【突發】2024年美國緊急大力降息!把錢放在這三個地方,收錢收到手軟?美元資產瘋狂貶值,一切都按劇本走,繼08年後的暴富機會?全球資金開始撤離美國,衰退只是引爆股市的藉口?回顧我降息前的投資成果
Summary
TLDRThe speaker, known as the Sweeping Monk, discusses the panic caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and its impact on the US economy and global markets. He delves into the potential depreciation of the US dollar and the selling of US assets, suggesting that capitalists are seeking to prevent funds from leaving the US. The Monk outlines strategies for investors, emphasizing the importance of exchange rates and advocating for systematic investment. He shares his personal investment shifts, including a move towards Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks and gold, as a hedge against the dollar's depreciation.
Takeaways
- 📉 The fear of the Fed lowering interest rates has sparked panic among investors, potentially affecting their ability to make money.
- 🌐 American capitalists are concerned about the outflow of money from the U.S. due to interest rate cuts, which could lead to a depreciation of the dollar and a fire sale of U.S. assets.
- 💸 The strategy of borrowing cheap money in China to invest in high-interest-rate U.S. assets is under threat due to changing interest rate dynamics.
- 📈 Historically, the Fed has two main approaches to interest rate adjustments: cautious 25bp cuts or more drastic 50bp emergency cuts, signaling different economic scenarios.
- 🚫 Despite reassurances from the Fed, there are doubts about the U.S. economy's health, with some suggesting a recession is imminent or already underway.
- 💵 The U.S. is facing a borrowing crisis as countries that once purchased U.S. bonds are now reluctant to do so, prompting rate cuts to attract investment.
- 🌍 Capitalists are moving their money out of the U.S., betting on depreciation of the dollar and looking for better opportunities in other currencies like the yen and the euro.
- 📚 The speaker emphasizes the importance of systematic investment strategies, especially in times of economic uncertainty.
- 💼 The speaker has shifted focus to Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks, seeing potential in markets that have been underperforming and are now entering a bull market phase.
- 🏦 The depreciation of the U.S. dollar against other currencies means that returns on U.S. investments must outpace this depreciation to avoid losses.
Q & A
Why did the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates cause panic among some investors?
-The panic was due to the potential reversal of wealth-harvesting strategies that capitalists had been using during the period of higher interest rates. A rate cut could signal economic weakness and lead to a depreciation of the dollar, affecting investments.
What is the sweeping monk's view on the impact of U.S. interest rate cuts on global capital flows?
-The sweeping monk believes that interest rate cuts could lead to a mass exodus of capital from the U.S., causing the dollar to depreciate and U.S. assets to be sold at a discount, which could trigger a sell-off by global investors.
Why are some investors borrowing in China to invest in the U.S.?
-Investors are borrowing in China to invest in the U.S. to capitalize on the interest rate differential and potential exchange rate gains due to the U.S. raising interest rates while China cuts them.
What is the sweeping monk's opinion on the Federal Reserve's strategy regarding the U.S. dollar?
-The sweeping monk suggests that the Federal Reserve's rate cuts might not be effective in preventing the dollar's depreciation and that the real solution to the U.S. economic issues might be expanding the balance sheet and printing money.
How does the sweeping monk perceive the current state of the U.S. economy after the emergency interest rate cut?
-Despite the emergency rate cut, the sweeping monk does not believe the U.S. economy has collapsed yet, and he questions the Federal Reserve's claims about the health of the economy and their future intentions with interest rates.
What is the sweeping monk's investment strategy in response to the changing interest rate environment?
-The sweeping monk advocates for a systematic investment approach, focusing on currencies like the yen and euro, and being cautious with U.S. assets due to the dollar's depreciation.
Why is the sweeping monk bearish on long-term U.S. debt despite the current high interest rates?
-The sweeping monk is bearish on long-term U.S. debt because he believes that the interest rate cuts are a temporary measure and do not address the fundamental issue of capital outflow from the U.S., which could lead to further depreciation of the dollar.
What is the sweeping monk's stance on the current investment opportunities in Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks?
-The sweeping monk sees potential in Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks, especially as the U.S. dollar depreciates, and he has recently invested in these markets, achieving positive returns.
Why did the sweeping monk choose to invest in gold instead of U.S. Treasuries?
-Gold has provided a significant return this year, and the sweeping monk sees it as a strong asset in the current market environment. He believes that the upward trend in gold prices indicates a continued bull market.
