Trump gets *BIG* endorsement in key swing state
Summary
TLDRThe video discusses the political dynamics between Georgia Governor Brian Kemp and former President Donald Trump, highlighting their recent reconciliation. It delves into the importance of Georgia as a swing state in the 2020 election and speculates on the potential impact of their alliance on the 2024 race. The script also touches on polling inaccuracies, the influence of media narratives, and the evolving public perception of Kamala Harris as Vice President.
Takeaways
- 😀 The speaker suggests that Georgia's governor, Brian Kemp, has mended fences with Donald Trump, which is seen as a positive change.
- 🏆 Trump has made a video speaking positively about Kemp, indicating a reconciliation between the two after previous disagreements.
- 🗳️ Kemp's decision not to vote in the primary for Georgia was seen as odd, considering his position as governor and the state's importance in the election.
- 📊 The speaker believes that Trump needs to win Georgia, with its 16 electoral votes, to strengthen his chances in the election, despite its close race.
- 📉 The script mentions polls showing Trump with a slim lead in Georgia, but also acknowledges the potential for these polls to be inaccurate based on past experiences.
- 🤔 The importance of Georgia is underscored, with the speaker noting it has more electoral votes than Arizona or Nevada and is a crucial state for Trump.
- 📈 The speaker speculates that Trump could open up a lead in Georgia once the hype around Kamala Harris dies down and more realistic polls are released.
- 🔄 The script discusses the fluctuating approval ratings of Kamala Harris and the impact of media portrayal on public perception.
- 👥 The speaker highlights the importance of Pennsylvania and North Carolina, along with Georgia, as key swing states for the election outcome.
- 📊 The inaccuracies of past polls in Wisconsin are mentioned, suggesting that they have consistently underestimated Trump's support.
- 🤷♂️ The speaker expresses skepticism about certain polls, particularly one from 538, which they believe may be manipulating data to show a lead for Harris.
Q & A
What change is being discussed in the script regarding Georgia's governor and Donald Trump?
-The change discussed is the apparent mending of the relationship between Georgia's governor, Brian Kemp, and Donald Trump, with Trump making a positive video about Kemp.
Why was Governor Kemp's decision not to vote in the primary considered odd?
-It was considered odd because, as the governor and a Republican in an important swing state, it's expected that he would participate in the primary, even if the nominee was expected to be Trump.
What does the script suggest about the importance of Georgia in the 2020 election?
-The script suggests that Georgia is a very close and important swing state, with its 16 electoral votes being significant. Trump's loss of Georgia in 2020 by a narrow margin was seen as a 'gut punch'.
What is the script's view on the accuracy of polls leading up to the 2020 election in Georgia?
-The script implies that the polls in Georgia were relatively accurate in predicting the close race, despite Trump's surprise loss in the state.
What is the script's perspective on the current political situation in Georgia with Trump and Brian Kemp coming together?
-The script suggests that their coming together is a strategic move for both parties, as Kemp's solid approval rating and Trump's need to win Georgia make it beneficial for them to unite.
How does the script describe the role of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia in the upcoming election?
-The script describes these states as crucial swing states, with North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia being particularly important due to their electoral votes and recent polling trends.
What is the script's take on the role of the media in shaping public opinion about political candidates?
-The script suggests that the media plays a significant role in shaping public opinion, with some polls being potentially manipulated to favor certain narratives.
What is the script's view on the importance of Wisconsin in the election?
-The script views Wisconsin as an important state, with historical polling inaccuracies that have underestimated Trump's support, making it a potentially winnable state for Trump.
What does the script imply about the impact of Kamala Harris becoming the VP candidate on Biden's campaign?
-The script implies that Kamala Harris's low initial approval ratings and the media's portrayal of her as a 'goddess' suggest a significant shift in public perception, which could impact the election.
What is the script's opinion on the video of Tim Ryan potentially yanking his son?
-The script suggests that the video shows Tim Ryan possibly being aggressive with his son, which has sparked discussions and created memes, indicating a potential negative impact on his image.
