Israel wants a wider war with Ismail Haniyeh’s assassination in Iran
Summary
TLDRНа радио 786 обсуждается гибель Исмаила Хании, политического лидера ХАМАС, убитого в результате израильского авиаудара в Тегеране. Удар произошел на фоне продолжающегося конфликта между Израилем и палестинскими силами сопротивления. Обсуждаются последствия атаки для региональной безопасности и возможные ответные меры со стороны союзников ХАМАС, таких как Иран и Ливан. Также рассматривается роль США в этом конфликте и возможные сценарии дальнейшего развития событий.
Takeaways
- 📻 На радио 786 обсуждается гибель Исмаила Хании, лидера движения ХАМАС.
- 🎙 Хания был убит израильским ударом в Тегеране 31 июля 2024 года.
- 🔫 Хания был политическим лидером ХАМАС и ранее служил премьер-министром Палестины.
- 👨👩👦👦 Он был не только политиком, но и мужем и отцом, его семья также пострадала от израильских атак.
- ⚔️ Израиль стремится к расширению конфликта, пытаясь втянуть в войну Иран и другие силы сопротивления.
- 🛡 Сопротивление готово к ответным мерам, но стремится избежать эскалации.
- 🌍 США и другие страны Запада поддерживают Израиль, что увеличивает напряженность в регионе.
- 🔍 Важность стратегических расчетов в военных действиях и возможных последствиях для обеих сторон.
- 🚨 Убийство Хании изменяет правила ведения конфликта и может привести к непредсказуемым последствиям.
- 🤔 В социальных сетях распространяются теории заговора, но доказательства указывают на израильский след в атаке.
Q & A
Что произошло в 2 часа ночи 31 июля 2024 года в Тегеране?
-Израильский ракетный удар убил Исмаила Ханию, руководителя политбюро движения ХАМАС.
Какую роль играл Исмаил Хания в движении сопротивления?
-Исмаил Хания был ключевой фигурой в движении сопротивления, он был лидером ХАМАС и выполнял важные дипломатические функции.
Какие реакции последовали после убийства Хании?
-Многие движения сопротивления, включая ХАМАС, заявили, что это изменяет правила игры и может привести к дальнейшей эскалации конфликта.
Какова была реакция американских властей на нападение?
-США заявили о готовности защищать Израиль в случае любой формы ответного удара.
Какая была цель нападения на Ханию, по мнению аналитика?
-Израиль пытался спровоцировать более широкий конфликт, вовлечь Иран и другие силы сопротивления, а также привлечь США на свою сторону.
Какие аргументы приводятся против теории о причастности Ирана к убийству Хании?
-Иран поддерживает движение сопротивления и оказывает им помощь, поэтому ему невыгодно способствовать убийству лидера ХАМАС.
Какое влияние убийство Хании может оказать на внутриизраильскую политическую ситуацию?
-Убийство может помочь Биньямину Нетаньяху укрепить свою позицию, несмотря на внутренние трудности и критическую ситуацию в Газе.
Какие угрозы прозвучали со стороны сил сопротивления после убийства Хании?
-Силы сопротивления предупредили о возможности ответного удара, который может быть не ограничен.
Какие действия Израиль предпринял против других лидеров сопротивления в последние дни?
-Израильские атаки были направлены на лидеров в Ливане, Ираке, Йемене и Сирии, что вызвало международное осуждение.
Какие долгосрочные последствия может иметь убийство Хании для региона?
-Это может привести к более широкой войне на Ближнем Востоке, вовлечению других стран и усилению напряженности.
Outlines
📜 Введение и цитата из Корана
Текст начинается с цитаты из Корана и вводит слушателей в специальное вещание на радио 786. Описывается недавняя атака, в результате которой был убит Исмаил Хания, лидер ХАМАС, в Тегеране.
⚔️ Анализ атаки на Иран
Эксперт Элайджа Манье обсуждает последствия атаки на Иран и её возможные цели. Он утверждает, что Израиль пытается спровоцировать более широкую войну, втягивая в конфликт Иран, США и Запад.
🔥 Угроза эскалации
Элайджа Манье объясняет, что атаки Израиля могут привести к масштабной эскалации. Он подчеркивает, что сопротивление тщательно планирует свои действия, чтобы избежать неизбирательных атак на мирных жителей.
🛡️ Реакция и балансирование
Манье подчеркивает, что силы сопротивления должны тщательно обдумывать свои ответные действия, чтобы не привести к ещё большим жертвам среди мирного населения. Он также обсуждает роль США и их поддержку Израилю.