What advice does the sweeping monk give to investors regarding the U.S. stock market?
-The sweeping monk advises investors to be cautious with U.S. stocks due to the depreciation of the dollar and the potential for a market downturn. He suggests holding cash and focusing on investments with lower risk and higher potential returns.
Outlines
📉 Economic Panic and Interest Rate Cuts
The speaker, referred to as the sweeping monk, discusses the panic caused by the Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates. This panic is due to the potential for economic shifts where those who profited from high-interest environments may now struggle, and those who didn't may continue to struggle if they miss out on the new opportunities presented by lower rates. The sweeping monk highlights the concern of American capitalists regarding the outflow of money from the U.S. due to interest rate cuts, which could lead to a devaluation of the dollar and a fire sale of U.S. assets. He contrasts the situation with China's approach of lowering interest rates while the U.S. raises them, attracting investors to borrow in China and invest in the U.S., a strategy that could backfire if the U.S. cuts rates. The sweeping monk also mentions the potential for a recession, the historical options for interest rate adjustments, and the impact of such decisions on the economy and investors.
💵 The Illusion of Economic Stability
This paragraph delves into the potential insincerity of the Federal Reserve's claims about the health of the U.S. economy. The sweeping monk questions the necessity of the interest rate cut if the economy is truly robust, suggesting that it might be a sign of a looming recession. He challenges the audience to consider the motives behind the rate cut and whether it is a strategic move to keep investors from withdrawing their funds. The paragraph also discusses the U.S. government's reliance on borrowing, the difficulty in selling U.S. bonds, and the strategy of lowering interest rates to attract foreign investment. The sweeping monk argues that the true solution to the U.S. economic issues is not interest rate cuts but rather the expansion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet through money printing.
🌐 Capital Flight and Currency Shifts
The sweeping monk explains how American capitalists are using interest rate cuts to deceive overseas retail investors into buying U.S. bonds, thereby temporarily alleviating the U.S. debt situation. He discusses the depreciation of the U.S. dollar as capitalists sell dollars and buy other currencies, particularly the Japanese yen, which has appreciated significantly. The paragraph highlights the strategy of investing in currencies that are strengthening while avoiding those that are weakening, such as the U.S. dollar. The sweeping monk also shares his personal investment strategy, which includes holding a mix of U.S. dollars, Japanese yen, and euros, and shorting the yen when appropriate.
📉 The Devaluation Risk of the Dollar
Here, the sweeping monk emphasizes the risks associated with the devaluation of the U.S. dollar and how it affects investments in U.S. assets. He explains that even profitable investments in U.S. stocks can result in no real gain due to currency exchange losses. The paragraph discusses the importance of considering exchange rates when investing in foreign assets and the need for systematic and rule-based investing. The sweeping monk also touches on the potential for a market collapse as a pretext for the Federal Reserve to print money and expand its balance sheet, suggesting that such a move would be a repeat of past crises.
🚀 Capitalists' Strategies and Investment Opportunities
In this paragraph, the sweeping monk speculates on the strategies of American capitalists in the face of a potential economic downturn and the devaluation of the dollar. He suggests that capitalists are likely to sell off their assets in anticipation of further devaluation and that this could lead to a market crash. The paragraph discusses the potential for the Federal Reserve to print money to save the market, as has happened in past crises, and the opportunities this presents for savvy investors. The sweeping monk also shares his recent investment focus on Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks, and gold, as a hedge against the dollar's devaluation.
💼 Investment Strategies and Market Observations
The final paragraph focuses on the sweeping monk's investment strategies, particularly his approach to gold trading. He outlines his method of buying low and selling high, based on market trends and technical analysis. The paragraph also emphasizes the importance of having a systematic approach to investing, rather than relying on emotions or predictions. The sweeping monk invites viewers to join his free stock investment class to learn more about these strategies and how to apply them for long-term financial success.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Interest Rates
💡Capitalists
💡Depreciation
💡Federal Reserve
💡Economic Recession
💡Currency Exchange Rates
💡Inflation
💡Investment Strategy
💡US Stocks
💡Hong Kong Stocks
💡Gold
Highlights
The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates has caused panic among investors.
There's a fear that the money which flowed into the U.S. due to higher interest rates will now leave, causing the dollar to depreciate.
The sweeping monk suggests that U.S. assets may now be sold at a discount due to the potential depreciation of the dollar.
