Sovereign Wealth Funds Could Take Bitcoin To $148,000

The Bitcoin Layer
15 Aug 202437:27

Summary

TLDRIn this episode of the Bitcoin layer, host Nick and guest Daniel Baton discuss the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining and the challenges Sovereign Wealth Funds face in investing in Bitcoin due to outdated ESG perceptions. Daniel shares his research on the actual benefits of Bitcoin mining, such as methane mitigation and promotion of renewable energy, and the importance of re-educating institutions about its positive environmental contributions. The conversation highlights the potential for Bitcoin to be a force for environmental repair and the need to update the narrative surrounding its impact.

Takeaways

  • 😀 Daniel Batson is an advocate for Bitcoin, focusing on its environmental impact and the misconceptions surrounding Bitcoin mining.
  • 🌟 Sovereign wealth funds have a combined $35.7 trillion in assets under management, and a 1% investment in Bitcoin could significantly boost its market cap.
  • 💡 Batson's research aims to understand the barriers preventing sovereign wealth funds from investing in Bitcoin, particularly the ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) concerns.
  • 🚫 ESG investment committees of sovereign wealth funds are currently not giving Bitcoin a positive ESG rating due to outdated or misinformation.
  • 🛑 The media narrative on Bitcoin's energy impact has shifted from predominantly negative to more positive, but the academic literature still heavily cites the negative aspects.
  • 📉 There's a significant knowledge asymmetry where the ESG committees are not updated on the latest research showing Bitcoin's environmental benefits.
  • 🌱 Bitcoin mining is increasingly using renewable energy sources and is contributing to the mitigation of methane emissions, which is a positive environmental impact.
  • 💡 The potential for Bitcoin mining to be an environmental force is significant, with the industry leading in the use of renewable energy.
  • 🌐 The geographical spread of Bitcoin mining is expanding, with operations moving to regions with a higher proportion of sustainable energy use.
  • 🔄 Bitcoin mining's flexibility can help stabilize electricity grids by providing demand response, thus supporting the integration of more renewable energy.
  • 🌐 Daniel Batson is involved in CH4 Capital, which finances Bitcoin mining operations that use methane as a power source, contributing to environmental repair.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of Daniel Baton's research on Bitcoin?

    -Daniel Baton's research focuses on the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining and, more recently, understanding the barriers that prevent Sovereign Wealth Funds from investing in Bitcoin.

  • Why is there a potential interest from Sovereign Wealth Funds in investing in Bitcoin?

    -Sovereign Wealth Funds are interested in investing in Bitcoin due to its potential as an asset class. However, they are currently unable to do so due to perceived environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns.

  • How much is the total asset under management (AUM) of Sovereign Wealth Funds and public Pension funds combined?

    -The combined AUM of Sovereign Wealth Funds and public Pension funds is $35.7 trillion.

  • What could be the potential impact on Bitcoin's market cap if Sovereign Wealth Funds were to invest 1% of their AUM in Bitcoin?

    -If Sovereign Wealth Funds were to invest 1% of their AUM in Bitcoin, it could potentially lift the price of Bitcoin to over $148,000, based on the current ratio of dollar invested to market cap increase.

  • What is the main barrier preventing Sovereign Wealth Funds from investing in Bitcoin according to Kevin O'Leary?

    -According to Kevin O'Leary, the main barrier is not a lack of interest but a lack of ability due to ESG investment committees not giving a positive assessment of Bitcoin's ESG profile.

  • What is the current media narrative on Bitcoin's energy impact, and how has it changed?

    -The media narrative has shifted from being predominantly negative to being more positive, with about 60%-70% positive coverage. However, the negative literature still has significantly more citations than the positive.

  • What is the role of the Digital Assets Research Institute in the context of Bitcoin's social and environmental impact?

    -The Digital Assets Research Institute is working to compile existing peer-reviewed research on Bitcoin's social and environmental impact and adding their own peer-reviewed research to the field.

  • How has Bitcoin mining been beneficial for renewable energy and methane mitigation?

    -Bitcoin mining has been beneficial by stabilizing grids, making renewable energy supplies more profitable, and incentivizing the use of renewable energy. It also helps in mitigating methane emissions by using energy that would have otherwise been wasted or polluting.

  • What is the current global trend in Bitcoin mining in terms of energy source?

    -The global trend in Bitcoin mining is moving towards the use of renewable energy sources. Since the migration of hash rate from China, there has been a significant increase in the use of sustainable energy, with the percentage now in the mid-50s.

  • How does Bitcoin mining help in methane mitigation, and what percentage of Bitcoin's emissions is mitigated this way?

    -Bitcoin mining helps in methane mitigation by using energy from sources like landfill gas that would have otherwise been released into the atmosphere. Currently, 7% of Bitcoin's entire emissions are mitigated through the use of emission-negative sources of energy.

  • What is CH4 Capital, and what is its focus in the Bitcoin mining industry?

    -CH4 Capital is a company that specializes in financing Bitcoin mining operations that use methane as their power source, contributing to environmental repair and the use of renewable resources.

Outlines

00:00

🌿 Bitcoin's Environmental Impact and Sovereign Wealth Funds

Daniel Baton, a Bitcoin advocate, discusses his research into the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining and the challenges Sovereign Wealth Funds face in investing in Bitcoin due to outdated ESG perceptions. He highlights the potential for Bitcoin to positively influence the environment and energy consumption, and the importance of addressing the knowledge asymmetry between the Bitcoin community and ESG investment committees.

05:02

💡 Transitioning Research to Engage Sovereign Wealth Funds

Daniel Baton explains his transition from studying Bitcoin's environmental impact to engaging with Sovereign Wealth Funds and their investment mandates. He emphasizes the significant assets under management and the potential market cap increase if these funds were to invest in Bitcoin. Baton also discusses the need to re-educate these funds about the current environmental benefits of Bitcoin mining to overcome investment barriers.

