ICT Forex - What New Traders Should Focus On

The Inner Circle Trader
9 Dec 201728:31

Summary

TLDRこのビデオスクリプトは、新しいトレーダーが研究し練習すべき内容について説明しています。価格アクション、リクイディティ、注文ブロック、そして利益のスケーリングなど、様々なICT概念を簡潔に紹介しています。特に、価格アクションの基本的な要素である高確度エントリーポイントやリスク管理の重要性を強調しています。デモトレードでの練習を通じて、トレーディングの基本的なスキルを身につけることを勧めます。

Takeaways

  • 📈 新しい初心者トレーダーが学び、練習すべき内容について解説するシリーズの開始です。
  • 🎯 目標は、短く、簡潔で内容が密集的であるチュートリアルを作成することです。
  • 💡 covered in the module: 流動性理論、レイドやストップランの紹介、流動性プール、高い確率の流動性プールのロケーション、ICT注文ブロック、高精度エントリーポイント、低ドローダウンエントリー戦術、利益のスケーリング、そして間違いが発生した場合の利益の確保方法。
  • 🌐 初心者トレーダーが市場に入ると、特にForexのように急速で刺激的な市場に酔いしれがちです。
  • 📊 チャート上のオープン、ハイ、ロー、クローズの4つの参考点を理解することが重要です。
  • 🚫 零售業者が教えるエリオット波、供給と需要、調和パターン、動物パターンなどは、チャートに載せるだけで分心になります。
  • 🧠 市場の動きを理解することは、成功する可能性を高めるために不可欠です。
  • 📈 初心者トレーダーは、デモトレードで20〜30パイプを目指すことを学ぶべきです。
  • 🛑 忍耐と規律を教えることで、トレーダーは市場の動きを理解し、高い確率のシナリオとセットアップを探し求めることで、長期的な取引の鍵をつかみます。
  • 📊 ICT注文ブロックとその低いリスクエントリーポイントの使用方法、およびターゲット設定と利益確定の方法が解説されています。

Q & A

  • 新しい初心者トレーダーは何を勉強し、練習すべきですか?

    -新しい初心者トレーダーは、流動性理論、レイドやストップラン、流動性プールの導入、高い確率の流動性プールの場所を特定する方法、ICT注文ブロックの導入、高精度のエントリーポイント、低ドローダウンのエントリー戦術、利益のスケーリング、そして誤った場合でもお金を稼ぐ方法を学ぶべきです。

  • ICTのチュートリアルはどのようにして新しいトレーダーに役立つか?

    -ICTのチュートリアルは、初心者トレーダーが市場で避けるべき落とし穴を回避し、価格アクションの基本的な要素を理解することを目的としています。また、デモトレードでの練習を通じて、リスク無しで良い習慣を身につけ、成功する可能性を高めることができます。

  • 価格アクションにおいて、時間ファクターはどのようすることができるか?

    -価格アクションにおいて、時間ファクターは重要な要素ではありませんが、今後のレッスンで取り上げられることになります。価格はフラクタル的であるため、どの時間フレームでも同じタイプの形成やセットアップが見られます。

  • 初心者トレーダーはどのようにしてデモアカウントを効果的に利用するべきですか?

    -初心者トレーダーは、デモアカウントを利用して価格アクションを研究し、特定のパターンがどのくらい頻繁に発生するかを観察すべきです。また、一つの通貨ペアに焦点を当て、15分時間フレームを使用して、多くのシナリオを確認します。

  • ICT注文ブロックとは何ですか?

    -ICT注文ブロックは、価格アクションの中で特定の高値や低値を表すラインで、これらのレベルは注文が集まっている場所を示します。たとえば、等価な高値や低値を表すラインは、注文ブロックとして機能し、市場の動きを予測するために使用されます。

  • 初心者トレーダーはどのようにして取引のリスクを管理するべきですか?

    -初心者トレーダーは、デモアカウントでの練習を通じて、リスク管理を学ぶべきです。具体的な目標として、1週間に20から30円の利益を目指すことが推奨されています。この目標に向かって取引を行うことで、耐心等待と規律を学び、長期的な取引の成功に必要なスキルを身につけることができます。

  • Fibonacci回帰レベルはどのようにして最適な取引エントリーを提供するのですか?

    -Fibonacci回帰レベルは、市場の動きを予測し、最適な取引エントリーポイントを提供するために使用されます。たとえば、62%の回帰レベルで-shortポジションを取り、さらに低いレベルまで価格が下落する可能性があります。Fibonacciは、トレーダーが市場の動きを理解し、取引のタイミングを決めるのに役立ちます。

  • 価格が注文ブロックの下方向に移動する場合、どのような戦略を採用すべきですか?

