GRID TRADING - How to Use it & Why it's Effective

Ryan Brown (ResponsibleForexTrading)
14 Nov 202109:29

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker shares their eight-year experience with grid trading, a technique that has provided them with a consistent and profitable edge in the market. They discuss the use of the Comeback Manager EA for grid and multi-order trading, which has yielded conservative gains over six months. The speaker emphasizes the importance of using equity stop losses over hard stop losses for greater flexibility and demonstrates the effectiveness of grid trading through a 21-year backtest. They also contrast grid trading with common retail trading strategies, highlighting its low-risk, high-flexibility approach, and the use of trend filters like the weekly ADX and Super Trend to identify strong trends for grid trading.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Grid trading is a technique that has provided the speaker with a long-term profitable edge over eight years.
  • 🤔 Most people struggle with understanding grid trading, particularly how to average in positions and where to place stop losses.
  • 🔍 The speaker has been refining their grid trading approach using specialized software like the Come Back to Manager EA for multi-order strategies.
  • 📊 The speaker's results over six months have been consistent, with conservative gains of 3-5% per month, aiming for long-term profitability.
  • 💡 Grid trading is often misused in high-risk ways; the speaker has developed a formula using equity stop losses for more flexibility.
  • 🧮 A back test over 21 years with the Come Back Manager EA showed an 11.33% maximum drawdown, indicating the strategy's long-term effectiveness.
  • 📉 The Come Back Manager EA uses trend filters like the weekly ADX and Super Trend to identify strong trends for grid trading within.
  • 🚫 The traditional approach to trading often leads to losses due to predictable patterns exploited by banks and institutions.
  • 🔄 Instead of predicting breakouts or support/resistance levels, grid trading allows for entering multiple orders to adapt to market movements.
  • 💼 The speaker's personal account uses a 15% maximum drawdown limit for grid trading, providing a balance between risk and flexibility.

Q & A

  • What is grid trading?

    -Grid trading is a technique where a trader places multiple orders at different price levels, aiming to profit from market fluctuations by averaging in positions and using stop losses effectively.

  • How long has the speaker been using grid trading?

    -The speaker has been using grid trading for the last eight years and has been continuously improving their approach.

  • What is the Comeback to Manager EA, and how does it relate to grid trading?

    -The Comeback to Manager EA is a specialized tool that the speaker uses for grid and multi-order trading techniques, which has shown consistent results over the last six months.

  • What is the speaker's target profit in the forex market?

    -The speaker is not looking for more than three to five percent profit per month in the forex market, as they consider this to be a conservative and sustainable gain over the long term.

  • How does the speaker incorporate grid trading techniques into their algorithms?

    -The speaker has programmed grid trading techniques into algorithms like Ranger and Vigorous, which have been running for several months, and the Big Risks algorithm, which has been running for almost 12 months.

  • What is the difference between hard stop losses and equity stop losses as mentioned in the script?

    -Hard stop losses are set at a fixed price level for each trade, while equity stop losses are dynamic and based on the overall equity of the trading account, providing more flexibility.

  • What was the outcome of the backtest using the Comeback Manager EA over 21 years?

    -The backtest showed an 11.33% maximum drawdown over the 21-year period, demonstrating the long-term effectiveness of grid trading when done correctly.

  • How does the speaker use trend filters in grid trading?

    -The speaker uses trend filters like the weekly ADX and the Super Trend to identify strong trends for grid trading within, focusing on trades that align with these trends.

  • Can you explain the concept of multi-order trading as described in the script?

    -Multi-order trading involves entering multiple trades at different price levels, allowing for flexibility and averaging in positions. It contrasts with single-order trading by spreading risk and aiming for an overall profit when the market moves in the intended direction.

  • What is the speaker's approach to managing risk in grid trading?

    -The speaker manages risk by setting a maximum drawdown limit of 15% on their account, which allows for flexibility in grid trading while still maintaining control over potential losses.

  • How does the speaker's grid trading strategy differ from typical retail trader approaches?

