Option Selling Strategies | Strangle and Iron Condor

Learning Markets With Manish
9 Apr 202214:21

Summary

TLDRThis video script delves into the strategy of option selling, specifically the 'Strangle' technique. It emphasizes the high probability of profit for option sellers compared to buyers, highlighting a 90% chance of success due to the nature of out-of-the-money options. The speaker promises a series of videos to explain effective option selling, discussing risk management and the benefits of the 'Iron Condor' strategy. The script also touches on the importance of the compound effect for long-term wealth accumulation, recommending the book 'Compound Effect' for further insight and offering a discount code for an audiobook platform.

Takeaways

  • 📈 The script discusses the 'Strangle' strategy in options trading, emphasizing its effectiveness for those with jobs and salaries.
  • 📚 The speaker plans to release a series of 7-8 videos on option selling to explain the basics and management strategies in detail.
  • 💰 The probability of profit for option sellers is highlighted as being significantly higher (90%) compared to option buyers (10%).
  • 🔢 The concept of 'Probability of Profit' is introduced, suggesting that option selling has a higher chance of profit due to the nature of out-of-the-money options.
  • 🌱 The importance of the 'Compound Effect' is stressed, advocating for slow and steady wealth accumulation over time rather than seeking quick riches.
  • 📘 The speaker recommends the book 'Compound Effect' for further understanding, with a suggestion to listen to its summary on KUKU FM for those who prefer audio.
  • 🎧 KUKU FM is presented as a platform for audiobooks and book summaries, with a special discount code 'LM50' for Learning Markets users.
  • 🤔 The script explains the difference between a 'Strangle' and an 'Iron Condor', with the latter involving additional hedging to define risk more clearly.
  • 📊 A detailed example is given on how to calculate and execute a Strangle strategy, including considerations for market swings and strike prices.
  • 🚫 The script warns against the unlimited risk associated with Strangle if not managed properly, advising on exit strategies to limit losses.
  • 🛠 The use of 'Greeks' in options trading is introduced, explaining how they can help in choosing appropriate strike prices and managing risk.

Q & A

  • What is the main topic discussed in the video script?

    -The main topic discussed in the script is the concept of option selling, specifically the 'Strangle' strategy, and how to manage it in the context of stock market trading.

  • What is the 'Strangle' strategy in options trading?

    -The 'Strangle' strategy involves selling out-of-the-money call and put options simultaneously, with the expectation that the underlying asset's price will stay within a certain range, allowing the options to expire worthless and the seller to keep the premium.

  • Why are option sellers more likely to be profitable compared to option buyers according to the script?

    -Option sellers have a higher probability of profit, estimated at 90%, because they benefit from the time decay of options and the fact that out-of-the-money options are less likely to end in-the-money compared to the 10% chance for option buyers.

  • What is the compound effect mentioned in the script, and how is it related to option selling?

    -The compound effect refers to the process of growing wealth gradually over time through the accumulation of small profits. In the context of option selling, it means consistently making small profits from selling options, which over time can significantly increase one's capital.

  • What is KUKU FM, and how does it relate to the script's discussion on the compound effect?

    -KUKU FM is an audiobook and book summary platform where listeners can access thousands of audiobooks and summaries. The script suggests listening to the book summary of 'Compound Effect' on KUKU FM to understand how accumulating small amounts of money over time can lead to significant wealth.

  • What is the difference between a 'Strangle' and an 'Iron Condor' as mentioned in the script?

    -The difference between a 'Strangle' and an 'Iron Condor' is that an 'Iron Condor' adds 1-2 legs of hedging to the 'Strangle' strategy, which helps to define the risk more clearly and manage the trade more effectively.

  • How does the script suggest managing risk in the 'Strangle' strategy?

    -The script suggests managing risk by setting a maximum loss level, adjusting the trade by buying options to hedge, and exiting positions when the market moves unfavorably to limit potential losses while maximizing profits.

  • What is the significance of the delta in the context of the 'Strangle' strategy discussed in the script?

    -Delta represents the sensitivity of an option's price to changes in the underlying asset's price. In the 'Strangle' strategy, sellers look for options with lower delta values (e.g., 0.2 or 0.25) to write, as these options are less likely to be affected by small price movements, providing more time to react before the options become profitable for the buyer.

  • How does the script describe the process of adjusting a 'Strangle' trade to maximize returns?

    -The script describes adjusting a 'Strangle' trade by buying back the call option if the market moves upwards and leaving the put option, or vice versa if the market moves downwards. This dynamic adjustment helps to fix the loss on one side while potentially profiting from the other.

  • What advice does the script give regarding the frequency and consistency of option selling to grow capital?

