Jeff Booth on Technology-Driven Deflation, Bitcoin's Role in Global Markets, and Financial Systems

Lead-Lag Live
1 Aug 202434:17

Summary

TLDRIn this insightful conversation, Michael Guad, the publisher of The Lead Lag Report, interviews Jeff Booth, a technology entrepreneur and author of 'The Price of Tomorrow'. They delve into the transformative potential of Bitcoin as a deflationary protocol, its resistance to centralization, and its role in fostering a free market. Booth highlights the importance of Bitcoin's decentralized nature in providing a secure and free communication platform on Noster, where users own their audience. The discussion also touches on the political implications of Bitcoin's growing influence and the challenges of valuing a technology that could redefine human abundance and freedom.

Takeaways

  • 😀 Jeff Booth, a technology entrepreneur, discusses his transition to Noster, a platform built on Bitcoin's protocol, emphasizing the importance of decentralized communication and ownership of one's audience.
  • 🔑 Noster is portrayed as an extension of Bitcoin's protocol, offering a decentralized and secure network where users own their audience and can't be shut off by any central authority.
  • 💡 Booth highlights the deflationary nature of technology and the free market, contrasting it with the inflationary practices of central banks and the resulting distortions in the market.
  • 📈 He argues that Bitcoin, as a protocol bound by energy, is repricing the world's assets, with all other prices falling relative to Bitcoin if it remains decentralized and secure.
  • 🌐 The discussion touches on the vulnerabilities of centralized systems, using the example of CrowdStrike, to illustrate the power of decentralization in ensuring security and resilience.
  • 💬 Booth criticizes the reliance on leaders, whether liked or disliked, as a form of centralization that goes against the principles of a free market and decentralization.
  • 🚀 The script emphasizes the importance of understanding Bitcoin not just as a cryptocurrency but as a protocol that could redefine human history with its potential to enable global abundance and freedom.
  • 💡 The conversation suggests that the true value of Bitcoin isn't measured in fiat terms but in its ability to provide a store of value that is not subject to the whims of central banks or political figures.
  • 🌟 Booth's perspective is that Bitcoin is a 'new imposition of a ledger' that could lead to a future of human flourishing, which is a significant departure from the current financial paradigm.
  • 🏦 The script also addresses the potential for Bitcoin to disrupt the existing financial system, with the acknowledgment that it challenges the status quo and could lead to a shift in power dynamics.
  • 📚 Jeff Booth mentions his book 'The Price of Tomorrow', which delves into the economic implications of Bitcoin and the transition from a centralized to a decentralized financial system.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic of discussion in the interview with Jeff Booth?

    -The main topic of discussion is the concept of Bitcoin as a deflationary technology and its role as a protocol for a decentralized and secure network, as well as its implications for the future of communication and the economy.

  • What is Noster and why did Jeff Booth pivot to this platform?

    -Noster is a decentralized communication protocol that allows users to own their audience and not be controlled by any centralized entity. Jeff Booth pivoted to Noster because it aligns with his vision of a decentralized and secure communication system.

  • What does Jeff Booth believe about the natural state of the free market?

    -Jeff Booth believes that the natural state of the free market is deflationary, meaning that the free market tends to decrease the prices of goods and services over time due to increased efficiency and competition.

  • What is the significance of Bitcoin's role in the deflationary process according to Jeff Booth?

    -According to Jeff Booth, Bitcoin plays a significant role in the deflationary process as it is a protocol that is bounded by energy and cannot be centralized, thus providing a secure and decentralized store of value that is not subject to inflationary pressures.

  • What is the connection between technology and energy demand as discussed by Jeff Booth?

    -Jeff Booth argues that technology, including Bitcoin, is deflationary and that it creates an abundance of energy by providing a constant demand for energy, which in turn drives innovation and efficiency in energy production.

  • How does Jeff Booth view the relationship between Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies or technologies?

    -Jeff Booth views Bitcoin as a unique protocol that is different from other cryptocurrencies or technologies. He believes that Bitcoin's value is not in competition with these but rather that it stands alone as a decentralized and secure system that reprices the world's assets.

  • What does Jeff Booth think about the current financial system and its reliance on debt?

    -Jeff Booth believes that the current financial system is unsustainable due to its reliance on debt, which is already insolvent. He sees Bitcoin as a solution that can provide a more stable and honest financial system.

  • What is the concept of 'the price of tomorrow' as mentioned in the script?

    -The concept of 'the price of tomorrow' refers to Jeff Booth's book where he discusses the future of the economy and the role of Bitcoin in shaping a new financial system that is not based on the current inflationary monetary system.

  • How does Jeff Booth perceive the role of politicians in relation to Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency community?

    -Jeff Booth perceives politicians' engagement with Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency community as a strategic move to gain votes and appeal to a growing demographic that values decentralization and freedom. However, he also notes that some politicians may not fully understand or support the principles of Bitcoin.

  • What is Jeff Booth's view on the potential of Bitcoin as a global currency?

    -Jeff Booth sees Bitcoin's potential as a global currency that can provide abundance and freedom to people worldwide. He believes that Bitcoin's transition to a currency is inevitable and will be accelerated by the technology and ecosystem being built around it.

  • What are Jeff Booth's thoughts on the future of Bitcoin and its impact on the world economy?

    -Jeff Booth believes that Bitcoin will continue to grow in importance and will reprice the world economy, providing a more honest and decentralized system of value that is not subject to the manipulations of central banks and governments.