10:04

🔒 Addressing Misinformation in Bitcoin's Environmental Narrative

The conversation delves into the misinformation surrounding Bitcoin's environmental impact, which has led to a reluctance among Sovereign Wealth Funds to invest. Daniel Baton outlines the importance of purifying the 'reservoir of information' and healing the misconceptions that have been ingrained due to outdated narratives. He stresses the need for a step-by-step approach to address and debunk these misconceptions.

15:06

🌐 The Global Impact of Bitcoin Mining on Renewable Energy

Daniel Baton provides examples of Bitcoin mining's positive global impact, particularly in promoting renewable energy and grid stabilization. He discusses ongoing projects in various countries, emphasizing the growth and potential of these initiatives. Baton also addresses criticisms about the initial strain on grids, explaining how Bitcoin mining operations have actually facilitated the expansion and profitability of renewable energy sources.

20:07

🛠️ The Role of Bitcoin Mining in Methane Mitigation

Baton highlights the role of Bitcoin mining in methane mitigation, explaining how mining operations are utilizing methane captured from landfills and other sources that would otherwise contribute to pollution. He discusses the creation of CH4 Capital, a company focused on financing Bitcoin mining operations powered by methane, and the broader environmental benefits of this approach.

25:08

🏦 The Significance of State Pension Funds Investing in Bitcoin

The discussion turns to the recent investments in Bitcoin by state pension funds in Wisconsin and Michigan. Despite the relatively small allocations, these moves signal a significant shift in institutional investment strategies. Baton explains the potential impact of such investments on Bitcoin's price and the importance of these developments in normalizing Bitcoin as an investment within the institutional landscape.

30:09

🌱 The Expansion of Bitcoin Mining and Renewable Energy

Daniel Baton provides an overview of the global expansion of Bitcoin mining, particularly in countries with a focus on renewable energy. He discusses the rapid increase in the use of sustainable energy sources by the Bitcoin mining industry and the potential for this trend to continue, further enhancing Bitcoin's environmental credentials.

35:10

🌍 The Future of Bitcoin Mining and Environmental Repair

In the final paragraph, Baton envisions Bitcoin mining as a leading industry in environmental repair, with the potential to become a major force in combating climate change. He emphasizes the industry's current leadership in renewable energy consumption and the importance of continuing to educate and re-evaluate outdated perceptions of Bitcoin's environmental impact.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates without a central bank or single administrator, and transactions are verified by network nodes through cryptography. In the video, Bitcoin is the central theme, with discussions focusing on its environmental impact and potential for institutional investment. The script mentions Bitcoin's price movements in response to institutional adoption and its role in renewable energy and methane mitigation.

💡Sovereign Wealth Funds

Sovereign Wealth Funds are state-owned investment funds that invest globally in various assets. The script discusses the potential for these funds to invest in Bitcoin, which could significantly impact its market price. The funds are currently hesitant due to perceived environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns.

💡Environmental Impact

The environmental impact refers to the effects of human activities on the environment, often in terms of pollution or climate change. The video script addresses misconceptions about Bitcoin mining's environmental impact, highlighting research that shows Bitcoin can actually support renewable energy and methane mitigation.

💡ESG Investment Committee

ESG stands for Environmental, Social, and Governance, which are factors used to measure the sustainability and ethical impact of an investment. In the script, it is mentioned that ESG investment committees are currently not viewing Bitcoin favorably due to outdated information about its environmental profile.

💡Misinformation

Misinformation refers to false or inaccurate information that is spread unintentionally. The script discusses how outdated or incorrect information about Bitcoin's environmental impact has led to a negative perception among Sovereign Wealth Funds and other institutions.

💡Renewable Energy

Renewable energy is energy generated from resources that are naturally replenishing and sustainable, such as wind, solar, or hydroelectric power. The video emphasizes how Bitcoin mining operations are increasingly using renewable energy sources, which is a key point in the argument for Bitcoin's positive environmental impact.

💡Methane Mitigation

Methane mitigation involves reducing the release of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere. The script mentions projects where Bitcoin mining uses energy from captured methane, thereby preventing it from contributing to climate change.

💡Institutional Adoption

Institutional adoption refers to the acceptance and use of a technology, asset, or concept by large organizations or institutions. The video discusses the potential impact of institutional investors, such as Sovereign Wealth Funds, adopting Bitcoin and how this could drive its price and acceptance.

💡Decentralization

Decentralization is the distribution of power away from a central authority. Bitcoin is highlighted in the script as a decentralized currency, which challenges traditional financial institutions and systems, leading to resistance from entities that could be disrupted by this technology.

💡Demand Response

Demand response is a system where energy consumption is shifted to times of lower demand or higher supply, often in response to signals from grid operators. The script mentions Bitcoin mining's ability to provide demand response services, making grids more flexible and able to handle more renewable energy.

💡Stranded Energy

Stranded energy refers to electricity that is generated but not used, often due to lack of demand or transmission infrastructure. The video script discusses how Bitcoin mining can utilize stranded energy, making it profitable and reducing waste.

Highlights

Daniel Baton, a tireless advocate for Bitcoin, has shifted his research focus to understand why Sovereign Wealth Funds have a roadblock to investing in Bitcoin.

There is a massive $35.7 trillion in assets under management in Sovereign Wealth Funds, which could significantly impact Bitcoin's market cap with even a 1% deployment.

Sovereign Wealth Funds are hesitant to invest in Bitcoin due to ESG investment committees not giving a positive assessment of Bitcoin's environmental profile.