Investors worldwide may sell U.S. assets to avoid depreciation, which could lead to a collapse of the U.S. economy.
Famous economists are concerned about the impact of interest rate changes on the RMB and Japanese yen.
The sweeping monk reveals his investment strategy in response to the changing interest rates and economic outlook.
The Federal Reserve's emergency interest rate cut of 50 basis points does not necessarily indicate a recession.
The sweeping monk questions the Federal Reserve's credibility regarding interest rate policies and economic data.
Cutting interest rates is one of the methods used to attract global funds to U.S. debt.
The sweeping monk predicts that expanding the balance sheet and printing money will lead to further depreciation of the U.S. dollar.
American capitalists are selling dollars and converting them into other currencies to avoid depreciation.
The Japanese yen has appreciated significantly, suggesting that funds are moving from the U.S. to Japan.
The sweeping monk discusses the strategy of holding cash and the importance of investing systematically.
Investing in foreign assets requires careful consideration of exchange rates and their impact on profits.
The sweeping monk shares his recent investment success in Hong Kong stocks and his strategy for gold investments.
The video offers a free stock investment class for subscribers to learn about the sweeping monk's investment rules and methods.
The sweeping monk emphasizes the importance of watching what capitalists do rather than listening to what they say.
Transcripts
People who have made or failed to make money in the past few years
have become so panicked recently
that some even peeed. Why?
Because the Fed finally lowered interest rates!
In other words, people who made money before
may no longer make money! And those who cannot make money
may continue to be unable to make money
if they miss this initial opportunity to cut interest rates
! Because when interest rates are raised, capitalists’ logic of harvesting wealth
will be reversed when interest rates are lowered!
Is this really the case?
Hello everyone, I am the sweeping monk!
Do you know what American capitalists
are most worried about right now?
That is, when the United States cuts interest rates,
the money that the world had flowed into the United States because of the interest rate hikes
will immediately leave the United States!
Then the U.S. dollar will depreciate. When the U.S. dollar depreciates,
U.S. land that could only be purchased with 1 billion yen before
can now be purchased with 900 million yen
, which means U.S. assets begin to be sold at a discount!
Then investors all over the world
will sell crazily in order to avoid the depreciation of the US assets and the US dollar in their hands
!
And in the end, the U.S. economy will collapse!
These words are not just what I said before.
Recently, many famous economists also said
that they just said that I am concerned about the Japanese yen
and they are concerned about the RMB!
Because while the United States is raising interest rates,
China is cutting interest rates! So many investors
borrow money in China and invest in the United States!
If the U.S. cuts interest rates
, not only will we not be able to earn money from the interest difference and exchange rate difference,
we will even lose it!
So many investors will return
their money to China! It is also because of this that
the US dollar has really been depreciating crazily recently,
while the RMB and the Japanese yen have really been appreciating!
So many people think
that the current task of the capitalists in the Federal Reserve
should be to rack their brains
to prevent the depreciation of the US dollar!
But you will find that
not only did they cut interest rates in an emergency this month
, but they also cut interest rates a lot
. Is this because they want to accelerate the depreciation of the US dollar?
What does it mean? How much does the Fed cut interest rates?
In fact, throughout history, there have been two options!
The first is to drop 25 bp! The market will still believe that this kind of interest rate cut
is a precautionary interest rate cut!
That is to say, in the past, because the U.S. economy was doing so well
, it needed to raise interest rates to cool down the situation!
Otherwise there will be severe inflation!
Then when the economy cools down,
in order to prevent the economy from entering a recession
, the Federal Reserve can slowly
lower interest rates to stimulate the economy again!
But they are afraid that raising interest rates before
the economy is quickly stimulated will be ineffective
, so when the Fed cuts interest rates,
they won’t lower interest rates by much! Just lower it by 25bp each time and
slowly lower it! The second option
is to remain as we are now, regardless of whether inflation
is suppressed to 2% or not!
But we must also cut interest rates by 50 bp in an emergency!
Why? Because the employment data was found to be falsified,
there are far more
unemployed people in the United States than the data!
In recent years, every sudden 50bp cut in interest rates
will trigger an economic collapse like that
in 2000, 2008 , and 20 years ago!
Therefore, the United States may enter a recession
or even already enter a recession!
Is this really the case? I tell you!
What does it mean that interest rate cuts depreciate the dollar, and that economic recession
is just an illusion created by capitalists
? Will the assets we deployed in advance
make money or lose money
now that interest rates are cut
? And most importantly, I will reveal
the details and direction of my current layout later in the video!
