Blow Off Top 🔥 #tsla #btc #nke

Stocks with Josh
30 Sept 202420:13

Summary

TLDRIn this video, the speaker discusses the Federal Reserve's recent pivot from focusing on inflation to addressing unemployment, potentially leading to a recession. He outlines key job reports due this week, including JOLTS, ADP employment, jobless claims, and non-farm payrolls. Despite concerns, the speaker remains cautiously optimistic, suggesting the market may experience a bullish trend, particularly in big tech stocks like Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia. He emphasizes the possibility of market manipulation during an election year and shares insights on cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting further growth.

Takeaways

  • 💼 The Federal Reserve (FED) pivoted from focusing on inflation to addressing unemployment, which may lead to a major recession.
  • 📉 The FED has moved from tightening the economy to easing policies, aiming to stimulate hiring and growth.
  • 📊 Four key jobs reports are expected this week, including JOLTS, ADP employment report, jobless claims, and non-farm payrolls, which will influence market reactions.
  • 📈 A bullish market trend may occur if the jobs data aligns with market expectations, despite concerns about potential manipulation due to election year influences.
  • 🤔 The speaker remains cautiously optimistic about a potential market rally but is skeptical of the reliability of government employment data, especially in an election year.
  • 💡 There is a belief that powerful market forces could manipulate job data to influence market behavior leading up to the election.
  • 🚀 The speaker is optimistic about crypto, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting a significant upward move after a period of consolidation.
  • 👟 Nike's earnings report is anticipated, but the speaker is not optimistic about its long-term recovery, despite potential short-term gains.
  • 📈 The speaker is bullish on Amazon and Nvidia, believing they could rise significantly if favorable jobs data is released, with potential targets above $200 for Amazon.
  • 🚗 Tesla is highlighted as a key stock, with potential to reach new highs if it breaks out of a significant technical pattern, possibly reaching $380 or even all-time highs.

Q & A

  • What does the 'Fed pivot' refer to in this context?

    -The 'Fed pivot' refers to the Federal Reserve shifting its focus from combating inflation to addressing unemployment and the potential of a major recession. It indicates a move from tightening the economy to stimulating growth by encouraging hiring and economic activity.

  • Why is there concern about the timing of the Fed's pivot?

    -The concern about the timing of the Fed's pivot arises because some believe it may have come too late. Critics argue the Fed should have made this shift earlier, possibly in July, and that waiting until September may have worsened the economic situation.

  • What are the key economic data reports coming this week, and why are they important?

    -This week, key reports include the JOLTS report (job openings), ADP employment report, jobless claims, and the non-farm payrolls. These reports are crucial because they provide insights into job creation, unemployment, and wages, which will influence market expectations and the Fed’s actions.

  • What is the speaker's perspective on how the employment data could affect the market?

    -The speaker believes that despite technical concerns, the market may continue in a bullish trend. He speculates that in an election year, powerful figures could influence unemployment data to push the market higher, potentially setting up for a blowoff top later in the year.

  • Why does the speaker express cynicism regarding the reliability of employment data?

    -The speaker is cynical because he believes the unemployment numbers can be manipulated for political or market purposes, especially during an election year. He suggests that the numbers could be 'fluffed' to maintain a bullish market and avoid a crash before the election.

  • What is the speaker's investment strategy in light of this week's data reports?

    -The speaker plans to go in light, waiting for the market to reveal its direction before making significant moves. He prefers to wait for confirmation from the market rather than trying to predict its immediate behavior, reflecting a cautious approach to his investments.

  • What does the speaker say about the crypto market, specifically Bitcoin and Ethereum?

    -The speaker is bullish on both Bitcoin and Ethereum. He believes Bitcoin is poised for a major move after consolidating, and he is particularly interested in Ethereum, considering it undervalued and ready for a significant breakout. He has taken an initial position in Ethereum, which he plans to grow.

