4 vs 1 | Milton Friedman faces FOUR British Leftists in HEATED Debate (1980)

Diogo Tomé
3 Nov 202316:28

Summary

TLDRIn this debate, Professor Freedman faces criticism for his free-market stance, with opponents arguing that government intervention has been crucial for economic success, citing Japan, Germany, and Sweden as examples. Freedman counters by advocating for the freedom of individuals to trade, not businesses, and uses Hong Kong as a case for free trade's benefits. The discussion highlights the historical context of economic policies, with critics asserting that protectionist measures have been essential for industrial development, while Freedman argues that free trade ultimately raises the standard of living for all.

Takeaways

  • 🏆 The speaker initially held high expectations for Professor Freedman due to his reputation, but was disappointed with the level of economics discussed.
  • 🤔 The speaker accuses Professor Freedman of advocating a 'religion' of free markets, with 'the Hidden Hand' as a divine presence, and criticizes the lack of substantial evidence in his arguments.
  • 🗣️ There is a debate on the effectiveness of government intervention, with examples of Japan, Germany, France, and Sweden being used to argue that strong government policies have led to success.
  • 🌏 The speaker challenges the premise that government intervention is inherently bad, citing improvements in the British standard of living as a result of such actions.
  • 📉 The discussion highlights the economic miracles of the Industrial Revolution in the U.S., Germany, and Japan, which occurred under protectionist policies, contradicting the idea that free trade is always beneficial.
  • 🔄 The speaker argues against the notion that exports are inherently good and imports are bad, emphasizing the balance and benefits of both for a country's economy.
  • 🏭 The development of industries in Japan is discussed, with a focus on how they were founded and supported by the government, contradicting the idea of free enterprise without intervention.
  • 📉 The speaker points out that countries like Japan and Germany have been successful with protectionist policies and government intervention, challenging the one-size-fits-all approach of free trade advocates.
  • 🌾 The example of U.S. agriculture, which has been successful without protection, is used to argue that protectionism is not always necessary for economic success.
  • 💡 The debate touches on the historical context of economic theories, suggesting that the principles of Adam Smith may not fully apply to the complexities of modern economies.

Q & A

  • What is the main disagreement between the speakers regarding economic policies?

    -The main disagreement is whether free trade and minimal government intervention are beneficial or if government intervention and protectionist policies are necessary for economic success.

  • What examples do the speakers provide to support their views on government intervention in the economy?

    -The speakers mention Japan, Germany, France, and Sweden as examples where government policies have been successful. They also discuss the historical development of industries in these countries and the role of government in fostering growth.

  • How does the speaker challenge Professor Freedman's views on free trade?

    -The speaker challenges Professor Freedman by pointing out that successful economies like Japan, Germany, and the United States have often been protected economies or have had significant government intervention, contradicting the idea that free trade alone leads to success.

  • What historical economic period does the speaker claim was not solely based on free trade?

    -The speaker claims that the Industrial Revolution in the United States at the end of the 19th century and early 20th century, as well as similar developments in Germany and Japan, took place behind high protectionist walls, not solely based on free trade.

  • What is the 'Hidden Hand' mentioned in the script, and how does it relate to the discussion?

    -The 'Hidden Hand' is a term used to describe the self-regulating nature of free markets, an idea often attributed to Adam Smith. It relates to the discussion as the speaker accuses Professor Freedman of advocating a religion-like belief in the infallibility of free markets.

  • What is the speaker's argument against the effectiveness of government intervention in Japan's economic history?

    -The speaker argues that Japan's economic success was not due to free trade but rather due to strong government intervention and protectionist policies, especially in the 20th century, which contradicts Professor Freedman's assertion.

  • How does the speaker critique the idea that government intervention is always detrimental?

    -The speaker critiques this idea by providing examples of countries where government intervention has led to economic success and by arguing that it is not a blanket truth that government intervention is bad, but rather it depends on the specific circumstances and implementation.

  • What is the speaker's view on the role of government in the economy?

    -The speaker believes that while there is a role for government in the economy, it should not extend to import controls, tariffs, or central planning. They emphasize the importance of considering the well-being of ordinary people and the potential benefits of government intervention in certain areas.

  • What historical examples are given to support the argument that government intervention can improve living standards?