I have endured it for a long time, and now I can finally talk about it!
There may be some people who don’t agree with me
or my colleagues may continue to imitate me
and it doesn’t matter!
As long as one or two sentences are useful to my subscribers
and can help you live a better life,
then I will be satisfied!
And if you are afraid that you
will not be able to perform after listening to it
today , you can like this video
so that the video will automatically be stored in your playlist
so that you can follow it at any time!
First of all, although there is an emergency interest rate cut of 50bp this time
, the US economy has not collapsed yet!
Even Mr. Bao of the Federal Reserve said that
he has seen no signs of economic recession in the United States
and does not believe that an economic recession will come!
His interest rate cut this time
does not mean that the United States has entered an interest rate cutting cycle!
So according to what he said, some people will think that
this interest rate cut in the United States is just a special case!
It is not ruled out that the Federal Reserve
may raise interest rates again in the future!
It just went down and then went up again, right?
So I just want to ask,
should we use our ears to listen to what he said
or should we use our hearts to see the facts?
Is it true that U.S. employment data is fraudulent?
Is it true that the Fed is now cutting interest rates by 50bp in an emergency?
But is there any truth to what Mr. Bao of the Federal Reserve
has been saying?
When interest rates are raised,
say it is to suppress inflation!
It is said that if inflation cannot be brought down to 2%
, interest rates will never be cut!
Then he said that it is impossible to cut interest rates in 2024 this year!
Next, there is no need to wait until inflation drops to 2% before cutting interest rates!
And now? While making an emergency interest rate cut of 50 bp
, they said there was no rush to cut interest rates!
And surprisingly, many people believed it from beginning to end!
All I can say is, it’s too simple!
Everyone, if the U.S. economy
is really as hot as he says,
why is it cutting interest rates?
You don’t have to surrender at all!
You should even raise interest rates
to continue to bring down inflation!
At least not to cut interest rates, right?
And we did not force him to cut interest rates.
From the perspective of our investors,
when the United States raised interest rates in the past few years,
funds from all over the world flowed into the United States
. Our U.S. stocks and U.S. dollars have skyrocketed!
Very cool! Right? And even if you now say
that the interest rate cut is to prevent a possible economic recession in the future
, then you can just cut it by 25bp!
Why are you going down so fast?
Is this still under your control?
So after hearing this, many people will understand
what I want to say is that the United States has entered a recession!
Actually it’s not! It doesn’t really matter
whether the United States is in recession or not ! The U.S. recession
is just bad news for capitalists
! What we care about
is where the U.S. funds will flow to in the future!
Because where the money flows
is where we, businessmen and investors, make money!
So listen up! If you think about it
, are the American capitalists currently trying to find ways
to prevent dollars from flowing out of the United States?
Or should we find a way to get dollars out of the United States?
What is the biggest problem in the United States right now?
I've already explained the cause and effect in the last two episodes
. I can't borrow money!
If you can't borrow money, you have no money to spend!
If there is no money to spend, then the capitalists cannot make money!
Simply put,
American politics has always served capital!
If I help you elect the president,
you have to use the country's money to serve me ten times
. This is no longer news in the United States!
And where does the country’s money come from? Taxes!
But U.S. taxes have long been insufficient for the U.S. government to spend!
What to do? So most of the money
is borrowed, that is, borrowed from U.S. debt!
So what's the problem now?
It’s just that U.S. bonds can’t be sold!
Countries that were previously willing to lend money to the United States
are now unwilling to do so! What to do?
There are only two ways! First, cut interest rates!
Tell the world, if you lend me money now,
I will give you 3-5% interest!
If you don't lend me money now
, I'm going to cut the interest rate!
At that time, if you want to lend me money again,
you will only receive 1% interest!
Can you understand? In other words,
one of the purposes of cutting interest rates is
It is to attract the world's funds not to withdraw from the United States
but to lock them in U.S. debt!
For example, if you go to buy a bag now
and they tell you that the price is about to increase,
if you don’t buy it now,
you will have to buy it at a more expensive price later!
If you buy now
, the price increase in the future has nothing to do with you!
You might even make money by selling it by then!
The same goes for U.S. debt. He told you that interest rates have been cut,
but the interest rates are still very high now.
So if you lend me money now
for ten years, it is equivalent to your ten years. You have locked in the current high interest rates
and the interest rate cuts in the future have nothing to do with you!