    -価格が注文ブロックの下方向に移動する場合、トレーダーはそのブロックの下にあるsell stopsを攻撃する可能性があります。この場合、市場は10から20円以下のliquidity poolに下落し、sell stopsがトリガーされることを目標とします。トレーダーは、このシナリオが取引にとって適切かどうかを判断する必要があります。

  • 取引のリスクを減少させるためにどのようなアプローチを取ることができますか?

    -取引のリスクを減少させるために、トレーダーは利益を確定する戦略を取ることができます。例えば、10円から20円の利益を目標として、達成した後、ポジションの一部をクローズし、残りのポジションのストップロスを下げることで、リスクを減少させることができます。

  • 価格アクションのどの要素が最も重要だと考えられますか?

    -価格アクションにおいて最も重要な要素は、市場の動きを理解することです。市場が注文があるレベルに向かって移動するため、その認識がない場合、デモトレードでの成功を遂げる可能性は非常に低くなります。したがって、トレーダーは市場の動きを理解し、高い確率のシナリオとセットアップを探ることが重要です。

  • トレーディングの際に、どのくらいの利益を目指すべきですか?

    -トレーディングの際には、初心者トレーダーは1週間に20から30円の利益を目指すことが推奨されています。この低い閾値目標は、初心者トレーダーにとっては容易で、長期的な取引の成功に必要な耐心等待と規律を学ぶのに役立ちます。

Outlines

00:00

📚 新規トレーダーのためのマーケット入門

この段落では、トレーディング初心者向けに、より使いやすく簡潔にまとめられたビデオチュートリアルの開始が説明されています。オーソルは、過去の古典的なICTチュートリアルをよりユーザーフレンドリーにするための目標を持ち、コンテンツを短く密集的でありながら、時間的框架内での継続期間をより管理しやすいようにすることを目的としています。このモジュールでは、新しくトレーディングを始める人たちが学ぶべきこと、練習すべきことをカバーしており、マーケットのリキッドिटイ概念、停止ランズ、リキッドिटプールの紹介、高い確率のリキッドットプールの場所の特定、ICT注文ブロックの紹介、高精度エントリーポイント、低ドロウダウンエントリー戦術、ターゲットの高確率、あなたが誤っていた場合でも利益を上げる方法など、様々な概念やアイデアが実践的応用に使われます。

05:00

📈 価格アクションとチャート分析の基礎

この段落では、価格アクションの分析とチャートの基本的な考え方が説明されています。チャートは一日の時間フレームで、価格のオープン、ハイ、ロー、クローズの4つの基準点に基づいています。時間という要素はこのモジュールでは扱われませんが、後続のレッスンで触れられる予定です。価格アクションを見る際には、どの時間フレームでも同じように見ることができます。価格形成やセットアップは、どの時間フレームでも見られるという「フラクタル」の概念が重要です。オーソルは、市場の動きを理解することの重要性を強調し、成功する可能性を高めるために、デモトレードでの練習を行うことを推奨しています。

10:01

🎯 取引戦略:リキッドिटプールとターゲット設定

この段落では、取引におけるリキッドिटプールの理論と、取引のターゲット設定について説明されています。リキッドिटプールとは、注文が集まる場所であり、市場の動きを理解することで、リキッドिटプールを特定し、取引の成功を高めることができます。また、トレーダーは、売ordersが集まる場所を探し、その逆側のポジションを取ることで利益を上げる戦略を採用しています。この方法は、一般的なリテールトレーディングの教えとは異なり、インジケーターよりも価格アクション自体に注目するよう導きます。

15:01

🚀 取引の開始とリスク管理

この段落では、取引の開始方法とリスク管理の重要性が説明されています。オーソルは、取引を開始する際に、価格が特定のレベルに到達するのを待つこと、そしてリスクを管理する方法について詳細に説明しています。特に、デモアカウントでの練習を通じて、耐心等待し、規律を守ることが強調されています。この方法は、初心者が毎週20〜30ピップの目標を設定し、それに基づいて取引を行うことを助けます。このアプローチは、取引の持続可能性を高めるための重要なステップとされています。

20:03

📊 チャート分析:ICT注文ブロックとトレードエントリー

この段落では、ICT注文ブロックとトレードエントリーの戦略について説明されています。注文ブロックは、価格が特定のレベルに戻る時に形成され、トレーダーがエントリーポイントを見つけるための技法です。この方法は、リスクを低減し、ターゲットを明確に設定するのに役立ちます。オーソルは、チャートの注文ブロックを見つけ、それに基づいてエントリーとターゲットを設定する方法を詳細に説明しています。また、価格が注文ブロックに戻る際の具体的なシグナルや、トレードのリスク管理についても言及されています。

