3. Order flow
Summary
TLDRIn this technical analysis series lesson, we delve into the basics of institutional order flow, exploring how significant market movements are influenced by institutional trades. We cover the concepts of liquidity, liquidity pools, and the strategic placement of stops by retail traders, providing insight into how institutional traders engineer liquidity to execute large orders without causing market disruption. Through practical examples and chart analyses, we illustrate the concept of stop hunting and how it plays a crucial role in understanding market dynamics. The lesson emphasizes the importance of recognizing high probability liquidity pools and offers strategies to avoid being caught in stop hunts, aiming to enhance trading strategies by incorporating institutional order flow insights.
Takeaways
- π Institutional order flow is crucial for understanding market movements and can significantly change how one perceives the markets.
- π Markets are influenced by the actions of institutional traders who face unique challenges due to the size of their trades, including slippage and front running.
- π‘ Engineering liquidity is a strategy used by institutional traders to create the necessary conditions for executing large orders without drastically affecting the market.
- π€·ββοΈ Liquidity pools are areas with a high concentration of stop losses or pending limit orders, acting as untapped sources of liquidity.
- π¨ Stop hunting occurs when price moves to trigger the stop losses, creating liquidity for institutional traders to enter or exit positions.
- π Identifying high probability liquidity pools involves looking for areas where retail traders are likely to place their stops, such as below swing lows or above swing highs.
- π Not every swing high or low qualifies as a liquidity pool; selection should focus on those with significant market attention and visibility.
- π¨ Strategies for retail traders to avoid being caught in stop hunts include adjusting stop placement, monitoring price action, and understanding market dynamics.
- π° Trading involves risks, and understanding institutional order flow can provide an edge, but it's not foolproof or a guarantee of success.
- πΊ The script emphasizes the importance of education and practice in trading, recommending following experienced traders and utilizing demo accounts to hone skills.
Q & A
What is institutional order flow in the context of financial markets?
-Institutional order flow refers to the buying and selling orders executed by large institutional investors, which can significantly influence market prices due to the size of their trades.
Why do institutional traders face difficulties executing large orders?
-Institutional traders face difficulties such as slippage and front running because their large orders can significantly impact the market price, making it hard to execute orders at the desired price without moving the market.
What is slippage in trading?
-Slippage occurs when there is a difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed, often resulting in a worse price for the trader.
How do institutional traders engineer liquidity?
-Institutional traders engineer liquidity by creating conditions that encourage trading at certain levels, thereby ensuring that there are enough buyers or sellers at those levels to fill their large orders without significantly moving the market.
What are liquidity pools?
-Liquidity pools are areas in the market where there is likely to be a concentration of limit orders or stops, offering a source of liquidity that can be tapped into by traders looking to execute large orders.
What is stop hunting?
-Stop hunting is a strategy where traders intentionally push the price to levels where many stop-loss orders are placed, triggering them to create sudden price movements that the hunters can profit from.
How can retail traders distinguish between a genuine market move and stop hunting?
-Retail traders can look for signs like price action, divergence, and candlestick patterns around key levels, and avoid placing stops at obvious levels to reduce the risk of being caught in a stop hunt.
Why is trading based on institutional order flow considered advantageous?
-Trading based on institutional order flow is considered advantageous because it aligns smaller traders' actions with the movements caused by large institutions, potentially leading to more successful trades by following the market's dominant direction.
What is front running?
-Front running is a practice where traders anticipate large institutional orders and enter positions ahead of them to profit from the subsequent price movement caused by the execution of these large orders.
Why are some assets more influenced by technical analysis and institutional order flow than others?
-Some assets are more influenced by technical analysis and institutional order flow because they have higher liquidity and institutional interest, making their price movements more predictable based on order flow analysis compared to assets dominated by retail traders.
Outlines
π Introduction to Institutional Order Flow Basics
The lesson focuses on institutional order flow basics, outlining how market prices are influenced by institutional actions. The presenter explains the format of the lesson, which resembles a lecture with pre-prepared slides and charts, emphasizing a conversational approach to teaching. A disclaimer clarifies that the presentation is not financial advice but for educational and entertainment purposes. The video also gives shoutouts to individuals who introduced the presenter to concepts of order flow, liquidity, and market analysis, acknowledging the value of both free and paid resources available on their Twitter profiles. The outline promises to address the challenges institutional traders face, the mechanics of order flow, liquidity pools, and how these concepts can be applied to develop trading strategies.
π The Challenge of Large Institutional Trades
This section discusses the dilemma faced by institutional traders due to their large order sizes, highlighting the issues of market impact, slippage, and front running. It explains that institutional traders cannot simply use market orders without affecting the price significantly due to the volume of their trades. The video then introduces the concept of 'engineering liquidity' as a strategy used by institutional traders to execute large orders more efficiently. This involves creating market conditions that encourage other participants to take the opposite side of their trades, thus mitigating the problems of slippage and front running.
π Understanding Liquidity and Its Engineering
The video explains the fundamental principle that for every buyer, there needs to be a seller and vice versa, introducing the concept of liquidity in trading. It further elaborates on how institutional traders engineer liquidity by manipulating market conditions to create the necessary buyers or sellers for their large orders. This manipulation is achieved by influencing retail traders' perceptions of the market direction, thereby generating the opposite trading interest needed for the institution's orders to be filled.
π§ Identifying Liquidity Pools
Liquidity pools are defined as areas on the price chart where a significant number of limit orders or stop-loss orders are likely to be placed by retail traders. The video delves into how these pools are formed and why they represent untapped liquidity for institutional traders. It uses examples to illustrate how market movements towards these pools can trigger a cascade of orders, thereby releasing liquidity. The discussion includes how retail traders typically place their orders and how institutional traders exploit these behaviors.
