Why Kamala Harris is Suddenly "Beating" Trump.
Summary
TLDRThe video script discusses the current political climate, suggesting that fear is a fleeting emotion and not a reliable campaign strategy. It contrasts fear-based campaigning with one focused on hope and change, highlighting the importance of lasting emotions in winning elections. The speaker advises that candidates should pivot from fear to messages of pride and hope for the future, to resonate with voters and potentially avoid negative outcomes like recessions or wars.
Takeaways
- 😨 The speaker believes the country is in a dangerous position economically and in terms of safety, with both domestic and international threats.
- 🌍 The speaker suggests that the current leadership is not respected worldwide and is ill-equipped to handle the challenges posed by powerful foreign countries.
- 📉 There is a fear of a potential economic depression similar to the one in 1929, which could take decades to recover from.
- 💣 The speaker feels that the country is close to a World War, and the current leadership lacks the ability to manage such a crisis.
- 🏠 The campaign focuses on fighting for a future with affordable housing, healthcare, and childcare, and building a broad-based economy.
- 📊 Kamala Harris has reportedly pulled ahead of Donald Trump in polls, suggesting a shift in public support.
- 💰 The speaker discusses the importance of polls for fundraising and media attention, rather than as accurate predictors of election outcomes.
- 🔍 The video suggests that the Supreme Court and Trump's own campaign messaging may be contributing to his loss of lead in the polls.
- 🚑 The script mentions an emergency landing of Donald Trump's plane and 'mystery fire trucks and ambulances' outside the White House.
- 🧐 The speaker argues that psychological factors, specifically fear and hope, play a significant role in political campaigns and voter behavior.
- 🛡️ The speaker concludes that campaigns built on hope are more successful than those based on fear, as hope is a more enduring emotion.
Q & A
What is the main argument presented in the video script regarding the current state of the country?
-The script argues that the country is in a dangerous position from both an economic and safety standpoint, with concerns about internal and external threats, and criticizes the leadership for not knowing how to handle these situations effectively.
What historical economic event is mentioned as a potential comparison for the current situation?
-The script mentions the Great Depression of 1929 as a historical economic event that could potentially be compared to the current situation if a depression of similar severity were to occur.
What is the significance of the polls mentioned in the script?
-The polls are significant because they indicate the current public opinion and are used to raise funds and gain media attention for the candidates. They are also used as a gauge for the leading candidate's momentum.
How does the script suggest the Supreme Court has affected Donald Trump's popularity?
-The script suggests that the Supreme Court, which Donald Trump helped shape, has contributed to his loss of popularity by immunizing most of his official presidential acts, thereby reducing the fear among the public that they could be targeted for their political beliefs.
What are the four main political fears mentioned in the script that voters care about?
-The four main political fears mentioned are health, political threats (like censorship or arrest), security (including border and war issues), and economic concerns.
Why does the script suggest that fear is not a sustainable strategy for a political campaign?
-The script suggests that fear is a fleeting emotion that does not last, making it difficult to sustain voter support over time. It is more effective for short-term reactions rather than long-term political support.
What is the difference between fear and hope as political strategies according to the script?
-Fear is described as a short-term, intense emotion that is not sustainable, while hope is a long-term, reliable indicator for future success that is more enduring and can lead to lasting support.
What advice does the script offer to Donald Trump regarding his messaging strategy?
-The script advises Donald Trump to shift from a campaign of fear to one of hope and pride, focusing on improving the future for Americans rather than emphasizing potential threats and crises.
How does the script describe the potential impact of an escalated war, recession, or border crisis on the election?
-The script suggests that such events would amplify fear and could potentially sway the election in favor of the candidate running on a platform of fear, as they would bring immediate concerns to the forefront of voters' minds.
What is the script's view on the importance of hope in the context of Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's campaign?
-The script views hope as a key component of their campaign, suggesting that by focusing on a hopeful future and addressing issues like affordable housing, healthcare, and child care, they are playing to their strength and appealing to voters' desires for positive change.
Outlines
🚨 National Crisis and Political Fears 🚨
The speaker discusses the current state of the nation, highlighting economic and safety concerns, both domestically with street gangs and internationally with powerful countries. They express a lack of confidence in the leadership's ability to handle these threats and mention the potential for a new Great Depression and a World War. The script transitions into a political campaign narrative, emphasizing affordable housing, healthcare, and child care as key issues. It also touches on the importance of a strong economy and the candidate's ability to raise funds and gain media attention through polls, suggesting that these are more about perception management than actual policy discussions.