Then you will find that
many people went to buy U.S. debt at the bottom some time ago, and
the price of U.S. debt rose sharply!
But now, the price of U.S. debt has fallen back.
Why? Because it’s all retail investors who take over the orders!
It's all retail investors who lend money to the United States.
Most other countries don't come in to lend money!
In other words,
U.S. debt has not skyrocketed due to interest rate cuts!
This is why
I say that U.S. bonds can be speculated in the short term
but cannot be held in the long term
. I will not touch it myself! So
didn’t the American capitalists think of
this outcome ?
Impossible! In other words,
cutting interest rates will not solve the problem of no one lending money to the United States at all!
Because of this, interest rate cuts are actually not important!
What can really solve the problem in the United States
is to expand the balance sheet, that is, to print money!
Lend the newly printed money to yourself!
It has always been the case that
the Federal Reserve is the largest creditor of the United States!
Because the Federal Reserve is responsible for expanding its balance sheet
, printing money, and then lending the money to the U.S. government!
And what are the consequences of printing money?
When the Fed printed money in 2020,
the U.S. dollar index plummeted 15%!
In other words, the U.S. dollar and U.S. assets
will depreciate crazily! Do you agree with this?
So since expanding the balance sheet and printing money
and devaluing the US dollar are bound to happen,
what will you do if
you are an American capitalist ? Very simple!
Since money will eventually flow away,
and since the money in hand will depreciate
, of course, you should spend the money as quickly as possible
and spend as much as you can!
So what's the conclusion?
What do American capitalists want to do?
It's very simple. They use the interest rate cut
to deceive overseas retail investors
and trick them into transferring their money to buy U.S. bonds!
In this way, someone will temporarily take over the U.S. debt
, and someone will lend money to the United States
in order to lock in the current high interest rates
! And when someone takes over the U.S. debt,
they can delay time for U.S. capital!
Let them have more time to
transfer funds to currencies and assets of other countries!
After hearing this, many people still feel dubious!
Then let’s take a look at the real U.S. dollar index. You can find that
the U.S. dollar has depreciated 13% from its high level!
What does this mean?
It means that capitalists are already frantically selling their dollars
and converting them into currencies of other countries!
This is a fact that cannot be faked!
That is, if you are worth $1 billion today
and you convert all your dollars
into currencies of other countries,
what do you think will happen to the U.S. dollar index?
I tell you!
The U.S. dollar index won’t even move!
Why? Because 1 billion funds
cannot shake the US dollar index!
In other words, billionaires
are just retail investors! Therefore, the U.S. dollar index can depreciate by 13%
only if large investors, that is, capitalists,
sell a large amount of U.S. dollars at the same time
! This is why
my videos in the past few months have been focusing on the Japanese yen!
Because you will find that
the Japanese yen has broken through the purple downward trend line
and the green pressure line, and has rebounded by 16%!
In other words, a large amount of funds are already buying Japanese yen!
So where does this funding come from?
Most likely they are from the United States!
In other words, American capitalists may have
transferred money from the United States to Japan!
Well everyone, everyone knows that when the yen is cheap,
convert your money into yen and then spend it traveling to Japan! But how many people now will
convert their money into Japanese yen to make a profit on the exchange rate difference
when the Japanese yen appreciates ?
So many people like me who held a lot of US dollars
because of buying US stocks
are asking me what should I do if the value depreciates?
Pay attention and listen! For example, if you are Japanese
, do most Japanese people
only have yen? It’s simple because
I live in Japan, so I just use Japanese yen!
But
when the United States raises interest rates, the world borrows money from Japan and sells yen. When buying U.S. dollars,
the U.S. dollar appreciates crazily, and the yen depreciates crazily!
So can you
convert the Japanese yen you have into US dollars? Because today it doesn’t mean that
if you are Taiwanese,
you can only hold Taiwan dollars!
If you are Japanese, you can only take yen!
When we see the depreciation of our own currency,
can we allocate the currencies of other countries?
So I started shorting the Japanese yen two years ago!
In other words, they are selling yen!
You can watch my previous videos!
No more to say! So now when
funds flow into Japan again,
can we hold yen in our hands?
In other words, it's easy!
When we know that the U.S. dollar will depreciate,
do
I have to exchange part of the U.S. dollars I hold
into other currencies?