25:03

🛍 取引の収益化とポジション管理

最後の段落では、取引の収益化とポジション管理の戦略が説明されています。オーソルは、ポジションを収益化する方法と、市場の動きに応じてポジションを管理する重要性を強調しています。具体的には、ポジションの一部を早期にクローズし、残りのポジションでは利益を最大化することをお勧めします。また、市場の動きに応じてストップロスを調整し、利益を確保するためのアプローチも取り上げられています。この段落は、トレーダーが市場でのポジションを効果的に管理し、収益を最大化するための重要な情報を提供しています。

Mindmap

Keywords

💡価格行動 (Price Action)

価格行動は、為替市場において価格の動きを分析する方法であり、チャート上の開盤価格、最高価格、最低価格、終値を用いて市場のパターンを理解します。このビデオでは、新初心者トレーダーが価格行動をどのように捉え、取引に活かすかについて説明されています。

💡リキッドITY (Liquidity)

リキッドITYは、資産を迅速かつ容易に取引することができる市場の流動性を指します。このビデオでは、リキッドITYプールの概念や、高い確率のリキッドITYプールの場所を特定する方法について学ぶことができます。

💡オーダーブロック (Order Block)

オーダーブロックは、特定の価格レベルに集まる注文のグループを指し、そのレベルでの買い売り活動が集中していることを示します。トレーダーはオーダーブロックを利用して、市場の動きを予測し、取引の入り場を選びます。

💡デモトレード (Demo Trade)

デモトレードは、実際の資金をリスクにさらすことなく、取引プラットフォーム上で仮想通貨を取引する訓練方法です。このビデオでは、デモトレードを通じてトレーディングスキルを磨き、リスク無料で市場の動きを学ぶことが推奨されています。

💡スケーリング利益 (Scaling Profits)

スケーリング利益は、利益を最大化するために、成功した取引のポジションを増やし、利益を拡大することを指します。このビデオでは、利益をスケールアップする方法や、市場の動きに応じてポジションを調整する戦略が説明されています。

💡リスク管理 (Risk Management)

リスク管理は、取引における損失を最小限に抑えるために採用される戦略であり、ストップロスやポジションサイズの調整を通じてリスクを制御します。このビデオでは、リスク管理の重要性や、トレーダーが損失を最小限に抑える方法が説明されています。

💡Fibonacci (フェイボナッチ)

フェイボナッチは、数学的なプロパティに基づくトレーディングツールで、市場のサポートと抵抗レベルを識別するために使用されます。このビデオでは、フェイボナッチを用いて最適なエントリーポイントを算出する方法が説明されています。

💡オーダー (Order)

オーダーは、市場において売買を行うための注文を指し、価格や数量などの条件を設定して実行されます。このビデオでは、市場の注文がどのように価格の動きに影響を与え、それを利用した取引戦略について学ぶことができます。

💡サポート・レジスタンス (Support and Resistance)

サポートとレジスタンスは、価格が下落または上昇する際に抵抗を示す価格レベルを指します。サポートは価格が下落時に強く支撑されるレベルで、レジスタンスは価格が上昇時に強い抵抗を受けるレベルです。トレーダーはこれらのレベルを利用して、市場の動きを予測します。

💡ストップラン (Stop Run)

ストップランは、市場において多数の売買注文が同時に実行される状況を指し、通常は価格の急激な動きを引き起こします。このビデオでは、ストップランが発生した際にどのように取引を適切に行うかについて学ぶことができます。

💡ターゲット (Target)

ターゲットは、トレーディングにおいて利益を狙う価格レベルを指します。トレーダーは、エントリーポイントから設定されたターゲット価格まで価格が動くことを期待します。このビデオでは、ターゲット設定の方法や、利益を確保するための戦略が説明されています。

Highlights

The speaker introduces a new series of tutorials aimed at being more user-friendly and concise compared to previous vintage ICT tutorials.

The goal of the tutorials is to cover essential concepts for new traders, including liquidity, stop runs, and high-probability trading strategies.

The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the theory of liquidity and how it affects market movements.

A key concept introduced is the idea of focusing on price action and identifying high-probability liquidity pools in the market.

The speaker shares personal experiences as a trader, highlighting the common pitfalls and emotional challenges faced by new traders in the Forex market.

The教程 emphasizes the need to unlearn common retail trading strategies and adopt an institutional mindset for successful trading.

The speaker introduces the concept of using double tops and double bottoms as indicators of potential market movements.

The importance of practicing with a demo account is stressed, focusing on developing good habits and risk-free learning.

The speaker explains how to identify and use order blocks and Fibonacci levels for optimal trade entry.

A practical example is given on how to trade using the bearish ICT order block and low-risk entry points.

The speaker outlines a strategy for managing trades, including setting stop-losses and taking profits at specific price levels.

The concept of scaling profits and managing drawdowns is introduced as a crucial aspect of trading success.

The speaker provides a detailed walk-through of a real trade, explaining the thought process and decisions made during the trade.