Knowledge asymmetry exists between the current understanding of Bitcoin's environmental benefits and what ESG committees believe based on outdated information.

Bitcoin mining is increasingly using renewable energy sources, which could help in methane mitigation and contribute positively to the environment.

Bitcoin mining operations are being built alongside renewable energy plants, promoting the growth of sustainable energy infrastructure.

The media narrative on Bitcoin's energy impact has shifted, but the literature cited still heavily favors negative perceptions.

Bitcoin mining is stabilizing electricity grids and prices, contrary to common misconceptions.

Bitcoin mining's growth is contributing to a significant increase in the use of sustainable energy in the industry.

ESG investment committees' reluctance to invest in Bitcoin is based on obsolete information and a lack of updated research.

The environmental impact of Bitcoin mining is being reassessed, with new research showing positive externalities.

Bitcoin mining is being recognized for its role in stabilizing grids and incentivizing renewable energy, rather than being a strain.

CH4 Capital is financing Bitcoin mining operations that use landfill gas as a power source, showcasing Bitcoin's potential for environmental repair.

Bitcoin mining is leading to the construction of additional energy infrastructure, such as extra lanes on a highway, to alleviate congestion.

Critics are gradually accepting the positive environmental impact of Bitcoin, as more peer-reviewed research and real-world examples emerge.

Bitcoin mining's use of renewable energy is happening globally, with operations in countries like Paraguay, Uruguay, and El Salvador.

Daniel Baton emphasizes the importance of re-educating and empathizing with those who hold misconceptions about Bitcoin's environmental impact.

Transcripts

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[Music]

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welcome back to the Bitcoin layer I'm

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Nick baa today we welcome back Daniel

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baton he is a tireless advocate for

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Bitcoin and focused on specifically the

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environmental impact of Bitcoin mining

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lately he has transitioned his research

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to include the Sovereign wealth fund

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complex and trying to understand why

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specifically Sovereign wealth funds have

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a roadblock to investing in Bitcoin

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Daniel great to see you welcome back to

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the show great to be back thank you so

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let's start with your overall approach

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here why have you started to get into

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Sovereign wealth funds and specifically

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their own invest investment mandates and

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why they are or are not able to invest

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in Bitcoin I think some of the best

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discoveries you make in Life or

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accidental and this was a complete

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where I was interested in who the next

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group of institutional adopters of

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Bitcoin would be was looking at Nation

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States was looking at Pension funds

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Sovereign wealth

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funds Wall Street and realized that

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there was

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35.7 trillion dollar of assets under

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management in Sovereign wealth funds so

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that's a combination You've Got The

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Sovereign wealth funds and you've also

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got public Pension funds the Third group

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of central banks we're going to exclude

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them because I don't think they're going

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to be investing in Bitcoin anytime soon

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but if you look at those other two

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categories that's 35.7 trillion of

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AUM and if a 1% deployment into Bitcoin

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were to happen uh we can calculate based

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on the current ratio of dollar invested

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to market cap increase that it would

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lift bitcoin price to over $148,000

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now is an 1% AUM investment reasonable

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feasible well that's actually less than

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a lot of the funds on Wall Street have

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been investing today which is in the 2

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to 3% threshold so we know that it's

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absolutely possible and so then then I

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just got curious to go well why are they

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not

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investing and I stumbled across a an

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interview with Kevin oerry on what

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Bitcoin did a couple of years ago and uh

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irrespective of what you might think

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about know Larry's choice in crypto

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exchanges uh he's pretty good when it

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comes to his knowledge of sovereign

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wealth funds he spends a lot of his time

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dealing with them he's one of the people

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who knows him very well in the world and

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he put it very simply and he said that

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all of the Sovereign wealth funds want

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to invest into Bitcoin it's not through

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lack of want he said it's through lack

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of ability and he said that all of these

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funds have an ESG investment

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committee and right now none of them are

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giving a positive tick in the box of

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bitcoin's ESG

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profile and this got me curious because

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this is an area that I've spent a lot of

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time researching over the last two years

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and I realized that there was a massive

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I wouldn't even call it information

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asymmetry but a knowledge asymmetry

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where the knowledge that we now have

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about Bitcoin and its environmental

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benefits is now so different to what the

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ESG investment Committees of sovereign

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wealth funds believe about Bitcoin which

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has been informed largely through

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information and misinformation at least

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three years old uh that if we can

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collapse that knowledge asymmetry then

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we can remove a blocker that has

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prevented Sovereign wealth fund adoption

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into Bitcoin and this can be something

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that potentially adds fuel or even fuels

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the next Bitcoin Bull Run so that got me

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kind of excited and going down a path of

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saying well let's spend some time on

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this because this seems a valuable thing

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for me to be doing some further research

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on and not just researching but starting

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to meet some of these people at the

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Sovereign wealth funds talking to their

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ESG investment committees and starting

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to understand why they can't invest and

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what they need to know and what

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re-education is required in order for

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them to feel comfortable not only

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comfortable with be Bitcoin as an ESG

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asset but that it actually strong tick

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their ESG box which it absolutely does

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Daniel the reason that we continue to

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have you on as a repeat guest here is

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that you your efforts

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inside the lines and with these

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Sovereign wealth funds and trying to

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explain to them the misinformation that

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they have received and converting that

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into actionable investable information

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about Bitcoin it's so important

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especially because with us sitting in

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our chairs here at home we already know

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that Bitcoin is not a danger to the

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environment or a danger to the globe

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that it actually is potential to really

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benefit our whole energy consumption you

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know that that's a theme of our show

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here and part of your research too so

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the reason that we are so excited about

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your work is that you're the one that's

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actually going to have the conversation

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to teach them that hey you are working

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off of incorrect information here is the