Outlines

00:00

🤝 Introduction to Jeff Booth and Noster

The video begins with an introduction to Michael Guad, the publisher of The Lead Lag Report, and his guest, Jeff Booth, a technology entrepreneur and author of 'The Price of Tomorrow.' Jeff has transitioned to a platform called Noster, which is a decentralized communication protocol that allows users to own their audience and switch clients without losing followers. The conversation hints at the importance of decentralization in the context of free market principles and the contrast between controlled systems and free market dynamics.

05:01

💡 The Concept of Deflation and Bitcoin's Role

This paragraph delves into the concept of deflation as the natural state of the free market, with technology being deflationary. Jeff Booth discusses his realization of Bitcoin's potential as a protocol that counters inflationary systems. He emphasizes the importance of understanding Bitcoin not just as a cryptocurrency but as a transformative protocol that enables a decentralized and secure network, leading to a discussion on the implications of decentralization for energy and inflation expectations.

10:03

🌟 Bitcoin's Impact on Energy and Centralization

Jeff Booth discusses the relationship between Bitcoin and energy, arguing that Bitcoin's energy consumption is misunderstood and is, in fact, a catalyst for creating an energy-abundant economy. He explains that Bitcoin miners are incentivized to find and utilize cheap energy, which can then be sold to others, thereby decentralizing the energy market. The paragraph highlights the broader implications of Bitcoin's role in challenging centralized systems and the potential for it to reprice the world's assets.

15:03

🏘️ Real Estate, Stocks, and Bitcoin's Valuation

The speaker uses the example of real estate to illustrate the flawed perception of value in traditional assets compared to Bitcoin. He points out that while the nominal price of his house has increased in fiat terms, its value in Bitcoin has significantly decreased, reflecting the true store of value that Bitcoin represents. The paragraph also touches on the inefficiency of stocks and other assets when compared to Bitcoin and the strategic approach of investing in Bitcoin-related companies to potentially achieve higher returns.

20:03

🛡️ Bitcoin's Decentralization and Security

Jeff Booth addresses concerns about potential centralization in Bitcoin, particularly at the layer two level, which could undermine its decentralized nature. He emphasizes the importance of maintaining Bitcoin's security and decentralization to ensure it remains a reliable store of value and a catalyst for human freedom and market abundance. The discussion also includes the impact of political figures on cryptocurrency and the strategic importance of Bitcoin's role in the global financial ecosystem.

25:04

📈 Bitcoin's Valuation and Global Economic Impact

The speaker provides a detailed analysis of Bitcoin's potential valuation based on the global financial ledger and the current debt levels. He suggests that Bitcoin's value, when compared to the world's assets and liabilities, could be significantly higher than its current market price. The paragraph discusses the potential for Bitcoin to reprice the world's assets and the importance of understanding its role as a new form of ledger that could redefine human history.

30:05

🗳️ Politics, Bitcoin, and the Future of Abundance

In the final paragraph, Jeff Booth discusses the political implications of Bitcoin, noting how politicians are beginning to recognize the influence of the cryptocurrency community. He highlights the game theory at play as politicians attempt to appeal to Bitcoiners, while also considering the broader impact of Bitcoin as a catalyst for global abundance and freedom. The conversation concludes with a reflection on the transformative potential of Bitcoin and the importance of continuing to innovate and support its growth.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Decentralization

Decentralization refers to the distribution of authority and power away from a central location or entity. In the context of the video, it is a core concept related to Bitcoin and the benefits it brings, such as freedom from central control and the ability to operate independently of traditional financial systems. The script discusses how Bitcoin's decentralized nature is a critical aspect of its security and resistance to centralization.

💡Inflation

Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and subsequently, the purchasing power of currency is falling. The video discusses the natural state of a free market as being deflationary, contrasting it with the current monetary system that is perceived as inflationary due to the central banks' policies of money printing, which dilutes the value of currency over time.

💡Deflation

Deflation is the decrease in the general price level of goods and services in an economy. The script argues that technology, including Bitcoin, is inherently deflationary because it increases efficiency and productivity, which should naturally lead to lower prices. The discussion emphasizes the difference between the perceived value of currency and the actual value of goods and services in a deflationary environment.

💡Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that operates on a peer-to-peer network without the need for a central authority. The script explores Bitcoin's role as a protocol that enables a secure and decentralized form of communication and transaction, challenging the traditional financial systems and providing an alternative that is not subject to the same inflationary pressures.

💡Protocol

In the context of the video, a protocol refers to the underlying rules and systems that govern the operation of a network, such as Bitcoin's blockchain. The script discusses Bitcoin as a protocol that is not just a currency but a transformative technology that redefines how value is stored and transferred in a decentralized manner.

💡Noster

Noster is a decentralized communication platform mentioned in the script as an extension of the Bitcoin protocol. It allows users to own their audience and communicate freely without the risk of being shut down or censored by a central authority. The platform exemplifies the broader theme of decentralization and the empowerment of individuals in the digital age.

💡Energy

Energy, in the context of the video, is discussed in relation to Bitcoin mining and the energy consumption required for the network's security and operation. The script argues that the energy used by Bitcoin is not a negative aspect but rather a feature that contributes to its security and the creation of an 'abundance of energy' by incentivizing more efficient energy production and use.

💡Centralization

Centralization is the concentration of control and power in a single entity or group. The video critiques centralization as a historical norm in financial systems and argues for the benefits of decentralization. Centralization is seen as leading to manipulation, control, and the misallocation of resources, whereas decentralization promises freedom and efficiency.