    -The speaker cites the improvement in living standards during the 19th century in the United States and Britain, attributing it to a combination of capitalist enterprise and government interventions such as public health legislation and labor laws.

  • How does the speaker respond to the claim that free trade is always beneficial?

    -The speaker counters this claim by arguing that free trade can lead to the destruction of industries that are not competitive and that government intervention can sometimes be necessary to protect and develop industries that have long-term benefits for the economy.

Outlines

00:00

🤔 Debate on Government Intervention vs. Free Market

The first paragraph presents a debate between two economists, one critical of the other's free-market stance, arguing that successful countries like Japan and Germany have strong government policies. The critic accuses the free-market advocate of promoting a religion-like belief without substantial evidence, citing historical examples where government intervention improved living standards. The advocate counters by emphasizing the freedom of individuals to trade, not businesses, and argues that free trade benefits both consumers and producers by providing access to cheaper goods and raw materials, thus raising the standard of living.

05:03

🌏 Discussion on Trade Policies and Comparative Advantage

In the second paragraph, the debate continues with the critic arguing that protectionist policies have been effective in developing modern industries, contrary to the free-trade advocate's claims. The advocate insists that free trade is beneficial, citing examples like Hong Kong and the historical development of the textile industry in Britain and Japan. The critic contends that the advocate overlooks the indirect effects of trade restrictions, such as job losses in more productive sectors, and criticizes the advocate's reliance on unsupported assertions rather than logical arguments.

10:04

📚 Historical Analysis of Economic Theories and Practices

The third paragraph delves into a historical analysis of economic theories, with the critic challenging the advocate's views by pointing out that Adam Smith's principles, formulated during the Industrial Revolution, may not be fully applicable to modern complex economies. The critic argues for a nuanced approach to economic management, suggesting that extreme laissez-faire policies have led to disasters, such as in totalitarian regimes. The advocate defends capitalism's historical benefits but acknowledges the importance of government's role in areas like public health, suggesting that improvements in living standards were partly due to government interventions and social struggles.

15:05

🏭 Reflections on the Impact of Capitalism and Government Policies

The fourth and final paragraph wraps up the discussion by reflecting on the impact of capitalism and government policies on the well-being of ordinary people. The critic argues that public health and labor improvements were often the result of government intervention and social movements, not just free enterprise. The advocate agrees that capitalism has improved living standards but emphasizes the importance of considering the broader context, including the role of government and social changes, in understanding economic progress.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Free Trade

Free trade refers to the economic principle that involves the absence of tariffs, quotas, and other trade barriers, allowing goods and services to be freely exchanged across borders. In the video, the concept is a central theme with Professor Freedman advocating for it, arguing that it benefits both consumers and producers by allowing them to buy and sell goods at the most advantageous prices globally. The discussion contrasts free trade with protectionist policies, suggesting that countries like Japan and Germany have been successful despite, or because of, protectionist measures.

💡Protectionism

Protectionism is the practice of restricting international trade to safeguard a nation's industries from foreign competition by means of tariffs, import quotas, and other trade barriers. The video script uses protectionism as a counterpoint to free trade, with arguments suggesting that countries like Japan and Germany have developed strong industries through protectionist policies. The discussion implies that protectionism can be a viable strategy for economic development and national interest.

💡Government Intervention

Government intervention in the economy refers to the actions taken by the state to influence economic activities and outcomes, such as through regulation, subsidies, or nationalization. The script debates the merits of government intervention, with one side arguing that it can correct market failures and improve living standards, while the other contends that it can lead to inefficiencies and stifle economic growth. Examples from the script include the development of industries in Japan and the role of the state in the British economy.

💡Comparative Advantage

Comparative advantage is an economic concept that suggests that countries should specialize in producing goods and services in which they have a lower opportunity cost than their trading partners, even if they are not the absolute best at producing them. The script touches on this concept when discussing trade policies, suggesting that countries should focus on industries where they have a comparative advantage to improve overall welfare.

💡Industrial Revolution

The Industrial Revolution refers to the period during the 18th and 19th centuries when agrarian societies in Europe and America became industrial and urban. The video script mentions the Industrial Revolution as a time when capitalism and free enterprise led to significant improvements in the standard of living for the masses, despite the visible poverty and hardships that characterized the period.

