite um of how to

play36:25

engineer long liquid

play36:27

I hope you agree again um that either

play36:30

either one of these is a swing Point

play36:32

either swing deep swing in deep swing

play36:34

out and here as well deep swing in deep

play36:36

swing out so sort of this level is what

play36:37

we're paying attention to now what do

play36:39

what do these especially this what what

play36:42

do these candles do what do these Wicks

play36:45

do well we know that there are going to

play36:47

be buyers Above This

play36:49

High let's do our routine again what are

play36:52

the two sources of buying breakout

play36:54

Traders saying the Market's made a

play36:56

higher high we're going higher and also

play36:58

people who are short will have their

play37:00

stop loss above the high saying hey if

play37:02

it makes a higher high I'm wrong and I

play37:04

should get stopped

play37:05

out when the market takes out these

play37:08

highs buy orders flood the market

play37:12

there's the limit orders of people

play37:13

playing the breakout and the stop losses

play37:16

of people who are short so quite cruel

play37:19

that it knocks you out if you if you're

play37:22

on the right side of the market cuz

play37:23

you're short you get knocked out and

play37:25

then it falls off a c or at least pulls

play37:27

back in this case not really a cliff it

play37:29

comes into sort of this level here but

play37:31

again both sides of the market low deep

play37:35

swing low that stands out Market takes

play37:37

it out lots of selling lots of selling

play37:39

as long liquidity rally away here highs

play37:43

what do we have resting above highs

play37:47

buys that sounds silly um but what are

play37:50

the sources of buying breakout Traders

play37:52

we've made a higher high we're going to

play37:54

the Moon stop losses of people who are

play37:56

short we've made a higher high I'm wrong

play37:58

takes them

play38:00

out buying is short liquidity and your

play38:03

professional Traders your big players

play38:05

whatever can get in and

play38:07

short more chart examples this one is

play38:10

especially cruel

play38:12

um this is your New Zealand

play38:16

dollar against the US dollar can you

play38:19

have a swing Point Market comes into it

play38:21

here toall Wick and then a deep swing

play38:24

away right and then what does this

play38:27

specific candle do well if you want to

play38:30

look at other potential swing points

play38:32

which aren't as great but certainly you

play38:34

know this this comes back to our equal

play38:35

highs kind of thing as a potential area

play38:38

for a liquidity pool you can look back

play38:40

on the slides equal highs is one of the

play38:42

categories so what do you have here

play38:44

essentially equal highs between here and

play38:46

here and this candle takes them out and

play38:49

what you'll notice a lot of the time

play38:51

is um I don't want to make it too

play38:53

complicated but there's a pattern called

play38:56

the SFP which is traded dant pattern and

play38:59

that's when the market takes out a high

play39:01

and closes below it or takes out a low

play39:03

and closes above it and basically

play39:05

indicates that Traders are trapped and

play39:07

so on um but what you have in this case

play39:10

you might think hey are people really

play39:11

going to have their stop just like a

play39:13

tiny bit above the high and the answer

play39:16

is yes um you can trade these sorts of

play39:18

things with like one tick above a swing

play39:21

High it doesn't need to be like a

play39:22

massive move to bait everyone in

play39:24

especially with a lot of retail Traders

play39:26

um Unfortunately they will put their

play39:29

order on the actual swing Point as

play39:31

opposed to slightly above or slightly

play39:32

below um and you can see the result here

play39:34

Market with this candle takes out These

play39:36

Guys these guys and these guys um closes

play39:40

below that's your red candle all those

play39:42

buyers are trapped and then it falls

play39:44

back but again you see that these swing

play39:47

points stand out quite a lot especially

play39:49

this one and we're not going for any of

play39:50

the smaller fish type of thing those are

play39:53

really going to be your higher

play39:54

probability setups um this is on the

play39:57

dollar Canadian this looks a lot greater

play40:00

if you will on like a on like a lower

play40:01

time frame it's unfortunate Wick you can

play40:03

see that if we look at the recent wigs

play40:06

this one this one this one you know all

play40:08

all these recent highs this is certainly

play40:10

the highest one that stands out so we've

play40:12

drawn it out and you can see the market

play40:15

comes into it takes it out buy orders

play40:18

flood the market you know stop losses

play40:21

and people trading the breakout buy

play40:23

orders equals short liquidity thank you

play40:26

very much down it goes now when I say

play40:28

down it goes you've got like a sort of

play40:29

cascade here so this is one source you

play40:32

can see a big dump in and a big swing

