Broncos vs Saints Best NFL Bets, Picks & Predictions | Week 7 TNF

Summary

In this episode of Thursday Night Football, host Dave Lochran dives into the matchup between the Broncos and Saints, highlighting the numerous injuries affecting both teams. With a low total of 37 points and Denver favored by 2.5 points, Lochran predicts a conservative, low-scoring game. He emphasizes the strengths of both defenses and suggests the possibility of a Saints money line bet. Additionally, he offers prop bets, including rushing yards for Jal Mofler and a parlay involving Alvin Kamara and Bonick's interceptions. With promotional opportunities on Bet365, viewers are encouraged to engage with the community for betting insights.

Takeaways

• 😀 Embrace the challenges of Thursday Night Football; it's often messy but can be entertaining.
• 🏈 The game features a low total of 37 points, with the Broncos favored by 2.5 points against the Saints.
• 🤕 Both teams are facing significant injuries, especially the Saints, who will be without key players like Chris Olave and Derek Carr.
• 🔍 The Broncos' defense is expected to perform well, despite missing all-pro corner Patrick Surtain.
• 🚨 Spencer Rattler is making his first prime-time start as quarterback for the Saints under tough conditions.
• 📉 The Saints' offense struggles with injuries, leaving limited viable pass-catching options aside from Alvin Kamara.
• 🤔 Despite recent struggles, the Saints' defense is still ranked high in interceptions and forced fumbles.
• 🔄 Expect a conservative game plan from both teams, focusing on ball control and avoiding turnovers.
• 💰 Prop bet suggestion: Jal Moffitt over 22.5 rushing yards is seen as a promising opportunity given the Saints' defense struggles.
• 🎉 A parlay bet is suggested, combining Alvin Kamara's rushing attempts, Bonick throwing an interception, and over 1.5 field goals made.

Q & A

What is the overall tone of the game discussed in the transcript?

The tone of the game is described as 'gross' and 'ugly,' reflecting the expected low-quality play and struggles of both teams due to injuries.

Which key players are expected to be out for the Saints?

Chris Olave, Derek Carr, and both starting and backup centers are expected to be out for the Saints.

How does the Broncos' defense factor into the game analysis?

Despite missing All-Pro corner Patrick Surtain, the Broncos' defense is considered opportunistic and expected to perform well against the Saints' decimated offense.

What betting strategy does the speaker suggest regarding the total points?

The speaker suggests betting on the under 37.5 points due to the expected conservative play and low-scoring nature of the game.

Why does the speaker lean towards the Saints' moneyline?

The speaker believes that in an ugly game, a single turnover by the Broncos' quarterback could lead to an upset, making the Saints' moneyline at +136 appealing.

What is the significance of the defensive statistics mentioned?

Both teams rank high in red zone efficiency, indicating that while they may allow yardage, they can prevent scoring in critical situations, contributing to the expected low score.

What player prop bet does the speaker highlight for the upcoming game?

The speaker highlights a prop bet on Julio McGloin for over 22.5 rushing yards, capitalizing on the Saints' struggles against rushing defenses.

What recent successful bets are referenced in the discussion?

The speaker references successful bets on Bree Hall's 50+ receiving yards and a prop for Debo Samuel involving 100+ combined rushing and receiving yards.

How does the speaker suggest engaging with the betting community?

The speaker encourages viewers to join the Discord community for notifications and discussions about prop bets, enhancing the betting experience.

What parlay options does the speaker propose?

The proposed parlay includes Alvin Kamara for 15+ rushing attempts, B. Nicks to throw an interception, and over 1.5 field goals made, offering value at plus odds.