π Techniques for Spotting Liquidity Pools
This part of the video outlines methods for identifying high-probability liquidity pools on charts, emphasizing the importance of being selective. It suggests focusing on deep swing points, ranges, and significant highs and lows that are visible across multiple time frames. The presenter argues that these points are more likely to attract retail stop orders, making them prime targets for institutional traders looking to engineer liquidity. The section encourages traders to think critically about where retail traders are likely to place their stops and to focus on the most obvious and significant levels for potential liquidity pools.
π£ Exploring Stop Hunting Tactics
Stop hunting is introduced as a strategy where price is deliberately moved to trigger retail traders' stop-loss orders before reversing direction. The video explains how this practice benefits institutional traders by providing them with the liquidity to execute large orders. It discusses the mechanics of stop hunting, the types of orders involved, and the psychological aspects that make retail traders vulnerable to such tactics. Through examples, it demonstrates how institutional traders might initiate selling to trigger a wave of stop losses and then capitalize on the resulting liquidity to execute their own large orders at more favorable prices.
π Chart Examples and Analysis
The video presents several chart examples to illustrate the concepts of liquidity pools and stop hunting in action. It shows how institutional traders might manipulate the market to trigger retail stop losses, using price movements around significant highs and lows as case studies. These examples underscore how understanding these tactics can provide insights into market dynamics and potentially improve trading strategies by anticipating and avoiding common traps set by institutional traders.
π οΈ Strategies to Avoid Being Caught in Stop Hunts
This final section offers practical advice on how traders can avoid falling victim to stop hunts and liquidity pool traps. It emphasizes the importance of placing stop-loss orders thoughtfully, monitoring price action for signs of manipulation, and considering divergences as indicators of potential false breakouts. The presenter suggests being cautious with stop placements and advises against putting stops at too obvious levels. Additionally, the use of a trading journal is recommended to identify patterns in stop hunts and improve decision-making in future trades. The conclusion reinforces the educational nature of the video and invites viewers to consider the complexities of institutional trading tactics.
Mindmap
Keywords
π‘Institutional Order Flow
π‘Liquidity
π‘Slippage
π‘Front Running
π‘Liquidity Pools
π‘Stop Hunting
π‘Retail Traders
π‘Technical Analysis
π‘Liquidity Engineering
π‘Market Sentiment
Highlights
Introduction to institutional order flow basics, covering what moves price, where it moves to, and the objectives.
Disclaimer highlights that the presentation is not financial advice and emphasizes the risks involved in trading.
Shout outs to individuals who introduced the presenter to order flow concepts, liquidity, and trading strategies.
Overview of the problems institutional traders face, such as slippage and front running, due to their large order sizes.
Explanation of how institutional traders engineer liquidity to mitigate issues of slippage and front running.
Definition and importance of liquidity pools, areas likely to have a lot of limit orders or stops.
Discussion on stop hunting, where price trades through an area where retail stops are resting before moving in the opposite direction.
Strategies for developing an understanding of institutional order flow to improve trading.
Clarification that the concepts of institutional order flow are visible on any timeframe and are not a 'magic voodoo' but can significantly impact market understanding.
Warning against getting too obsessed with the concepts and marking out every single swing high and swing low as a liquidity pool.
Techniques for distinguishing a stop run from a genuine breakdown, acknowledging the inherent difficulty.
Definition of a retail trader versus an institutional trader, highlighting the scale of trading and the capital involved.
The necessity for an institutional trader to find or create liquidity for executing large orders without significantly impacting the market price.
Detailed examples of liquidity pools and how they are identified, including below swing lows and above swing highs.
A cautionary note on the importance of being selective in identifying genuine liquidity pools to avoid being misled by market movements.
Transcripts
how's it going everyone we have got
another lesson as part of the technical
analysis Series today and this one is
going to be on institutional orderflow
Basics so essentially we're going to
cover what moves
price where it moves price to and for
what
objective um now before I jump into the
disclaimer if you're not too familiar
with the format of these lessons um
typically the way it works is kind of
just like a lecture I have some pre-prep
pre-prepared slides and some
pre-prepared charts and we just go
through them in a sort of no editing uh
free flow conversation very one-sided
conversation more of a lecture but
anyway that's how we run things and
let's jump into it uh disclaimer
presentation or basically anything I say
isn't financial advice I mean I'm
obviously not a financial advisor um
trading is very risky you might lose all
your money and um so trade demo accounts
that's a good way of not losing your
money if you only trade demo accounts
and this is for entertainment purposes
only with that said let's jump into a
few shout outs very quickly essenti
essentially these are the people who
introduced me to orderflow Concepts and
liquidity and all that type of stuff uh
Trader
danty ICT Trader SZ and Trader Simon now
these are their Twitter handles and if
you go on their Twitter
um there's a wealth um of free and paid
information that you can get it's all
very good and recommended by myself um
so go ahead and check them out and thank
you to those gents for the content that
they
provide with that said let's jump into
the outline what are we going to cover
nothing's different compared to how we
normally run this we're going to have
some general remarks to start off we're
then going to essentially frame um this
lesson in the following context we're
going to assess the problems that
institutional Traders face and then by
analyzing how they solve them we can get
an idea of how order flow institutional
order flow works and we'll then cover
liquidity liquidity pools uh put those
together to get an idea of stop hunting
and then put all of that together to
just develop some strategies and see how
we can use this in our
trading General remarks uh again this
isn't some totally magic voodoo Guru
type thing but certainly it's made a
very big difference in the way I look at
markets um and as it says here markets
tend to make a lot more sense uh once
you get this once you get the idea uh of
the basics of institutional order flow
uh some assets are more technical than
others you know gold Euro Yen a lot of
Forex pairs uh Bitcoin to an extent um
follow the follow this stuff really well
uh on stuff like lower cap altcoins with
so much retail presence you know I doubt
you have any banks trading shitcoins uh
that essentially means the technical
analysis can stay quite simple and by
that I mean you know your triangles your
flags you know your chart pattern
Candlestick type stuff um but certainly
