东航空难原因早已水落石出,但是,它们永远也不会公布|东航5735航班|空难|事故调查|事故报告书|川航事件|芝加哥公约|掩盖|真相|信息公开|王局拍案20230321
Summary
TLDR2022年3月21日,东航5735航班坠毁,132人全部遇难。坠机后,相关部门至今未公布事故原因。中国民航局称事故复杂,仍在调查中,但实际上已知原因是人为因素。三名飞行员中,副驾驶张正平因投资失败、心理问题和职业压力选择自杀,导致全机坠毁。类似事故在航空史上并不少见,但中国政府因担忧丑闻而隐瞒真相。此外,航空公司和制造商因商业利益不愿公开此类信息,整个事件成为公众永远无法知晓的秘密。
Takeaways
- 😔 今天是东方航空5735航班空难一周年,事故共造成132人遇难。
- ✈️ 飞机在去年3月21日从昆明飞往广州途中坠毁,形成45米深坑,飞机尾翼距坠毁地点12公里。
- 🕵️♂️ 一年过去了,事故原因仍未公开,家属呼吁尽快查明真相。
- 📋 中国民航局称事故复杂,仍在调查中,未能提供更多信息。
- 💔 通过分析黑匣子记录,推测事故是人为因素所致,可能与机组人员内部冲突有关。
- 📰 华尔街日报报道,知情人士透露飞机在坠毁前几分钟似乎被劫持,机舱内有人指示飞机坠毁。
- 🔍 民航局通过分析残骸和飞行数据,确认了事故原因,但未对外公布。
- 💼 航空公司内部管理存在问题,调查后要求两名飞行员同时值班,并调查飞行员心理和家庭情况。
- 🌍 国际航空业因不愿得罪中国,导致事故原因难以公开。
- 🛑 中国民航局拒绝公开驾驶舱语音记录,称为国家机密,进一步加剧公众对事故原因的质疑。
Q & A
东航5735航班事故发生的日期是什么时候?
-东航5735航班事故发生在去年的3月21日。
事故中有多少人丧生?
-事故中共有132人丧生,包括9名机组人员。
根据初步调查报告,事故的主要原因是什么?
-初步调查报告表明,事故的主要原因是人为因素。
事故发生后,中国实施了哪些新的飞行安全措施?
-事故发生后,中国立即要求所有飞机实施“两人驾驶员”制度,并对飞行员的心理和家庭状况进行调查,要求他们签署承诺书。
为什么认为此次空难的原因被当局隐瞒?
-因为事故调查已经得出结论,但当局并未公开这一结论,并且相关公告中也表示调查仍在进行中,显得含糊不清。
事故的真正原因是什么?
-事故的真正原因是副驾驶张正平的自杀行为。
为什么副驾驶张正平会选择自杀?
-张正平因投资失败、情绪低落,再加上之前一次飞行中的低高度警告事件导致他被降职为副驾驶,心理压力很大,最终选择自杀。
为什么事故的真实原因不对外公布?
-因为一旦公布,可能会引发巨大的丑闻,尤其是对于航空公司内部管理机制的质疑。
中航在过去的空难处理中是否有类似的隐瞒行为?
-是的,例如四川航空的“英雄机长”事件中,真相被政府干预并美化为英雄行为,而掩盖了实际的低级失误。
国际航空条约对事故调查有何影响?
