PLTR三大潛在風險？創新高58美元續留或賣呢?EP128【美股分析】【字幕】

Summary

In this video, the host shares insights into Palantir's Q3 2024 earnings, showcasing impressive revenue growth and strong performance across both government and commercial sectors. The company reports a 30% year-over-year revenue increase, with significant progress in both commercial business and government contracts, particularly in defense and AI applications. The host emphasizes the importance of patience in investing, reflecting on Palantir's transition from losses to profits. Despite its growth, the host advises caution with stock price fluctuations and encourages viewers to focus on long-term potential while remaining mindful of market risks.

Takeaways

• 😀 Palantir's Q3 2024 revenue reached $678 million, surpassing expectations by $72.6 million.
• 😀 Year-on-year revenue growth of 30%, higher than the previous quarter's 27%, fueled market excitement.
• 😀 Gross margin remained strong at over 80%, contributing to an increase in net profit to $149 million, a 100% year-on-year growth.
• 😀 Operating expenses rose 25% compared to the same period last year but were still outpaced by net profit growth.
• 😀 Stock-based compensation rose slightly to $142 million in Q3 2024, signaling a focus on retaining talent.
• 😀 The government's segment grew 33%, with the U.S. government contributing significantly, reflecting continued partnerships in defense and intelligence.
• 😀 Palantir's collaboration with the U.S. Department of Defense on AI and machine learning projects in defense and military planning is expanding.
• 😀 Commercial revenue grew 33%, with a notable 454% year-over-year increase in U.S. commercial sales, reflecting AIP's broadening impact.
• 😀 International commercial clients grew 18.79% year-on-year, with a significant rise in the number of clients served.
• 😀 The company's partnership with Amazon AWS will provide services to U.S. intelligence and defense agencies, marking a key strategic move.
• 😀 Palantir expects Q4 2024 revenue between $670 million and $770 million, projecting a 26% growth year-over-year, surpassing market expectations.
• 😀 Long-term investors are advised to wait for a market pullback before entering, as the stock price might face volatility in the short term.

Q & A

What was Palantir's total revenue for Q3 2024, and how did it compare to expectations?

Palantir's total revenue for Q3 2024 was $678 million, which exceeded market expectations of $726 million. This marked a 30% year-over-year growth, surpassing the previous quarter's growth rate of 27%.

How did Palantir's net profit and earnings per share (EPS) perform in Q3 2024?

Palantir reported a net profit of $149 million, showing a 100% increase compared to Q3 2023. The GAAP earnings per share (EPS) were $0.06, up from $0.03 the previous year.

What was the main driver behind Palantir's strong performance in Q3 2024?

Palantir's strong performance was primarily driven by growth in both its government and commercial sectors, with the government sector growing by 33% and the commercial sector by 33%. The launch of Palantir's AI Platform (AIP) also played a significant role in boosting revenue.

What impact did stock-based compensation have on Palantir's Q3 2024 financials?

Stock-based compensation for Palantir increased in Q3 2024, reflecting a continued effort to attract and retain talent, especially with the company's high growth trajectory. However, this increase is still manageable given the company’s profitability and revenue growth.

How did Palantir's government sector perform in Q3 2024?

The government sector grew by 33% year-over-year, with U.S. government revenue contributing $320 million, a 40% increase. Notably, Palantir’s collaboration with the U.S. Department of Defense, particularly the Maven project, continued to drive growth in military AI applications.

What were the key commercial sector results for Palantir in Q3 2024?

Palantir's commercial sector also saw impressive growth, with revenue rising by 33%. The U.S. commercial revenue surged by 454%, while international revenue grew at a rate of 18.79%. The number of international clients increased from 117 to 177, and Palantir’s AI Platform (AIP) significantly boosted operational efficiency and cost savings for businesses.

What is Palantir's outlook for Q4 2024 and full-year 2024?

For Q4 2024, Palantir expects revenue between $670 million and $770 million, while full-year 2024 revenue is projected to be between $2.805 billion and $2.809 billion, representing a 26% year-over-year growth. Additionally, the company expects a continued strong performance in both its government and commercial sectors.

What risks should investors consider when evaluating Palantir's future growth?

Investors should be aware of potential risks such as rising stock-based compensation, the possibility of new competitors entering the market, and insider selling, particularly by CEO Alex Karp. These factors could impact the company's financials and stock performance.

How did Palantir’s stock perform in November 2024, and what are analysts' opinions on its valuation?

In November 2024, Palantir's stock closed at $58.39, marking a strong performance. Analysts have varying opinions on its valuation, with target prices ranging from $28.5 to $45, depending on their outlook on the company's future growth and AI leadership.

What role does Palantir’s AI Platform (AIP) play in its business strategy?

Palantir's AI Platform (AIP) is central to the company's strategy, especially in the commercial sector. It helps clients improve organizational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance decision-making. The platform's widespread adoption is driving significant growth, particularly in industries like healthcare and logistics.