Somalia gave its coastline away, here's why it matters
Summary
TLDRThe video script discusses a strategic security pact between Somalia and Turkey, where Turkey will train and equip the Somali navy for the next decade. This alliance is driven by Somalia's security needs and Turkey's ambition to expand maritime power. The pact also includes oil and gas exploration rights for Turkey in Somali waters. The deals are set against a backdrop of Turkey's significant investment in Somalia's infrastructure and military training, contributing to the country's stability. The script further explores the geopolitical implications of the pact, including Turkey's rivalry with the UAE in the Horn of Africa and the broader strategic interests at play.
Takeaways
- đ€ Somalia and Turkey signed a new security pact that involves the Turkish navy training and equipping the Somali navy for the next 10 years.
- đ The security pact is as much about Somalia's security as it is about Turkey's ambition to project maritime power beyond its shores.
- đ Details of the agreement are not entirely public, but it includes Turkey's involvement in oil and gas exploration in Somali waters, effectively leasing Somalia's territorial waters and marine resources to Turkey.
- đčđ· Turkey has been active in Somalia, providing economic and diplomatic support, and running successful training and equipping programs for Somali officers.
- đŒ The bilateral ties between Turkey and Somalia are entering a new strategic phase through these deals, potentially benefiting Turkey's defense industry and other business interests.
- đ° Turkey has provided over $1 billion in aid for healthcare, education, public services, and infrastructure in Somalia, significantly improving the country's economic situation.
- đ The security pact and energy deal with Somalia are part of Turkey's broader strategy to secure supply chains and create strategic depth in the maritime domain.
- đł The security pact includes terms that split the revenue from activities in Somalia's exclusive economic zone, with Turkey receiving a 30% share for bolstering Somalia's maritime security capabilities.
- đïž Somalia's extensive coastline and exclusive economic zone harbor significant marine life and potential hydrocarbon resources, making stronger maritime security institutions crucial for the country.
- đ The security pact and energy deal between Turkey and Somalia come amidst regional power dynamics involving Ethiopia, Somaliland, and the United Arab Emirates, with implications for regional stability and economic interests.
Q & A
What is the main purpose of the security pact between Somalia and Turkey?
-The security pact is aimed at training and equipping the Somali navy by the Turkish navy over the next 10 years, enhancing Mogadishu's sense of security and Ankara's ambition to project maritime power beyond its shores.
What additional deal was signed between Turkey and Somalia after the security pact?
-A second deal was signed that allows Turkey to conduct oil and gas exploration in Somali waters, effectively leasing all of Somalia's territorial waters and marine resources to Turkey.
How has Turkey been involved in Somalia's development over the years?
-Turkey has been active in Somalia since 2011, providing uninterrupted humanitarian aid, engaging in development and relief projects, and promoting campaigns to raise funds for Somalia. They have also provided more than $1 billion in aid for programs in healthcare, education, public services, and infrastructure.
What is the strategic significance of Turkey's involvement in Somalia's naval force?
-Turkey's involvement in Somalia's naval force is strategically significant as it allows Turkey to expand its naval presence in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea, secure supply chains, and create strategic depth in the maritime domain.
How has the security pact benefited Turkey's defense industry?
-The security pact brings new contracts for Turkey's defense industry and presumably other Turkish business interests, as the Turkish defense sector is booming and Ankara sees itself as an exporter of military hardware and a partner in training special forces and law enforcement.
What is the potential economic benefit for Somalia from the security pact and the energy deal with Turkey?
-The security pact and energy deal could potentially compensate Turkish naval activity through revenue generated from marine activities, allowing Somalia to gather at least 70% of the sum that would otherwise be lost due to illegal fishing and piracy, estimated at least $300 million annually.
What is the significance of the Ethiopian-Somaliland deal for Turkey's interests in the region?