💡Economic Miracles

Economic miracles are periods of rapid and sustained economic growth that defy expectations. The script refers to the economic transformations in the United States, Germany, and Japan as 'economic miracles,' suggesting that these were achieved not solely through free trade but also through protectionist policies and government intervention, challenging the notion that free trade is the only path to economic success.

💡Invisible Hand

The invisible hand is a term coined by Adam Smith to describe the unintended social benefits of individual actions in a free market. In the video, the concept is used to argue for free trade and minimal government intervention, suggesting that individuals pursuing their self-interest can lead to economic prosperity. However, the discussion also questions the effectiveness of the invisible hand in modern economies, where government intervention is seen as necessary to address market failures.

💡Tariffs

Tariffs are taxes imposed on imported goods and services, often to protect domestic industries from foreign competition. The script debates the role of tariffs in economic policy, with arguments for and against their use. Proponents suggest they can protect and nurture domestic industries, while opponents argue they can lead to inefficiencies and higher consumer prices.

💡Imports and Exports

Imports and exports are the goods and services that a country brings in from abroad (imports) and sends out to other countries (exports). The video script discusses the balance of imports and exports as a critical aspect of trade policy, with debates on whether countries should focus on exporting to gain foreign currency and importing to access goods and services at the best prices.

💡Structural Deficit/Surplus

A structural deficit or surplus refers to a persistent imbalance in a country's balance of payments due to underlying economic factors. The script mentions the concept in the context of Britain's economic challenges, suggesting that government policies should address these structural issues rather than relying solely on free market mechanisms.

Highlights

Professor Freedman's economic theories are critiqued as being akin to a religion, with a 'divine presence' and 'wicked principle'.

Japan, Germany, France, and Sweden are cited as examples of successful countries with strong government policies.

The necessity of government intervention is argued, with the British people's improved living conditions as evidence.

Free trade is advocated as beneficial for both consumers and producers, with historical examples provided.

The Industrial Revolution in the United States, Germany, and Japan is attributed to high protectionist walls, not free trade.

The role of government in founding and supporting major Japanese companies is highlighted.

The argument that free trade always leads to growth and employment is challenged with counterexamples.

The importance of considering indirect effects of import restrictions on exports and jobs is emphasized.

The claim that countries like Japan and Germany would have been better off without protectionist policies is disputed.

The historical context of Adam Smith's theories is discussed, with a critique of their applicability to modern economies.

The improvement in living standards during the 19th century is acknowledged, but the role of government intervention is also recognized.

The visibility of poverty during the Industrial Revolution is contrasted with conditions before and after.

The role of trade unions and government legislation in improving working conditions is highlighted.

The debate concludes with a discussion on the role of government in managing the economy and the misconceptions about capitalism.

Transcripts

play00:00

say this professor Freedman I really

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thought when when originally before I

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ever met you and heard your arguments

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that because you're no Nobel Prize

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winner you really were something special

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I have to say you haven't even reached a

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level economics in this country I have

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to be quite blunt about well that says

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something very bad about a-level

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economics in this

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country I find it very difficult really

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to argue with Professor fredman because

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he's advocating essentially a religion

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and like all religions he has a sort of

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divine presence in this case The Hidden

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Hand and so forth and he has the wicked

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principle and the wicked principle being

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governments and by S balancing one off

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against the other he can really turn the

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argument anyway he likes Japan is a very

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successful country uh Germany's a very

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successful country another country where

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the government has had very strong

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policies or modern France is another

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case or Sweden all of them are ones

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where the government has succeeded

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visibly and it's not enough for you to

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say the government in a few places has

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made major mistakes therefore the

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government is terrible because I can

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provide all these other examples where

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governments have been very effective I

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think we're all being too polite because

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I see why Professor Freedom has become a

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world figure he doesn't allow anyone

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else to get a word in edgeways he plows

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on he plows on with unsupported

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assertions which had really got a very

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tenuous connection just here and there

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you can just see the tentac Ping down to

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a bit of fact where are the support

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would you give me a supported assertion

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sir there must be government

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intervention and the condition of the

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British people has fundamentally changed

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despite all our problems our people live

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at a totally different level now now and

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that could have only been done because

