NFL Week 3 DFS Picks & Fantasy Lineup Advice! Fantasy Football Starts & Sits | Fantasy Flex

Fantasy Flex Podcast
17 Sept 202426:44

Summary

TLDRIn this sports analysis video, the hosts delve into the intricacies of the upcoming NFL slate, focusing on player performances and strategies for fantasy football. They discuss the potential of Greg Dulin as a cost-effective tight end for the Broncos, the consistent route running of Jaylen Waddle, and the undervalued play of DeAndre Hopkins. Each host presents their 'dart throw' picks, highlighting under-the-radar players like Hayden Hurst and Johnny Wilson, who could deliver unexpected value. The conversation also touches on the challenges of predicting the Bears' backfield and the opportunities for players like Keelan Cole and AJ Brown. The hosts' insights are a must for fantasy football enthusiasts looking to gain a competitive edge.

Takeaways

  • 🏈 The Buccaneers' game strategy involved shutting down the lines in the Red Zone, with Chris Godwin catching numerous passes.
  • 🤔 Greg Dulin is highlighted as a potential value pick at a low price for the tight end position, despite a modest performance in the previous week.
  • 📈 Jaylen Waddle is noted for his consistent performance and high route rate, making him a top choice for wide receivers.
  • 🚫 The Chargers vs. Steelers game is considered unattractive for investment due to the teams' underwhelming performances.
  • 🤝 Hayden Hurst is mentioned as a speculative choice for tight end, given his healthy route run rate and potential for a breakout game.
  • 🐦 Johnny Wilson is identified as a promising rookie wide receiver for the Eagles, despite the team's vulnerability on defense.
  • 🏃 Deontay Foreman is suggested as a potentially valuable running back for the Giants, especially if other backs are injured or underperforming.
  • 🐻 Khalil Herbert is recommended as a contrarian play for the Bears' backfield, given the team's overall offensive struggles.
  • 🌊 Aiyuk and Noah Fant are pointed out as underutilized players who might see increased opportunities and could be good dart throws for the upcoming games.
  • ✈️ The script discusses the potential impact of Andy Dalton's return to the Panthers' offense, particularly for players like Chuba Hubbard.

Q & A

  • Who are the teams playing in the game discussed at the beginning of the script?

    -The teams playing in the game discussed at the beginning of the script are the Buccaneers hosting the Denver Broncos.

  • Which player is recommended as a 'cheap dart throw' in the Buccaneers vs. Broncos game?

    -Greg Dulin is recommended as a 'cheap dart throw' in the Buccaneers vs. Broncos game, with a mention of his current price at 2900.

  • What was Greg Dulin's performance like in the previous week's game?

    -In the previous week's game, Greg Dulin drew eight targets, caught three of them for 16 yards, indicating potential for more.

  • Why is Jaylen Waddle considered a good choice for the Texans vs. Vikings game?

    -Jaylen Waddle is considered a good choice because he has a 100% route rate, and the Texans' offense could put up a lot of points, making him a top target in a high-scoring game.

  • What is the strategy behind choosing Hayden Hurst in the Chargers vs. Steelers game?

    -Hayden Hurst is chosen due to his low price at 2900, a healthy route run rate, and the potential for a breakout game in a volatile pass-catching group.

  • Why is Johnny Wilson highlighted as a potential value play in the Eagles vs. Saints game?

    -Johnny Wilson is highlighted because he's a rookie who has seen an increase in snaps and despite low targets, he's drawing downfield and endzone targets, which could pay off at his price of 3300.

  • What is the rationale for considering DeAndre Hopkins in the Cardinals vs. Rams game?

    -DeAndre Hopkins is considered due to his low stock and potential for a high-value game despite his quiet start, as he's removed from the injury report and could see an increase in production.

  • Why is Deontay Foreman suggested as a player to watch in the Giants vs. Browns game?

    -Deontay Foreman is suggested because the Giants' defense has allowed successful running back performances, and with potential injuries to other backs, Foreman could see an increased role.

  • What makes Khalil Herbert an interesting choice for the Bears vs. Colts game?

    -Khalil Herbert is interesting because the Bears' offense has struggled, and with Swift's poor performance, Herbert could see more work as a backup running back with potential for goal-line carries.

  • Why is Noah Fant highlighted as a potential value play in the Dolphins vs. Seahawks game?

    -Noah Fant is highlighted because he's been relatively quiet but has a high route rate, and with other Seahawks' pass-catchers having moments, it could be Fant's turn for a breakout game.

  • What is the strategy behind choosing Jaylon Tolbert in the Cowboys vs. Ravens game?

    -Jaylon Tolbert is chosen due to his potential to become a more significant part of the Cowboys' passing game, especially if the connection with Dak Prescott improves, and the potential for a pass-heavy game script.

Outlines

00:00

🏈 NFL Matchups and Player Analysis

The paragraph discusses various NFL games and players. It starts with the Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos game, highlighting the Buccaneers' defensive performance and Chris Godwin's reception skills. The speaker recommends Greg Dulin as a value pick for fantasy football due to his low price and potential for a high route run rate. The conversation then shifts to Jaylen Waddle and his 100% route rate, suggesting him as a top wide receiver despite Houston's strong defense. The paragraph also touches on Hayden Hurst as a potential value play and Johnny Wilson's potential in the Eagles vs. Saints game due to his low price and the possibility of increased targets.

