USA vs Brazil Picks and Predictions | 2024 Olympics Basketball Quarterfinals Best Bets 8/6/24

Summary

In this sports betting analysis, Steve Merl from wagertalk.com discusses the upcoming Olympic men's basketball elimination game between the USA and Brazil. He evaluates the point spread, suggesting that the odds are well set, and recommends betting on the first half line for Team USA to start strong. Merl also highlights potential player prop bets, focusing on LeBron James and Kevin Durant to score over 14.5 points each, and encourages viewers to subscribe for more betting insights and offers.

Takeaways

• 🏀 The elimination games for men's Olympic basketball begin on Tuesday, August 6th.
• 🇺🇸 The USA team faces Brazil at 3:30 Eastern Time on Tuesday afternoon.
• 📺 The game will be broadcast on the USA Network.
• 📊 Steve Merl from wagertalk.com discusses betting strategies for the game.
• 📈 The USA team was favored to win by large margins in their first three games but underachieved against the spread.
• 🔢 The USA is a 27-point favorite against Brazil in the elimination game.
• 🇧🇷 Brazil made it to the quarterfinals by a narrow margin, finishing third in their group.
• 🤔 Steve suggests that the oddsmakers set the point spread accurately, based on historical data and common opponents.
• 📉 Steve recommends betting on the first half line for the USA team, as they may not maintain intensity throughout the entire game.
• 🌟 He highlights player props for LeBron James and Kevin Durant, expecting them to score over 14.5 points each in the first half.
• 🎯 Steve also suggests keeping an eye on in-game betting opportunities, especially if the USA team starts slow.

Q & A

What event is being discussed in the video?

The video discusses the elimination games in the men's Olympic basketball tournament, specifically focusing on the game between the USA and Brazil.

When and where can viewers watch the USA vs. Brazil game?

The USA vs. Brazil game can be watched on Tuesday, August 6th at 3:30 Eastern time on the USA Network.

How has the USA performed against the spread in their first three games?

The USA has underachieved against the spread, going 1-2 despite winning all three games by double digits.

What is the point spread for the USA vs. Brazil game?

The point spread for the USA vs. Brazil game is 27 points, with the USA being the favorite.

How did Brazil perform in their group stage games?

Brazil finished third in their group with a 7-point differential and managed to edge out Spain to advance.

What betting strategy does Steve Merl suggest for the USA vs. Brazil game?

Steve Merl suggests focusing on the first half line, with the USA favored by 15 points, as he believes they are more likely to start strong and then conserve energy in the second half.

Which players does Steve Merl highlight for potential player prop bets?

Steve Merl highlights LeBron James and Kevin Durant for potential player prop bets, suggesting betting on them to score over 14.5 points each.

Why does Steve Merl favor betting on the first half line instead of the full game line?

Steve Merl favors the first half line because the USA has shown a tendency to take their foot off the gas in the second half and mix in other players, making the full game line riskier.

What previous games does Steve Merl use to derive his power ratings for the point spread?

Steve Merl uses previous games between the USA, Germany, and Greece to derive his power ratings, noting their performances and point spreads.

What additional content does Steve Merl offer viewers on WagerTalk TV?

Steve Merl offers weekly college and pro football free play videos, daily baseball free play videos, and daily shows on WagerTalk TV. He also provides personal best bets in all sports for subscribers.