    -The script advises to perform option selling consistently, adding small profits over time, which can then be used to increase the quantity of options sold. This approach allows for compounding capital growth, with the potential to increase the quantity of options sold every 1.5 to 2 months.

Outlines

00:00

📈 Introduction to Option Selling Strategies

The speaker introduces the concept of option selling, emphasizing its higher probability of profit compared to option buying. They mention an upcoming series of 7-8 videos that will cover the basics of option selling, management of adverse market conditions, and the differences between strangle and iron condor strategies. The importance of the compound effect in growing wealth slowly over time is highlighted, along with a recommendation to listen to 'The Compound Effect' summary on KUKU FM for more insights.

05:03

🔄 Detailed Calculation of Strangle Strategy

The speaker explains the strangle strategy using the Nifty index, detailing the margin requirements and potential risks. They discuss the market's support and resistance levels, emphasizing the importance of analyzing swing highs and lows. The example shows a practical approach to selling options at different strike prices and calculating the margin requirements, risks, and potential profits.

10:04

⚖️ Adjusting and Maximizing Strangle Strategy

This section covers adjustments to the strangle strategy to minimize risk and maximize returns. The speaker introduces buying options at different strike prices to hedge the position, which reduces margin requirements and fixes potential losses. They explain the importance of monitoring the delta and adjusting positions based on market movements. The strategy's profitability is analyzed, and the benefits of compounding returns over time are discussed.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Strangle Strategy

The 'Strangle Strategy' is an options trading technique where a trader sells out-of-the-money call and put options simultaneously, expecting the underlying asset's price to remain stable within a certain range. In the video, the speaker discusses this strategy as a way to profit from a market that is not expected to move significantly, emphasizing its high probability of profit due to the nature of option selling.

💡Option Selling

Option selling refers to the act of selling financial options contracts to buyers, where the seller has the obligation to fulfill the terms of the contract if the buyer decides to exercise the option. The video focuses on the benefits of option selling over buying, highlighting the higher probability of profit for sellers due to the statistical likelihood of options expiring out of the money.

💡Compound Effect

The 'Compound Effect' is a financial concept that describes the process of accumulating wealth over time through the reinvestment of earnings, leading to exponential growth. The speaker mentions a book on this topic and emphasizes that successful option selling involves growing capital slowly over time, which aligns with the compound effect principle.

💡KUKU FM

KUKU FM is mentioned as an audiobook and book summary platform where listeners can access summaries of various books, including one on the compound effect. The speaker suggests using this platform for those who may not have the time to read, providing a code for a discount, which illustrates the practical application of learning tools in financial education.

💡Iron Condor

An 'Iron Condor' is an options trading strategy that involves selling a strangle and simultaneously buying in-the-money call and put options to limit the risk. The script differentiates between a strangle and an iron condor by explaining that the latter includes additional 'legs of hedging,' thereby defining the risk more clearly for the trader.

💡Delta

In options trading, 'Delta' measures the sensitivity of an option's price to a $1 change in the price of the underlying asset. The speaker uses delta to explain how option sellers can gauge the potential movement of the market and make decisions on when to adjust their positions, as the delta values change as the underlying asset's price approaches the strike price.

💡Margin Requirement

The 'Margin Requirement' is the amount of capital that must be set aside by an investor as a guarantee for trades, particularly in options selling. The script discusses how the margin requirement for selling both call and put options is less than for selling a single option, which can be a strategic consideration for traders.

💡At the Money

An option is considered 'At the Money' when its strike price is equal to the current market price of the underlying asset. The video script contrasts the probability of profit for option buyers and sellers, noting that there are fewer chances for buyers to be at the money, which affects the likelihood of profit.

💡Out of the Money

An 'Out of the Money' option is one where the strike price is not advantageous compared to the current market price of the underlying asset. The speaker highlights that selling out-of-the-money options has a higher probability of profit for sellers, as there is a greater likelihood that these options will expire worthless.

💡Greeks

In options trading, 'Greeks' are a set of mathematical calculations used to measure the risk of an options position. The script mentions Greeks in the context of choosing strike prices for selling options, indicating how these metrics can help traders understand the potential impact of market movements on their positions.

💡Sensibull

Sensibull is a trading platform that provides options for trading and analyzing financial instruments. The speaker refers to Sensibull when discussing how to view the delta of an option, which is a key metric for traders using the platform to make informed decisions about their options selling strategies.

Highlights

Introduction to the Strangle strategy for those with jobs and salaries, emphasizing its quiet follow-through.

Explanation request on how to write and manage Strangles, especially in adverse market conditions.

Announcement of a new series of 7-8 videos on option selling basics.