💡Free Market

A free market is an economic system where prices are determined by supply and demand with little to no government intervention. The script discusses the natural deflationary tendency of a free market and contrasts it with the current financial system, which is seen as manipulated and controlled, leading to artificial inflation and economic distortions.

💡Productivity

Productivity refers to the efficiency with which goods and services are produced. The video suggests that technological advancements, including those in the Bitcoin ecosystem, increase productivity, leading to a more deflationary environment. Higher productivity should theoretically result in lower costs and increased value for consumers.

💡Venture Capital

Venture capital is a form of private equity financing that is provided to early-stage, high-potential, growth companies in exchange for equity. The script mentions the creation of a venture capital company focused on investing in Bitcoin-related companies, highlighting the belief in the transformative potential of Bitcoin and the ecosystem it supports.

Highlights

Introduction of Jeff Booth as a technology entrepreneur and author of 'The Price of Tomorrow'.

Jeff's perspective on the natural deflationary state of the free market and its implications for technology and control systems.

The role of Bitcoin as a protocol and its significance in the transition to a decentralized and secure network.

Noster as an extension of Bitcoin's protocol, enabling users to own their audience and switch clients without losing followers.

Discussion on the importance of decentralization for secure communication and the critique of centralized platforms.

Jeff's thoughts on the reaction of Bitcoin to the CrowdStrike incident as a reminder of decentralization's power.

The concept of Bitcoin as a new layer of understanding beyond just a cryptocurrency.

Jeff's explanation of how Bitcoin's energy usage is misunderstood and its actual role in creating energy abundance.

The potential of Bitcoin to reprice the world's assets and the implications for inflation and deflation.

Critique of the focus on price targets in Bitcoin discussions and the emphasis on understanding Bitcoin's fundamental value.

Jeff's view on the political implications of Bitcoin and how politicians are beginning to engage with cryptocurrency.

The unstoppable nature of Bitcoin's ecosystem growth and its impact on global voting blocks.

Discussion on the potential for Bitcoin to serve as a global currency and the technology accelerating this transition.

Jeff's insights into the challenges of transitioning from a centralized system to a decentralized one like Bitcoin.

The importance of Bitcoin's resilience against centralization and control as a critical factor in its value.

Jeff's reflections on his journey with Bitcoin and his realization of its significance beyond economic gains.

Announcement of Jeff's intention to write another book delving deeper into Bitcoin's impact on human abundance and freedom.

Transcripts

play00:00

[Music]

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my name is michael' guad publisher of

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the lead lag report joining me for the

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roughly 40 minute time period is Mr Jeff

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Booth I A lot of people are familiar

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with and who a lot of people may not be

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aware is now on Noster um which I don't

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know all that much about I have some

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rough idea but uh Jeff for those who

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don't know about you and have no idea

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what Noster is introduce yourself and

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why in the world you to just pivot to

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that

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platform uh first I'm technology

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entrepreneur uh that that uh saw saw the

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transition of systems between so it

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first I'd say saw uh technology was

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deflationary the free Mark the natural

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state of the free market is

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deflationary um and that mean everything

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that was working against that was not a

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free market it was a control system I I

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wrote extensively about that in in my

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book the price of tomorrow um and then

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found and through that process really

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investigated Bitcoin at first principles

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to understand that it was a transition

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it was solving that in congruency um

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through a different system change and

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most people couldn't see it uh but

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became quite active in Bitcoin um and

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then started to see Bitcoin as protocol

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and Noster is just an extension another

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layer of that protocol of Communications

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on on top of on top of a decentralized

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and secure network and what that means

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on Noster specifically is nobody can

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turn you off um you own your audience

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forever um because it's at the protocol

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level if you want to clients are

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competing for you instead of um instead

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of capturing your attention so you're

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building audiences on their platforms

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they're competing for you and those and

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that means if you want to move to a

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different client let's say if x was on

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no Noster if you wanted to move to so

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and that X started limiting your your

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views on Noster you could just switch to

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a different company tomorrow and all of

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your followers would come with you so

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it's a critical critical aspect of uh

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security uh Freedom communication to be

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able to to say what you want in a free

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market in a in in uh in somebody that

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doesn't have centralized control over

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you better to trust uh decentralization

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than Elon Musk is what I'm hearing from

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you yeah and and whether you like Elon

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Musk dislike Elon Musk you just have a

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different leader that tells you what to

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do and all of the algorithms are

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reinforced and it's amazing to me

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watching how many people are convinced

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that their guy or their girl is the one

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that's going to save them and it's just

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a different flavor of a different leader

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so uh which which is a natural function

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of a distorted Market centralizing

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through manipulated

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money so speaking about centralization I

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put a piece out on the lead lager where

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we talk about crowd strike and uh

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basically the reaction of Bitcoin as

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grow crowd strike took place because it

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was a reminder of the power of

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decentralization and you know the

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vulnerabilities to the system when you

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have a bug that brings down entire

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airplanes in terms of even being able to

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fly um I'm curious just to get your

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reaction or thoughts to that moment in

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time if that was sort of a maybe a

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catalyst or light bulb moment for those

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that have been on the sidelines when it

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comes to bitcoin saying you know what

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there's something to decentralization

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and this distributed Ledger after

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all yeah and and I I don't know

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everybody's journey into Bitcoin is