-The Ethiopian-Somaliland deal, which gives Ethiopia a 50-year lease on a strip of land on Somaliland's coast, could have repercussions that harm Turkish-Ethiopian relations in the future, as it involves sovereignty issues and could impact the region's stability.
How does the security pact and energy deal between Turkey and Somalia affect the regional power dynamics?
-The pact and deal create a mutually beneficial relationship between Turkey and Somalia, serving as a check against foreign encroachment and enhancing Somalia's sovereignty. However, it also intensifies the rivalry between Turkey and the United Arab Emirates in the Horn of Africa.
What is the potential impact of the security pact on Somalia's maritime security capabilities?
-The security pact is expected to bolster Somalia's maritime security capabilities through training, joint operations, information sharing, and naval acquisitions, which are paramount for a country with an extensive coastline and vast exclusive economic zone.
How does the security pact and the energy deal align with Turkey's broader strategy in Africa?
-The security pact and energy deal align with Turkey's broader strategy to secure a foothold in Africa, expand its defense clientele, and seize a sizable market share in the African security business and services market with its relatively affordable weapons and arms.
What are the potential geopolitical implications of the security pact and energy deal for the Red Sea region?
-The security pact and energy deal could lead to a realignment of power dynamics in the Red Sea region, with Turkey and Somalia forming one faction and Ethiopia, the UAE, and Somaliland forming another, creating intense competition and potential for conflict over strategic interests.
Outlines
đ€ Turkey and Somalia's Strategic Security Pact
The first paragraph discusses a new security pact between Somalia and Turkey, which involves the Turkish navy training and equipping the Somali navy for the next ten years. The agreement is not only about enhancing Somalia's security but also about Turkey's ambition to extend its maritime power. Although the full details are not public, it is known that the pact includes Turkish oil and gas exploration in Somali waters, effectively leasing Somalia's territorial waters and marine resources to Turkey. The relationship between the two countries is long-standing, with Turkey having been active in Somalia during times when other countries were not. Turkey's involvement in Somalia includes economic and diplomatic ties, successful training and equipping programs, and significant aid contributions. The pact is expected to bring new contracts for Turkey's defense industry and solidify its military presence in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea.
đą Expanding Turkey's Naval Presence and Economic Interests
The second paragraph delves into the strategic implications of the security pact and a subsequent energy deal between Turkey and Somalia. The agreement to train and equip Somalia's naval force and help patrol its coastline is mutually beneficial, allowing Turkey to expand its naval presence in the Red Sea and grow its defense clientele. The Turkish defense sector is booming, and the security pact will likely lead to Somalia procuring Turkish naval platforms. Additionally, Africa is a significant market for security businesses, and Turkish weapons and arms are competitively priced. The security pact also includes a revenue-sharing agreement for activities in Somalia's exclusive economic zone, with Turkey receiving a 30% share of marine revenues. This is particularly important as Somalia's coastline is extensive, and its exclusive economic zone is rich in marine life and potential hydrocarbon resources. The energy deal could be transformative for Somalia, with seismic studies indicating significant oil and natural gas reserves. Turkish companies are expected to join American companies in the oil rush along the Somali coast, with the security pact and energy deal providing Turkey with an advantage in terms of reduced costs for natural resource extraction.
đ Geopolitical Tensions and Regional Power Dynamics
The third paragraph explores the geopolitical context of the security pact and energy deal, highlighting the potential impact on regional power dynamics. The agreement comes amidst a memorandum of understanding between Ethiopia and Somali land, which has raised concerns about sovereignty and regional stability. The Ethiopian deal could potentially lead to recognition of the independence of the separatist Somali land, which could have broader implications for the region. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is another key player in the Horn of Africa, with assets in Eritrea, Yemen, and Somalia. The UAE and Turkey have been engaged in a rivalry, with the UAE supporting the Ethiopia-Somaliland deal and having its own agreement with Somali land for a share of the Berbera port. The UAE's investments in both Ethiopia and Somali land have grown, and power dynamics in the region are shifting. The Somali-Turkish deal serves as a counterbalance to what Turkey perceives as foreign encroachment and helps preserve Somalia's sovereignty. The complex web of cross-border investments and alliances makes it challenging to clearly define friend or foe in the region.