🛡️ Analyzing Political Fears and Strategies 🛡️
This paragraph delves into the psychological aspects of political campaigns, focusing on four main fears that influence voters: health, political threats, security, and the economy. The speaker uses the example of California's Governor Gavin Newsom's successful recall campaign, which leveraged the fear of COVID-19 to mobilize voters. The paragraph contrasts this with the current situation, where the Supreme Court's decisions have reduced the fear of political persecution, and where constant warnings of war and border crises have become normalized, diminishing their impact as campaign tools.
🌐 The Diminishing Effect of Fear-Based Campaigning 🌐
The speaker continues to explore the ineffectiveness of fear-based campaigning when the catalysts for fear are not escalating or are distant from the election date. They argue that hope is a more enduring emotion and is better for long-term political success. The paragraph criticizes Donald Trump's campaign strategy, which focuses on fear of economic depression and war, and suggests that without tangible evidence of these fears materializing, his campaign may suffer in the polls. The speaker contrasts this with Kamala Harris's campaign, which is framed as one of hope and change.
🏛️ Shifting Campaign Messaging from Fear to Hope 🏛️
In this paragraph, the speaker advises political candidates, particularly those running against Donald Trump, to focus on a message of hope and to avoid relying on fear that is not currently escalating. They suggest that candidates should emphasize their plans for the future, such as improving education, lowering taxes, and enhancing healthcare, rather than dwelling on potential crises. The speaker also recommends that Donald Trump shift his messaging to reflect pride and hope in his potential second term, rather than focusing on fear of the opposition's policies.
📢 Final Thoughts on Political Messaging and Strategy 📢
The final paragraph wraps up the discussion by reiterating the importance of a hopeful and forward-looking campaign message. The speaker suggests that candidates should avoid relying on short-term crises to drive their campaigns and instead focus on long-term goals and aspirations. They also touch on the importance of not just making promises but also demonstrating a track record of accomplishment. The paragraph concludes with a disclaimer about the speaker's qualifications and a reminder that the content is not personalized financial advice.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Economic Standpoint
💡Safety Standpoint
💡Depression of the 1929 Variety
💡World War
💡Affordable Housing
💡Affordable Health Care
💡Paid Leave
💡Fear and Hope
💡Polls
💡Supreme Court
Highlights
The country is currently in its most dangerous position from both an economic and safety standpoint, with internal and external threats.
Concerns about potential depression similar to the 1929 Great Depression and the possibility of a World War are raised.
The leadership is criticized for not being respected worldwide and for not knowing how to handle international relations.
Campaign focuses on a fight for the future with affordable housing, health care, and child care as key issues.
Kamala Harris has officially pulled ahead of Donald Trump in polls, indicating a shift in public opinion.
The importance of polls in fundraising and media attention for political campaigns is discussed.
The Supreme Court's decisions are suggested to be contributing to Donald Trump's loss of support.
Fear as a political tool is contrasted with hope and change as a campaign strategy.
Four main political fears are identified: health, political threats, security, and the economy.
Fear as a fleeting emotion is not conducive to long-term political support.
The strategy of using fear in campaigns is critiqued for its lack of sustainability.
The importance of hope in motivating voters and its contrast with fear is emphasized.
Donald Trump's campaign is suggested to pivot from fear to hope to improve his standing in polls.
Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's campaign is framed as one of hope and change.
The potential impact of a recession, war, or border crisis on the election is discussed.
Advice for political candidates on how to frame their messaging for maximum impact is given.
The video concludes with a discussion on the power of hope over fear in political campaigns.