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of government intervention so I don't

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accept your premise at all I think it's

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a totally false premise I put it to you

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that the three I suppose greatest

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economic miracles of the last 100 years

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in uh the Industrial Revolution in the

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United States at the end of the 19th

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century early 20th century same thing in

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Germany at the same time and in Japan

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since 1948 took place behind very high

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protectionist walls so what evidence do

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you have that freedom of imports

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contributes to growth and employment

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freedan your argument is that free trade

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is always good let me start by saying

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that I am not in favor of the freedom of

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business to export and import but of the

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freedom of people to buy goods and sell

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wherever it is cheapest and to sell

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their products wherever they can get the

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highest price business has no interest

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business is an intermediary between

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people in their capacity as workers and

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producers as investors and in their

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capacity as consumers so the freedom I

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am interested in is a freedom of

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individual people people now if we look

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at the history of various episodes as

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you have done you've left out some very

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important ones you left out the

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experience of Japan from 1867 to 1897

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which was discussed in the film a period

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immediately after the ma restoration

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when they had complete free trade they

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were prohibited by law by an agreement

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with Britain from having a tariff of

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more than 5% they had great many Imports

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Imports of textiles that destroyed in

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large measure their hand Loom weaving

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industry

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but the result of a free market was that

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people were better off both as producers

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and as consumers they are better off as

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producers because you cannot export

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without importing to say that you should

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export and not import is a prescription

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for denuding a country of its wealth for

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transferring it to other people exports

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are the cost that you incur in order to

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get Imports if you get Imports if you

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get cheap Imports that benefits people

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as consumers but it also benefits them

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as producers by providing them with raw

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materials to work with to exercise their

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skills on to use their capital on the

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consequence is a higher level of living

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for everybody in the country you also

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left out I might say Hong Kong which has

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had complete free trade has had a

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tremendous rise in the standard of Life

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of its people here's an a Barren Rock in

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which the population is Multiplied

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tenfold since the end of the war and per

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capita real income allowing for price

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changes has gone up about fourfold so

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there are many examples I believe of the

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great virtue of free trade for both

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people in their capacity both as

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consumers and as workers you use an

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extraordinary line of argument because

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what you say is you say well people have

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made mistakes in the past governments

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have made mistakes therefore government

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intervention is wrong and the point is

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that you can you can get all kinds of

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examples as for example in Germany

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Brazil today Japan where in fact

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governments have been very effective at

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fostering the development of modern

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Industries now if they were as

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incompetent as us as as you say this

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would never have happened in fact if you

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look at the Japanese economy to go back

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to it there many big efficient companies

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almost all of those companies were were

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were founded by the government they were

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provided money by the government they

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provided special privileges and they've

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had those privileges to this day the

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formula of both of these gentlemen is a

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formula for the

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impoverishment of Britain and

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particularly for an attack on the

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consumer this is the most anti-consumer

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measure you can take is a measure me to

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limit Imports and protect uh inefficient

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Industries I don't know where that maybe

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the textile industry should have been

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destroyed maybe it's not an area in

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which you have a comparative advantage

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if it should there would be some other

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industry that would develop in which you

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would have a comparative advantage

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abroad look at the situation in the

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United States where I know better what's

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our major export industry it's

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agriculture not because of Any

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protection it has never been protected

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very much if you look at the history of

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Britain when Britain developed the

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textile industry in the 19th century

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there were no tariff walls here was

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Japan had no tariff walls at that time

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at all and yet it was able to develop an

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effective textile industry destroy the

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textile industry of India of course

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that's we had all our

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many manufacturing so destroy just as

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you say the Japanese IND but again are

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you going to tell me that no industry

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every vested interest must be protected

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that you must have no

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change in the American steel industry

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there is no no doubt that the protection

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from Imports has had the effect of

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causing them to be slow and introducing

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new techniques has had the effect of uh

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make having essentially agreements with

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labor which is meant

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overstaffing there is no doubt in my

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mind that if in the United States we

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threw the steel industry open to The

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Winds of competition you would end up

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with a somewhat smaller steel industry

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but a much more efficient one you see

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Professor Freedman your argument is that

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free trade is always good now it's quite

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clear there are some countries in the

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world that have done very well on the

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basis of free trade that's undeniable

