NFL Week 2 Betting Lines Rundown | The Simple Handicap Podcast - Tuesday September 10th, 2024

Summary

The host delivers a comprehensive NFL Week 2 market rundown, analyzing point spreads, player injuries, and team performances. Key matchups include Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins, with injury concerns for Buffalo's Teron Johnson impacting the game. The host also discusses the Chargers' impressive coaching and the Saints' offense, suggesting overreactions to Week 1 performances. Other notable games feature the Rams' offensive line struggles and the potential absence of key players like Jamar Chase for the Bengals. Special teams' impact on scoring, with a record number of long field goals, is highlighted, setting the stage for intriguing Week 2 bets.

Takeaways

• 🏈 The podcast covers the NFL Week 2 market rundown, discussing every point spread, total, and game on the board.
• 📈 The Miami Dolphins are favored against the Buffalo Bills, with the spread moving from -3 to -2.5 and the total points adjusting from 50.5 to 49.
• 🤕 Key injuries to watch include Buffalo's Taron Johnson and Miami's Tua Tagovailoa, which could impact the game's dynamics.
• 📉 The Baltimore Ravens are favored against the Las Vegas Raiders, with the total points dropping from 43.5 to 41 due to the Raiders' lackluster offensive performance.
• 🚨 The Carolina Panthers are heavily scrutinized after a poor showing against the Jets, leading to a significant line movement in favor of the LA Chargers.
• 🎯 The Dallas Cowboys are favored against the New Orleans Saints, with concerns about the Saints' offensive line and the Cowboys' pass rush.
• 🚀 The Detroit Lions are favored against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with the total points expected to rise due to potential injuries in the Buccaneers' secondary.
• 🤔 The Green Bay Packers' line has shifted dramatically due to doubts about Jordan Love's ability to replace Aaron Rodgers, with a significant point spread adjustment.
• 🔍 The Jacksonville Jaguars are favored against the Cleveland Browns, with the Browns' situation regarding Deshaun Watson adding complexity to the matchup.
• ⚽️ The podcast notes an unusual trend in Week 1 where kickers had a historically good start, impacting the total scores despite poor quarterback performances.

Q & A

What is the main focus of the discussion in the provided transcript?

The main focus of the discussion is a detailed analysis of the betting lines and game insights for NFL Week 2, including point spreads, totals, and injury reports affecting the games.

Which team is favored in the Thursday Night Football game between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins?

The Miami Dolphins are favored in the Thursday Night Football game against the Buffalo Bills.

What is the significance of the injury to Teron Johnson of the Buffalo Bills?

Teron Johnson's injury is significant as he is a key player in the defensive backfield, and his absence could greatly impact the Bills' ability to defend against the Miami Dolphins' offense.

What was the initial point spread for the game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Baltimore Ravens?

The initial point spread for the game between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Baltimore Ravens was 3.5 points in favor of the Ravens.

What is the uncertainty surrounding Lamar Jackson's participation in the Baltimore Ravens' game?

There is uncertainty surrounding Lamar Jackson's participation due to his absence from practice and the vague responses from the coaching staff regarding his injury status.

How did the Carolina Panthers' performance in Week 1 affect the betting lines for their Week 2 game?

The Carolina Panthers' poor performance in Week 1 led to a significant increase in the point spread for their Week 2 game, with the LA Chargers becoming a 6.5-point favorite.

What is the concern regarding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' defense in their game against the Detroit Lions?

The concern is that the Buccaneers' defense might be down four defensive backs, which could impact their performance against the Detroit Lions' offense.

Why is there a significant change in the betting line for the Green Bay Packers after their Week 1 game?

There is a significant change in the betting line for the Green Bay Packers due to the uncertainty over the starting quarterback, with Jordan Love replacing Aaron Rodgers, leading to a drop in the team's perceived strength.

What is the potential impact of the injury to the offensive line of the LA Rams in their Week 2 game?

The injury to the offensive line of the LA Rams could significantly impact their offensive performance, as it may limit their ability to protect the quarterback and establish a running game.

How did the performance of the New England Patriots' offense in Week 1 affect the betting lines for their Week 2 game against the Seattle Seahawks?