đïž Conclusion and Call for Accountability
The final paragraph serves as a conclusion to the video script, with the host, Chiron from Caspian Report, inviting viewers to engage with the content by leaving comments, liking the video, and sharing it. The paragraph emphasizes the importance of accountability and encourages viewers to participate in the discussion around the topics covered in the video.
Mindmap
Keywords
đĄSecurity Pact
đĄMaritime Power
đĄTerritorial Waters
đĄDefense Industry
đĄStrategic Phase
đĄFailed State
đĄInfrastructure Aid
đĄExclusive Economic Zone (EEZ)
đĄEnergy Deal
đĄGeopolitics
đĄSovereignty
Highlights
Somalia and Turkey have signed a 10-year security pact for naval training and equipment.
The pact serves both Somalia's security and Turkey's ambition to project maritime power.
Turkey and Somalia signed a second deal for oil and gas exploration in Somali waters.
Turkey has been active in Somalia during times of international abandonment, with deep economic and diplomatic ties.
Turkey runs successful training programs in Somalia, graduating hundreds of Somali officers annually.
The security pact and defense industry contracts will cement Turkey's military presence in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea.
Somalia has leased its territorial waters and marine resources to Turkey, with undisclosed agreement details.
Turkey's involvement in Somalia has provided over $1 billion in aid for healthcare, education, and infrastructure.
Turkey reopened Mogadishu's sea port and airport, managed by Turkish companies, improving Somalia's economy.
The Somali National Army has been trained and equipped by Turkey, with 5,000 Commandos and 10,000 regular troops.
The security pact includes revenue-sharing terms, with Turkey receiving 30% of marine activities' profits.
Somalia's coastline is the longest in Africa, with a vast exclusive economic zone and potential hydrocarbon resources.
The security pact and energy deal position Turkey to extract resources at a reduced cost in Somalia.
Illegal fishing and piracy cost Somalia $300 million annually, which Turkey's involvement aims to mitigate.
Somalia's submarine cables connect the Persian Gulf with East Africa, offering strategic bargaining power.
Ethiopia's recent deal with Somaliland for port access could impact Turkey-Ethiopia relations.
The UAE and Turkey are engaged in a rivalry over influence in the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea area.
The security pact serves to preserve Somalia's sovereignty against foreign encroachment.
Cross-border investments make it difficult to distinguish friend from foe in the geopolitical landscape of Somalia.
Transcripts
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Somalia and turkey have signed a new
security pact that commissions the
Turkish navy to train and equip its
Somali counterpart over the next 10
years The Pact is as much about
mogadishu's sense of security as it is
about ankara's ambition to project
Maritime power beyond its Shores the
details of the agreement are not
entirely public but shortly after turkey
and Somalia signed a second deal that
allows turkey ish oil and gas
exploration in Somali Waters in effect
Somalia has leased all its territorial
Waters and Marine Resources to Turkey
relations between the two are not recent
or surprising the Turks have been active
in Somalia at a time when everyone else
abandoned them economic and diplomatic
ties Run Deep turkey has the most
successful training and equipping
programs in the world running in Somalia
hundreds of professional Somali officers
are graduating annually from this
program now bilateral ties are about to
enter a new strategic phase through
these two deals with Somalia turkey will
bring in new contracts for its defense
industry and presumably other Turkish
business interests while cementing its
military presence in the Horn of Africa
and the Red Sea however the security PCT
comes with strategic obligations because
to whom much is entrusted much is
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help Somalia might well be the
definition of a failed State ruined poor
divided isolated and dangerous Somalia
is not a place investors generally look
to do business in yet it has had one
Ally that has stood by its side in State
Building turkey since 2011 Turkish
humanitarian Aid has flown into Somalia
uninterrupted Turkish NOS became
involved in development and relief
projects while Turkish multinationals