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but your film for example resting

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entirely on the uh example of Japan and

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in actual fact the Japanese economy for

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the last 100 years has been either a

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very highly protected economy or else it

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has had an extremely large degree of

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government intervention in Industry that

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is not correct it was true in the 19th

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century there was there no there was

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free trade in the 19th century which by

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the way was not chosen by the Japanese

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leaders as you as you say it was forced

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upon them at gunpoint by the United

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States in 1854 followed by Britain and

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France they did not choose it they

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resented free trade very bitterly

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Japanese leaders they fought a long

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agitational battle against it and when

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they were Strong Enough by the end of

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the 19th century they went over to

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protection and through the whole of the

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20th century Japanese industry has been

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highly protected and the modern

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industries of Japan we know today

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Electronics uh engineering for example

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all developed on the basis of very

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strong government intervention and very

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strong protection and yet in your film

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you get no other serious example other

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than Japan and as far as I can see that

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is an extraordinary incompetent

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performance in the sense that you do not

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discuss in any way how uh Japanese

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industry developed you just imply

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throughout the film that it was based

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upon completely free trade and Free

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Enterprise in the 19th century in the 30

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years after the ma restoration there

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were some government in was some

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government involvement primarily in

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sending people abroad to be trained

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primarily also in the steel industry

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uh and the uh Navy ship building for

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military purposes that was costly to

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Japan and did not benefit Japan you have

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the other examples we gave in the

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earlier film the example of Hong Kong we

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have given the example of Britain in the

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19th century but in any event let me go

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back to your point you know I find this

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a very amusing situation in one respect

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25 years or so ago when I was in Britain

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I was arguing with the people at Oxford

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at that time mostly and they were

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arguing that there was a structural

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dollar shortage that the United States

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was a strong country that everybody else

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had to protect themselves against now we

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have the argument coming from Cambridge

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I guess it shifts from Oxford to

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Cambridge exactly the opposite that

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there's a structural uh dollar Surplus

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or that uh Britain has a structural

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pound uh Sur shortage that Japan is

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somehow structurally uh uh to be feared

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but let's look at the situation of Japan

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just in the the past few years Japan has

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shifted from a large balance of payment

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Surplus on current account to a large

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balance of payment deficit on current

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account because of the changes in

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exchange rates and the effect which that

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had the real fallacy in all of your

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arguments is not to take account of the

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indirect

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effects if you restrict Imports here you

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restrict exports there if you save jobs

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here you lose jobs there and you save

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jobs that are less productive

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you lose jobs that are more productive

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Professor Freedman Are you seriously

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arguing that countries like Japan and

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Germany for example Japan in the 20th

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century when it protected its major uh

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Industries to build up a modern

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industrial base or or Germany in the

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19th century or may I say the United

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States in the 19th century or Brazil in

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uh the last 20 years are you saying that

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these policies were completely useless

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because the of course that's what I'm

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saying I'm saying that those countries

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would have been far better off yes but

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they had provided let me go back to the

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American wait but you provide the

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interesting thing about this is you

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provide no evidence of this whatsoever

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other than assertion and in your film

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for example you relied on example you

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didn't rely upon argument you relied

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upon example you kept on referring to

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Japan and what I'm saying is that Japan

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is a bad example and in fact you can

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point to many other countries that have

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developed on the basis very successful

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on the basis of very strong government

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intervention into industry and very

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strong import controls and the point is

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that since those countries succeeded it

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seems to me that what you're doing is

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asserting as in fact Lord Kon said a

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religious view you're saying things

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would have been much better if they

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hadn't done it on the basis of no

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evidence there no major country excuse

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me the logic logical argument was fully

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developed by Adam Smith and The Wealth

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of Nations 200 years ago Smith the was

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relating to a situation when we had an

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industrial revolution he was really

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relating to a position when we had

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Village black Smiths about the largest

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Enterprise and so forth and this idea

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that each chap following his own private

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interest essentially of single Artisans

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working with themselves is applicable to

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the modern world is just not so his

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basic principles are applicable and you

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know the funny thing about this kind of

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an interchange is that what you want to

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do is to go back to the period before

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Adam Smith when you had a meral societ

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adducing to us extreme views the fact

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that I am not 100% free Trader under all