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correct information and the result is

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the unleashing of trillions in capital

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that can take Bitcoins priced to several

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hundred, so it's exciting for for us

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from a price perspective but you're the

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one that's going to have the

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conversations with them so tell us what

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the beginnings of those conversations

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are like because I'm sure that because

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you have truth and facts on your side

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and all they have is obsolete propaganda

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to go off of that if they are

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open-minded it must be an easy

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conversation right or am I

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wrong like a lot of things the strategy

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is easy but the implementation of the

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strategy is non-trivial so if I were to

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go in there and say hey you guys have a

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lot of really obsolete ideas you've been

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making bad decisions on bad data for a

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long time but I have the source of Truth

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and I've come to educate and Enlighten

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you you can probably imagine how that's

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going to go so it's not enough that you

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have some

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information uh that other people don't

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that's why I make the distinction

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between information asymmetry and

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knowledge

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asymmetry uh information asymmetry is

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tradable however you need to recognize

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that that information is valid uh that

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it is a correct view of the world

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otherwise you could lose and there's

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risk and these people are risk adverse

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they're managing the wealth of sovereign

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Nations and so the default position is

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if I have two different versions

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of events about or two different sources

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of truth about Bitcoin and whether it's

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good for the environment and good for

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people or not then I will default to the

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one which is most common which is most

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familiar and that my peers in the

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industry have been espousing for some

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time so that's what we're working

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against so it's not trivial to turn

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these things around um it requires not

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just fancy charts and good charts and

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good data and even peer-reviewed

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scientific literature but walking people

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through their uh misapprehensions and

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sometimes misinformation step by step

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and you're in the business of education

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so you understand better than most how

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re-education is actually harder than

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education because you've got you're not

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starting from Ground Zero with people

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who are necessarily just curious you're

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starting with people who have a certain

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belief system that in order to be

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receptive to new information uh needs to

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be a little bit softened and needs to

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become receptive as you say so that's

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the hard part so the strategy is easy

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the strategies are Nob brainer the Imp

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impementation of the strategy is what's

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going to be requiring some

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work understand so what are those

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starting points when you say you're not

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starting from Ground Zero but you're

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actually starting from a negative

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perspective um what are what are some of

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the first battles that you have to fight

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on the misinformation front and and how

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do you easily break down or maybe not

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easily but how do you break down some of

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that information

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from the

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Geto so there's this new Institute

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that's recently formed called the

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digital assets Research Institute

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they're doing some fantastic work and

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really bringing together a lot of the

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existing peer-reviewed research on

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bitcoin and social and environmental

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impact as well as adding their own

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peer-reviewed research uh fantastic

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resource and what they've recently found

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out is that two things number one and

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this is celebration time the media

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narrative on bitcoin and its energy

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impact has changed and we know that

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because we can chart over time that the

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amount of negative to positive has

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fundamentally changed in

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2021 it was 3/4 negative today it's

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about 60% 70% positives that's a massive

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turnaround however uh there's a big

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caveat to that uh someone from the

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digital assets Research Institute then

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said well let's look at the literature

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that's been cited and he found that the

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negative literature the negative peer

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review journals had 45 times as many

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citations as the

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positives so what we have to contend

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with is that backdrop the analogy that I

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use is that the media narrative is

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shifted so that means that we're no

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longer poisoning uh the drinking supply

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of information that people receive about

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Bitcoin and its environmental and social

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impact however that doesn't mean that

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everyone who's been drinking from that

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drinking Supply is suddenly miraculously

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healed

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that doesn't mean that the the reservoir

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that you have just because there's no

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more poison being put in Upstream is

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suddenly purified it doesn't so we've

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got to purify that reservoir of

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information and we've got to heal those

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people who have been drinking from that

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poor information for many

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years so in terms of their starting

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point uh it's incredible but most people

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still believe that Bitcoin is mostly

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powered by fossil fuels even though that

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hasn't been true for 3 years they still

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believe that Bitcoin destabilizes grids

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even though there is cons the scientific

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consensus says the exact

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opposite they still believe that as

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bitcoin price increases that Bitcoin

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emissions will grow even though we have

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charted data that shows that that's not

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the case because of machine efficiency

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improvements and moving to sustainable

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energy and we still have people who

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believe that Bitcoin mining is

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responsible for the opening up of

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previously mothed fossil fuel plants

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even though we have data which has

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debunked that actual security filings

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and the

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one Bitcoin mining operation which was

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running off a fossil fuel supply being

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coal that hasn't been mining off a coal

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Source since 2021 people just don't know