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different um and and I I tend to look at

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it as layers of understanding and lot of

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through those layers you some people see

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it as a cryptocurrency rather than a

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protocol um and then if you saw it as a

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cryptocurrency or a new technology

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rather than a protocol it would make

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perfect sense to be able to oh which

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other which new technology to that is

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going to beat that and you'd invest in

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salana and ethereum and you be oh you be

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talking

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cryptocurrency when you see it as a

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protocol that's bounded by energy and is

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compromising and it's decentralizing in

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security then all of the people

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measuring the world through a piece of

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paper that's being

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manipulated so prices go up that makes

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sense too and so so I would say if you

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really understand this you don't measure

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Bitcoin in price of Fiat because that's

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just an abstract concept so you you

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prices don't go bitcoin price isn't

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going up it's the free market and it's

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it in it's in a form that we've never

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seen as humans before it's decentralized

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and secure and that means all things are

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falling in price against Bitcoin and

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they will forever as long as it stays

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decentralized and secure and I had

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nobody debate me or truly debate debate

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me on is the free market deflationary

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because it is we we create value for

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each other and the output of that value

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because we're competing against things

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that came before we use the things that

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give us more value in fact while you're

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using restream right now and can touch

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millions of people where you couldn't

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before is because it gives you more

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value than what came before and so we're

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part of the equation that the output is

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more deflation and when you have

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technology that's exploding and giving

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us more tools to create more Automation

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and more more efficiency then that

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productivity is faster deflation so

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remember most people are measuring the

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world through through an inflationary

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monetary system thinking prices are

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going up whereas if you're on a protocol

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that's bounded by energy that cannot be

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to uh uh cannot be centralized then all

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prices are falling relative to to to

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that protocol um and it doesn't care it

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doesn't care if you want to measure if

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it doesn't care about trump it doesn't

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care about Biden doesn't care about

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Harris it doesn't care about how many

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pieces of paper the Central Bank uh

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Prince tomorrow it just doesn't care

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it's measuring the truth in the world

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because it's bounded by energy and it's

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decentralized all right so let's let's

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play with that because I think the I'm

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I'm with you Tech is deflationary the um

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the complication made is that um certain

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types of tech look like they're going to

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be extraordinarily uh energy uh

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intensive right I'm speaking more

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towards AI um we debate the Bitcoin

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electricity energy usage from here to

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tomorrow but um how do you think about

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sort of the link between uh technology

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and uh demand for energy to actually run

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that because energy is directly tied to

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inflation expectations so let's connect

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it all together right so so but before

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you just leave me on the screen because

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I want to talk this through it's so

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critical we have an abundant we have

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abundance of energy on the planet

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today um we have the capital cost to get

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energy and the centralization of energy

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is what Co what creates the cost of

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energy and so if you just simply said do

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we have so so we use more energy and we

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and entrepreneurs find more creative

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ways to extract more energy right that's

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the process of energy and energy equals

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life so we we have an abundance of

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energy hitting this planet every day um

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that we don't harness very uh very well

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and and uh through human kind of all

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human growth we've always been kind of

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short energy and we find more energy

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uses now let's take Bitcoin for an

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example as as an example of what most

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people would say about Bitcoin is from

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the system and they would say Bitcoin

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consumes energy and that's bad for the

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planet that's insane be from A system

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that has to grow forever on a finite

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Planet by creating more pieces of paper

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so in other words we're all M mice on

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Wheels going faster and faster because

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somebody can just stort our time by

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printing more pieces of paper to

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artificially grow forever and the output

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of that growth is actually

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centralization because you're stealing

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the productivity from billions of people

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that should flow to them to centralize

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it up now let's say look at Bitcoin as a

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free market actor solving that problem

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instead of saying energy um be um

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because alone this new system is so

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complicated and people don't understand

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energy very well either let's say Brad

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and Michael you own a bakery and

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tomorrow I come into the bakery and

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every day you throw what you can't use

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at the end of the day or don't sell at

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the end of the day and tomorrow I come

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in and I say listen Michael I'm gonna uh

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I'm G to buy everything that you can't

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uh can't sell I just want a discount for

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it so I'll buy the your excess bread I

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show up and I buy it the next day you

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produce two times I show up and I buy it

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the next day you produce 10 times I show

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up and I buy it the next day you buy a

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whole bunch more equipment and ovens and

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and bread makers and you hire more

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people to make a h hundred times more

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bread I show up and I buy it um now

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insert and so you create an abundance of

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bread now insert

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energy for uh for for bread and you

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create energy abundance by having a

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buyer all of the time

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247 that's that is unencumbered by

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whatever all the

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centralization Abundant energy and

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you're creating abundant energy through

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Bitcoin by the way I'm on the board of

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core scientific and what they're doing

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is then they're taking that that energy

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that they create abundant energy and

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then they're selling it to higher biders

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in Ai and

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compute um or because and even you

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forget higher biders in Ai and compute

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um they uh um if you if you just said

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Bitcoin couldn't operate could couldn't

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couldn't pay as much as you would use

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for turning on your lights they're

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always looking for cheaper and cheaper

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price so you have a free market actor

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that creates the capital capital

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efficiency to create abundant energy all

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over the world and then they're selling

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it to higher forms of energy or other

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people who need more energy and they're

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taking those Bitcoin Miners and they're

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doing it again and again so it's

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decentralizing energy as well um and a

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bigger bigger idea of the whole thing

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is it forces the free market forces the

