Is it Too Late to Buy Arm Holdings Stock? | ARM Stock Analysis | ARM Stock Prediction
Summary
TLDRARM Holdingsは、予想を超えた四半期の財務結果を発表し、株価が急上昇しました。その利益は、AI関連の需要が急増したこと、特にNvidiaをはじめとする企業の収益が大幅に増加したことが背景となっています。ARMは、AIの効果が高まるにつれ、市場をさらに拡大していると考えられています。しかし、ARMの株価は前売値対利益比が82.9と高く、その優れた展望をすでに反映しているため、分析者は株をホール評価としています。
Takeaways
- 📈 ARM Holdingsは素晴らしい四半期財務結果を発表し、株価が急上昇しました。
- 💹 売上の14%増加に貢献したのは、記録的なロイヤルティ収入とライセンスの強力な成長です。
- 🚀 AI関連のCPUの需要が高まり、特にNvidiaが大きな利益を得ています。
- 📊 2024年はAI関連の需要の成長が最も急速な年になるでしょう。その後、成長はより穏やかになりますが、2030年まで成長が続くと予想されます。
- 📊 ARM Holdingsの非GAAP営業利益は177%増加し、利益率は41%になりました。
- 📈 ARM Holdingsの株価は、結果発表の翌日に最大60%以上上昇しました。
- 🔄 ARM Holdingsは年度の予想売上来を2.96億から3.08億ドルから3155億から3.25億ドルに引き上げました。
- 💰 非GAAP每股利益予想も、1ドルから1.10ドルから1.20ドルから1.24ドルに引き上げられました。
- 📝 ARM Holdingsの未履行の業績義務(RPO)は、38%増加し、将来の売上成長が加速する兆候です。
- 💰 自由キャッシュフローは63%増加し、12か月間で251百万円から724百万円に増加しました。
- 📌 株価は前売値82.9倍で高評価であり、将来の成長が確実であるという前提で評価されています。
Q & A
ARM Holdingsの最新四半期の財務結果はどのようでしたか?
-ARM Holdingsは、売上の824ミリオンドル、前年比14%の増加を報告し、ロイヤルティ収入も記録的で、ライセンシングの成長も強調されました。
ARM Holdingsのライセンシング収入は前年比でどのくらい増加しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsのライセンシング収入は前年比で18%増加しました。
AI関連の市場の成長はいつまで続くのでしょう?
-AI関連の市場の成長は、少なくとも2030年まで続くことが予想されています。
ARM Holdingsの非GAAP営業利益は前年比でどのくらい増加しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsの非GAAP営業利益は前年比で177%増加し、338ミリオンドルになりました。
ARM Holdingsの株価は発表後どのくらい上昇しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsの株価は発表の後、一時的に60%以上上昇しましたが、その後46.54ドルに落ち着きました。
ARM Holdingsは2024財年の予想売上来をどのように更新しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsは、2024財年の売上来を2.96億から3.08億ドルから、3.15億から3.25億ドルに更新しました。
ARM Holdingsの非GAAP純利益は前年比でどのくらい増加しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsの非GAAP純利益は前年比で20%増加し、1ドル20セントから1ドル24セントの予想を更新しました。
ARM Holdingsの残存パフォーマンス義務(RPO)は前年比でどのくらい増加しましたか?
-ARM HoldingsのRPOは前年比で38%増加し、2.43億から3億3000万ドルになりました。
ARM Holdingsの自由キャッシュフローはどのくらい増加しましたか?
-ARM Holdingsの自由キャッシュフローは前年比で63%増加し、251ミリオンドルになりました。
ARM Holdingsの株価の評価はどのようになっていますか?
-ARM Holdingsの株価は前向き評価で82.9倍と高く、その株価はその優れた展望をすでに反映しているとされています。
ARM Holdingsの今後の展望はどのようなものですか?