  • Why is the speaker hesitant about investing in Nike before its earnings report?

    -The speaker is hesitant to invest in Nike because he feels the company is still recovering from a long-term decline. While it has come off its lows, the fundamentals suggest a longer recovery period, making it less attractive as an earnings play. He is watching for potential short opportunities depending on the earnings outcome.

  • Which stocks is the speaker particularly interested in, and why?

    -The speaker is particularly interested in Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia. He believes these stocks are setting up for potential bullish moves. Specifically, he likes Amazon's chart, believes Tesla could reach all-time highs, and sees Nvidia as a strong performer in the tech sector.

  • What does the speaker expect from Tesla's price movement, based on its current chart patterns?

    -The speaker expects Tesla to potentially break out of its current cup-and-handle pattern, which could lead to a price target of $380. He believes Tesla is at a crucial deciding point, with the potential to reverse back to all-time highs if the market remains favorable.

Outlines

00:00

🔄 The Fed’s Pivot: From Inflation to Unemployment

In this segment, the speaker explains the Federal Reserve’s recent shift from focusing on inflation to tackling unemployment, which could potentially lead to a recession. This change involves transitioning from tightening the economy to easing, encouraging corporate growth and hiring. The speaker reflects on whether the Fed's decision to wait until September, rather than pivoting in July, was a mistake. Upcoming economic reports on jobs and unemployment this week will be crucial in determining the future trajectory of the economy, with the potential for either a soft landing or a severe downturn.

05:01

📈 Market Speculation Amid Employment Data

The speaker provides an overview of the key employment data releases expected throughout the week, starting with the JOLTS report, ADP employment report, jobless claims, and non-farm payrolls. These reports are vital in assessing the strength of the labor market. Although there are concerns about unemployment rates, the speaker suggests that wage growth could still support economic growth. However, the speaker expresses a cynical view that the data could be manipulated due to the upcoming elections, potentially setting up a short-term market rally before a more significant downturn.

10:03

📊 Employment Data and Election-Year Market Movements

This paragraph delves into the idea that the employment data could be influenced by political factors due to the election year. The speaker believes that powerful entities may manipulate unemployment data to reflect positive outcomes, thereby pushing the market higher. The speaker leans towards the view that this could lead to a 'blowoff top,' where the market experiences a rapid increase before a potential decline. Despite these speculations, the speaker intends to remain cautious, entering the market only after data is released and trends become clear.

15:06

💰 Crypto Insights: Bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum

Shifting to cryptocurrency, the speaker discusses the current state of Bitcoin and Ethereum. While warning about a recent peak and pullback, the speaker remains optimistic, suggesting that both Bitcoin and Ethereum are poised for significant growth. Ethereum, in particular, is highlighted as undervalued, with the speaker revealing plans to increase their investment to six figures. The speaker also advises taking profits when necessary, emphasizing a disciplined approach to trading. Upcoming live events and deep dives into crypto markets are mentioned, signaling future discussions on this topic.

👟 Nike’s Earnings and a Focus on Big Tech Stocks

In this segment, the speaker discusses upcoming earnings reports, particularly Nike, and expresses skepticism about its long-term recovery. Despite being beaten down, Nike’s fundamentals suggest it may struggle for years, and the speaker is not optimistic about its performance in the short term. The focus then shifts to big tech stocks, notably Amazon, Tesla, and Nvidia. The speaker is adding to positions in Amazon and Nvidia, citing positive analyst recommendations and higher price targets. Concerns about supply chain disruptions for Amazon are noted, but the speaker believes the stock is poised for a potential upward move.

📈 Amazon's Technical Analysis and Future Outlook

This paragraph dives into the technical analysis of Amazon's stock performance. The speaker breaks down recent price movements, pointing out a potential bullish setup despite concerning signals on the MACD indicator. A potential channel breakout and the opportunity for Amazon to reach new highs around $205 are discussed. The speaker also considers the possibility of a pullback before a further rally, and a bullish crossover on the weekly chart could signal a major price rise. Overall, the speaker remains optimistic, anticipating a potential blowoff top for Amazon.