Transcripts
I think that our country is right now in
the most dangerous
position it's ever been in from an
economic standpoint from a safety
standpoint uh both gangs on the street
and frankly gangs outside of our country
in the form of other countries that are
frankly very powerful they're very
powerful countries and we don't know
what we're doing we have leadership that
has no clue how to handle them or how to
handle any other
situation we have a uh
we have a lot of bad things coming up
you could end up in a depression of the
1929 variety which would be a
devastating thing took many years took
decades to recover from it uh and we're
very close to that we're very close to a
World War in my opinion we're very close
to a World War we have people that don't
know how to handle it uh they're not
respected all over the world they're
left at and we can't have that this
campaign is a fight for the future
affordable housing Affordable Health
Care affordable child care paid
Le
we fight for a future where we build a
broad-based economy where every American
has the opportunity to own a home to
start a business and to build wealth
this is absolutely crazy apparently
we've got mystery fire trucks and
ambulances outside of the White House
today Donald Trump's 33 three-year-old
757 Boeing had an emergency landing
after apparently mechanical and
hydraulic issues and gamla Harris has
officially pulled ahead of Donald Trump
in well pretty much everything that we
can look at we have predicted with a 57
to 46 lead for KLA Harris yes there it
doesn't add up to 100 because the suits
are taking some of your money because of
spreads ignore that part KLA Harris has
clearly moved up after Biden dropped out
but then continued to creep up a lead
over Donald Trump and a lot of people
are saying Kevin why is this happening
now other people are saying Hey Kevin
look at Poly Market it's a lot closer
but just today K Harris pulled ahead of
Donald Trump by a percentage Point as
well
49-58 and when we look at the actual PLL
markets we could see Harris with a .5
spread for the average of all polls over
the last 3 weeks now you might be asking
yourself but Kevin polls don't predict
elections why do we care about these
polls you care about the polls because
of money the leading candidate or both
candidates in a tight race get more
money it's simple it's how to raise
funds it's how to get media attention
now they're ahead now they're ahead now
they're ahead and that's how you raise
money it's politics it's a game it's not
about actually predicting the election
it's about raising money before the
election that's why all the pollsters
get pay to run polls because it helps uh
for the candidates to raise money even
if you're slightly losing or if you're
losing a lot like Joe Biden is then you
just sort of get the boot but a lot of
people have been asking me Kevin why why
is Donald Trump beginning to lose well
what if I told you the Supreme Court
that Donald Trump helped install is
contributing to his
loss what if I told you what Donald
Trump is campaigning on was contributing
to his loss of the lead what if I told
you this had nothing to do with whether
or not walls has stolen value Valor or
he's more of a man of the people than JD
Vance is or vice versa what if I told
you it really has nothing to do with
that what if I also told you it has
nothing to do with policy which this
video is not going to be about policy if
you want that a link down below a video
on Trump's policy and a video up all of
his policies and a video on KLA Harris's
policies which a little harder to get to
because they're none on her website and
they don't really talk much about them
but if you want policies separate video
I'll link them down below this video is
about what's actually changing and
you're going to get the answer in this
video and you might not believe how
crazy blatantly obvious this is because
a lot of us use logic we look at things
logically and say but Kevin the polls
must be rigged the election must be
rigged we haven't had debate performance
yet beginner's luck she just got started
she's got a clean slate uh you know
people are voting on policy blah blah
blah blah blah people have all these
opinions as to why one candidate is
pulling better than the other I think
most of that has some form of truth but
the real truth comes down to what
is
psychology let's get started with
psychology first there are four main
political fears that any United States
voter cares about one Health two
political threats like censorship arrest
a rig justice system uh then you have
three security border War Israel Ukraine
Russia and then four economic those are
the four main sources of fears that
people have let's now break down each of
these fear categories and understand who
excels in these fear categories First
Things First Health is Health today like
a national pandemic as pressing of an
issue as it was in the 2020 cycle no
obviously not but I want to show you how
health can be used as a weapon of fear
but first a little bit of background on
fear there's fear and there's hope
they're very very very different fear is
kind of like a campfire that you throw
gas on and all of a sudden it goes whoa
It's Like Somebody points a gun at your
face whoa massive fear fight or flight I
got to get out of here this sucks I'm
about to die or get hurt or lose lots of
money this sucks that is extremely
taxing and stressful on your body but
that feeling is very fleeting it burns
off quickly once things settle down
cooler heads prevail fear is not a very
lasting emotion which actually makes
fear very difficult to run a campaign on
because people won't continue to vote
for that fear unless they continue to
feel that fear so I'm going to give you
a successful example of weaponizing fear
Gavin Nome during the 2021 recall where
he's basically up to get fired I ran
against him for governor I came in
second of recall candidates and Newsome
declared that Trump Republicans are
going to kill you and your family if you
vote for them people like Larry Elder
was the Nome argument and so Democrats
came out and droves because they didn't
want to die now you might ask yourself
what he's just saying that like what
added fuel to that fire well in the fall
of 2021 the Delta variant of covid which
was more deadly and more virent than the
first version of Co that we
got sent a lot of people to the ballot
boxes this happened to be enhanced by