05:01

📊 In-depth Player Stats and Game Predictions

This paragraph delves into specific player statistics and game predictions. It mentions AJ Brown's absence and how it might affect the Eagles' strategy. The discussion includes the potential for Johnny Wilson to capitalize on increased targets and end zone opportunities. The conversation also covers the Packers vs. Titans game, with a focus on DeAndre Hopkins' potential for a breakout game despite his current low stock price. The paragraph concludes with a mention of Deontay Foreman as a potential value play against the Giants due to the latter's weak defense against the run.

10:03

🚀 Identifying Undervalued Players and Game Strategies

The speaker identifies undervalued players and discusses game strategies for the upcoming matches. The focus is on Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb's absence, and how it might affect the Browns' game plan. The paragraph discusses the potential for D'Onta Foreman to become the lead back and the opportunity for Khalil Herbert to capitalize on the Bears' struggling offense. The conversation also highlights the Miami Dolphins' situation with Tua Tagovailoa's injury and the potential for tight ends Noah Fant and JNU Smith to have significant roles in their respective games.

15:03

🏟️ Game-by-Game Breakdown and Player Opportunities

This paragraph provides a game-by-game breakdown, focusing on player opportunities and strategies. It discusses the potential for AJ Hubert to have a significant role in the Panthers' offense with the shift to Andy Dalton as the quarterback. The conversation also highlights the value of Tolbert in the Cowboys' passing game and the potential for Jordan Whittington to have a breakout game due to injuries on the 49ers. The paragraph concludes with a discussion on the Cardinals and the potential for Tim Patrick to have an increased role in the offense.

20:06

🤔 Speculation on Player Roles and Team Dynamics

The paragraph is a speculative discussion on player roles and team dynamics, particularly focusing on the potential for certain players to step up in the absence of key team members. It mentions the possibility of AJ Hubert taking on a larger role with the Panthers, the potential for Tolbert to continue his connection with Dak Prescott, and the opportunity for Jordan Whittington to capitalize on the 49ers' injuries. The conversation also touches on the Cardinals' offense and the potential for Tim Patrick to have an increased role, especially if he's active for the game.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Buccaneers

The Buccaneers are a professional American football team based in Tampa, Florida. In the context of the video, they are one of the teams discussed in relation to their performance and strategies. The script mentions the Buccaneers' defensive capabilities and their game against the Denver Broncos, indicating the team's involvement in the discussion as a subject of analysis.

💡Red Zone

The Red Zone in American football refers to the area on the field between the 20-yard line and the goal line. It is a critical area where teams aim to score. The script mentions the Buccaneers' ability to shut down the lines in the Red Zone, highlighting a strategic aspect of the game and the team's defensive strength within this high-stakes area.

💡Chris Godwin

Chris Godwin is a wide receiver for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The script references his performance, suggesting he 'caught every single pass,' which underscores his significant role in the team's offensive strategy and his potential impact on the game's outcome.

💡Greg Dulin

Greg Dulin is mentioned as a player to watch, particularly for his value in a fantasy football context. The script discusses his low cost and potential for a high return on investment, making him an attractive 'dart throw' or risky but potentially rewarding choice for fantasy football players.

💡Route Run Rate

Route run rate is a statistic in American football that measures the percentage of plays a player is involved in. The script mentions Greg Dulin's healthy route run rate, indicating his active participation in the game and his potential for more targets, which is crucial for fantasy football scoring.

💡Tight End

A tight end is a position in American football, typically involved in both running and passing plays. The script discusses the tight end position as being 'a mess,' suggesting a lack of strong performers, which could present opportunities for undervalued players like Greg Dulin to stand out.

💡Breakout Game

A 'breakout game' refers to a performance where a player significantly exceeds expectations, often leading to increased recognition or a change in their role. The script suggests that due to the underlying usage and potential for more targets, a player like Greg Dulin could be due for a breakout game, which would be significant for fantasy football outcomes.

💡Recency Bias

Recency bias is the tendency to weigh recent events more heavily than earlier events. In the context of the script, it is mentioned that there is no recency bias for a player like Greg Dulin due to his recent performance, suggesting that fantasy football players might undervalue him based on his most recent game statistics.

💡Game Script

A game script in American football refers to the expected flow of the game based on various factors like team strengths and strategies. The script mentions a 'trailing game script' for Denver, implying that they are expected to be playing from behind, which could influence their play-calling and the opportunities for certain players.

💡Targets

In American football, a target refers to a pass thrown in the direction of a specific player. The script discusses the number of targets a player like Greg Dulin receives, which is an important metric in fantasy football as it often correlates with the potential for making receptions and scoring points.

💡Dart Throw

A 'dart throw' in the context of fantasy football refers to a risky selection that has the potential for high rewards but also comes with significant risk. The script uses this term to describe players like Greg Dulin, who are chosen for their potential to exceed expectations despite being undervalued or overlooked by others.