🚀 Big Tech: Tesla, Nvidia, and Market Momentum

The speaker reflects on past successful calls with Nvidia and Tesla, emphasizing that large, well-thought-out trades often yield the highest returns. Tesla’s recent price movements are analyzed, with the speaker highlighting a potential breakout to all-time highs based on a 'cup and handle' formation. A bullish scenario is presented, suggesting that Tesla could reach $380 if the breakout is confirmed. The speaker advocates patience and discipline, advising the use of stop losses to manage risk while maintaining a long-term bullish outlook on Tesla.

📊 Tesla's Long-Term Potential and Market Risks

This segment further explores Tesla’s potential price reversal, suggesting that the stock could return to all-time highs if the technical patterns play out. The speaker discusses the significance of a weekly chart breakout and advises holding Tesla to capitalize on the potential upside. The narrative also touches on other electric vehicle stocks like Nio, which has shown recent signs of life. Despite this, the speaker prefers Tesla, believing it to be the best-performing stock in the EV sector. The segment concludes with an invitation to the speaker’s Discord community for deeper discussions on trading and investing.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡FED Pivot

The 'FED Pivot' refers to a change in the Federal Reserve's policy focus, shifting from fighting inflation to addressing unemployment concerns. In the video, the speaker discusses how this shift signifies the Federal Reserve's response to emerging economic risks like a potential recession, moving from tightening monetary policy to easing it in order to stimulate the economy.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the increase in prices over time, reducing purchasing power. It is a primary concern for the Federal Reserve when setting monetary policy. In the video, inflation is discussed as the initial focus of the FED's policies before they pivoted to prioritize unemployment, which could signal a major recession.

💡Unemployment

Unemployment refers to the state of being jobless among the workforce. In the video, unemployment becomes a central concern for the FED as the economy slows down. The speaker notes that this shift in focus is key to understanding the FED's policy changes, as rising unemployment may lead to a recession.

💡Recession

A recession is a period of economic decline, characterized by reduced industrial activity and increased unemployment. In the video, the speaker highlights the concern that if the FED was late in pivoting its policy focus, the U.S. could face a deep recession, making this a critical moment for economic decision-making.

💡Jobs Data Reports

Jobs data reports provide crucial information about employment, job openings, payroll, and unemployment claims. In the video, several key reports—like the JOLTS report, ADP employment report, jobless claims, and non-farm payroll—are mentioned as pivotal indicators that the markets will analyze to assess the direction of the economy.

💡Election Year

An election year is a time when political influence can impact economic policies and decisions. In the video, the speaker suggests that economic data, particularly unemployment figures, may be manipulated or presented favorably by market makers during an election year to influence public perception and market outcomes.

💡Market Rally

A market rally refers to a significant upward movement in stock prices, often following positive economic data or favorable market conditions. In the video, the speaker is optimistic about the potential for a bullish market rally, driven by favorable jobs data and the possibility of economic manipulation in an election year.

💡Non-farm Payrolls

The non-farm payroll report provides data on the number of jobs added or lost in the U.S. economy, excluding agricultural work. This report is highlighted in the video as a key indicator that will greatly influence the market's reaction, particularly since job growth is expected, which could contribute to a market rally.

💡Wage Reports

Wage reports track the average earnings of workers, providing insight into consumer spending power. In the video, the speaker emphasizes that even if job growth slows, strong wage growth could sustain consumer spending, which in turn would keep the economy and stock markets stable and potentially rising.

💡Bullish Trend

A bullish trend in the stock market refers to rising prices and positive market sentiment. The speaker in the video suggests that despite some technical concerns, there may be a catalyst for the market to continue its bullish trend, driven by manipulated unemployment data and optimism surrounding upcoming jobs reports.