🔍 Последствия расширения конфликта
Манье анализирует возможные последствия расширения конфликта для Израиля. Он считает, что Нетаньяху стремится сохранить свою власть, расширяя войну, и это может привести к серьёзным последствиям для региона.
🤔 Подозрения в отношении Ирана
Манье отвергает конспирологические теории о причастности Ирана к убийству Хании. Он объясняет, что Иран поддерживает сопротивление, а убийство лидеров не ослабляет, а наоборот, укрепляет их борьбу.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Исмаил Хания
💡ХАМАС
💡Ционистский режим
💡Газа
💡Иран
💡Операция 'Аль-Аа'
💡Убийство
💡Сопротивление
💡Соединенные Штаты
💡Расширение конфликта
Highlights
Israeli airstrike kills Hamas politburo chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran.
Haniyeh's assassination marks a significant escalation in the Israel-Palestine conflict.
Haniyeh was a key figure in the Palestinian resistance movement, serving as Hamas' political leader.
This attack follows multiple assassination attempts on Haniyeh by Israel.
The assassination was part of a broader strategy by Israel to provoke a wider conflict involving Iran and other resistance groups.
The attack occurred in Iran, signaling a bold move by Israel to strike within a foreign nation's borders.
Haniyeh's death may change the rules of engagement for Hamas and other resistance movements.
Reactions from various resistance movements suggest increased tensions and potential for broader conflict.
Expert analysis suggests Israel is aiming to drag the US and other Western allies into a larger war.
The current US administration's handling of the situation is seen as a critical factor in the conflict's trajectory.
Netanyahu's political motivations, including domestic challenges, are influencing Israel's aggressive actions.
Iran's long-standing support for Palestinian resistance and its potential retaliation are key elements in the unfolding events.
The assassination has raised questions about the future strategies of resistance movements and their responses.
The involvement of various regional powers, including Lebanon and Yemen, adds complexity to the conflict.
The assassination underscores the fragile balance in West Asia and the potential for rapid escalation.
Transcripts
the road to Liberation ala flood
[Music]
[Laughter]
[Music]
oh Believers patiently endure persevere
stand on God and be mindful of Allah so
that you may be successful Al Quran
Surah Al Iman verse 200
as recited there by the marted leader of
the Islamic resistance movement Hamas is
Hanah assalamu alaikum and welcome to
this special coverage here on radio 786
100.4 FM Al AA flood the road to
Liberation the location is tan the
Iranian Capital 31st July 2024 just
around 2: a.m. local time a mile most
certainly fired by the Zionist regime
Israel strikes a building killing the
polit bureau chief of the Palestinian
Islamic resistance movement Hamas isma
hania he was 62 years
old a leader with an extensive history
in the resistance he has served in
senior positions including as the
elected prime minister of Palestine in
the 2006 Palestinian elections
eventually he would become and continue
to lead under diff ult and treacherous
circumstances which tested the unity of
the Palestinian people surviving various
assassination attempts by the Zionist
entity Hanah as leader of a people under
the most brutal modernday Siege would go
on to become an international face of
resistance resilience and Defiance
moving from Gaza to Qatar and assuming
the role of the polit bureau chief of
the Islamic resistance
movement during the operational AA flood
launched by the resist on the 7th of
October
2023 he eventually became perhaps one of
the key faces of the movement outside of
Palestine playing a key role in
mediation efforts and the Relentless
struggle to achieve an end to the
Zionist genocide against the
Palestinians at the Diplomatic
level he may have been outside of
Palestine but the Palestinian identity
of Ismael hania's blood ran deep a
husband father fighter and leader his
family remained in Gaza at the cold face
of the Zionist aggression not only did
he sacrifice himself in the path of
resistance for the liberation of all KS
and Palestine but his family also Rose
to martydom the Israeli occupation
entity has deliberately targeted hanah's
family in its efforts to weaken their
will but they like many Palestinian
families have persevered and
strengthened their resolve to continue
the fight for what is right and
just you're tuned in special coverage
here on radio 786 on this occasion of
the martydom of isma Hanah during the
early hours of this morning in the
Iranian Capital tan together with him
mared in that operation was Wasim Abu
Shaban his bodyguard and
companion there have been reactions from
a number of resistance movements
including Hamas who has suggested that
this certainly changes the Rules of
Engagement to discuss this now we are
joined by El Elijah Mania who is a
brussels-based veteran War correspondent
and a senior political risk analyst with
nearly 40 years of experience in
covering West Asia we welcome him now to
the special coverage here on radio 786
Elijah good evening and thank you for
joining us here on radio
786 thank you for having me an important
aspect of any military exercise is the
calculation of of risk this attack did
not only target the polit bureau chief
of Hamas it also staged an attack on a
foreign Nation soil in this case Iran
and we've seen this sort of action from
The zist Entity with the strike earlier
on the Iranian mission in
Syria did Israel miscalculate
here I don't think Israel is