    -The speaker's grid trading strategy differs by not relying on predicting breakouts or support/resistance levels. Instead, it focuses on entering multiple orders with low initial risk and using equity stop losses for flexibility, aiming for smaller profits with less reliance on market predictions.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to Grid Trading

The speaker introduces grid trading as an effective yet underutilized trading technique. They share their eight-year journey with grid trading, emphasizing its long-term profitability. The speaker discusses common misconceptions about grid trading, such as the placement of stop losses, and introduces the 'Come Back to Manager EA', a tool they've used to enhance their grid trading strategy. They highlight the importance of conservative gains, aiming for 3-5% profit per month, and the use of grid trading in various algorithms over extended periods, demonstrating consistent results with minimal drawdown.

05:00

🔍 Deep Dive into Grid Trading Strategies

The speaker elaborates on their grid trading approach, focusing on the use of equity stop losses over hard stop losses to increase flexibility. They present a backtest of the Euro vs. US Dollar using the 'Come Back Manager EA', showcasing a 21-year test with a maximum drawdown of 11.33%, illustrating the technique's long-term effectiveness. The speaker also explains the use of multi-order trading, either with or against the trend, using trend filters like the weekly ADX and Super Trend to identify strong trends. They provide a practical example of entering multiple orders at different price levels, managing risk through grid trading, and achieving profits even in volatile market conditions. The speaker concludes by advocating for a methodical, non-predictive approach to trading, aiming for smaller profits with more flexibility and lower risk.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Grid Trading

Grid trading is a strategy that involves placing multiple orders at different price levels to take advantage of market volatility. It's effective because it allows traders to enter and exit positions systematically, regardless of market direction. In the video, the speaker has been using grid trading for eight years and has found it to be a profitable long-term approach, particularly when combined with other techniques like multi-order trading.

💡Averaging in Positions

Averaging in positions is a technique where a trader enters additional trades as the market moves against their initial position, thereby reducing the average cost of the position. This strategy is highlighted in the video as a key aspect of grid trading, allowing for flexibility and potentially reducing the impact of adverse market movements.

💡Stop Loss

A stop loss is an order placed by a trader to sell a security when it reaches a certain price, typically used to limit potential losses. The video discusses the importance of placing stop losses effectively in grid trading, with the speaker suggesting the use of equity stop losses as opposed to hard stop losses for greater flexibility.

💡Equity Stop Losses

Equity stop losses are a type of stop loss that is based on the overall equity of the trading account rather than a specific price level for each trade. This concept is introduced in the video as a method to manage risk in grid trading, allowing the trader to maintain a broader perspective on their overall exposure rather than focusing on individual trade levels.

💡Multi-Order Trading

Multi-order trading refers to the practice of placing multiple orders simultaneously or sequentially to capitalize on market movements. The video emphasizes the effectiveness of multi-order trading when used in conjunction with grid trading, especially within strong trends, as it provides a systematic approach to entering and exiting the market.

💡Trend Filters

Trend filters are tools or indicators used to identify the direction of a market trend. In the video, the speaker mentions using trend filters like the weekly ADX and the Super Trend to filter out the strongest trends for grid trading, which helps in determining the appropriate direction and timing for placing trades.

💡Breakout

A breakout in trading refers to the price of a security moving past a resistance or support level, often signaling a potential trend change. The video discusses how many traders look for breakouts as a trading opportunity, but also warns about the risks of fake breakouts, which can lead to stopped out trades and losses.

💡Support and Resistance

Support and resistance are price levels at which an asset's price tends to stop and reverse. Support is the price level where the asset is expected to find buying interest, while resistance is where selling interest is expected. The video explains how many traders use these levels to predict market movements, but also how this approach can be exploited by market institutions.

💡Drawdown

Drawdown in trading refers to the peak-to-trough decline during a specific period for an investment, before a new peak is achieved. The video mentions a maximum drawdown of 15% as a risk management strategy for grid trading, indicating the speaker's approach to balancing risk and reward in their trading strategy.

💡Consistent Gains

Consistent gains refer to a steady and reliable increase in profits over time. The video speaker mentions seeking conservative gains of three to five percent per month, emphasizing a long-term approach to trading rather than chasing large, immediate profits.

Highlights

Grid trading is an effective yet underused technique for long-term profitability.

The speaker has been refining their grid trading approach for eight years.

Grid trading involves averaging in positions and strategic stop loss placement.

