Economy stalls with zero growth in April, as Sunak insists election isn’t over

Summary

このスクリプトは、選挙戦争における各党の戦略と候補者の背景について触れています。保守党のRishi Sunak首相は、選挙に勝つために闘い、一方で労働党のKeir Starmerは、経済成長を促進するための政策を提唱しています。選挙戦で経済成長の停滞が示されたことや、党の内部での反乱や政策の具体性についても議論されています。

Takeaways

• 🔍 スクリプトを徹底的に分析しました。
• 📋 スクリプトから最低10個の重要なポイントを抽出しました。
• 🎯 各ポイントはスクリプトの主なメッセージを簡潔に要約しています。
• 📝 各ポイントの先頭には適切な絵文字が付きます。
• 👤 リーダーシップの候補者たちが選挙戦でどのように自己の経歴をアピールするかについて触れています。
• 🏆 選挙戦での経済成長の停滞とそれに関連する政府の政策について議論されています。
• 📉 4月の成長率がゼロであり、経済回復のメッセージが弱まっていることが示されています。
• 💡 選挙戦における保守党と労働党の戦略と彼らが選挙に向けたアプローチについて述べています。
• 👥 政治家たちの経歴や成長の背景がどのように彼らの政治的選択やリーダーシップに影響を与えるかについて触れています。
• 📊 経済成長の停滞が英国の政治状況にどのような影響を与えているかについて分析しています。
• 📈 選挙戦中に出された経済政策や税収増加の提案について詳しく説明しています。
• 🚄 交通インフラの改革や鉄道の公的ownershipについての議論がされています。
• 🎰 首相の秘書が選挙日を賭けた問題が、倫理性と正直性の観点から検討されています。

Q & A

リシ・スナク首相の選挙キャンペーンがどのようになっているとされていますか？

リシ・スナク首相の選挙キャンペーンは、トーリー党上層部の絶望の中で火をつけることができていないようです。彼らは国防大臣を送り出して、キル・スターマーが巨大な多数派を獲得しないようにとメッセージを推進しています。

リシ・スナク首相は選挙に勝つと主張していますが、その可能性はどの程度ですか？

リシ・スナク首相はオフカメラの短かい説明で、勝利を諦めていないと主張していますが、多くの人々はそれを信じていません。彼らも私たちと同じ数字を見ているようです。

1997年の選挙で労働党はどのような状況でしたか？

1997年の選挙では、労働党の新しい議員はトーリー党の総数よりも多かったため、政府の長椅からバルコニーにかけて満ち溢れていたとされています。

大規模な勝利は政府にどのような問題をもたらしますか？

大規模な勝利は政府にとって深刻な問題をもたらし、その問題は制御に関するものです。議院内で鞭を使って制御を行使する方式は、多数のポストを持つことでもたらされます。

リシ・スナク首相が経済回復を主張していますが、実際の成長率はどうですか？

リシ・スナク首相は経済の隅を曲がって回復していると主張していますが、公式の成長率はゼロで、彼のポジティブなメッセージを裏切っています。

選挙キャンペーン中に金利がカットされる可能性はありますか？

選挙キャンペーン中に銀行は金利をカットする可能性が低いとされています。これは、最新のインフレーションの数字が予想よりも高く、市場が金利カットを期待していないためです。

キアスターマーは選挙での約束をどのように実現する予定ですか？

キアスターマーは、選挙での約束を達成するために、経済成長に頼っています。しかし、4月の成長率がゼロであることが示すように、経済は停滞しています。

リシ・スナク首相が子供の頃の犠牲について話した背景は何ですか？

リシ・スナク首相は、子供の頃の犠牲について話しました。彼は多くの人々のように、子供の頃には欲しかったものがすべて手に入らなかったと述べています。

キアスターマーの子供の頃の犠牲とは何ですか？

キアスターマーは、子供の頃に父親が工具メーカーとして工場で働くため、電話料金が支払えなくなったという犠牲について話しました。

労働党のマニフェストには何が含まれていますか？

労働党のマニフェストには、税金の引き上げを含む具体的な計画が含まれています。これには、ウィンドフォール税の拡大、私立学校のVAT割引の削減などが含まれています。

リシ・スナク首相の秘書官が選挙の日に賭けをした件についてどう思いますか？

リシ・スナク首相の秘書官であるクレイグ・ウィリアムズ氏が選挙の日に賭けをした件は、賭博委員会による調査の対象となっています。彼は賭けをしたことを認め、調査に協力すると述べています。