play40:35

away so likely sellers below this low

play40:39

what does the market do comes out takes

play40:41

them out right this sell anyone who was

play40:45

long has their stop loss triggered

play40:46

that's a sell order everyone who's

play40:48

saying oh dude I'm getting in on this

play40:49

dump this low is

play40:52

screwed their limit order gets filled to

play40:54

sell and again selling below this low

play40:57

those are our two sources cells equals

play40:59

long liquidity thank you very much um

play41:03

and again even if you prefer this low is

play41:05

sort of Swing here and swing out you can

play41:07

see a similar type of thing happens

play41:08

Market dumps takes it out you can even

play41:11

argue that you know this candle most

play41:13

persuasively takes out both of these

play41:15

levels selling equals long liquidity and

play41:18

up it goes

play41:20

right one of my favorite examples um and

play41:23

actually one of the f one of my favorite

play41:26

uh

play41:27

assets that trade or markets that trade

play41:30

really well technically off of this kind

play41:32

of stuff we have gold you'd agree that

play41:34

this High stands out like a sore thumb

play41:37

right probably even more than this one

play41:38

you had like a bit of consolidation here

play41:39

and here uh but this is like a super

play41:42

deep swing in and out you can see what

play41:45

the market does and actually this is

play41:47

quite good because at this stage when

play41:49

the market is taken out this High people

play41:51

are thinking oh dude it's going to go

play41:53

vertical we've taken out the high I'm

play41:54

going to go long a ton of long Stack Up

play41:57

um and where does it go well we know

play42:00

that there are going to be buyers Above

play42:02

This high so anyone who's short I mean

play42:05

they've probably been knocked out here

play42:06

anyway but certainly you're going to

play42:08

have breakout Traders um waiting for

play42:11

here waiting for this level to get taken

play42:13

there's liquidity here what happens

play42:15

Market takes it out all of the buy

play42:17

orders from this flood the market buy

play42:21

orders equals short liquidity thank you

play42:23

very much aggressive move

play42:25

away and again this sort of speaks to

play42:28

you know if you want sort of evidence

play42:29

that this works or whatever else a lot

play42:31

of the time you'll see like a really

play42:32

violent reaction um coming off of these

play42:36

types of setups and that's when your big

play42:38

boys are trading right and you can see

play42:41

here for example you'll agree that this

play42:43

is a proper swing low big dump into it

play42:46

big dump away and then you'll have

play42:47

people saying oh it's a deadcat bounce

play42:49

dude you know gold is going to take out

play42:51

this low and then you know maybe come to

play42:53

this you know come to a lower level

play42:55

maybe even down here whatever so all

play42:57

eyes on this and there's like a bit of a

play42:59

gap really in the market between these

play43:01

lows and this area so you know it stands

play43:03

out that's always what you want to be

play43:05

thinking what stands out and what's

play43:07

going to attract the stops of the retail

play43:10

Traders big swing in big swing out as

play43:13

the market is painting all these scary

play43:14

candles what are people thinking oh dude

play43:16

if this low gets taken out I want to be

play43:18

short this Market down to here it's

play43:20

going to be an amazing trade and then

play43:22

anyone who's long is thinking

play43:26

and they get stopped Out Below this low

play43:28

and look what happens Market doesn't

play43:29

even close below it and again this is

play43:31

like an SFP and then it proceeds to go

play43:33

absolutely vertical right hope you're

play43:36

starting to get the hang of these last

play43:38

chart example I have um euro dollar

play43:40

hourly chart hope you agree that this is

play43:43

a deep swing um you know big swing down

play43:47

and then a huge move away so lots of

play43:50

attention on this low and then look what

play43:51

happens Market comes back down to it

play43:54

takes it out

play43:56

goes up and now this is quite funny

play43:59

because regardless of whether you've

play44:01

adjusted your stop to this low or you're

play44:03

staying at this one you still get taken

play44:06

out by this move um and up it goes

play44:09

before going lower and again right so

play44:13

you see a big well reasonably size swing

play44:16

in and swing away as the market starts

play44:19

returning to this level everyone's going

play44:20

to be eyeing this low here Market takes

play44:24

it out and again pumps uh and then the

play44:27

final two examples um this is when it

play44:30

gets to your sort of double bottom type

play44:32

thing Market big swing in big swing away

play44:34

and as it's coming back down people are

play44:36

thinking okay well it's either going to

play44:37

double bottom or if it takes out this

play44:40

low it's going to make a lower low and

play44:41

really wall off a cliff Market takes out