The ComeBack Manager EA is used for grid and multi-order trading techniques.

Consistent but conservative gains are sought, aiming for 3-5% profit per month.

Grid trading is integrated into the Ranger and Vigorous algorithms for long-term testing.

The ComeBack Kid Manager EA effectively uses equity stop losses for flexibility.

A 21-year back test shows an 11.33% maximum drawdown, indicating long-term effectiveness.

Multi-order trading can be used with or against the trend, depending on the strategy.

The ComeBack Kid EA uses trend filters like the Weekly ADX and Super Trend.

Grid trading allows for entering multiple orders to capitalize on market movements.

The technique minimizes risk by spreading out orders and using flexible stop losses.

A visual demonstration explains how grid trading differs from traditional breakout strategies.

The majority of retail traders lose due to predictable market approaches.

Grid trading avoids predicting breakouts or support/resistance levels.

The speaker's account allows for a 15% drawdown, providing flexibility in trading.

Grid trading has been a successful strategy for the speaker over many years.

Transcripts

play00:00

grid trading is one of the most

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effective but underused training

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techniques out there

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in this video today i'm going to be

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talking to you about how i've approached

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grid trading over the last eight years

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and how it's given me a long-term

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profitable edge that i've always been

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looking for

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most people don't fully understand how

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grid trading averaging in positions can

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be effective where to place a stop loss

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so in this video i'm going to be talking

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to you about how to approach grid

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trading in the best way possible to

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bring you that long-term profitable edge

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i found grid trading about eight years

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ago and ever since that time i have been

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constantly trying to improve

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my approach and push the limits of this

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type of trading technique

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to see how profitable it can be over the

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long term so i've been using the uh come

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back to manager ea which specializes in

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grid training and multi-order training

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techniques and you can see my last six

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months of results here

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have been really quite consistent

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but conservative gains and that's what

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i'm looking for in the forks market is

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i'm not looking for more profit than

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three to five percent per month as

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that's going to be plenty especially

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when an investment is considered over

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the next five to ten years so i also

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programmed uh grit training techniques

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into the ranger and vigorous algorithms

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that you can see here that's been

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running for

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quite a few months seven months there

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and the ranger and the comeback kid

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together that one's been running for

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over a year and a half now and the big

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risks running by itself on this account

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for almost 12 months now so grit trading

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technique

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techniques have been

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used before but most people use them in

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a very high risk way

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it's difficult to know where to put stop

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losses so

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i have

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basically come up with a formula uh

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using the comeback kid manager ea

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that's been really effective in

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using equity stop losses instead of hard

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stop losses on each trade

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to give the trader more flexibility

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within approach to this market so i ran

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a quick back test on the euro us dollar

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using the comeback manager ea and its

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approach to grid trading and multi-order

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trading and you can see that this test

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right here was run over 21 years using

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99.9 percent modeling quality

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uh and you can see the

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11.33

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maximum drawdown uh for the 21-year test

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so it shows how effective this type of

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training can be

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over the long term if done in the right

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way so

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multi-order trading can be effective if

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used with the trend or it can also be

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used in counter-trend trading as well in

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this case the comeback kid manager ea

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looks for

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grid trading within a strong trend so it

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uses two trend filters the

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weekly adx and also the super trend as

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well

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to filter out the strongest

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trends and in this case we had trade

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number one so trade one was taken here

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this was a short position looking for a

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market to go down and it didn't and so i

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entered a second third fourth and fifth

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position now

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orders one two and three these three

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were all in loss and four and five were

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in a big profit and all the trades

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closed out for a realized gain at this

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point

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so

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instead of making a hard stop loss on

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trade one

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at the last swing level and getting

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stopped out i'm still looking for the

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overall trend to be in in the down

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direction at this point and so the

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chances of a pullback happening

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were pretty high in this case it took

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five orders the crazy thing is that

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you're probably thinking well this is

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going to be a lot of risk right here

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with these five positions but

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the reality is is that if you do grid

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trading or multi-order trading correctly

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five orders within the markets isn't

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going to have big drawdown this was

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probably

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maybe a half percent of drawdown maybe

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less than that

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overall and i was able to come out with

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a decent profit once all closed out all

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trades closed out uh for a realized game