-ARM Holdingsは、今後もAI関連の市場の成長を利用し、その戦略が長期的な売上の成長をもたらすと強調しています。
Outlines
📈 ARM Holdingsの財務結果と株価の上昇
ARM Holdingsは、傑出した四半期財務結果を発表し、株価が急上昇しました。この動画では、四半期の更新をレビューし、ARM Holdings株の推奨を更新します。AI関連の需要が増加し、特にNvidiaが大きな利益を得ましたが、現在はより多くの企業がAIの効果の高まりにより需要が増加しています。AIの市場は2024年が最も急速な成長の年となり、その後も2030年まで成長が続くことが予想されています。ARM Holdingsは収益を増やし、非GAAP営業利益が177%増加し、利益率も41%になりました。また、四半期の予想を更新し、2024年度の収益を3155億から3250億ドルとしています。
📊 ARM HoldingsのRPOと将来の展望
ARM Holdingsの残存パフォーマンス義務(RPO)は、将来的に収益に転換される契約です。第三四半期には、1.75兆から2.43兆3億ドルまで増加し、収益成長が加速する兆候が示されています。自由キャッシュフローも増加し、過去12ヶ月で251兆から724兆ドルに増加しました。経営陣は、記録的な収益を報告し、次の四半期もさらに良いものになると予想しています。ARM HoldingsはAI駆動型計算の需要から利益を上げており、将来も大きな成長が見込まれています。しかし、株価は高評価であり、将来の素晴らしい展望をすでに反映しているため、現在は保有を推奨します。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡ARM Holdings
💡quarterly financial results
💡stock price
💡revenue
💡licensing
💡artificial intelligence (AI)
💡non-GAAP operating profit
💡annual guidance
💡performance obligations (RPO)
💡forward price to earnings (P/E)
💡valuation
Highlights
ARM Holdings reported fantastic quarterly financial results.
Stock price soared following the financial results announcement.
Revenue of 824 million, up 14% year-over-year.
Record royalty revenue and strong growth in licensing.
Licensing revenue of 354 million, up 18% year-over-year.
Strong bookings due to demand for advanced ARM CPUs, especially in AI.
AI demand is broadening out beyond a few core companies.
AI market growth expected to continue at least until 2030.
Non-GAAP operating profit increased by 177% year-over-year to 338 million.
41% non-GAAP operating profit margin.
ARM Holding stock price increased over 60% after the results.
Company updated its annual guidance for fiscal year 2024 revenue.
Non-GAAP earnings per share guidance upgraded.
Performance obligations (RPO) increased by 38% year-over-year.
Free cash flow increased to 724 million, up 63% year-over-year.
Management is optimistic about ARM Holdings' future prospects.
ARM Holdings is trading at a forward price to earnings of 82.9.
The stock is considered expensive, but has excellent prospects.
The video creator places ARM Holdings stock on hold due to its high valuation.
Transcripts
arm Holdings reported fantastic
quarterly Financial results to Wall
Street investors that sent the stock
price soaring so in this video I'm going
to review those quarterly updates I'm
also going to update my recommendation
for ARM Holding stock I'm going to let
you know if I think the stock is a buy
hold or a sell so let's get into these
results and let's turn out the
recommendation I want to thank the mly
fo for sponsoring this video
visit full.com parev for the 10 best
stocks to buy now so ARM Holding saying
that revenue of 824 million was up 14%
year-over-year with record royalty
revenue and strong growth in licensing
Revenue better than expected licens
revenue of 354 million was up 18%
year-over-year and strong bookings were
due to strong demand for more advanced
arm CPUs as companies increase
investment in AI across all end markets
and we're starting to see this
broadening out now ai artificial
intelligence started out really with a
few core companies that experience a
surge in demand a surge in Revenue
mainly starting with Nvidia the biggest
company that experienced the biggest
benefit and now it's starting to broen
out more companies are starting to see
increasing demand due to the rising
effectiveness of AI it's starting to
become broadly Diversified now and this
is likely to continue at least until
2030 it's only beginning this growth in
artificial intelligence now the rates of
growth are not likely to be as robust as
they will be in 2024 2024 will probably
be the fastest year of growth in terms
of AI related increases in demand and
then once that big step up happens from
that point point on the growth will be
more moderate still the AI Market will
continue to grow all the way out at
least until 2030 according to most Wall
Street analyst expectations now the
company not only increasing Revenue but
non-gaap operating profit increased by
177% year-over-year to 338 million
resulting in a 41% non-gaap operating
profit margin that's a solid profit
margin and solid growth
year-over-year in profit it's no
surprise then that ARM Holding stock
price increased the way it did now I
might argue that it shouldn't have
increased as much however you know when
you're dealing with the company this was