miscalculating Israel is looking for a
wider War trying to drag Iran and the
rest of the aess of the resistance into
a war by pulling also the Americans and
the West into it now there is nobody who
is ruling the White House President Joe
Biden is not fully in control those who
are leading the country are the
Secretary of State um Anthony blinkin
and the defense secretary Lloyd Austin
and all the others are managing the
country as they can they not a president
and the president seems not active all
the time so it's basically Benyamin
Netanyahu who's leading the game even if
this American Administration is busy in
the presidential
elections benam Nano is fully aware of
the handicap of the administration and
is pulling it by force to defend Israel
whenever Israel wants to widen the war
because prime minister bamin Netanyahu
is in domestic difficulties he's not
managing to control
364 square kilometers that represent the
Gaza Strip and his army is incapable of
uh defeating the resistance so he
is directing himself toward a attacking
tan by assassinating one of the members
the leaders of the axis of the
resistance is Hani he's attacking Beirut
and in the capital the suburb of Beirut
in hat the Americans yesterday attacked
also has shabi in Baghdad Iraq and then
the few days ago Benyamin Netanyahu
attacked Heda in Yemen mhm so these
messages across all the members of the
axis of resistance is extremely
provocative to a wider War now it is up
to the access of the resistance to
respond and it the response will happen
but will happen coordinated in a way for
the Israelis either to debat the third
and not do it again or to enlarge the
war in case Israel would retaliate there
is that timeline that you talk about
these multiple attacks on all of the key
resistance movements within the region
that have been engaged in this struggle
for the end and the liberation of the
Gaza
Strip this however came after Benjamin
netanyahu's visit to the United States
during that period Israeli media were
reporting that he had been he had
received the green light for the
expansion particularly
as far as Lebanon is concerned do you
think that what we see playing out here
with this assassination on is as well as
the one in Beirut which again Zionist
media indicated the Americans were aware
of not necessarily the time and the
place but at least that the target was
uh uh locked in by the Zionist entity
does this give us a clear indication in
terms of this green lighting from the
United States and that particularly
there might be an appetite for some sort
of expansion from its
side well I think it give us even more
than that the Americans sent a message
to Lebanon several days ago that Israel
will not hit Beirut neither the subb
suburb of Beirut nor the airport so that
was a lie because the Americans thought
that they were aware of the attack
against one of the top Hezbollah
commanders in Beirut so it is not
attacking Beirut but also attacking a
commander of hisbah and killing many
civilians and uh I think the Americans
um maybe thinks that Iran will retaliate
as it has done when its consulate was
attacked in Damascus I think this time
they are really misreading the access of
the resistance including Iran
retaliation because this time there will
be no warning the attack would be
coordinated and will come also on from
the Lebanese borders without giving the
Israelis the time to retaliate or to
intercept neither for the Americans to
support the Israelis which are already
supporting they are already supporting
the Israeli they are patrolling the
Mediterranean they are um Downing all
the uh drones and the missile fight by
ansar in Yemen and they are uh hitting
Anar the British and the Americans which
means that they offering all the support
for Israel because Israel is weaker than
fighting against more than one front but
I think this time they are going to make
a bigger mistake because this time
they're going to do very little to
support Israel
the delicate Balancing Act here is that
the Zionist entity has been pushing for
this escalation and expansion the
resistance movements have been showing
an extensive element of restraint and
have been indicating that the main issue
is the end to the hostilities and the
aggression and the genocide that's
taking place in Gaza they do not want
any form of escalation however with
these developments how will the
resistance Coalition be able to balance
that reaction and response to this
Zionist aggression considering the
balance of not expanding but sending
that firm
message um the fact that the aess of the
resistance is dealing with such a brutal
and immoral Army that has not hesitated
to commit war crimes crimes against
humanity and genocide against the
civilians of Gaza killing and wounding
more than 130 to
140,000 people of which 70% are children
and women it is wise for the access of
the resistant to think carefully how to
hit Israel to deter the Israelis but at
the same time not to cause a fire back
against their civilians because the
Israelis will not hesitate to start
bombing indiscriminately the civilians
because the access of the resistance is
not dealing with proper human being who
can abide by the international laws the
Geneva Convention the United Nation
resolution and already Antonio gues
United Nations Secretary General
consider Israel as a terrorist Nation
because it is equal to Al-Qaeda and Isis
for all the crime that is committing so
the Israelis have nothing to lose really
but not for that they should be left
alone without being taught a harsh
lesson and the only harsh lesson is for
Israel to feel threatened by its
