2050, Andai Kita Tidak Melakukan Apa-Apa | Catatan Najwa

Najwa Shihab

11 Nov 202104:56

Summary

TLDRThe script paints a dire picture of the world by 2050, with extreme heat forcing people to seek refuge in air-conditioned rooms and sleep during cooler hours. Droughts, wildfires, and rising sea levels lead to extreme weather events and displacement of millions. Pandemics, hunger, and international tensions escalate as resources dwindle. Despite being based on scientific research, the script calls for immediate global action on climate change, urging individuals and governments to take responsibility and work towards a sustainable future.

Takeaways

🌡️ Extreme heat is projected for 2050, with temperatures potentially reaching up to 60°C, causing severe health risks and discomfort.
🌳 Deforestation and climate change are leading to severe droughts, affecting water availability and making it a luxury only the wealthy can afford.
🌊 Rising sea levels are causing extreme weather events, with coastal cities like Alexandria, Cairo, Mumbai, Shanghai, Bangkok, and Jakarta facing frequent floods.
🏙️ Rapid urbanization and population growth are contributing to the spread of diseases, with half the world's population at risk of malaria or hemorrhagic fever.
🌍 International relations are strained, with countries becoming more self-interested and protectionist, leading to global trade disruptions and potential conflicts.
🌾 Food scarcity is expected to worsen due to increased global population and reduced availability of arable land and water, leading to higher food prices and malnutrition.
🏥 Health crises are escalating, with diseases like heart conditions becoming more prevalent and insurance companies potentially refusing to cover certain treatments.
🌳️ The script emphasizes the need for progressive carbon reduction and reaching a net-zero carbon footprint to prevent these disastrous scenarios.
🌐 The importance of international cooperation is highlighted, with historically responsible nations urged to assist in climate financing for developing countries.
📈 The script calls for serious attention to climate issues, including monitoring government policies and actions towards the climate crisis.
🌱 It concludes by reminding individuals of their role in addressing climate change, alongside the need for significant national policy frameworks to make a difference.

Q & A

What is the main concern about the climate in the year 2050 as described in the script?
-The main concern is extreme heat, causing people to seek shelter in air-conditioned rooms and sleep during the cooler early morning hours. This heat also leads to severe droughts and affects the availability of water.
How does the script describe the impact of extreme temperatures on human health and daily life in 2050?
-The script mentions that temperatures could reach up to 60°C, a level at which the human body cannot survive more than six hours. People are forced to use wet towels to cool themselves and endure the heat.
What are the consequences of the rising sea levels mentioned in the script for coastal cities?
-Rising sea levels lead to extreme storms, causing coastal cities to be flooded and resulting in the displacement of thousands to millions of people.
According to the script, which cities are particularly at risk due to flooding and other climate-related disasters?
-The script specifically mentions Alexandria, Cairo, Mumbai, Shanghai, Bangkok, and Jakarta as cities that are at high risk of climate-related disasters.
What are the script's predictions regarding the spread of diseases in 2050?
-The script predicts that half of the world's population will be at risk of contracting diseases like malaria or hemorrhagic fever due to changes in temperature, floods, urbanization, and human population movements.
How does the script describe the potential for food shortages and famine in 2050?
-The script suggests that with a growing global population of 9 billion and a decrease in fertility rates, there will be a struggle to feed everyone due to water and arable land shortages, leading to increased food prices and malnutrition.
What are the script's comments on international relations and global trade in 2050?
-The script indicates that international relations will be strained, with countries becoming selfish and suspicious of each other, leading to a halt in global trade as nations choose to retain resources for themselves.
What role does the script suggest for historical polluters in addressing the climate crisis?
-The script implies that developed countries, which have historically contributed more to pollution, should take responsibility and assist in funding climate crisis solutions for other nations.
How does the script address the need for immediate action to prevent the described scenarios from becoming reality?
-The script calls for serious study of the issue, including monitoring government policies and steps towards reducing carbon emissions progressively to reach a net-zero target.
What is the script's message regarding individual and collective responsibility in the face of climate change?
-The script emphasizes that while individual actions are necessary, significant impact requires national policy frameworks and collective efforts to address the climate crisis effectively.
How does the script conclude its discussion on the potential future scenarios and the need for action?
-The script concludes by urging that we cannot choose our planet, but we can shape our future, implying that immediate and significant action is required to alter the predicted course of events.

Outlines

00:00

🌡️ Extreme Climate Changes by 2050

The script paints a grim picture of the world in 2050, where extreme heat forces people to seek refuge in air-conditioned spaces, with wet towels to cool down. It describes a scenario where only the wealthy can afford water as droughts become severe, and public water sources are locked. The heat is so intense that it can be fatal within six hours, and forest fires are rampant. Rising sea levels lead to extreme weather events, flooding coastal cities, and displacing millions. Cities like Alexandria, Cairo, Mumbai, Shanghai, Bangkok, and Jakarta are mentioned as particularly at risk. The script also touches on the spread of diseases due to climate change, urbanization, and population movement, with half the world's population at risk of malaria or hemorrhagic fever.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Climate Change

Climate change refers to long-term shifts in temperatures and weather patterns. It is the overarching theme of the video, highlighting the extreme heat, droughts, and rising sea levels that are predicted for the year 2050. The script mentions 'extremis memanas' (extreme heat) and 'permukaan laut naik drastis' (dramatic sea-level rise), illustrating the severe impacts of climate change on human life and the environment.