only its second reported quarterly
results as a publicly traded company
tends to be more volatile because there
is less information out on the company
so more as the information is coming in
it plays a more meaningful role than it
would have if this was a 20-year-old
company reporting its quarterly results
for the 80th time so that's why there's
more volatility surrounding this stock
still it was up over 60% at one point on
the day following the announcement and
then it settled up
46.54 per. a huge one-day increase in
stock price let's continue with the
quarter and see what more was good all
right so the company updating its annual
guidance it told investors previously
that it expected Revenue in its fiscal
year 2024 of between 2.96 billion and
3.08 billion after these results from
the current quarter as good as they were
the company upgraded the guidance saying
now they expect
3155 billion in Revenue to
3.25 billion in Revenue so a roughly 200
million increase on the bottom and 120
million increase on the top end of its
guidance in terms of revenue for fiscal
year 2024 and already they've gone
through three quarters so one quarter
left to go giving a more robust guidance
for the final quarter of the year now
non-gaap earnings per share they
previously expected between $1 and $110
cents earnings per share they're now
upgrading that guidance to between
$120 and
$124 per share so upgrading the bottom
end of the guidance by 20% to a120 and
upgrading the top end of that guidance
by 14 cents to
a124 So Not only was the current quarter
spectacular for arm Holdings but they
expect that Trend to continue for at
least the next quarter saying that
they're increasing their revenue and
earnings per share guidance for the next
quarter and for the fiscal year 2024
overall here's what I think investors
were most excited about with arm
Holdings and that is its remaining
performance obligations RPO these are
contracts that armh holding signs but
has yet to deliver it's contracts that
is going to turn into Revenue eventually
but not quite yet so that increased to
2.43 3 billion in the third quarter of
fiscal year 2024 for arm that was up
from 1.75 eight billion in the third
quarter last year an increase of
38% much faster than the revenue growth
in the quarter suggesting that over the
next few quarters to the next few years
that Revenue growth will accelerate for
arm Holdings as demand from Aid driven
compute instances increases arm Holdings
is benefiting from that Trend
significantly and the good news
continued free cash flow increased to
251 million for the trailing 12 months
it increased to
724 million which was up 63%
year-over-year in free cash flow
Management in closing saying we are
excited to report another quarter of
record Revenue we expect next quarter to
be even better and yet another record we
believe this is only the start and that
our strategy will drive significant
Revenue growth for years and decades
to come gosh management is truly
optimistic about its prospects and it's
not surprising to see that given the
soaring demand from Aid driven areas and
its role in complementing AI gpus with
its CPUs now arm Holdings has great
prospects to be sure however the stock
is
expensive arm Holdings is trading at a
forward price to earnings of 82
.9 truly expensive valuation following
the 46% increase in its share price
following these results so while I will
admit arm Holdings has excellent
prospects over the next few quarters and
next few years perhaps even the next
decade I think this valuation is a
little rich and it's already
incorporating much of those excellent
prospects into the valuations it's
acting as if those excellent prospects
are a foregone conclusion instead of a
probability that it will happen so I
will caution investors here I will say
the stock I will place it on a hold I
can't rate it as a buy because it's too
expensive at this valuation unless I see
more information coming out from the
company over the next few quarters
demonstrating that its prospects are
even better than what Wall Street
expects from arm Holdings and then I can
upgrade the stock but an excellent
quarter to be sure for arm Holdings and
congratulations if you owned ARM Holding
stock coming into this quarterly
update did you know that over 90% of the
people that watch my channel are not
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