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free market prices of energy and

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everything else on top of that to to the

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marginal cost of production or the free

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and prices fall so when people are

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measuring inflation they should be

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measuring it from about I I would guess

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about Nega 5% so the theft in money is

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not from zero it's from the natural rate

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of productivity in the market without

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the misallocated capital that is being

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created to be able to make prices go up

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the centralization function so the true

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rate of productivity is way higher than

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people realize that means the higher

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rate of theft from the from the system

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they're measuring from is true too um

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and this keeps on going forever so that

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as long as Bitcoin stays decentralized

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and secure it is repricing the world if

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you want to price it from your abstract

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piece of paper or a control system you

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can but what that means as well is

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you're giving the system you hate more

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energy to steal more energy from

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you let's continue along this Tech is

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deflationary theme because the

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implication there of course is rates are

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going to fall across the board uh and US

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government can keep on doing its Prof at

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spending because technolog is basically

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allowing them to to some extent um keep

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wait wait keep going on that and you

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won't notice right okay correct and you

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won't that's the more important thing

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because you're measuring inflation from

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zero so you won't notice how much is

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being stolen from

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you in an odd way doesn't

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that doesn't that keep the policy makers

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in power it doesn't change the fat

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Dynamic then at all because they can

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just keep on leveraging and leveraging

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Ling yes that's why most people be

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trapped and most people measuring

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interest rates and most people thinking

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that Powell can do anything they'll

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they'll measure Bitcoin they'll think

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Bitcoin is going up relative to fat

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currency and what they're doing is

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saying I'm going to trade a protocol

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something bounded by energy for a piece

play13:06

of paper so I can run my life that's

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what they're doing because they'll

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they'll falsely believe that uh and most

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people I say most bitcoiners are still

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measuring price go up in Fiat terms

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which is insane which is absolutely

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insane because you're you're saying I

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want my price to go up in a piece of

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paper that's going

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down you're reinforcing you're

play13:34

reinforcing the ex existing Paradigm um

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and and if all you have to do is say is

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the natural state of the free market

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deflation and yes or no if yes then the

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only and and throughout 5,000 years of

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human history all monies have always

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been centralized in

play13:53

control then you know Bitcoin will try

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to be people will try to centralize in

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control too because human nature you can

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have so much power by trying to do that

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and Bitcoin has with stood that that

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centralization for 15 years and is

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continuing to and so you have a paradigm

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of a whole bunch of people in the system

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measuring in US dollars or Canadian

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dollars or Turkish Lura thinking Bitcoin

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pric is going up when actually all

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prices against it are falling and they

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will

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forever so I know it's clearly not an

play14:26

Apples to Apples comparison but I think

play14:29

everything you're saying can apply to

play14:32

let's just say stocks or other asset

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classes where yes you're not bound by a

play14:37

hard limit in terms of the number of

play14:38

shares outstanding but there's certainly

play14:40

incentives for BuyBacks there's

play14:42

certainly other things that

play14:44

so so so do the actual work on this and

play14:48

actually prove the thesis so people are

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asking when is it happening well it's

play14:52

happening so this this house I'm sitting

play14:55

in right now in Fiat in Fiat dollars was

play14:57

$1.4 Million four years ago and is now

play15:00

$2.1 million so it looks it appears as

play15:02

it's going up and so what do people do I

play15:05

need to buy real estate to be able to

play15:07

protect my wealth in going up they're

play15:09

doing the same thing with stocks and

play15:11

look at this house in Bitcoin terms and

play15:13

this house went from 300 Bitcoin to 22

play15:16

Bitcoin and in four years this house

play15:18

will be worth two Bitcoin and and so is

play15:21

this house and so why do people buy

play15:23

houses they're buying houses as a store

play15:25

of value because their store of value

play15:27

and their currency is a terrible store

play15:30

of value so they're putting their energy

play15:32

into a house because they think that

play15:33

it's going up when it's actually

play15:35

reinforcing what I just said and the

play15:37

same thing for all all stocks they're

play15:40

actually inefficient trades against

play15:42

against Bitcoin they're terrible trades

play15:44

against

play15:49

Bitcoin so so all of those games just

play15:52

remember what's happening and we're

play15:53

biased to believe that other system

play15:56

right all of those trades are are you're

play15:59

losing money against Bitcoin why we

play16:02

created a venture capital company only

play16:04

investing in Bitcoin companies is

play16:06

because the only way to bit beat Bitcoin

play16:09

returns is to have companies that are

play16:11

profitable in growing that ecosystem and

play16:14

denominating their B Bitcoin balance

play16:16

sheets in Bitcoin and so they're growing

play16:19

and you have a venture type Returns on

play16:20

top of venture on the top of a venture

play16:23

type of asset by creating the

play16:25

transition of of of uh of Bitcoin and

play16:29

what we're talking

play16:31

about the uh Point uh being made by

play16:34

Andrew on YouTube on a Shar the screen

play16:36

here uh bitcoin's Layer Two could be the

play16:39

attack Vector for centralization you

play16:41

know this a lot better than I do so

play16:43

that's awesome yeah let let's explain

play16:45

that first yeah so love this question

play16:48

and and and and stay with me on screen

play16:51

just so we kind I'm talking uh with you

play16:54

on on this so so if you knew

play16:59

that uh that Bitcoin at layer one

play17:03

couldn't be attacked it get more and

play17:04

more and you can prove this you can you

play17:07

don't ver like uh you don't have to take

play17:09

my words for it you can look at the

play17:10

evidence of more energy and more

play17:12

decentralization on layer one over the

play17:14

course of the entire and it keeps on

play17:16

getting more and more decentralized and

play17:18

secure on on layer one so if you were a

play17:21

government state actor any government

play17:23

state actor and you said there's no way

play17:25

we can kill this thing and it removes

play17:28

our ability to usurp power from our

play17:32

individuals they're trapped in our

play17:34

system and we're stealing their economic

play17:36

energy and we're stealing from them

play17:38

calling it a political system when it's

play17:41

really a control system and it's getting

play17:42

worse and worse and the only way that

play17:45

that doesn't go so then we have to

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convince them to go to war to kind of

