How Realistic Are Today’s Robots?
Summary
TLDRIn 2034, humanoid robots like Apollo and Digit are envisioned to assist in warehouses and factories, alleviating physical labor. The video explores the current state of robotics, showcasing advanced, lifelike models from X Robots and practical, general-purpose robots like Phoenix and Unitri G1. It delves into the rapid advancements in AI, computer vision, and battery technology, which have made robots more dynamic and capable. The market is predicted to grow significantly, with applications in personal assistance, entertainment, and healthcare. However, the true impact and reliability of humanoid robots in various sectors remain to be seen, as the technology is still in its nascent stages.
Takeaways
- 🕶️ The video is sponsored by Brilliant and set in a futuristic 2034 scenario where humanoid robots are common.
- 🤖 The video discusses the evolution of humanoid robots, which have become more refined and flexible in their movements compared to a few years ago.
- 💰 It highlights the affordability of robots with a $40,000 price tag and a lease option, reflecting the impact of inflation on everyday items like a $50 cheeseburger.
- 🛠️ The script introduces 'Apollo', a robot designed to work alongside humans in factories to reduce physical strain.
- 🚀 NASA is developing advanced robotics for deep space exploration, indicating the importance of robotics in future space missions.
- 🏆 Companies like X Robots are creating lifelike robots for various purposes, including research and service in restaurants.
- 🔧 The Canadian robotics company Sanctuary AI launched 'Phoenix', a robot capable of physical tasks like sorting and handling objects.
- 🤹♂️ Unitri's G1 model is a versatile, lightweight robot designed for home use, capable of performing tasks like cooking and soldering.
- 🌟 Astrobot, unveiled by Stardust, is capable of performing rapid and dextrous tasks without human operation, powered by neural networks.
- 🔥 The Tesla Optimus bot is undergoing development, with recent videos showing it performing basic tasks in a factory setting.
- 🧩 The video also covers a variety of consumer robots, from lawn mowers to restaurant servers, indicating the diverse applications of robotics in everyday life.
Q & A
What is the estimated cost of a humanoid robot in 2034 according to the script?
-The script mentions a humanoid robot priced at $40,000, with a 4-year lease option for $320 a month.
What is the role of Apollo, the robot mentioned in the script?
-Apollo is designed to work alongside humans in a factory, helping to alleviate taxing and physical labor.
What is the significance of the year 2023 in the context of the script?
-In 2023, the Chinese firm X robots went viral after their appearance at the World Robot Conference, showcasing their humanoid, lifelike robots.
What is the main purpose of the Phoenix robot launched by Sanctuary AI in 2023?
-The Phoenix robot is a general-purpose robot designed to do physical work, such as sorting items and performing tasks similar to a human worker.
What collaboration did Sanctuary AI announce with Microsoft in May 2024?
-Sanctuary AI announced a collaboration with Microsoft for the development of AI models for general-purpose humanoid robots.
What is the starting price of the Unitri G1 robot, and what are its capabilities?
-The Unitri G1 robot starts at $116,000 and features advanced mobility, stability, and AI capabilities. It is designed for home use and is known for its flexibility and lightweight design.
What unique claim does Astrobot's maker make about its demonstrations?
-Astrobot's maker claims that the robot is not being operated by a human during demos; its intelligence comes from neural networks.
What is the current status of Tesla's Optimus bot as of the script's information?
-As of the script, Tesla has released a new video of the Optimus bot performing basic tasks in a factory, and it is stated to be making progress in completing tasks and walking without falling over.
What is the role of the mbot AI-driven robot?
-The mbot AI-driven robot provides personal guidance, tutoring, and career advice, and is being developed as a 'personalized AI robot you can mentor.'
What are some of the consumer applications of humanoid robots mentioned in the script?
-The script mentions applications such as lawn mowing robots, restaurant service robots, and even a flame-throwing robot available for consumers.
What is the potential market size for humanoid robotics by 2035 according to different estimates?
-Estimates for the humanoid robotics market size by 2035 range from $38 billion (Goldman Sachs) to as high as $214 billion (Global Newswire) and even 4.8 trillion by 2035 (Global X ETFs).
Outlines
🤖 Humanoid Robots in Everyday Life
The script introduces the concept of humanoid robots becoming a part of everyday life in 2034. It narrates a personal encounter with a friend who has purchased a new humanoid robot, and the narrator's subsequent surprise at seeing the same model in a Walmart store. The robot, Apollo, is designed to work alongside humans, particularly in warehouses, to reduce physical strain. The video script discusses the rapid advancements in robotics, the emergence of new companies, and the improved capabilities and flexibility of modern humanoid robots. It raises questions about the practicality and future of humanoid robots, setting the stage for an exploration of current robotic technology.
