Should You Buy Micron Stock on the Dip? | MU Stock Analysis | Best Semiconductor Stocks to Buy

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA
30 Aug 202408:19

Summary

TLDRMicron Technology's stock has seen a significant 27% drop in three months, prompting debate on whether it's a buying opportunity or a sign to sell. Despite the decline, the company's revenue has surged year-over-year, with robust AI demand and strategic market share gains in high-margin products. The CEO's optimism, supported by strong industry tailwinds and government support for U.S. manufacturing expansion, suggests a positive outlook. The stock's current valuation, with a forward P/E ratio of just 10, appears attractive against the backdrop of expected double-digit growth in the DRAM and storage industries. The video argues that Micron's fundamentals remain strong, making the dip a potential entry point for investors.

Takeaways

  • 📉 Micron Technology's stock price has declined by over 27% in the last 3 months.
  • 📈 Despite the recent dip, the stock is still up 11% year-to-date.
  • 💹 The company reported a significant increase in revenue to $6.81 billion in the latest quarter.
  • 🚀 Operating cash flow has also seen a substantial jump to $2.5 billion.
  • 🔄 Micron is recovering from a previous industry-wide inventory glut.
  • 📈 CEO highlights robust AI demand and execution leading to 177% growth.
  • 💼 The company is gaining market share in high-margin products like HBM and data center SSDs.
  • 🏭 Capital expenditures are high at $2.06 billion, or one-third of the latest quarter's revenue.
  • 🌐 Micron is benefiting from US government support for expanding manufacturing domestically.
  • 📊 Next quarter's revenue is forecasted to be $7.6 billion, an increase of $800 million from the previous quarter.
  • 📱 Smartphone sales in 2024 are expected to grow better than anticipated, benefiting Micron Technology.
  • 💼 Micron is trading at a forward P/E ratio of just 10, which seems cheap considering its growth prospects.
  • ⚠️ There are risks involved, including concerns over capital expenditures and market sentiment influenced by AI investing trends.

Q & A

  • Why has Micron Technology's stock declined by over 27% in the last three months?

    -The decline is likely due to investor concerns about the company’s significant capital expenditures and the belief that the stock price may have risen too quickly after strong performance earlier in the year.

  • What were Micron Technology's revenue and operating cash flow in the latest quarter?

    -Micron Technology generated $6.81 billion in revenue and $2.5 billion in operating cash flow in the latest quarter, showing strong year-over-year growth from $3.75 billion in revenue and only $24 million in operating cash flow the same quarter last year.

  • What factors contributed to Micron Technology’s strong financial performance?

    -Micron's recovery from an industry-wide inventory glut, robust AI demand, and strong execution were key factors, along with growth in high-margin products like HBM and record data center SSD revenue.

  • What is the outlook for Micron Technology's future growth?

    -Micron forecasts strong growth in 2025 with expected record revenues. The company also anticipates continued double-digit growth in both the DRAM and storage industries over the next several years.

  • How much did Micron Technology spend on capital expenditures in the latest quarter, and why is it significant?

    -Micron Technology spent $2.06 billion on capital expenditures, which represents about 33% of its revenue. The company is expanding its manufacturing capacity to support future growth, and it is receiving support from the U.S. government for this expansion.

  • Why are investors concerned about Micron's capital expenditures despite its positive growth prospects?

    -Some investors may be concerned that the high level of capital expenditures, which is a large portion of the company's revenue, could limit short-term profitability, despite the long-term growth potential.

  • How is Micron Technology benefiting from trends in the smartphone market?

    -Micron is benefiting from an increase in smartphone sales, especially as consumers upgrade to higher-tier phones with more memory and storage. This is boosting demand for Micron's products, particularly in DRAM and storage.

  • What are Micron Technology's projections for the next quarter?

    -Micron projects revenue of $7.6 billion for the next quarter, an increase of $800 million from the previous quarter, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of 61 cents, which is more than double the 30 cents EPS reported in the prior quarter.

  • How does Micron Technology’s valuation compare to other stocks?

    -Micron is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 10, which is relatively low for a company with its growth prospects. This suggests that the stock may be undervalued compared to other growth stocks.

  • What are the potential risks associated with investing in Micron Technology?

    -The risks include the possibility that the AI-driven market growth could slow down or that investor sentiment may turn negative due to concerns about the company's high capital expenditures. There’s also potential volatility due to external market factors like Nvidia’s performance influencing tech stocks.

Outlines

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Transcripts

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