If I Could Only Trade ONE Strategy, It Would Be This (Options Retirement Strategy For Beginners)

Options with Davis
20 Jul 202428:51

Summary

TLDRThe video script introduces the 'Put Ratio Spread Retirement Strategy' for investors seeking a consistent trading method for retirement. It explains how combining a short put option for a credit with a long put spread can create a neutral to bullish position, offering protection against market downturns. The script details profit scenarios, risk management, and tips for selecting stocks and strike prices, emphasizing choosing fundamentally sound, undervalued stocks and waiting for oversold market conditions for optimal trade entry.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The video introduces a retirement investment strategy called the 'Put Ratio Spread', which is a combination of a short put option and a long put spread.
  • 💡 The short put option generates a credit, which is then used to finance the purchase of the long put spread, creating a net credit for the investor.
  • 🔄 The strategy is designed to be repeated, offering a single, consistent strategy for investors who prefer not to trade many different types of options strategies.
  • 🛡 The long put spread serves as a defensive measure, protecting against market downturns by allowing the investor to profit from the bearish component of the strategy.
  • 🤔 The video emphasizes the importance of choosing stocks that are fundamentally sound and that you would not mind owning long-term, reducing the risk of the strategy.
  • 📉 The risk of the strategy is highlighted as the potential loss if the market continues to decline, causing the investor to lose on their shares.
  • 📊 The video discusses various methods to reduce risk, including keeping a watch list of fundamentally good stocks, identifying undervalued stocks, waiting for a good setup, and identifying support levels.
  • 𦓔 The selection of the DTE (Days to Expiration) for the options is flexible, with longer DTEs offering better entry prices for potential share assignments but lower ROI.
  • 🎯 Strike selection for the short put is crucial, with Delta used to gauge the likelihood of assignment, and the choice between price selection or Delta selection based on investor preference.
  • 📌 The long put strike selection depends on the investor's market outlook, with a more bullish outlook leading to a further out-of-the-money strike for a higher credit, and a more bearish outlook opting for a nearer strike for a higher max profit.
  • 📚 The presenter offers a free 'Options Income Blueprint' for viewers interested in learning more about consistent income-generating options strategies.

Q & A

  • What is the put ratio spread retirement strategy discussed in the video?

    -The put ratio spread retirement strategy is an options trading strategy that combines a short put option, which generates a premium, and a long put spread, which is purchased using the premium received. It's designed to be a repeatable strategy suitable for those looking for a single approach to trade for retirement purposes.

  • How does the short put option in the put ratio spread strategy work?

    -In the put ratio spread strategy, selling a short put option involves receiving a premium for it. This premium is then used to finance the purchase of the long put spread, creating a net credit for the trader.

  • What is the purpose of adding a long put spread to the short put option?

    -The long put spread is added as a defensive measure. It allows traders to profit if the market goes down, thus balancing the risk of the short put option, which is more profitable if the market goes up or stays stable.

  • Why might someone choose the put ratio spread strategy for retirement?

    -The put ratio spread strategy can be chosen for retirement because it offers a balance between potential profit and risk management. It allows for consistent income generation with the potential for profit in various market conditions, making it suitable for long-term financial planning.

  • What are the different scenarios in which the put ratio spread strategy can be profitable?

    -The strategy can be profitable in scenarios such as when the stock expires above the put ratio spread, when the stock goes below the long put but stays above the short puts, and when the stock goes below the put ratio spread, requiring careful management of the components.

  • How can one minimize risk when using the put ratio spread strategy?

    -Risk can be minimized by choosing fundamentally sound stocks or index ETFs, identifying undervalued stocks, waiting for a good setup like an oversold market condition, and identifying support levels where the price has difficulty falling below.

  • What is the significance of choosing the right Delta for the short put option in the put ratio spread strategy?

    -Choosing the right Delta helps determine the likelihood of the short put option being in the money at expiration. A lower Delta indicates a lower chance of assignment, which can be preferable depending on the trader's outlook and risk tolerance.

  • How does the Days to Expiration (DTE) affect the put ratio spread strategy?

    -A shorter DTE can offer a higher return on investment due to a higher premium received, but it may also result in a less favorable entry price for long shares. A longer DTE may reduce ROI but can provide a better entry price and more time for the market to move in the trader's favor.

  • What is the trade-off when selecting a long put strike that is closer to the current market price?

    -Selecting a long put strike closer to the current market price provides a more defensive structure and a higher maximum profit potential if the market goes down. However, it results in a lower credit for the put ratio spread and a lower overall profit if the market goes up.

  • What is the role of the stochastic oscillator in the put ratio spread strategy?

    -The stochastic oscillator is used to identify overbought or oversold market conditions. It serves as a defensive measure to help traders determine a good setup for entering the put ratio spread, with oversold conditions being more favorable for a bullish outlook on the strategy.

  • Why is it important to identify support levels when using the put ratio spread strategy?