The New England Patriots' offense performed well in Week 1, leading to the Seattle Seahawks being installed as a 3-point favorite in their Week 2 game, reflecting the improved perception of the Patriots' offensive capabilities.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 NFL Week 2 Market Rundown

The host kicks off the show discussing the NFL Week 2 matchups, emphasizing the importance of analyzing point spreads and totals for each game. They highlight the Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins game, noting the fluctuating odds and the impact of injuries on the teams. The host also appreciates the viewers on YouTube and listeners on Apple and Spotify, encouraging engagement through likes and subscriptions. A detailed look at the Thursday Night Football matchup is provided, along with insights into player injuries and their potential influence on the game's outcome.

05:00

📊 In-Depth Analysis of NFL Betting Lines

This segment delves deeper into the betting lines for various NFL games, including the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens and the LA Chargers vs. Carolina Panthers. The host discusses the movement in the betting lines, the potential impact of key player injuries, and the strategic approach of teams based on their previous performances. They also speculate on the likelihood of certain players participating in upcoming games and how this might affect the odds and public perception.

10:01

🚨 Key Injuries and Their Impact on NFL Games

The focus of this part is on the significant injuries that could sway the outcomes of several NFL games. The host discusses how teams are coping with the loss of key players and the strategies they might employ to compensate. Specific attention is given to the impact of injuries on the offensive and defensive lines, as well as the potential for backup quarterbacks to step in and change the dynamics of the game.

15:03

🌐 Cross-Country Challenges and Coaching Dynamics

The host addresses the challenges faced by teams traveling long distances for games and how this might affect their performance. They also comment on the changing dynamics within team locker rooms, particularly noting the shift in atmosphere under new coaching staff. The summary also touches on the potential for certain teams to surprise with their performance, based on the coaching strategies and player morale.

20:06

🏟️ Home and Away Game Dynamics

This section discusses the advantages and challenges teams face when playing at home versus being on the road. The host evaluates how certain teams' performances in their home opener might set the tone for the rest of the season. They also consider how the support or lack thereof from home crowds can influence the game's outcome, with specific reference to teams that have shown significant changes in their home game strategies.

25:09

🤕 Injury Updates and Their Influence on Game Odds

The host provides updates on player injuries and their influence on game odds. They discuss how the absence of key players can lead to shifts in betting lines and how the market reacts to such news. The summary also includes speculation on how teams might adjust their strategies to accommodate for missing players and the potential impact on the game's total points.

Keywords

💡Handicap

In the context of the video, 'handicap' refers to the point spread in betting, which is used to create a more competitive betting scenario by giving a disadvantage to the favorite and an advantage to the underdog. It's a fundamental concept in sports betting, and the video discusses how the handicap changes from week to week in NFL games, as seen with the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins matchup.

💡Point Spread

The 'point spread' is a key term in sports betting that represents the predicted margin of victory for a favored team. It's used to level the playing field for betting and is a central focus in the video, with the host discussing various point spreads for different NFL games and how they adjust based on team performance and injuries.

💡Total

In the video, 'total' refers to the over/under betting line for the combined score of both teams in a game. It's a critical aspect of sports betting, and the script mentions how the total changes, such as in the Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins game, where the total score line fluctuates from 50 and a half to 49.

💡Injury Report

The 'injury report' is a list of players who may be unable to play due to injury, which can significantly impact a team's performance and betting odds. The video discusses the injury reports for various teams, like the Buffalo Bills' Taron Johnson and the Miami Dolphins' Ahan, and how these injuries can affect the betting lines.

💡Betting Market

The 'betting market' encompasses all the activities related to placing bets on sports events. The video analyzes the betting market's reactions to various factors like team performances and injuries, and how these reactions influence the betting lines for NFL week two.

💡Money Line

The 'money line' is the odds for betting on the outright winner of a game, without a point spread. The video touches on money line movements, such as the Miami Dolphins' money line, which reflects the betting market's confidence in a team's ability to win.

💡Underdog

An 'underdog' is a team that is expected to lose a game according to the oddsmakers. The video discusses underdogs in the context of betting, such as the Buffalo Bills being underdogs in their game against the Miami Dolphins, and how betting patterns can shift the point spread.