play13:45

that so part of it is about

play13:48

acknowledging uh and not making them

play13:50

wrong for believing what they believe

play13:51

because they're reading the same source

play13:53

as everyone else

play13:54

does acknowledging that when I first

play13:57

came to bitcoin I thought the way they

play13:59

did I thought it was bad for the

play14:01

environment too because I trusted my

play14:02

information sources and it was only as a

play14:05

result of doing some independent

play14:06

research that I realized that those

play14:08

information sources were either

play14:10

incorrect or out of date so going

play14:13

through that same process step by step

play14:15

hearing the objections is going to be

play14:17

super important but that's the starting

play14:18

point we we're not in many cases

play14:20

starting with people who are neutral but

play14:23

people who think that Bitcoin is

play14:25

negative and that's the reason they've

play14:26

said to their Sovereign wealth fund

play14:28

invest committees you cannot invest in

play14:32

Bitcoin now one of our recent episodes

play14:34

that we did together Daniel focused on

play14:37

propaganda specifically coming out of

play14:40

the European continent the ECB and the

play14:43

bis specifically to name two

play14:45

institutions that are responsible for

play14:48

some of this negative Bitcoin propaganda

play14:51

but I want to just bring that concept

play14:54

back here you talk about the poisoned

play14:56

water supply of existing knowledge on

play14:59

bitcoin we can specifically attribute

play15:03

blame to a couple of these European

play15:06

financial

play15:07

institutions for basically stoking this

play15:10

fire and it's provided a a roadblock or

play15:13

a hurdle for us to to get through in

play15:17

terms of educating people so before I

play15:20

ask you the next question I just want to

play15:22

remind people that this poison supply of

play15:25

knowledge it didn't just happen to get

play15:28

there it has been placed there very

play15:31

specifically by financial institutions

play15:33

that feel threatened by Bitcoin or the

play15:36

concept of Bitcoin and the concept of

play15:39

Bitcoin has a lot to do with the

play15:42

decentralization of power which is

play15:44

something that Brussels just physically

play15:46

cannot understand so just to tell people

play15:51

that the information that got there it

play15:54

wasn't it didn't just magically appear

play15:57

so the hurdle that we have

play15:59

is coming from people that are malicious

play16:03

in nature so I'd let you respond to that

play16:05

yeah one of the problems that we face is

play16:09

that whenever you have any disruptive

play16:12

technology this always happens without

play16:15

question when the automobile came to the

play16:20

four the horse and buggy industry didn't

play16:22

just roll over and say Here's a superior

play16:24

technology let's convert and sell cars

play16:26

instead they did everything in their

play16:28

power to try to convince people that

play16:30

these things were going to blow up they

play16:32

were unsafe and the horse and buggy was

play16:34

better uh when the internet came in you

play16:37

had telecommunication companies that

play16:40

were threatened because they could lose

play16:42

substantial amount of Revenue to voice

play16:44

over IP trying everything in their power

play16:47

pulling regulatory levers uh creating

play16:50

fear in the marketplace about the

play16:52

unreliability of this technology the

play16:54

print media attacked them uh everyone

play16:56

attacked them and there was also a lot

play16:58

of fud a lot of fear uncertainty and

play17:00

doubt created about

play17:02

their carbon footprint articles and

play17:05

Forbes from dating back to 1999 saying

play17:08

that it's going to fire up all this

play17:10

whole new generation of coal

play17:12

plants and then everyone realized the

play17:14

utility of the internet and that it was

play17:15

great and most of those articles were

play17:17

based on flawed assumption about what

play17:19

happens to machine efficiency over the

play17:21

time and and a whole lot of other flawed

play17:22

assumptions and people got on with their

play17:24

lives and so what we seeing with Bitcoin

play17:27

is nothing new so we shouldn't be

play17:29

surprised by this and if anything it's

play17:32

more pronounced because the people that

play17:35

and the institutions which Bitcoin can

play17:37

disin intermediate are some of the most

play17:39

powerful institutions in the world we're

play17:41

talking about taking power out of

play17:43

central banks because with Bitcoin you

play17:46

don't need a central bank it dis

play17:48

intermediates them you think people have

play17:50

enjoyed the privilege of being able to

play17:52

print money for Generations are suddenly

play17:54

going to roll over and say what a

play17:55

wonderful technology we're so happy it

play17:57

came along of course they're not they're

play17:59

going to do everything possible to

play18:00

predict their position and that's going

play18:02

to be pulling regulatory levers and

play18:04

that's going to be pulling information

play18:06

levers to create blocks and whether you

play18:10

like their tactics or not they're not

play18:12

new tactics and they've been highly

play18:14

highly effective and that's why they're

play18:15

using them and the reason the

play18:17

environmental attack Vector has been

play18:19

used so repeatedly has been that it's

play18:21

been so effective because now you have

play18:24

these whole institutional wealth funds

play18:27

who are unable to invest in Bitcoin

play18:29

you have Norway whose Parliament is

play18:33

seriously contemplating a ban on Bitcoin

play18:36

mining and you have Iceland considering

play18:38

similar moves and you have the EU

play18:41

working with the European Central Bank

play18:44

and isma the European market authority

play18:48

to create policies about Bitcoin which

play18:51

one of which would be the labeling of it

play18:53

as harmful to the environment

play18:56

why because then you can create policies

play19:01

around Bitcoin which make it difficult

play19:04

for people to invest and in some cases

play19:07

outright preclude people from investing

play19:09

in it so it's been highly highly

play19:11

effective now in terms of the

play19:15

research there has been some and a lot

play19:18

of Institutions who have been innocent

play19:20

who genuinely care for the environment

play19:23

and they have read uh or drunk from this

play19:26

poisoned well of information you can say

play19:29

and so they're innocent in so far as

play19:32

they're not creating new misinformation

play19:35

but they're culpable because they

play19:36

haven't done the research to make sure

play19:40

that the information sources that

play19:41

they're gaining are coming from good

play19:44

authoritative sources rather than vested

play19:47

interest now this question of vested