🏭 Advancements in Industrial and Consumer Robotics
This paragraph delves into various examples of advanced robots in both industrial and consumer markets. It mentions X robots, a Chinese firm specializing in lifelike humanoid robots, and Sanctuary AI's Phoenix, a general-purpose robot capable of physical tasks. The script also covers Unitri's G1 model, a flexible and lightweight robot designed for home use, and astrobot, which can perform rapid dextrous tasks. The Tesla Optimus bot and mbot, an AI-driven personal guidance robot, are also highlighted. The paragraph discusses the capabilities and potential of these robots, as well as controversies surrounding demo authenticity and the rapid adoption of restaurant robots and lawn-mowing robots in consumer spaces.
🏗️ Robotics in Construction and the Evolution of Technology
The script shifts focus to the application of robotics in construction, highlighting how robots are being used to automate repetitive and time-consuming tasks like bricklaying. It discusses the progress in AI, improved computer vision, and advancements in battery technology that have made robots more dynamic and capable of adjusting to their environment. The paragraph also touches on the reduction in component costs and the potential impact of these technological advancements on the future of robotics, including predictions of market growth and the sectors that may drive demand for humanoid robots.
🤔 The Future of Humanoid Robots and the Role of AI
In the final paragraph, the script contemplates the future of humanoid robots, considering the potential for them to become commonplace in homes and workplaces. It acknowledges the possibility that current advancements may be premature and that true humanoid capabilities might be further away than anticipated. The paragraph also discusses the influence of wage inflation and aging populations on the adoption of robots as a form of labor. The script concludes by reflecting on the rapid pace of change in the field of robotics and the potential for AI to supercharge its development, ending with a promotional note about learning more about neural networks and AI on brilliant.org.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Humanoid Robots
💡Inflation
💡Lease Option
💡Robot Coworker
💡NASA
💡Neural Networks
💡AI Models
💡Computer Vision
💡Battery Technology
💡Cost of Components
💡DARPA Robotics Challenge
Highlights
In 2034, humanoid robots are becoming a common sight, with one friend even owning a new model.
A $40,000 humanoid robot is spotted at Walmart with an option to lease for $320 a month.
Humanoid robots are designed to work alongside humans in factories, like Apollo, to reduce physical labor.
The field of Robotics is rapidly advancing, with companies producing robots with refined movements and flexibility.
X Robots, a Chinese firm, specializes in creating lifelike humanoid robots for various purposes, including research and service.
Sanctuary AI's Phoenix robot is capable of physical tasks such as sorting objects and making a turkey sandwich.
Unitri's G1 model robot features advanced mobility and can perform tasks like back flips and basic soldering.
Astrobot, unveiled by Astrobot Inc., can perform dexterous tasks autonomously using neural networks.
Tesla's Optimus bot has shown progress in performing basic tasks with the help of neural networks.
Mbot is an AI-driven robot designed for personal guidance, tutoring, and career advice.
Menty's robot focuses on domestic applications, showcasing the potential for household chore assistance.
EMO robot is an AI companion that responds to language, navigates surroundings, and develops a personality.
Robotic lawn mowers are becoming popular for their ability to navigate and protect the yard.
Restaurant robots are now common, serving food and showcasing the rapid adoption of service robots.
Advancements in AI, computer vision, and battery technology are driving the development of modern robots.
The cost of components for humanoid robots has significantly decreased, making them more feasible.
DARPA's robotics challenge in 2013 laid the groundwork for the progress seen in today's robots.
Market predictions for humanoid robotics vary widely, with estimates ranging from $38 billion to $4.8 trillion by 2035.
Growth in humanoid robotics is expected in sectors like personal assistance, entertainment, education, and healthcare.
Companies like BMW, Mercedes, and Amazon are considering deploying humanoid robots in warehouses and manufacturing.
The future of robotics may include domestic home robots that are capable of various tasks, moving beyond science fiction.
Neural networks have revolutionized robotics, and understanding their function is crucial for future development.