play17:49

reset this system that's the path this

play17:53

craziness is on and most people inside

play17:55

that system think that there's a leader

play17:59

that's going to change that system when

play18:01

there isn't it just makes it's all

play18:03

theater right and those highly paid

play18:06

actors in that theater um are are paid

play18:10

from

play18:11

you sealing that money because if it was

play18:14

just taxes I'm actually have no problem

play18:16

specifically with taxes myself um but if

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it because at least that was honest they

play18:22

asked the voters it's the dishonesty of

play18:25

the inflation that's from the

play18:27

productivity rate which as I said

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probably negative 5% it's that bucket of

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money which is way bigger than the taxes

play18:35

which is stealing people's time and

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energy and they're so fearful they're

play18:39

voting for other people within that

play18:41

system to to who gets more of the riches

play18:44

that comes from you so if if that's the

play18:47

way the world's always looked and you

play18:49

had this decentralized and secure uh

play18:51

protocol at layer one then then you

play18:54

would have to expect if you couldn't

play18:56

attack it at layer one you would have to

play18:59

and and some of those attack vectors

play19:01

were um uh and some of those attack

play19:05

vectors were um kind of the nonsense

play19:08

around energy usage and everything

play19:11

else um you would have to attack it at

play19:13

layer two and then and Layer Two is if

play19:16

everyone thought US dollar was the

play19:18

currency on top of Bitcoin Bitcoin would

play19:20

just look like

play19:21

gold and then it would be centralized

play19:24

and it would it wouldn't act as a store

play19:26

of value so that's happening right now

play19:31

speaking of nonsense that's a good word

play19:33

to transition um I I have a a uh I have

play19:38

this problem where I don't like price

play19:40

targets right and I know everyone loves

play19:43

price

play19:44

targets I would have an issue when it

play19:46

comes to any discussion around Bitcoin

play19:48

when people say well you know Bitcoin is

play19:50

gonna reach a million by year end and

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that doesn't get there ah it's going to

play19:52

be this year then this year then this

play19:54

year and it just seems like it's just

play19:56

extreme talking points to be extreme

play19:58

this it be

play20:00

um having said that you can make an

play20:03

argument for a trajectory just not

play20:04

necessarily a level when you think about

play20:08

Bitcoin you're looking at from an

play20:09

investment perspective as I understand

play20:11

it there are plenty of people that look

play20:12

at from a trading perspective yeah I'm

play20:15

actually not looking at it an investment

play20:16

perspective either I'm looking at it a

play20:19

as a as a as a new imposition of of a

play20:25

ledger that gives human freedom and free

play20:28

market for 8 billion people to thrive

play20:31

abundance for 8 billion people that's

play20:33

what I'm looking I it is as far as an

play20:36

investment sure it's a fantastic

play20:38

investment but but when you think about

play20:41

investment you're thinking typically

play20:42

you're trying to trade it for something

play20:45

else right and then your trading is just

play20:47

a shorter term window on that investment

play20:49

so I just wanted to clarify that I'm

play20:52

looking at this is is a protocol bounded

play20:54

by energy that changes the course of of

play20:57

human hisory

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the future of humans that we've never

play21:01

been able to see

play21:02

before which that which then brings with

play21:04

the question how do you properly even

play21:06

think about valuing it so I understand

play21:08

what you're saying as far as it being

play21:09

relativ De Fe it and it's a different

play21:10

mindset sure but presumably there is

play21:13

there is some overvaluation range or

play21:15

undervaluation range and again stay with

play21:18

me for this because this is so this is

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how I never say price targets but I just