💡Favored

A 'favored' team is one that the oddsmakers predict to win a game. The video script mentions several teams that are favored in their respective games, such as the Baltimore Ravens, and how the betting market's perception of these teams can change from week to week.

💡Opening Line

The 'opening line' is the initial point spread or total set by oddsmakers at the start of the betting week. The video discusses how opening lines for various games, like the Las Vegas vs. Baltimore game, can change significantly as the week progresses based on betting activity and other factors.

💡Look-Ahead Line

A 'look-ahead line' is a betting line posted for future games before the current week's games have been played. The video refers to look-ahead lines for games like the San Francisco vs. Minnesota matchup, indicating how early odds can set expectations for upcoming games.

Highlights

Market rundown for NFL Week 2, discussing every point spread and total game.

Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins game analysis, including point spread and total.

Injury updates for Teron Johnson and potential impact on the Bills' defense.

Discussion on Miami Dolphins' injury report and its effect on the game's total and point spread.

Thursday Night Football analysis and expectations for the Bills and Dolphins.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Baltimore Ravens game breakdown, including the impact of Lamar Jackson's injury.

LA Chargers vs. Carolina Panthers line movement and team performance analysis.

Carolina Panthers' defensive issues and how the Chargers might exploit them.

New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys game expectations and over/under total discussion.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Detroit Lions game analysis, focusing on injuries to the Buccaneers' defense.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Green Bay Packers quarterback adjustments and their impact on the line.

Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game insights, including potential changes in the Browns' strategy.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings game analysis and potential absence of key players.

Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots game expectations and travel considerations for the Seahawks.

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders game analysis and the Giants' offensive potential.

LA Rams vs. Arizona Cardinals game discussion, including the Rams' offensive line injuries.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Denver Broncos game insights, focusing on the Broncos' offensive struggles.

Chicago Bears vs. Houston Texans game preview, with injury updates on key players.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles game analysis, including concerns over Kirk Cousins' play style.

Summary of week one's NFL games, noting the prevalence of field goals and the impact on scoring.

