DON'T Buy Crypto Now! [WATCH THIS FIRST]

Ran's Show - Crypto Alpha, News & Fundamentals
7 Aug 202427:42

Summary

TLDRThe video discusses the Bank of Japan's decision not to raise interest rates further, which has led to a surge in cryptocurrency markets, with Bitcoin reaching over $57,000. The host explores whether this is a sign of a bullish market or a bear trap, highlighting the differing opinions within the community. They also delve into the potential of altcoins, particularly Soul (SOL), which has broken its all-time high against Ethereum and may indicate an upcoming altcoin season. The video also touches on the importance of capital preservation during market corrections and the use of platforms like Bitfunded for risk management.

Takeaways

  • 🏦 The Bank of Japan decided not to increase interest rates if it causes market volatility, which was seen as a form of capitulation by the market.
  • 📈 The market reacted positively to the Bank of Japan's decision, with altcoins and Bitcoin's price surging, indicating a temporary relief rally.
  • 🤔 There are mixed opinions on whether the dip has bottomed out or if there will be further declines, with some speculating on another 'leg down' in the market.
  • 📊 A chart showing Bitcoin's price relative to the VIX (Volatility Index) suggests that Bitcoin might be trending upwards, hinting at a potential bullish sentiment.
  • 💡 The speaker suggests that the current market situation could be akin to taking a painkiller, providing temporary relief without addressing the underlying issues.
  • 📉 The speaker warns that if the bears are correct, Bitcoin could potentially drop to levels associated with key support areas, such as the average buy price of ETFs or the cost basis of mining companies.
  • 📈 Despite the overall market optimism, the speaker emphasizes the importance of being prepared for potential corrections and understanding them as opportunities for assets to move to 'correct hands'.
  • 🧐 The speaker highlights the role of ETF holders as 'diamond hands' during the recent market downturn, as they did not sell but instead bought more Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • 🤷‍♂️ There is skepticism about the use of Wormhole for bridging assets between networks, with the speaker recommending dBridge as a superior alternative.
  • 🚀 The speaker expresses strong bullish sentiment on Soul (SOUL), suggesting it as a key token to hold in the current market cycle and highlighting its technical analysis patterns.
  • 🔄 Mention of significant volume in perpetuals and the flow of funds from Ethereum to Solana, indicating active trading and shifting interests among investors.

Q & A

  • What was the main outcome of the Bank of Japan's meeting as discussed in the script?

    -The Bank of Japan agreed not to increase interest rates further if it causes market volatility, which led to a positive market reaction and a boost in cryptocurrency values.

  • How did the market react to the Bank of Japan's announcement?

    -The market reacted positively, with altcoins turning green and Bitcoin's price rising above 57,000, indicating a sense of relief and optimism among investors.

  • What are the two contrasting views on the market situation after the Bank of Japan's announcement?

    -One view is that the dip was a buying opportunity, and the other is that there might be another significant downturn, with some not trusting the Bank of Japan's action as a long-term solution.

  • What is the significance of the VIX spike mentioned in the script?

    -The VIX spike indicates high market volatility. It triggers automatic trades on algorithmic and robotic trading platforms, which can significantly influence market behavior.

  • What does the script suggest about the relationship between Bitcoin and the VIX index?

    -The script suggests that the ratio of Bitcoin's price to the VIX index is in trend, implying that Bitcoin's value may increase as fear in the stock market rises.

  • What is the 'pinky swear' analogy used to describe the Bank of Japan's commitment?

    -The 'pinky swear' is an analogy used to describe the Bank of Japan's informal promise not to raise interest rates if it would destabilize the markets, similar to a personal promise made between friends.

  • What is the potential concern with the Bank of Japan's decision, as expressed in the script?

    -The concern is that the decision might be a temporary solution, akin to taking a painkiller without addressing the underlying problem, which could lead to future market instability.

  • What are the key price levels for Bitcoin mentioned in the script, and what do they represent?

    -The key price levels mentioned are 65,000 (average buy price of ETFs), 55,000 (average of all Binance traders), 45,000 (average cost base for mining companies), and 22,000 (cost base for old OG Bitcoiners). These levels represent critical support points where different market participants may take action.

  • What is the role of a correction in the market according to the script?

    -A correction is seen as an opportunity for the market to reallocate assets from the wrong hands to the correct hands, essentially moving investments to those who are more likely to hold onto them during market fluctuations.

  • What is the significance of Soul (SOL) in the current market context as discussed in the script?

    -SOL is highlighted as a key indicator for the altcoin market, with its price action and technical analysis suggesting that it could be leading the altcoin season, rather than Ethereum (ETH).

Outlines

00:00

📉 Bank of Japan's Decision Impacts Crypto Markets

The script discusses the Bank of Japan's decision not to increase interest rates further if it leads to market volatility, which has been received positively by the markets, resulting in a rally for cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's price surges to over $57,000, and altcoins also see green. There's a debate between two camps: one claiming that buying the dip was the best move, and the other skeptical of the bank's action, fearing a larger downturn. The video aims to analyze the bank's impact and determine if the market's optimism is justified or just a temporary relief akin to taking a painkiller without addressing the underlying issue.