Highlights

The Federal Reserve (FED) has pivoted from focusing on inflation to addressing unemployment, signaling a shift in economic priorities.

The pivot suggests a move from tightening economic measures to easing, aiming to stimulate corporate growth and hiring.

There’s a debate on whether the FED’s pivot was too late, with some arguing it should have occurred in July instead of September.

Key data reports this week, including the JOLTS report, ADP employment report, jobless claims, and non-farm payrolls, will influence market reactions.

Non-farm payrolls report, expected on October 4th, is crucial as it is predicted to show a rise in jobs and stable unemployment, which could drive market sentiment.

Wage reports are also critical; strong wages can offset job losses, keeping the economy afloat.

The speaker expresses skepticism about the reliability of employment data, especially in an election year, suggesting potential manipulation by market makers.

Despite technical concerns in the charts, the speaker believes there may be a bullish trend by the end of the week, driven by market forces and election-year dynamics.

Bitcoin and crypto markets are anticipated to make a significant move after a consolidation period, with the speaker bullish on Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The speaker is particularly interested in Ethereum, having recently taken a position and planning to grow it to a six-figure investment.

Upcoming earnings for Nike are viewed with caution, with the speaker not expecting strong results but seeing potential for future shorting opportunities.

The speaker is bullish on Amazon and Nvidia, citing strong price targets from analysts despite some negative news around Amazon.

Tesla is highlighted as a stock that could see a significant breakout, with a potential price target of $380 if technical patterns hold.

Tesla’s momentum is compared to other big tech stocks, with the speaker confident that it may return to all-time highs.

The speaker advises cautious optimism in the market, recommending a wait-and-see approach until key data is released, while still maintaining positions in select big tech stocks.

Transcripts

play00:00

all right you guys know that the FED

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pivoted but I don't know that everybody

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really understands exactly what that

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means just yet it means that he has

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moved from one problem to another he's

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moved from thinking his biggest concern

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is inflation to now realizing that his

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biggest concern may be unemployment

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which would lead to a major recession so

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he has moved away from tightening and

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putting a break on the economy to easing

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trying to get things moving again and to

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stimulate corporations to hire and to

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grow that's what the big pivot was now

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the question is whether or not he was

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too late should he have pivoted in July

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was he wrong to have waited till

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September did he give a 50 basis point

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cut because he was scared of what he saw

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coming around the corner well around the

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corner is this week we've got four data

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reports on jobs and unemployment and

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payroll and these are the things that

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the Market's going to look at very

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carefully to assess whether the FED has

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truly given us a soft Landing or it's

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the Tipping Point for a huge recession

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and a slowing economy now I'm going to

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give you my opinion today and as I was

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reflecting on what I'm sharing with you

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today I thought you guys are getting

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cynical Josh today and I'm going to lay

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out for you why but let's just go over

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which data reports we're waiting for and

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then I'm going to explain to you why I

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think we may continue in a bullish Trend

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by the end of this week now you say well

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bullish Josh I mean things are not

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looking that great uh aren't you scared

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yes I have concerns there's technical

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concerns in a lot of the charts I've

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talked about them in the last couple of

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videos that I've made but I'm going to

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give you my reason why there may be a

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catalyst or there may be a reason to

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Trump all of those technical concerns

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and we're going to fall back on the fact

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that it's an election year okay so let's

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talk about the jobs reports that we're

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getting this week and then I'll give you

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guys my opinion starting things off

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tomorrow at 10:00 a.m. we're getting the

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jolts report that's the new job openings

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that occur each and every month now

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following that on Wednesday we get the

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ADP employment report that comes out

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pre-market at 8:15 Eastern Standard Time

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and if you are a doubter of the

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employment reports that we're getting

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from the federal government this is the

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one that would be the most interest to

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you and then we've got jobless claims on

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Thursday at 8:30 a.m. this is the third

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jobs report that we've got this week and