The importance of patience and discipline in trading is emphasized, with advice on setting realistic profit expectations for new traders.

The speaker concludes by encouraging traders to focus on high-probability setups and avoid common retail trading distractions.

Transcripts

play00:12

[Laughter]

play00:16

[Music]

play00:47

hello folks welcome back all right so

play00:50

we're embarking on a new journey for

play00:54

some of you and for those who have gone

play00:56

through my old vintage ICT tutorials

play00:59

these will probably be a little bit more

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user friendly and concise I did have the

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aim and goal in mind to make them as

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short concise is dense as possible with

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content but still not be so long in a

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time window

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I want the durations to be a little bit

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more manageable so that was the goal for

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this this round of tutorials we're gonna

play01:29

be talking about what should new traders

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study and practice ok so what's gonna be

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covered in this module

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ok the ICT concepts used in this one

play01:46

there's gonna be the theory of liquidity

play01:48

raids or stop runs introduction to

play01:53

liquidity pools

play01:58

how to locate high probability liquidity

play02:01

pools introduction of the ICT order

play02:07

block high accuracy entry points low

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drawdown entry tactics high probability

play02:18

targeting the benefits of scaling

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profits and how to make money when you

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are wrong all these concepts and ideas

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are going to be used in practical

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application but before we show you that

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it's important to begin with a overview

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okay so when we look at price action as

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a new trader you're going to come into

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the marketplace especially with Forex

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because it's so exciting it's fast paced

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it's it's a wonderful mark it's a

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beautiful market it gives plenty of

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opportunities you can be day trading it

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you can scalp it you can position trade

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it you can swing trade it it's

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absolutely phenomenal I love it it's a

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to me it's the best asset class today

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however like you when I first got

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engaged in the study of price action for

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Forex I quickly found myself doing a lot

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of things I should have been doing and

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what's worse is I was an experienced

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trader from other asset classes stocks

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bonds commodities and I did trade the

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currency markets by way of the futures

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market so you would think having a

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decade of or more really of experience

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before getting involved in the foreign

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exchange market that I would have had a

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little bit better grasp on my emotions

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in my excitement but that didn't happen

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because it's 24-hour market it moved

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around very liquid and it was like a

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it's like a candy store for me so I did

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a lot of things wrong and I've learned

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over the years and these videos are

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gonna help you avoid a lot of those

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pitfalls so we're gonna cover an element

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of price action that I think is

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essential and if you have no previous

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trading experience if you've not

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opted your mind with the retail stuff

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that is promoted in the industry you're

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actually added advantage okay folks that

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have gone through trading courses and

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material are going to have some

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hardships with this not just with this

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teaching but all of the ones I'm going

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to be teaching the constant theme is I

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want you to think about the market place

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completely opposite to what retail

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teaches so retail is like Elliott Wave

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supply and demand harmonic patterns

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animal patterns all these things that

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you put on your charts they're all

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distractions all you need to know is the

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open high low and close okay there's

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four reference points that make up price

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and we make charts based on those four

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reference points now we have an element

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of time that's a factor that won't be

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talked about in this module but I will

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talk about it in coming lessons but I

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want you to think about when for

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instance we're looking at this chart

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here now this is - happens to be the day

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of this recordings Eurodollar okay it's

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a 15-minute time frame and I want you to

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look at it and maybe some things jump

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off maybe other things aren't so

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apparent or obvious to you but I want to

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kind of change your perspective on price

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action and I want you to focus in on

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areas in price action it doesn't make a

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difference what time frame you look at

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okay because price is fractal meaning

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that the things that you can see on one

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time frame they can be seen on the lower

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time frame or the higher time frame as

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well so it's a phenomena it's it repeats

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itself okay the same type of formation

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or setup can be seen on every time frame

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so when we look at price or how I teach

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my students to look at price I want them

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to first understand what makes the

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markets move okay without understanding

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that your probabilities of being

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successful in developing yourself in a

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demo trade is highly unlikely and you

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must

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forget about becoming a live fun trader

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if you can't do well in a demo you're

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not going to do well on a live account

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everything that I'm teaching here should

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be done in the medium of a demo all of

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my teaching is done in a demo and that's

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just the best way to do it play in the

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sandbox

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it's risk free and you learn to develop

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good habits this way so what do you do