the fact that Democrats in California
rather than hold the election on a
normal November cycle in 2021 decided to
Short Fuse the competition against Gavin
Nome and hit Peak fear during the Delta
variant and hold the election in
September clutch move for the Democrats
probably rigged really a topic for a
different video anyway long and short
Gavin knew ended up winning because he
perfectly managed to align fear with the
election they had control over The
Narrative of fear they had control of
the election date and they won using
that but Donald Trump doesn't have that
sort of benefit right now one that he
really did have was the second one
political threats political threats
helped Propel Donald Trump to mass
popularity this potential that our
justice system is rigged that you could
be targeted for your political beliefs
that the justice system would be
weaponized against our political
opponents created massive fear in
Americans and it actually sent Trump
straight up in the polls because people
had massive fear that they too could be
censored arrested investigated or
charged because of their political views
well guess what the Supreme Court did to
that fire
ironically the Supreme Court that Trump
helped shape removed that fear by
immunizing most official presidential
acts most of Donald Trump's cases have
either been delayed or sent back to
lower courts for
reconsiderations so so far on the for of
a fear scale people ain't voting on
health right now not in a pandemic and
the Supreme Court kind of just killed
the police political threats one now I'm
not saying there's not there aren't
still Embers that that's not these
things aren't important that's not what
I'm saying I want to be clear I'm just
saying they're not the Raging fires they
were when Donald Trump was showing up in
courton getting a booking photo taken of
himself so then we're left with two
we're left with security and the economy
so let's understand the border and the
wars for a moment pretty much every day
we hear Donald Trump talk about the
potential of World War III yeah yes it's
true that no war has started under
Donald Trump and that wars were started
under the Republican George Bush under
Democrat Obama and under Democrat B
Biden so basically the three
administrations before Donald Trump this
is a great strength for Hope for Donald
Trump hey under me you get no new
Wars but Trump doesn't weaponize that
instead he weaponizes fear we're closer
to World War III than we've ever been
we're Dangerously close see the problem
though with this is every single day
Donald Trump tries to add fuel to the
fire it's not really growing the fire
anymore like we've already SE like we've
already heard Donald Trump warn of World
War III and people are kind of used to
the fact that yeah eastern Ukraine major
problems with Russia okay we got it pro
killings in Gaza it's absolutely
horrible it's atrocious so are the
killings in Israel we don't need to get
into that right now people dying suck
sucks the potential of Iran to invade or
attack Israel big problem but every day
these wars don't escalate even further
the status quo does not ignite fear in
American voters in the everyday American
unfortunately is not thinking about
Israel or Gaza or Ukraine on a daily
basis and so that's not enough fear to
get you to walk to The Ballot Box and
vote now I'm not saying some people
listening here aren't going to vote for
Trump anyway or they're not going to
vote for KLA Harris anyway that doesn't
matter that's beyond the point the point
is the the margin is what we're talking
about here like in other words if 48% of
people are going to vote one way and 48%
of people are going to vote another way
what we really are talking about is
what's going to Mo motivate the middle
4% to vote kind of crazy
right okay so it's probably not unless
we have an escalation of the conflict
going to be war and it's probably not
going to be the border now don't get me
wrong more people than ever today
believe that the border is in a
crisis more people than ever before
believe that gallop polls runs these
polls on a regular basis and it's clear
people think the border is a
disaster but how often does the Border
ruin your daily life well probably for
over 90% of us and probably 90% of those
swing state voters or even more very
little so in other words these are
somewhat of empty fears you really need
a fear that affects everyone so then we
talk about the economy okay we fear
recession yes we believe we're
dangerously close to a recession a
recession would be marked by a surge of
layoffs a substantial wealth Crush uh
people's 401ks is going down in value
substantially the despair of joblessness
but frankly every day that goes by
without a recession people become less
fearful and so we accept the data is
noisy and we go about our daily lives
and frankly when Trump makes the
argument we're heading for
depression that's fearful but that fear
doesn't last it's just rhetoric and so
that's where when you listen to Donald
Trump what you'll find every time he
opens up with a speech his speeches are
always about well thank you very much
appreciate your being here uh just a
statement before I talk about debates I
think that our country is right now in
the most dangerous
position it's ever been in from an
economic standpoint from a safety
standpoint uh both gangs on the street
and frankly gangs outside of our country
in the form of other countries that are
frankly very powerful they're very
powerful countries and we don't know
what we're doing we have leadership that
has no clue how to handle them or how to
handle any other
situation we have a
uh we have a lot of bad things coming up
you could end up in a depression of the
1929 variety which would be a
devastating thing took many years took
decades to recover from it uh and we're
very close to that we're very close to a
World War in my opinion we're very close
to a World War we have people that don't
know how to handle it uh they're not
respected all over the world they're
left at and we can't have that and so
what you can see is Donald Trump is
running a campaign of fear and Harrison
Waltz are running a campaign of Hope and
change you can believe in
now remember change and belief are hopes
and hope is Lasting Hope is nearly the
opposite of fear except it's much more
of a Dependable indicator for future
success in entrepreneurship in business
