The Only Day Trading Strategy I Would Use If I Started Over

Carmine Rosato
11 May 202413:16

Summary

TLDRThe speaker emphasizes the importance of developing a personalized trading strategy rather than copying others. He suggests that every trader should adapt concepts like ICT, smart money, supply and demand, or order flow to their unique style. The key to success lies in consistent journaling to collect data and refine one's approach. Risk management is highlighted as the most crucial aspect, often more important than the trading strategy itself, as it ensures longevity in the market and allows traders to learn from losses.

Takeaways

  • 😀 Every trader must develop a unique trading strategy that aligns with their personal style and approach.
  • 🔍 It's important not to copy a trading strategy entirely but to adapt and make it unique to one's own personality and risk management parameters.
  • 📈 Traders should not give up on a strategy after a few trades; persistence is key, and a significant amount of trades are needed to evaluate a strategy's effectiveness.
  • 📊 Journaling and maintaining a physical database of trades is crucial for understanding patterns, emotions, and decision-making processes in trading.
  • 💡 Data collection and analysis are essential for developing an edge in trading, as they provide concrete evidence to learn from and improve upon.
  • 🏗️ Journaling is likened to building a foundation for a house; it's the base upon which a trader's edge is built through trial and error.
  • 🚫 Avoiding generic approaches is vital, as uniqueness in trading strategies is what gives them value and sets them apart from the crowd.
  • 💼 Risk management is paramount, with the speaker suggesting it might be even more important than the trading strategy itself.
  • 💰 Proper risk management allows traders to afford losses and still come out profitable, as long as the wins outweigh the losses.
  • 🤔 Traders should view losing trades as learning opportunities and business expenses, integral to the trading journey.
  • 🎯 The speaker emphasizes that being in the trading business is not about being correct all the time but about managing risk effectively for long-term success.

Q & A

  • What is the main focus of the video script?

    -The main focus of the video script is to discuss the importance of developing a unique trading strategy and the role of risk management in successful trading.

  • Why is it important for traders to develop a unique approach to their trading style?

    -It is important for traders to develop a unique approach because every individual is different, and a personalized strategy can better fit their personality, risk tolerance, and trading goals.

  • What does the speaker mean by 'Carmine Rosado strategy'?

    -The 'Carmine Rosado strategy' refers to the speaker's own personalized trading strategy, which he emphasizes is unique to him and not a generic approach that can be simply copied from others.

  • Why do traders often fail when they try to copy and paste a trading strategy?

    -Traders often fail when copying strategies because they might not consider their own risk management parameters, emotional intelligence, and personal trading style, which are crucial for the success of any strategy.

  • What is the speaker's view on the role of risk management in trading?

    -The speaker views risk management as the most important aspect of trading, even more critical than the trading strategy itself, as it helps protect traders from significant losses and ensures longevity in the market.

  • How does the speaker recommend traders develop their trading edge?

    -The speaker recommends traders develop their edge by sticking with a strategy for a significant amount of time, journaling their trades, and collecting data to analyze and refine their approach.

  • What is the significance of journaling in the process of developing a trading strategy?

    -Journaling is significant as it provides a concrete database of trades that traders can refer back to, helping them understand their strengths, weaknesses, and emotional responses to different market conditions.

  • Why is it necessary for traders to have a solid foundation in their trading strategy?

    -A solid foundation in a trading strategy is necessary because it forms the basis for consistent and repeatable trading decisions, which is crucial for long-term success in the market.

  • How does the speaker define success in trading?

    -The speaker defines success in trading as being able to manage risk effectively, learn from losses, and ultimately achieve profitability even when facing a lower win rate.

  • What is the speaker's advice for traders who are struggling with a low win rate?

    -The speaker advises traders to focus on managing their average losses compared to their wins, emphasizing that it's possible to be profitable even with a lower win rate if risk management is properly implemented.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Developing a Personal Trading Strategy

The speaker emphasizes the importance of developing a unique trading strategy that suits an individual's personality and style. They discuss the common mistake of traders trying to copy strategies without adapting them to their own needs. The speaker shares their belief that any strategy can be profitable if tailored to the trader's approach, highlighting the uniqueness of each person's trading fingerprint. They also stress the need for traders to look beyond generic strategies and to develop their own specific approach, which includes learning from others but making it their own.