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with a demo account well before you even

play06:51

put on trades I think that it you should

play06:54

be studying price action like this okay

play06:57

I want you to think where every one

play07:01

else's trade idea would fail them now

play07:06

think about that because when you read

play07:08

books they tell you buy here sell here

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your stops here try to aim for this

play07:14

target ok so they're geared towards

play07:17

getting you into a move and the stop

play07:21

losses are pretty generic below an old

play07:24

low above an old high I have started a

play07:29

new wave of free membership followers

play07:32

online and they have shared their

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enthusiasm with the discovery of

play07:37

something so simple but it evades most

play07:40

traders even traders that have been

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trading for a long period of time if you

play07:45

look at periods in price action where

play07:47

there are equal highs and equal lows

play07:50

this is the easiest most obvious price

play07:53

point to see in charts every time you

play07:56

see that I want you to note that ok put

play08:00

a small little trendline horizontal ok

play08:02

and that's the only type of trendline I

play08:04

like we're delineating previous points

play08:08

where it made equal highs or slightly

play08:10

higher or lower it doesn't make a

play08:12

difference if it's exactly or if it's

play08:16

off by one or two pips the general theme

play08:19

is if it looks close enough then it's a

play08:22

double top or a double bottom now retail

play08:25

circles will teach that these are good

play08:26

areas to trade off of as support

play08:28

resistance institutional minded traders

play08:31

think entirely different they know

play08:34

what's sitting above there's equal highs

play08:35

its traders by stops

play08:38

and they know what's residing below the

play08:39

equal lows traders cell stops so the way

play08:44

institutional mindset is poised about

play08:48

looking at price action they're looking

play08:51

for counterparties they're looking for

play08:54

the opposite side of their trade so when

play08:58

everyone else is in the retail world

play08:59

looking for indicators to give them buy

play09:02

and sell points institutions are

play09:04

actually thinking where are the orders

play09:06

resting right now in the easiest way I

play09:09

have learned to teach traders to start

play09:11

with and there's other ways to do this

play09:12

but as far as I'm gonna go in the free

play09:16

content this is the only one I'm going

play09:18

to teach and it's a very simple one in

play09:20

literally a five-year-old can see it in

play09:22

the chart so anytime you see a double

play09:25

bottom or a double top put a small

play09:28

little segment or a line above it or

play09:30

below it delineating it and put a

play09:32

notation what it is above double tops on

play09:36

your chart make a small little notation

play09:37

that it's by stops and below equal lows

play09:40

cell stops and I want you to study do

play09:44

not demo trade do not try to pick the

play09:46

direction I want you to study it for one

play09:49

full month do nothing else pick one or

play09:53

two pairs literally go through and watch

play09:56

how many times this phenomenon takes

play09:58

place you can look at it on any

play10:00

timeframe but I think a 15 minute time

play10:02

frame is ideal because you'll see a lot

play10:05

of scenarios to pan out now I traded two

play10:08

markets today at the time this recording

play10:10

I sold short the dollar cad and also so

play10:13

sold short the euro dollar okay both

play10:16

pairs generally do not move in the same

play10:18

direction but I knew there was a strong

play10:22

likelihood that the dollar cad would

play10:24

sell off aggressively and therefore any

play10:26

movement down in the euro dollar would

play10:29

be a suspect decline and it would be

play10:31

reaching for sell stops so that's gonna

play10:32

be the context behind what you see me do

play10:35

later on in this video that was a

play10:36

recorded trade so as we're looking at

play10:39

price I want you to take a look at this

play10:41

area rate in here okay we have equal

play10:44

lows and price has already went above an

play10:48

old high and broke down and it's found

play10:51

an area of

play10:52

consolidation and this is the very

play10:54

consolidation that I taught you how to

play10:57

trade the New York set up for scalping I

play11:01

want you to think about that if this is

play11:05

a short where could you reasonably

play11:07

expect to see price go well obviously we

play11:10

would expect it to go lower but

play11:12

targeting what specifically well we know

play11:14

there's equal lows here and I like to

play11:18

look at old lows and old highs and

play11:21

project 10 to 20 pips beyond those

play11:24

double bottoms and double tops so in

play11:26

this double bottom folks see that as

play11:29

support price comes down hits it here

play11:32

retail minded traders are going to see

play11:34

this rally up as a buy I do not want you

play11:38

to think that I want you to think the

play11:40

opposite I want you to think that this

play11:43

whole scenario is just the market

play11:45

getting ready to sink and go lower and

play11:47

attack the sell stops that are below the

play11:50

market place here for those traders that

play11:51

have been fortunate enough to be long in

play11:53

all this movement Road up to this high

play11:56