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this is going to be jobless claims so

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people who are filing to receive

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unemployment new unemployment claims

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this week that's what we're going to be

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getting Thursday but the big one that

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the Market's really going to react upon

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because this is the one that drives the

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data is the non-farm payrolls that we

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get out Friday October 4th now in that

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report jobs are actually expected to

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rise we're we're actually expecting to

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see an a tick up and an increase in jobs

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added to the economy we're actually

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expecting to see unemployment rate stay

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flat so we're not looking for a major

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change there we're looking for that to

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hold steady and we're also going to get

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wage reports now we can afford to lose

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some jobs we can afford to not add jobs

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as long as the wage Factor continues to

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show strength because even if some folks

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are unemployed if the folks who are

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working can afford to keep this economy

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afat and they're not afraid to spend

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money well then the economy stocks can

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continue to grow and can continue to go

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higher those are the things that we're

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watching for this week and so what why

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did I say I was cynical well because is

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the data besides the ADP report how

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reliable is it if the if the market

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makers and those who control and pull

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the strings in this country want to tell

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us that unemployment remained flat well

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they can tell us that this week and they

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can cause the markets to Rally matter of

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fact if they wanted to come out and say

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that uh unemployment shrunk and people

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got jobs and there's new jobs coming on

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the market they could fluff those

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numbers as well to push the economy pre

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the election right now if they don't

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like the candidate or they want to force

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a crash later well then they'll just

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revise the numbers giving correct data

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to show that things have changed and so

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I would say that now forgive me if I've

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gotten too cynical for you guys but I

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think it's just too easy this last uh

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stretch before the election to make

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those unemployment numbers reflect

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whatever it is that the market makers

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want them to reflect now what that could

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be setting up for is the blowoff top off

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of an incredible run and the Elation

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that many people would be feeling seeing

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their portfolios rise thinking to

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themselves as sky is not falling in this

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economy that things are okay and may

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maybe a major change isn't needed and so

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all of that causes me to think that we

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might not be crashing this week uh I'm

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leaning towards the fact that the

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numbers can be manipulated because we're

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in an election year and there's very

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powerful people that pull the strings in

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this country and they're the ones who

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put people into office or take people

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out of office so it's going to be very

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interesting to see how the market acts

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this week I'm going to lean towards the

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idea that we're getting ready to set up

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for an incredible run that all the

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employment data is going to come in the

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way the market makers want it to and we

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could be setting up for the blowoff top

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that we've been slowly moving towards

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all of 2023 and 2024 just my opinion now

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having said all of that I'm going in

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light until I get the data I'm going in

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light till I see the Market's reaction

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I'm not trying to get ahead or in front

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of the train I'm waiting for the train

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to stop I will get on at my leisurely

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Pace I will take my seat buckle myself

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in order a drink and I will take off to

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the next stop with it I'm not going to

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try to jump on the fast moving train I'm

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going to wait until the market decides

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what it wants to do that's how I see the

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markets today I hope you guys found that

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interesting I'd love to know how you see

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the markets let me know in the comment

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section this is the stocks with Josh

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show I appreciate you guys hit the like

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say hi in the comments watch out for

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scammers that pretend to be me if

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something doesn't feel right it probably

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isn't me uh but if you want to connect

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with me more you can do it in the stocks

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with Josh Discord the chart goat

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University where we're doing a 3K to 10K

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Challenge and I'm dropping education

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pieces we entered another trade today on

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Amazon and this is one of the stocks

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that I'm going to talk to you guys about

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today we're also keeping an eye on a

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number of other plays and in addition to

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that I've got to talk briefly about

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what's going on with crypto because in

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my last video I believe it was Friday I

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warned that we were peing and likely

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needed to cool off for a moment before

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going higher now my bias is that we're

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gonna scream higher on bitcoin and

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crypto and that we're getting just a

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momentary pullback to support so that we

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can go go higher I want to remind you