presence on Palestinian soil occupying
it and for that they need to feed the
heat in its infrastructure that will be
damaged in haa and T Aviv otherwise it
is in the interest of Ben nany to
continue the war waiting for Donald
Trump to return to power and give him
more free hand to kill as many more
Palestinians as
possible as a Veteran War correspondent
as a senior political risk analys
analyst here the announcement from Yemen
from the ansar movement when they struck
T Aviv and when Huda was particularly
hit by the Zionist entity was that we
will react and it will not be a limited
strike we are not like the brothers in
Iran who had of course responded to the
attack on the uh Iranian mission in
Damascus we've also seen say Hassan
nasah statement that if you dare to
enter Lebanon you will not have any
tanks left we have also had Iran after
that retaliation to the attack on its
mission in Damascus saying that the next
uh incident should there be such an
attack will not be a limited one are we
now entering a phase of the
unknown or can we somehow based on the
readings of how the resistance has been
handling the situation thus far can we
make an assessment of what the type of
reaction will be
I think the Israelis crossed all red
lines and is no longer abiding by the
rule of Engagement and because of that
uh I think the resistance and the access
of the resistant members will go in the
same way against the Israelis to bring
it back to the Rules of Engagement the
key Point here is how Israel is going to
retaliate to the
retaliation if the Israelis want an
allout War then they will go an attack
again and this is where we're going
toward the unknown yes I agree and it
will all depend on the assessment of
Netanyahu who is not facing enough
opposition domestically and the knet has
gone into a three-month holiday so he
doesn't have any opposition at the
moment for the next three month where he
can act freely
and do whatever he wants with the
Israelis but the reaction domestically
if the hit is hard enough then maybe the
society in Israel will no longer support
him as it is supporting him today but uh
unfortunately I can say the Middle East
is going a new toward a new phase where
we don't know what is going to happen in
the next days or weeks at points like
this one doesn't want to be
alarmist but we also know that West Asia
has always been a critical focal point
for the major world powers the United
States has already issued a statement in
which it says that it is ready to and
will defend in its words Israel should
there be any form of retaliation we saw
this with the Iranian strike where it
was not just the United States but even
some of the Arab regimes that were
standing ready to uh protect the Zionist
entity this also comes on the back of
the agreement that was broken by the
Chinese for Unity among the
Palestinians when we look at the region
and the developments that are now
starting to
unfold is there potential that this
could expand into something much larger
than the region and just the Zionist
entity and the resistance
Coalition it is not advantage of the
Americans to see a large War because the
Americans will not know how this is
going to end moreover the Americans have
military bases in Iraq and Syria and
have other military bases spread around
West Asia they are setting ducks for the
missiles of the access of the resistance
in case they want to actively
participate overtly to the war they
already helping Israel in offering
ammunition intelligence 2,000 of the
Delta troop are in Tel Aviv and
experienced generals are working with
the Israeli generals so we understand
that the America is involved in this war
but will America be involved even more
than it is current involvement that's
another thing because then what's going
to happen with the presidential
elections is it going to be in favor of
the Democrat that are ruling today or is
going to be counterproductive when the
black bag with American soldiers Return
To America with soldiers killed by the
aess of the resistance if the Americans
want to participate to all the Israeli
attacks against Lebanon or Iraq or Syria
or even Iran so all these are still um
question marks because it is not in
advantage to for the Americans to see
the the war is growing this is why all
the American officials will be running
toward tan indirectly to mediate and
Lebanon to ask for deescalation but it's
not going to happen
because the Americans are partners with
the Israelis and the deescalation will
not teach the Israeli a lesson next time
they will say we found a very valuble
Target that is wanted by the US and by
Israel so we are doing you Washington a
favor by eliminating this target it's
not going to work like that because if
isra Israel is not stopped then it's
going to continue the killing and the
assassination and will go even further
and Beyond assassinating top commanders
but they will go to several top
commanders to kill simultaneously so so
it is time for Israel to be stopped but
without triggering a wider war and fall
into the hand of pami nety you're tuned
into special coverage here on radio 7861
100.4 FM this in light of the
assassination by the Zionist entity of
the poit bureau chief of Hamas isah in
the early hours of this morning in the
Iranian Capital tan we also uh currently
working on some breaking news that is
coming through concerning the fate of of
the hisbah leader and Commander fad
shukar who was of course targeted in an
Israeli air strike in the southern
suburbs of Beirut last night do stay
tuned as we will be keeping you up to
date as soon as we've got exact