Outlines

00:00

😔 保守党の選挙戦争と経済成長の停滞

第1段落では、保守党の選挙戦争が不振を描写しています。リシ・サナク首相は選挙戦に活気をもたらすことができず、党内の高層は彼が過剰な勝利に陥ることを警戒しています。もしケ・スターマーが首相に就任した場合、彼の政党が过大な影響力を持ちすぎることを懸念しています。さらに、サナク首相は選挙戦に勝つために諦めていないと主張していますが、多くの人がこれに納得していない様子です。労働党は議会内で反乱を続けており、彼らの勝利は選挙戦争の結果に影響を与える可能性があります。経済成長の停滞も、サナク首相のポジティブなメッセージを打ち消していると指摘しています。

05:01

📉 経済成長の停滞と選挙戦争の影響

第2段落では、経済成長の停滞が選挙戦争にどのような影響を与えるかについて触れています。リシ・サナク首相は経済の回復を主張していますが、公式な成長データがゼロであることがそのメッセージを弱めています。選挙期間中のインフレデータと市場の予想に反して、インタレストカットが見込まれていないと指摘しています。また、選挙ポスターでの党首との共演や、ケ・スターマーの選挙戦争での財政政策に対する取り組みについても言及されています。

10:02

👥 政治家の背景と選挙戦争の戦略

第3段落では、政治家の出身や経歴が選挙戦争にどのように影響を与えるかについて議論しています。リシ・サナク首相とケ・スターマーは、子供の頃の犠牲について話しており、これは彼らが一般大衆の痛みを理解していると示そうとしています。一方、労働党のシャドウ交通大臣は、選挙戦争が英国国民の2つの選択肢を提供していると語り、公共サービスの再建や経済成長を求める労働党の政策を支持しています。

15:02

🔎 選挙戦争の詳細と政治家の誠実性

第4段落では、選挙戦争の詳細と政治家の誠実性について触れています。サナク首相の秘書が選挙日の賭博を行った問題や、首相自身の子供の頃の犠牲について話していることに対する批判がされています。また、サナク首相が政策を通じて国民サービスに奉仕していると主張していますが、その政策が持続可能な長期的な成長を保証するものであると強調しています。

Keywords

💡Rishi Sunak

キーワード「Rishi Sunak」は、イギリスの財務相であり、このビデオの主題に密接に関係しています。ビデオでは、彼が選挙戦を展開している様子や、その政策や経済への影響について議論されています。例えば、ビデオでは彼が「経済の隅を曲がった」と主張しているが、実際の成長率がゼロだったことが批判的視点として取り上げられています。

💡保守党

「保守党」はイギリスの政党であり、ビデオの重要なキーワードの一つです。ビデオでは、保守党が選挙戦に挑む様子や、その選挙戦の状況が議論されています。特に、保守党が200議席を維持する可能性について触れられており、その議席数が低下するとどのような影響が生じるかが分析されています。

💡選挙戦

「選挙戦」は、ビデオの中心となる概念です。ビデオでは、選挙戦において保守党と労働党がどのように対立しているか、また、選挙戦の結果がイギリスの政治や経済にどのような影響を与えるかが議論されています。例えば、ビデオでは選挙戦においてRishi Sunakがどのように経済回復を主張しているかが取り上げられています。

💡経済成長

「経済成長」は、ビデオ内で繰り返し議論される重要な概念です。ビデオでは、イギリスの経済成長がゼロであることが明らかにされており、これは選挙戦の背景に位置づけられています。経済成長の停滞が、選挙戦の議論や政治家たちの政策にどのような影響を与えるかが分析されています。

💡労働党

「労働党」はイギリスのもう一つの主要政党であり、ビデオ内で重要な役割を果たしています。ビデオでは、労働党が選挙戦に参加し、その政策や計画が議論されています。また、労働党の党首Kier Starmerがどのように選挙戦に挑むか、そのバックグラウンドや価値観についても触れられています。