-国际航空条约使得国家可以在不违反条约的情况下不公开事故原因,导致公众无法得知真相。
Outlines
✈️ 东航MU5735空难周年纪念
今天是东航5735航班空难一周年纪念日,去年3月21日,该航班从昆明起飞前往广州途中坠毁,机上132人全部遇难。事故发生后,遇难者家属希望相关部门尽快查明真相,但一年过去了,他们仍未收到任何结论。昨天,中国民航局发布公告称该事故极其罕见且复杂,调查仍在进行中,暂无更多信息。这段视频将继续探讨MU5735事故的真相。
🕵️♂️ 调查背后的真相
视频提出结论认为事故原因早已查明,但不会公之于众。去年5月18日的视频中得出结论,此次空难是人为因素所致。理由包括:第一,涉事的波音737-800飞机在4月20日恢复飞行,表明事故调查已排除飞机设计和制造问题。第二,《华尔街日报》去年5月17日通过渠道获知,调查人员认为事故是人为错误。第三,空难后中国立即要求所有飞机实施“两人值守”制度,并调查飞行员的心理和家庭情况,要求签署承诺书。
📊 分析报告
昨天发布的报告显示,事故原因已查明,但未公布。报告提到四个调查领域:分析100块大块残骸以确定飞机损坏原因、调查飞行员资质和能力及航空公司管理、调查空管服务和地面安全、结合数据进行飞行状态分析和模拟验证。报告中第一和第四领域尤为重要,它们验证了已计算出的空难原因。调查团队已通过驾驶舱语音记录仪和飞行数据记录仪确定了事故原因,但不向公众透露,原因可能涉及重大丑闻。
👨✈️ 飞行员心理问题
视频进一步揭示了飞行员的背景。机长杨宏达、59岁的副机长张正平和观察员倪红涛分别有6709小时、30000小时和556小时的飞行时间。张正平因投资失败、情绪低落且曾因低空警告事故被降级为副机长。事故最终原因被推测为张正平因心理问题选择自杀,导致132人遇难。这一结论可能被隐瞒是因为一旦公布,会成为巨大的丑闻。
🏆 川航英雄机长事件
2018年5月14日,川航飞机在飞往西藏途中机窗突然爆裂,副驾驶被吸出舱外,机组最终安全返航。媒体称赞此为“英雄机组”,但实际是低级人为事故。空难调查显示,副驾驶未系安全带,且机组用报纸遮挡风挡玻璃,导致未及时发现裂缝。最终,中国政府干预,将此事故转变为“英雄机组”事件。
🚫 中共对空难真相的封锁
视频最后指出,中国政府对MU5735空难真相的封锁,导致公众无法得知事故真相。国际航空公司不愿得罪中国,进一步加剧了这一封锁。去年3月21日,BBC采访波音公司和NTSB,他们均建议联系中国民航局,但未得到回复。只要中国政府不公开真相,公众永远无法知晓。视频总结了中国民航事故隐瞒真相的现象,并提到相关书籍中人祸导致的空难不会被收录。
Mindmap
Keywords
💡东航5735号航班
💡空难调查
💡人祸
💡黑匣子
💡民航管理
💡调查报告
💡飞行员自杀
💡心理健康
💡中国民航局
💡波音737-800
Highlights
今天是东方航空5735航班空难一周年纪念日。
东方航空5735航班从昆明起飞,但在飞往广州的途中坠毁。
机上132名乘客和9名机组成员全部遇难。
飞机坠毁后形成了一个45米深的坑,飞机完全粉碎。
调查发现,飞机的尾翼在距离主坠毁地点12公里外被找到。
乘客在最后一两分钟内经历了残酷的场景。
民航局的一份公告称,此次空难极为罕见且复杂,调查仍在进行中。
节目主持人认为,空难原因已经查明,但不会向公众公布。
空难发生在2022年3月21日,4月20日发布了初步事故报告。
波音737-800型飞机恢复飞行,表明事故原因已排除与飞机设计和制造有关的因素。
《华尔街日报》报道称,调查人员认为事故原因是人为错误。
飞机的黑匣子被送往美国进行分析,显示飞机可能在最后几分钟被劫持。
中国在空难后要求所有飞机实施“双驾驶员”制度,并调查飞行员的心理和家庭状况。
事故最终原因是副驾驶张正平自杀,导致132人遇难。
节目的结论是空难原因是人为因素,但中国政府不会公开这一信息。
Transcripts
Today is March 21st
It's the first anniversary of the Eastern Airlines Flight 5735 air crash
On this day last year
Eastern Airlines Flight 5735 (AKA MU5735) took off from Kunming, Yunnan
but crashed from the air on the way to Guangzhou
All 132 passengers on board the aircraft, including 9 crew members, died in the crash
This air crash is the most catastrophic one in our country in recent years
After the plane crashed to the ground, it formed a 45-meter-deep pit
The aircraft was completely shattered
Its tail wing was found 12 kilometers away from the main crash site
We can imagine
what those passengers on the plane went through in the last one or two minutes
It must have been a brutal scene
After the air crash
the families of the victims hoped that the relevant authorities
would investigate the real cause of the air crash as soon as possible
and make it public, because this is the best comfort for the victims' families
but a year has passed, and they have not received anything
Just yesterday, a notice was posted on the website of Civil Aviation Administration of China (CAAC)
The notice said
"This plane crash is extremely rare and complex"
"We are still conducting a thorough investigation"
"So we can't tell you anything right now, just wait for further updates"
Today, we will continue to discuss the accident of MU5735
First, let me state the conclusion
The cause of this air crash has long been figured out
It's very clear
But they will not tell the public, and will never tell the public
If you want to understand the real reason for this air crash
through the notice of CAAC
that's dreaming, it's seeking the impossible, it's wishful thinking
So, what is the real reason? Let's talk about it
On May 18th last year
I did a program on the Eastern Airlines air crash
In that program, I came to a conclusion
This air crash was caused by human factors
There are three main reasons for this
First, the air crash occurred on March 21st
April 20th preliminary accident report released
Meanwhile, Boeing 737-800 resumes flights
The aircraft model involved in the air crash was Boeing 737-800
In accordance with the general procedures for handling air crashes
For safety reasons, the type of aircraft involved in
a plane crash must be grounded until the investigation is complete
And there is a condition for resuming flights, the investigation must first rule out
all factors related to the design and manufacturing of the aircraft
Therefore, when the "Boeing 737-800" resumed flights in China on April 20th last year
it indicated a very important reason
the accident investigation team had already ruled out
accidents caused by the "Boeing 737-800" itself
Second, on May 17th last year, the WSJ obtained some intelligence
because China was the main investigating country for this accident
but as the NTSB, as well as Boeing aircraft
had the right to send an investigator to participate in the entire investigation
but they did not have the right to publish anything
So the WSJ obtained information through some specific channels
and the investigators who participated in the investigation told them that