Most countries have followed the United States in cutting interest rates. In
other words, the currencies of most countries
may depreciate along with the US dollar ,
so relatively speaking, they may not necessarily appreciate very much!
Japan alone
has just begun to enter the stage of raising interest
rates. Although the rate increase will not be very strong ,
most investors have borrowed money from Japan
and used leverage to invest in the United States
in recent years !
Now if the US dollar is to depreciate,
most of the funds will be paid back to Japan!
So I will buy the yen back!
It is also because of this that the Japanese yen we have planned in the past few months
has appreciated so quickly!
So let me be more specific.
I hold about 50% of the U.S. dollars
, and for other currencies, I allocate the Japanese yen and the euro!
Why is there an extra euro now?
Because this time the U.S. raises interest rates,
in addition to Japan, it will reap benefits from Europe!
You can understand it by watching the video from 3 months ago in detail!
So what's the point? Today the U.S. dollar has depreciated by 16% against the Japanese yen
. This means that if you invest in U.S. assets
, you must make at least a 16% profit before you lose money!
What does it mean? Just assume that
1 million U.S. dollars could be exchanged for 140 million yen before!
Now you use this $1 million to invest in U.S. stocks
and U.S. real estate, and you earn 16%.
In other words, do you have $1.16 million on hand now?
Do you feel like you made $160,000?
But in fact, because the U.S. dollar has depreciated by 16%
, when you exchange the 1.16 million U.S. dollars
back to Japanese yen, you can still only exchange 140 million yen!
Can you understand? That is to say,
although you made 16% by investing in U.S. assets
, you actually made no profit! Because you lost 16% on the exchange rate!
So no one has been talking about the reason
why I have recently reduced my investment in US stocks
or other US assets!
Because the dollar has depreciated! Another example is that
you are Taiwanese! You go invest in US stocks!
But now the US dollar has depreciated 4% against the Taiwan dollar!
In other words, if you make less than 4% on U.S. stocks
, you are losing money!
And this 4% may continue to rise
if the US dollar depreciates by 10% against the Taiwan dollar.
On U.S. assets,
you must earn at least 10% to avoid losing money!
And there are also handling fees and other costs, which
I haven’t even told you! Many people say that I
reduced my position because I was short on U.S. stocks! Actually I have never been bearish
I just hold cash! Can you understand this difference?
Buffett said, when we hesitate to invest,
we hold cash! But does this mean I’m not optimistic about U.S. stocks?
No! I am still trading US stocks during this time!
My disciples can testify! It just means that the position has been reduced!
Because the risks have become greater
and the requirements for stock selection have become higher,
it is not so easy to make money,
so why should you still stick to it?
Most importantly, how much money I make
may end up being in vain due to the depreciation of the dollar!
So why do you work so hard?
No one has ever told you this
because what most people see
is that the U.S. stock market seems to be doing well and has not plummeted. They
are still obsessed with whether I am an air force or a multi-military person
. In fact, these are really not important!
Because even if the U.S. stock market rises by 10% and the exchange rate falls by 20%,
you will lose money! What many people don’t know is
that the moment you convert your home currency into U.S. dollars
, you don’t have to do anything, and your wealth is shrinking!
Remember! If we invest in foreign assets,
the first thing we should always consider
is the exchange rate! So we have to invest,
but we must invest systematically and with rules!
We must learn to invest step by step and
only invest in the simplest bull market and skyrocketing trend!
Then make the lowest risk stop loss
when you look at the wrong direction and trend
! And we not only have to play games with a high probability of going up,
but most importantly, we have to play games with high odds!
To put it simply, we took a bet on whether it would rain
but I saw dark clouds!
So not only do I know that there is a 6-70% probability of raining
, but if I guess it is correct,
I will earn you 100 yuan!
But if there is a 3-40% chance that I guess wrong,
I will only lose 1 yuan to you!
It looks like I'm gambling, but actually I'm investing!
Can you understand?
So if you want to learn this set of rules and methods,
I will give you a benefit.
As long as you are my fan,
you can
sign up for free for my 2024 latest stock investment class that is about to be removed from the shelves through the first link in the video description column. Got it!
What I'm saying is
you have to know what's going on right now?
Countries all over the world are competing
to attract the funds that previously flowed into the United States
to invest in their own countries!
So you will find that most currencies around the world
have begun to rebound and appreciate!
The US dollar is plummeting in value!
This is the first reason why I invest less in US stocks!
And the second reason
is because I see the risk getting closer!
