BREAKING: BITCOIN LARGEST MOVE IN OVER 200 DAYS (latest developments)

Crypto Crew University
1 Oct 202418:15

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the presenter discusses potential bullish signs for Bitcoin after 200 days of range-bound movement. Key indicators such as the price closing above the 21 SMA, the RSI breaking a long-term trendline, and a rare stochastic RSI cross suggest a major upward move might be imminent. The video emphasizes the importance of patience and technical analysis, urging viewers to wait for a decisive move beyond the $54K-$74K range. It also promotes a trading indicator bundle, highlighting success stories and urging viewers to take advantage of limited-time discounts.

Takeaways

  • 📊 Bitcoin has been range-bound between $54,000 and $74,000 for the past 200 days, with little movement beyond this range.
  • 📈 Recently, Bitcoin's price action has shown signs of a potential breakout, with the first candle closing above the 21 Simple Moving Average (SMA) in a long time.
  • 📉 The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken above its trendline for the first time in 200 days, signaling a potential bullish trend.
  • 🔄 The Stochastic RSI has had a bullish cross, an event that typically happens only twice per year, indicating momentum for a possible upward move.
  • 💡 The breakout above the 21 SMA and the bullish RSI are significant indicators suggesting Bitcoin might be gearing up for the largest move in the last 200 days.
  • 🔍 Bitcoin needs to break out of the current range and close above $74,000 for the move to be considered truly significant and bullish.
  • 🚨 A failed rally could occur if Bitcoin does not breach the $71,000 swing high, potentially leading to further downside.
  • ⚠️ If the RSI or Stochastic RSI reverses before Bitcoin reaches $71,000, it could indicate a failed rally and possible market weakness.
  • 🧘 Patience is encouraged, as these developments are part of a weekly chart, and the moves may take several weeks to fully unfold.
  • 🔔 There is a limited-time offer for users to sign up for Crypto Crew University's indicator bundle, with significant discounts and potential gains being highlighted.

Q & A

  • What is the significance of Bitcoin closing above the 21 SMA moving average?

    -Closing above the 21 SMA is significant because it indicates a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Historically, in bull markets, Bitcoin tends to hold above the 21 SMA as support, while in bear markets, it holds it as resistance.

  • How does the RSI breaking above a 200-day trend line affect Bitcoin's price action?

    -The RSI breaking above a 200-day trend line is a bullish signal, indicating increased buying momentum. This suggests that Bitcoin may be entering the early stages of a larger upward price move.

  • What does the stochastic RSI cross indicate for Bitcoin?

    -The stochastic RSI cross, which happens roughly twice a year, is a bullish signal indicating upward momentum. These crosses are considered significant for predicting potential price moves.

  • Why is the current price range of Bitcoin between 54,000 and 74,000 important?

    -The price range between 54,000 and 74,000 is important because Bitcoin has been range-bound in this zone for 200 days. A move above or below this range would signify a significant market shift, with a breakout above 74,000 being particularly bullish.

  • What role does market structure play during Bitcoin's range-bound period?

    -Market structure during a range-bound period is crucial for building a healthy price foundation. Extended sideways movement allows Bitcoin to form stronger support levels, making future upward moves more sustainable.

  • Why is it important to wait for Bitcoin to close above 74,000 before considering a breakout?

    -A close above 74,000 is important because it would confirm a breakout from the range-bound period, signaling a potential bullish continuation. Without this confirmation, moves within the range are not considered significant.

  • How does the RSI's behavior at the 74,000 peak relate to Bitcoin's future moves?

    -At 74,000, the RSI reached an overbought level that has only occurred a few times in Bitcoin's history. A repeat of such extreme buying pressure suggests that Bitcoin could be setting up for a large corrective move or a significant breakout.

  • What would happen if Bitcoin breaks below the yellow trend line at 44.5k?

    -If Bitcoin breaks below the yellow trend line at 44.5k, it would indicate a significant bearish breakdown, undoing the market structure built over the past two years. This could lead to a prolonged period of recovery.

  • Why is it important to stay patient during Bitcoin’s range-bound phase?

    -Staying patient during Bitcoin's range-bound phase is important because it allows the market to develop a solid structure. Overreacting to daily movements can lead to poor decision-making, as Bitcoin's larger trends unfold over weeks or months.

  • What are the risks if Bitcoin fails to break above the 71k resistance level?

    -If Bitcoin fails to break above the 71k resistance level and the RSI drops below key support, it could signal a failed rally. This would likely result in Bitcoin retesting or even breaking below its previous swing lows, leading to further downside.

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