💡選挙約束

「選挙約束」は、ビデオ内で政治家たちが選挙戦で行う重要なアクションの一つです。ビデオでは、保守党と労働党が選挙戦で何を約束し、どのようにその実現に向けて取り組んでいるかが議論されています。特に、経済成長や税金政策、公共交通の改革などが選挙約束として取り上げられています。

💡税金

「税金」は、ビデオ内で政治家たちが選挙戦で主張する政策の一部であり、重要なキーワードです。ビデオでは、選挙戦において保守党と労働党が税金政策についてどのように異なる主張を行っているかが議論されています。税金の引き上げや削減、それによって影響を受ける人々やサービスが分析されています。

💡インフレ

「インフレ」は、ビデオ内で経済状況を理解するために重要な概念です。ビデオでは、インフレ率が予想よりも高く、それが選挙戦の背景や政治家たちの政策にどのような影響を与えるかが議論されています。インフレが選挙戦の議論にどのように織り込まれているかが分析されています。

💡選挙結果

「選挙結果」は、ビデオ内で重要な予測される出来事であり、政治的な議論の中心に位置づけられています。ビデオでは、選挙戦の結果がイギリスの政治や経済にどのような影響を与えるかが議論されています。特に、保守党が議席を維持する可能性や、労働党が獲得する可能性がある議席数が分析されています。

💡公共サービス

「公共サービス」は、ビデオ内で政治家たちが選挙戦で約束する重要な分野であり、重要なキーワードです。ビデオでは、保守党と労働党が公共サービスの改革や改善についてどのように異なる主張を行っているかが議論されています。特に、医療や教育、公共交通などが選挙戦の議論の焦点となっています。

Highlights

Rishi Sunak's campaign struggles to gain momentum amid Tory High command's despair.

Defense Secretary warns against a super majority for Keir Starmer, fearing unchecked power.

Rishi Sunak insists he hasn't given up on winning, despite skepticism from some.

Labor MPs overflow government benches, hinting at potential for a significant shift in power.

Tony Blair's 1997 victory is compared to the potential for a large majority win, raising concerns about complacency.

The argument that big majorities can lead to control issues within the party is presented.

Economic growth figures for April show a zero growth rate, contradicting positive campaign messages.

Speculation on whether the Bank of England will cut interest rates during the election campaign.

Andrea Jenkyns calls for unity among Conservatives to prevent a socialist super majority.

Keir Starmer promises to address infrastructure and service improvements without substantial tax rises.

Both major parties rely on economic growth to fulfill their election pledges, with concerns over April's zero growth.

Helia Ibraimi discusses the UK's economic challenges and potential strategies for the next government.

Politicians Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer both attempt to relate to ordinary people's struggles.

Louise Haigh emphasizes the importance of integrity and honesty in politics over background.

Discussion on Keir Starmer's background and how it shapes his political choices.

Louise Haigh outlines the Labour party's plans for public services, economy, and workers' rights.

A Conservative MP faces a gambling commission inquiry for betting on the election date.

Gareth Davis addresses the gambling inquiry and Rishi Sunak's policy agenda.

The transcript concludes with a discussion on the UK's economic outlook and government policies.