05:04

📈 Market Reaction to Bank of Japan's 'Pinky Promise'

This paragraph delves into the specifics of the Bank of Japan's emergency meeting and their commitment to maintaining the current degree of easing, effectively swearing not to raise interest rates if it would destabilize markets. This assurance led to a significant market upswing, with the Japanese stock market futures rising by 6% and Bitcoin's value increasing to over $57,200. The narrative explores whether this is a sign of a full bull market return or a temporary reprieve. It also mentions a tweet suggesting an 'old season' in the market, hinting at potential altcoin runs, and the importance of understanding market movements for strategic investment.

10:05

🤔 Analyzing the Market's Optimism and Key Bitcoin Price Levels

The speaker contemplates the market's natural optimism and its tendency to expect upward movement, which is a fundamental aspect of human nature and market behavior. Corrections are framed as opportunities for assets to move from the wrong to the right hands. The paragraph highlights key Bitcoin price levels that indicate the market's health, such as the ETF buy price at $65,000, the Binance traders' average at $55,000, and the mining companies' cost base around $45,000. The importance of these levels is emphasized in the context of potential bear market scenarios.

15:06

💡 The Role of Corrections in Market Dynamics

This section examines the concept of market corrections, describing them as necessary mechanisms for assets to be redistributed from weak to strong hands. It emphasizes that corrections are not inherently negative but are part of the market's natural cycle to ensure that investments are in the right places. The speaker shares insights on how ETF holders demonstrated 'diamond hands' during the recent downturn, not selling but instead buying more Bitcoin and Ethereum, suggesting a strategic accumulation during market dips.

20:07

🚀 Soul (SOUL) as the New Altcoin Season Proxy

The script shifts focus to the altcoin market, highlighting Soul (SOUL) as a significant indicator for the altcoin season. It discusses SOUL's price discovery relative to Ethereum (ETH), its breakout above the SOUL/ETH all-time high, and the bullish technical analysis signals like the 'cup and handle' pattern. The paragraph suggests that SOUL could be the leading token in the current market cycle, with potential for significant growth and a key indicator for altcoin territory.

25:09

🌉 The Importance of Choosing the Right Bridge in DeFi

The final paragraph touches on the topic of bridging assets between different networks in the context of DeFi. It points out the recent trend of assets being bridged from Ethereum to Solana via Wormhole but questions its efficiency compared to other options like dBridge. The speaker advocates for dBridge as a superior choice for speed and cost, emphasizing its partnership with Crypto.com. The paragraph concludes with an interactive call-to-action for viewers to share their Soul addresses, hinting at a potential giveaway or community engagement.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Interest Rates

Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the return on investment for lenders. In the video, the Bank of Japan's decision not to increase interest rates further to avoid market volatility is a key event that impacts market sentiment and investor behavior. The script mentions how this decision has led to a positive reaction in the market, with altcoins and Bitcoin prices rallying.

💡Market Volatility

Market volatility refers to the rapid and significant fluctuations in the value of financial assets, such as stocks, currencies, or cryptocurrencies. The script discusses how the Bank of Japan's stance on interest rates is in response to market volatility, aiming to stabilize the financial markets and investor confidence.

💡Altcoins

Altcoins are alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin. They represent a diverse range of digital currencies beyond the most well-known one. The video script mentions altcoins turning 'green,' indicating that they are experiencing gains or positive price movements in the market following the Bank of Japan's announcement.

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is the first and most widely recognized cryptocurrency. In the script, Bitcoin's price is highlighted as a significant indicator of market sentiment, with its value rising to over 57,000, which is used to gauge the overall health and direction of the cryptocurrency market.

💡Market Capitulation

Market capitulation occurs when investors, after a period of decline, give up and sell their holdings, often at a loss, due to despair or fear of further declines. The script refers to a potential capitulation by the Bank of Japan, suggesting that their decision could be seen as a surrender to market pressures, which paradoxically leads to a positive market reaction.

💡Painkiller

In the context of the video, a 'painkiller' metaphorically refers to a temporary solution that alleviates symptoms but does not address the underlying problem. The script uses this term to describe the Bank of Japan's decision, suggesting that it may provide short-term relief but not a long-term cure for market instability.

💡Alt Season

Alt season is a term used by cryptocurrency enthusiasts to describe a period when altcoins outperform Bitcoin in terms of price gains. The script suggests that there may be an upcoming alt season, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics where altcoins could experience significant growth.

💡ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)

ETFs are investment funds that are traded on stock exchanges, similar to individual stocks. In the context of the script, ETFs are mentioned as having an average buy price for Bitcoin and as entities that continued to buy during the market dip, suggesting their long-term bullish stance on cryptocurrencies.

💡Mining Companies

Mining companies are businesses involved in the process of cryptocurrency mining, where they use computational power to validate transactions and add them to the blockchain. The script discusses the impact of Bitcoin's price on these companies, noting that a drop below $45,000 could lead to operational losses for miners.