such as Turkish Airlines promoted
campaigns to raise funds for Somalia
since entering Somalia anara has
provided more than $1 billion in aid for
programs in healthcare education public
services and infrastructure for an
economy the size of Somalia that $
billion is a small fortune eventually
though humanitarian support turned into
a strategic one turkey applied economic
and infrastructure Aid to Somalia and
then increasingly included military aid
as well in 2014 turkey reopened
mogadishu's sea port and Airport to this
day both are managed by Turkish
companies and somalia's economic
situation has improved compared to
previous decades later turkey LED an
international partnership to train and
equip the Somali National Army and in
2017 turkey opened its first overseas
military base in Mogadishu from this
military complex some 5,000 Somali
Commandos known as goror and an
additional 10,000 regular troops have
been trained they make a world of
difference in a land that has known
nothing but chaos and destruction
overall the Turkish programs
successfully brought Somalia back to a
sense of normality the country still has
a long way to go al-shabab militants
still roam the countryside and the
economy is still weak but somalis may be
forgiven for a moment of Celebration
thanks to the Turkish progr programs
there is a road map and a path forward
Somalia May yet rejoin the International
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Community however having invested so
much in Somalia the Turks also want to
protect their economic and political
interests thus expanding turkey's Naval
presence in the Red Sea was The Logical
next step in February 2024 anara and
Mogadishu signed an agreement to train
and equip somalia's Naval force and help
Patrol its 3,300 kmet Coastline the deal
is mutually beneficial for turkey it's
an opportunity to spread and grow its
defense clientele the Turkish Defense
sector is booming and anara sees itself
as an exporter of military hardware and
as a partner in training special forces
and law enforcement turkey is also one
of the few countries with independent
ship building capabilities so the
security pact with Somalia will lead to
mogadishu's procurement of Turkish Naval
platforms additionally Africa is a
massive market for security businesses
and services and Turkish weapons and
arms are relatively affordable enough to
seize a sizable market share in Africa
Somalia is thus appreciated as turkey
gateway to large defense deals in the
African Marketplace moreover given
somalia's proximity to Global Maritime
traffic turkey considers its foothold
part of a broader strategy to secure
Supply chains and create strategic depth
in the maritime domain the full details
of the deal have yet to be disclosed but
they do include terms that split the
revenue from activities in somalia's
exclusive economic zone more
specifically turkey gets a 30% share of
marine revenues in return for bolstering
somalia's maritime security capabilities
through training joint operations
information sharing and Naval
Acquisitions from the Somali angle a 30%
fee is not to be sniffed at building and
maintaining a modern Navy is one of the
costliest programs a government can
undertake not to mention one of the most
complicated ones nevertheless stronger
Maritime security institutions and
capacity are Paramount for Somalia the
country's coastline is extensive in fact
it is the longest of any African country
and so Somalia is entitled to a vast
exclusive economic zone that Harbors
significant marine life and possibly
considerable hydrocarbon
resources as such Fresh Off The heal of
the security pact turkey and Somalia
agreed to a second deal in early March
focusing precisely on oil and gas
exploration the energy deal could turn
things around for Somalia GEOS seismic
studies show that the country has
potential oil and natural gas reserves
equivalent to 30 billion barrels placing
it on par with oil Rich Kazakhstan
Mogadishu already has an exploration
deal with us-based Coastline exploration
for seven offshore blocks and drilling
is planned to start in
2025 with the new energy deal in effect
Turkish companies can be expected to
join the Americans for the oil rush
along the Somali Coast however thanks to
the security pact and the energy deal
anara has an advantage over Washington
turkey's drilling Fleet will be able to
extract natural resources at a reduced
cost compared to St standard licensing
agreements this implies that the
security PCT and now the energy deal