but still did not take profits and have

play11:58

open positions and their protective sell

play12:01

stops are gonna be trailed up below

play12:02

these lows so institutional minded

play12:05

traders they're gonna see this as

play12:07

liquidity the market will drop down 10

play12:12

to 20 pips below equal lows and that in

play12:14

itself you need to be determining

play12:16

whether or not that's a trade that's

play12:17

viable for you so what's a viable trade

play12:20

I teach that my students as a new trader

play12:22

should think about 20 to 30 pips per

play12:26

week to start and that's a very very low

play12:30

threshold objective it's easy to get

play12:32

probably doesn't feel that way now as a

play12:34

new trader but I promise you over a few

play12:37

lessons you'll see how very easy it is

play12:40

to find 20 or 30 pips over the course of

play12:41

a week the problem is gonna be your

play12:43

ability to refrain from trading once you

play12:46

get it in your demo account you should

play12:48

exercise patience and not do any more

play12:51

weight to the next week because this

play12:53

teaches two important and crucial

play12:56

elements to longevity and trading number

play12:58

one it teaches patience patience waiting

play13:01

for the next set up now there's gonna be

play13:02

a lot of gyrations in the chart that's

play13:04

going to draw your attention you're

play13:05

going to want to do

play13:05

something with it there's nothing wrong

play13:07

with paper trading it in other words

play13:08

making notations and saying okay I would

play13:09

hypothetically do this and

play13:11

hypothetically do that but when you

play13:13

practice practice with a demo account

play13:15

doing one execution manage it to get 20

play13:19

to 30 pips for the week and then stop

play13:21

don't do any more demonstrating and it

play13:23

also teaches discipline so you're

play13:26

forcing yourself to follow rules

play13:28

everyone else is taught in the books to

play13:31

trade your edge keep doing the same

play13:34

thing over again while your hands hot

play13:35

play it hard

play13:36

that's this foolish we're not gambling

play13:38

we're looking for high probability

play13:40

scenarios and setups so we have to

play13:43

understand what that is so in in

play13:45

addition to and a compliment to the high

play13:49

probability scalping course I'm using

play13:52

this first video to kind of like segue

play13:55

into a little bit more detail I want you

play14:00

to think about what makes price move

play14:02

prices move to levels where orders

play14:05

reside now orders reside above old highs

play14:09

and below old lows so if we see double

play14:14

toss and double bottoms our charts

play14:16

should be noted like this notice there

play14:19

is an absence of any kind of indicator

play14:21

except for now the application of a

play14:23

Fibonacci the Fibonacci is what I taught

play14:26

to use to get the optimal trade entry

play14:29

now what I'm going to show you here is

play14:30

the classic ICT optimal trade entry

play14:34

sixty two to seven times treatment level

play14:36

get short look for an objective going

play14:40

lower in here you can see how price did

play14:44

have several opportunities to get short

play14:47

at the sixty two percent tradesmen level

play14:48

now finally expanded down hit the first

play14:52

skilling objective which is the old low

play14:55

seam here then target one is hit target

play15:00

two is hit and then the symmetrical

play15:01

price swing okay all of these levels are

play15:04

in agreement with running below these

play15:07

equal lows so it's not the fact that the

play15:10

magic is done by the Fibonacci the

play15:13

understanding is is there's traders that

play15:15

have been going long here double bottom

play15:18

is going to have trail

play15:19

on their by positions ringing their cell

play15:23

stops up so the markets going to come

play15:25

back and grab those orders the market

play15:28

does in fact collect all the cell stops

play15:31

and then look at the nice vault higher

play15:34

in price afterwards this big response

play15:37

here is post sell stop rate in other

play15:42

words after the cell stops have been

play15:43

gathered up and tripped anybody that was

play15:45

long now has been knocked out so if they

play15:48

bought here or somewhere in this run up

play15:50

here okay they have been taken out they

play15:54

can't capitalize on anything going

play15:55

higher but what happens if you don't

play16:00

have the classic ICT optimal trade entry

play16:04

on your chart so you miss it what do you

play16:05

do well if you don't get into that

play16:08

Fibonacci 62 to start chasing level as

play16:10

that balance occurs here what are you

play16:14

left to do do you just let the trade go

play16:17

know over the years I've shared examples

play16:21

of me getting into a trade and for those

play16:25

individuals that aren't really

play16:26

interested in learning from me they

play16:28

they're quick to point and say well

play16:29

that's chasing price and you're gonna

play16:31

see just because we're not entering at

play16:33

the 60 to the 700 tradesman level and

play16:35

we're getting in somewhere down in here

play16:37

that's not chasing price it's absolutely

play16:40

not chasing price and I'll give you a

play16:42

perfect example of it in this recording

play16:44

but I want you to think about what can

play16:46

we do as traders if we don't get this

play16:50

area up here because I first taught that

play16:51

this is where you should get in it the

play16:53

problem is over the years I've been

play16:54

inundated with emails stating that folks