    -Identifying support levels is important because these are price points where the market has historically had difficulty falling below. Trading the put ratio spread near these levels can increase the probability of the strategy expiring worthless, thus maximizing the credit received.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to the Put Ratio Spread Retirement Strategy

The speaker introduces a retirement-focused options strategy called the put ratio spread. This strategy is recommended for those who prefer a single, repeatable trading method. It combines a short put option, which generates a premium, with a long put spread, which is bought using the premium received. The put ratio spread is explained as a mix of bullish and bearish strategies, offering a defensive measure against market downturns while benefiting from the premium received for selling the short put option.

05:01

🤑 Profit Scenarios of the Put Ratio Spread

The video script outlines various scenarios where the put ratio spread can yield profits. If the stock price remains above the put ratio spread at expiration, the full credit received from the strategy is kept. If the stock dips below the long put but stays above the short puts, the put debit spread can generate profit. The third scenario involves the stock falling below the put ratio spread, where the strategy can still be profitable, and the trader has the option to roll or let the short puts expire, potentially leading to a long stock position.

10:03

🛡️ Managing Risks in the Put Ratio Spread Strategy

The speaker discusses the importance of risk management when using the put ratio spread strategy. They suggest keeping a watch list of fundamentally sound stocks that one would not mind owning if assigned. Additionally, identifying undervalued stocks can provide an extra layer of security. The speaker also emphasizes the significance of the stochastic oscillator and support levels in determining good entry points for the strategy to minimize risk.

15:04

📉 Dealing with Market Downturns in the Put Ratio Spread

This paragraph delves into the actions to take if the market continues to decline, causing losses on the shares obtained from the short put option. The speaker advises on how to reduce risk by selecting stocks that one is comfortable holding long-term and ensuring they are fundamentally strong and undervalued. The importance of waiting for an oversold market condition and identifying support levels is also highlighted to enhance the probability of a market recovery.

20:06

🎯 Trade Construction for the Put Ratio Spread

The speaker provides guidance on constructing the put ratio spread trade, focusing on the selection of the right Delta for the short put option and the appropriate strike price for both the short and long put options. The choice of Delta indicates the likelihood of assignment, while the strike price selection depends on the trader's outlook on the market. The trade-off between higher returns with shorter Delta times and the potential for better entry prices with longer Delta times is explained.

25:06

🚀 Conclusion and Next Steps for the Put Ratio Spread Strategy

The final paragraph wraps up the discussion on the put ratio spread strategy, encouraging viewers to apply it and share their thoughts. The speaker also promotes a follow-up video and offers a free copy of the 'Options Income Blueprint' for viewers interested in learning more about consistent income-generating options strategies. The emphasis is on understanding the strategy's mechanics and making informed decisions based on individual risk tolerance and market outlook.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Put Ratio Spread

The 'Put Ratio Spread' is an options trading strategy that combines a short put option and a long put spread. It is designed to be a versatile strategy suitable for those looking for a single approach to trade repeatedly, as mentioned in the video for retirement purposes. The strategy involves selling two out-of-the-money put options and buying one in-the-money put option, creating a credit which can be used to finance the purchase of the long put spread. It is highlighted in the script as a strategy that can be profitable in various market conditions and is central to the video's theme of a retirement strategy.

💡Short Put Option

A 'Short Put Option' is an options contract where the seller (or writer) has the obligation to sell the underlying asset at the strike price if the buyer chooses to exercise the option. In the context of the video, selling a short put option is the first part of the put ratio spread strategy, allowing the seller to receive a premium for taking on this obligation. It is used as a means to finance the purchase of the long put spread in the retirement strategy discussed.

💡Long Put Spread

A 'Long Put Spread', also known as a put debit spread, involves buying a put option while simultaneously selling another put option with the same expiration date but a different strike price, typically lower. In the video, it is part of the put ratio spread strategy, serving as a defensive measure to protect against market downturns and to profit from a decrease in the underlying asset's price.

💡Premium

In options trading, a 'Premium' is the price paid by the buyer to the seller for the option contract. The premium is a key component of the put ratio spread strategy as it is the income received from selling the short put option, which is then used to finance the purchase of the long put spread. The script explains how the premium received can lead to a net credit for the trader.

💡Defensive Measure

A 'Defensive Measure' in the context of trading strategies is a technique or tool used to mitigate potential losses. In the video, the long put spread within the put ratio spread is described as a defensive measure that protects the trader's position in case the market declines, allowing for the potential to profit from the bearish aspect of the strategy.

💡Market Direction

The 'Market Direction' refers to the anticipated movement of the price of an asset or index, either upward (bullish) or downward (bearish). The video discusses the importance of not relying solely on market direction predictions and instead using a combination of bullish and bearish strategies within the put ratio spread to manage risk and profit potential.

💡Profit Scenarios

The 'Profit Scenarios' outlined in the script are the various market conditions under which the put ratio spread strategy can yield a profit. These include the stock expiring above the short put strike price, the stock trading below the long put but above the short puts, and the stock trading below the put ratio spread. Each scenario is explained in the video with corresponding profit outcomes.

💡Risk Management

Risk management is a critical aspect of trading strategies, and the script discusses several risk management techniques for the put ratio spread strategy. This includes choosing fundamentally sound stocks, identifying undervalued stocks, waiting for oversold market conditions, and identifying support levels. These measures are designed to reduce potential losses and increase the likelihood of a profitable outcome.