once you get into the more liquid bigger
assets this stuff and where you know the
big boys are playing this stuff plays a
much more prominent role these concepts
are visible on any time frame and we'll
jump into time frames and discussing
those a bit later uh this point is quite
important don't get obsessed with these
Concepts and essentially don't take them
too far uh I'll drone on a lot about
what makes a good liquidity pool and you
know that type of stuff they really the
areas we should be paying attention to
on our charts just don't be that person
who gets really excited at this idea and
starts marking out every single swing
high and swing low as a um liquidity
pool but again that will be covered at
some detail we'll look at techniques for
distinguishing a stop R from a breakdown
um but it's inherently quite difficult
to do which is why it works uh any but
regardless we'll look at some techniques
to try to protect your capital and then
defining some terms at the end a retail
Trader is an individual trading a
personal account with usually smaller
size not as much Capital whereas
institutional Trader is someone trading
other other funds not their own accounts
you know that might be a firm desk um
whatever it may be so they're trading
money for an institution as opposed to
their own
account so let's contextualize
essentially why order flow is important
and um how we frame this discussion so
if you're an Institutional Trader you're
trading a lot of size right if you're
one of these big Banks desks firms funds
whatever uh and you're an experienced
Trader you know you've been there for a
bit they've taken you off the sim ages
ago and you're in there with quite big
amounts now with that said a quick
reminder or a refresher hope hopefully
um you can't buy and sell to yourself
right there needs to be someone on the
opposite side of your trade so for every
buyer there needs to be a seller and for
every seller there needs to be a buyer
okay now going back to our institutional
dilemma if you're trading big size you
can't smash the market buy and sell
button to get positions at least not
very often um and these big Traders
really do have issues um if they were to
employ technique or just generally as
well putting away their position size
you know you might think oh well you
know I risk 1 to 3% of my capital and I
get filled just fine no slippage I can
get in and out of Market sure you can
but if you're trading one to three% of a
massive account at some institution
that's going to be a bit different and
so what are the difficulties um that
these that these Traders face well the
first would be slippage and slippage is
essentially um the difference between
the price at which a Trader expects an
order to be executed uh and then the
price at which it is actually executed
you know the discrepancy in the uh the
price between those two things so the
order that you put in and the order that
you actually get and that difference is
slippage which makes your position worse
usually and then the other thing is
front running which essentially means
that if you're a big player moving big
size in the market trying to get trying
to buy or offer a certain level um
you'll get essentially front run which
means smaller Traders getting ahead of
where you want to be and essentially not
giving you your fill um and that's
because you live uh a big you leave a
bigger footprint you know your actions
as a big Trader visible um also through
the you know a bunch of tools the ladder
the order book The Chart itself you know
by the candlesticks and the volume Etc
so those the difficulties you face you
can't just tuck away your full position
size at Market Market because you
probably get slipped uh and there's a
very good chance you get front run as
well when the retail Traders notice that
there's a big boy in town and they want
to jump ahead of
you so that's the Dilemma now the
question is how do the institutional
Traders get around this issue well the
answer is by engineering liquidity and
we'll get to what that means
shortly engineering liquidity great
sounds like a very useful term what does
it actually mean well we need to first
talk about what liquidity itself means
so let's revisit this concept that for
every seller there needs to be a buyer
and for every buyer there needs to be a
seller right again you can't just trade
with yourself there needs to be someone
uh on the opposite side of your position
if you get a
fill now what are the implications of
this as simple as it sounds well that
means that
longs provide short liquidity and shorts
provide long liquidity right let's take
a moment to consider what that means
that means if you want to short if you
want to sell you need someone to be
buying from you so the liquidity for
your shorts will be the buyers the Longs
okay and the opposite is true of course
that if you want to go long if you want
to buy you need people to sell to you so
how do buyers get their liquidity that's
via shorts via sellers right should be
obvious but if you need to pause and
replay whatever do it at your own pace
um now how does this apply to our
institutional Trader dilemma well if
you're a big if you're a big player and
you want to go
long you need someone to be selling to
you and if again this is just basically
rehashing this and if if you're an
Institutional Trader wanting to go short
you need people to be buying your short
from you you always need to pay your
order with someone else if you're
long there need to be shorts to pair it
with if you're short there need to be
longs to pair it with right so that
leaves us with the question how do
institutional Traders create sellers if
they want to go long so engineer long
liquidity and how do they create buyers
if they want to go short engineer short
liquidity and that in itself sounds
quite difficult to do you know how do
you
convince the market participants that
it's going in One Direction before you
know bamboozling them and taking it in
the other direction
completely you know how do you create
sellers for your buyers and how do you
create buyers for your sells well the
short version
is if you need to create sellers you
want you want to make the market looks
like look like it's going to itself
even though it isn't and if you want to
create buyers you need to make the
market look like it's going to go
vertical even if it doesn't but we we'll
cover this in great detail so now that
we've understood liquidity what are
liquidity pools now my definition is
liquidity pools are areas where there
are likely to be a lot of limit orders
or stops uh and we'll cover this in
great detail a tiny bit
later but essentially pending limit
orders are sources of untapped
liquidity uh which is released or
triggered by Price trading through a
certain
area right so if we draw up a rough
example so this is our level okay let's
say this is our support level and the
market is let's say in a
downtrend okay and see have Market
trades into the
level bounces and everyone's saying oh
it's a deadcat bounce maybe hit some
resistance and then it actually comes
back down into the level
now what is below what is either at this
level or slightly below it well there
are orders what type of orders uh we'll
cover this in Greater detail again in a
couple of slides but if you're a retail
Trader if this low gets taken out you
know if the market goes through and
makes a lower low most retail Traders
will want to be short this so they've
seen this they''re missing the downtrend
thinking okay this is a dead cat bounce
dude I really want get short this asset
if it takes out this low my textbook