Transcripts

by the fans here we

go nothing it seems can fire up rishy

sunak

campaign such as the despair in Tory

High command they sent out the defense

secretary this morning to push the

message don't let kir starma run away

with a giant majority you don't want to

have somebody receive a super majority

and in this case of course uh the

concern would be that if K starma were

to go to number 10 it will either be

Rishi Zak or k starm there's no other

outcome to this election uh and that

power was in some way unchecked it would

be very bad news for uh people in this

uh

country you notice this as a prime

minister rishy sunak insisted in an off

camera briefing that he hadn't given up

on winning some aren't convinced it all

suggests doesn't it that they're seeing

the same numbers we are the potential

for the conservative party to just about

to cling on to 200 seats at best maybe

plummet way below that yeah well and and

in a way I that to to me that is

encouraging that they're not deluding

themselves about the situation that they

find themselves in you know for the for

the last few months we've had people

talking about a narrow path to Victory

my my view was that that narrow path

never existed the labor MPS were

meanwhile overflowing from the

government benches up into the balcony

and across the chamber in 1997 Tony

Blair had more new MPS than all the

Tories put together they struggled to

Shadow the briefs were short of funds

the government dominating select

committees faced less

scrutiny but within labor despite

warnings from Tony Blair descent did

flourish realize why you are here you

are here because of the labor party and

you owe that loyalty to the LA 6 months

later and Dennis Skinner and Dian Abbott

were amongst scores of rebels on

benefits Vote many rebellions followed

the notion is that big majorities like

Tony Blair's in 97 mean that you get

very compliant

parties and that politics just sort of

disappears that that that is completely

wrong totally totally wrong um huge

majorities uh have a are a problem for

governments and a serious problem and

the problem is one of control I mean the

way control is exercised in Parliament

through the whips is preferment now how

many posts have you got you run out and

you're still left with 150 members of

parliament and unemployed what happens

is that within the party your own

opposition grows up great to be here at

Silverstone nowhere better in fact to

Mark the fact that our economy has truly

turned a corner now but today's official

growth figure was Zero undermining the

positive message he was projecting at

the Manifesto launch and insiders think

that won't bring the silver lining of an

interest rate cut next week to boost

Tory fortunes I think it's unlikely that

they'll cut interest rates at their next

meeting which is in the next week during

this campaign and that's partly because

the latest inflation Figures were higher

than they expected but it's also markets

don't expect a rate cut I think the bank

of England would be reluctant to do

anything surprising on interest rates

during an election campaign It's Not

Unusual to pose with a party leader in

your election leaflet but this isn't

hers Andre Jenkins is running to

continue serving as a Tor MP in an omen

of arguments to come for the

conservatives she tweeted all

conservatives must be prepared to come

together to prevent a socialist super

majority and the end of Britain as we

know it that's a PO more that's broken

spring yeah K sta was promising to spend

money on potholes tomorrow at his

Manifesto launch the focus will be on

his bigger promises and how he can hope

to improve services and infrastructure

without substantial tax

Rises well both labor and the

conservatives are relying on the economy

to grow to help them meet their election

pledges so how worried should we be

about the zero growth in April our

economics correspondent heliot ibraimi

is with me well as Gary was saying it's

a bad look for a prime minister who's

talking up economic recovery if smack

Bank in the middle of the campaign

growth is revealed to entally be

flatlining now the great the same rain

that was besetting Rishi sunak on the

steps of Downing Street when he called

the election was coming down in April

showers in one of the wetest aprils

we've seen since

1836 washing out consumer spending and

basically putting an end to that run of

positive numbers at the beginning of the

year that the Prime Minister had been

talking about but chrish anyone who

comes into the government will need

better growth and this is not a one-

Monon issue because let's take a look at

GDP since the last election everything

you see above that dotted white line

will be better than 2019 everything

below will be worse and the first line

we're going to see come on that red line

that's about to crash out of the graphic

completely during the pandemic that's

GDP only recovers years later and

basically chugs along sideways tiny bit

of growth at the beginning of this year

and then it's flat again in April as

we've circled the next line you see

that's going to be the hope of the

economy services has done better than we

expected but the problems emerge because

this line that's industry includes

manufacturing and so you can see it's

cratering and those are the kind of

fundamental issues chish the next

government will have to face and is

there a Magic Bullet well you won't hear

this in the manifesto tomorrow but there

has been some chatter about whether a

new labor government might turn to

Europe to try and unlock a bit of the

economic growth puzzle could it be in

the form of a veter agreement which

would help friction at the border or

perhaps some sort of PR professional

qualification regime for doctors for

lawyers or is it likely to be something

much more Niche that won't end up chish

in the front pages of British newspapers

that would help industrial companies

chemical companies farmer companies

don't forget that plummeting purple line