💡Expiration

In options trading, 'Expiration' refers to the date on which an option contract becomes invalid if not exercised. The video script discusses how the outcome of the put ratio spread strategy is influenced by whether the underlying stock's price is above or below certain strike prices at expiration, affecting whether the options expire worthless or result in a profit.

💡Stochastic Oscillator

The 'Stochastic Oscillator' is a technical indicator used to analyze the momentum of an asset's price to determine overbought or oversold conditions. In the video, it is suggested as a tool to identify good entry points for the put ratio spread strategy, with the script noting that an oversold market condition provides a more favorable setup for the strategy.

💡Support Level

A 'Support Level' in technical analysis is a price level at which an asset's price tends to find stability and is unlikely to fall below. In the video, support levels are discussed as a defensive measure to identify good entry points for the put ratio spread strategy, as it provides a higher probability of a price rebound or reversal if the market tests this level.

Highlights

The put ratio spread retirement strategy is introduced as a single, repeatable trading strategy for retirement purposes.

The put ratio spread combines a short put option, which generates a premium, with a long put spread, which is financed by the received premium.

The strategy involves selling two short puts and buying one long put, sharing the same strike price for the short puts.

The risk of the two short puts is mitigated by the long put, which acts as a hedge if the market declines.

An example illustrates the construction of the put ratio spread, using a $3 credit to finance a $1 long put spread, resulting in a net credit of $2.

The put ratio spread serves as a defensive measure in market downturns, allowing for potential profit from the long put spread.

Profit scenarios are outlined, including expiration above the put ratio spread, between the long and short puts, and below the short puts.

If the stock price falls below the short puts, the strategy involves separating the components and managing them individually.

Two methods for managing a short put in a down market are presented: holding to expiration or rolling the put to a different strike price and expiration date.

The importance of selecting fundamentally sound stocks for the put ratio spread is emphasized to ensure long-term value.

Identifying undervalued stocks further reduces risk, providing conviction to hold shares if assigned.

Using technical indicators like the stochastic oscillator can help in timing the put ratio spread to avoid overbought conditions.

Support levels are important for determining a good entry point for the put ratio spread, increasing the likelihood of a price rebound.

The selection of the Days to Expiration (DTE) impacts the return on investment, with shorter DTEs offering higher returns but less favorable entry prices.

Delta can be used to select the short put strike, indicating the probability of assignment at expiration.

The long put strike selection depends on market outlook; a more bullish view would choose a further out of the money strike.

A more bearish or defensive approach would select a long put strike closer to the current market price for greater profit potential in a down market.

The put ratio spread retirement strategy is summarized, highlighting its flexibility and defensive nature in various market conditions.

Transcripts

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all right alrighty so in today's video

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we're going to be talking about one

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option strategy that you can use for

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retirement right so if you're the kind

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of person that you know you don't like

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to trade many different kind of

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strategies you just want one strategy

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that you can trade over and over again

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and you were to ask me you know what

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would I suggest then I would say it

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would be this strategy so what is this

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strategy well this strategy is what I

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call the put ratio spread retirement

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strategy right so we're going to use the

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put r spread and train it in a way where

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it will suit our retirement purposes so

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first of all what exactly is the put

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ratio spread so if you're not familiar

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with the put ratio spread the way that I

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like to see it is a combination of two

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different strategies right two different

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strategies both are simple on its own so

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the very first strategy is what is

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called the short putut right so with the

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short putut when you sell the put option

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you're going to receive a premium for it

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right so this is the first part of it

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you're going to receive a credit for

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selling this put option now with this

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credit that you receive what you're

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going to do is that you're going to buy

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a put spread right so this is what you

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call a put debit spread or a long put

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spread or you can also call it you know

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the bare put spread so for this long put

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spread what's going to happen is that

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you're actually going to pay a premium

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for that so the whole idea down here is

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that you're using the premium which you

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receive for the short putut to fin the

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purchase of the long put spread right so

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as you can see down here you will have

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two short puts and one long put so when

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you combine it together basically it

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will look like this so the whole idea

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down here is that the short putut part

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of the long put spread as you can see

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over here is actually sharing the same

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strike price as the one sh put on the

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left hand side right so if you combine

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them together you will see that there

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are two short puts at one strike and

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then on top of it you have one long put

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right so some people take a look at this

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and they say hey there's two short puts

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isn't it double the risk so it's not

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double the risk because for one of them

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you actually already have this long put

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right so it's being covered by this long

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put so how you want to see it again like

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I mentioned you want to see it as a long

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put spread and then one additional short

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put at the side okay so this is the put

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ratio spread so again the whole idea

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down here is that you're using the short

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putut to finance the purchase of the

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long put spread so here's an example so

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let's say you sell one short putut right

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you sell the short putut and you receive

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$3 in credit for it so for every short

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putut that you sell that is $300 you're

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going to receive in premium now with

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this $3 credit that you receive you're

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going to use a part of it to buy the put

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debit spread right so as you can see

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down here if you buy the long put spread

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for a dollar then the overall spread the

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put rtio spread when you combine them

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together the total credit you're going

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to receive is $2 right so that means

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you're going to receive $200 per put