play19:49

interest is actually really interesting

play19:51

so Andrew Bailey who's doing some great

play19:53

work he's recently written a book called

play19:55

resistance money uh pointed out

play19:57

something recently which is as soon as

play19:59

someone who holds Bitcoin says something

play20:02

positive about Bitcoin then people

play20:04

automatically say well of course you're

play20:05

going to say that you have a vested

play20:07

interest but if you he said well that's

play20:10

actually an absurd argument wouldn't you

play20:12

like someone who's talking about a

play20:14

domain to be a user of that

play20:16

technology would you expect that no one

play20:19

should comment about medical research

play20:20

who's a doctor because they have a

play20:22

vested interest in selling

play20:25

Pharmaceuticals would we say that no one

play20:27

should do Dentistry research who goes to

play20:29

a dentist or is a dentist because

play20:31

clearly they have a vested interest in

play20:32

selling their Dentistry products and

play20:34

services of course we wouldn't they

play20:36

would be the very people we turn to and

play20:38

say look we need your expertise because

play20:40

this is the exact domain that we're

play20:42

seeking knowledge and you have that

play20:43

domain knowledge but the very people who

play20:46

are most qualified to give their expert

play20:48

opinions on Bitcoin mining have been the

play20:50

ones who have been excluded from the

play20:52

conversation based on this false notion

play20:54

that somehow everyone is conflicted and

play20:57

has vested interest and therefore

play20:58

shouldn't be even engaged with now in

play21:02

reality of course everyone's

play21:04

conflicted um you can say well you hold

play21:07

fiat currency therefore you're

play21:08

conflicted because you have a predel to

play21:12

say that Bitcoin is not going to be

play21:13

performing as well as your Fiat

play21:14

instruments so as long as everyone's

play21:17

transparent about their Holdings then

play21:20

everyone should be Consulting no voice

play21:22

or Viewpoint should be dis

play21:26

um should be invalidated

play21:29

just in the same way that even a central

play21:31

Banker whilst we can say well you have a

play21:33

conflict of interest doesn't mean that

play21:35

so if they have good arguments uh that

play21:37

stand up to logical scrutiny then their

play21:40

potential conflict interest doesn't mean

play21:42

that their logic is not valid um so we

play21:44

have to actually look at Point by Point

play21:46

by Point does the logic make sense is

play21:49

this based on sound research are the

play21:50

assumptions correct and that's where you

play21:53

start to find that if you look at the

play21:54

assumptions behind most of the

play21:56

Environmental Research in Bitcoin they

play21:58

make no sense whatsoever and my

play22:01

consistent view was that when we looked

play22:03

at the people who actually had the

play22:04

knowledge who who knew about renewable

play22:06

transitions who knew about solar energy

play22:08

wind energy who knew about grids who

play22:10

knew how energy worked who knew how

play22:12

methane mitigation worked and they knew

play22:13

about Bitcoin mining in other words the

play22:15

informed people who had the domain

play22:17

knowledge to create meaningful insights

play22:20

on the subject they came to the same

play22:22

conclusion which was it stabilizes grids

play22:25

it stabilizes electricity prices its

play22:28

emissions are not increasing it helps us

play22:31

mitigate methane where other things

play22:32

cannot do it profitably and by creating

play22:35

a marketplace where you can sell demand

play22:37

response in other words help to

play22:38

stabilize grids where there's excess

play22:42

load they actually allow you to put more

play22:45

renewable energy onto the grid which

play22:47

comes from intermittent sources because

play22:48

of their flexibility and because they

play22:51

can be a customer of that energy from

play22:54

renewable

play22:55

generators they can make renewable gener

play22:58

more profitable which proliferates the

play23:01

use of renewable energy on grids no

play23:04

question and it's now backed up by the

play23:06

scientific consensus in the last two

play23:08

years there have been 10 peer-reviewed

play23:11

articles on bitcoin's environmental

play23:13

impact nine of them were showing

play23:16

positive externalities the only one that

play23:18

showed negative externalities was from

play23:20

un University and it was using a data

play23:23

set which was 3 years

play23:26

old absolutely fantastic and remember

play23:29

folks that it's not just central banks

play23:32

that have the power to create money it's

play23:35

the commercial Banks as well with their

play23:37

deposit Banking and their lending money

play23:40

into existence the fractional Reserve

play23:42

System is a function of both the central

play23:45

banks and the commercial banking system

play23:47

working together so you can't expect the

play23:50

fight against Bitcoin to originate from

play23:52

the incumbents that includes both the

play23:55

public and the private institutions and

play23:58

special shout out to all those people

play24:00

tracking the Wikipedia entry changes

play24:03

that come from these Mega Banks we don't

play24:06

know why they do them but they are

play24:08

definitely trying to control information

play24:10

Daniel you talk about the

play24:13

Wisconsin pension fund allocating we

play24:16

recently heard about Michigan as well

play24:19

these even though the numbers are small

play24:22

of the initial Investments the news

play24:25

items are enormous to me I mean these

play24:28

are

play24:29

absolute stalwart states in the United

play24:31

States in the midwest so not on either

play24:35

one of the coasts uh I just think

play24:39

the decision for these two state pension

play24:42

plans to get involved in Bitcoin speaks

play24:45

volumes I'm wondering what your thoughts

play24:47

were when you heard about Wisconsin and

play24:50

Michigan it it's huge Wisconsin invested

play24:54

I think. 2% of its auum

play24:58

so the amount sounds big they invested a

play25:00

total through grayscale mainly of I

play25:03

believe their current position is around

play25:05

160 million that's nothing compared to

play25:08

their total AUM that's literally a

play25:10

dipping of the toe maybe even the toe

play25:12

nail in the water to test the waters

play25:15

however even that very small allocation

play25:18

which should have had a very minimal

play25:20

impact on bitcoin price had a major

play25:22

impact on bitcoin price that day bitcoin

play25:25

price moved up $1,000 on the back of of

play25:28

that announcement so what happened was

play25:32

uh that sort of price movement is not

play25:33

explicable by the amount of new money

play25:36

coming in through the Wisconsin pension

play25:37

fund by itself what that did is it