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so but in that's why I

play21:25

like but be but instead of saying what

play21:29

is what is price target of your current

play21:31

environment and your current environment

play21:32

you're living in and so you're you if if

play21:36

this is true if this truly is

play21:37

decentralized it's the first time humans

play21:39

have ever seen

play21:41

it um so that would be really hard to

play21:44

see for everyone because you don't have

play21:47

a you don't have the mental lattice in

play21:49

your brain to be able to compare this

play21:51

and all of our history books are on top

play21:52

of the old systems so you don't have so

play21:56

you have to think in first principles of

play21:58

what this means what it imposes to the

play22:02

world we've always looked at and all of

play22:04

our models from that world that come

play22:07

from our understanding of that world if

play22:09

this is truly new now in what I just

play22:12

said Michael it's important is this

play22:14

truly new is this truly decentralized is

play22:17

it

play22:18

secure I would say can it withstand all

play22:21

of the attack factors this is this is

play22:24

the the part of my work that I went so

play22:27

deep on to understand why it truly was

play22:31

because lots of hype men over the

play22:34

history have said this is truly new and

play22:36

it turns out to be the same old Paradigm

play22:38

but but in my opinion this is truly new

play22:40

then how would you look at it we live in

play22:43

a world with $900 trillion of kind of

play22:46

asset $900 trillion balance sheet about

play22:48

$400 trillion of that is debt globally

play22:52

um that's without unfunded liabilities

play22:54

so um but 900 trillion and 400 trillion

play22:57

of debt the 400 trillion of debt is in

play23:00

solvent already and it's only solvent

play23:03

because we allow governments to print

play23:04

more money to pretend it's

play23:06

solvent um and just before I go further

play23:09

just let me clarify with you does that

play23:12

sound right to

play23:14

you yeah it sounds roughly as far as the

play23:17

numbers go sure okay okay so we know 400

play23:19

trillion is insolvent and um and 900

play23:22

trillion is roughly numbers it's hard to

play23:25

get the exact numbers but about 400

play23:27

trillion um of De is INS solvent so what

play23:31

does that mean into to how you would

play23:33

operate your life in that you could take

play23:35

the Ledger of 900 trillion and 400

play23:38

trillion liabilities and you could say

play23:41

my part of that ledger is X right if I

play23:43

have a million dollar that's how much of

play23:45

ownership of that ledger I

play23:48

have now now we know as well in that

play23:53

existing system that that it won't be

play23:56

900 trillion in 5 years and it won't be

play23:59

400 trillion of debt in 5 years that the

play24:01

900 trillion will probably be closer to

play24:04

two

play24:05

quadrillion um so and the debt might be

play24:09

1.5 quadrillion of it because it has to

play24:12

monetize that debt it has to drive

play24:14

inflation which is a centralizing

play24:16

function again and it has to get worse

play24:18

and worse we also know most people are

play24:20

measuring all of their assets within

play24:22

that by that same measure so if you just

play24:25

did this and took 900 trillion divided

play24:27

by 21 million to get the purchasing

play24:30

power of the relative ledgers that would

play24:34

be about $43 million per Bitcoin and the

play24:38

only thing to get there it might take a

play24:40

long time to get there but the only

play24:43

thing that would would would invalidate

play24:45

what I just said is if bit if Bitcoin um

play24:50

lost its decentralization and security

play24:52

if somebody co-opted it but otherwise it

play24:55

would it will repic that 900 trillion

play24:58

and today's purchasing power not value

play25:01

not price because you're measuring price

play25:03

from the others would be relative to

play25:06

about $43 million of today's purchasing

play25:09

power but if you fast forward five years

play25:12

and the the balance sheet is two

play25:15

quadrillion um and most and and just

play25:19

more pieces of paper and more Datt uh in

play25:22

instruments make that go up then that

play25:24

that value of Bitcoin at that time is

play25:27

that much higher and people wouldn't

play25:29

understand the relative Val value of the

play25:31

purchasing power just like they don't

play25:33

understand the relative value of a

play25:35

dollar isn't the same dollar as it was

play25:38

50 years ago it's lost most of its value

play25:43

and so they're going to have a really

play25:44

hard time con and then tied into that

play25:49

you could create a whole bunch of views

play25:50

by saying bitcoin's going to be $43

play25:53

million tomorrow um and and and then and

play25:56

and and and so that's why I hate price

play25:58

targets but but but I talk about the

play26:01

ledgers what do they mean as long as

play26:04

this is an honest Ledger it is repricing

play26:06

the dishonest one and it doesn't matter

play26:08

what the dishonest one does and all of

play26:11

your assets within the dishonest one are

play26:14

also subject that revaluation just like

play26:16

my house

play26:19

is um since you mentioned the word

play26:22

dishonest we should talk about

play26:23

politicians okay given uh given this

play26:27

there's a lot of headlin around Trump at

play26:29

the Bitcoin conference and then there

play26:30

was that post around Cala looking to in

play26:32

quotes reset relationships with the

play26:35

cryptocurrency community um I'm I'm

play26:39

cynical like you are all this stuff I

play26:40

this is just playing politics to try to

play26:42

get younger voters I think largely but

play26:45

um any thoughts on sort of the the the

play26:49

way that the poit political side now is

play26:51

starting to more aggressively

play26:53

communicate around Bitcoin and if it has

play26:56

any implications of sort of speed of a

play26:58

option yeah so it's this is Game Theory

play27:02

um and just the politicians starting to

play27:04

mention it means because there's so many

play27:07

bitcoiners that now know what I know the

play27:10

key part of the decentralization and

play27:11

security is once you know what it means

play27:14

all of your energy starts to go in and

play27:16

defend that and create more technology

play27:19

on top of it to so so there is a giant

play27:23

group of people globally that is

play27:25

defending this network and innovating on

play27:27

top of it and that's coming in now

play27:29

layers and the the explosion of this

play27:32

ecosystem which most people are

play27:34

completely detached from is Unstoppable

play27:37

that also means that that becomes vote

play27:40

those become voting blocks all over the

play27:42