tells me it's made a lower low and it's
going to go to so what does that
mean what is actually below this low
well a couple things actually and again
this will be covered oh this is so ugly
anyway there are two things below it one
is the limit order to sell for people
who want to get in on this move you know
they're seeing it dump they're like oh
man I want to short this it's made this
low and now it's coming down and they're
salivating at their mouth thinking oh
dude if this low gets taken I'm short
it's going to that means it's made a
lower low baby pip says it falls off a
cliff and it's going lower that's one
type of limit order that's below this
low what is the other type of limit
order and that's that's a that's the
cell right what is the other type of
limit order below this slow well if you
longed the dead cap bounce or whatever
this bounces so let's say you're
watching this bang and you bought
somewhere here and you didn't sell here
and now it's coming down where is your
stop loss going to be well typically
retail Traders would put their stop loss
below the most recent or you know
relevant swing low now what is a stop
loss if you're long well if you're long
that means your bought
contracts and your stop loss is
essentially the reverse so that would be
an order to
sell so we know that below this level
and more importantly below this low
there are two sources of selling the
first is the people who are waiting for
this low to get broken to jump on board
the short that's one source of selling
it's a limit order to sell if price
takes out this low and then your second
source of selling is people who longed
and have a stop loss below this low and
when the market takes it out their stop
loss is triggered they're long and that
means means they sell the contracts that
they bought that's two sources of
selling again we'll cover this in
excruciating detail that's just to give
you an idea that unta there is untapped
liquidity um in these areas in the form
of you know you've got untapped
liquidity um let's actually go back to
the to the slides because they're very
useful
here if this ever decides to
load I'm not sure why it's so difficult
hold on let me try this one more
time you it take however long you need
darling no you're not going to
cooperate I'll give you three seconds
one two a this is so annoying let's try
a different
slide can I present from
beginning yay okay sorry about that so
pending limit orders are essentially
untapped liquidity which is released or
triggered by Price trading through a
certain area so from an Institutional
perspective um buy orders when buy
orders flood the market that's short
liquidity and when sell orders flood the
market that's long liquidity so in the
example that we just had and again don't
worry if I'm moving quickly because I
will address this very thing a bit later
so if we have price doing this in our
example and then it comes back and takes
out this level what the retail Traders
are doing is they're selling below here
the fact that this low gets taken out
creates Sellers and again this goes back
to our two sources Source One of selling
is people who have a limit order to
short below this low hey it's made a
lower low it's going to the and the
second source of selling is people who
longed at An Inconvenient position
didn't take any profits and then have a
stop loss below the low so essentially
just by the market taking out this low
it creates a source two sources of
selling and if we go back to our basic
order flow things when sell orders flood
the market that actually provides long
liquidity right and again this will be
covered I'm tired of I know I've
repeated it a million times but uh you
will see
so this looks really cool how but how do
we identify liquidity pools um well the
simple test is where retail Traders
taught to put their
stops um and if you're like me who well
like probably 99% of people who started
off with essentially um retail sources
of Education you know your gurus your
YouTube videos your textbooks and so on
um these four things are
typically where it goes so either below
swing lows above swing highs right so in
in sort of trending markets and so on
you know if price takes out a swing low
oh well it's made a lower low so it's
going to go lower right and then the
same in the other direction that if you
have a high and the market trades above
it it's made a higher high and then it's
supposed to go to the moon right and the
other thing is range highs and range
lows and what I mean by that is
essentially when you have a period of
consolidation where price is doing this
type of thing you know price is ranging
and so you will
have liquidity on both sides of the
range so you'll have people waiting with
their orders just above to buy the
breakout and you have people with their
orders just below waiting for the
breakdown more on liquidity pools
because that's not
enough I'll reiterate that newer Traders
get too excited and assume that above
every little high or below every little
low there's liquidity pool this is wrong
okay if this model of understanding
order flows to be successful you must be
selective in what makes a good liquidity
pool so how what are some of the filters
we can apply um to essentially be able
to map out good liquidity pools from bad
ones or essentially higher probability
areas from lower probability
areas
um so let's look at some of the
categories the first one is the deeper
the swing
you know the ones that really stand out
on the chart as a big swing in and a big
swing away um those tend to be you know
above those deep swing highs and Below
those deep swing lows those are your
high probability areas for one um and
now this is related to the first point
but swing points visible on the higher
time frames also tend to work better
because and this is this bit's really
important um it's not just the time
frame that's crucial but it's really
this that more Traders see them okay
we're trying to essentially suck in as
many retail Traders uh as we can with
these swing points and you know the more
they stand out the more visible they are
the more likely that there will be
orders above or below them right as I
say here a lot of the time as you know
simplistic as it well as simple as it
sounds it's kind of common sense as the
bits that really stand out and the bits
that're really going to attract the most
attention um and again uh we'll cover
this in the chart examples but 15
minutes hourly daily don't limit
yourself only to high time frames or
only to low time frames these are my
favorite time frames for what it's worth
for looking out for these setups uh
extended consol consolidation ranges are
good um for liquidity pools and as I
pointed out in the earlier amazing
diagram um with a screenshot rectangle
above the Range High and below the range
low uh tend to attract uh a lot of
orders of people essentially waiting for
break either way um High time frames
highs and lows you know what is where is
the daily High the weekly High um
sometimes the monthly High depends
depends how you trade but those types of
significant areas um tend to attract a
lot of orders as well uh equal highs and
equal lows you know those stand out like
a sore thumb anyway but just in case and
then if you're unsure always ask
yourself where the retail Traders stops
resting um but these categories should
be plenty uh to be able to identify
where these are at and we'll look at
some chart examples um now actually um
let me actually think about this now you
know what let's cover stop hunting then
once we've got the full picture we'll
look at some charts bear with me um now