💡Risk-On

Risk-on is a term used to describe a market environment where investors are willing to take on more risk, often investing in higher-yielding assets. The script mentions 'risk-on' to describe the market sentiment following the Bank of Japan's announcement, indicating a shift towards more aggressive investment strategies.

💡Bear Trap

A bear trap is a false signal indicating that a market is going to decline further, which can lure investors into selling their assets, only for the market to then rise. The script warns of a potential bear trap, suggesting that the current market recovery may be deceptive and followed by a more significant downturn.

Highlights

Bank of Japan decides not to increase interest rates to avoid market volatility, causing a positive market reaction.

Market participants are divided into two camps: one claiming the dip was a good buying opportunity, the other fearing a further market downturn.

Bitcoin surpasses $57,000, with altcoins showing green, indicating a market celebration of the Bank of Japan's announcement.

Discussion on whether the market has truly recovered or if the current situation is merely a temporary relief akin to taking a painkiller without solving the underlying issue.

Tweet suggesting an 'old season' in the market, despite recent significant token downturns on a weekly scale.

Analysis of a chart indicating a potential altcoin run cycle in the market.

Mention of a community initiative related to Formula 1, hinting at a significant upcoming announcement.

Bank of Japan's Deputy Governor's pledge to refrain from destabilizing markets by not raising interest rates further.

Markets showing signs of calm with Japanese stock futures up 6% and NASDAQ futures up 1.34%.

Bitcoin's price recovery compared to other tokens, suggesting potential for rapid Bitcoin price increase if the bullish trend continues.

Concerns about whether the Bank of Japan's actions are a long-term solution or a temporary measure, likening it to taking a painkiller.

Analysis of key Bitcoin price levels to watch if the bearish scenario unfolds, including the impact on mining companies and long-term holders.

Discussion on the natural optimism of humans and its influence on market trends, suggesting that corrections are opportunities for assets to move to the right hands.

Highlight of Soul (SOUL) token's performance, breaking its all-time high against Ethereum and showing strong bullish signals.

Jupiter and Drift Protocol's significant perpetuals volume, indicating strong activity in the meme coin and altcoin markets.

Recommendation to use dBridge over Wormhole for cross-network transactions due to its efficiency and cost-effectiveness.

Transcripts

play00:00

the bank of Japan had their meeting and

play00:02

effectively what they agreed to do was

play00:04

to not increase interest rates any

play00:06

further if it causes Market volatility

play00:09

and so what the market said is well

play00:11

that's amazing and it's almost like the

play00:13

bank of Japan capitulated and now the

play00:15

markets are loving that announcement so

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we got the altcoins absolutely green we

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have Bitcoin over 57,000 in fact at

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57,000 200 um and markets effectively

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celebate now there's two sides to the

play00:29

campia one Camp says that if you bought

play00:31

the dip yesterday you were the best

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buyer in the world and the other Camp

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says that if you bought the dip

play00:37

yesterday there's going to be another

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big leg down and they don't trust the

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bank of Japan action so what we're going

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to do today is we're going to look at at

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what happened with the bank of Japan and

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decide whether this uh this whole thing

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is over or whether we've just taken a

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painkiller but not actually solved the

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problem then I mean I read a tweet this

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morning and at first I thought like this

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is the craziest tweet I've ever seen in

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my life life uh this is the tweet I want

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you to have a look at it so this is the

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Tweet over here and it says uh it's all

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season is here I'm like how can you say

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that old season is here I mean

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especially when okay the bubbles look

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like this today but if you look at them

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on the weekly I mean you got the biggest

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tokens down in last week 30% 35% but

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actually there is one chart that

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convinced me that we may actually be

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heading to the part of the Cycles where

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altcoins run and I want to show you the

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chart and show you which altcoins may

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actually be running um yeah so that's

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what we're going to be doing today um

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again we've got a massive show here

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today I'm wearing another white shirt

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which was Washed by the Magnificent uh

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laundry Powter um let's get the show on

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the road guys

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I see under under AA says I love your

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white sweater best washing powder ever

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guys we should have a referral link for

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washing powder uh we should do like a

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referral link for for this laundry

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detergent for the laundry detergent we

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we should have a a thing anyway guys uh

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big day today we're going to talk about

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a lot we got a lot to talk about the

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first thing we need to discuss today is

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is this whole Carnage over and are we

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back in full bull season cuz if yes you

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want to be buying the dip but if no then

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if you did buy the dip there may be

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another leg down and we may actually

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keep dipping so that's what we're going

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to be talking about today also I'm going

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to show you one altcoin that you

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shouldn't give up on one altcoin that

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you should give up on one altcoin ecos

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system that nobody's looking at that you

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should be looking at um and one chart

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that tells me that it may even be

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allseason so listen yesterday you guys

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did a [ __ ] fantastic job you took the

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likes to over 2,000 likes while we were

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live on the show as a result of that the