Before the storm, everything was quiet
, just like it is now! But that doesn’t mean the problem won’t exist!
As I said just now, the Fed’s expansion of its balance sheet and money printing
will definitely come! In other words,
the dollar will continue to depreciate in the future
!
So since there is no way to stop the flow of dollars out of the United States
, why not just pick up the sickle and harvest it yourself?
For example, if you are raising chickens today
, you want these chickens to help you lay eggs
and then you can make money by selling the eggs!
But now the plague is coming
and all your chickens will eventually die!
So what would you do? Of course the chickens were sold
or eaten in advance, right? The same goes for the stock market.
Since funds will leave the United States
, why don't I detonate the U.S. stock market in advance
and make money by shorting it? You have to know that
the high interest rates in the United States in the past two years
have attracted money from all over the world, and all of it has flowed into American assets!
And the stock market is the most obvious!
So once the United States no longer has high interest rates
and the dollar continues to depreciate,
will investors from other countries definitely withdraw?
So since these people can run away
, why don't I kill them in advance?
Can you understand this?
So now that the dollar is depreciating, who is running away?
In fact, they are all American capitalists!
But many investors in other countries
have not yet run away! Because many people still
have hope for interest rate cuts on U.S. assets!
So before they evacuate
, they can harvest all their money in the US stock market!
After hearing this, you may think that I am alarmist again!
But hasn’t this been true of
every crisis in the past ?
If the Fed wants to expand its balance sheet and print money, what is the best way?
That is, when American assets collapsed across the board
, he justifiably printed money to save the market!
In fact, it’s bargain hunting! For example, during the 2008 financial crisis,
countless capitals went crazy!
U.S. stocks plummeted 23%! Then soon after,
the Federal Reserve justifiably printed money and expanded its balance sheet,
releasing a huge amount of US dollars, and then lent these US dollars
to the American plutocrats at nearly 0 interest!
That is, you don’t have to pay back interest when you borrow money!
Then these chaebols are nominally using their own money
to take the lead in rescuing the market! It's a patriotic act!
In fact,
they sold out of their stocks long before the crash!
Then after the crash, buy U.S. stocks at the bottom!
Buffett is the most successful example!
For another example, during the epidemic in 2020,
were the U.S. stocks also smashed?
It plummeted directly to the meltdown! Circuit breaker means
to directly stop your trading and prohibit you from selling stocks anymore!
After the circuit breaker,
the Fed justifiably printed money and expanded its balance sheet
to release huge amounts of U.S. dollars, and then lent these huge amounts of U.S. dollars
to capitalists to hunt for bargains at an interest rate close to 0!
But now this time, the previous script is exactly the same as before!
When the Federal Reserve must expand its balance sheet
and release watermarked money,
do you think it will do the same as before
, or will it release water slowly?
You have to know that the excuse to detonate the U.S. stock market
is that the bad news is ready
: the U.S. economy has entered a recession
or there are problems with U.S. commercial real estate!
So it depends on whether he wants to use this card!
And I personally would not gamble!
Because money doesn’t have to be earned in the United States!
And I have to say again that
the current depreciation of the US dollar
is the biggest risk to me!
That sweeper, why do you still hold 50% of the US dollars?
In fact, strictly speaking, I converted part of
the 50% US dollars into Hong Kong dollars and Taiwan dollars!
Because US dollars, Hong Kong dollars, and Taiwan dollars
are the currencies I usually use to spend money,
such as my business and my investments!
As for Hong Kong dollars and Taiwan dollars,
I now spend more on investment! right!
You heard it right! My disciples all know
that our recent investment focus is on Taiwan and Hong Kong stocks!
My video half a year ago also said that
if the US dollar depreciates, I will invest part of my funds
in Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks!
Especially Hong Kong stocks, why?
At that time, my video was laughed at by many people
because there was a saying circulating on the Internet:
Cherish life and stay away from Hong Kong stocks!
Because many foreign investors in Hong Kong have withdrawn
and announced that they will no longer enter the Hong Kong market!
In other words, Hong Kong has been shorted!
So Hong Kong’s stock market has plummeted for 4 years!
And this September,
I converted some US dollars into Hong Kong dollars
and then entered the market to test the water temperature
. This picture is my result this month!
I bought several stocks, and the average
return was about 17.8%! The highest is more than 20%!
But it’s not much money either!
Because I mainly want you to read on and you will find
that Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index has risen by nearly 16% this month!