Highlights

Buccaneers hosting the Denver Broncos, discussing game script and player performance.

Mention of Chris Godwin's performance and his impact on the game.

Greg Dulin as a value pick for tight end position at 2900.

Dulin's route run rate and target potential discussed.

Jaylen Naylor's value at 4400, considering his 100% route rate.

Naylor's potential for increased targets and production.

Hayden Hurst as a cheap tight end option at 2900 with a healthy route run rate.

Johnny Wilson's potential as a rookie wide receiver for the Eagles.

DeAndre Hopkins as a contrarian play at $5300 despite a quiet start.

Deontay Foreman's opportunity with the Giants due to injuries.

KH Herbert as a dart throw in the Bears backfield at 5K.

Noah Fant's potential as a quiet tight end on the Seahawks.

JNU Smith's usage as a wide receiver and his potential for increased targets.

Chuba Hubbard's value with Andy Dalton as the new quarterback for the Panthers.

Amon-Ra St. Brown's potential in the wide receiver market.

Jaylon Tolbert's opportunity in the Cowboys' offense.

Kyle Juszczyk as a fullback option for the 49ers at 4K.

Tim Patrick's potential elevation in the Cardinals' offense.

Transcripts

play00:00

all right let's jump to the main slate

play00:02

and we'll start with the

play00:06

Buccaneers hosting the Denver Broncos

play00:09

kind of an interesting game script last

play00:11

week for the bucks just kept shutting

play00:14

down the lines in the Red Zone Chris

play00:15

Godwin seemed like he caught every

play00:16

single pass but they did I don't did

play00:18

they have the ball in the second half I

play00:19

don't know like but uh you like someone

play00:22

on the other side for this one right

play00:24

yeah I'm going to go with my boy Greg

play00:26

dolit here at 2900 so he's extremely

play00:29

cheap but you know one of the weakest

play00:31

positions right now the tight end

play00:33

position is a mess so um like him is a

play00:36

cheap Dart throw uh he's ran a healthy

play00:40

uh 68% route run rate uh so far through

play00:43

two games last week he he actually Drew

play00:45

eight targets only caught three of them

play00:47

for 16 yards U so there was potential

play00:50

for more there I still like him as a

play00:52

talent I again I think he reminds me of

play00:54

TJ hackinson um and you know rookie

play00:58

bonck tends to throw underneath so I

play00:59

think think doul is going to continue to

play01:01

be you know one of his top targets

play01:03

especially in what should be you know a

play01:05

trailing game script where Denver is

play01:07

going to have to throw quite a bit so I

play01:09

think DWI is you know a decent bet to

play01:12

catch four or five balls so at

play01:14

2900 uh I think that's a no-brainer play

play01:17

I don't think he's going to be too

play01:19

highly owned as well like I said he only

play01:20

caught three balls for 16 yards last

play01:22

week so there's really no recency bias

play01:24

but the underlying usage does suggest

play01:26

you know he could have a Breakout game

play01:28

here in the near future

play01:31

yeah I mean I feel like B Knicks kind of

play01:33

helps you know all that low efficiency

play01:35

throwing underneath and what not it just

play01:37

get lets you rack up attempts and I mean

play01:40

who knows if doich makes it through the

play01:41

season but he's healthy now so it's time

play01:44

to invest in him all right uh what's up

play01:48

what we got up next let's see let's go

play01:50

to a a much better game than I think

play01:53

these first to Texans at Vikings the

play01:57

Texans are two and a half Point Road

play01:59

favorites a total 46 and a half I got to

play02:02

go back to to Naylor again he's still

play02:04

4,400 and last week he bumped up to a

play02:08

100% route rate now of course you know

play02:11

Addison was out and Justin Jefferson got

play02:13

hurt but the important thing is that as

play02:16

I expected he jumped Brandon Powell so

play02:19

even if Jefferson plays Addison returns

play02:22

I think jayen still is a top three wide

play02:25

receiver in a game which you know

play02:27

Houston as much respect as I have for

play02:29

Brian Flores in this defense uh Houston

play02:32

could put up a lot of points you know

play02:34

they're always a threat so I think this

play02:36

is another good spot for Jaylen Naylor

play02:39

you know I was tempted to go with my guy

play02:41

Johnny Mt here because he's kind of the

play02:43

the by low but nailor I mean 100% route

play02:46

rate I just don't turn that down uh

play02:48

especially with a guy who I actually

play02:49

like the talent and there's a few

play02:51

different ways for him to cash whether

play02:53

it's you know if if guys are out or if

play02:55

they're back you know he gets more

play02:57

single coverage less attention so either

play02:58

way uh like jayen Naylor running every

play03:02

route playing every snap last week 4,400

play03:05

this week yeah and I think he's been

play03:07

your Dart throw in both Viking games so

play03:09

far and he has a touchdown in both games

play03:11

so got to keep that streak on yeah I

play03:13

can't get off him now exactly well

play03:16

here's a game we might want to get off

play03:18

uh Chargers Steelers I mean the Chargers

play03:23

are around six and a half points per

play03:24

game through two weeks the

play03:26

Steelers uh have a an 18o show and a

play03:30

13-point showing so what are you doing

play03:33

in this one yeah not a game uh you

play03:36

really want to invest in um but I got

play03:38

another cheap tight end that again I

play03:39

promise this will be my last one of the

play03:41

week but it's Hayden Hurst at

play03:43

2900 uh he's run a pretty healthy route

play03:47

run rate this year at 78% uh been fairly

play03:50

quiet with you know lad makoni and

play03:53

Quinton Johnson stepping up uh early on

play03:56

um and certainly that could continue but

play03:58

this is just going to be a pretty

play03:59

volatile pass catching group now that