play16:57

don't have the courage to get in and

play16:58

they want to get in but many times they

play17:02

are too afraid to chase price because

play17:03

they heard me preach don't chase price

play17:05

don't chase price my definition of

play17:07

chasing price would be once it breaks

play17:09

below the low here then you are chasing

play17:11

price you if it's gone too far

play17:13

and you're too close to where the

play17:15

targets would be to be able to see a

play17:18

profit okay so what do we do well we can

play17:22

focus in above that low in this area

play17:27

right in here I'm gonna take you right

play17:28

into that area with a little bit more

play17:29

detail

play17:33

so this is that section of price action

play17:36

we just zoomed in and I want you to look

play17:39

at this the up candle right in here

play17:43

prior to this down move this is what I

play17:45

refer to as a bearish ICT order block

play17:48

now every up close candle and every down

play17:52

close candle does not make a order block

play17:55

okay there has to be a context or a

play17:58

storyline behind why the price should be

play18:00

doing what you anticipate it doing in

play18:02

this case we think that the cell stops

play18:04

below the marketplace are going to be

play18:06

rated any time we see an up close candle

play18:10

smart money will be in that candle

play18:13

selling short but how can we use that

play18:16

information well this very next candle

play18:20

if you read the annotations on the chart

play18:23

here price actually returns back to the

play18:25

bearish order block low okay now what's

play18:27

the low of this candle right here price

play18:29

is returning back to it rate the time of

play18:31

this candle is closed it hits that low

play18:34

at that time that's a low risk entry

play18:38

despite trading lower initially we can

play18:41

wait for price to read trade back to the

play18:43

order block to get in if we know what

play18:45

we're looking for

play18:46

so this read trade back to the bearish

play18:49

order block is a low risk entry point

play18:53

now if the short is valid this up close

play18:56

candle will hold price below it until

play19:00

the targets are reached on this case the

play19:02

sell stops that we'd be talking below

play19:04

the equal lows now notice also in here

play19:09

as long as price is still above this low

play19:13

this setup is staged properly to reach

play19:17

for the liquidity pool below there's

play19:18

equal lows I noted a moment ago in the

play19:20

recording now as long as it's a boat

play19:23

above this low right here the setup is

play19:26

still valid but now I want you to think

play19:28

about this formation right here this

play19:32

candle already starts moving lower it

play19:34

went down to this point here and then

play19:36

started trading back up higher at that

play19:38

moment while you're watching price right

play19:41

in here that's when you time your entry

play19:44

notice that the candles retracing right

play19:45

back to the ICT bearish order blocks low

play19:48

that's this up close candles low that is

play19:51

exactly when your entries made at the

play19:53

market institutional traders will short

play20:02

during up moves now when price returns

play20:05

back to these up close candles we can be

play20:07

shorting it as well alright so now back

play20:14

to our example here if we see that we

play20:19

can find levels that have double tops

play20:21

and double bottoms in the market we'll

play20:22

want to go through them once this occurs

play20:26

chances are the markets going to go the

play20:28

opposite direction until it reaches

play20:30

another area of liquidity so the markets

play20:33

always gyrating back and forth back and

play20:35

forth

play20:35

seeking liquidity above the marketplace

play20:37

and below the market place below these

play20:41

equal lows there's a specific range that

play20:43

I look for it's 10 to 20 pips sometimes

play20:46

it can be as much as 30 pips but I give

play20:48

a working range of 10 to 20 pips so

play20:51

there's only two levels I'm looking for

play20:52

it's not a zone exactly 20 pips below

play20:56

that low at 118 84 it's one 1864 okay

play21:02

really simple specific price levels not

play21:04

zones not ambiguous areas to try to

play21:06

figure out what's going on it's exact

play21:09

it's a science we know exactly what

play21:10

we're looking for but the problem is

play21:14

what if we are expecting to sell short

play21:16

at that bearish order block at the low

play21:18

when it reads back to it does this offer

play21:20

potential for us to take a well we have

play21:26

an anticipated entry price at one 1891

play21:31

we have an anticipated 20 pip sell stop

play21:34

raid price at one 1864

play21:37

so no words we're anticipating getting

play21:39

in at one 1891 up here which is the low

play21:41

of this up close candle and we already

play21:44

know 20 pips below these lows the lowest

play21:46

of the to equal lows is what I use 20s

play21:49

below that that gives us a range low of

play21:51

1 1864 so now we have 2 price points to

play21:55

determine whether there's enough of a

play21:56

range to make

play21:57

profit you take to these two numbers and

play22:01

you - them 91 from 64 gives us 27 pips

play22:07

so we have anticipated range for

play22:09

profitable movement of 27 pips

play22:11

that is enough to take the scalp now

play22:16

what I want you to do is I want you to

play22:17

watch me use everything that's used here

play22:19

because this is what was going on in my

play22:21

mind before I actually executed and why

play22:24