what is stop hunting now that we know
the purpose of
liquidity
and how to identify high probability
liquidity
pools we can take a look at stop hunting
and see how it fits into the picture
well my definition of stop hunting is
that where price trades through an area
where retail stops we resting before
usually moving in the opposite direction
now this bit is important what do I mean
by stops and this is something I covered
in the rough drawing but we can cover it
in more detail here well in the bullish
case you know if the if you're long the
market you have a big candle down you
get stopped out and the market goes
higher that that I I guarantee that has
happened to every single person who's
ever traded anything um that you have a
the Market's you know you're long the
Market's trending up everything's good
you move up your stop or you have your
stop below or low one candle or you know
one move takes you out you think okay
well the uptrends broken at least I'm
out and then the market proceeds to
continue it's uptrend and you're kind of
sat there thinking what the hell just
happened um so in this examp that's a
very good example um and that's the one
I'm using as my reference
here so that's a bullish example where
the market takes out a low
or breaks support quote unquote it
doesn't actually break it obviously cuz
the market goes higher that creates
Sellers and long liquidity is engineered
now again you might need to go back a
few slides and if this doesn't make
sense to you but long
liquidity if you want to go long you
need sellers so by creating sellers so
you break support or take out a low
people start selling and you can get
filled on your long okay that should
make sense
now what I mean by stops that comes in
two
forms so let's take let's you know let's
draw it again who's it going to hurt
these ugly
diagrams
um let's just
draw the
market like this right with this low
being our
level
now what is below this low well anyone
who's long will typically Ally have
their stop loss below a recent or
standout swing low right so if you're
long the market let's say you're a
crypto Trader and then typical F and you
long the top uh a lot of the time
especially if you're a trend Trader you
know you only look you look for higher
lows and all that type of stuff you look
where the highs and lows are forming uh
your stop loss where you know you're
wrong or the trend has changed will be
below the swing low right so that's
where your stop loss is now if you're
long and again I've covered this but
again to reiterate if you're long and
you have a stop loss if your stop loss
gets triggered by the market going below
your stop let's say this level is your
stop if your stop loss gets triggered
you bought
contracts and so when your stop comes
into play that's an order to sell right
and we know that selling is long
liquidity so that's your your first
source of long liquidity your first
source of selling is the stop losses of
the people who went long and put their
stop loss below the swing low what is
the second source for liquidity is
essentially your fomo buyers who see
this low you know see this High form and
they're looking at this come down and
they're thinking okay look if this low
gets taken that means the trend is
broken um we've made you know if I made
this a bit longer doesn't really matter
we can just pay attention to this you
know they're seeing the market you know
fall off a cliff down into this low and
they're saying hey if the market takes
out this low it's going to make a lower
low and I want to be short that so
they're saying I'll put my limit order
to sell slightly below this low so I
know it's broken and then the market
ideally should tank and make a lower low
so you have two sources of selling at
these swing points right so you have
stop
losses of people who long at a bad time
and put their stop loss below the swing
low and again when those are triggered
if you're long with a stop it turns into
a cell and the second group of people
are the ones who are essentially foming
in on this dump and they're saying not
these people not in a position they're
waiting to short right they're saying oh
dude this low gets taken we're falling
off a cliff and typically the limit
order to sell will be a bit below this
low and so when the market takes out
this low it gets flooded with sell
orders the stop losses flood the market
and the limit orders flood the market
that's a lot of selling now what is
selling good
for well let's underline it what is
selling good for sellers created equals
long liquidity so if you're a big
player the amount of
selling that takes place below the swing
low is really good for you right at that
point no one's going to front run you
you're not going to get slipped there
are all the orders in the world to
sell in the market and you can just pick
them up pair your Longs with the retail
shorts and then ultimately Drive the
market higher and again those make sense
when we look at the charts and so what's
the result of what we've just shown here
the sell orders flood the
market the selling is long
liquidity and the institutional Traders
can pair their Longs with the retail
shorts and take take the market higher
they want they need people to sell to go
long when price takes out a
low and triggers stops of those who are
long so knocks them out and puts people
on the wrong side of the market there's
a ton of shorts which provide long
liquidity and the big players can just
pick them up um
happily right now a lot of the time and
this is actually the interesting thing
um if you're if you're an Institutional
Trader and you want to
trigger um you know you want to take out
I should make this a bit longer really
and you want to take out this low the
institutional Trader himself will
actually start
selling which sounds silly he like why
is he putting himself underwater because
if he wants to go
long why would he sell and put himself
in a losing position well it's because
he knows that if he takes out this
low that there's a ton of liquidity
which he can pick up and then without or
with much less risk and with more
liquidity you can take the market higher
so a lot of the time it's not the
market uh well it is the market
indirectly but it's actually the trader
Who Wants to Be Long who starts out by
taking
out the low so he dumps in order to get
more liquidity for a pump um you know he
doesn't mind holding an underwater
position for a bit if he knows that once
this low is gone he can collect all the
shorts in the world he wants all the
long liquidity in the world he wants and
take the market
higher okay last couple slides before we
go to charts I promise so the
relationship between liquidity pools and
stop hunting should now be clear uh
namely that retail Traders stops which
tend to accumulate around similar areas
and those similar areas being you know
the list we talked about a couple slides
ago they create the liquidity
pools you know the liquidity pools I say
here are simply areas where
stops and now we know that stops mean
two things stop losses of people on one
side of the market and limit orders of
people who want to get in on the market
have built up and have not yet been
triggered now you need to think like an
Institutional Trader if you needed to
collect liquidity
where would you get it and I reiterate
the principle here in terms of the
institutional trading mindset if you
want to go long where would price need
to go to create sellers sellers not
sillers um and Trigger sell
stops you know sellers equal long
liquidity which is why going back to the
example I just showed a lot of the time
the big Traders will engineer the
