Step by Step Averaging Down Saham Saat Harganya Lagi Turun yang Bikin Cuan Optimal

Summary

In this video, Surya discusses the recent trend of foreign investors selling nearly Rp5 trillion worth of Indonesian stocks, causing the rupiah to weaken. He explains how this situation presents an opportunity for investors to average down their stock purchases. Surya outlines step-by-step strategies for averaging down, emphasizing the importance of technical analysis, identifying support levels, and proper allocation of investment funds. He also advises on avoiding common mistakes and provides guidelines tailored for different types of stocks. Viewers are encouraged to subscribe and join Mikir Dividen for more investment tips.

Takeaways

• 📉 Foreign investors sold nearly Rp5 trillion of Indonesian stocks from late March to early April 2024, causing a rise in the dollar and a fall in the rupiah to almost Rp16,000 per US dollar.
• 📈 The stock market decline presents an opportunity to average down, buying stocks at lower prices.
• ⚠️ Common mistakes in averaging down include investing too much at once and not considering further price drops.
• 🔍 Using technical analysis, such as identifying support levels, can help determine optimal points for averaging down.
• 📊 For example, if TLKM stock drops to Rp3,500 and shows signs of a rebound, this could be a good point to buy.
• 💡 Allocate only a portion of the investment capital at each support level to avoid running out of funds if prices drop further.
• 🛑 Avoid buying during a continuous price drop (catching a falling knife); wait for signs of stabilization.
• 👍 Averaging down is suitable for stocks with strong fundamentals and growth potential.
• 🧩 Different strategies, such as percentage-based buying or using a pyramid method, can help manage risk and optimize average costs.
• 📈 Mikir Dividen provides guidelines and plans for averaging down and up, tailored to different stock types and market conditions.

Q & A

What is the main topic discussed in the video script?

The main topic discussed is the strategy of averaging down in stock investments, particularly in the context of the recent drop in Indonesian stock prices and foreign investors' net sales.

Why have foreign investors been selling Indonesian stocks recently?

Foreign investors have sold nearly Rp5 trillion worth of Indonesian stocks from late March to early April 2024, causing a drop in demand for the Indonesian rupiah and leading to its depreciation.

What is the effect of foreign investors selling Indonesian stocks?

The effect of foreign investors selling Indonesian stocks includes a rise in demand for the US dollar, leading to the weakening of the rupiah, and a significant drop in the Indonesian stock market.

What is 'averaging down' in stock investments?

Averaging down is a strategy where an investor buys additional shares of a stock at a lower price than the original purchase price to reduce the average cost per share.

What are some common mistakes investors make when averaging down?

Common mistakes include averaging down indiscriminately, using all available funds at once, and not considering the potential for further price drops.

Why is technical analysis important for averaging down?

Technical analysis is important because it helps investors identify key support and resistance levels, making it possible to determine optimal points for buying more shares and minimizing risk.

What is the suggested strategy for buying shares when using technical analysis?

The suggested strategy is to buy shares at support levels, but only after a green candle (indicating a potential rebound) appears, and to avoid buying during a downtrend without confirmation.

What is the 'support' in technical analysis?

In technical analysis, 'support' refers to a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest as it falls, which could potentially lead to a price rebound.

What is a recommended approach for averaging down in Telkom shares?

For Telkom shares, the recommended approach includes averaging down at the support level of 3,500, then again at 3,390 if prices fall further, but only buying when a green candle appears.

Why is it important to allocate funds strategically when averaging down?

It's important to allocate funds strategically to ensure that you have enough capital to continue buying at lower levels if the price keeps dropping, rather than using all funds at once and missing out on better opportunities.

What is the 'pyramid' method in averaging down?

The 'pyramid' method involves increasing the amount of investment as the stock price falls, starting with a smaller purchase and gradually increasing the investment amount to lower the average purchase price effectively.

What should investors consider about the fundamentals of a stock before averaging down?

Investors should ensure that the stock has strong fundamentals, including solid growth prospects and good corporate governance, to minimize the risk of prolonged price declines.

How can the averaging down strategy differ for cyclical stocks like commodities?

For cyclical stocks, the strategy involves making smaller initial purchases and increasing the investment more significantly at lower price levels, keeping in mind the potential for significant price fluctuations.

What is the benefit of leaving some cash reserve when averaging down?

Leaving a cash reserve allows for flexibility in case of unforeseen price drops, ensuring that there is still capital available to take advantage of lower prices.

What is the 'averaging up' strategy and when is it used?

The 'averaging up' strategy involves buying more shares as the stock price rises, which is used when the stock's price is increasing due to strong fundamentals and positive market conditions.