play44:43

the

play44:45

low everyone you you know there's a lot

play44:47

of selling under this low people who

play44:50

want to get in on the Move limit orders

play44:52

filled people who are long have their

play44:54

stops turn into orders to sell lots of

play44:57

long liquidity thank you very much and

play45:00

more recently I think this is in the

play45:01

last couple days on the Euro um this is

play45:04

really the swing point that stands out

play45:06

you know not a massive swing in but

play45:07

certainly a big move away and this wick

play45:09

on the hourly time frame is going to

play45:11

Garner a lot of attention you can see

play45:13

big scary candles coming into it clip

play45:15

thank you very much sellers below this

play45:17

low provide the long liquidity and up

play45:20

goes the

play45:22

price okay so now that you've seen that

play45:26

you're probably thinking hey that's

play45:27

really cool um and I'm glad it works but

play45:29

how can I tell whether I'm going to be a

play45:32

victim of a liquidity Pool Stop hunt

play45:35

whatever or whether the market has

play45:37

actually just broken a level and I can

play45:39

actually safely go long or

play45:42

short so the answer is you can't

play45:44

distinguish a genuine breakout from a

play45:46

stop run with 100% accuracy which is why

play45:48

they work so well in so many markets but

play45:50

there are certain things you can do to

play45:52

increase your probability of not being

play45:54

trapped or put on the the wrong side of

play45:56

the market stopped out prematurely

play45:58

whatever you want to call it and that

play46:01

there are five points to this one is

play46:03

that if possible avoid putting your

play46:05

stops and again both your stop losses

play46:07

and your limit orders obvious liquidity

play46:10

ball targets as discussed earlier now

play46:12

that you know how to look for them try

play46:14

not to be a victim of them that's the

play46:16

first and most simple point the second

play46:19

thing is monitor the price action so a

play46:22

lot of the time um as we saw on those

play46:25

charts if a move is a stop run or you

play46:27

know a dip into a liquidity pool you'll

play46:29

see these long Wicks come in as it takes

play46:32

out the low and a lot of the time the

play46:33

price will close above the low or again

play46:36

with the high it'll take out the high

play46:38

but with a tall Wick and close below it

play46:40

now technically that's an SFP you can

play46:43

you know I've got a Twitter post about

play46:45

sfps which I'll leave in the description

play46:47

uh but basically the price action a lot

play46:48

of the time and again another reference

play46:51

here uh slow down in momentum a failure

play46:54

to close above or below the low on a

play46:56

higher time frame like an hourly candle

play46:58

close or a 4H hour candle close the

play47:00

price action can give you a lot of

play47:01

evidence of whether the level's going to

play47:03

break or whether it's just a hunt and

play47:06

those are some of the things I look at

play47:07

you know Wick momentum and candle

play47:10

closes now if you're waiting for a clean

play47:12

break of a level you know if you're

play47:14

looking at a low and you're thinking

play47:15

well am I do I want to be short a break

play47:18

of this level or you know I want to be

play47:19

long a break of this High whatever it

play47:21

may be um you don't even need to be a

play47:23

levels Trader you could just be a trend

play47:24

Trader looking at highs and lows um

play47:27

there are a couple things you can look

play47:28

for for a clean break uh one of them is

play47:30

a clean High time frame candle close

play47:33

through the level you know an hourly a

play47:35

4H hour even a daily time frame uh

play47:38

candle close depending on how you're

play47:39

trading the setup can be good evidence

play47:41

just to make sure you don't turn into a

play47:43

wick but what I prefer doing personally

play47:46

is waiting for the breakdown and then

play47:48

playing the retest of that high uh of or

play47:51

of that level when the market comes back

play47:53

to it um but tends to be sort of a lot

play47:57

safer and I've had better experience

play47:59

with it

play48:01

personally one of my f another one of my

play48:03

favorite tools so you can determine

play48:05

whether you're being stop hunted or not

play48:08

uh is Divergence so for example if

play48:11

you're watching the market attack a low

play48:14

and then it's forming a bullish

play48:15

Divergence the likelihood of that low

play48:18

being broken and the market continuing

play48:20

lower is obviously reduced and the

play48:23

opposite is true if you're waiting for

play48:25

High to be broken and the market trades

play48:27

you know starts trading through a little

play48:29

bit but you're also having bearish

play48:31

Divergence coming into that high the

play48:33

likelihood of the market breaking it and

play48:34

continuing higher is lower um or is

play48:38

reduced whatever and if you're not sure

play48:40

what Divergence is please watch my RSI

play48:43