Outlines
😀 Trump and Kemp Reconcile in Georgia
The script discusses the political dynamics in Georgia, highlighting the reconciliation between Governor Brian Kemp and former President Donald Trump. Despite previous tensions, particularly noted when Kemp abstained from voting in the 2020 primary, the two have seemingly come together. The script mentions Trump's endorsement of Kemp and speculates on the impact this might have on the state's political landscape. It also touches on the importance of Georgia as a swing state in the upcoming elections, with its 16 electoral votes being crucial for Trump's potential success. The script suggests that despite losing Georgia in 2020, Trump has a chance to regain support there, and the alliance with Kemp could be strategically significant.
📊 Analyzing Polls and Political Strategy
This paragraph delves into the intricacies of political polling and strategy, particularly focusing on the 2020 election results and the potential for the 2024 race. It discusses the historical accuracy of polls in Georgia and the surprising outcomes in 2020, where Trump lost by a narrow margin despite leading in polls. The script also examines the role of the media and the potential manipulation of narratives surrounding candidates like Kamala Harris, whose approval ratings are scrutinized. The discussion extends to other swing states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina, emphasizing their significance in the electoral map. The paragraph concludes with a critique of certain polls and media outlets, accusing them of bias and manipulation in their reporting and polling methodologies.
🗳️ The Influence of Media and Public Perception
The final paragraph of the script addresses the influence of the mainstream media on public perception of political candidates. It suggests that the media has the power to shape the narrative around candidates, as seen with Kamala Harris's changing public image. The script also touches on the potential for media bias and the 'information war' that exists in politics. It ends with a call to action for viewers to follow the creator on social media, providing a link in the description for further engagement.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Change
💡Approval Rating
💡Mending Fences
💡Swing State
💡Electoral Votes
💡Primary
💡Polling
💡Oversampling
💡Favorability
💡VP (Vice President)
💡Narrative
Highlights
Georgia Governor Brian Kemp has a high approval rating and has seemingly reconciled with Donald Trump.
Trump has released a positive video about Kemp, indicating a change in their relationship.
Kemp had previously taken an unusual stance by not voting in the primary, anticipating Trump's win.
Despite past disagreements, Kemp and Trump coming together could impact the 2020 election.
Georgia is a crucial swing state with 16 electoral votes, which could significantly affect the election outcome.
Polls show a close race in Georgia, with some suggesting a slight lead for Trump.
Trump's approval ratings in Georgia are noted to be higher compared to the 2020 election.
The importance of Georgia and Pennsylvania in the electoral map is emphasized, with 16 and 19 electoral votes respectively.
North Carolina's importance in the election is discussed, with recent polls showing a closer race.
Wisconsin's polling history is highlighted, with past inaccuracies and potential for Trump to win again.
The potential impact of Kennedy's boost on Trump's campaign is mentioned.
There is criticism of the Democratic machine for allegedly bullying third-party candidates like Jill Stein.
Biden's approval ratings are noted to be low, despite recent increases.
A video of Tim Walls potentially yanking his son is discussed, with speculation about Biden's reaction.
The narrative of the Biden-Harris ticket is questioned, with skepticism about media portrayals.
The influence of mainstream media on public perception of politicians is critiqued.
The video concludes with a critique of 538's polling data, suggesting potential inaccuracies or manipulation.