liquidity themselves
you know they will start selling to take
out a low and then go long so they hold
an underwater position for the means of
engineering liquidity and of course the
opposite is true that if you're looking
to go short um where would price need to
go to create buyers and Trigger buy
stops and buyers equal short
liquidity um you know so it's the same
it's exactly the same thing you can tell
I really like drawing on the screenshot
software if you have the mark Market
making
highs and you're an you're an
Institutional Trader who wants to be
short you know that a lot of people are
going to be looking at these highs right
now who is what is resting Above This
High well buy
orders what do you mean by buy orders
again it goes back to our two sources
anyone who's short or most people who
are short will have their stop loss
Above This high if you're short and have
a stop that's an order to buy right so
that's Source One of buying what's
Source two of buying that's your
breakout Traders Trend Traders whatever
it may be who are thinking hey dude if
the market takes out this high that
means it's made a higher high and it's
going to go to the
moon so what happens at this
level and again this goes back to the
institutional Trader engineering the
liquidity himself if he wants to go
short he could start actually well
probably a bit closer to the level um
but in theory you know if this happened
he could start buying right doing the
opposite of his desired objective to get
price Above This High you get the stop
losses get triggered flood the market
with buys the limit orders get triggered
flood the market with buys and then he
can sell into those buys as much as he
wants
okay and the general OB so the two
points being made is that this liquidity
is engineered a lot of the time by the
institutional Traders themselves they
will hold an underwater position um for
a bit in order to achieve the greater
desired outcome and the second Point
um is that yeah well it's pretty much
the same actually didn't read this fully
is that this one this way this is why
often markets will take out a low before
going up or take out a high before
falling off a cliff and it's the
institutional Traders themselves
creating buyers they can sell to or
creat a or creating sellers Tak can buy
from um you know what we can actually
look at some charts and then go into the
preventative strategies next let's look
at some of these charts so this is the
bond on the 15 minute time frame now
even without knowing any of this I
should hope that this area stands out to
you you can see the market had a deep
swing into
it right and then a deep swing away let
me actually close this before I get any
notifications so you can see the market
made a deep swing into this and then a
deeper swing away this is going to
attract a lot of attention you know
there's not much clutter and it kind of
stands out so we know
probabilistically I hope that's a word
that there are two types well well
basically this is a liquidity pool um
there are buyers Above This high right
people thinking well if it takes out
those high it's going to make a higher
high and go somewhere here or here right
or anyone who's short
um we'll be thinking you know if if they
if they're short somewhere you know
whatever at a bad time they're thinking
hey but if this High gets taken out I'm
wrong so that's your two again the two
sources of buying and what happens
Market rallies into it you can see it
takes it out by just a little bit with
this Wick right the high gets taken all
those and those two sources of buying
also get triggered the stops get
triggered and the limit orders to buy
get triggered and that provides your
institutional Traders with all the short
liquidity in the world they need buying
is short liquidity lots of buying Above
This high thank you very much and the
market falls off the cliff now
interestingly where does it fall off a
cliff 2 I mean if this doesn't stand out
to you as a swing point I don't know
what does right you can see a massive
dump into it and then a massive pump
away from it so what's below this low a
liquidity
pool people thinking hey if this low
gets taken we're going to go lower and
again I don't know what type of system
you're trading but anyy Longs is saying
um if this low gets taken I'm wrong and
I should short or I'll get stopped out
whatever it may be so what happens the
whole world is looking at this market
look at this scary candle
um where is
it look at the scary candle coming in to
this low this a 5 15 minute time frame I
mean look at this who's going to have
the balls to go long that but as you can
see it would have paid off quite nicely
lows below here lows get taken you can
see by these Wicks lows get taken the
market is flooded with what orders to
sell people wanting to short a break of
this low Source One people with a stop
loss below this low Source two the
market maker the big desk your
institutional Trader whatever firm you
pref whatever term you prefer they get a
lot of selling a lot of sellers below
this low what is selling selling is long
liquidity what does the market do
rallies higher low and then proceeds to
go vertical right and again you could
draw this and whatever else um but those
two are the examples that stand out the
most let's look at a couple more or a
few more now this is the daily time
frame on the dollar
Yen so again we're showing some
different some different time frames
here now I hope you'll agree that these
two swing points stand out like a sore
thumb on the chart big swing into it low
big swing away these are really big
moves so where's a what what are the
retail Traders looking
at the bits that stand out the most on
the chart and I hope this for you makes
sense it certainly does to me so let's
go for the lows first deep swing in deep
swing away you know higher low here
great we've made a higher low and then
the market comes here and at this stage
it's made you know it's closed
below essentially you know this level
has failed to act as support at this
stage it's broken here and everyone's
thinking okay well we sort of broken
this level and the only thing that's
left is this low if that low gets taken
I want to be sure this market and look
what happens again quite a cruel example
because you actually get a daily close
below it but the market takes out this
low although it does give you a slight
hint with this long Wick but again
nothing too crazy Market takes out the
low a bunch of selling happens below it
what is selling selling is long
liquidity and look at the next candle
the next day the market pretty much just
goes vertical back up to this level now
let's look at the opposite um of how to
engineer long liquid
I hope you agree again um that either
either one of these is a swing Point
either swing deep swing in deep swing
out and here as well deep swing in deep
swing out so sort of this level is what
we're paying attention to now what do
what do these especially this what what
do these candles do what do these Wicks
do well we know that there are going to
be buyers Above This
High let's do our routine again what are
the two sources of buying breakout
Traders saying the Market's made a
higher high we're going higher and also
people who are short will have their
stop loss above the high saying hey if
it makes a higher high I'm wrong and I
should get stopped
out when the market takes out these
highs buy orders flood the market
there's the limit orders of people
playing the breakout and the stop losses
of people who are short so quite cruel
that it knocks you out if you if you're
on the right side of the market cuz