Transcripts
this video is brought to you by
brilliant the year is 2034 you're
catching up with an old friend and he
tells you that it's just got one of
those new humanoid robots he's always
been a bit of a weird guy so you don't
think much of it and quickly forget the
next week you're walking through Walmart
and suddenly there it is standing at a
stall in the electronic section it's
smaller than you thought it would be but
$40,000 sure with inflation these days
it looks expensive but you do think to
yourself well a cheeseburger is $50
these days I remember back in the days
when it was just $5 he stopped
daydreaming and noticed the smaller
print on the price tag awesome there's a
4-year lease option for $320 a month ah
what the heck I'm sure I could make that
you think to yourself he signed the
lease bring the little guy home and boot
him up and with a Chim he greets you in
the friendliest of ways you thought a
little robot in your house would be
creepy but seeing it in person well it's
actually kind of cool at this point you
realize that the Future Has
Arrived but this is digit a robot it's
maker say is ready to do what human
warehouse workers do meet Apollo your
new robot coworker he's designed to work
alongside humans in a factory and help
alleviate taxing and physical labor
these missions possible NASA is
developing Advanced robotic capabilities
to survey deep space and planetary
surfaces and to map the way for future
human exploration in case you haven't
noticed in recent years the field of
Robotics is having a bit of a moment
even just a few years ago the majority
of humanoid robots were clunky and
awkward today robotics companies are
popping up left and right with products
that have refined movements and much
greater flexibility in their abilities
so we have to ask what's changed between
then and now and are humanoid robots
another tech fed and a cash grab or will
humanoid robots beon place 10 years in
the future so let's answer those
questions and also Dive Right In and
take a look at some of the best robots
available
today you are watching cold fusion
[Music]
TV one joh of robots if you want to call
it that tends to go down the realism
route as interesting as it is I think
the more realistic a robot is the more
it's going to freak people out but
regardless the Chinese firm X robots is
giving it a good go
X robots went viral after their
appearance at the 2023 world robot
conference founded in the early 2010s
the company specializes in humanoid
lifelike robots for research development
manufacture sales and service this is an
example of one of their more advanced
robots working in a restaurant and as
you can see the movement still needs
some work work but it's functional
possesses amazing computer vision plus
the realism is better than anything else
I've ever seen actually I'm just kidding
that's actually a human pretending to be
a
robot but if you did think that was real
for a second after seeing X robots then
maybe the lines between human and
humanoid are starting to blur even at
this extremely primitive stage in the
Technology's development but in summary
these robots are not particularly
practical but they do look cool these
can be classed just as entertainment
robots but this this next one is way
more than
that in 2023 the Canadian robotics
company Sanctuary AI launched Phoenix a
general purpose robot the emphasis for
the robot is doing physical work just
like a person would at the moment it's
smart enough to distinguish different
groups of Cups and dextrous enough to
sort them by type it can slowly put
balls into a
jar and also put colored balls into a
Ziploc
bag it can even make a turkey sandwich
and also sort simple Automotive Parts in
May of 2024 they announced a
collaboration with Microsoft and this
was for the development of AI models for
the general purpose humanoid
robots the unitri G1 unitri another
Chinese company has the G1 model as
their Flagship robot it features
Advanced Mobility stability and AI
capabilities its aim is to be used in
the home and it starts at
$116,000 as you can see it's pretty
flexible and weighs only 35 kilos making
it one of the lightest robots out there
it can do back flips and set the record
for the fastest humanoid robot all right
so who cares you might be thinking what
does this thing actually do well it can
apparently use
hammers open
bottles do basic
soldering extremely basic cooking or at
least cos play as
[Music]
such who knows if it's going to be as
good as advertised but it's very
interesting
nonetheless astrobot surprised the
industry when it was unveiled in May of
2024 if the demos are in fact as it
seems this could be one of the most
impressive robots out there it can
perform rapid dextrous tasks like cup
stacking cleaning up a simple but messy
table
peeling
vegetables using a
hammer watering a plant with a spray
bottle pouring
[Music]
wine opening a lided
bottle and
more interestingly Stardust the makers
of astrobot specifically state that in
these demos it's not being operated by a
human the robot's intelligence is from
neural networks there's a the funny
twist here though the makers of astrobot
claim that it's Tesla who's faking their
demos they say that Tesla is secretly
using a human to operate their robots
during demos and the human is just out
of the camera's view speaking of the
Tesla Optimus bot let's take a look at
what's been going on with it since its
announcement in 2021 we've seen some
clips of the Tesla bot carrying out
various tasks and just this month a new
video was released it was the robot in
the factory doing some basic tasks such
as sorting batteries Tesla and engineer