play04:01

they moved on from Austin Eckler Mike

play04:04

Williams Keenan Allen of course Gerald

play04:06

Everett so um you know any given week

play04:09

someone else could be the number one

play04:10

target so who knows this week it could

play04:12

be Hayden Hurst he's out there running

play04:13

enough routes it could happen uh this

play04:16

week so I think that you know his

play04:18

ownership's going to be super low he's

play04:20

super cheap uh this would be the time to

play04:23

to invest in them in you know three to

play04:25

four catches for you know 30 to 40 yards

play04:28

in a potential touchdown would be more

play04:30

than enough for him at this price and I

play04:32

think he's more than capable of doing

play04:34

that yeah I mean he's he's he's getting

play04:37

the under lound usage and that's that's

play04:38

really what matters yeah in this I mean

play04:41

tight end oh man but uh I do have kind

play04:44

of a tight end but he's not actually a

play04:46

tight end he's a wide receiver Johnny

play04:47

Wilson in Eagles Saints now you know

play04:52

this is one that people probably a

play04:54

little more excited for than they

play04:55

thought they would be the Saints have

play04:57

been putting up some some numbers here

play04:59

and uh the Eagles defense looks

play05:01

vulnerable but the reason I'm going to

play05:02

the Eagles side is AJ Brown is slated to

play05:06

miss more time and Wilson is is a rookie

play05:11

who played 10 snaps in his first game 19

play05:14

snaps in week two despite entering with

play05:17

a hamstring injury he's only gotten one

play05:19

Target in each of those two games but

play05:21

that's kind of how rookies come along

play05:24

but the average up the target over 20

play05:26

for him so this is a guy who when they

play05:29

get in the red zone and he could be a

play05:31

Target down the field he might only need

play05:34

to make one big play or do one thing to

play05:37

pay off at 3,300 so and doson is really

play05:41

kind of disappointing as well so there

play05:43

is an opening there if the eagles need

play05:45

to to look more to the pass game Beyond

play05:48

Smith you know be beyond that top three

play05:50

so uh give me Wilson the

play05:54

rookie oh man another ugly oh sorry go

play05:56

ahead he uh he drew a uh Endzone Target

play05:59

right I I don't remember was it his F or

play06:01

Herz that he didn't catch it I think the

play06:03

throw is a bit high but he did draw an

play06:06

inzone Target so he's drawing downfield

play06:08

targets and Endzone targets that's

play06:10

exactly what you want from your Dart

play06:11

throw and Britain cvy uh actually

play06:15

operated as the number three wide out

play06:17

last week because you know Wilson was uh

play06:20

questionable coming in and he had a work

play06:21

out with the training staff pregame and

play06:24

I think it was running up to kickoff to

play06:25

get clearance but this week uh you know

play06:29

cvy might be relegated to his normal

play06:30

special teams role if Wilson is

play06:33

healthier because you don't usually

play06:35

don't see cvy playing much many snaps at

play06:38

wide receiver unless there's an injury

play06:40

so uh looking for an uptick with Wilson

play06:44

but who do you like in this

play06:45

ugly

play06:47

Packer titanus two and a half 3 uh minus

play06:51

3 37 is the total I mean it's it's it's

play06:55

an ugly one how did did how the hell did

play06:58

you set up this I'm getting all these

play07:00

games and you get um you get Vikes

play07:03

Texans Eagle Saints and I'm getting

play07:06

these garbage ass uh no uh producer d p

play07:11

me with all the good I didn't even go

play07:13

into that one until the day of the I'm

play07:16

just kid hey I I I thrive in these ugly

play07:18

games remember I'm the Thursday night

play07:20

football expert so I thrive in these

play07:22

ugly games yeah yeah like the ugliest

play07:25

play possible DeAndre Hopkins at $5,300

play07:30

absolutely terrible price per dollar do

play07:32

not use him in cash games but I think he

play07:35

is worth a dart throw in some gpps

play07:37

because his stock could just not get any

play07:39

lower right now um off to a very quiet

play07:43

start because we thought he might

play07:44

actually miss the first couple of games

play07:46

he had that pretty bad MCL sprain um so

play07:49

he hasn't been 100% but last week he got

play07:52

uh a full week of practice in he was

play07:54

actually removed off the injury report

play07:56

and he saw his routes run rate double

play07:59

this week up to 51% um unfortunately he

play08:02

didn't do much in that playing time but

play08:04

you know his playing time's only going

play08:05

to go up um and it's DeAndre Hopkins he

play08:09

he's due for his one or two blowup games

play08:11

and then just put up a bunch of Duds the

play08:13

rest of the way but I think that this is

play08:15

a game where you know he could have you

play08:17

know four catches six yards and

play08:19

touchdown or two and no one's G to have

play08:22

him so I think just this is a week just

play08:24

to kind of spend up to be contrarian

play08:27

when it comes to him again just sprinkle

play08:29

him in do not use him in cash he's way

play08:31

too expensive uh but I think this is the

play08:34

lowest point Hopkins will get all season

play08:37

so I think he's worth a flyer in some

play08:39

gpps because of

play08:41

that yeah no I mean it will Lis that was

play08:45

his guy I think it was what his first or

play08:47

second start he throws four touchdowns

play08:49

to the Hopkins and this is I mean it

play08:53

would be so under the radar because like

play08:55

you said it's it's not going to pop as a

play08:57

a price per dollar Play Because hop we

play08:58

don't know EX exactly where the the snap

play09:01

rate will end up in the first week it

play09:03

was I mean almost nonexistent and then

play09:05

last week it was like 5050 so does he

play09:07