and studying in relationships hope is
what makes the world move fear is much
less lasting fear works in the very
short
term hope is considered a marathon fear
is considered a Sprint so the longer
that Donald Trump pedal fears without
evidence of those fears escalating
getting worse the lower he'll likely
continue to rank in polls see if
election day were held the day after
Donald Trump were shot at or his ear was
shot he would have won Peak fear over
security if the election were held the
day after the debate against Joe Biden
Donald Trump would have won Peak fear
over Biden's ability to handle any of
those four things if the election were
held Monday Donald Trump would have won
Peak fear in markets and the stock
market the bond market gold market Japan
but the election wasn't held the day
after those events instead the strategy
going forward for both Harris and walls
and Donald Trump in my opinion as unpaid
advice should be the following Harrison
walls should probably continue playing
their strength this campaign is a fight
for the
future it's a fight for the future
and Pennsylvania we fight for a future
with affordable housing Affordable
Health Care affordable child care paid
Le
we fight for a future where we build a
broad-based economy where every American
has the opportunity to own a home to
start a business and to build wealth
we fight for a future where we bring
down prices that are still too
high and lower the cost of living for
America's
families so that they have a chance not
just to get by but to get
ahead we fight for a future where we
defend our most fundamental
freedoms the freedom to
vote the freedom to be safe from gun
violence the freedom to love who you
love openly and with pride
and the freedom of a woman to make
decisions about her own body not having
her government tell her what to do now
obviously politicians can say whatever
the heck they want what they actually
accomplish are very different things but
the point is how are you leaving these
events are you leaving with short-term
fear or are you leaving with long-term
hope because if you're leaving with
short short-term fear that candidate
loses unless that fear lasts if you are
leaving with long-term hope that
candidate wins absent some short-term
fear happy relatable hope laughing all
those things are playing into their
strength they must also pray that we
avoid an escalated war with Iran a
recession or a larger border crisis
Trump sadly must hope for a recession a
larger border crisis or a war because it
would amplify fear it would remove
people from the status quo thinking and
bring fear back into this
election see instead of Donald Trump
using fear when fear isn't escalating
because fear is a fleeting emotion he
should change some of the things he says
I'll give you an example instead of
saying we're going into a depression the
likes of which no one has
seen I would say I'm going to help you
and your kids be the most well equipped
Americans to fight in this global
economy we're going to improve schools
introduce future schools to teach trades
in schools we're going to lower your
taxes and better your health care we've
done it before we'll do it again we'll
also increase tax credits for children
we've done it before we'll do it again
see that's a lot stronger this sends a
message that Donald Trump is here to
better the
future this is a lot better than kamla
Harris will send our country into the
greatest depression the likes of which
no one has seen
before it falls
flat instead of we're closer to World
War III than ever before or I'm going to
stop the wars Biden caused in 24 hours
which seems farfetched but even if it's
possible it's not hopeful I mean there
is hope to ending War but people want to
talk about the future Donald Trump
should could potentially say something
like if there's one thing I want you to
remember about my first presidency is
that no wars were started globally under
my presidency Bush Obama Biden none of
them both sides of the aisle can't say
that and I vow to you to protect you and
your family and prevent the escalation
of new war anywhere in the world while
also ending existing War that's much
more powerful much more powerful in my
opinion instead
of the gangs are on the
streets how about we will fully fund our
police forces to protect our children
their Futures in their schools and at
home to protect you and your family to
protect our American dream and our
American
neighborhoods all while protecting your
rights see now what you're doing is
you're revising Donald Trump's messaging
from one of fear which is not lasting to
one of Pride and hope again fear works
if the catalysts are close to the
election the covid pandemic Delta
variant close to the new some election
if not and Donald Trump doesn't make a
shift here the party of change or at
least that's what people are branding it
now the party of change the Harris walls
ticket which is deemed to be different
from any other prior president may win I
I understand Harris is part of the Biden
Administration but the way Outsiders
generally look at this is they say okay
new candidacy versus somebody who has
been president before anyway look it's
early policies from kamla Harris are
unclear we still have debates to hit
obviously we're going to be covering
those so I recommend you subscribe if
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folks we'll see you in the next one
thanks so much have a great day bye can
notot advertise these things that you
told us here I feel like nobody else
knows about this we'll we'll try a
little advertising and see go
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin PA there financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser licensed real estate
broker and becoming a stock broker this
video is not personalized advice for you
it is not tax legal or otherwise
personalized advice tailored to you this
video provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any
thirdparty content I show shall not be
deemed endorsed by me this video is not
and shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purposes
of evaluating a security or investment
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are either paid affiliations or products
or Services we may benefit from I also
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Securities potentially including those
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