Transcripts

good morning everybody the simple

handicap for Tuesday September 10th

thank you for making me a part of your

morning we'll get straight to the market

rundown for Tuesday because there's a

whole lot to talk about as we put week

one in the rearview mirror and start

looking forward to NFL Week number two

so we're going to go through every point

spread total game on the board we'll

talk about everything that you need to

know to get you on your way this Tuesday

Morning want to give a shout out to

everybody watching on YouTube lots of

folks listening on Apple and Spotify

each and every morning but the YouTube

numbers for the first time I've ever

done the podcast each morning on video

have been substantial for week one so

thank you very much if you're watching

if it's your first time there's a

subscribe button down below appreciate

if you hit like as well and if you're

lisening through your headphones on

Apple or Spotify on your way to work

maybe you're walking the dog getting

ready for your Tuesday morning I

appreciate you very much as well tuning

in let's get to it with the market

rundown for NFL Week number two starts

off Thursday Night Football Buffalo

Bills on the road at the Miami Dolphins

this was Miami 2 at open got up to 2 and

1/2 there was some shading towards three

soon as it got there we saw Bill's money

come back and we're down to Miami minus

2 at Chris minus one and a half almost

everywhere across the board the total

was up as high as 50 and a half it is

now coming down we are to a flat 49 this

morning with 48 and a half showing at

Pinnacle FanDuel DK and a few other

places as well but Chris and cira

holding steady at 49 couple injuries to

watch in this one the biggest one for

the Buffalo Bills is going to be teron

Johnson and the defens of backfield he

is going to to missed the game with the

forearm injury their main nickel Corner

arguably the best defensive back that

they have on the roster his absence is

certainly going to matter a ton against

this Miami Dolphins offense with Tyreek

Hill Jaylen Wadd and a ton of speed the

Miami injury report is going to be

highlighted by aan as well as mostart

both guys were dnps on Monday worth

monitoring their status today obviously

in the injury report as that's going to

have an impact on both the total and

potentially the point spread too uh

varying reports to how severe the injury

to hn is I think he's the guy that most

people will be watching his prop

receiving number took a lot of money

over last week prior to the game he's

going to have a big impact on what this

Dolphins offense is going to look like

but uh we are seeing this total start to

come in because we saw the bills go very

run heavy try to keep things between the

tackles and the main criticism of the

Dolphins offense this morning after a

lot of folks published film review look

back throughout the box score and ex it

a little more very very Boomer bust for

Miami they had a couple of big plays but

not a lot of sustained offense against

that Jacksonville defense and so the way

that the bills played against the

Cardinals very soft a ton of off

coverage kept everything in front did

not allow a lot of explosives you would

think those two matchups could provide

for an interesting look at this total

but I say maybe a little bit surprised

we haven't seen touch more Miami money

come in and there was that reversal on

Buffalo so if the moves on the the board

that stand out to me from Monday uh how

quick the bills were taken up maybe

stands out to me perhaps more than

others let's get to Sunday it's Las

Vegas on the road at the Baltimore

Ravens Ravens a n and a half Point

favored across the board with a total of

41 that is down from 43 and a half at

open as under money comes in after a

lackluster Raiders offensive performance

against the Chargers and the Ravens well

probably going to find themselves in a

spot where they're playing from ahead

now the big question with Baltimore

Lamar Jackson not practicing John

Harbaugh's in Peak mid-season form with

how he's replying to reporters saying

the injury report comes out on Wednesday

so we're getting nothing from him Lamar

just pops up on the injury report

sporadically throughout the season so

it's not new it's not a surprise but who

knows what he deals with on a weekly

basis at this point it's just so hard to

figure out what in the world goes on

when he hits the injury report it's

incredibly difficult to gauge the

severity too so hard to say what we're

getting from that the market certainly

doesn't think there's much as this

number has pushed up to 9 1 half and is

leaning towards 10 at a lot of places

from the eight that initially hit the

board at open La charges on the road at

the Carolina Panthers the Chargers out

to his big of a as a 6 and a half Point

favorite this morning this opened three

and a half if you were watching the live

stream reaction to opening lines I was

looking at it I'm like this is going to

go up and it's been going up and I would

say it's to the point now where you have

to you have to start thinking about

Carolina

um boy I I I read a ton today and got a

ton of opinions from other people I

respect had a lot of conversations went

back and forth it was it was a full day

at the screen before the Jets game that

started at 6:00 in the morning we had

releases

early and the the Carolina Panthers were

just torn apart by anybody that watches

and covers the NFL and there was just

nothing that was positive taken away

from that and on the other hand it was

the Chargers who really played such a

clean game and were so well coached that