keep bumping up or does he stay in that

play09:09

range they do have guys like Burks who

play09:11

could play the number four spot so uh

play09:14

yeah I like that contrarian uh

play09:17

play I'm gonna go to Giants at Browns

play09:23

and I'm Gonna Roll with Deontay Foreman

play09:27

the Giants allowed both Brian Robinson

play09:30

Jr and Austin Eckler to post uh 10 or

play09:35

more half PPR points last to without

play09:38

touchdowns Robinson 17 for 133 on the

play09:41

ground added a three- yard catch and

play09:43

Eckler eight for 38 On The Ground Three

play09:46

for 47 through the air and we know

play09:50

Pierre strong who is you know kind of

play09:53

rotating in in what was a three-back

play09:55

committee uh or was probably planning to

play09:57

be a three-back toit he's a little bit

play10:00

banged up now and they did use a three

play10:03

back committee committee excuse me at

play10:05

various points last year after chub went

play10:07

down with Kareem Hunt Ford and then

play10:10

Pierre strong so I think Foreman is a

play10:12

guy who you know he saw a good work last

play10:14

week and he could end up being there

play10:17

number one he you kind of mentioned on

play10:20

another P he was in there early and

play10:22

ended up with uh was it 14 carries uh

play10:26

including one at the uh right at the

play10:28

goal line which unfor fortunately didn't

play10:29

convert it almost fumble but I do think

play10:32

there's some upside here we've seen

play10:33

Foreman kind of pop at random times in

play10:35

his career just he's talking about

play10:36

coming out of nowhere he'll pop for like

play10:38

a 100 yard game or two and then just go

play10:39

back to the rb3 slot so good time to uh

play10:43

back Foreman with the Cleveland Browns

play10:46

home favorites against this Giants uh

play10:49

team that's just struggling on both

play10:52

sides of the ball all right we got the

play10:54

Bears coming off the short week going to

play10:56

Indianapolis coming off a disappointing

play11:00

showing against other former division

play11:04

foe Malik Willis now there's another

play11:07

spot where you just you don't quite know

play11:08

what you're gonna get from the

play11:09

quarterbacks two very talented guys but

play11:12

it's been up and down for Anthony

play11:14

Richards has been up and down Caleb

play11:17

Williams what do you like in this one

play11:20

yeah I mean for Dart throws you could

play11:22

try to figure out which Colt will get

play11:24

the the lone accurate 50 yard ball

play11:27

downfield from Richardson good luck

play11:28

trying to predict that especially with

play11:30

Jos it's GNA be well yeah it's always

play11:32

going to be o Pierce isn't it it's never

play11:34

going to be Mitchell damn it uh so yeah

play11:37

you can go with Al Pierce here or you

play11:39

could try to invest in this shitty Bears

play11:41

backfield right now um ah yeah I was

play11:44

deciding like you could either go

play11:46

DeAndre Swift or KH Herbert I'm gonna go

play11:49

the ultra contrarian route and go KH

play11:51

Herbert at 5K because you know this

play11:55

entire Bears offense has struggled

play11:58

including DeAndre Swift so um there's a

play12:01

few talented backups behind him that

play12:03

could overtake him at any given point I

play12:05

think Herbert would be next up so we

play12:08

could see Herbert start to get more work

play12:09

and you know go with more of a hot hand

play12:11

approach here um plus Herbert converted

play12:14

on his goal line attempt for a touchdown

play12:17

on S football against the Texans so that

play12:20

just increases the chances that if they

play12:22

do get another goal line Rush attempt

play12:24

here it would most likely go to Herbert

play12:26

so I think he has some sneaky touchdown

play12:28

upside here and again um you know

play12:31

there's a nonzero chance that he could

play12:32

just Leap Frog Swift and overtake him

play12:35

here as a lead back so I think he's

play12:37

worth uh just a dart throw and a very

play12:40

big gpp he's going to be very low owned

play12:42

but this is a volatile situation where

play12:44

anything can happen so in these

play12:46

situations I think it makes sense to

play12:48

kind of take a flyer on a backup running

play12:50

back like uh C

play12:52

Herbert yeah what a weird uh situation

play12:56

in that bears backfield you had Swift

play12:58

would you get 12 carries for 14 yards

play13:01

yeah you had uh Roshan Johnson as a

play13:03

scratch week one and vas Jones was

play13:05

operating as a running back then John

play13:08

isn't active but doesn't get a carry

play13:09

Travis Homer's playing ahead of all of

play13:11

them somehow uh it's just a weird weird

play13:16

uh Bears backfield but yeah they need I

play13:18

mean Herbert has shown well in the past

play13:20

we' both I remember that one didn't you

play13:22

hit his uh prop it was either the first

play13:24

play of the game or the last play of the

play13:25

game he like his first it was his first

play13:28

Rush attempt yeah when we knew we knew

play13:31

exactly the rotation it was um D mon get

play13:34

the first two drives and then Herbert R

play13:37

get the third and they would rotate from

play13:38

there on out um but yeah Herbert like

play13:41

like you said he's shown some pop I

play13:43

think he has 11 total yards on the

play13:45

season so he also hasn't this is really

play13:48

the entire offense is a problem the

play13:50

offensive Line's a problem um but

play13:52

they're not going to bench Caleb

play13:53

Williams so they could make you know

play13:56

Swift be the first scapegoat uh and and

play13:59

my guess uh so yeah just it's a volatile

play14:02

situation I would not be using a ton of

play14:04

Herbert uh but if you want to go

play14:06

contrarian I think you could certainly

play14:08

do worse than

play14:10

him all right the next game up is the

play14:14

Miami Dolphins without to a tongue of

play14:17

ioa uh with the concussion looks like