"the real cause of this accident was human error"
After the accident occurred
both black boxes of the aircraft
the Flight Data Recorder and the Cockpit Voice Recorder
were sent to the United States for analysis
During the analysis, the US side definitely gained knowledge of
the aircraft's actual state during the flight
and the real situation inside the cabin during the air crash
Therefore, those involved leaked to reporters from WSJ saying that
"last few minutes of the flight"
"seemed to have been hijacked"
"Someone was directing inside the cockpit"
"The person was instructing the plane to crash into the ground in a certain way"
Either the plane was hijacked by someone outside the cockpit
or someone inside the cockpit hijacked it
This is a very important factor
The third reason is that after the air crash
China immediately required all planes to implement a "two-pilot" system
Previously, one captain and one co-pilot were responsible for flying the plane
Implementing the "two-pilot" system means that
one captain and one co-pilot cannot guarantee
the safe operation of the aircraft
At the same time, airlines across the country were investigating the psychological
and family conditions of their pilots, and requiring them to sign commitment letters
So my conclusion at the time was
that the real cause of this plane accident was human error
However, at that time, all I used was logical reasoning
There was no objective evidence
Today, I'm going to talk about the objective evidence
First, let's analyze yesterday's report
Why did they release this report yesterday?
There's actually a bit of background to it
According to the Chicago Convention
an air crash
requires the final report to be published within 12 months
this requirement is not mandatory
But even though it's not mandatory, as a contracting state
you certainly can't ignore such a requirement
So yesterday, which was one day before the 12-month anniversary of the accident
they issued such an announcement
saying "look, we are still investigating"
"It's very complicated and extremely rare"
At the same time, Xinhua News Agency interviewed experts in the aviation industry
These aviation experts also said that
"This air crash"
"Is different from all the previous air crashes"
"So it's understandable that the investigation takes a long time"
Actually, all of this is just muddying the waters
the reason for this air crash is different from the past
it does not mean that the investigation itself is difficult
These are two different concepts
Air crash nowadays
as long as we obtain the aircraft cockpit voice recorder and flight data recorder
The cause of 99.9999999999% of air crashes
can be figured out in a very short period of time
This is different from early air crashes
early air crashes had no black boxes
the wreckage of the plane had to be pieced together
then analyzed to determine the possible cause
Now these two black boxes, one records the entire flight status of the aircraft
the other records what happened in the cockpit at the end
With these two factors combined
The cause of the aircraft's air crash is basically easy to determine
Then let's look at this report
Through this report
you can know that they have figured out the reason
This report talks about
they are conducting investigations in four areas, and have already completed them
The first area is the analysis of 100 large debris
to determine the cause of the aircraft damage
The second area is to investigate the qualifications and abilities of the aircraft pilots
the operation of the flight, and the management of the airline
The third area is to investigate
the air traffic control services and ground security
The fourth area is to combine relevant data
and analyze the final flight status of the aircraft
and use aircraft simulation machines and real machines for simulation and verification
Here, the first and fourth areas are particularly important
The first area is to put the debris together to determine the cause of damage
Let me explain to you
in the process of investigating air accidents
the debris is gathered together to analyze the cause of the damage
it is actually not to search for the cause of the air crash
but to verify the cause of the air crash
this point is very important
they have already determined the cause of the plane crash
through the cockpit voice recorder
and flight data recorder
Therefore, we go to the wreckage to find out
whether there is a logical correspondence with the cause of the air crash
that has been calculated
One very important point here
it is not that analyzing the cause of the air crash through wreckage
This is very important, this is the first point
The second is the fourth area
Combining the final flight status of the aircraft
and relevant data
to verify with real aircraft and simulators
What does this mean?