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guys that Bitcoin typically consolidates

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for 200 days and then it makes a major

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move we've gotten there we've done that

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and now we're in the stage of getting a

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major move now if you uh heed my caution

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going into this weekend you would have

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taken profits and you would have been

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selling at the top of your favorite

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cryptos and your favorite altcoins I did

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and locked in a ton of money now I'm

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anxious and eager to get back back in so

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I'm watching it very carefully guys I'm

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going to shout out ethereum because

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lately I've become more interested in

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ethereum it would take very little for

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ethereum to take off like a rocket I'm

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very interested in ethereum right now

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and I took a initial position which I'm

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going to grow to six figures very soon

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I'm giving everybody the heads up that

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I'm bullish on ethereum right now now I

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could be wrong this is a risk position

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but I think it's just beat down and I

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think when

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when something gets beat down like this

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and there's nothing wrong with the

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project and it's still uh sort of the

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backbone of a lot of

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cryptocurrencies it's around that time

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that I begin to think okay well it's

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something that I want to buy more of so

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just wanted to throw that out there not

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tomorrow I'm gonna be having uh some

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folks on the show we're going to do a

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live and a deeper dive and we're going

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to chart some cryptos for you guys so

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don't miss tomorrow's live okay let's

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talk a little bit about earnings we've

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got an earnings tomorrow before the

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Market opens and it's Nike and I'm just

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going to come right out and tell you

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guys that I don't love it I would have

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called it as an earnings play at least a

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Lotto Play small position size because

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it has been beat down and that means

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that the options uh could be pretty

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profitable I didn't I took the time to

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analyze Nike and I just came across too

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many people that understand the

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fundamentals of Nike better than me and

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they more or less said that it's going

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to take years for them to recover so

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it's come up off of its lows it came up

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off of its lows it there's room for it

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to continue to fall so I'm not touching

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Nike for tomorrow now many analysts have

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maintained their price Target on Nike at

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$85 and it's currently trading at 88 and

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so that's not a good setup going into

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earnings so what I'm going to be doing

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is I'm going to be watching the earnings

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because if it doesn't go well then I

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think there's going to be more

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opportunity to potentially short Nike

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now I could be wrong let's see how Nike

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goes tomorrow if you're in Nike if

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you're long nike I wish you the best I

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hope it takes off like a rocket and you

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make hundreds of percent on your

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Investments And Trades okay let's talk

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about the trade that I am interested in

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right now and that's Amazon and Tesla

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and Nvidia I actually like a lot of big

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Tech right now H I also like meta but

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the ones that I'm most interested in

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right now that are new positions for me

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so positions that I'm currently adding

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to or growing are Amazon and Nvidia

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Tesla I've got my bags packed meta I

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bought a couple weeks ago and so I'm

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more interested right now in Amazon and

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Nvidia and today we're going to be

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specifically talking about Amazon and

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what I like about the charts now we are

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seeing some fud in the news but there's

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a number of companies that came out and

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have maintained Amazon as a buy and

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given it a higher price target of around

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$265 is one of the higher price targets

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that trust Securities gave it today

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caner Fitzgerald maintained their $230

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price Target and maintained them as a

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buy so I think that there are

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interesting negative news stories

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circulating Amazon right now one of them

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is the potential strike at the ports

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which could cause disruption to Goods uh

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coming into the holiday season and

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obviously affect Amazon's profitability

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but at the moment the chart is setting

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up that if we get a good uh jobs data

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this week I think Amazon could rip it

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already had a massive dip so there was

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already this moment of profit taking and

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we might actually be making another wave

play11:43

higher all the way above 200 let me show

play11:46

you that chart real quick okay here's

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how we're set up right now and in some

play11:50

cases you would look at this macd and

play11:52

see that it's rolling over and it would

play11:54

be a pretty bad warning sign that this

play11:57

could actually be the beginning of a

play11:59

breakdown right in momentum similar to

play12:02

what we saw here once we had a cross

play12:04

under on the macd there it led to this

play12:07

huge price fall right and so right off

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the bat we're looking at the daily time