play14:20

he's going on IR they go to Seattle to

play14:24

face the Seahawks who are two and 0 and

play14:28

I'm going to roll with couple of tight

play14:30

ends in this one Noah Fant on the

play14:32

Seahawks side and he's really been quiet

play14:35

for these last few years uh does have

play14:38

some talent but with you know the with

play14:41

metf going off and Smith and jiga and

play14:43

then Lockett the week before with Walker

play14:46

who's out I think the only guy really

play14:49

that still hasn't made noise is Noah fan

play14:52

and he's getting the underlying uses his

play14:55

route rates around 75% it's not that

play14:58

like three-way committee with Kobe

play14:59

Parkinson anymore so uh you know this is

play15:03

just a true dark throw on you know

play15:04

everyone else on that seah offense has

play15:06

had had a moment and fans been on the

play15:08

field and then for the Dolphins jnu

play15:10

Smith who may may see some attention

play15:13

because he did have uh six catches for

play15:16

53 yards and seven targets last week but

play15:20

I think he's interesting because they

play15:22

just used him essentially as a wide

play15:24

receiver last week and he ran a

play15:29

route from the slot 58% of the time and

play15:31

then out wide uh another 32% of the time

play15:34

so that's 90% of the time he was not in

play15:38

line at tight end they are using you

play15:41

know guys like Hill and SMI and Tanner

play15:43

Connor as well so Julian Hill that is so

play15:46

at tight end so jonu Smith might be a

play15:49

guy who Skyler Thompson's probably not

play15:51

gonna get too much down the field maybe

play15:54

he leans on Janu again in this one but I

play15:57

like the you

play15:59

and zero pass blocks for JN Smith in

play16:03

that game against Buffalo 31 pass snaps

play16:06

31 routes run that's that's what you

play16:09

like to see out of a tight end Sky

play16:11

Thompson has been terrible but that

play16:12

could actually work in jnu's favor

play16:16

yep Panthers Andy Dalton New Era old era

play16:21

I don't know whatever you want to call

play16:22

it but uh they're going to Vegas and

play16:27

Vegas is a what they I know it went down

play16:30

from Seven I think it's a four five

play16:33

right now yeah four or five let's see

play16:35

exactly I'm

play16:37

curious what was the Andy D

play16:41

bump five and a half so about a point

play16:44

about a point and a half when it might

play16:46

be worth more than that uh who do you

play16:48

like in this one total is is is pretty

play16:50

low too but yeah it went up to 41 it was

play16:53

under it was about 38 39 before the

play16:56

Bryce Young News yeah I like uh trba

play16:58

hubber here 5200 a much better play in

play17:01

this price range compared to like C

play17:03

Herbert Hubbert I would actually

play17:05

consider in cash games I think he's

play17:07

offering quite a bit of value but you

play17:09

know Annie Dalton's GNA give this

play17:10

offense a boost so you could yeah take a

play17:13

flyer on Deontay Johnson um Adam felen

play17:16

guys like that will certainly get a

play17:18

boost but I think hubbert's gonna get

play17:20

arguably the best boost because just

play17:22

it's going to be a much more efficient

play17:23

offense they're going to convert third

play17:25

Downs which will set up early Downs for

play17:27

you know Hubbert to get a run um he's

play17:30

really operating as the pass catching

play17:32

back so I think Dalton will also uh make

play17:34

sure to check down quite a bit so I just

play17:37

like hub's upside um you know running

play17:40

the ball passing and possibly getting

play17:42

some goal line Chances with Annie Dalton

play17:44

under Center so just a lot to like with

play17:46

this this offense um shifting to Dalton

play17:49

I think uh people are probably still

play17:51

going to be down the Panthers which

play17:52

rightfully so but I think this is a

play17:54

great time to invest in someone like

play17:56

hubber especially against the Raiders um

play17:58

he's 5200 like this this price um you

play18:02

know based on my projection for him he

play18:03

should probably be worth closer to like

play18:06

6,500 uh is where my expected salary is

play18:09

so I think you're getting a really good

play18:10

value on him again great for cash games

play18:12

but also for gpps I don't think he's

play18:14

going to be that highly owned I don't

play18:16

think people are racing to to invest in

play18:18

Panther players but I think hubard could

play18:20

be under the radar this week for a

play18:22

pretty good

play18:23

week yeah I mean we kind of talked about

play18:25

this in the in the preseason just how we

play18:28

don't know when Brooks is going to be

play18:29

back and we don't really know what kind

play18:30

of shape he like what kind of role he'll

play18:32

he's not just going to be thrust

play18:33

necessarily into a feature back role so

play18:36

you know it's been ugly with Bryce but

play18:38

justy I mean it's been what under three

play18:42

yards a play or something like that like

play18:43

it's just been terrible efficiency for

play18:45

that entire offense so something as

play18:48

simple as a bump to like bad instead of

play18:51

like historically awful yeah for this

play18:53

offense could do wonders for a guy like

play18:56

hubard who's still you mentioned in that

play18:58

lead role so yeah I like him as

play19:01

well uh

play19:04

Baltimore Dallas uh gotta

play19:07

go with some jayen her about say jayn

play19:13

jayn Tolbert excuse me I was combining

play19:16

talk about Dart throw holy right yeah I

play19:19

don't even know if he exists but uh you

play19:22

know tobert kind of came on waiting

play19:24

garbage time maybe him and dak's

play19:26

connection uh starting to to improve

play19:28

improve a little bit uh I think his

play19:30

first you know three or four targets

play19:32

were all incompletions but he ended up

play19:36

what was

play19:38

[Music]