the opinion to me on the Chargers was

strong coming into the season I'm

talking about people looking at the

Outlook of the team and it's it went

from being yeah maybe to like adamant

how well coached and buttoned up this

team is and like Jo Al is getting

praised and the Run game is getting

praised what I will say is the Run game

was quite Boomer bust for the Chargers

when you look at the game as a whole it

wasn't a lot of sustain there was a lot

of big plays overcoming a lot of

infrequent like no gains or very short

gains look Carolina and that defensive

front now losing Derek Brown for the

season it's their best defensive lineman

that news came through yesterday there's

going to be nothing there and so it's

like the Chargers can just walk all over

Carolina in theory on this matchup

looking on paper but like how high do

these numbers need to go for Carolina

before we see something from them to get

it going the other way cuz it's been one

way so far in the LA Chargers Saints on

the road at the Dallas Cowboys Dallas

open 6 and 1 Half Point favorite still 6

and a half across the screen total up

from 442 to 45 A2 and trending higher

think we see this get to 46 or perhaps

push up a little bit more this is a game

that I talked about on the reaction

podcast where it's like both teams

overachieved so much that it offsets but

I would say right now sitting here

Tuesday morning my one take from week

one that's overreaction related would be

that the Saints offense looked way

better than it actually is and I start

to worry about that big weakness on the

offensive line it looked great against

Carolina with no pass rush now you face

a very good pass rush in the Dallas

Cowboys what is that going to look like

with Carr being as sensitive to pressure

as he is so if this was a scenario where

the expectations for the Saints remained

in check and we saw the Cowboys against

the Browns outperform as much as they

did would we still be sitting at six and

a half I don't think so Tampa Bay on the

road at the Detroit Lions Detroit now a

seven-point favorite across the board

total in this game is 51 didn't get to

talk about the Lions directly I had a

tweet in reaction to the game that came

out thought they really got away from

their identity in the second half which

is using the offensive line running the

football that is the strength of this

team we saw them get back to it in

overtime and look amazing against the

Rams now in this game they face a Tampa

Bay Bucks defense that is going to be

potentially down four defensive backs

from the guys that they had going on the

field in week one including Antoine

Winfield who's one of the better

safeties in the NFL this is the first

big early season cluster injury that a

team is going to have to deal with and

overcome the Dallas or the Detroit Lions

weren't able to really exploit the ram

secondary that were down guys as much as

I thought they could Jameson Williams

looked amazing but St Brown was really a

non-factor I think it's going to be

imperative that they get that passing

game working which at home in this spot

against this Buccaneers defense could

absolutely come to fruition might be a

little bit more challenging to run the

football if the Bucks defensive line is

healthy they were down two starters

against Washington Washington found a

lot of success off of QB scrambles with

Jaden Daniels but Robinson had a big

contribution to the as well keep an eye

on what we're getting from the Bucks

defensive line cuz that could really

shift the Lions game plan and that would

obviously have a pretty big impact on

this total Indianapolis on the road at

the Green Bay Packers Indie a 3us 120

favorite across the board total in this

game opened on the look ahe headline

last week at 47 we are now down to 41

shaded

under it is going to be Willis under

centered believe it or not for the Green

Bay Packers

to me the connection between Ryan tanah

Hill and Matt laflor made a lot of sense

dating back to the Tennessee days where

they were working together thought that

was going to be the route that the

Packers went after those Sunday reports

came out before kickoff about how the

two were in touch I'm not sure what left

um Willis as the starter for Green Bay

or how that didn't work out but all

signs point to Willis being the starter

now let's put this number in some

context so in predictable has Market

reflected power ratings from 1 to 32

that mirror what is going on in the

betting Market they also have a

spreadsheet where they show quarterback

adjustments that are made for injuries

they have the drop from Jordan love to

Willis as a six-point drop which would

match the highest drop or deduction that

an NFL team has faced over the last two

seasons the other two that matched this

were Dak Prescott back in 2022 when he

was hurt in week one against the

Buccaneers and they went to Cooper Rush

that was graded as a six-point drop and

the other six-point drop was last season

for the LA Chargers when Justin Herbert

went down and Easton stick came in so we

have this quarterback drop by the market

ratings being viewed as a six-point

deduction we have seen this line go from

Green Bay minus5 to Indie minus 3 - 20

so the market ratings and and how they

view the quarterback drop as saying six

the betting Market is saying eight

anytime we've seen this get to 3 and A2

there's been Packer money coming in I

always tend to look at the backup QB

getting the start getting a discount it

was very successful for us last year

with bets and

releases haven't been able to get there

yet with this game there's just so much