Milan kovak states that they've used
neural networks to train the robot to do
useful things only using vision from its
cameras he states that the robot is
still very slow but more successful at
completing tasks and can now walk
without falling over if all of this is
true that's some pretty Swift progress
but the jury is still out on if the
previous demo was
faked next we have
mbot it's an AI driven robot that
provides personal guidance tutoring and
career advice earlier this year mbot
offers interactive the parent company
unveiled their prototype robot it's hum
sized and is being dubbed as the quote
personalized AI robot you can mentor end
quote judging by the demos it seems a
little less baked than some of the other
entries in this episode demos of menty
showcase a different approach to most
humanoid robots out there they focus on
presumably domestic cases the robot
weighs 70 kilos and can balance itself
while carrying objects pretty well a
prototype will be unveiled in 2025 the
company behind mot funnily enough called
ment robotics says this is just the
starting point for general purpose
bipedal robots in the future they're
working towards a robot that has the
brain to do all sorts of household
chores and learn from us so it can do
things it wasn't specifically trained to
do next we move into the world of
Cheaper consumer robots first we have
the emo robot the way I'd sum it up is
it's like a '90s electronic toy for
adults of course it runs on neural
networks but also has neural Hardware
and it can respond to a wide array of
language navigate its surroundings
recognize your voice understand commands
and it develops a little bit of an
attitude and personality for many having
a camera and microphone in your personal
space would cause some paes but some
people just find it too cute and besides
and some would argue that smartphones
have the same drawbacks anyway emo is
truly an incredible advancement in AI
companion robots he has a neural network
processor that allows him to recognize
faces objects and voices in real time
when I pet his head he makes happy
little sounds watch when I shake
him what about a robot that can mow your
lawn one neat feature some of these have
is a skid plate on the bottom this helps
protect the mower as well as anything it
might happen to run over for example if
there's a bunch of sticks in the yard it
can just run over them and not Chop them
all to pieces like a conventional mower
I I can see why people want to cut their
own Lawns as a form of relaxation but
I'd rather do other things with my free
time and let the lawn cut
itself if you've gone to a restaurant
recently you've probably seen these
restaurant robots they assist in dishing
out orders and they're kind of a
commonplace thing nowadays I just think
the rapid rate of adoption of these was
pretty fascinating I remember them
popping up a few years ago and it was a
bit of a spectacle but now as these
little guys trundle around carrying food
no one bets an eyelid
anymore and this next one is probably
the craziest consumer robot of all it's
an irresponsible flame-throwing robot
and it's available for anyone to just
buy not sure how this is legal but it's
out
there Disney is also getting involved
they've got some new robotics entries
and they're using their typical
expertise in animation and putting it to
good use for the robot's
motion you've probably all heard of and
seen Sophia this robot is pretty old but
seems to have stolen the headlines over
the years technically doesn't do much so
I'm not really sure why that is it's a
bit of a nothing Burger in my opinion
but this video wouldn't be complete
without mentioning it there's also been
developments in robot Builders the
quality of the construction remains to
be seen but it's still an interesting
development
nonetheless this may seem like an
ordinary house in a normal looking
neighborhood but it's not because it was
built by a great big
robot automating those repetitive and
timec consuming tasks like brick laying
using robot
several firms have now figured out how
to do this with their own unique Tech
but this bit of Kit from Australia is
truly something else it built the walls
of a three-bedroom home in under 4 days
and real people have bought it with real
money and are about to move
[Music]
in okay so I've taken a look at the
latest robots out there but why is this
all coming at once well as you might
have guessed it's to do with AI improved
computer vision has made it possible for
robots to navigate ever more complex
environments travel across uneven
surfaces and even manipulate objects
with the old ways of hard coding these
were actions that were next to
impossible to do in a general way if
something in the environment changed the
robot would just become confused this
still does happen but far less often
today modern robots can dynamically
adjust for example if a misstep occurs
the robot can steady itself well at
least most of the time and next are the
break throughs in Battery Technology a
lot of people think batteries haven't
moved an inch but that's not exactly
true thanks to the engineering
advancements due to electric vehicle
demand and the adoption rate over the
past decade batteries have gotten just
power dense enough to become feasible in
robotic applications but still Robot
Operating times are measured in hours so
there's still a long way to go before we
have all day robots and finally we have
the cost of components coming down in
2022 a basic humanoid robot would cost
around $50,000 to build last year the
number dropped to $30,000 but of course
there's higher end models that can cost
upwards of $150,000 to commission but in