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yesterday show got over 75,000 views we

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know this because we actually keep all

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the data in the spread right we keep all

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the likes we even keep how many people

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are in the waiting room before the show

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starts and we'll never start unless it's

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a th people in the waiting room um and

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we know that every time that you guys

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smash the like button and every every

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time you guys smash the like button it

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helps us get the show out there so do me

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a favor let's start now smash the like

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button let's get let's get a lot of

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people to watch the show and to join the

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Bantam I I have something that I want to

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share with you guys but I'm not allowed

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to share it yet but it's probably the

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biggest thing that B has ever done and

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when we do do this it'll be because of

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the community and it is the biggest

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thing that we've ever done I'm so

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excited to talk about it but I'm not

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allowed to because I've signed ndas and

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until I signed the ndas all I can say it

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has something to do with Formula 1 and

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that that's all I'm saying I should I

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shouldn't have even said that I

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shouldn't have said that for God's sake

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why did I say that anyway I know you've

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all subscribed I know you're all

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smashing the like button let's talk

play03:46

about what happened today on the markets

play03:49

a lot of people are calling it a

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capitulation from the Japanese Bank uh

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because the bank of Japan's Deputy

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Governor pledged pledged pledged pledged

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to refrain from further Ray tax if

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they're going to uh uh destabilize

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markets which is what he said so

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effectively what they said is we're not

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going to raise interest rates any

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further and that gave people a lot of

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confidence because if interest rates

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aren't going to be raised any further

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then there is a chance that this whole

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um this whole problem is has now gone

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away I tweeted a few days ago and I said

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you know all the fed or the treasury

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need to do is indicate that they are

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going to intervene and this whole

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scenario is finished and in this case

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the fed and the and the the fed and the

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treasury but of Japan basically said

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look we're not going to make matters

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worse we're not going to increase rates

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any further and so the markets are

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pretty much now at a sense of calm and

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as you can see the Japanese stock market

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or the Futures up 6% on the day uh which

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is amazing that obviously spread to the

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NASDAQ the NASDAQ up 1.34% these are the

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NASDAQ futures the NASDAQ is opening in

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5 4 3 3 2 1 okay the nasdaq's Now open

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up 1.32% on the Futures uh Bitcoin over

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57,200 and the old coins another sea of

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green now I think we just need to

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quickly quickly quickly understand that

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the Nick has gone up quite a bit I mean

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the Nick the Nicki has already recovered

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66% of its crash but Bitcoin hasn't

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recovered so there could be if the Bulls

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are right here we could get the Bitcoin

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price actually recovering very very very

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very fast let's quick can just

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understand what happened this morning at

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the because in order to understand

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whether it's bull or bare season we have

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to understand what actually happened

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okay so what actually happened the

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remember yesterday when when we did the

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show I said that the the bank of Japan

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was in a in a in a emergency meeting

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they had the emergency meeting they came

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out of the emergency meeting they said

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look we won't raise rates when markets

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is unstable so is the the they won't

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raise rates when markets is unstable not

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are unstable must maintain current

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degree of easing for time being Market

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moves are extremely volatile so

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basically they said look for as long as

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the market remains volatile they have no

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intention of crashing markets and so

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they basically promised they did like a

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pinky promise you know like when you

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were kids and you like pinky swear you

play06:21

won't raise interest rates anymore and

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then like everyone say pinky swear I'm

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not going to raise interest rates

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anymore and then like we both pinky

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swear that so there's not going to be an

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interest rate ra right so now what the

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bank of Japan has done is they they've

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done a pinky swear that they're not

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going to raise interest rates anymore if

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if they believe that it's going to

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affect markets and so with that in mind

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okay the markets are basically said okay

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if you're willing to pinky swear did you

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guys in your country do you do do you do

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pinky swear in Romania like when you

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pinky swear you do okay let me know in

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the chat if you do pinky swear okay if

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you do like uh like if if you do pinky

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some one says am I racist I think we

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should block this David newow from the

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thing cuz he's white just we should

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block him we don't like unless you as

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white as the [ __ ] um okay um we don't we

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don't do work on the show bro you should

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know we don't do work on the show you

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want work you should go to crypto Wendy

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by the way did you see crypto Wendy you

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want to talk about like work if you want

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I think if you are work you should go to

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crypto Wendy because K Harris says she's

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building a movement for support the it's

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called crypto for Harris crypto is

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building a movement of support for

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carela Harris a group of Industry

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leaders policy experts and everyday

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crypto enthusiasts organizing to back

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Harris while pushing for a Nuance policy

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stance and now she's saying look

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apparently they they building a movement

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for crypto support I'm your target

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audience and so are my audience it's

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woman for women this is not about wom

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for women this is about [ __ ] the

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future of crypto you don't just because

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I'm a woman you're a woman okay we must

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now like hang out you got to look about

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at the future of the industry anyway

play08:00

if you work she's very good you should

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go you should go to her her her streams

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rant over so uh Japanese people agreed

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to do a pinky swear not to raise