05:02

📊 The Importance of Consistent Data Collection and Journaling

This paragraph focuses on the necessity of sticking with a trading strategy long enough to gather meaningful data, suggesting a minimum of one to three months. The speaker advocates for maintaining a physical database of trades, which can be in the form of written journals, screenshots, or digital platforms. They argue that data is crucial for understanding patterns, emotional responses, and the effectiveness of trading setups. The speaker likens journaling to building a solid foundation for a house, essential for developing an edge in trading and learning from both winning and losing trades through proper risk management.

10:03

🛡️ Risk Management as the Cornerstone of Successful Trading

The speaker discusses the paramount importance of risk management in trading, positioning it as more critical than the trading strategy itself. They argue that even with a well-developed edge, without proper risk management, a trader's account could be quickly depleted. The speaker shares their perspective that risk management might constitute 51% of successful trading, with the trading strategy making up the remaining 49%. They highlight the need to be comfortable with losing trades as part of the business and to view them as learning opportunities, provided risk is managed effectively. The speaker concludes by encouraging traders to focus on risk management to ensure longevity in the trading game.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Trading Strategy

A trading strategy refers to a specific approach or plan that traders use to determine when to buy or sell assets in financial markets. In the video, the speaker emphasizes that the best trading strategy is not a one-size-fits-all solution but rather a unique approach that each trader must develop based on their personal style and preferences. Examples mentioned include ICT (Institutional Cluster Theory), supply and demand, order flow, and price action.

💡ICT (Institutional Cluster Theory)

Institutional Cluster Theory (ICT) is a trading concept that focuses on identifying areas of concentrated institutional buying or selling. The speaker mentions ICT as one of the strategies that traders might learn and adapt to their own trading style, highlighting the importance of personalization rather than simply copying someone else's approach.

💡Supply and Demand

Supply and demand is a fundamental economic concept that describes the relationship between the availability of a product or service and the desire for it among consumers. In trading, this concept is used to analyze market trends and identify potential turning points. The speaker discusses combining supply and demand with order flow as part of their unique trading strategy.

💡Order Flow

Order flow in trading refers to the volume and direction of buy and sell orders in the market. It is a key factor in understanding market dynamics and can be used to predict price movements. The video emphasizes the importance of integrating order flow with other strategies like supply and demand to create a personalized trading approach.

💡Price Action

Price action is a trading approach that focuses on the study of price movements and patterns, rather than relying on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. The speaker briefly mentions price action as one of the strategies that traders might consider, but the main message is that any strategy must be adapted to fit the individual's trading style.

💡Unique Approach

A unique approach in trading means developing a personalized strategy that suits an individual's trading personality, risk tolerance, and goals. The speaker stresses that traders should not simply copy others' strategies but instead create their own by learning from various sources and adapting them to their own needs, as exemplified by the phrase 'Carmine Rosado strategy'.

💡Risk Management

Risk management in trading involves the process of identifying, analyzing, and accepting or mitigating unwanted risks. The speaker considers risk management as the most crucial aspect of trading, emphasizing that it is more important than the trading strategy itself. Proper risk management allows traders to survive losses and stay in the market long-term.

💡Journaling

Journaling in the context of trading refers to the practice of documenting trades, emotions, and decisions to analyze performance and improve trading skills. The speaker recommends journaling as a foundational step in developing a trading edge, as it helps traders understand their subconscious actions and thoughts, leading to better decision-making.

💡Edge

In trading, having an 'edge' means possessing a competitive advantage or a systematic approach that consistently produces profitable outcomes. The speaker discusses building an edge through trial and error, learning from losses, and implementing proper risk management. The emphasis is on developing a solid foundation of understanding and strategy before expecting consistent success.

💡Generic Approach

A generic approach in trading refers to using strategies or methods that are not tailored to an individual's specific needs or style. The speaker warns against adopting a generic approach, arguing that valuable and effective trading strategies are unique and require personalization. The video encourages traders to develop their own strategies by learning from others but adapting them to fit their own trading personality.

💡Emotional Intelligence

Emotional intelligence in trading is the ability to recognize, understand, and manage one's emotions and those of others in the context of trading decisions. The speaker mentions that traders cannot simply copy and paste the emotional intelligence of others, highlighting the importance of developing a personalized approach that accounts for individual emotional responses to market conditions.

