Bandar JP Morgan Downgrade BBRI Investor Lokal BORONG BBRI 4.4 Triliun dalam 2 Hari, ikutan Borong ?

Sunar Saham Profit
26 Sept 202425:11

Summary

TLDRThe speaker discusses the recent performance of the BBRI stock, which has dropped by 9% in two days due to foreign selling and a downgrade by JP Morgan from 'overweight' to 'neutral'. They analyze the bank's financial reports, highlighting a steady increase in equity and profits despite rising credit costs. The speaker also shares their own stock trading experiences, advising viewers to wait for a price rise above 5.200 or a breakout at 5.325 before considering buying BBRI shares, emphasizing the importance of discipline in cutting losses and buying back.

Takeaways

  • 📉 The stock price of BBRI has dropped approximately 9% in the last two days.
  • 🌐 Foreign investors have sold shares amounting to 1.6 trillion, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock.
  • 📰 A news report influenced the stock's downgrade from 'overweight' to 'neutral' by JP Morgan due to a lack of positive sentiment.
  • 🏦 The speaker compares BBRI with other banks like BCA, noting that BBRI has a significant amount of microcredit which poses a higher risk compared to BCA.
  • 📈 Despite the downgrade, BBRI's equity and net profit are still growing, showing some resilience in its financials.
  • 📊 The speaker anticipates the third-quarter financial report to see if BBRI can manage the increasing credit costs due to microcredit defaults.
  • 📉 The speaker shares a personal buyback at a price of 5225 and mentions a potential buy area around 5100-5300.
  • 🚫 The importance of not panicking and selling when the stock price drops suddenly is emphasized, suggesting a wait-and-see approach.
  • 📈 The speaker is optimistic about BBRI's future, comparing it to a plant that has been nurtured and is now facing a temporary storm.
  • ⏳ The speaker advises waiting for the stock price to rise above 5200 or for a breakout above 5325 before considering buying more shares.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic discussed in the script?

    -The main topic discussed in the script is the stock performance of BBRI, an Indonesian bank stock, and the reasons behind its recent decline in value.

  • What is the significance of the 9% drop in BBRI's stock price mentioned in the script?

    -The 9% drop in BBRI's stock price within two days is significant as it indicates a substantial decrease in market value, which is attributed to foreign selling and a downgrade by JP Morgan.

  • What was the downgrade given by JP Morgan to BBRI?

    -JP Morgan downgraded BBRI from 'overweight' to 'neutral' due to a lack of incremental positive sentiment.

  • What is the role of 'incremental positive sentiment' in stock ratings according to the script?

    -According to the script, 'incremental positive sentiment' is crucial for maintaining a stock's rating. A lack of it can lead to a downgrade, as it suggests no further positive developments are expected.

  • What is the potential impact of increased credit costs on BBRI's financial reports as mentioned in the script?

    -The script suggests that if BBRI's financial reports show an increase in credit costs, especially due to non-performing micro-credits, it could negatively impact the bank's profitability.

  • How does the script compare BBRI to other banks like BCA and Bank Mandiri?

    -The script compares BBRI to BCA and Bank Mandiri by discussing their credit portfolios, particularly noting that BBRI has a much larger micro-credit segment, which carries higher risks compared to BCA.

  • What was Sunarso's stance on BRI's credit quality improvement mentioned in the script?

    -Sunarso, who was interviewed, mentioned that for the year 2024, BRI is inclined to improve its credit quality and is not too aggressive but aims to continue growing.

  • What financial indicators does the script suggest to monitor for BBRI's performance?

    -The script suggests monitoring equity growth, revenue, and net profit as key financial indicators for BBRI's performance.

  • What is the significance of the 'glass half full or half empty' analogy used in the script regarding BBRI's stock?

    -The analogy is used to illustrate different perspectives on BBRI's stock situation. Seeing the glass as 'half full' implies optimism about the stock's value, while 'half empty' indicates a pessimistic view.

  • What is the recommendation for investors who are confused about BBRI's stock movement as per the script?

    -The script advises confused investors to sell half of their position to reduce risk, as it's better to secure some profit rather than being entirely uncertain about future movements.

  • What historical incident is mentioned in the script regarding JP Morgan's reputation?

    -The script refers to an incident in 2016 where JP Morgan suddenly downgraded Indonesia's rating, which was later corrected, and they were temporarily removed from being a primary dealer of government bonds.

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