play25:40

excited others in the Bitcoin Community

play25:43

to say this is a waterers shed moment

play25:45

this is the first time ever even though

play25:46

the amounts relatively small but this is

play25:49

the first time ever that a sovereign

play25:50

Fund in the form of a public pension

play25:52

fund in this case has invested into

play25:54

Bitcoin and that excited upward price

play25:57

movement now it would have been a lot

play26:00

larger if it had been a 1% allocation of

play26:02

course it is a dipping of the toe in the

play26:05

water but now we've had other ones

play26:07

Michigan as you say and I believe

play26:08

there's others that are in the works as

play26:10

well so we're already starting to see

play26:12

this movement happening and what's

play26:14

interesting about that to me is that if

play26:16

you look back to

play26:17

2021 everyone was expecting on the back

play26:20

of micro strategy announcing its

play26:22

corporate Treasury and El Salvador

play26:24

announcing nation state adoption that we

play26:26

would have a sthe of new corporate

play26:29

treasuries of significant scale and a

play26:31

swaye of new nation state adoption that

play26:33

didn't happen we haven't had a second

play26:35

Nation we haven't had a second or

play26:37

Salvador it's only very recent we've had

play26:39

a second micro strategy and nowhere near

play26:41

the same scale and that's because for

play26:43

nation states to adopt Bitcoin it's hard

play26:46

there's so many things that have to be

play26:48

true for that to occur and similarly for

play26:51

a large company to put Bitcoin in its

play26:55

balance sheet it's hard which is why so

play26:58

few have done

play26:59

it however with Sovereign wealth funds

play27:02

who have huge amounts of assets at their

play27:05

disposal it's not as hard the blockers

play27:09

yes there is a blocker and there is

play27:11

effort to requ required to go through it

play27:13

and it is hard but it's nowhere near as

play27:15

hard in my view is convincing a nation

play27:17

state to adopt

play27:19

Bitcoin so I see this is an area where

play27:24

whilst it's hard it's not as hard as

play27:26

other areas and

play27:29

it's also that there's only one blocker

play27:31

there's not a whole bunch of them and in

play27:32

most cases that is the ESG investment

play27:34

Committee in other words we can be very

play27:36

focused and if we can start to get

play27:38

different answers from these ESG

play27:40

investment committees then everything

play27:43

starts to move it's like there's a

play27:44

blockage in the hosing and we remove

play27:48

that blockage then we unleash the flow

play27:50

of institutional Capital into

play27:54

Bitcoin now Daniel I want to ask you

play27:57

about the

play27:58

specific efforts going on with Bitcoin

play28:02

mining on the environmental front you

play28:04

talk about methane mitigation a lot here

play28:07

and the generation of well the

play28:13

initial building of renewable plants

play28:16

that are being built alongside Bitcoin

play28:20

mining operations in order to basically

play28:24

bootstrap operations that wouldn't have

play28:27

otherwise existed so on the ground take

play28:29

us a little tour around the world from

play28:32

Costa Rica to Latin America to uh Africa

play28:37

to North America what are you seeing on

play28:39

the ground with some of these very very

play28:42

important methane mitigation projects

play28:44

and renewable energy projects that

play28:46

really take Bitcoin from this negative

play28:49

light to putting it in an extremely

play28:52

positive light and something that we can

play28:54

share with the world and promote uh to

play28:57

show bit coin's potential yeah so when

play29:01

you're looking from the position of a

play29:03

Bitcoin critic the first criticism that

play29:05

people have of Bitcoin is it does

play29:07

nothing positive for the environment and

play29:09

then you show them the peer-reviewed

play29:11

research it says that it does and the

play29:12

actual case studies of where it has

play29:15

patently helped to bring more renewable

play29:18

energy onto grids to help to mitigate

play29:20

methane to reach some of the 's methane

play29:22

mitigation targets and to help that

play29:26

renewable trans

play29:28

and the movement towards net zero

play29:30

emissions and then people will the

play29:32

credits will grud accept Okay it's

play29:33

happening

play29:35

but it's only anecdotal examples it's

play29:38

only happening from time to time and so

play29:40

we're at the point now where people the

play29:41

critics are gradually accepting yes it

play29:43

is happening okay it's in the peer

play29:45

review journals okay the grid operators

play29:47

are saying it's useful the renewable

play29:48

suppliers are saying it's useful the

play29:50

people who are mitigating methane is

play29:51

saying that it's doing that okay but

play29:53

it's not happening at scale it's only

play29:55

these these little pockets here and

play29:57

there and the overall impact a store net

play29:59

negative um so what I'm sharing now is

play30:04

to say

play30:06

well these are Pockets at the moment but

play30:09

everything started somewhere Facebook

play30:11

started with 20 users or so um and what

play30:14

we have to look at is what sort of

play30:15

growth curve is it on and you're right

play30:19

this is not just happening in Texas if

play30:21

we look at helping renewable energy get

play30:24

onto grids it's happening in there's

play30:26

discussions happening with grid owners

play30:28

in India at the moment there are people

play30:31

in New Zealand already that I know about

play30:33

who are using demand response who have

play30:36

hydro dams and in the rainy season all

play30:38

of that water spills over the edge of

play30:40

the dam and now they're able to monetize

play30:42

that energy turn into Bitcoin so which

play30:44

means that they are more profitable they

play30:46

can pull that profit into upgrading the

play30:49

facilities they can pour it into

play30:51

proliferating the use of renewable

play30:53

energy and at the same time they have

play30:56

Arrangements where when the grid needs

play30:59

that electricity they curtail very fast

play31:02

which means it gives much more

play31:03

flexibility to the grid operator such

play31:06

that now they can put more intermittent

play31:09

variable energy on the grid knowing that

play31:11

they have the shock absorber where

play31:12

Bitcoin can very quickly go off the

play31:15

other criticism that you get uh from

play31:17

some people who don't understand the

play31:19

wider context in which uh grids operate

play31:22

as I'll say well sure Bitcoin is helping

play31:24

stabilize grids by powering down but it

play31:27

was straining those grids GS in the

play31:28

first place by drawing so much load

play31:30

which sounds like quite a convincing

play31:32

argument but what it ignores is that

play31:35