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ratio spread so this is the whole gist

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of the put ratio spread how you're going

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to construct it now you might be asking

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hey Davis why do I want to add the long

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put spread right wouldn't it be much

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more simpler if I just had you know just

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the short putut and that is a good

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question so there is a reason why we

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want to use the long putut spread and

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that is because we want to use it as a

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defensive measure right because one of

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the things that a lot of people are

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afraid of whenever they you know do the

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short putut is what if the market comes

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down right if the market comes down this

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is where they're going to panic right

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because they got a short putut they

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don't want the market to come down so

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they you know are afraid right but with

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the put ratio spread you have this long

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put spread so it is like a defensive

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measure so in case if the market

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actually comes down we actually have

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like a semi hatch in place right not a

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full hedge of course a semi hch in a

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sense whereby if the market comes down

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you can actually still make some profit

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from the put debit spread portion right

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because the put debit spread is a

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bearish strategy right so the short

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putut is a semi bullish strategy right

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depending on how far away your short

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putut is but generally it is a neutral

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to bullish strategy in the sense whereby

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you want the market to go up to make

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money whereas for the long put spread

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it's very clearcut that you want the

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market to go down in order for the long

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put spread to make money so what you

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have down here is a combination of a

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bullish and a bearish strategy so

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whenever we put on any strategy of

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course if you put on a bullish strategy

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we want the market to go up right but

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how good are we in picking the direction

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right if you're already so confident

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thinking that the market is going to go

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up then don't get into options right

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just buy the stock outright the market

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if it goes up you're going to make even

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more than just selling the put option so

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the reason we want to put the long put

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spread in place is also because we're

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not very sure if the market really will

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go up right nobody can really predict

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the market 100% I mean if you can then

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of course you're a genius you should be

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a millionaire by now or a

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multi-billionaire by now you shouldn't

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be watching this video right but for the

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most part all of us Mortals the rest of

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us we're not sure so we want to have

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this long put spread as a defensive

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measure the market comes down we can

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still make some profit on that put debit

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spread and at the same time if the

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market goes up we will actually still be

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in a profit right because remember we

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receive a credit for this whole put

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ratio spread so we're not that worried

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and if the market comes down we actually

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also look forward to it because we have

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the long put spread in place now the

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next question you might have is Davis

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how do I make money with this strategy

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so there are a few scenarios that we

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actually can profit with this strategy

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and I'm going to share it with you right

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so the very first scenario is if the

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stock actually expires above the put

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ratio spread right so this is our

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structure down here so anywhere above

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this structure it will expire worthless

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right basically because you know it did

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not come down right if it did not come

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down the profit which we're going to get

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is pretty much the full credit that you

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receive for putting on this strategy so

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if you recall the example earlier I said

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that you know you put up this put ratio

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spread you receive a total credit of $2

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right so for every put ratio spread you

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will receive $200 so this is a very

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straightforward scenario now scenario

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number two what if the stock actually

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goes below the long putut but it

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actually stays above the short puts so

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right now as you can see it actually

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went in between our structure down here

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so at this point of time what exactly do

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we do so if you do actually have this

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scenario it actually is good for you

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right because you are actually going to

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be in a profit as long as it stays

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somewhere there close to expiration

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right so once it's near expiration all

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you got to do right is just close out

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the whole spread right close out this

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put ratio spread for a profit right so

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as you can see down here this is the p&l

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graph of the put ratio spread so as you

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can see down here there are two puts

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down here so this corresponds to this

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one down here and then you have one long

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put so this one long put is down here so

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you can see down here this is where the

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market price is right so this also you

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know coincides with where the current

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market price is down here so that means

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to say if the market actually comes down

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here and stays between the put options

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right that means the two short puts and

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the one long put you are actually going

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to make more than if the market actually

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went up right so you can see down here

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if the market actually went up all

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you're going to get is just the credit

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which you Reed for putting on the

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strategy but as the market actually

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comes down you notice that the max

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profit is actually near where the short

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puts are right in fact the max profit is

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right at where the short putut is so if

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it actually stays between these two puts

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down here then actually you will be in a

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better profit right let me just draw a

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line down here so somewhere down here or

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let me just shade it this whole area

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down here right as long it's below the

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long put above the two short puts then

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your profit is going to be greater than

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what you would get if the market goes up

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right basically you get more than the

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credit so why is that so and the reason

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is because remember I told you about the

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long put spread when the long put spread

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is in play When the market Comes Down

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The Long put spread actually helps you

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make money as well so that is why you

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actually make more than if the market

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was to go up and you just receed the

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credit right so if you think about it

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this way you're actually paying money

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for the put debit spread so if the

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market actually go goes above the put

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debit spread so let me just remove all

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this again so let's say if the market

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stays above the put debit spread your

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put debit spread actually lost money

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because you actually paid for it right

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so you actually do not get anything from

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the put deit spread you lost whatever

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you sort of you know used to finance

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this put debit spread but if the market

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comes down now your put debit spread

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actually makes money so down here you

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have a combination of two things you

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have the credit which you receive UPF

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front plus you get a profit for closing

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out the debit spread which is in profit

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all right so this is for scenario number