all of this we still don't really know
how reliable these machines will be when
they're put into a work environment or a
home will there be another wave of
disappointment as they don't do nearly
as much as promised only time will
tell a few of you may remember the
infamous DARPA robotics challenge back
in 2013 the pentagon's defense Advanced
research projects agency wanted to see
the best robots the world had to offer
over 30 teams from countries such as
Germany Japan the US and Hong Kong
traveled to Florida to give their best
the goal was to create robots that could
perform tasks routinely done by humans
that is using power tools opening doors
driving golf carts that kind of thing
but what ended up happening was pretty
much viral videos of robots falling over
in spectacular fashion I remember when I
was doing my engineering degree at
University
we did a similar but much simpler
challenge with a goal was to build a
contraption that could transfer a bag of
rice between two uneven platforms within
a set of rules and even that was hard so
I couldn't imagine how taxing this must
have been out of the Dara challenge came
the seeds of the success we see today
players like Boston Dynamics the CTO of
figure Ai and the co-founder of agility
robotics were all participants in the
challenge Jerry Pratt whose team came
second in the Dara challenge is now the
CTO of figure a i and he states that if
they were to run the same course today
what took 50 minutes would now take 12.5
minutes so of course comparing now and
then is like night and day but how much
further will we go experts disagree
according to Global newswire the
humanoid robotics Market will go from
$1.6 billion in 2022 to a staggering 214
billion by 2032 Global X ETFs estimates
4.8 trillion by 2035 Goldman Sachs is a
lot less bullish but still predict a $
38 billion Market by 2035 I'd say 38
billion sounds way more grounded in
reality than 4.8 trillion but hey nobody
can tell how it's really going to go in
these early stages according to Wed the
main sources of growth will come from
demand in sectors such as personal
assistance entertainment education and
Healthcare I'd add warehouse work and
Manufacturing to the list as we've seen
companies such as BMW Mercedes and
Amazon take a serious look at deploying
humanoid robots now the future
predictions on robotics vary wildly but
we can say for sure that they will find
their place in society to what degree
remains to be seen Trends such as
advancements in computer reasoning
computer vision and off-the-shelf
humanoid robot software systems by
companies such as envidia and open AI
would only increase the likelihood of
adoption a think invidious trick of
training robots in a virtual space and
in a way broadcasting that knowledge to
all the other robots in their system is
a clever and efficient way to go further
to this we have wage inflation and aging
populations worldwide love it or
probably hate it when Advanced enough
corporations will skimp out on paying
workers and will be looking towards
robots as the newest form of cheap labor
Figure 1 Apollo and digit are all
companies that are eyeing Warehouse
applications with BMW Mercedes and
Amazon respectively but maybe just maybe
everyone is jumping the gun here and
when these robots are launched into the
workforce and don't perform nearly as
well as advertised and it turns out that
true humanoid experience is more like 50
years away it could just mean that all
this messing around is just for us to
realize that humanoid robots aren't the
best for most industrial
applications but there is a slight
possibility that in 10 years domestic
home robots are no longer the stuff of
Science Fiction maybe robots would
entertain us mow our Lawns and build our
houses at that point seeing a robot in
your local department store like at the
beginning of this episode wouldn't seem
so weird after all who knows what the
future will bring but what do you guys
think it's fascinating to think about
how fast things are
moving we've seen that neural networks
have really supercharged the world of
Robotics but have you ever wondered how
they really work well fortunately
there's a fun and easy way to learn
about it with brilliant.org brilliant is
where you can learn by doing with
thousands of interactive lessons in
maths data analytics programming and of
course AI the course on neural networks
is especially relevant for today's topic
each lesson on brilliant allows you to
play with Concepts a method proven to be
six times more effective than than just
watching lecture videos all the content
on brilliant is crafted by teachers
researchers and professionals from MIT
Caltech Duke Microsoft Google and more
learn at your own pace to brush up on a
project for work or just for your own
self-improvement you can try everything
that brilliant has to offer for free for
a full 30 days visit brilliant.org
coldfusion or click on the link in the
description to get started you'll also
get 20% off an annual premium
subscription thanks okay now back to the
episode so that is where we are today
and that's the latest in the field of
Robotics so I hope you like that if you
did feel free to subscribe to Cold
Fusion there's plenty of other
interesting stuff on here on science
technology and business all right so my
name is toogo and you've been watching
cold fusion and I'll catch you again
soon for the next episode cheers guys
have a good
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[Applause]
one cold fusion it's new thinking
n
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[Applause]
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