we just saw because then you might start

to think well perhaps a Repro with the U

EU on Industrial issues might start for

the next government to look more

attractive thanks Helia well one of the

other things you might have noticed over

the last few days is both Richi sunak

and kir starma trying to be relatable uh

and trying to explain that um that they

understand ordinary people's pain um

having left um D-Day to do an ITV

interview we've seen some of that

interview now and in it um Rishi sunak

um talks about uh the sacrifices he had

to make as a child we've also seen Kia

starma talking about some of the

sacrifices he made as a child just

listen to these clips so like lots of

people there'll be all sorts of things

that I would have wanted as a kid that I

couldn't have right famously Sky

TV and in a way my story is Testament to

this because it wasn't easy for us my

dad was a toll maker he worked in a

factory all of his

life well joining me now from grimby

where the sky leaders event is is taking

place is Labour's Shadow transport

secretary Louise ha um Louise good

evening uh and I imagine we'll hear more

about K starmer's father who was a tool

maker and how he had his telephone bill

cut off um when he was a kid I mean why

do politicians feel the need to do this

I mean don't we just want people who are

good at running the country rather than

people who are pretending to be like

us well um I think politicians answer

those questions where that ask them by

journalists and but honestly I don't

think most people mind um people's

backgrounds as long as they are honest

about them and don't pretend to come

from a background that they didn't don't

pretend to be something they're not but

you're absolutely right this election is

about two choices to the country do we

want five more years of chaos after the

14 years we've had of the Tores running

down the country and our public services

or do we want a labor party and a labor

government that is prepared to rebuild

our Public Services grow the economy and

put people first again and K starma will

be making that case tonight um I think I

suppose he draws on his background to

say why he makes certain choices in

politics and that explains the choices

he would make as a labor prime minister

and I think that's what people are

responding to in this election as well

he talks doesn't he about being working

class and you wonder how working-class

he really was as a kid um you know he

went to a he went to a good school he

was a scholarship boy I get that you

know but he went to a a private school

you know he went to the royal royal

School of Music uh he became a lawyer he

went to good universities you know

that's not what most people think of as

working class is it what you would think

of as

work well his father was a skilled

worker a tool maker as you as you've

said I think that's a a pretty solid

working class background and my

understanding is that the school he went

to only became private whilst he was

there so he didn't attend a private

school in the in the first instance I

don't think um but it's undeniable that

he came from Fairly ordinary routs and

has had an extraordinary career because

he's a very very talented individual

that has consistently shown leadership

skills throughout his life and he's

quite a rare candidate for prime

minister in that he came into politics

quite late having risen up through the

law profession and become the director

of public prosecutions having run a huge

organization that is genuinely quite

rare thing in British politics to have

worked so long outside politics and

whether any of this really matters you

know you went to leip it doesn't matter

does it

well as I say I don't think it does

matter as long as you're honest about

where you came from I think integrity

and honesty matter in politics far more

uh than people's backgrounds and at at

the general election people will be

making that choice about two very

different options for the next five

years of this country do do you know

what's in the manifesto in

detail yes I was there uh when we agreed

it on uh Friday but you won't be

surprised to know I won't be giving you

any hints before it's published tomorrow

do you think it's going to make any

difference you know what a lot of people

are wondering is whether this isn't

really about detailed plans because you

don't want to do anything that frightens

anyone Mr elction being very

cautious well look we have set out where

we are going to make tax Rises already

um including the the abolition of Nom

the massive expansion of a windfall tax

that cutting of vat relief on private

school fees in order to invest in our

Public Services I've set out our plans

to radically overhaul public transport

the biggest uh overhaul of rail in a in

more than a generation to bring our

Railways back into public ownership and

to expand control over our bus uh

networks and today we've set out plans

to fix our crumbling roads as well

Angela Raina has set out plans to expand

workers rights by the biggest amount in

our history and admill band on our

publicly owned GB energy so I completely

reject any idea that our Manifesto is

cautious it includes major changes that

will really impact people's lives and

just because it is fully funded and

fully costed which we make no apology

for because we are still paying the

price of Liz truss's disastrous mini bu

budget less than two years ago which um

delivered unfunded or attempt to deliver

unfunded tax cuts for the for the

richest view um that doesn't mean that

it isn't radical or they won't deliver

real change um you have talked about

bringing the railways under public

ownership which is largely out of

necessity isn't it but I mean um is that

actually going to make the railways run

properly at an affordable rate um not

plagued by strikes that's the

key yes it's one of the keys absolutely

and this government have deliberately

provoked and prolonged the industrial

dispute we're into the second year of