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two now scenario number three what if

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the stock actually goes below the put

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ratio spread right so if you were to

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just go back to this graph down here you

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notice that even though if it goes below

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the put ratio spread that means let's

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say for example somewhere down here let

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me just remove this drawing again and

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I'll draw this so that means we just go

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slightly below the two shuts if you

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actually go slightly below the two short

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puts you notice that at expiration we

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actually still going to be in a profit

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right at this point down here it's going

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to be you know a pretty nice profit but

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we actually do not want to hold it to

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exploration why is that so well because

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if you're going to trade this on

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individual stocks right or even on index

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ETFs these two shuts is going to get

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assigned at expiration right so for

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scenar number three if the stock goes

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below the put ratio spread what we want

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to do is that we're going to separate

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this tra stry into the two components

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which we talked about right the short

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putut and then the long putut spread

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because now we're going to manage them

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separately so bear with me here just uh

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really pay attention to this part

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because it's quite important so the

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first step you want to do once the

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market actually goes below the whole put

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ratio spread construct that means below

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the short put this is where your put

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debit spread will be in a profit now at

play10:53

this point in time you can actually

play10:55

close it out for a profit now that you

play10:58

have already closed out the put that

play10:59

spread you are left with just the short

play11:02

putut so what do you do with the short

play11:04

putut right so there are two methods

play11:06

that you can do right now number one you

play11:08

can leave it to expiration because

play11:10

remember the whole idea down here is

play11:12

that you actually do not mind getting

play11:15

into the long stock position right the

play11:16

way we want to trade put ratio spread is

play11:18

a way whereby we don't mind getting into

play11:20

the stock and then if we are in the

play11:22

stock position the market goes up again

play11:24

we're going to profit on the shares that

play11:26

we got assigned on so method number one

play11:28

you leave it to exploration

play11:29

two things can happen the first thing is

play11:32

that if the stock goes back up by

play11:36

expiration that means it expires

play11:37

actually worthless then you actually do

play11:40

not have to worry about anything because

play11:42

right now you made the full profit on

play11:44

the short put side because the credit

play11:46

whatever you receed you got it and then

play11:48

you also sold the put debit spread you

play11:50

got a profit there as well right so this

play11:52

is a good scenario for you now the

play11:55

second scenario after using method

play11:57

number one is that if the stock stays

play11:59

below the sh putut at expiration you

play12:02

will get a sign right you get 100 shares

play12:04

and this is actually what we want so

play12:06

remember the whole idea of this put

play12:07

ratio spread strategy is we actually

play12:09

don't mind getting into a long stock

play12:12

position right a very simple way is to

play12:14

just get into the shares if the market

play12:16

goes up and then you get a profit from

play12:19

there as well now method number two is

play12:22

that you can actually roll the shut

play12:25

right so how do you roll the shut you

play12:27

can roll the shut simply by roll pulling

play12:29

out to a further DTE and to a lower

play12:33

strike price so for example if there's

play12:36

maybe let's say there's 15 DTE left in

play12:39

this shut right and then you just roll

play12:42

it so what you want to do is you want to

play12:44

roll it to maybe a higher DTE so it

play12:47

depends on what you can get right and

play12:49

also how low of a strike price you want

play12:51

to go to but basically when you're

play12:53

rolling you can actually get an

play12:55

additional credit and at a lower strike

play12:57

price so maybe this time you want to

play12:59

roll it to 30

play13:01

DTE and then you want to roll the strike

play13:04

price further down right so whatever the

play13:06

price is so maybe if originally it was

play13:08

$50 then you want to roll it down to

play13:11

maybe $48 depending on what you can get

play13:14

on the option chain so when you do this

play13:16

you can actually get a credit at the

play13:18

same time you leave more room for the

play13:21

market to actually have a possibility to

play13:24

go back up then this whole sh putut

play13:26

again will expire worthless now what if

play13:28

it goes down well if it goes down then

play13:30

guess what you can go back to Method

play13:32

number one again right method number one

play13:35

that means you can either just leave

play13:37

that to exploration see whether you get

play13:39

assigned or if you can roll it again you

play13:42

can choose to roll it even further down

play13:44

and if you get assigned again this time

play13:46

you will get a lower strike price right

play13:48

you will buy the shares at a lower price

play13:51

so this actually is a very good scenario

play13:54

for us because if you actually get

play13:57

assigned the shares and then the market

play13:59

shoots back up you make on a lot of

play14:02

wayte right you make on the put debit

play14:04

spread you also receive the credit for

play14:06

the shut and then for the shares you're

play14:09

going to make profit if the market goes

play14:10

up right so there'll be a capital gain

play14:13

so at this point in time you might be

play14:14

asking Davis this sounds all fine and

play14:17

dandy right it sounds so good but where

play14:20

is the risk in this strategy by the way

play14:23

if you like this video so far Please

play14:24

Subscribe and also click the thumbs up

play14:26

button and also do get your free copy of

play14:28

the options income blueprint where I

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play14:34

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two hours a day right so if you want to