confirmation on those details that are
coming out at this point in time Elijah
just looking at the fact that as we've
discussed here Benjamin Netanyahu has
been looking at this expansion we've
seen the performance of the Zionist
entities occupation forces in the Gaza
Strip and its failure to achieve any of
its goals since the launch of this
latest aggression against the
Palestinian people the question then is
how would this or how could any of this
end for the Zionist regime if it if
Benjamin netan does in fact get that
expansion of this conflict bringing in
Lebanon bringing in Iran bringing in
Yemen who will say that Israel is
attacked on different fronts and that
there is no way Israel is going to go
through uh a new or an early elections
which means securing his space and his
place as a prime minister until October
2026 until the war ends this is why he's
rejecting any deal with the Palestinian
in Gaza and every time there is a
delegation he sabotage the negotiation
and he introduces new elements so for
him it is important to widen the war and
it's important for him to continue as a
prime minister otherwise he will face
charges of Corruptions and he will be
accountable for the failure of
predicting the 7th of October and
protecting the Zionist settlers
MH Elijah I'd like to just turn our
attention now to the actual strike on is
Hanah that took place in the early hours
of this morning and of course if we look
at social media uh of course do not
adhering to the standards of Journalism
or the tests and the measures that we
put in place as journalists uh to verify
information but of course the conspiracy
theories are now starting and a
suggestion that Iran somehow may have
had a hand in this assassination now I'm
not trying to give any Credence to this
but you certainly do have information
relating to some of the details at least
of how Israel carried out this attack on
ishia first of all the Iranians have
been at war with Israel since February
1979 when the Islamic Republic invited
yaser Arafat and gave him the Israeli
Embassy and became the first Embassy of
Palestine in uh Iran and the same street
was called was called and still called
the street of
philistine uh secondly the Iranians do
not interfere in other countries Affairs
but they support the access of the
resistance when they ask for the support
and according to the Iranian
Constitution
15253 the Iranians are uh offering
themsel biding themsel to support all
the oppressed people around the world
and that is as Iran supported South
Africa against the appetite regime uh
Venezuela uh the Lebanese during the
1982 Invasion uh Syria when the West
NATO was planning for a kudeta turkey
when it was against a k of against
President erogan and Iraq when Isis was
in control of Iraq and Yemen when Yemen
needed support they are the people who
ask for the support when Yer Arafat went
and signed the deal the Oslo agreement
1993 and the OS to
1995 and he was promised to to be given
a state in
1999 Iran did not take a position of an
enemy against yaser Arafat on the
contrary Iran said I am willing to
support those who want to continue to
return their land from the oppressor and
in the year 2000 yaser Arafat realized
that he was uh cheated by the Americans
and that he will never get a state for
the Palestinians so he orchestrated the
second intifada and asked Iran to be to
supply him with weapons and the Karen a
ship was arrested by the Israelis while
they were shipping weapons to the
Palestinians so they continue their
struggles when part of the Palestinians
turned against President Bashar Al Assad
in Syria Iran did not turn its back to
the Palestinians and those who remain
directed toward the liberation of
Palestine continue receiving support
from Iran because they became an organic
part of Iran and Iran an organic part of
them so they are part of the National
Security of Iran that Iran cannot do
without them and they cannot do without
Iran and they are the Frontline
defending Iran and Iran is defending
them so killing isma Hani is
counterproductive for the access of the
resistance and is giving a false
tactical Victory to Benyamin Netanyahu
the butcher the killer who is considered
a war criminal by the
IC how would Iran imagine to go and help
eni n in killing isma Han who is the
political leader and who killing as all
the non-state actors they have a
horizontal leadership where where is one
leader that is removed or assassinated
another one will be appointed and this
is what is going to happen after Friday
when Han will be buried so it is only
people who have no intelligence about
how non-state actors operate and how
their leadership operate this is not the
first time that Hamas loses a leader
Ahmed Yin was killed in the past rantisi
was killed uh so many leaders uh ayash
was killed in 96 so so many leaders of
hamash were killed and military leaders
and spiritual leaders and hamash became
stronger so killing um SM Han
significantly as strategically speaking
it doesn't offer anything to Israel but
it offer a small tactical victory
therefore there is no point in saying
well Iran contributed or not in killing
a personage that is not going to make
any difference in the course of war
against the Zionist in Palestine and in
Lebanon indeed and that's the note on
which we will leave it for this evening
Elijah Mania a brussels-based Veteran
War correspondent also senior political
risk analyst with nearly 40 years of
experience in covering West Asia thank
you very much for having joined us here
on radio 786 on the special coverage
thank you for having me
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