you're short you get knocked out and
then it falls off a c or at least pulls
back in this case not really a cliff it
comes into sort of this level here but
again both sides of the market low deep
swing low that stands out Market takes
it out lots of selling lots of selling
as long liquidity rally away here highs
what do we have resting above highs
buys that sounds silly um but what are
the sources of buying breakout Traders
we've made a higher high we're going to
the Moon stop losses of people who are
short we've made a higher high I'm wrong
takes them
out buying is short liquidity and your
professional Traders your big players
whatever can get in and
short more chart examples this one is
especially cruel
um this is your New Zealand
dollar against the US dollar can you
have a swing Point Market comes into it
here toall Wick and then a deep swing
away right and then what does this
specific candle do well if you want to
look at other potential swing points
which aren't as great but certainly you
know this this comes back to our equal
highs kind of thing as a potential area
for a liquidity pool you can look back
on the slides equal highs is one of the
categories so what do you have here
essentially equal highs between here and
here and this candle takes them out and
what you'll notice a lot of the time
is um I don't want to make it too
complicated but there's a pattern called
the SFP which is traded dant pattern and
that's when the market takes out a high
and closes below it or takes out a low
and closes above it and basically
indicates that Traders are trapped and
so on um but what you have in this case
you might think hey are people really
going to have their stop just like a
tiny bit above the high and the answer
is yes um you can trade these sorts of
things with like one tick above a swing
High it doesn't need to be like a
massive move to bait everyone in
especially with a lot of retail Traders
um Unfortunately they will put their
order on the actual swing Point as
opposed to slightly above or slightly
below um and you can see the result here
Market with this candle takes out These
Guys these guys and these guys um closes
below that's your red candle all those
buyers are trapped and then it falls
back but again you see that these swing
points stand out quite a lot especially
this one and we're not going for any of
the smaller fish type of thing those are
really going to be your higher
probability setups um this is on the
dollar Canadian this looks a lot greater
if you will on like a on like a lower
time frame it's unfortunate Wick you can
see that if we look at the recent wigs
this one this one this one you know all
all these recent highs this is certainly
the highest one that stands out so we've
drawn it out and you can see the market
comes into it takes it out buy orders
flood the market you know stop losses
and people trading the breakout buy
orders equals short liquidity thank you
very much down it goes now when I say
down it goes you've got like a sort of
cascade here so this is one source you
can see a big dump in and a big swing
away so likely sellers below this low
what does the market do comes out takes
them out right this sell anyone who was
long has their stop loss triggered
that's a sell order everyone who's
saying oh dude I'm getting in on this
dump this low is
screwed their limit order gets filled to
sell and again selling below this low
those are our two sources cells equals
long liquidity thank you very much um
and again even if you prefer this low is
sort of Swing here and swing out you can
see a similar type of thing happens
Market dumps takes it out you can even
argue that you know this candle most
persuasively takes out both of these
levels selling equals long liquidity and
up it goes
right one of my favorite examples um and
actually one of the f one of my favorite
uh
assets that trade or markets that trade
really well technically off of this kind
of stuff we have gold you'd agree that
this High stands out like a sore thumb
right probably even more than this one
you had like a bit of consolidation here
and here uh but this is like a super
deep swing in and out you can see what
the market does and actually this is
quite good because at this stage when
the market is taken out this High people
are thinking oh dude it's going to go
vertical we've taken out the high I'm
going to go long a ton of long Stack Up
um and where does it go well we know
that there are going to be buyers Above
This high so anyone who's short I mean
they've probably been knocked out here
anyway but certainly you're going to
have breakout Traders um waiting for
here waiting for this level to get taken
there's liquidity here what happens
Market takes it out all of the buy
orders from this flood the market buy
orders equals short liquidity thank you
very much aggressive move
away and again this sort of speaks to
you know if you want sort of evidence
that this works or whatever else a lot
of the time you'll see like a really
violent reaction um coming off of these
types of setups and that's when your big
boys are trading right and you can see
here for example you'll agree that this
is a proper swing low big dump into it
big dump away and then you'll have
people saying oh it's a deadcat bounce
dude you know gold is going to take out
this low and then you know maybe come to
this you know come to a lower level
maybe even down here whatever so all
eyes on this and there's like a bit of a
gap really in the market between these
lows and this area so you know it stands
out that's always what you want to be
thinking what stands out and what's
going to attract the stops of the retail
Traders big swing in big swing out as
the market is painting all these scary
candles what are people thinking oh dude
if this low gets taken out I want to be
short this Market down to here it's
going to be an amazing trade and then
anyone who's long is thinking
and they get stopped Out Below this low
and look what happens Market doesn't
even close below it and again this is
like an SFP and then it proceeds to go
absolutely vertical right hope you're
starting to get the hang of these last
chart example I have um euro dollar
hourly chart hope you agree that this is
a deep swing um you know big swing down
and then a huge move away so lots of
attention on this low and then look what
happens Market comes back down to it
takes it out
goes up and now this is quite funny
because regardless of whether you've
adjusted your stop to this low or you're
staying at this one you still get taken
out by this move um and up it goes
before going lower and again right so
you see a big well reasonably size swing
in and swing away as the market starts
returning to this level everyone's going
to be eyeing this low here Market takes
it out and again pumps uh and then the
final two examples um this is when it
gets to your sort of double bottom type
thing Market big swing in big swing away
and as it's coming back down people are
thinking okay well it's either going to
double bottom or if it takes out this
low it's going to make a lower low and
really wall off a cliff Market takes out
the
low everyone you you know there's a lot
of selling under this low people who
want to get in on the Move limit orders
filled people who are long have their
stops turn into orders to sell lots of
long liquidity thank you very much and
more recently I think this is in the
last couple days on the Euro um this is
really the swing point that stands out
you know not a massive swing in but
certainly a big move away and this wick
on the hourly time frame is going to
Garner a lot of attention you can see