Highlights

The best trading strategy is one that is unique to the individual trader.

Every trader must develop their own approach to trading, similar to a fingerprint.

Traders often fail by trying to copy and paste strategies without making them unique to themselves.

Carmine Rosado emphasizes the importance of making a strategy your own, rather than just copying others.

Many traders give up on strategies like order flow or smart money concepts too quickly without understanding why they fail.

A unique approach to trading involves looking for specific things that not many people look for.

Value in trading comes from uniqueness, not from generic strategies.

Carmine Rosado's strategy is a combination of supply and demand with order flow, tailored to his personality.

Traders should not try to copy strategies entirely but adapt them to fit their own trading style.

Risk management is crucial and should be a part of every trader's strategy.

Journaling trades is essential for developing an edge and understanding one's trading patterns.

Data collection through journaling helps in identifying the best and worst times for trading.

Physical evidence of trades is necessary for analyzing and improving trading strategies.

Journaling helps in making subconscious trading patterns conscious, leading to better decision-making.

Risk management is more important than the trading strategy itself in ensuring longevity in trading.

Proper risk management allows traders to afford being incorrect more often than being correct.

Carmine Rosado views losing trades as wins if something is learned from them and risk is managed.

Risk management is the foundation of a trading strategy, similar to the foundation of a house.

Carmine Rosado emphasizes that he is in the business of managing risk, not just trading.

Transcripts

play00:00

what do you think the best trading

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strategy is is it ICT smart money

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Concepts supply and demand order flow

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price action Fibonacci what's the best

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strategy and what strategy do you use in

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this video I want to explain in a raw

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unedited unscripted way of what I find

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to be the best trading strategy and the

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strategy that you all need to implement

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into your own trading to see a major

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difference so the first thing that I

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really want to dive deep into is

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regardless of the trading strategy that

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you use every individual Trader must

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develop a unique approach to their own

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style the way I look at the traders in

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the stock market is we are all unique in

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the sense of we are like the

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fingerprints on our hand right like my

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fingerprint will look similar to yours

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but my fingerprint will identify me as

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Carmine rosado in the same the same

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approach of the stock market you're

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going to have traders that Implement

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different strategies ICT Fibonacci

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support resistance right and what a lot

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of Traders do is they try to copy and

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paste a strategy in its entirety out of

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everybody that I know on Wall Street out

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of everybody that I know personally even

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including myself we've all developed a

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strategy like we've we've learned it

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somewhere right like you've learned ICT

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you've learned orderflow you've learned

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support and resistance you've learned

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different spreads right you've you've

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implemented other strategies but you've

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made it unique to yourself so the way I

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look at it is if you trade orderflow if

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I trade uh Supply demand combined with

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orderflow I don't look at it as I trade

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Supply demand and orderflow I look at it

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as I trade Carmine Rosado strategy what

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a lot of Traders do is they try to trade

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orderflow and it doesn't work out for

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them after one trade or two trades and

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they give up on the concept of orderflow

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or they try smart money Concepts they

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try it for a week maybe they had one or

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two good winning trades and then the

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rest were all losing traits but then

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they give it up without trying to debunk

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what was going wrong and without trying

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to scale it up because they made the

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mistake of using it in a very generic

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approach what I recommend everybody and

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even including myself like if you go

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back and look at all my setups it's very

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unique and I look for specific things

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that not a lot of people look for and

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that's the goal with trading is

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developing a unique approach and not

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being so generic a lot of Traders now

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with days and you know I was victim to

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this when I first started out trading

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was I was looking for generic ways to

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make money and anything worth wild

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you're not going to find being generic

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things that are very valuable you could

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look at homes being over a million

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dollars you could look at artwork right

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cars anything that's super valuable is

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not going to be generic it's going to be

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very unique because that uniqueness is

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what gives that item or the uniqueness

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is what gives that trading Str strategy

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it's value so if you learn

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hypothetically speaking ICT or orderflow

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or Supply Demand right don't try to copy

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the rules entirety of whoever the guy

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you just watched on YouTube was saying

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to do you need to develop it unique to

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your own approach which fits your

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personality so I'm a firm believer that

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you can make money with any single