play14:38

go ahead to get this copy just head on

play14:40

over to options with davis.com blueprint

play14:43

all right back to the video well that's

play14:45

a very good question because we must

play14:47

always find out what is the risk in the

play14:49

strategy and the risk is if the market

play14:53

keeps going down right so for example in

play14:55

scenario number three you get assigned

play14:57

the shares the market keeps keeps going

play14:59

down so if the market keeps going down

play15:01

you're going to start to lose on your

play15:03

shares all right so in this case what do

play15:06

you do right how do you reduce the risk

play15:10

okay so I'm going to share with you a

play15:12

few ways that you can reduce the risk so

play15:14

uh really take some notes if you can so

play15:16

the very first thing you want to do is

play15:18

to keep a watch list of stocks that you

play15:21

actually don't mind owning right so

play15:23

ideally you want to go for fundamentally

play15:25

good stocks or index ETFs right so if

play15:27

you go for stocks that you know in the

play15:29

long term it's going to keep going up

play15:31

you actually do not mind getting into

play15:33

the long stock right so for some people

play15:36

they like to you know buy more

play15:38

speculative stocks for example I've had

play15:41

people that say you know I like GameStop

play15:43

right they're waiting for roaring Kitty

play15:45

to maybe suddenly come up with a tweet

play15:47

the stock shoots up right that's all up

play15:49

to you right basically you want to keep

play15:52

a watch list of stocks that you do not

play15:54

mind owning so even though if you're

play15:56

long the stock you're okay with that now

play15:58

the next way that you can reduce the

play16:00

risk is to actually identify the stocks

play16:03

that are currently undervalue right so

play16:05

you already have a watch list of the

play16:07

stocks you don't mind owning and most of

play16:09

them hopefully is fundamentally good

play16:11

stocks then what you can do is that you

play16:13

can go to some of the sites down here

play16:15

right for example simply Wall Street or

play16:17

Guru Focus or Morning Star so on so

play16:19

forth right there are a number of the

play16:21

sites where they actually you know tell

play16:23

you what is the value of it whether is

play16:26

it undervalue or overv value now each s

play16:28

might have their own valuation so what

play16:31

you want to do is that you just want to

play16:32

go through you know all the size and

play16:34

then just maybe get an aggregate of it

play16:36

or just find the one that has you know

play16:38

the the one that makes sense to you most

play16:40

or whereby you know you find one where

play16:42

the fair value is the lowest all right

play16:44

so out of those stocks you want to find

play16:46

the one that is undervalued because now

play16:47

you have an additional defense mechanism

play16:50

right because you may have actually

play16:52

fundamentally good stocks that you want

play16:54

to go long which you don't mind owning

play16:55

the shares but if you get it at a price

play16:57

where it's too expensive right if it's

play17:00

above the fair value then it could take

play17:02

quite some time before the market comes

play17:04

back up again if it keeps going down

play17:06

right and that is why you know if you

play17:08

find it undervalue again then this would

play17:10

be one other way that you can further

play17:13

reduce risk whereby if you actually do

play17:16

get long let's say for example you get

play17:17

assigned on that short putut you now at

play17:20

least have the conviction to hold on to

play17:22

those shares because you can see that

play17:24

it's undervalue right so for example as

play17:26

an example we're just going to use this

play17:28

price right for some people you know if

play17:30

you find this too expensive go for the

play17:32

cheaper stocks right so let's say for

play17:33

example for this you can see that the

play17:35

fair value down here and the current

play17:37

price is quite a big difference right so

play17:40

if you think that this fair value is

play17:43

pretty accurate then even though you get

play17:45

assigned at the current price you don't

play17:46

have to worry right you can just hold on

play17:48

to it right for example in 2022 where a

play17:51

lot of the stocks right they went so far

play17:54

down that you know a lot of people panic

play17:57

they close up their stocks but if if you

play17:59

already understood the stock that you

play18:01

are buying the company and you think

play18:02

that it's undervalued you can hold on to

play18:04

it and then the market will eventually

play18:06

come back up as it did right as you can

play18:08

see in 2023 2024 the market just shot

play18:10

back up that is why you know certain

play18:12

stocks like Google meta Amazon if you

play18:15

had entered them at a price where you

play18:17

know it was undervalued then you

play18:19

definitely would have the conviction

play18:21

holding power to hold on to it until the

play18:23

market eventually comes up now the third

play18:25

one is to wait for a good setup right so

play18:28

we already have quite a number of

play18:29

defensive measures now this will be the

play18:32

final defensive measure right so what is

play18:34

a good setup so this is something that

play18:36

I've talked about in quite a number of

play18:38

videos so this is a very good way

play18:40

especially if you're new to trading

play18:43

options then this good setup you can use

play18:45

is number one just put on the stochastic

play18:48

oscillator right so the stochastic

play18:50

oscillator basically just measures the

play18:53

condition of the market right is it

play18:56

overbought or is it oversold so as you

play18:58

can see down here I've circled it in

play19:00

rate already as long as it goes below

play19:03

this line at the bottom it considered

play19:05

overs so that means to say that the

play19:07

market has already sold off quite a bit

play19:09

and the chances of it you know going

play19:10

back up at least would be slightly

play19:12