Transcripts
well ladies and gentlemen this is
certainly a change and a change for the
better it's not too surprising but it is
good you've got Georgia governor who has
a very or at least last time I checked
really good approval writing in the
state of Georgia now has apparently
mended the fenes with Donald Trump and
Trump has made a video talking about him
talking nicely about him and everything
like that everyone wondering what's
going on Kemp had the weird moment he's
always kind of been at odds with Trump
at least to a degree he said oh I'm not
going to vot in the primary for the
state of Georgia cuz Trump's going to
win no matter what it's kind of an odd
position to take considering you are the
governor you are a republican in a very
important swing state even though it's
the primary Trump at that point we all
knew he was going to be the nominee
you'd think they'd go vote and the wife
made a really weird statement his his
wife did but it seems like not
surprisingly that they have uh decided
to come together here and in Brian Kemp
with a solid approval writing almost
similar to Glenn yunan I don't know if
it's going to have that much of an
effect because Donald Trump did lose the
state in 2020 although you could argue I
mean based off of how many votes like
5,000 6,000 a lot of people you know
question that and everything like that
but it's a very close state it is a
state that Donald Trump I think needs to
take back it's not 100% he he needs it
or else he's going to lose but 16
electoral votes losing that that would
be a very very big gut punch and looking
at Trump right now in the state of
Georgia he's been kind of able to hold
the line I will caution people this was
not a state like many of the other swing
States number one when we go back to
2020 I thought there's no way Trump
would lose this state Georgia a pure SEC
State there's no way if you look at the
polling in 2020 Trump was actually up by
more in 2020 only by 0.1 uh versus you
see in 2016 Clinton was up by one but
this has been a state that it seems like
it's been pretty accurate in terms of
the way that it's pulled now obviously
Trump did win it by you know a decent
amount in 2016 and then he barely lost
it in 201 20 but when you look at
Georgia you look at Brian Kemp now on
board and you look at the fact that
Trump you've got even New York Times
although those New York time that New
York Times pool was really weird it had
Trump up by four in Georgia it had him
down by five in like Pennsylvania was
really strange poll but e even some of
these more liberal pollsters seemingly
are having this election tied in Georgia
I would say once we get the more
realistic polls once we get really out
of this Cala Harris hype and and with
the bad DNC and everything anything like
that I think you're looking at Trump
opening up a decent lead in well I don't
know about decent but I would say a
three to fourpoint pull lead in a state
like Georgy you take a look at how he
was against Biden um I think that they
have the numbers right here Trump was
sitting at plus 3.8 and that and really
he had recent plls plus four plus three
plus six and he was consistently up at
one point up by five against Biden now
obviously they've gone to Harris you
could even argue I mean we were arguing
maybe Biden would have been a better
candidate than Harris but this just goes
to show you how much of a I mean they
call Republicans to call it's hilarious
it's like Harris had one of the worst
approval ratings of any VP in history
and now she's like this this goddess uh
but I mean what did she do she must have
walked on water or something to be
become this amazing in the span of a
month but either way I mean I think
these are good numbers for Trump Brian
Kemp people wondering why come together
they were at odds this is necessary
Brian Kemp understands his life's going
to be a lot easier with any Republican
as president over a Democrat it's very
simple this is just how politics works
and so that's why we're seeing them come
together together and again Georgia is
very underrated it's a very important
state it's got more electoral votes than
Arizona it's got way more electoral
votes than Nevada I feel like we look at
all these swing States and almost give
them equal you know coverage but but in
reality it you know the big the big kill
shot for Trump it's Georgia and
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 19 electoral
votes Georgia 16 it's huge Pennsylvania
Trump very very slim leads really good
stuff coming out of there you do have
that Quinn ofc New York Times Two
liberal pollsters with plus three plus4
it's weighing down Trump's aggregate
lead at only Point
plus2 uh but I would say Pennsylvania
Georgia the two most important States
North Carolina holding that is also
extremely important there's a narrative
now based off of the closer recent polls
didn't seem like there was any narrative
with Biden versus trump it seemed like
even liberals admitted that Trump was
going to win that state he was leading
all the polls and Trump has has won
North Carolina twice obviously but now
there's this new thing where oh now
Harris has a chance in North Carolina
and of course Trump supporters are going
to say no not really Trump's won the
last two times now he's got better
approval ratings he's got better
favorability versus his opponent when
you look at his favorability versus
Hillary and also versus Biden versus
what it is now versus Harris even with
Harris getting the massive boost
recently his favorability numbers
they're very high in comparison to where
he was and especially his opponent's
favorability number is lower that's with
Harris getting the massive boost so
that's why you would say North Carolina
I mean listen North Carolina
Pennsylvania and Georgia I mean I think
that's got to be it obviously you would
also want a state like Arizona Nevada I