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interest rates anymore and the market

play08:12

liked it the Yen fell against the dollar

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look at this beautiful sharp fall

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against the dollar so the Yen now fell

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against the dollar uh you've got the

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Japanese market up 6% which is that's

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quite a that's quite a respectable 6% um

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and people are basically saying what

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they did was the bank of Japan actually

play08:32

surrendered some people are saying the

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Bulls are saying okay that's it it's

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risk on right now and this is kapor is

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part of our research team he's infront

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Runners um a hard worker smart guy he

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said he says basically now it's risk on

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the markets are basically saying look

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the bank of Japan has has has has put a

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risk on uh back on the market Danto says

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likely that yesterday was the low for

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everything why third largest spike in

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the vix over the last 35 years

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unwarranted remember when the vix goes

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up the vix is a volatility index a lot

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of the uh algo trading platforms the

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robotic trading platforms on Wall Street

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basically trigger automatic trades

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because that's just how they are so the

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vix is uh why are people laughing in the

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chat why why are people

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laughing okay sorry let's go on so to uh

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to extreme um says given um much better

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macro fundamentals backdrop today than

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08 the market could see a retest blah

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blah blah he says worst over Arthur he

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says worst over he says just so I'm

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clear bu the [ __ ] dip cuz the bank of

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Japan caved I will follow up Spirited

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Away next week with a essay he's going

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to write an essay again um uh uh lots of

play09:50

people are are starting to buy again an

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OG who accumulated 10,000 Bitcoin sold

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all his coins at 68,000 started buying

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back yesterday at 50,000 a soul investor

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and S an early Soul investor that bought

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so mostly at $1 started buying back

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yesterday at $115 a lot of people are

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saying the worst is over uh this chart

play10:10

of here very interesting chart

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incredibly interesting

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chart it is the chart of the Bitcoin

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over the vix and it touched this line

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and this effectively means that it's in

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Trend the Bitcoin divided by the vix is

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in Trend Bitcoin divided by fear in the

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stock market is in Trend and it feels

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like Bitcoin is actually going to go up

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up again based on this chart um and

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Richard Tang who's the new CEO of

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binance at least while CZ is in in in in

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jail which comes out by the way in

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September um uh he says they had their a

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record day yesterday $1.2 billion worth

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of inflows in the last 24 hours that's

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good that's amazing also saw the highest

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trading volumes year to date so a lot of

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people are saying that this is just uh

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that this whole scenario is over but

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then you have another camp and the other

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Camp is the part that worries me and

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that's why I made this this thumbnail

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over here because what it feels like the

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bank of Japan has done

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is okay it's like this imagine it like

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this imagine we go to a party and you've