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frame you know you might say Josh you

play12:15

got to be crazy to be interested in

play12:17

Amazon well let's go through a couple

play12:19

things that are just a little bit

play12:20

different right now than they were when

play12:23

we got this other crossover first off

play12:25

I've traded the macd for a long time and

play12:27

you can see that the macd just continue

play12:29

to come along and bounce off of this

play12:33

line and go higher and higher right so

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we don't know that we're going to get

play12:38

this crossover just yet second of all

play12:42

it's very consistent that we get these

play12:44

channels that eventually get broken let

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me just kind of take you over to this

play12:48

one the last time we had this major

play12:50

price breakdown we actually uh had two

play12:54

patterns that were warning us one was

play12:57

this ascending wed which was very

play13:00

bearish that preceded this move here the

play13:04

second was this ascending Channel which

play13:06

preceded this gap down and move here

play13:09

well so even if we're going to go

play13:13

lower in my mind we've got to actually

play13:16

go higher before we do that and I could

play13:18

easily see us getting back to 190 and

play13:22

creating this ascending wedge before

play13:25

going lower if that's ultimately what

play13:27

the stock wants to do but there's also

play13:30

the opportunity of a potential bounce

play13:32

here I do believe that if we can uh find

play13:36

support at the moment here at this

play13:41

18440 I believe there's actually

play13:43

opportunity for us to move all the way

play13:46

up to this 205 and even top touch the

play13:50

top of this uh ascending resistance line

play13:54

putting the stock between 205 and 208

play13:57

and this is sort of the blow off top

play14:00

that I'm looking for in Amazon now if we

play14:03

shift from this daily view to this

play14:05

weekly view I want to point out that the

play14:07

story changes a little bit and what you

play14:10

see is that on the weekly time frame

play14:13

we're setting up for a potential bullish

play14:16

crossover and we're still in Bull

play14:19

territory and we have been for a very

play14:21

long time and so if we get this

play14:24

crossover on the weekly which is sort of

play14:26

bent down a little bit and that's why

play14:29

we're seeing that problem on The Daily

play14:31

but if this actually begins to move up

play14:33

based on good Catalyst leading us into

play14:36

our last phase before the election this

play14:39

could actually be the blowoff top this

play14:42

crossover on the signal line is actually

play14:45

when we got this in the past it actually

play14:47

is what led to this Monumental move up

play14:51

in price and we could be getting ready

play14:52

to get the exact same thing later on we

play14:55

could see this head and shoulders play

play14:57

out of momentum but but if we got that

play14:59

crossover on the weekly we would

play15:01

absolutely get to 205 or 208 or even

play15:05

much higher you know as I reflect back

play15:08

on the last quarter I have given

play15:10

extremely clear and accurate guidance on

play15:12

some very big plays and I've reminded

play15:15

you that it's the big plays that are

play15:17

well thought out with your highest

play15:19

amount of capital that ultimately will

play15:21

be your largest winners not your scalp

play15:24

trades that you do in the morning okay

play15:26

those are typically just going to be

play15:28

picking up little pieces along the way

play15:30

building small amounts of money over the

play15:33

course of time it's your big plays that

play15:35

are going to be the most profitable now

play15:37

we have called on this channel Nvidia

play15:41

perfectly ran it all the way up and then

play15:45

when it came down and people were saying

play15:47

the runup was over called it a buy again

play15:50

we ran up again we've done the exact

play15:53

same thing with Tesla and people were

play15:55

selling at 240 248 250 5

play16:00

n261 and I kept telling them hold on

play16:03

pump the breaks on selling Tesla okay

play16:07

because we have a great Catalyst ahead

play16:09

of us we're moving into an environment

play16:12

that could be a secondary Catalyst good

play16:15