concern about Willis and what he's going

to be in this offense and how they can

adjust so quickly I think it's going to

be a pretty dramatic change a lot of

uncertainty with this one and the Colts

just they looked solid on offense and

they didn't really get to push the Run

game which the eagles found a lot of

holes in the Brazil game whether that

was field condition related or not but

even with the Packers defensive changes

they still seemed susceptible to the Run

game and I'm worried with that

Richardson Taylor mesh point in the back

field what that could be but I I'm

certainly intrigued with Green Bay in

this spot just because of the discount

it it's it's noticeably gone too far I

mean this is Aaron Rogers in his Peak

Prime to Scott toline drop territory

when we're looking at this big of an

adjustment and I just I don't think it

could be that much the argument against

that is that the Packers were overrated

at that five to begin with um lots of

ways you can look at it but that's how

it's being graded in the market

currently Cleveland on the road at the

Jacksonville ja Jags the Jags are 3 and

A2 Point favorites minus 110 total from

44 1/2 down to 41 1/2 I will say at Red

angle Sports we had a release on this

game I won't say which one just yet this

early in the week we're going to see

where this number continues to Trend if

you're interested in future releases we

could potentially have more today you

can head over to ri.com NFL but we're

looking at the Jags again as a three and

a half Point favorite across the board

they were the one team that really came

out of week one where they were being

viewed as the team that likely got a

worse W than they should have deserved

based on how the game played out 177

late in the third quarter driving with

etn going across the goal line to score

he fumbles they end up losing the game

20 to 17 followed up with some poor

decisions between the end of the third

quarter and about the three minute Mark

remaining in the fourth quarter is just

Peterson getting in his own way and this

team making mistakes the Miami Dolphins

come back that 400 yard Mark that the

Jags conceded on defense didn't

necessarily look as bad as it did in the

Box Score when going back and watching

the games but it was a pretty

comfortable game for Lawrence and the

offense now it's certainly going to be a

different scenario against this Browns

defensive front which is going to make

things pretty unsettled for Lawrence in

the pocket really test this offense and

how good they looked and there's a major

question about what are we getting with

this Browns team going forward is this a

dead team is now the current suit

against the Browns and deshun Watson or

against directly deshun Watson I guess

is that going to linger into how the

Browns try to pursue this going forward

it seems potentially now that the Browns

have an out based on some reports where

there's a chance that due to NFL Clauses

they potentially have a way to get out

of this contract with Watson does that

now flip the Browns from supporting him

to working against him is there a reason

to start jamus Winston and if you're

looking at this and Winston does start

based on what we saw from Watson against

the Cowboys you have to think that

Winston is potentially an upgrade in

this scenario what does that do to the

number a lot going on here in this

matchup that we'll continue to watch as

this line moves throughout the week San

Francisco Minnesota still not widely

available uh this was San Francisco

minus 7 on the look ahead late Sunday

game or lines that were up had this a

lot lower after the Minnesota

performance I get a good feeling that

we're going to see this tick up closer

and go back towards seven just based on

how dominant the 49ers looked uh there

was an interesting report from Adam

shefer where he was saying that there is

a chance that this game will be missed

by Christian mcaffrey too as the 49ers

are not inclined to push him to return

it's an artificial turf game as well in

Minnesota more difficult on the injury

that he is dealing with and so there's a

chance that it is going to be another

Mason game out of the backfield for the

San Francisco

49ers Seattle Seahawks going across the

country to take on the New England

Patriots Seattle a expensive three-point

favorite across the board total from 41

down to 38 I appreciate the couple

direct messages I got confirming that

Seattle to Miami is in fact 22 minutes

longer than Seattle to Foxboro for the

flight I said yesterday on the podcast

this was the longest trip um I was off

by 22 minutes still a very very long

trip it is still a young coaching staff

I'll say what stood out to me with

Seattle that I think is pretty promising

for the team going forward

the post game sort of locker view or

locker room candid view that went around

on social and was making the rounds of

Mike McDonald doing the speeches and the

team around him when you put that up

side by side with the same videos from

the peak Carroll era especially late in

the peak Carol era like it's so

different and it feels so much more

serious and so much more bought in for

Mike McDonald I mean everybody in the

locker room loved Pete Caroll and his

energy was infectious but he he needed

that energy to elevate everyone around

him as he got into his mid to late 70s

and the defense started to struggle and

the offense was inconsistent Mike

McDonald is just like all business and

it was interesting to see that

difference in the Seattle locker room

because it hasn't been there for years

under Pete Caroll it was such a