big scary candles coming into it clip
thank you very much sellers below this
low provide the long liquidity and up
goes the
price okay so now that you've seen that
you're probably thinking hey that's
really cool um and I'm glad it works but
how can I tell whether I'm going to be a
victim of a liquidity Pool Stop hunt
whatever or whether the market has
actually just broken a level and I can
actually safely go long or
short so the answer is you can't
distinguish a genuine breakout from a
stop run with 100% accuracy which is why
they work so well in so many markets but
there are certain things you can do to
increase your probability of not being
trapped or put on the the wrong side of
the market stopped out prematurely
whatever you want to call it and that
there are five points to this one is
that if possible avoid putting your
stops and again both your stop losses
and your limit orders obvious liquidity
ball targets as discussed earlier now
that you know how to look for them try
not to be a victim of them that's the
first and most simple point the second
thing is monitor the price action so a
lot of the time um as we saw on those
charts if a move is a stop run or you
know a dip into a liquidity pool you'll
see these long Wicks come in as it takes
out the low and a lot of the time the
price will close above the low or again
with the high it'll take out the high
but with a tall Wick and close below it
now technically that's an SFP you can
you know I've got a Twitter post about
sfps which I'll leave in the description
uh but basically the price action a lot
of the time and again another reference
here uh slow down in momentum a failure
to close above or below the low on a
higher time frame like an hourly candle
close or a 4H hour candle close the
price action can give you a lot of
evidence of whether the level's going to
break or whether it's just a hunt and
those are some of the things I look at
you know Wick momentum and candle
closes now if you're waiting for a clean
break of a level you know if you're
looking at a low and you're thinking
well am I do I want to be short a break
of this level or you know I want to be
long a break of this High whatever it
may be um you don't even need to be a
levels Trader you could just be a trend
Trader looking at highs and lows um
there are a couple things you can look
for for a clean break uh one of them is
a clean High time frame candle close
through the level you know an hourly a
4H hour even a daily time frame uh
candle close depending on how you're
trading the setup can be good evidence
just to make sure you don't turn into a
wick but what I prefer doing personally
is waiting for the breakdown and then
playing the retest of that high uh of or
of that level when the market comes back
to it um but tends to be sort of a lot
safer and I've had better experience
with it
personally one of my f another one of my
favorite tools so you can determine
whether you're being stop hunted or not
uh is Divergence so for example if
you're watching the market attack a low
and then it's forming a bullish
Divergence the likelihood of that low
being broken and the market continuing
lower is obviously reduced and the
opposite is true if you're waiting for
High to be broken and the market trades
you know starts trading through a little
bit but you're also having bearish
Divergence coming into that high the
likelihood of the market breaking it and
continuing higher is lower um or is
reduced whatever and if you're not sure
what Divergence is please watch my RSI
video again part of the technical
analysis uh series and I cover
Divergence at Great length um and then
actually another thing probably not as
popular but your trading journal A lot
of the time will also tell you um
whether you're being stop hunted or
whether it's an actual genuine breakdown
and the simple trick if you will here is
if you take enough of these trades and
you know you have your screenshots of
the chart and how you managed it and so
on um you'll be able to look back at the
trades where you got stopped out early
or where you got hunted and see what
links those trades together and be able
to avoid them um now obviously you know
the elephant in the room is that a lot
of the time if you just set your stop
loss and you're not there at the
computer at the desk whatever to look at
the trade you simply don't know um or
you can't keep an active eye on it if
you're going to get stop hunted uh or
not um so you know a couple things you
can do is if you do have the privilege
uh of being able to just watch the
screen do all these things and set
alarms instead um but if you are setting
an automatic stoploss um and you're not
able to watch the market really the only
thing um that you can do is don't make
yourself an easy target um for the
professionals and try to avoid being the
glaringly obvious uh
liquidity so putting it all together
let's get our
summary what's the difficulty and what
what is the context well it's that
institutional Traders can't Market masch
their orders they need to engineer
liquidity especially especially if they
want a big move right if they want to
buy a lot they need people to sell a lot
if they want to sell a lot they need
people to buy a lot how do they create
sellers they take out a low they'll
break support and they'll make the
market seem like it'll the bed and
the opposite is true for buyers how do
you create buyers you know it's the
basic stuff of how do you make people
fomo in you take out a high you break
resistance you know big green candles
and all that and get that buying
interest for you for them to be able to
pair their sales with liquidity pools
are areas where retail Traders are
taught to put their stops and we now
know that stops mean both limit orders
and also stop losses if you're already
in the market um and then we also have
the slides which again are in the link
of the are in the there's a link to them
in the description about how we really
refine um what a liquidity pool is and
increase our probability of drawing out
the important ones and then stop hunt
are when those areas and where retail
Traders put their stops get deliberately
hunted in order to engineer liquidity
and we just covered some preventative
measures um on how how to not be a
victim of
that and that's it um conclusion
obviously thank you for watching
hopefully you've learned something new
um if this is totally new to you and
you're flabbergasted interested whatever
it may be I quite like looking back
through some charts on the on a few
different time frames you know 15 minute
hourly daily and so on and see if the
moves have made more sense now that you
have this type of framework in mind
again look at the Deep yeah well before
I go on to that euro dollar gold and
cable are really good for this but you
know whatever markets you trade check
them out and see if it applies the
overwhelming majority of the time it
should um and just to reiterate not
every single swing high or low is a
liquidity pool uh I I've hopefully
hammered that point home and giving you
a lot of guidance for how to choose the
highs and lows or the areas on the chart
that are a lot more likely um to be used
in that way but you know stick to the
really obvious ones sort of the Common
Sense ones that stand out uh if you want
to be
conservative and the last thing uh we're
up to I don't even remember how many
lessons now articles videos live streams
telegram whatever uh it's all free uh
but do consider a Bitcoin donation if
you found it helpful and that is all
from me and I'll see you for the next
video
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