NVIDIA Stock Price Analysis | Top $NVDA Levels To Watch for September 8th, 2025

Summary

In Monday's Nvidia report, Carrie Artekch highlights recent market weakness after Nvidia failed to sustain a long-term buy signal, with the stock settling below key support at 168.79. Short-term downside targets include 165.39 and 15,871, while a close above 168.79 could trigger a 3–5 day swing trade toward the upper 170s–low 180s. Longer-term, a breakout above 181.89 may unlock gains toward 219 over the next few months. Carrie emphasizes monitoring both Nvidia and the Nasdaq 100 for broader market alignment and offers insights into day trading, swing trades, and strategic entry and exit points.

Takeaways

• 😀 Nvidia failed to follow through on a long-term buy signal after closing above its 2.5-year channel top, indicating market weakness.
• 😀 The NASDAQ 100 and Triple Q have not closed above their respective channel tops, showing divergence from Nvidia's performance.
• 😀 Last Friday's settlement below the horizontal channel bottom at 168.79 is a significant sign of weakness in Nvidia's stock price.
• 😀 A short-term target for Nvidia is 14906, a former long-term channel top, with downside potential over the next 3 to 5 weeks.
• 😀 Breaking below 165.39 would suggest a further decline to 15871, marking another key support level.
• 😀 Despite the weakness, a settlement above 168.79 could signal a potential upside rally, with short-term targets in the 17428-17962 range.
• 😀 If Nvidia closes above 168.79, there's a possibility of a 3 to 5-day swing trade to the upside, targeting the upper 170s or low 180s.
• 😀 The key resistance zone for Nvidia remains in the 18120-18270 range, and closing above 18189 would trigger a significant long-term buy signal.
• 😀 A 3 to 5 day swing trader should go long if Nvidia closes above 168.79, with expectations of a rebound into the upper 170s or low 180s.
• 😀 The analysis suggests that traders should stay short if Nvidia fails to close above 168.79, with potential downside to 15871 or lower.

Q & A

What happened a month ago with Nvidia's performance, and why is it significant?

A month ago, Nvidia's stock broke above a 2.5-year channel top but failed to maintain that position, closing below it the following week. This failure to follow through on a classic long-term buy signal is considered a sign of weakness in the market.

Why does the failure to close above the 2.5-year channel top represent a sign of weakness?

Failure to close above the 2.5-year channel top suggests that there was no confirmation of strength in the market, leading to uncertainty. It indicates a lack of follow-through after a potential buy signal, signaling possible downside risk.

What is the significance of the 168.79 level in Nvidia's recent performance?

The 168.79 level represents a critical horizontal channel bottom that Nvidia broke below recently. A close below this level is seen as a sign of weakness and suggests further downside, with potential targets like 14906 in the coming weeks.

What does the 165.39 level represent in the current market analysis?

The 165.39 level is a rising support line identified as a key price point. If Nvidia's price drops below this level, it would indicate further weakness and could lead to a target price of 15871.

What potential price targets are suggested if Nvidia's price continues to fall?

If Nvidia's price continues to decline, key price targets are 14906 (a longer-term channel top), and if 165.39 is broken, 15871 could become the next significant downside target.

What is the expected market behavior if Nvidia tests 14906 between now and the end of October?

Testing 14906 could contain selling pressure through the rest of the year, and from there, Nvidia may be able to rally back towards new highs within the following two to three months.

What is the short-term outlook for Nvidia if it closes above 168.79 today?

If Nvidia closes above 168.79 today, a short-term upside is anticipated, with potential to reach 17428 within the same trading day. Over the next 3 to 5 days, the price could push higher to 17962, forming a potential 3-5 day swing trade to the upside.

How does the analysis describe the market structure over the past month?

The market structure over the past month shows a pattern of a rally to a high, followed by a sharp fall, and then another rally that shorted the previous high. The market has not been able to sustain higher levels, indicating potential for further downside in the near term.

What would indicate a significant buy signal in Nvidia's stock moving forward?

A significant buy signal would be triggered if Nvidia closes above the 18189 level, which could suggest a bullish trend for the rest of the year. This would pave the way for a potential move towards the 219 level within the next 2 to 3 months.

What are the key trading strategies mentioned for short-term traders?

For short-term traders, the strategy is to monitor the 168.79 level. If Nvidia closes above this level, traders should go long, targeting the upper 170s to low 180s within 3 to 5 days. If the price stays below, traders should continue shorting, aiming for targets like 15871.