play11:12

got a headache okay so we go to a party

play11:13

you got a headache and so what you do is

play11:16

you drink and drink and drink and your

play11:17

headache gets even worse so what you do

play11:19

is you take a painkiller and then you

play11:21

carry on drinking right you're not

play11:22

solving the cause of the headache you're

play11:24

just taking a painkiller what the bank

play11:26

of Japan do doesn't solve the problem

play11:29

all it does is it says okay they they

play11:31

done like a pinky s and they like they

play11:33

take a painkiller don't worry like and

play11:35

but the cash and carry trade is still

play11:37

there and has not been Unwound and if

play11:39

ever they break their pinky promise or

play11:42

if ever there's a reason for them to to

play11:43

increase rates again or if ever the

play11:45

market worries again this thing just

play11:46

comes back and that's why some people

play11:48

think that this is just a bear trap Lady

play11:51

of crypto says this is the biggest be

play11:53

trap that she's ever seen uh she's not

play11:55

the only one now the reality is I want

play11:58

to just quickly look at the scenario if

play12:00

the Bears are right here let's just for

play12:02

one second let's just assume that the

play12:05

Bears are right where does Bitcoin go

play12:09

where what's the next price level for

play12:10

Bitcoin so even if the Bears are right

play12:14

where does Bitcoin actually go and to do

play12:17

that someone says pinky s in Japanese

play12:20

yiri Gman let's just quickly see if

play12:23

that's true because let's say you be UB

play12:27

Kiri genman

play12:32

that's a song

play12:35

bro that's a song that's I mean okay

play12:37

wait

play12:39

translation maybe he's

play12:43

right you be cutie Ginman translation

play12:46

passing you by on the street far away

play12:49

bro what what are you talking about we

play12:51

talking about pinkies where you're

play12:52

talking about a song anyway long story

play12:55

short if the Bears are right now I mean

play12:57

we going to make an assumption cuz we're

play12:58

got to look at both sides one side says

play13:00

the worst is over the other side says

play13:01

biggest be trap that they've ever seen

play13:03

generally Bitcoin will honor a whole lot

play13:05

of different price levels and I want to

play13:07

look at those price levels to show you

play13:09

how bad it could get okay if the Bears

play13:12

are actually right because I think

play13:13

that's important in doing a risk return

play13:15

calculation so if the Bears are right we

play13:19

could go to either of these levels okay

play13:23

there are multiple price levels in

play13:25

bitcoin's life cycle that we got to look

play13:26

at the first thing is the ETFs the

play13:28

average Buy Buy price of the ETF is at

play13:30

65,000 we've broken that buy price and

play13:33

in the break of that buy price the ETFs

play13:36

Prov to us that they weren't selling

play13:39

they were buying the next level is the

play13:42

55,000 level if you take the total

play13:45

average of of all binance Traders on

play13:48

binance the total average is

play13:52

55,000 at

play13:53

55,000 that level is we're pretty we're

play13:57

pretty close to 55,000 level that 55,000

play14:00

level the binance guys are at break even

play14:03

and that is a risk because when when a

play14:05

cohort gets to break even that is when

play14:07

they're most likely to sell because they

play14:08

don't want to go into l so 55 is a very

play14:11

key level the mining companies get this

play14:16

the mining companies their average cost

play14:18

base is $45,000 so if we break below or

play14:22

close to

play14:23

$45,000 that becomes a key level cuz the

play14:25

mining companies don't want to lose

play14:27

money either right and quickly verify

play14:29

this um right now the average cost of

play14:33

mining in the UK in the USA is about

play14:35

$43,000 so so it's true we don't want to

play14:39

break anywhere around 43 $45,000 because

play14:42

then the mining company start losing

play14:44

money we don't want the mining companies

play14:45

losing money because then they will

play14:47

start selling their stash and then

play14:49

there's like one other cohort of people

play14:52

it is the the bitcoiners the old OG

play14:55

bitcoiners and their cost base is 22,000

play14:57

so ignore all the squiggly lines on

play15:00

Twitter the voodoo lines on Twitter with

play15:02

the charts that people make look at uh

play15:06

um uh these levels cuz these are the

play15:08

real key levels the mining one is the

play15:10

biggest one we should never go under 45

play15:12

because if we go to 45 the mining

play15:14

companies start losing money and that's

play15:16

bad so if the Bears are right those are

play15:19

the levels that you need to watch out

play15:21

for um those those are the other other

play15:23

the levels that that that that you guys

play15:25

must watch out for if if the Bears are

play15:27

right I think that for now because

play15:30

markets are naturally optimistic now

play15:33

this is very important that you

play15:34

understand this right if you are in a

play15:36

room of 10 people and you ask a room of

play15:38

10 people is the market going to go up

play15:39

or is the market going to go down

play15:41

majority of the people will always say

play15:42

the Market's going to go up why because

play15:45

humans are naturally optimistic that is

play15:47

how humans evolve humans naturally when

play15:49

we are born we are born optimistic

play15:51

people it's actually chemically inate in

play15:54

us in our specifically in our younger

play15:56

years in our younger years we're

play15:57

stupidly optimistic um and then as we

play16:00

get older we become less and less and

play16:02

less optimistic that is how humans are

play16:04

made up right like that is how humans

play16:06

are made up we have much more serotonin

play16:09

specifically in our young years and that

play16:10

usually makes us optimistic people so

play16:14

honestly in markets generally you expect

play16:18

more people to be optimistic than

play16:20

pessimistic and the reason for that is

play16:23

it is the reason why human human human

play16:26

humans evolve it's also the reasons why

play16:28

bull market Market are always usually uh

play16:30

markets are usually moving upwards

play16:33

