Epochaler CRASH bei dieser Aktie war absehbar!

Summary

In this financial analysis video, Philip Hopf discusses the dramatic plunge of Intel's stock price, which has seen a significant drop of 60% year-to-date. He revisits past technical analysis predictions, which forecasted a sharp downturn to levels around $14-$20, and compares them to the current market situation. Hopf outlines two scenarios for Intel's future: a substantial recovery with bullish potential or a continuation of the downtrend with a possible further drop. He emphasizes the importance of identifying the right entry point and the significance of market valuation in investment decisions.

Takeaways

• 📉 The Intel stock has experienced a significant decline, described as 'epochal', with media headlines emphasizing the drastic sell-off.
• 🤔 There is a debate on whether this sell-off could have been foreseen through chart technical analysis, which the speaker intends to discuss.
• 👤 The speaker, Philip Hopf, is providing an analysis based on technical calculations without knowledge of future fundamental events that might explain market movements.
• 📊 In December 2023, a long-term target zone for Intel's stock was identified, suggesting a potential dramatic drop below the $24.55 mark, which has since occurred.
• 📈 On August 2, 2024, a target zone was set for the sell-off, suggesting a potential trend reversal within a specific price range, with a primary scenario of a substantial upward movement in the coming years.
• 📉 An alternative scenario is also considered, where the stock might rise but then face further decline, although this is not the primary expectation.
• 🔢 The speaker emphasizes that the only metric that matters in the financial market is whether the calculated target was hit, which in this case, it was.
• 💡 The analysis is based on the assumption that within the target zone, the market will turn, leading to a significant counter-reaction.
• 📝 The speaker suggests that investors should watch for the completion of a 'one-two' setup, indicating the first upward movement and its correction, before entering a position.
• 📈 Long-term, the speaker is bullish on Intel, expecting a substantial upward movement if the stock surpasses previous highs, potentially offering significant returns.
• 💰 The speaker concludes by emphasizing that the value of a company does not go bankrupt, but rather it's about the price at which one buys a product, suggesting Intel might be undervalued.

Q & A

What is the main topic of the video script?

The main topic of the video script is the analysis of Intel's stock performance, particularly its significant drop in value, and the technical analysis that was done to predict and understand this trend.

What is the term used to describe the drop in Intel's stock value?

The term used to describe the drop in Intel's stock value is 'epochal crash'.

What was the predicted price range for Intel's stock based on the technical analysis conducted in December 2023?

The predicted price range for Intel's stock based on the technical analysis was between approximately $14 to $20.

What was the actual stock price of Intel as of the date mentioned in the script?

As of the date mentioned in the script, which is August 2, the actual stock price of Intel was at €2.54.

What is the significance of the 'Wve' calculations mentioned in the script?

The 'Wve' calculations refer to a type of technical analysis used to predict stock movements, which does not rely on fundamental events but purely on chart patterns and price action.

What was the long-term target zone for Intel's stock price as predicted in the video?

The long-term target zone for Intel's stock price as predicted in the video was between €14 and €18, with an expectation of a substantial upward movement in the coming years.

What is the 'US Titans' package mentioned in the script?

The 'US Titans' package is a service that includes analysis of 41 major US stocks, providing entry and exit points, stop losses, and buyback levels for investors to potentially replicate in their portfolios.

What are the two scenarios presented for Intel's stock price movement in the future?

The two scenarios presented are: 1) Building the final bottom and then having a massive catch-up potential, indicating a bullish stance; 2) A possibility of a rebound to around $25-$30, which would still imply a significant upward movement.

What is the 'one two setup' mentioned in the script?

The 'one two setup' refers to a trading strategy where the first wave is an upward movement, followed by a correction (wave 2), and then a third wave upwards. The strategy involves setting the next target zone during the correction phase before entering a position.

What is the final advice given to investors considering Intel's stock?

The final advice is to wait for the completion of a new low, the first wave up, and the correction (wave 2), and then to set the next target zone before entering a position in Intel, expecting a strong upward movement (wave 3).