💡Heatwaves

Heatwaves are prolonged periods of excessively hot weather, which can have deadly consequences. The video script describes people enduring 'suhu yang bisa meroket sampai 60° Celsius' (temperatures that can soar to 60° Celsius), emphasizing the life-threatening nature of such extreme heat events and their connection to climate change.

💡Drought

Drought is a period of unusually low precipitation, leading to water scarcity. The script mentions 'kekeringan parah' (severe drought), which affects the availability of water, making it a luxury only the wealthy can afford, and contributing to the broader crisis of climate change.

💡Deforestation

Deforestation is the large-scale removal of trees, which destroys habitats and contributes to climate change by reducing the planet's ability to absorb carbon dioxide. The term 'hutan-hutan terbakar' (forests burned) is used in the script to depict the environmental devastation caused by human activities.

💡Extreme Weather Events

Extreme weather events include severe storms, floods, and other abnormal meteorological occurrences. The video script talks about 'badai ekstrem' (extreme storms) and 'banjir' (floods), which are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change, causing widespread destruction and displacement.

💡Sea-Level Rise

Sea-level rise is the increase in the volume of water in the world's oceans, leading to coastal flooding and the submersion of low-lying areas. The script warns of 'permukaan laut naik drastis' (dramatic sea-level rise), which threatens coastal cities and islands, forcing people to migrate to higher ground.

💡Pandemics

Pandemics are outbreaks of infectious diseases that spread across countries and continents. The script refers to 'pandemi' (pandemics), not just COVID-19 variants, but also the potential for new diseases to emerge due to changes in climate, urbanization, and human population movements.

💡Malaria

Malaria is a life-threatening disease caused by parasites transmitted through the bite of infected mosquitoes. The video script indicates that 'setengah dari populasi dunia beresiko, tertular malaria' (half of the world's population is at risk of contracting malaria) due to the changing climate conditions that favor the spread of the disease.

💡Famine

Famine refers to a severe shortage of food, leading to widespread malnutrition and starvation. The script mentions 'kelaparan merajalela' (rampant famine), which is a direct consequence of climate change affecting agricultural production and food security.

💡International Relations

International relations involve the interactions between nations, including diplomacy, trade, and cooperation. The video script discusses how climate change can strain these relations, as countries become 'egois dan saling curiga' (selfish and suspicious), leading to trade disruptions and potential conflicts.

💡Climate Action

Climate action encompasses the steps taken to mitigate and adapt to climate change. The script calls for 'pengurangan karbon secara progresif' (progressive carbon reduction) and reaching a '0m isi' (net-zero emissions) target, emphasizing the need for global cooperation and policy implementation to prevent the worst-case scenarios.

Highlights

In 2050, the world faces extreme heat, with temperatures making it difficult for people to survive without air conditioning.

The rise in temperature leads to severe droughts, making water scarcity a critical issue with only the wealthy able to afford it.

Public water taps are locked, symbolizing the scarcity and control over water resources.

Forest fires and extreme temperatures affect over two billion people, with temperatures reaching up to 60°C, which is lethal for human survival.

Rising sea levels in 2050 cause extreme storms, leading to coastal cities being flooded and thousands of people losing their lives.

Megacities like Alexandria, Cairo, Mumbai, Shanghai, Bangkok, and Jakarta are at risk of becoming uninhabitable due to climate change.

People are forced to migrate to higher grounds as a result of climate-induced disasters.

Pandemics in 2050 are not only due to COVID-19 variants but also the spread of diseases like malaria and hemorrhagic fever due to climate change and human migration.

Half of the world's population is at risk of contracting diseases that could surpass death rates from heart disease.

Insurance companies may refuse to provide coverage for the increasing health crises caused by climate change.

2050 is predicted to have widespread famine as the world's population grows to 9 billion, and food becomes more expensive due to water and land scarcity.

Malnutrition rates are expected to rise globally, and logistical aid will be delayed due to frequent disasters.

International relations in 2050 are strained, with countries becoming self-centered and suspicious of each other, leading to a halt in global trade.

Millions of people will need to migrate, but many countries are enforcing lockdowns and border controls, potentially leading to conflicts.

Misunderstandings and the spread of conspiracy theories and propaganda on social media can exacerbate tensions and create wars.

The grim scenarios are based on scientific research and data, with action plans discussed at high-level forums like the KTT, involving 197 countries.

Progressive carbon reduction and reaching a net-zero emission target are necessary to prevent these scenarios from becoming reality.

Historically responsible nations should assist others in combating the climate crisis through funding and support.

Indonesia, represented by President Jokowi, is actively participating in global discussions on climate change mitigation.

Individual actions and national policy frameworks are crucial in addressing climate change, and we cannot afford to ignore these issues.

The future is not set in stone, and we have the power to change the trajectory of these predictions through collective action.