because humans are naturally optimistic

play16:35

people

play16:36

right however every now and then we have

play16:38

Corrections every now and then we we

play16:40

have a correction we just had a

play16:41

correction you can see that Corrections

play16:43

only happen like 5% Corrections happen

play16:46

in markets three times a year on average

play16:49

10% happens once a year on average 50%

play16:52

on on on traditional markets happens

play16:54

once every second year and 20% pullbacks

play16:56

happen once every 3 or four years

play16:57

naturally because human optimistic this

play17:00

is how things work out but every now and

play17:02

then we have Corrections and what is a

play17:05

correction a correction is an

play17:07

opportunity for the market to correct

play17:10

and by correct we mean take things from

play17:13

the hands that they shouldn't be in and

play17:15

put them in the correct hands next time

play17:19

the market under goes a correction what

play17:21

you got to think to yourself is oh my

play17:23

God this is a correction what is a

play17:25

correction supposed to do a correction

play17:27

takes coins from the wrong hands and

play17:30

correct it by putting it into the

play17:33

correct hands and that's exactly what

play17:35

this correction did this correction took

play17:38

the money from in in the stock market

play17:41

retail sold 1 billion institutions

play17:44

bought 14 billion you get

play17:47

it stocks went from the incorrect latest

play17:51

cabbage spinach hands to the correct

play17:54

hands that's why it was a correction

play17:57

okay

play17:59

in Bitcoin

play18:01

44,4 48 Bitcoin have moved from

play18:03

permanent holder addresses to sorry to

play18:07

permanent holder addresses in the past

play18:09

30 days it's an accumul accumulation

play18:12

period a

play18:13

correction a correction is about coins

play18:17

assets Investments moving from the wrong

play18:19

hands to the correct hands which is why

play18:22

it's called a

play18:24

correction what we're realizing now is

play18:26

that the ETF holders are the correct

play18:28

answer because they are diamond hands

play18:30

because when the market went down they

play18:32

did not the market went down 14% over

play18:35

the weekend and they did not sell a

play18:38

single coin in fact they bought not only

play18:40

did they buy Bitcoin but they actually

play18:42

landed up buying ethereum too which was

play18:44

huge it looks like the ETFs are now

play18:46

moving into the second phase where

play18:48

15,000 wealth advisers are going to be

play18:50

selling Bitcoin ETFs cuz they're now

play18:52

allowed to okay they're now allowed to

play18:54

some Simon book says Corrections are

play18:56

gorgeous opportunities they are if you

play18:59

are the correct hands cuz if you're

play19:02

taking something of value and someone is

play19:04

willing to sell it to you when the price

play19:06

is going down and it lands up in your

play19:07

hands you then know the item is in the

play19:09

correct hands and that's that that's

play19:11

what you got to think about every time a

play19:12

correction happens in the last 48 hours

play19:15

Bitcoin Wells acquired 30,000 Bitcoin

play19:18

that's 1.62 billion um they acquired eth

play19:21

while you guys were Panic selling due to

play19:23

the market cash the seven siblings

play19:25

that's the big entities as bought 129

play19:28

Million worth of eth uh and who was

play19:31

selling well there it is the the

play19:34

incorrect hands the short-term Traders

play19:35

were actually the one selling so

play19:37

effectively Corrections are moving from

play19:41

the the incorrect hands to the correct

play19:44

hands that is what uh what it's about

play19:47

now I want to quickly talk to you about

play19:49

a correction and about preserving your

play19:51

capital in a correction as you guys

play19:54

know I was busy on a uh challenge un

play19:58

bitf funed so I'm ashamed and proud to

play20:02

say that I lost when I say I lost let's

play20:05

quickly just understand how bitf funded

play20:07

works it's what you call a prop trading

play20:09

firm it's a firm where you trade with

play20:12

other people's money now I'm not telling

play20:13

you this to show you the platform just

play20:15

listen carefully why why I think this is

play20:17

so

play20:17

important effectively hard works is you

play20:20

pay either $49.99 249 399 or $599 and

play20:24

you trade with a demo account until you

play20:27

can prove you're a good Trader and you

play20:29

prove you're a good Trader by getting 8%

play20:31

in round one 5% in Challenge number two

play20:34

and then you're trading with other

play20:36

people's money with their money but you

play20:38

keep 90% of the

play20:40

profits I had passed challenge one I got

play20:43

the 8% I was halfway through challenge 2

play20:47

I had bought myself a $99 account and I

play20:51

was halfway through challenge two and E

play20:53

and I was long e and e turned and I got

play20:56

destroyed okay in the correction I got

play20:59

destroyed

play21:01

now I thought about this long and hard

play21:04

now listen to this if I would have been

play21:06

trading a leverage account and I would

play21:08

have had $10,000 in a leverage account I

play21:11

would have destroyed the entire

play21:13

$10,000 on bitf funded all I lost was

play21:16

$99 and today I'm going to be buying

play21:19

another challenge and start again until

play21:23

eventually I get it right and I'm going

play21:24

to trade with other people's

play21:25

money that's why this is such an

play21:28

important product because if you were

play21:30

trading with your money you would have

play21:31

lost your whole account when the market

play21:33

CAU us off guard unless you were

play21:35

short but me I was long and instead of

play21:40

losing my entire portfolio I lost $99

play21:42

and I live to fight another day which is

play21:44

exactly what I'm going to do until

play21:45

eventually I end up trading with other

play21:46

people's money with bit funded money if

play21:48

you want to do the same there is a link

play21:50

below bitf funded.com this is where you

play21:52

learn where you trade with other

play21:54

people's money if you're a good Trader

play21:56

this kept me safe cuz if I was Trading

play21:58

My Own account I would have destroyed my

play22:00

entire account simple I I need you guys

