Prediksi Musim Hujan Tahun 2024/2025 Provinsi Jawa Timur

Summary

The forecast for the rainy season in East Java, Indonesia, for 2024-2025 predicts a varied onset, beginning from the end of September to early December 2024. Most of the region will experience the peak of rainfall by February 2025. While the majority of the rainfall is expected to be normal, with levels ranging from 1,100 to 2,500 mm, some areas could see higher amounts. Authorities and residents are advised to be vigilant as the region braces for potentially significant rainfall and the impact of the monsoon season.

Takeaways

• 🌧️ The rainy season in East Java is expected to start between September 2024 (third decade) and December 2024 (first decade).
• 📅 The majority of East Java will enter the rainy season in the second decade of November 2024, with a 62.2% likelihood.
• ☔ The peak of the rainy season is expected to occur in February 2025, with 40.5% of East Java experiencing the heaviest rainfall during this period.
• 🌦️ A small portion of East Java is predicted to reach the peak rainy season in November 2024 (12%) and December 2024 (17.6%).
• 🌈 The overall rainy season for 2024 in East Java is forecasted to be normal for 51% of the region's zones.
• 📉 Initial predictions indicate that the start of the rainy season will be earlier than usual in 2024 for 46% of East Java's zones.
• 🌧️ Rainfall predictions suggest that the majority of East Java will receive between 1,100 and 1,500 mm of rain (24 zones).
• 🌧️ Another 24 zones in East Java are predicted to receive between 2,001 and 2,500 mm of rain during the rainy season.
• ⚠️ Authorities are urged to prepare for potential weather impacts, with recommendations for government action and public awareness during the 2024-2025 rainy season.
• 🔔 A call to action for local governments and residents to stay informed and take precautionary measures throughout the rainy season.

Q & A

What is the expected time frame for the start of the rainy season in East Java in 2024?

The rainy season in East Java is predicted to begin from the third dekad of September 2024 to the first dekad of December 2024, with most regions in East Java expected to enter the rainy season by the second dekad of November 2024.

When is the peak of the rainy season expected to occur in East Java?

The peak of the rainy season in most of East Java is expected to occur in February 2025, with a probability of 40.5%. However, some small areas may experience the peak earlier, with 12% in November 2024 and 17.6% in December 2024.

What is the predicted nature of rainfall during the rainy season in East Java for 2024?

The majority of East Java is predicted to experience normal rainfall conditions, with 51 dekads (zom) expected to be classified as normal. Some regions may experience rainfall amounts higher than the typical seasonal averages.

How does the start of the rainy season in 2024 compare to the normal seasonal pattern in East Java?

The start of the rainy season in East Java in 2024 is expected to be earlier than usual, with 46 dekads forecasted to be ahead of the normal timing.

What are the expected rainfall levels during the 2024-2025 rainy season in East Java?

The expected rainfall levels during the 2024-2025 rainy season in East Java range from 1,100 mm to 1,500 mm for 24 dekads, and 2,001 mm to 2,500 mm for another 24 dekads.

What percentage of regions in East Java are expected to experience peak rainfall in November and December 2024?

A small portion of East Java is expected to experience peak rainfall in November 2024 (12%) and December 2024 (17.6%).

What measures are being recommended for local governments and communities in East Java during the rainy season?

The script includes recommendations for local governments and communities to be prepared for the upcoming rainy season, but specific details on those recommendations are not provided in the transcript itself.

What is the significance of 'zom' in the context of the script?

'Zom' refers to dekads, which are 10-day periods used to break down weather patterns and predict the timing and intensity of rainfall in a specific area during the rainy season.

What is the expected percentage of areas experiencing normal rainfall during the 2024-2025 rainy season?

It is predicted that 51 dekads (zom) will experience normal rainfall conditions, indicating that the majority of East Java will have typical weather patterns during this period.

How do the expected rainfall levels for 2024-2025 compare to previous years?

While the script does not provide comparisons to previous years, the rainfall levels for the 2024-2025 season are expected to be within a range of 1,100 mm to 2,500 mm, which could suggest a moderately high rainfall year for the region.