different feeling in that locker room

and now you see it with McDonald and

you're like this could get pretty

interesting and that defense was

dominant against bones Knicks and so

they get a pretty attainable matchup

here against the New England Patriots

offense but it is more than a field goal

now being laid on the road in a bit of a

cross country test for Seattle Jets

Titans still off of the board this was

Jets four on the look ahead total was 43

a half I would fully expect this total

to open lower than 43 and a half but

then there's going to be a decision to

make are the Jets an over team with a

defense that's not nearly as good as we

all thought it was coming into the year

was that San Francisco making it look

worse than it is and what do we get from

this Titans offense that really made

mistakes down the stretch against the

Bears defense that is now coming through

with inconsistent rating so I think

there's going to be some back and forth

on this total probably see the point

spread open up right where it was on the

look ahead around four I think you're

going to see decisions being made there

too again how much was the Jets

offensive line and the Run game

struggles due to the 49ers front

certainly going to be different against

the Titans defensive front which is a

big step back from the San Francisco

49ers Giants on the road at the

Washington commanders Washington a 2 and

a half Point favored across the board

total in this game from 41 a half up to

44 right angle Sports we released over

42 going back to it with the New York

Giants over uh just really looking

against that Washington Commander

secondary which was absolutely atrocious

and picked apart by the Tampa Bay

Buccaneers uh that is a very bad unit in

the defense def backfield for Washington

without many answers you're looking at

starting cornerbacks with grades in the

30s going up against those Buccaneers

wide receivers for the Giants it was

pretty hopeless and helpless against the

Minnesota Vikings and Brian Flores but

that was a Flores defense that brought a

ton of pressure and had a lot of success

it's not going to be the same with the

Washington commanders and if you have

this Malik neighbors squeaky wheel

emerging I know a lot of those quotes

and videos were taken out of context

online there was a 4-minute clip that

was cut down to a 20 second clip again

everybody's out to make bad of Daniel

Jones the way he looked on the field

certainly deservingly so against the

Vikings but that neighbors clip was a

little out of context but I certainly

think he's going to be involved we saw

Mike Evans uh be wide open at times we

even saw out of the backfield for Rashad

white have success if the Giants are

going to end up going to check Downs

with some of their depth backs too I

think there's a path for both of these

offenses and this total is up to 44 and

trending higher LA Rams on the road at

the Arizona Cardinals the Cardinals go

from a two-point dog to a one and a half

Point favorite total 48 is up to 49 A2

for the LA Rams it's all about watching

the offensive line we know now that puka

nakua is on IR he is going to miss at

least four games but you have not boom a

Vila two other offensive linemen for the

Rams in jeopardy with their status for

this game it's an interesting market and

interesting scenario because how much of

that Rams effort against the Lions was

driven by Stafford going back the

Revenge angle was that McVey maximizing

the offense and getting all he could out

of it in that one spot it seemed wildly

impressive in the moment and it was

there's no question about it but that is

not a sustainable way to play in the NFL

for the Rams going forward so if there

are still these injuries for McVey to

get an equal amount of effort and

execution out of this team for another

week that is a very very very steep ask

now the Market's moving towards Arizona

there was Intrigue by the market early

against the Buffalo Bills Bill's money

came back late that game fell right on

the number could have they found Marvin

Harrison wide open late in the game to

have the go-ahead touchdown possibly

they were still leading the bill 173 and

were a third down conversion away from

potentially taking that into the half

the Arizona Cardinals in many ways

despite some anemic offensive numbers as

a whole looked quite impressive in that

game against the

bills now they go home for their home

opener hosting the Rams off of a tough

overtime loss against the Lions where

you just wonder what do the Rams have

left in the tank for a Repeat

Performance in week two Cincinnati on

the road at the Kansas City Chiefs three

and a half on the look ahead is out to

six waiting on news for Jamar Chase

being officially 100% last week he

deemed himself as limited still had a

relatively decent performance all things

considered as is the leading receiver

for the Bengals but the big film

takeaway from so many people I respect

is this Bengals offense is not the same

without both Chase and Higgins on the

field and Higgins status certainly seems

in Jeopardy for this game now this

number was out to six and a half during

the reaction podcast and there was no

way that that could hold that was just

too big of a number we're seeing five

and a half start to show at a couple

Sports books soft six at Chris so

there's some number grabbing here going

on with the Cincinnati Bengals if

Higgins doesn't go I think you still go

into this game with offensive concerns

for Cincinnati I I fully believe it's

going to be better than what they put on

the field against the New England

Patriots and we're also on Hollywood