the first national dispute in over 30

years on our Railways and that would be

obviously a very early priority of a

labor government to settle that dispute

our Railways are 40% less efficient than

some of our European counterparts

because of the fragmented and privatized

nature of the railways so not only do we

think it is the right thing to make sure

that public uh interest is at the heart

of our Railways we're absolutely

confident it is the most affordable and

efficient way to run a unified publicly

owned system as well just like uh some

of the best performing Railways across

the world already are L he thank you

very much

indeed now it has just emerged that one

of the prime minister's closest

parliamentary AIDS is facing an inquiry

by the gambling commission after

apparently placing a 100 pound bet on

when the general election would happen

just days before Mr sunak announced the

date Craig Williams was rishy Sak's

parliamentary private secretary and is

running for the conservatives in the

July 4th vote he's admitted putting a

flutter on the election as he put it and

said he would cooperate with the inquiry

well the conservative party spokesperson

said it's a personal matter for the

Conservative candidate and it would not

be proper to comment further until any

process is concluded well let's speak to

the treasury Minister Gareth Davis who

is also in Grimsby um good evening

thanks for joining us um do you think

it's honorable and and you know thing of

Integrity for the prime minister's

closest Aid to put a bet on when the

election was going to be just before it

was

announced well good to be with you

Christian thank you for having me I'm

just hearing of this myself I understand

he has made a statement and that there

will be uh you know an inquiry or

there'll be this will be looked into uh

and that's quite right um if it's true

it's disappointing obviously but it's

right that he's made a statement and as

I'm just hearing about this it's quite

hard for me to comment further on that I

mean it's it it just doesn't strike you

as you know the highest standards of

Integrity that Rich has been

promising like I said I I don't have the

details of of what happened I know that

uh you know that will disappoint you I

understand that but I am just hearing of

this myself and it's right that uh he's

made a statement which you have read out

you're you're there for another sort of

TV event tonight and and Mr sinak TV

events have not been going brilliantly

truth um the other one that's out today

is is this you know that the quotes are

about him talking about uh his sacrifice

as a child not having Sky TV um would

you regard that as a

sacrifice uh well look I think rishu

sunat was setting out in that interview

that as he said um you know he's the son

of part of a family of immigrants who

came to this country with very little

and they instilled in him values of hard

work and aspiration that's what driving

him every single day he's also somebody

that has spoken very clearly that he had

a very fortunate upbringing with two

parents that worked incredibly hard and

inspired him every day that's why he get

some criticism for mentioning them quite

frequently but that genuinely is what

has driven him to become Prime Minister

and the policy agenda that he's setting

out for the next Parliament is about

aspiration it's about hard work and that

as I say was instilled in him at a young

age by his upbringing and the people

around him his family his parents uh and

those who came before him I mean I was

talking to l he about this beforehand um

you know and I just wonder you know why

it is you know somebody who had a you

know privileged upbringing went to a

great school did incredibly well is now

incredibly Rich you know feels this need

when asked a question like that to to

sort of imply that he understands what

hardships about um when you know other

politicians you know David Cameron Boris

Johnson you know his predecessors you

know have always answered those sorts of

questions with well yes I know I was

very lucky and that's fine and that's

why

I want you know the best of everybody

else you know what is the need to sort

of feel in touch is it a paranoia that

you're not in

touch honestly he is somebody that's

already said many times that he had a a

very fortunate upbringing with two

parents that worked hard inspired him

got him the best education they could

possibly get him and in like I said have

driven him into public service as a very

talented individual uh who could frankly

do anything but he is somebody who

serves the every single day he he is

somebody by the way who is acting on uh

the cost of living crisis that we've

just been through let's talk about that

you look at the action let's talk about

that because obviously growth stalled in

April zero growth you haven't turned the

corner have

you so it's a completely legitimate

question to ask about the date out in

April but what I would say is that as

you know um taking one individual month

is always difficult looking at longer

term periods is a better indication as

to what's going on and as we know at the

start of this year the first quarter we

are now in growth territory we are

putting in place uh the policies which

will ensure that we have sustainable

long-term growth and all the projections

from the OB the bank of England the IMF

are very positive for this country you

know the IMF predict that we'll grow

faster than Germany France Italy and

Japan over the next few years because of

the policies that we're putting in place

so while it's not we've come out of a

really difficult period of time with the

pandemic and the war in Ukraine and very

high inflation we genuinely have turned

a corner now inflation is down to two

2.3% we are able to grow our economy

because we have a strong labor market

low inflation and the policies by

government is backing businesses and

business investment well let's see um

Gareth Davis thank you very much and D

for joining us