Outperformed US stocks, Taiwan stocks, and Japanese stocks!
That’s why I changed my US dollars into Hong Kong dollars!
Because I saw that Hong Kong stocks have just begun to enter the bull market!
What are the characteristics of a bull market that has just entered?
Even if you buy with your eyes closed, most stocks will rise!
In other words,
Hong Kong stocks may have entered the easiest time for us to make money!
So why are Hong Kong stocks rising?
Let’s review this video!
What I want to say is that we should never listen to what capitalists say
but watch what they do! Countless foreign capital
is now flowing into Hong Kong! Why?
Because we businessmen are always profit-seeking!
The Hong Kong stock market has been crashing for four years,
and many very profitable companies are selling at low prices!
Are you not moved? The most important thing is that
the dollar is depreciating! At the same time,
mainland China has released a message
that they are going to release money and pour money into the stock market, and the housing market
will also cut interest rates!
So if you know that these companies that are selling at low prices are going to rebound and
your money is worthless, then do you want to enter the market and buy them?
Because of this,
what is the most disgusting scene you have seen now?
Foreign capital is optimistic about Hong Kong again!
The same goes for Taiwan stocks.
After you sign up for the free stock investment class
in detail , we will share our latest layout with you via email!
And then there's gold!
Gold is the asset that has helped me make the most money this year,
which is also the reason why I have exchanged a large portion of my U.S. dollars
for gold instead of U.S. Treasuries!
Many people say that U.S. bonds have interest, but gold does not!
But why is it that U.S. debt cannot be sold now
but gold continues to hit new highs?
You can look at this picture
and you can clearly see our buying and selling points this year!
They are all proven by videos and cannot be faked!
We bought it at $2,000 at the beginning of the year
and sold it four months later when it reached $2,400!
The profit without leverage
is 15%! Why should we sell at 2400?
Because gold enters uncertainty!
He had a very heavy pressure line at 2400,
which is the red one! It can’t go up!
So we sell and walk away with the profit!
Prevent him from falling if he turns around!
But leaving the market does not mean we are short on gold!
Because in the current period,
when the gold price leaves the horizontal development
and breaks through the red pressure line
, which is 2400,
we will buy in large quantities! And this time
gold has risen by 10% so far!
Why? Because it is back in an upward trend!
In other words, gold is the most powerful asset this year
because it is still in the second stage,
which is the bull market! If
you don’t know how to judge a bull market
, if you buy and sell assets entirely based on your feelings
without reason, rules, or system
, then you must join my free stock investment class!
Because if you have 10,000 to 20,000 US dollars in spare money,
you hope to make long-term and stable money!
When you make money, you can sleep peacefully!
You don’t mean to learn how to predict the future!
This is definitely a lie!
Because none of us have a crystal ball that can predict the future!
But the chart
reveals many clues about the buying and selling of goods by large households
. This cannot be deceived! Whether an asset rises or falls
does not depend on how good its fundamentals are and
how undervalued it is!
It’s about how many people are buying and selling in the market,
which is supply and demand!
We only need to determine the trend of big traders buying and selling goods
and follow them, and we can make money!
Although our method cannot be known in advance
, it is the fairest!
Even though I don’t know if it will rain tomorrow
, we can prepare an umbrella
by observing whether there are dark clouds in the sky
! We can open our umbrellas
when it rains ! Even if it doesn’t rain, for us it’s just an extra umbrella!
Most people lose money in the stock market
because they don't know whether there are dark clouds in the sky
or what the dark clouds represent!
So if you want to learn this set of rules and methods
, come in quickly and sign up to learn for free below!
alright! We still have a lot of problems to solve
in the next few videos !
For example, if there are big changes in the U.S. president
, what assets will skyrocket in the future
and how should we plan for them?
What do you expect the answer to all of this to be?
Many people are waiting for this sentence every week and it will be the top priority!
Okay, the time when my videos will be put on the shelves will be changed next. I will
continue to share free information about becoming rich, entrepreneurs, investors and
achieving financial freedom
every Sunday at 8:30.
If you don’t want to miss it
, I still call. You subscribe to my channel and turn on the little bell!
Then share the video selflessly!
I sincerely wish the brothers and sisters who liked this video
to achieve financial freedom as soon as possible!
If you have any questions, please leave me a message!
As long as you can find one or two sentences in what I said today that are useful and
can help you live a better life, I will be satisfied~
Well, we will see you next week, Bye!
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