there wouldn't have been so much

play31:36

generation capacity on the grid in the

play31:38

first place if it hadn't been for

play31:40

Bitcoin mining operations making those

play31:43

variable renewable energy supplies more

play31:45

profitable so the analogy is more like

play31:47

this it's like you have a five Lane

play31:50

Highway and then you have the citizen

play31:51

who comes along this is the Bitcoin

play31:53

mining who say okay we're going to give

play31:55

you enough money to build an extra lame

play31:59

which is going to remove a lot of your

play32:00

peak hour congestion problems and

play32:02

everyone's really happy and I say well

play32:04

we do want to use this highway

play32:08

ourselves however when it's Peak our

play32:11

traffic we will take the nearest offramp

play32:15

so what that means is you'll have enough

play32:17

money to build an extra Lane which

play32:18

removes removes congestion and we'll

play32:21

have a contract with you where we only

play32:23

use that lane where it's not creating

play32:26

congestion and this is the service that

play32:28

Bitcoin mining has provided for grids

play32:31

around the world

play32:32

now so yes a lot of the expansion that

play32:36

happened when hash rate migrated from

play32:38

China it went and again this is part of

play32:41

the misinformation people say well it

play32:43

just went to using uh coal in China to

play32:45

using coal at

play32:47

Kazakhstan and that's a half truth

play32:49

because initially some of it did go to

play32:51

Kazakhstan some of it went to America

play32:53

some of it went to other places of the

play32:55

world but the hash rate that went to

play32:58

Kazakhstan only stayed there very

play32:59

temporarily and and most of the measures

play33:03

uh came from Cambridge data which is

play33:05

still marooned back on January 2022

play33:07

which was the last time they updated

play33:09

their mining map when Kazakhstan

play33:11

represented 13% of global hash rate and

play33:14

of course because most of that was

play33:16

fossil fuel-based energy that skews your

play33:18

results considerably but what most

play33:21

people don't know is that since then and

play33:23

we know this based on bit River data is

play33:25

that Kazakhstan is representing less

play33:27

than 1% of global hash rate and most of

play33:29

that hash rate has now gone to places

play33:32

such as OT which is increasingly using

play33:36

renewable energy which uses very little

play33:37

coal indeed it has a much lower emission

play33:40

intensity it's going to places like

play33:41

Paraguay Uruguay El Salvador places

play33:45

which are 100% renewable energy based

play33:48

and that's why you've seen this Spike

play33:50

and this rapid rise since the migration

play33:52

of hash rate from China where it's gone

play33:54

from the mid-30s to the mid-50s in terms

play33:57

of its use of sustainable energy it's

play33:59

happening in grids all around the world

play34:01

now in terms of methane

play34:03

mitigation you have 7% of bitcoin's

play34:06

entire emissions are now mitigated

play34:08

through people who are using emission

play34:10

negative sources of energy and you might

play34:13

say well how is that possible how can

play34:14

you mitigate emissions through using

play34:17

energy and this is one thing people

play34:18

don't understand that most people still

play34:20

think that you can logically go from

play34:24

saying Bitcoin uses energy a lot of

play34:27

energy to therefore it's bad for the

play34:28

environment in one breath and you just

play34:31

can't because what we found is Bitcoin a

play34:33

lot of that energy used is stranded is

play34:35

wasted a lot of it's renewable a lot of

play34:39

it is helping stabilize grid and

play34:40

incentivize more renewable energy and

play34:43

critically a lot of it is coming from

play34:44

sources that otherwise would have been

play34:47

polluting the environment such as

play34:48

methane and this is one of the things

play34:50

that I'm got so excited about that I

play34:53

worked with a group of Founders to

play34:55

create a company which is specializing

play34:57

and funding Bitcoin mining operations

play34:59

that are using methane that would have

play35:02

gone into the atmosphere and caused

play35:04

Untold pollution and contributed to

play35:07

climate havoc and we're taking it out of

play35:09

the atmosphere and we're sending it

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where it should be sent which is to a

play35:11

generator to power Bitcoin mining

play35:15

operations not only tremendously

play35:18

exciting yes and not only is Bitcoin not

play35:21

harming the environment but it actually

play35:23

has the potential to be the largest

play35:26

Force

play35:27

of environmental repair that the world

play35:31

has ever seen from an from a specific

play35:35

industry standpoint and we also know

play35:37

statistically speaking that Bitcoin

play35:39

mining as an industry has the highest

play35:42

consumption or on a percentage basis of

play35:45

renewable resources on the planet so

play35:49

Bitcoin is for the environment this

play35:52

whole misinformation campaign it's stale

play35:56

and as Daniel suggested suggested we

play35:59

have to do our best to not ridicule the

play36:03

obsolete information but instead do our

play36:07

best to re-educate sympathize and

play36:09

empathize with the other side in that we

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understand that your we understand your

play36:16

concern but let us explain to you how

play36:19

your concern is no longer valid based on

play36:22

the current data Daniel baton thank you

play36:24

so much for always championing

play36:28

this Bitcoin mining industry explaining

play36:31

to people how it is actually helping the

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world instead of harming the environment

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please tell people where they can find

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your ongoing fantastic work best place

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to find me these days is on X so DS

play36:46

baton and you'll see me tweet there from

play36:49

time to time and then our company is CH4

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capital.com uh and that is specializing

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in financing Bitcoin mining operations

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which are using landfill gas as their

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power source Daniel thank you so much

play37:04

and we'll catch you guys next time thank

play37:06

you

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[Music]

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BitcoinESGSovereign WealthMiningRenewable EnergyMethane MitigationInvestment MandatesEnvironmental ImpactInstitutional AdoptionCryptocurrency
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