It means that they already knew what happened in the last minute
They just verified it with a real aircraft
and flight simulator
Think about it
They didn't know the real cause of the plane crash?
They knew it too well
They knew it completely
But they just don't tell you
They just don't tell the public
Why?
Because if they really tells the truth to the public
It is going to be a huge scandal
After the air crash, I have been concerned about it
I have some connections with the civil aviation industry
Some people have actually provided me with information
Several pieces of information put together
Basically, the matter has been figured out
Let me slowly tell you
There were a total of three members in the cockpit of the plane
The captain's name was Yang Hongda, very young
His total flight time was only 6,709 hours
The first officer's name was Zhang Zhengping, 59 years old
He is a meritorious pilot of China Eastern Airlines
and a five-star pilot
He has been a captain for more than 30 years
His total flight time is 30,000 hours
there have been no accidents for him
The third member is the observer
This person's name is Ni Hongtao
His total flight hours are only 556
In other words, Ni Hongtao may be just trying to accumulate flight hours
You have to accumulate certain flight hours on the plane
before you can become a co-pilot or captain
So the real reason is this Zhang Zhengping
He only had half a year left before retirement, at 59 years old
He almost lost his life savings in an investment
His emotions was quite low
Coupled with an incident that occurred a few years ago
When he was flying at a certain airport
during the landing process
due to not mastering the height of the flight
which led to a low-altitude warning
that is, the plane was too close to the ground when it entered the airport
there is such an alarm device on the plane, so it alarmed
According to aviation management, this belongs to an accident risk
Although you did not have an accident
But it belongs to an accident risk that is about to happen
So he was demoted from captain
to co-pilot for this reason
Everyone knows that the captain and first officer
have a huge difference in terms of their treatment and benefits
Generally, a captain
like those in the Yunnan branch of China Eastern Airlines, which is not particularly profitable
earns seven or eight hundred thousand yuan a year
But as a first officer, it becomes only two or three hundred thousand yuan
What's even more humiliating is that
the captain on this plane, Yang Hongda
who is his disciple and was trained by him
His disciple is in his twenties while he is 59 years old
He still has to serve his own disciple in the cockpit
What does he think about this from a psychological perspective?