better than if it were to continue going

play19:15

down right of course that is not to say

play19:17

that the market won't continue to go

play19:18

down it can right but you've already

play19:20

reached a point whereby it's really

play19:21

pretty overs soap right and you've got

play19:24

this two points down here as well that

play19:26

gives you further conviction that if

play19:27

you're assigned you can hold on to it

play19:30

right so if it's oversold definitely

play19:32

it's a much better position for you to

play19:34

put on the put ratio spread than if it's

play19:36

overbought right you notice that every

play19:37

time if it's overbought take a look at

play19:39

the chart right this is where the market

play19:41

has gone up quite high right that is why

play19:44

the stochastic label it as overbought

play19:47

right so if at this point if you were to

play19:49

put the put ratio spread right the

play19:51

market could just come tumbling down

play19:53

very quickly and you may not necessarily

play19:55

be you know comfortable holding on to

play19:57

the shares if you get sign right so wait

play19:59

till the stochastics oversold and next

play20:02

one the final one identify support level

play20:05

so if the over so reading is not enough

play20:08

you also want an additional defensive

play20:10

measure whereby you find places where

play20:12

the prices find it very difficult to go

play20:14

below right so these are what you call

play20:16

support levels so you can see that

play20:18

prices have bounced off several times

play20:20

and then it went back up now it come

play20:22

back down and then it's about to test

play20:24

this support level right so doesn't mean

play20:27

the support level it's going to hold all

play20:29

the time it's just that you know again

play20:32

everything about trading and options is

play20:34

about probability at least you have a

play20:36

better chance of it going up so if it

play20:38

does go up then the whole put ratio

play20:39

spread expire worthless you just make

play20:42

the full credit that you receive for

play20:44

putting on the put ratio spread but if

play20:46

it does go down despite all the measures

play20:48

that we have in place and then now

play20:50

you're assigned the 100 shares then

play20:53

guess what you are already at a point

play20:56

whereby the market is pretty pretty

play20:59

overs right it has gone through quite a

play21:01

bit and that is not to say it won't go

play21:03

further down but there is a chance that

play21:05

there could be a retracement back up

play21:07

right or even a reversal and at the

play21:09

point as long as you are in a profit you

play21:12

can choose to close out those 100 shares

play21:15

all right so once you've identified all

play21:17

this this is where you can construct the

play21:20

put ratio spread right basically you

play21:22

want to construct the put ratio spread

play21:24

below this support level okay so I've

play21:27

already given you quite a number of

play21:28

defensive measures that you can use to

play21:30

further reduce the risk of this strategy

play21:33

so now let's get into trade construction

play21:36

because this is where a lot of people

play21:37

will ask me Davis so for this strategy

play21:39

what is the DTE which DTE should I go

play21:42

for should I go for zero DTE or minus

play21:45

one or minus 7 so that my profit you

play21:48

know would have been already realized

play21:50

before I actually put on the trade no

play21:52

okay I'm just kidding right so the whole

play21:54

idea down here is that whenever people

play21:55

ask me DTE a lot of times they want to

play21:58

go for the shorter ones and yes I

play22:01

understand why right we want to realize

play22:03

the profit very quickly and here's the

play22:05

thing about this strategy for the most

play22:07

part whenever I talk about you know DTE

play22:10

with a lot of the strategies that I

play22:12

shared on my channel I tend to go for

play22:14

above 45 DT because that's where our

play22:16

Edge lies right the edge where the

play22:18

realize move is often time lesser than

play22:20

the expected move but for this strategy

play22:23

the TT selection is actually not that

play22:26

important because we actually don't mind

play22:28

getting into the shares right we don't

play22:30

mind getting into a long stock position

play22:33

so with that said there is still some

play22:36

difference between the shorter DTE and

play22:38

the longer DTE that you need to know in

play22:41

order to crop the put ratio spread

play22:43

according to your preference right so

play22:46

now let's talk about the shorter DTE

play22:48

first so with the shorter DTE you

play22:51

actually get a higher return right so

play22:53

you notice down here the ROI is higher

play22:56

compared to this one and how do you

play22:57

calculate the RO I is actually pretty

play22:59

simple right you just take the credit

play23:01

which you receive you you can see down

play23:03

here

play23:03

0.34 which is $34 right and then you

play23:07

divide it by the strike Price Right

play23:09

basically the cost of the amount that

play23:12

you have to put up to Long 100 shares

play23:13

for this right so basically if you were

play23:15

to just calculate Roi divided by the DTE

play23:18

* 365 that's how you're going to

play23:20

calculate the ROI you will get a higher

play23:22

return than the longer DTE right as you

play23:25

can see down here I compare it with a 29

play23:28

DT

play23:29

but there are some slight differences

play23:31

where you might consider a longer DTE

play23:33

right so for example you have lesser

play23:36

premium to purchase the long put spread

play23:39

right you can see down here if you sell

play23:40

this 134 strike you get only 34 CS so 34

play23:44

cents is going to be quite difficult for

play23:46

you to buy you know a bigger put spread

play23:48

because you don't have that much credit

play23:50

and at the same time your put ratio

play23:52

spread is going to be closer to where

play23:54

the current market price is right mainly

play23:57

your short strike right so if you take a

play23:59

look at this down here 134 it's giving