partially compensates Turkish Naval
activity through revenue generated from
Marine activities for context illegal
and irregular fishing off its Coast as
well as piracy costs the Somali economy
at least $300 million annually with
turkey's involvement Somalia will
eventually be able to gather at least
70% of that sum which would otherwise be
completely inaccessible somalia's e also
has many submarine cables running
through its sea floor connecting
marketplaces in the Persian Gulf with
East Africa and the Red Sea in
particular the two Africa cable and the
Eastern Africa submarine system cable
both anchoring in Mogadishu connect
dozens of nations with one another
whoever patrols these Waters would thus
gained supplementary bargaining power
across the Indian Ocean so for both
anara and Mogadishu the benefits are
mutually reinforcing and the deal is
politically and economically
sensible however while turkey and
Somalia have been working on the
maritime deal for some time recent
events have affected its timing just a
month earlier Ethiopia and Somali land
signed a memorandum of understanding
under which Ethiopia gets a 50-year
lease on a strip of land on Somali lands
Coast for Naval and Commercial Maritime
use and access to the berbera port
turkey and Ethiopia have close economic
and Military ties but the latter's
encroachment on somal land which is
considered worldwide to be part of
Somalia could have repercussions that
harm Turkish Ethiopian Rel ations in the
future sovereignty lies at the heart of
the dispute over the recent agreement
with somal land in exchange for the
Barbara Port deal Ethiopia is
considering recognizing the independence
of the separatist Somali land if it
hasn't already deao doing so openly
however could impact the Region's
stability for one it sets a dangerous
precedent Ethiopia itself is not exactly
the most secure and cohesive Nation
recognition of separatist forces could
backfire and hit Ethiopia still the
Somali land deal will enhance Ethiopia's
landlocked state giving it strategic and
economic access to the open oceans and
securing alternative routs to djibouti's
Port through which 95% of Ethiopian
exports and imports pass that said the
Somali Turkish deal serves as a check
and helps preserve somalia's sovereignty
against what it sees as foreign
encroachment but there is more to the
security pact than deterring Ethiopia
another point of consideration is the
United Arab Emirates when it comes to
the Horn of Africa the UAE is one of the
main power Brokers it has dual purpose
Assets in erria Yemen's sakota Island
breakway Somali land and Somalia proper
meanwhile the Turks have a foothold in
Sudan and
Somalia however the amirati do not see
eye to eye with their Turkish
counterparts as a result turkey and the
Emirates are engaged in a bitter rivalry
that expands The Wider Red Sea area the
UAE approves of the Ethiopia Somali land
deal mainly because it signed an
agreement of its own with Breakaway
Somali land for a share of the burbara
port since then AB Abu dhabi's economic
and political investments in both
Ethiopia and somal land have grown so
two factions have emerged in recent
times on one side are Ethiopia the UAE
and separatist Somali land on the other
are turkey and Somalia power dynamics
have shifted since and new coalitions
involving Regional and extra Regional
players continue to take shape however
geop politics can rarely ever be so
oversimplified in the past 3 years the
UAE has made substantial investments in
the Turkish economy and thus holds some
monetary leverage the same is true in
Somalia the amirati manage two key
Somali ports Barbera and bosaso the
former sits in Breakaway Somali land and
the latter in Somalia proper currently
however the emiratis are in negotiations
to acquire the port of kiso in the South
and Somali president Hassan shik muhamud
enjoys close political support from his
amirati counterpart hence with all these
crossborder Investments it's sometimes
difficult to distinguish friend from foe
as such Somalia has turned into a space
of intense competition between Ankara
and Abu Dhabi over the past decade so in
spite of its outstanding relations with
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L demands
accountability I've been your host
Chiron from Caspian report if you
approve of what we do please leave a
comment hit the like button and mayhaps
share the video in any case thank you
for your time and S
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