play19:39

it six catches for 82 which uh is is

play19:44

something that they're gonna need at

play19:47

some point because Brandon Cooks you

play19:49

know he we liked him heading in week two

play19:50

he kind of disappeared he's gonna be

play19:53

inconsistent the tight ends still banged

play19:55

up so uh this cowboys offense was huming

play19:58

the most when it had lamb and then it

play20:00

had you know other guys like Cooper and

play20:02

Gallop before the injury just threats

play20:06

you know all around to take some of the

play20:07

pressure off CD lamb and Tolbert is a

play20:10

guy that kind of had eyed for that role

play20:12

and then it looked like jayn Brooks

play20:13

might overtake him he's a super dark

play20:15

throw too but I think Tolbert showed

play20:18

enough to where he's probably gonna get

play20:20

more opportunities now uh you know to

play20:22

really cement himself as that number

play20:24

three receiver before this I was kind of

play20:26

leaning toward Brooks potentially

play20:28

overtaking him sooner than later but you

play20:31

know he looked decent late in that game

play20:33

and this is a game now against Baltimore

play20:35

where it could be a pass game script for

play20:37

the Cowboys and it's kind of always a

play20:39

pass game script for the Cowboys because

play20:41

you don't have even Tony Pard anymore

play20:44

your running backs are Ezekiel Elliott

play20:45

and Rico D so uh yeah you just paid Dak

play20:48

you just gave him the bag so uh let's

play20:51

let's play Tolbert to keep it going

play20:55

here uh what's up next Let's see we got

play20:58

got the yeah the ners I mean how crazy

play21:02

is that that they they always own the

play21:05

Rams but like Debo goes on uh or he's

play21:09

Debo essentially KN ruled out and cafre

play21:13

is already out and yet the line goes in

play21:16

the Niners favor on I mean it's not

play21:18

really Road Road Interstate but Niners

play21:21

are a touchdown favorite the total is is

play21:25

in the mid-40s so it's this could go

play21:28

either way

play21:29

what do you like for for this one yeah I

play21:31

think I saw a tweet that said they might

play21:33

have to play this game inside of a MRI

play21:35

machine but just so many just brutal

play21:38

injuries um I I think it goes about

play21:41

saying Jordan Whittington at 4200 I know

play21:43

you love him I like him as well if there

play21:46

ever a time to take him it's this week

play21:47

before before the eruption game you got

play21:50

to take him so he's worth a flyer this

play21:51

week um normally I reserve uh this for

play21:55

Showdown slates but I think this is the

play21:57

first time ever I'm giving it a fullback

play21:59

as a dart throw on a main slate cuz I am

play22:03

telling you to drink the juice with me

play22:05

Kyle us Che at

play22:08

4K um granted he's still just a dice

play22:11

roll for big gpps you're trying to

play22:13

really differentiate your lineup but

play22:15

he's essentially feeling in as you know

play22:17

a pass catching back for mcaffrey out

play22:20

and now Debo out um could even earn him

play22:23

even more targets he saw five targets

play22:25

last game uh could even see him get his

play22:28

annual touchdown in this game uh which

play22:31

will really give him you know gpp

play22:32

winning score at just 4K so like I said

play22:36

if they're ever a week to drink the

play22:37

juice it's this one I'm projecting him

play22:39

over two receptions I don't think I've

play22:40

ever done that uh but again like he's

play22:43

gonna be more involved than we've ever

play22:45

seen uh this week so um I I think use

play22:49

check you got to do it you got to take a

play22:51

fullback on the mainl at least once in

play22:53

your life uh and this week I will be

play22:55

doing that

play22:58

oh man I I thought I I actually thought

play23:00

you were going to go with uh gendo I

play23:02

know you liked him a little bit in the

play23:03

preseason and I at some point like

play23:06

Mason's getting such a heavy workload

play23:08