play24:01

you only 34 cents that means to say that

play24:05

if you want to go for a further strike a

play24:07

further away strike let's say maybe 130

play24:10

you're not going to get that much credit

play24:11

already right it's going to be so little

play24:13

that there's no point for you to even

play24:15

put it on but whereas for the 29 DTE you

play24:18

notice that hey you get

play24:20

$243 for the same strike price what does

play24:23

this mean it means that if you were to

play24:25

go further out the market so maybe you

play24:27

can even go to 130 maybe 128 127 and you

play24:31

find that there's still some credit so

play24:34

why does this play an important part

play24:36

because if the market actually comes

play24:38

down and you reach a point where you

play24:40

want to actually get assigned or you

play24:42

have to get assigned then of course

play24:44

you're going to get a better entry price

play24:47

if you get a further away strike price

play24:49

with the longer DTE down here right so

play24:52

if you're going to get a sign is it

play24:54

better for you to get long at maybe the

play24:55

strike price of $127 or at $134 of

play24:59

course $127 so that is why you know

play25:02

longer DTE will actually give you that

play25:06

better strike price if you are going to

play25:08

get into the long shares right so again

play25:11

you get more premium to purchase the

play25:13

long put spread and a put raal spread is

play25:14

further away to market price only

play25:17

difference or rather the small setback

play25:19

is that it's a slightly lower Roi if you

play25:22

would just you know get the credit but

play25:24

for me I value more towards the risk

play25:27

side right if the risk is to the

play25:29

downside if I'm going to get into the

play25:30

long shares I rather get it at a lower

play25:33

price than a higher price okay so this

play25:37

is on DTE selection now next let's talk

play25:39

about shut strike selection where are we

play25:42

going to position our short putut right

play25:44

so there are two ways that you can do

play25:46

this now the very first way very simple

play25:48

way is just price selection basically

play25:50

you choose the strike price at a place

play25:53

where you don't mind going long the

play25:55

shares at so let's say for example uh it

play25:58

could be at a price of $50 so let's say

play26:00

for example you think that $50 is what

play26:02

you like then you can place it at $50

play26:05

right if you are able to construct this

play26:07

whole put ratio spread for a pretty

play26:09

decent credit right so that's the first

play26:11

way the second way is that you can use

play26:13

the Delta to select your short strip

play26:16

right so you use Delta as an indication

play26:18

of the percentage chance of being in the

play26:20

money at expiration so let's say for

play26:23

example you want only a 25% chance that

play26:26

you could get Bri on the short put side

play26:29

then you get assigned then at this place

play26:31

you can go for the 130 strike price now

play26:35

the final component is the long put

play26:37

strike selection so how do we Define

play26:40

where we put the laput strike so if you

play26:43

have a more bullish Outlook then this is

play26:46

where you want to go for the further out

play26:48

of the money strike right so as you can

play26:50

see down here this is where the current

play26:51

market price is so out of the money will

play26:54

be below this current price down here so

play26:57

basically the lower the price is the

play26:59

more further away it is and the cheaper

play27:02

the put right so if it's much further

play27:05

away then you notice that the purchase

play27:07

of this uh put is going to be much

play27:09

cheaper so you're going to get a higher

play27:11

credit for the put ratio spread and a

play27:13

lower Max profit for the long put spread

play27:16

right because your put spread right now

play27:18

is going to be smaller so this is if

play27:20

you're more bullish but if you're more

play27:23

bearish you know you're not very sure or

play27:25

you want to be more defensive right

play27:27

you're afraid that you know the market

play27:28

is going to come down then in this case

play27:31

you want to go for a nearer to where the

play27:33

current market price is the strike price

play27:35

there and it's going to be more

play27:37

expensive right as you can see down here

play27:39

because you're going closer to the

play27:41

current market price so at the money

play27:43

strike will always be more expensive

play27:44

than further out of the money so for

play27:47

this is the good thing is that you have

play27:49

a much defensive uh structure if the

play27:53

market comes down so you actually

play27:55

anticipate the market to come down you

play27:57

want it to come down so that your put

play27:58

spread down here you can get a much

play28:01

bigger profit right the trade-off is

play28:03

that you get a lower credit for the put

play28:05

ratio spread that means if the market

play28:06

goes up then your overall credit that

play28:08

you get is going to be lesser as you can

play28:10

see down here this is 50 Cents for the

play28:12

previous structure you actually get much

play28:14

more right you get $2 if the market

play28:16

actually goes up but for this if the

play28:18

market comes down then you're going to

play28:19

get a higher Max profit for the long

play28:22

putut spread all right so this is the

play28:24

put ratio spread retirement strategy so

play28:27

use it and let let me know what you

play28:29

think in the comments below by the way

play28:31

if you like this video then you're

play28:32

absolutely going to love this next video

play28:34

which I have for you so go ahead and

play28:36

watch that video right now also if you

play28:38

haven't already gotten your free copy of

play28:40

the options income blueprint you can do

play28:42

so just by clicking this link down here

play28:44

on your screen and you'll be able to get

play28:46

it for free all right I will see you in

play28:49

the next video

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