We don't know what happened in the last minute of the flight in the sky
But some people speculate that there was a conflict in the air
I haven't received any information on this
However, the information I previously learned is all true
which is, his investment failure
usually lives in airline office, and rarely goes home
divorced from his wife, with only one daughter
a few years ago, due to his causing the plane
to get too close to the ground during landing
he was demoted from captain to first officer
Perhaps because he didn't adjust his mindset well during this process
Perhaps he had an unpleasant encounter with other personnel in the cockpit
Finally, it led to him making such an extreme choice
The ultimate cause of the accident of MU5735 was that
Captain Zhang Zhengping committed suicide
132 people perished with him
I guess that the relevant authorities certainly think that
if this news were to leak, it would be a huge scandal
But actually, in terms of the history of aviation disasters in the world
crashes caused by pilot suicide are not uncommon
Russia has had such incidents, and it seems that last year
in 2021, a pilot in an Arab country
caused a crash due to suicide
So for aviation disasters
pilot suicide is not unheard of, it does happen
But China under the CCP believes that this information of him
cannot be disclosed, once it is disclosed
everyone will point to the management of your airline
your internal management mechanism
After I finished last program about this accident
a captain of Air China wrote to me and provided me with inside information
He said: the internal management system of our civil aviation is very inhumane
For example, he told me
one of the captains caused the plane to slide off
the runway at the airport in Panzhihua
during the landing process the plane slipped past the line, just slightly
Panzhihua airport is a high-altitude airport
the air is relatively thin
If you don't handle it well, the plane will slide too far
this incident was considered a minor accident
according to general practice, he should be grounded for 24 months
But because of a so-called superior instruction
a directive from Zhongnanhai
the pilot was permanently grounded
The result is that everyone is now living in fear
No one knows where the boundary is
This is not a professional management approach
you can see that the CCP actually wraps up all information
regarding such matters in every possible way
So, in the midst of this matter
Boeingand the US NTSB as well
cannot break the international civil aviation treaty to expose this accident
the most important issue reflected
in the investigation of this accident
is the current international civil aviation treaty, such a system
that makes it impossible for countries like China
to disclose the cause of the air crash if they refuse to
the whole world will have no way, it is a closed loop
Even if the airline itself knows, it cannot be made public
Of course, there is also a background
that now international airlines are not willing to offend China
because China is a very large aviation market
Both Boeing and Airbus
hope that China can buy airplanes
Let me tell you a story
In 2018, the "Hero Captain" incident of Sichuan Airlines
On May 14th, a Sichuan Airlines plane suddenly had a window burst while flying to Tibet
The co-pilot was suddenly sucked out of the cabin
the crew finally returned safely to the ground
the media reported and praised this as a "heroic crew"
But this was a shocking conspiracy
Why?
because this accident was actually a very low-level man-made accident.
After the accident occurred, since the plane was an Airbus A320
Airbus sent a letter to the accident investigation team
asking "why was the co-pilot not wearing a seatbelt when the accident happened?"
Here, I'll give you some background information
In the story of the Sichuan Airlines incident
during the heating of the plane's front windshield, due to uneven heating
it eventually led to the windshield bursting
However, based on the design of Airbus
generally allows at least 10 minutes from the occurrence
of a crack in the windshield to the eventual bursting
These 10 minutes are meant for the pilots to handle the situation promptly
But if you look at all the reports on the Sichuan Airlines incident
they said "from the discovery of the windshield cracking"
"to the complete bursting was only a few seconds"
Why did this happen?
In the end, I learned the truth through people in the civil aviation industry
the plane was flying at an very high altitude and was very exposed to the sun
so many pilots covered the cockpit windshield with newspapers
The pro is that the sun can't shine through anymore
but it brings a very big problem
When the windshield of the plane burst, they didn't know there was a crack
Wait until the end when there is a 'bang' sound
that is not the time for cracks, but the glass has already started to burst
And in the process
because the co-pilot did not fasten his seatbelt at that time
he was immediately sucked out of the window
During the process of being sucked out of the window
he accidentally damaged all the instruments in front of him
So the aircraft's autopilot system failed suddenly
The captain was also dizzy at the time
Fortunately, all the Chinese planes that entered Tibet at that time had a three-person crew
There was also a second officer
The second officer was in the cabin and quickly came to the cockpit after the accident
The second officer immediately went to assist the captain and put on an oxygen mask
He requested to immediately enter a state such as 7710 or 7700
The plane landed on the ground after more than 20 minutes
But the core issue here is
why the co-pilot did not fasten his seatbelt
It was because he had put newspapers on the front windshield of the plane
causing them to not see the cracks when they appeared
If he didn't put up this newspaper
if they saw the crack
they quickly lower the altitude, reduce speed
fasten their seat belts, actually nothing will happen
when the glass of the airplane shatters, it only causes a loss of cabin pressure
This happens everywhere in the international civil aviation of airplanes
It won't cause any problems with the cockpit
But it was precisely because of this co-pilot
At that time, they put the newspaper on the front windshield of the airplane
They couldn't see it, so the crack on the airplane was not discovered
When it exploded, people were sucked out
during the suction process, the front instrument panel was also destroyed
This is the true reason for the incident that occurred at Sichuan Airlines
After the crew of the airplane fell from the sky
The accident investigation team immediately took these people in the cockpit
to the hotel for investigation
Each person had to write down the process and answer questions
this is a basic investigation process
And Airbus asked
"Why didn't this co-pilot fasten his seat belt?"