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conditions doesn't mean to say I'm

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absolutely all for import control in in

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a massive sense what I'm saying is in a

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very complex situation which different

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countries find themselves at different

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times you've got to have some overall

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management of the economy and the idea

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you can you can leave it to the

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so-called invisible hand just seem to be

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a bit of the high nonsense well all that

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I can say is that wherever you've had

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overall management of the economy in the

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extreme case it's been a disaster the

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most extreme cases of course are cases

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that fortunately we're not faced with

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here are the totalitarian countries

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countries like uh uh Russia China Etc

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nobody would say that that kind of over

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a oil management has been successful if

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we take the case of Britain let's take

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the case of Britain you've had overall

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management for the past 20 or 30 years

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Britain is not exactly in a state of of

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prosperity listening to the arguments

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and listening particularly to your

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arguments about the position of Britain

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in the last century and so on one would

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get the impression that the mass of

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ordinary people did very well in that

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Society they didn't a few people at the

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top did very well the mass of Ordinary

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People many of them lived in abject

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poverty had to struggle in order to find

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a job they had no sort of support in any

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way and it was only when the state began

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to intervene did the Ordinary People of

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this country begin to live decently and

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even before the second world war we can

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take you to areas of Britain where there

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was misery mass m misery under the free

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enterprise system to such an extent that

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one of our Tory Prime Ministers Harold

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McMillan actually wrote a book called

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the middle way in which he looked at

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where he represented and said we have to

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have government intervention in order to

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help us out of that sort of thing which

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was never happen again in the first

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place your description of the 19th

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century is wrong there has in the past

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several decades been a reconsideration

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by economic historians of the experience

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of the 19th century and what that has

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shown is that what happened during the

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Industrial Revolution was to take people

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out of agricultural areas where poverty

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is invisible and bring him into

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industrial and urban areas where poverty

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exists and is visible there is no doubt

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that there was a great deal of poverty

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and difficulty and misery the question

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is whether conditions were improving or

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not during the whole of the 19th century

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both in the United States and in Great

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Britain there was a very great

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Improvement in the lot of the ordinary

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person and not merely those people at

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the top as evidenced by everything that

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was happening to population uh to health

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standards and the like the thing is that

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what happens during a period like that

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is that poverty the the exceptions the

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areas which have been held back the bad

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things that happen because of course

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always things are mixed there some bad

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and good become much more visible A

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Dickens could not have written his

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novels 100 years earlier because what he

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would have been describing would not

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have seemed exceptional but in the 19

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century he could write his novels if we

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take the America during the 19th century

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uh the evidence for the Improvement in

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the lot of the people is the way they

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voted with their feet we had millions of

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people my own parents who came from uh

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Europe from and flooded into the United

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States they didn't flood into the United

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States to be exploited they flooded into

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the United States because they lot their

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lot and a lot of people like them was

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being improved a great deal interrup PMS

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as well which you have had some point

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Professor Freedman is not you see

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whether capitalism has not brought

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benefits to the world there's no doubt

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whatsoever that has done there's no

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doubt whatsoever that in the 19th

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century the position of the mass of the

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people improved as a result of

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capitalist Enterprise I think there's no

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doubt about that the point about it is

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whether their condition also improved

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for example because of things like trade

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unions or government intervention the

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point is that many of the things you

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point to like public health improvements

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were not just because the standard of

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living was high due to capitalism it's

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the fact is there was public legislation

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on it for example many of the

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improvements that took place in the 19th

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century in Britain followed things like

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legisl over Maximum working day over

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things like working conditions and so on

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and you can't say those are all the

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result of free enterprise because in

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fact they were they were struggles to

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force the government to intervene

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against free enterprise look in the

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first place let's be clear about one

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thing I am not an anarchist I believe

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there is a very important role for

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government to play the question that

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we're talking about here is whether that

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role includes import controls tariffs

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Central planning decisions about which

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activity uh uh which area industry

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should move again I want to

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emphasize that the the interest I have

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is in the well-being of the ordinary

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person and I think there's a great

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misconception about free enterprising

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about capitalism there's a misconception

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which regards it as oblivious to the

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problems of the disadvantage if we go to

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the 19th century again it was the

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greatest period of alinary activity in

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the history of the world

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