play22:02

to know that before we move on to the

play22:03

altcoin section I know that if I wasn't

play22:06

trading on bitf funded I would have put

play22:08

$110,000 into an account my entire

play22:11

account would have been liquidated it's

play22:12

not I lost 199 I only lost $99 and if

play22:15

the market would have gone up I would

play22:16

have made 90% of the profits biggest

play22:19

[ __ ] no-brainer in the world trade

play22:20

with other people's money bitf fund.com

play22:22

guys I wasn't supposed to sh it but I

play22:24

just wanted to show you how important

play22:26

that was let's talk about alt coins cuz

play22:29

that's why you guys are

play22:30

here look at this it's [ __ ] beautiful

play22:34

it's green look at it wow we except if

play22:36

you go to the weekly and then you

play22:38

realize there's still a long way to go

play22:39

to just get to where we were last week

play22:41

um a is still 30% down Breet is still

play22:44

30% down run is still 30% down all these

play22:46

coins are still 30% down so we've had a

play22:48

good day but if the Bears are right then

play22:52

you know we got a lot we got a long a

play22:53

long way to actually go here but there

play22:55

is one chart that I do want to show you

play22:57

it's this chart over here and I'm so

play23:00

proud of this chart because number one

play23:02

you know I'm the biggest Soul bull in

play23:04

the whole world number two I cired and I

play23:06

showed you guys when I thought there was

play23:07

Peak fat on Soul the other day and I

play23:09

told you we were going to break through

play23:10

the soul eth alltime high and now we

play23:13

have broken through the soul eth alltime

play23:15

high and it looks like soul is now in

play23:17

price Discovery relative to eth and soul

play23:19

is at $152 and soul can't do anything

play23:22

wrong it's also printed a cup and handle

play23:23

and you know the cup and handle is one

play23:24

of the most bullish uh technical

play23:26

analysis positions out there so Soul

play23:28

seems like it's playing out as per

play23:31

thesis and to be honest if there was one

play23:33

token only one token to hold in the

play23:35

cycle I would say you have to hold Soul

play23:38

this is the one this is the chosen one

play23:41

this cycle this is the chosen one this

play23:42

cycle uh yesterday Jupiter and drift

play23:45

protocol casually printing $1.5 billion

play23:49

in perpetuals uh volume yesterday

play23:52

obviously a lot of it meme coins

play23:53

obviously a lot of it is is around the

play23:54

meme coin cycle but it's great to know

play23:57

that Souls happening and honestly I

play23:59

don't think you have enough soul in your

play24:01

in your portfolio a lot of people are

play24:03

playing scenarios now what if the soul e

play24:05

chart just got to 0.1 okay like right

play24:08

now and that means that the that the the

play24:10

ratio of Sal to e would be 0.1 you would

play24:12

be talking about a s of 3 or

play24:15

$400 um sorry um uh yeah three 3 or $400

play24:20

but people was talking about the ratio

play24:21

going to.

play24:24

1.15.2 there could be a massive run

play24:26

coming up in Soul and if it is I think

play24:29

that that's the chart that now

play24:30

represents alt season in the Old Market

play24:32

it used to be e but in this market I

play24:34

think soul is the proxy for alts not eth

play24:37

and so all eyes must be on the soul

play24:39

chart if you want to see uh altcoin

play24:42

territory the Bitcoin dominance chart

play24:45

even though it's looking very strong

play24:46

look here look look at the BTC

play24:50

btcd quickly get the BTC do

play24:54

do so yes Bitcoin dominance is heading

play24:58

to alltime Highs but what this chart

play25:01

over here is showing us is that usually

play25:05

when we get to this level is when it

play25:07

starts to turn and even Ben Khan says

play25:09

like he thinks that in September and

play25:10

we're in September next month uh that we

play25:13

might actually start turning here we

play25:14

might actually start turning here um

play25:17

also in the last 24 hours $22 million

play25:21

has been bridged from ethereum to salana

play25:24

Via Wormhole so you see that there is

play25:26

money flowing from ethereum to salana

play25:28

Via via Wormhole but I do want to say

play25:30

one thing about this right I don't know

play25:33

why anybody would use Wormhole got to be

play25:35

honest not when there

play25:37

are things like dbridge so like for me

play25:41

dbridge is like the best bridge if you

play25:43

want to bridge money from any network to

play25:47

any network then dbridge is actually a

play25:50

better place to work now just to prove

play25:52

it what I'm going to do is I'm going to

play25:54

do the following I'm going to say I'm

play25:56

going to go to my Twitter I'm going to

play25:58

say here if

play26:01

you if you are

play26:06

watching my show

play26:10

live you

play26:12

are a

play26:14

legend

play26:18

please and

play26:21

you will be

play26:24

Filthy

play26:27

Rich this

play26:30

cycle please drop your

play26:37

soul s address here okay drop your Sal

play26:42

address if you're watching the show um

play26:45

and and and I'll show you how just why

play26:46

you should be using dbridge not fun not

play26:50

uh uh Wormhole Wormhole is for worms

play26:53

dbridge is for aute investors okay so

play26:55

you should be using what are weing used

play26:58

to bridge money why do we use B bridge

play27:00

to bridge to bridge money because way

play27:02

better than it's the fastest to bridge

play27:04

from any network to any network and it's

play27:06

the cheapest to bridge from any network

play27:08

to any network and they are partners of

play27:10

Crypt band that's why we do that

play27:17

anyway okay are we back are we are we

play27:19

back in live okay amazing amazing are we

play27:21

back are we are we back in live okay

play27:24

amazing amazing amazing we're back in

play27:25

live where did you guys pick where did

play27:27

we guys lose us where did you guys

play27:28

losers almost a million e they've got $2

play27:30

billion worth of eth so they are

play27:34

actually uh selling eth look we are live

play27:36

you see selling E look we are live you

play27:38

see everyone says we're live

play27:40

Frozen again

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