After a week, there was a turning point in the incident
Xi Jinping in Zhongnanhai issued a directive
He said this was a 'heroic crew' and it should be praised
As a result, the entire investigation ended
These people were all turned into heroes
The captain was awarded 5 million yuan
The second officer was awarded 3 million yuan
The c0-pilot surnamed Xu
to be honest, it was good enough that he wasn't arrested. He was also awarded 1 million yuan
because he was defined as a 'heroic captain'
Since it was a heroic crew
There should not be troublemakers in the crew, right?
So he was given 1 million yuan symbolically
That is why the second officer, who was in the cabin, got 3 million yuan
but the co-pilot surnamed Xu only got 1 million yuan
It means that the authorities believed that
he had the least contribution
he not only had no contribution
but also violated the operating manual during the flight
Although it is possible not to fasten your seatbelt during a flight
they violated the rules by putting newspapers on the glass
which obscured the crack on the aircraft's windshield
this resulted in the accident and the co-pilot was almost sucked out
and the cockpit instruments were damaged
As a result, the co-pilot was even awarded 1 million yuan
At that time, Sichuan Airlines provided him with a female nurse specializing in medical care
As a result, he married the nurse
When I read this news, I found it really funny
but what I want to say about this news is
that it is not just concealing the truth
but Airbus was actually intimidated by the pressure from the Chinese government and did nothing
In theory, the question they asked at the time was very, very important
Why didn't the copilot buckle his seat belt
when he had 10 minutes to do so
this incident was intervened by the Chinese government
and turned a crew-caused accident
into a heroic crew situation
Finally, it was made into a movie called
"The Captain" about a terrifying experience in the sky
As you can see
This is how China handles air disasters
Let's go back to the incident of this flight MU5735
Similarly, now Boeing Company
and large airlines like Airbus are afraid to offend China
So before March 21 this year
I saw the BBC interview Boeing Company
and the NTSB
they both said, please consult the CAAC on this matter
and they contacted the CAAC
The CAAC 'read but didn't reply', ignoring them completely
So now it has become an dead loop
As long as the Chinese government does not disclose the true cause of the MU5735 flight accident
the public will never know
A few days ago, the CAAC website also issued a notice
Someone wants to apply for the public disclosure of the cockpit voice recorder of flight MU5735
once the cockpit voice recorder is made public
everything will become clear
the conversation that took place in the cockpit in the last minute
will definitely reveal the true cause of the air crash
However, the CAAC refused
Saying, "This is a state secret and cannot be made public"
That's China for you
When they don't want you to know something, it's always a secret
Always a secret
Finally, I'll tell you all here
Whether this accident was ultimately caused by humans
I'll also give you a standard
This book is compiled regularly by the CAAC
It's a compilation of all civil aircraft accidents
It's compiled every few years
I bought this book at a small stand in Japan, "The Secret Collection"
I don't know why it ended up on a small stand in Japan
There is a principle in this book
That man-made air disasters are not included
Do you all know about the China Northern Airlines Flight 6136 air crash?
Is is not in this book
Why?
Because it says that it was caused by humans, so it's not publicized
So, in a couple of years, you can check this book
you'll definitely find that the air crash of MU5735 is not included
Why?
Because it was caused by human factors
It was caused by the co-pilot's suicide
Alright, that's all I have for today. Thank you, everyone
本期英文翻译:毛豆腐
The real reason for the China Eastern Airlines accident was because the co-pilot committed suicide. This reason was already clear to the Chinese Civil Aviation Accident Investigation Team, but they will not disclose it, never
The statement released by the Chinese Civil Aviation on March 20th was only to fulfill the obligations of the Chicago Convention, not because of the real difficulties in the accident investigation process. Even if the final report cannot be released, the interim report should be made public as much as possible, revealing the true cause of the accident to the public
Due to interests, the nationality aviation industry dare not offend the Chinese government, resulting in the public having no way to know the truth about air crashes that occur in China, as long as they do not disclose it, even though they already know the cause of the air crash
The entire Chinese civil aviation industry is like a black box, and outsiders can never know what is inside. The tragedy is that the whole of China is also becoming more and more like a black box
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