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trading strategy it's not the strategy

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it's the trader so what you have to do

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and this is what I recommend if I had to

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go back and start over was I would have

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it in the back of my mind that I need to

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develop a unique strategy influenced by

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other things that I have learned so

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let's say you go and you learn how to

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use supply and demand combined with

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orderflow which is exactly how I treat

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right I'm going to learn from Carmine

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Rosado but I know Carmine Rosado has a

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unique personality and he's going to

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treade a little differently than I trade

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right it's not copying carine and Rosado

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it's not copying supply and demand and

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orderflow in its entirety it's

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developing his Concepts and adapting it

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to your own trading right like if you

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copy somebody if I go on Wall Street and

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copy somebody's trades or copy exactly

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why he buys and sells without putting an

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influence on risk management he might be

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the guy that makes money and I might be

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the guy that loses money why is that we

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all have different personalities and we

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all have this different riskmanagement

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parameters so that's why trying to copy

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and paste will never work out because

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not only do you you can't copy and paste

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emotional intelligence but you can't

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copy and paste risk parameters the guy

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on Wall Street might have a 50,000 or

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$50 million account he's trading with

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versus you you might be trading on A1

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th000 account right so you have to

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compensate for emotions and you have to

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compensate for risk management which is

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why copy and paste trading will never

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work out and this is why making the

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strategy unique to you based off of your

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own unique self the fingerprint on your

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hand is going to be different than mine

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but they're going to be similar in a way

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that we could take influences and make

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them uh similar in the way that we can

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conform it to our own self and our own

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rules now how to develop this Edge

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number one is stick with the strategy

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for at least in my opinion you need a a

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numerous amount of Trades you can't do

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it for a day and give up on a strategy

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because you took a losing trade on it

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right you can't supply and demand or

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order flow for 3 days have one winning

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trade and three other losing trades and

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give up on it because you took losses

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right every strategy is going to have a

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loss what I recommend everybody to do is

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have at least a minimum of one to three

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months on a minimum of collecting data

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with a strategy right how are we going

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to collect data number one we need to

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journal hour trades we need to have a

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physical database we need to have

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concrete evidence whether it's writing

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on paper

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whether it's taking screenshots on our

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phone whether it's using a journaling

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platform on a computer we need to have a

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physical database that we can go back

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and reference to and say okay at 9:30 to

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10:00 Eastern that's when I take the

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worst trades and when 11:00 to noon

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comes I'm trading better in the

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afternoon right we'll be able to dissect

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what not only the time the type of setup

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how our emotions were but we're just

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going to have a physical database that

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we can go back and reference to

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you cannot deny data data does not lie

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so if you're using a strategy for maybe

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a month right and you have a 5% uh win

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rate okay so now we have to look back at

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is it the strategy or is it my emotions

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what is it right and the only real way

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that we're going to be able to narrow it

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down is if we have physical evidence in

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front of our faces people try to skip

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this step and Traders try to try to

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avoid the whole journaling aspect and

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they think that they'll just be able to

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figure it out in their head they there's

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so many things that get processed on a

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subconscious level and by having a

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journal or having things in front of you

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will'll put subconscious Concepts on a

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conscious level and us being able to

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read subconscious things consciously

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will enable us to figure out what's not

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working what to stop doing more of and

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what to start doing a lot more of and

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scaling it up so besides journaling this

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is how you develop your Edge right you

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cannot develop your Edge you can't build

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a house with without a solid foundation

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a house what first gets built when you

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build a new home is the foundation right

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then you build everything around it you

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you frame the house you do the siding

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you do the roof right you do everything

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inside but most importantly the first

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thing that gets done is the foundation

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of the house and look at journaling or

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look at collecting data as the

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foundation and an edge or a house cannot

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be built without a strong foundation and

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the foundation to your trading is a

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solid strategy that you can go back and

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repeat consistently on a daily basis and

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the only way we can do this is through

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journaling and being conscious of our

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subconscious actions and our

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subconscious thoughts it's all about

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putting the conscious together and this

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is how we develop our Edge through trial

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and error through screen time through

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having losing trades and learning from

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those losses the best trades you're

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going to ever take in your journey

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especially when you're beginning and and

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trying to build a system the best trades

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you will ever take are your losing ones