think Wisconsin's going to be one that
Trump wins we all know about the polling
in Wisconsin you can see Hillary up by
11 this time in 2016 just crazy numbers
that's a state that Trump won Clinton
was up by 11 two months you know two and
a half months before the election three
months whatever it is and Trump ends up
winning it Biden was up by 4.6 I don't
know what was the actual final tally in
Wisconsin um the I mean this is just a
crazy difference so the overall real
politics average was by plus almost
seven points he won it by half a point
so they overestimated him by six points
which is remarkable the 2016 this is
this is the inaccuracy of these plls the
exact same so in 2016 and 2020 they
underestimated Trump by basically
exactly six points could you imagine
even if they just underestimated Trump
by half of that in 2024 he wins by two
points if these plls remain the same if
Trump's able to keep it close with the
aggregate I'm not saying he's a lock but
the fact that he was under estimated
twice back to back in 2016 and 2020
that's very interesting out of Wisconsin
and that's that's really good news for
Trump that's what everyone's been
talking about when you look at that
State we've also got this what is this
another fake PLL we're wasting our time
with these I mean this is a joke um I
don't think this is going to be added to
the aggregate at least uh let's take a
look at this see if it's added to the I
don't think it will be right now they
have Harris up by a point and a half but
uh they've got a New Mexico poll that's
come out that's got Harris up by its end
I'm not too surprised by that New Mexico
you include everyone oh oh yeah you know
what with the Kennedy boost that Trump's
going to be getting it'll be interesting
you know it's also interesting to see
West and Stein get basically zero that's
the Democratic uh machine at play and
just convincing people and bullying
people you can't vote for Wester Stein
they're bullying Jill Stein now they're
telling her she can't be on ballots
she's coming out she's BL she's like
saying they're blatantly cheating um so
it's getting really bad there I do want
to quickly check out b b approval rating
I normally don't look at this very much
uh except for like when I do these
videos and I see it but it's kind of
stagnated see it went way up it went way
up when he said he wasn't going to drop
out and the establishment was pressuring
him to drop out and it's it went it went
back down but but it's still horrible I
mean it is still terrible he's
maintaining minus5 in terms of approval
even with him going up in approval
because the Democrats were very happy
that he dropped out of the race in terms
of that we've also got this video of Tim
Walls
potentially yanking his son
aggressively now people are talking
about maybe there's the teleprompter
there and he's trying to get his son out
of the way of the teleprompter uh but it
does seem like it's hard to really see
based on our our field of view where the
the teleprompter is how close it is to
the to his son uh but if you look at his
face he does seem very upset he seems
disgusted oh yeah I like these memes a
lot you've got the hand reaching behind
Biden Eon bomic is working Camala will
fix the economy yep exchange it with the
hand the hand the Democratic hand put
the new one in Kamala is going to fix
the economy Harris Waltz yep and see he
pulls his hand but look at his face he
does he looks angry there he see how
look at he looks angry now maybe that's
a reaction to the telepromter being
close I want to give him the bit of a
doubt but still he looks very angry in
this clip and everyone's been talking
about it um and remember this is it's
the same thing that happens they try and
be this this big happy family this
Family Guy and then the next day he goes
meet and meets with Alex
Soros but he's this big happy dude who's
GNA help America
wow and I wanted to I guess torture
Myself by looking at
538 now if you guys don't know
538 they're like a I think they went
bankrupt or something honestly I mean
this is like through ABC news they don't
even have a website anymore but this is
538 they've got Harris up by 3.6 take a
look at this favorability for Camala
Harris wouldn't you know it
unbelievable and you would expect this
to to level off here
soon I mean you're just talking about I
mean this was up to 17 in or on July 4th
it was 17 unfavorable and now it's gone
all the way up and just all the reports
that are coming out from the polling
experts all the oversampling they're
forced it they're forcing it now it's
like I mean some some of these instances
they're saying listen they're
oversampling Dems by 10 15 20
25 total points one of them was like Dem
plus 23 and it had her up by seven and
Democrats were like going crazy and it's
like this is all manipulation this is
all crap this is manipulation in of
itself this is ridiculous this is not
how I'll tell you what the mainstream
media now some these polls are fake
there's no way that that that this is
real TR really true where her you know
favorability is this high up but still
it just goes to show you there's a lot
of people that the substance of the
politician does not matter what the
mainstream media tells you is what
matters with people and it's an
information War it is you know they're
going to paint narrative surrounding
candidates I mean they were the same
ones it's the same mainstream media that
had articles back five or six months ago
in the winter saying that they were
concerned Cala Harris was dragging down
the ticket for Biden and that she needed
to be replaced because they were
remember they were all in on Biden until
the debate they were they were all in on
Biden but uh those are remarkable
numbers uh either way guys that is going
to do it for this video make sure you
follow me on X link to that's always in
the description
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