data with an easing fed right sort of a

play16:19

goldilock environment and Tesla's not

play16:22

breaking down hm who told you that Tesla

play16:25

wouldn't break down I told you that

play16:27

Tesla wouldn't break down let's go look

play16:28

at at the charts because this could be

play16:30

setting up for a move that people are

play16:33

not expecting and I don't want you guys

play16:35

to come tardy to the party I don't want

play16:37

you to ask me should I get in it you

play16:40

know after the moves occurred that's

play16:43

when everybody on the news is going to

play16:45

be pumping it up now I'm not advocating

play16:47

not using a stop loss one of my

play16:50

disciplines is to have a stop loss and

play16:52

I've got a stop loss set right now on

play16:54

all of these plays that I'm talking to

play16:56

you about and I take profit I told you

play16:59

about taking profit with Bitcoin even

play17:01

when it's hard to do but not taking

play17:04

Profit just yet on Tesla let's go look

play17:05

at that chart okay we've talked about

play17:08

this talked about it way back here

play17:13

cup and handle okay now we're right at

play17:18

the line of getting above this cup and

play17:21

handle the cup and handle price is

play17:23

around 261 we still have time ahead of

play17:26

us but here's the point I want to make

play17:28

today and I've been making this point

play17:30

I'm just going to make it again you take

play17:32

the low of the cup okay to the

play17:35

neckline and you place that at the

play17:37

potential breakout

play17:39

Zone and that tells you where the stock

play17:42

could possibly go and the number I just

play17:45

want you guys to be aware of is back to

play17:48

380 if we actually got a confirmation of

play17:51

a breakout of this cup and handle and we

play17:54

got that Above This 261 so the price

play17:57

explodes even if we consolidate here for

play18:00

a little while it's ultimately telling

play18:02

us that Tesla's entered into a new phase

play18:05

with a potential price target of 380 and

play18:07

let me talk to you about why that's so

play18:09

significant let's jump to the weekly

play18:11

candles because it's actually pointing

play18:14

potentially to a total and complete

play18:17

price reversal taking us back to

play18:19

all-time highs that's why it's

play18:22

interesting now do we know that's going

play18:24

to happen no we don't know that but if

play18:26

you're ever going to take risk on TES to

play18:29

be honest with you it would have been in

play18:31

this last 30 60 90 days because Tesla is

play18:35

been slowly building back its momentum

play18:38

to a potential breakout back to all-time

play18:41

highs Tesla has been the worst

play18:44

performing big tech company but it's

play18:47

potentially getting ready to catch up

play18:49

with its peers or at least we're at the

play18:52

deciding line and so I'm definitely

play18:54

going to be holding Tesla and not

play18:57

selling it in any form of a panic until

play18:59

I see what it does with this cup line

play19:02

and this historic line of resistance

play19:04

again love to hear from you guys in the

play19:06

comment section if you are not touching

play19:08

Tesla even Neo has come back to life

play19:12

even Neo's hitting the radar of Interest

play19:15

now I'm not buying any Neo because I

play19:17

like to be in the best performing stock

play19:21

in a sector and I personally believe

play19:22

that for EVS that's Tesla but if you've

play19:25

made some money this week on Neo let me

play19:27

know in the chat let me know in the

play19:29

comment section if you've gotten excited

play19:31

about being a Neo holder again I'm

play19:33

excited about holding Tesla for now all

play19:35

right guys that wraps it up for me today

play19:37

hit me up over in the stocks with Josh

play19:39

Discord come join us over there it's not

play19:41

just me it's me and the crowned Traders

play19:44

there's a number of very talented

play19:46

investors over there you can come trade

play19:48

with us you can learn to chart and you

play19:51

can be in a great positive Community

play19:53

each and every day I'll leave a link in

play19:54

the top pin comment peace and blessings

play19:57

hit the like and the subscribe let's see

play19:59

what these markets do this week

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[Music]

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