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so when you lose you need to implement

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proper risk management that way you

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could absorb the losses and be okay with

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losing yet still take a lesson out of it

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I made a video on this before about how

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I win 100% of the time and it's not

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clickbait it's not me lying like you can

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win 100% of the time if you take a

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losing trade and you take something out

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of it while you are managing your risk I

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may not profit all the time I may not

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take money out of the market 100% of the

play08:57

time but I look at losing trades as wins

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if I learn something and I take

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something out of it and the only way we

play09:03

can do that is implementing proper risk

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management so risk management and Edge

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development are kind of synonymous

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because if you don't Implement proper

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risk

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management while you're developing and

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building your Edge then that's when

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you're going to deplete your account

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faster and it's just going to be just a

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slow burn or a big cut a small cut that

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turns into a bigger cut uh so risk

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management and Edge building are

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synonymous that when you're building

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your edges and when you're building your

play09:32

system you need to implement proper risk

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management that way you can collect a

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database of 50 trades 100 trades that

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way when you do lose you're not losing a

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lot because you're implementing that

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proper risk management system so

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regardless of trading strategy

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regardless of building your Edge risk

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management in my opinion especially once

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the edge is built is the most important

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trading strategy that you could use it's

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not Carmine Rosado strategy it's not

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order it's not supply demand price

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action it's your risk management system

play10:03

because without risk management we're

play10:04

not Traders we're not in the business to

play10:07

be correct all the time in fact when

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people ask me what do I do for a living

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I tell them I'm a risk manager I never

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tell them I'm a Trader they say hey

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Carmon you know what do you what do you

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do for a living I'm a risk manager I'm

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in the business to manage risk so not

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only developing your Edge you have to

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manage your risk but when you have that

play10:24

edge you also have to manage your risk

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because you're going to have those

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losing trades there's times where I'll

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take three four five losing trades in a

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row right but if you implement proper

play10:33

risk management let's say your losses

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are 500 bucks 1,000 bucks if you

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implement proper risk management coupled

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with a solid trading strategy three

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losses five losses are not going to mean

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anything compared to one two wins right

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and that's why risk management is the

play10:49

number one important aspect because it

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will keep us in this game for longevity

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we are in this game to be here for a

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while right and the only way we're going

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to be here to stay is if we protect

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losses when we are incorrect so for me

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and a lot of people may disagree with

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this and I'm totally up for

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discussion I find the risk management to

play11:09

to be maybe 51% of trading and a trading

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strategy being

play11:15

49% of of successful trading right

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strategy is very important but I find

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risk management to be a little more

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important than a strategy itself now

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some might argue with that that if you

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don't have a strategy no risk management

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will save you and that's correct but the

play11:30

only way you're going to be able to

play11:31

develop a trading strategy and learn

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through trial and error is actually

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having real skin in the game right and

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when you don't have a strategy you're

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especially going to lose a lot more

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right but the only thing that will keep

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you there is the risk management and

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that's why I've made risk management

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51% and trading Edge or building a

play11:49

system at 49% right I find risk

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management to be way more important than

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a trading Edge or a trading system and

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uh if if you can focus on that whether

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you're in the stages of developing an

play12:02

edge whether you're in the stages of you

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have an edge but your losses are a lot

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higher um you know we're not in the

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business to be correct in fact this

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month I have a 45% win rate which people

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would look and say hey he has under a

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50% win rate you know he he doesn't know

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what he's doing but if you look at my

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average losses to my average wins my

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average losses are nothing compared to

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my wins and that's how I like

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positioning myself right so regardless

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of strategy Supply demand ICT smart

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money Concepts if you can Implement

play12:33

proper risk management you can afford to

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be incorrect more than you are correct

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yet still come out green and yet still

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come out profitable and that's try how

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how I try to position myself is I try to

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not say that I want to be incorrect but

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I don't mind losing anymore and I've

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accepted it because I know it's a

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business expense I know it's a part of

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the game but I'm not fearful of of

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taking a setup that I lose out on

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because I know my next winning trade

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will completely outweigh two or three

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losing trades if I Implement proper risk

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management um so that's pretty much all

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I have if you have any questions if you

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have any comments let me know down below

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if you got any value out of this

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subscribe to my channel and uh I will

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see you all in the next one

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