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okay so that is multi-order trading in

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kind of a nutshell

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to better help you guys understand a

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grid or multi-order approach i've got a

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drawing pad out here to just show you

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some standard market structure and how

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traders typically trade that structure

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to hopefully come out and to profit but

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the unfortunate reality is that

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the majority of those traders that are

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approaching the market like this

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are losing um and it's because the banks

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institutions know how people typically

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approach or retail traders approach the

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market

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and they can just take advantage of that

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exploit how traders approach

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so they can bring price in an opposite

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direction so what most traders are

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looking for are breakouts of this level

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so this is the last swing high where

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resistance has now been hit because

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price went down and then it bounced back

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up so a breakout of this level seems

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you know i like a good idea and see if

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we can catch when the trend breaks out

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but a lot of times what happens with

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that approach is a simple

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fake out so we have this happen

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and then

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it comes back down and reverses

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okay so we basically get our position

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that we entered right up here stopped

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out because it was a fake breakout

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so that is one one thing that happens

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and then there's another thing that

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happens here where

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traders will look for

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that last swing high as a potential

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entry into the market where that

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resistance up here is now turned into

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support

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and i see this

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as a type of approach that most traders

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are using

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and there is a lot of issues with this

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one too because

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if you're looking for

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a retest to happen of

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or the resistance to be a support

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you might just end up it might just keep

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going down and you're going to get wiped

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out maybe your stop loss is down here

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and you get knocked out

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that is what a lot of times will happen

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on these fake breakouts or if price just

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doesn't have enough support

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where that resistance was to really

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shoot back up

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so that's where a lot of traders get

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stopped out and they constantly are

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getting

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having

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losing trades because of where they

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think the market is going so instead of

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trying to make predictions on where it's

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going to break out where it's going to

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find support and resistance what i'm

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typically doing is i might enter a trade

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right here okay

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looking for a

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the market to push back up but instead

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of it doing that in this case

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it decides that it's going to head down

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further and i'm going to enter another

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order so that's my second order then

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it's going to keep going down

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third order okay so third order is right

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down here at the last swing low level

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and is price going to behave there well

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let's say that it does and price ends up

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shooting back up and even breaking out

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of the last

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resistance point so that means we have

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three orders in so if price did that and

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that means that our three positions

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closed out for an average in profit at

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this point when price decided to push

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back up so instead of making our trade

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one a prediction and getting wiped out

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we entered two more times and looking

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for price to give flexibility to our

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trading in order to come out into profit

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once price does continue to move in our

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intended direction so instead of trying

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to predict on trade one we're basically

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predicting that the swing is going to

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going to be larger so we're predicting a

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price within a realm of of a swing level

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or from a range to another range

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for our

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averaging trades to take profit

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in this case

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it worked out pretty well but let's say

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that price you know didn't quite do

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exactly what we wanted and continue to

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go back down

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okay so we enter a fourth trade let's

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say it continued to go down even further

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in a fifth trade then all of a sudden it

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decides that it's going to shoot back up

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okay so then we have our fifth five

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trades all averaging in for a realized

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gain right about there and we're able to

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close out for our positions and the

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thing that we're looking for with this

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type of trading is

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basically low risk on our first trade

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low risk second third and fourth and

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fifth and we're looking for smaller

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profits

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and

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more flexibility with our stop loss so

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instead of having that hard stop loss

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we're actually looking at an equity on

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our account so from my from my account

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that uh that you saw at the come back

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humanitarian here i'm looking for a

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maximum 15 drawdown

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so 15 drawdown is a lot higher than what

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you can get at the majority of prop

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firms but since this is my own account

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of 33 000

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i thought that 15 drawdown is enough

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enough flexibility within my grid

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training techniques

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to

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approach the market in a very uh

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thoughtful way

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so 15 drawdown and a

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maximum drawdown and i will cut trades

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if that takes place and then

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likely i will be able to recover my 15

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loss within a three to four month period

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so everything is methodical and thought

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out in my approach so i have that

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flexibility that i'm looking for with

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grid training all right so i hope that

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this helps you in understanding why grid

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trading can be effective and why it's

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been effective in my trading for the

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last many years now

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anyway guys thanks so much for watching

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catch you on the next one

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