DEBUNKED: How Lucky Hero Gear Chests REALLY WORK

Summary

In this video, Ston debunks a popular myth surrounding the chances of getting mythic gear from lucky chests in a game. He explains the concept of the PT (Pity) system, which guarantees a mythic gear drop after opening 99 chests without one. By showcasing real examples and explaining the math behind the odds, Ston clarifies that while the base drop rate is 1%, the PT system ensures a mythic piece will eventually drop. He emphasizes that no amount of superstition or strategy can change this, and reassures viewers that understanding the system will prevent confusion and frustration.

Takeaways

• 😀 The myth of getting mythic gear from the lucky chest is often misunderstood due to misinterpretation of probabilities.
• 😀 The base chance to get a mythic piece of gear is 1%, but there is a hidden PT (pity) system that guarantees a piece after a certain number of attempts.
• 😀 The PT system resets every time you get a mythic piece of gear, ensuring that after a specified number of attempts, you will get one.
• 😀 To test the PT system, you need to open chests one by one until you get a mythic piece, which resets the counter.
• 😀 If you open 99 chests without getting a mythic piece, the 100th chest will always contain one, due to the PT system.
• 😀 This system was tested multiple times by the creator and others, proving its consistency and reliability.
• 😀 The average real percentage chance of getting a mythic piece, considering the PT system, is around 1.58%.
• 😀 While you may feel like opening more or fewer chests might change your odds, it doesn’t. The system is based on probabilities and guarantees after a certain number of attempts.
• 😀 The PT system in games like this is simple to code and has been in use for years to prevent players from being stuck with bad luck indefinitely.
• 😀 The process of testing the PT system is slow but effective. It requires opening chests one by one, which can be time-consuming, but it’s proven to work.
• 😀 While the 1% chance is rerolled with each chest, the PT system ensures that after a set number of attempts, you will not be unlucky forever.

Q & A

What is the 'PT system' mentioned in the video?

The PT system, or 'Pity System,' is a mechanic in the game that ensures players will eventually receive a mythic piece of gear if they haven’t received one after opening a certain number of chests. It guarantees a drop after 99 unsuccessful attempts, preventing players from getting unlucky for too long.

How does the '1% chance' of receiving a mythic gear piece work?

The '1% chance' refers to the base probability of obtaining mythic gear from opening a chest. This means, on average, for every 100 chests opened, you would expect to receive one mythic gear piece. However, this is influenced by the PT system, which adjusts the odds based on the number of attempts.

What happens when you open 99 chests without getting mythic gear?

According to the PT system, after 99 unsuccessful attempts, the next chest you open will guarantee a mythic gear drop. This system is designed to prevent prolonged unlucky streaks, ensuring players don’t go too long without receiving the desired reward.

Can you manipulate the chances of receiving mythic gear by opening more chests in a certain order?

No, the chances of receiving mythic gear are fixed and do not change based on the order in which you open chests. While it may seem like opening a certain number of chests in a specific order can affect your odds, the PT system ensures the outcome is based on the total number of chests opened, not the sequence.

What is the real chance of getting a mythic gear piece when considering the PT system?

The effective chance of getting a mythic gear piece, when accounting for the PT system, is approximately 1.58%. This percentage is derived from the base 1% chance combined with the guarantee that after 99 failed attempts, a mythic piece will be obtained.

Why is it important to understand how the PT system works?

Understanding the PT system is important because it helps players realize that there’s no need to follow superstitions or myths about 'lucky' methods of opening chests. The system is designed to ensure fairness, so opening more chests or following certain patterns does not alter the overall outcome.

What did the speaker's test reveal about the PT system?

The speaker’s test confirmed that the PT system works as intended. They opened 99 chests without receiving mythic gear, and the 100th chest guaranteed a drop. This was tested twice in a row, proving that the system ensures fairness and guarantees a reward after a set number of attempts.

How does the probability of failure decrease as more chests are opened?

As more chests are opened, the probability of failing to get a mythic gear piece decreases, but not as quickly as expected. For example, opening 10 chests reduces the chance of failure by about 10%, and opening 50 chests reduces it by about 41%. However, the chance never reaches 0% until the 100th chest, where the reward is guaranteed due to the PT system.

Can the PT system be bypassed or manipulated by opening chests in bulk (e.g., 30 by 30 or 80 by 80)?

No, there’s no way to bypass or manipulate the PT system by opening chests in bulk. While some players may believe opening large batches of chests increases their chances, the system is purely probability-based, and opening chests in different quantities doesn’t affect the outcome.

How does the speaker suggest players can verify the PT system themselves?

The speaker suggests that players can manually test the PT system by opening chests one by one until they receive a mythic piece of gear. By opening 99 chests without getting a mythic drop, players can confirm that the 100th chest will guarantee the reward, verifying the mechanics behind the PT system.