world that you can't get elected unless

play27:44

you you you move to those people because

play27:46

they don't care about politics they care

play27:48

about this and if a politician is going

play27:50

to get those votes they have to be

play27:53

outside so you have this game theory

play27:55

accelerating all over the world to try

play27:57

to gain those votes and try to

play28:00

essentially move

play28:02

to freedom and and abundance because

play28:06

those people and and there's Millions

play28:08

strong now all over the world know

play28:10

what's up know know that the control

play28:13

system and what it's doing so now now

play28:16

how how does that look from that control

play28:19

system yes a lot of those people inside

play28:22

that control system are just trying to

play28:24

play games to try to appeal to those

play28:26

voters and it's more theater or some are

play28:30

how do we control Bitcoin Layer Two and

play28:33

and tie it to the US dollar so we can

play28:36

repeat what we did to go we went from

play28:38

gold to Petr dollar system back to

play28:39

bitcoin so we can keep doing this so

play28:42

there's a bunch of that as well well at

play28:45

the same time this transition is moving

play28:48

to a currency it's moving to a currency

play28:50

globally not just a store value but a

play28:52

currency and all of the technology

play28:55

that's being built on top is

play28:56

accelerating that path

play28:59

um the so if I said in the US Politics

play29:03

the only person who really understands

play29:05

this right now and who if I was in the

play29:08

US I would vote is RFK RFK Jr the in

play29:13

fact I was his first Bitcoin transaction

play29:15

and he's done the work he knows how bad

play29:18

the the kind of the state operatus is

play29:21

and he's done the work he understands

play29:23

what this means um whether he gets

play29:25

elected or not that's but in time it

play29:28

doesn't matter who's elected this is

play29:30

happening anyways it's not negotiating

play29:32

with those people now just like if you

play29:35

were in North Korea and you didn't have

play29:38

the internet an elected leader could

play29:41

stop this from happening within a

play29:43

country but they can't stop it from

play29:45

happening globally so all they can do is

play29:47

hurt their citizens by not adopting

play29:51

it I got a few minutes left I want you

play29:54

to hit on uh the price of tomorrow uh

play29:56

and explain what are is you covered and

play29:59

talk through if you're going to have

play30:00

another book after

play30:02

that um I wasn't going to have another

play30:04

book I think I'm just started writing

play30:06

another book and it and and so this book

play30:09

left off and it left with that uh that

play30:12

conundrum that that that that how do you

play30:16

move from A system that usurped all of

play30:18

our control Power and got centralized

play30:20

and got worse um and how it had to

play30:23

divide us from each other and make and

play30:27

and our division from within that system

play30:29

would drive more views and more power

play30:31

from within that system and all of those

play30:33

things would make it stronger how could

play30:36

you move to a system that was that was

play30:40

aligned with a free market that gave

play30:42

abundance to eight billion people on

play30:44

this planet how could you move from one

play30:47

system to another and so I only had

play30:50

Bitcoin as as a paragraph in the in uh

play30:54

at the end of the book and I and I did

play30:56

that intentionally I wanted to

play30:58

understand the system problem from first

play30:59

principles and then pose it as a

play31:01

question how could you solve it when all

play31:03

of the encumbered interests were inside

play31:05

the existing system why most people

play31:07

wouldn't see it um and why um but as I

play31:10

was uh and to be honest at that time

play31:14

while I held Bitcoin um and I didn't

play31:16

want to bias my opinions of it I um I

play31:20

thought there I thought there was at

play31:22

least a 5% probability that Bitcoin

play31:25

would be centralized or controlled in

play31:27

time

play31:29

and and it was and here's the irony

play31:31

Michael I didn't uh it wasn't a 5%

play31:34

probability it was my misunderstanding

play31:37

of Bitcoin that was that gave it a 5%

play31:40

probability of essentially failing in in

play31:43

time and as I tried

play31:45

to as as I tried to take a steel man to

play31:48

my argument and tried to argue it from

play31:50

the other perspective and try and what

play31:51

would happen I became more and more

play31:54

convinced that this is this is a

play31:56

discovery that can never be Discover it

play31:58

again it is one one of those things that

play32:00

is so important and my time on it and

play32:04

and and and actually jumping in and

play32:06

spending more of my time in it helping

play32:08

it become decentralized helping it move

play32:10

to a currency um was uh was important

play32:14

and through so I said everybody goes

play32:17

through their journey and they see how

play32:20

where where that goes and just um and

play32:23

and I understand all the reservations

play32:25

for the system because I had them too

play32:28

and I was looking to so the book just

play32:31

kind of walks through why a new system

play32:33

is needed to allow the abundance gained

play32:36

from our technology to flow to us and

play32:39

then and then as I went deeper and

play32:43

deeper and deeper it means way more than

play32:46

just how people are measuring it through

play32:48

an economic system today and how much

play32:50

money they're going to make in Bitcoin

play32:51

it means so much more it is literally

play32:53

human abundance and freedom described

play32:56

onto this protocol that's bounded by

play32:58

energy um and we're in early in that

play33:00

process so the next book is going to

play33:02

going to move to the uh move deeper into

play33:08

that I'll leave it with this final

play33:10

comment Jeff Booth for

play33:13

president I think he's got to be born in

play33:15

the US for that but I thly appreciate

play33:17

the uh the sense but there everybody

play33:19

please make sure you follow Jeff Booth

play33:21

on Noster uh and of course on X he's

play33:23

still there but nosters where's Miss

play33:25

stuff out check out the prices tomorrow

play33:26

hopefully I'll see you all another

play33:27

episode of lead lag live and appreciate

play33:29

those that watch this during the stream

play33:31

thank you Jeff appreciate it great

play33:33

seeing you again

play33:56

thanks e

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Etiquetas Relacionadas
DecentralizationBitcoinFree MarketHuman AbundanceTechnology ImpactCommunication ProtocolEconomic FreedomCryptocurrencyInflation AnalysisMarket Deflation
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