video again part of the technical

play48:44

analysis uh series and I cover

play48:46

Divergence at Great length um and then

play48:49

actually another thing probably not as

play48:52

popular but your trading journal A lot

play48:54

of the time will also tell you um

play48:57

whether you're being stop hunted or

play48:59

whether it's an actual genuine breakdown

play49:01

and the simple trick if you will here is

play49:05

if you take enough of these trades and

play49:08

you know you have your screenshots of

play49:09

the chart and how you managed it and so

play49:11

on um you'll be able to look back at the

play49:13

trades where you got stopped out early

play49:14

or where you got hunted and see what

play49:16

links those trades together and be able

play49:19

to avoid them um now obviously you know

play49:22

the elephant in the room is that a lot

play49:24

of the time if you just set your stop

play49:26

loss and you're not there at the

play49:27

computer at the desk whatever to look at

play49:29

the trade you simply don't know um or

play49:32

you can't keep an active eye on it if

play49:34

you're going to get stop hunted uh or

play49:36

not um so you know a couple things you

play49:39

can do is if you do have the privilege

play49:41

uh of being able to just watch the

play49:42

screen do all these things and set

play49:44

alarms instead um but if you are setting

play49:47

an automatic stoploss um and you're not

play49:50

able to watch the market really the only

play49:52

thing um that you can do is don't make

play49:55

yourself an easy target um for the

play49:58

professionals and try to avoid being the

play50:01

glaringly obvious uh

play50:04

liquidity so putting it all together

play50:07

let's get our

play50:08

summary what's the difficulty and what

play50:10

what is the context well it's that

play50:12

institutional Traders can't Market masch

play50:14

their orders they need to engineer

play50:16

liquidity especially especially if they

play50:19

want a big move right if they want to

play50:22

buy a lot they need people to sell a lot

play50:24

if they want to sell a lot they need

play50:25

people to buy a lot how do they create

play50:29

sellers they take out a low they'll

play50:31

break support and they'll make the

play50:32

market seem like it'll the bed and

play50:35

the opposite is true for buyers how do

play50:36

you create buyers you know it's the

play50:38

basic stuff of how do you make people

play50:39

fomo in you take out a high you break

play50:41

resistance you know big green candles

play50:43

and all that and get that buying

play50:45

interest for you for them to be able to

play50:49

pair their sales with liquidity pools

play50:52

are areas where retail Traders are

play50:54

taught to put their stops and we now

play50:56

know that stops mean both limit orders

play50:58

and also stop losses if you're already

play51:00

in the market um and then we also have

play51:02

the slides which again are in the link

play51:05

of the are in the there's a link to them

play51:07

in the description about how we really

play51:10

refine um what a liquidity pool is and

play51:12

increase our probability of drawing out

play51:15

the important ones and then stop hunt

play51:18

are when those areas and where retail

play51:22

Traders put their stops get deliberately

play51:24

hunted in order to engineer liquidity

play51:26

and we just covered some preventative

play51:28

measures um on how how to not be a

play51:31

victim of

play51:34

that and that's it um conclusion

play51:37

obviously thank you for watching

play51:38

hopefully you've learned something new

play51:40

um if this is totally new to you and

play51:43

you're flabbergasted interested whatever

play51:45

it may be I quite like looking back

play51:46

through some charts on the on a few

play51:49

different time frames you know 15 minute

play51:51

hourly daily and so on and see if the

play51:53

moves have made more sense now that you

play51:55

have this type of framework in mind

play51:57

again look at the Deep yeah well before

play52:00

I go on to that euro dollar gold and

play52:02

cable are really good for this but you

play52:04

know whatever markets you trade check

play52:06

them out and see if it applies the

play52:09

overwhelming majority of the time it

play52:10

should um and just to reiterate not

play52:13

every single swing high or low is a

play52:15

liquidity pool uh I I've hopefully

play52:17

hammered that point home and giving you

play52:19

a lot of guidance for how to choose the

play52:22

highs and lows or the areas on the chart

play52:24

that are a lot more likely um to be used

play52:27

in that way but you know stick to the

play52:29

really obvious ones sort of the Common

play52:31

Sense ones that stand out uh if you want

play52:33

to be

play52:34

conservative and the last thing uh we're

play52:37

up to I don't even remember how many

play52:38

lessons now articles videos live streams

play52:41

telegram whatever uh it's all free uh

play52:44

but do consider a Bitcoin donation if

play52:46

you found it helpful and that is all

play52:49

from me and I'll see you for the next

play52:51

video