Brown watch for the Kansas City Chiefs

if you add his speed on the field this

Bengals defense is really going to be

tested in the back field um they weren't

really pushed a lot by the Pats in that

regard we know that Kansas City is going

to be able to run you think about the

weakness in the Bengals it's the

interior of the D line when you think

about the strength of the Chiefs

offensive line it's in the interior so

this is a spot where PCO can be dominant

and if you have speed threats out wide

Kansas City's moving the football so

Bengals offensive uptick you have the

Kansas City Chiefs likely getting more

out of their offense in a better matchup

and a worse defense than what they faced

against the Ravens the red angle Sports

we released the over at 46 and a half

and I would be surprised if this total

uh ends up coming back that way there

was some under money that came in early

on Monday I I just really did not agree

with that at all uh when you're looking

at this I just I don't think a Bengals

Chiefs game can have a shorter total

than a Bengals Ravens game uh not with

the way the Bengals defense looked

against the New England Patriots

Steelers on the road at the Denver

Broncos Pittsburgh a soft three-point

favored across the board total from 40

and a half down to a flat 36 we are

trending back to Steelers totals

territory in December of last year where

we were in the low3s uh nobody wants any

part of the Broncos and B Knicks and

that offense that was the worst

performance of any team in week one and

the Pittsburgh Steelers going back and

forth about who is going to be the

quarterback Denver has a much steeper

challenge facing the Steelers defensive

front and it was interesting to hear

Shawn pyton say it as such he said the

Steelers are in fact a better defense

than Seattle and so to hear a head

coach obviously praising another team

and an opponent that's pretty common but

to just openly and adamantly announced

that it's a tougher test after the

offense struggled that much doesn't give

you a whole lot of optimism so that I

thought that was a very interesting

comment and again the Steelers win that

game at Atlanta uh they didn't score an

offensive touchdown so makes a lot of

sense to see this total come down Sunday

Night Football it's the Chicago Bears on

the road at the Houston Texans Romo dun

is is a name to watch on the injury

report as he is getting further tests

for his lower body injury get more news

on that today Houston out to a flat 7o

favorite across the board total from 46

a half down to 45 A2 then it is Monday

Night Football Atlanta on the road at

the Philadelphia Eagles the Eagles

continue to take money even at 6 and A2

now out to 62 minus 120 with the total

holding steady at 47 another big film

takeaway from all of the Monday reports

was the Kirk Cousins was sitting in

shotgun it was a career high rate for

shotgun it was a career high rate for

pistol it was a career low rate for

being under Center we know Kurt Cousins

is a quarterback that thrives being

under Center and running play action

Falcons didn't use it real chance to Kur

cousins is still dealing with

limitations coming off of the injury and

that gives a whole lot of concern about

the Atlanta Falcons Outlook going

forward and what decision they might

have to make nothing confirmed we'll get

all the pressers on Wednesday and hear

more about it some practice reports too

but that starts to look awfully

concerning for Kirk Cousins and the

Atlanta Falcons a very I will call it

fun and messy week to shaping up lots to

talk about lots of little quirks with

games matchup wise lots of injuries

having impacts a couple cluster injuries

sporting around not a ton of crazy

movement there was a lot of adjustments

from the look ahads to where we are now

a lot of overreactions and I think the

big thing that we're looking at is just

just a lot of teams from week one

looking a lot better or a lot worse just

based on the opponent's day play

exacerbating some of the strengths and

weaknesses of teams and I think we're

going to see a lot of those come back

down to earth in week two so there's

some interesting potential bets to make

that we will continue to talk about

throughout the week as numbers start to

materialize as we go forward one other

note before everybody gets on to their

day here on Tuesday overs go 9 and seven

in week one but there is just one passer

for the week that goes over 300 yards

that was Tua in Miami what is driving

all of the scoring despite not having

Elite quarterback play almost anywhere

in the league part of it definitely

comes from the field goal size that we

had seven more 50 yard plus field goals

made in week one than any other week in

NFL history teams are attempting longer

field goals at a higher rate than ever

before and kickers are making them

through one week so far this season at a

rate that is nearly the same as the old

extra point rule before they moved it

back to the 33 yard line so kickers were

dominant in week one and we'll have to

see if that Trend continues because

obviously a lot more teams starting six

seven eight yards further than typical

with the new kickoff rule on how teams

are playing that so they're now in

position to kick these field goals more

often than

usual really bad quarterback play in

week one but special teams kickers on

offense having a historically good start

to the season so some total Intrigue

will definitely play out in that in week

two and week three going forward that'll

do it for me today have a fantastic

Tuesday everybody we'll chat to you

tomorrow morning on the podcast