I took the trade okay folks we're gonna

play22:32

be doing a short and I'm waiting for the

play22:40

trade right back to the bottom of this

play22:41

candle here set the traits to 1 1891

play22:47

also short not in a hurry if it takes

play22:53

off without me that's fine but I'm

play22:56

trading the bear shoulder block in here

play23:00

all right folks so I'll be looking for

play23:05

that price at 118 91 as soon as it hits

play23:09

it at market I will go short now my stop

play23:13

has to be above the up close candle or

play23:15

bearish order block but because of a

play23:17

spread in this demo account it forces

play23:19

you to be 10 pips away so I'm just gonna

play23:21

elect to go with one 19154 my stop okay

play23:27

it's about there i fingers on the

play23:32

trigger

play23:32

I'll have to do boom okay now I'm short

play23:37

my stop is just below one 1915 and I'm

play23:44

focusing my attention right below these

play23:46

equal lows because I want to see a sell

play23:48

stop raid so I'm gonna put my

play23:51

delineation somewhere that would be in

play23:53

terms of targeting and just in case I

play23:57

had my limit order lower down to here

play23:59

okay so if it goes down to that low and

play24:01

it's not a stop run I have a limit order

play24:05

to catch any accelerated price movement

play24:08

but I'm really targeting that 20 pip run

play24:10

so I have three Lots short I'm watching

play24:14

price I want to see it trade below that

play24:16

short term low we're flirting with and

play24:19

then have a range expansion below there

play24:22

so this recording is actually sped up

play24:25

for time purposes but right now we're

play24:28

retesting the bodies of the candles in

play24:29

the previous short-term low and now I'm

play24:31

gonna be looking for expansion on the

play24:32

downside and it'll reach 10 pips and

play24:36

hopefully 20 pips it's about two minutes

play24:38

late from 8:30 New York time usually

play24:41

it's a big volume increase for

play24:43

volatility and I'm setting my order up

play24:45

to collapse

play24:46

two of the three standard Lots that I'm

play24:50

short on Europe and I'm watching waiting

play24:53

to see if price gets down to that second

play24:55

level or 20 pips okay it's already

play25:00

showing 10 pips up the decline as soon

play25:02

as it hits that lower level line I'm

play25:04

gonna collapse two of them there you go

play25:06

and move my stop down to +1 now I'm in a

play25:09

situation where I don't really care but

play25:11

look at the entry points zero heat

play25:14

no drawl down on that entry no drawl

play25:17

down whatsoever it was not chasing price

play25:20

so I have two of the three standard Lots

play25:25

banked and now I'm watching price later

play25:27

on and I'm gonna be looking to lower to

play25:30

stop-loss and I may get lucky here and

play25:33

see a run down to that limit order but

play25:37

always keeping in mind that it started

play25:40

to trade with the context of it being

play25:42

just a stop run one sell stops so I want

play25:45

to be mindful of how much the price

play25:47

shows a willingness to stall or not want

play25:50

to go lower and I'm watching price in

play25:52

here to do that so I've collected a

play25:55

small portion of the position also now

play25:58

here's the second time taking something

play26:01

off so a very small portion of the

play26:04

original three standard Lots one that's

play26:06

the small little fragment of the

play26:09

position price does one more attempt to

play26:12

break lower again now it's ten o'clock

play26:18

so time has passed about a hour and a

play26:19

half is going by and at this time I'm

play26:23

watching price I do not want to see it

play26:24

reverse or start to show a sign of

play26:27

rejection stop has been lowered to now

play26:32

I'm gonna be trying to lock in 20 pips

play26:35

with my stop-loss

play26:37

as it breaks down I will lower my stop

play26:39

so that way if it does knock me out now

play26:41

I have 20 pips locked in 25 pips is

play26:44

locked in now we're in an area where it

play26:47

could start to reverse it could fail to

play26:49

get down to that other limit order so

play26:53

I'm not gonna be able to move to stop

play26:55

because the spread won't permit me to do

play26:56

so so I have to either allow my stop to

play27:01

be hit or my limit order to be taken or

play27:04

I can collapse the trade now I was away

play27:06

from the computer here at the time but

play27:07

had I been there I would have been

play27:09

collapsing right now well ultimately

play27:14

price comes back up and it does in fact

play27:17

stop me out eventually as you'll see

play27:24

but I profited along the way taking out

play27:27

small portions because you never know

play27:29

you never know if it's gonna go down to

play27:31

your objective and if you've taken the

play27:33

risk on initially that risk needs to be

play27:36

reduced to a point of which where it's

play27:39

no longer impactful and there's my

play27:40

stop-loss

play27:41

being tagged and there is the fruits of

play27:44

that short very very predictable in

play27:50

terms of price action and not a bad

play27:54

little scout for a run on stops the

play27:58

context was there everything was

play27:59

outlined and you can see the post trade

play28:02

results ultimately later on you can see

play28:06

as we showed in the beginning the video

play28:07

your dog does vault up higher after

play28:10

running those stops hopefully you found

play28:11

this insightful until next time wish you

play28:13

good luck and good trading

play28:22

you

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