that like talk about being ahead of it

play23:09

but I think Winnington you know he's

play23:12

he's yeah there's there's a lot of that

play23:14

you got wait Corum Joan Jennings if

play23:17

they're ever a game to take Joan

play23:18

Jennings this is it too where's my guy

play23:21

uh uh Jacob call he's isn't he usually

play23:24

on the kick turn team him and dend make

play23:26

them play offense this game come on yeah

play23:29

who like C uh who's like someone's going

play23:32

to take like uh some of these like

play23:34

Jennings is going to step up who's gonna

play23:37

take the Debo snaps is it like Ronnie

play23:39

Bell is it coing it can't be Bell for

play23:42

now just but they also you know Conley

play23:45

as a run blocker I know they like but if

play23:48

if they need guys a guy to run rout but

play23:50

WR now you know it's going to be it's

play23:51

going to be juice check just more

play23:53

fullback two one person now and uh I

play23:55

think Eric sober played more as well

play23:58

backup tight end because they don't

play23:59

usually go to tight ends because they

play24:01

have so they were so loaded at running

play24:03

back and and a wide receiver but you can

play24:06

see more so it's kind of it's all over

play24:07

the place this is Dart throw dart throw

play24:09

Heaven this game's Dart throw

play24:13

Heaven uh it might be heaven for points

play24:16

in Cardinals lines or it might not be

play24:18

because I was on a really high under

play24:21

total and it went under easily last week

play24:23

with the Lions going what one for seven

play24:25

I think it was in the red zone so you

play24:26

never know but they are

play24:28

going to Arizona 51 and a half the total

play24:32

uh so another one of these high total

play24:34

games and with am man raw getting a

play24:37

little bit banged up in the last one I

play24:39

think uh Tim Patrick is going to get

play24:42

elevated again it seems like they were

play24:44

kind of working him in and maybe they

play24:46

got him uh ticketed for the uh old Josh

play24:50

Reynolds role because they really needed

play24:52

a bigger bodied guy in that role you

play24:54

know khif Raymond is is nice but he's

play24:57

more of a g

play24:58

guy who they they want to keep fresh for

play25:01

uh the return game so uh Tim Patrick

play25:04

finally got called up along with Tom

play25:06

Kennedy but uh even though Kennedy's

play25:08

been there a lot longer Patrick played

play25:11

more on offense and so this is a spot

play25:14

where he could you know continue to see

play25:17

his role increased because I think he

play25:19

again he's that prototypical kind of uh

play25:21

you know ex receiver type that they're

play25:23

looking for in that spot a 36% route

play25:26

rate last week uh Raymond was down to

play25:28

41% and uh Kennedy was at 9% so uh

play25:33

Patrick could jump up you know into that

play25:36

50% 60% range and he has been a

play25:38

productive player in the past I think

play25:41

everyone's going to kind of look at uh

play25:43

you know J and jam Williams there's so

play25:45

many options Montgomery Gib I mean like

play25:48

if Patrick's active no one's Really

play25:50

Gonna think about him because you want

play25:51

all these studs but uh you know he's

play25:54

kind of that other guy similar to how

play25:55

Reynolds would pop every once in a while

play25:57

uh who could be that you know fifth guy

play26:00

uh piece of that offense so like Patrick

play26:02

just make sure make sure that he's uh

play26:05

he's going to be active you know monitor

play26:07

that because uh I believe it's a it's a

play26:09

four what is it a four Easter H eight

play26:12

yeah 4 pm Eastern start yeah so oh okay

play26:17

yeah you're gonna have to just kind of

play26:18

monitor the news there um or use them on

play26:20

weight slates or whatnot or uh you know

play26:23

switch them

play26:27

out for

Rate This

5.0 / 5 (0 votes)

関連タグ
NFL AnalysisFantasy FootballPlayer InsightsGame ScriptTight EndWide ReceiverRushing YardsPassing GameFantasy PointsSleeper PicksDraft Strategy
英語で要約が必要ですか?