Discussion on the probability of profit in option selling versus buying, highlighting a 90% chance for sellers.

Emphasis on the importance of the compound effect in growing wealth slowly over time.

Recommendation to read or listen to summaries of the book 'Compound Effect' for financial growth insights.

Introduction of KUKU FM as a platform for audiobook summaries, with a special discount code for users.

Detailed explanation of the Strangle strategy, including risk management and profit probability.

Definition and explanation of the Iron Condor as a variation of the Strangle with added hedging.

Market analysis approach based on the assumption of limited market swings for setting Strangle levels.

Technique of using index charts to identify swing highs and lows for Strangle strategy setup.

Calculation of margin requirements for selling options and the benefits of selling both call and put options.

Risk assessment of the Strangle strategy, including unlimited loss potential and the importance of exit strategies.

Use of Greeks, specifically delta, to determine optimal strike prices for Strangle strategy.

Adjustment strategy to maximize returns and minimize risks in option selling.

Fixed loss and profit potential with the adjusted Strangle strategy using additional option buying.

The concept of gradually increasing trade size to compound profits over time.

Guidance on using delta values to decide when to exit positions in the Strangle strategy.

Encouragement to like the video for more informative content on option selling strategies.

Transcripts

play00:01

When we had uploaded the video last week

play00:03

The people having job and salary

play00:05

They should quitely follow the Strangle strategy

play00:10

Many people responded that

play00:11

Sir explain one time in detail

play00:14

That how can we write strangles

play00:16

And how can we manage it

play00:20

Incase if market is adverse

play00:22

So now I am starting selling series also

play00:25

I am going to do 7-8 videos in option selling series

play00:29

So I will explain you all the basic things

play00:31

So that you can do option selling in an effective way

play00:33

And why are people becoming successful in option selling

play00:37

And why options buyers are not being successful

play00:39

See there is one thing called probability of profit

play00:42

Probability of profit of option buyers

play00:45

Is less

play00:46

There are 10% chance that

play00:48

You will be in profit

play00:49

But option sellers

play00:50

Probability of profit is 90%

play00:52

Why?

play00:53

Because in option buying

play00:55

There are less chances in at the money strike price

play00:57

That you may not earn

play00:58

But in option selling

play01:00

There are very much chances in out of the money options

play01:03

And there is 90% probability

play01:06

That you may earn money

play01:07

So now we will discuss that in detail

play01:08

And with option selling

play01:10

No one can become millionaire in a day

play01:12

Understand this first

play01:13

Slowly slowly over a period of time

play01:15

Your money increases slowly

play01:18

Which we called as compound effect

play01:20

Now see there a book also on compound effect

play01:24

In detailed

play01:25

You read that book

play01:27

It is very good

play01:27

But if you cannot read that book

play01:29

Then you can listen the book summary of that book

play01:30

On KUKU FM

play01:31

KUKU FM is a leading audiobook

play01:34

And is a book summary platform

play01:35

Where you can listen thousands of audio book and book summary

play01:39

But definitely listen compound effect

play01:41

It will tell you how slowly

play01:43

By gathering one one penny

play01:45

You can grow your money

play01:47

So always take care

play01:49

That we cannot grow money in one day

play01:52

You will have to grow money slowly

play01:54

You will get the link of KUKU FM in description

play01:58

You use our code

play02:00

LM50

play02:01

Learning Markets 50

play02:03

With that you will get 50% off

play02:05

And it is valid for first 250 users

play02:07

Now we will come on our Strangle discussion

play02:10

See what is strangle

play02:14

I will tell you about strangle and iron condor also

play02:16

I will tell you both the things

play02:17

So that from that you can understand

play02:18

That how you can manage your risk

play02:20

And we will know what will be the maximum loss

play02:22

And what will be the probability of profit

play02:24

We will discuss in detail right now

play02:26

So see

play02:27

What is iron condor

play02:28

You add some legs of hedge in strangle

play02:32

What is its benefit that also I will explain you

play02:35

So the difference between iron condor and strangle is

play02:37

That you add 1-2 legs of hedging

play02:40

So we call it as iron condor

play02:42

So basically it is a strangle

play02:43

In which your risk is defined

play02:47

Now we will come on discussion of strangle

play02:51

Suppose, right now market

play02:52

Yesterday closed on 17800

play02:55

Now you know that

play02:57

If market has closed on 17800

play03:00

Then there are a lot of chances

play03:02

That market will not swing more than 300-400 in a week

play03:07

Fine

play03:09

So you think that market will not swing more than 300-400 points

play03:11

That you assume

play03:12

So on the basis of that assumptions

play03:15

Now we will try to do detailed calculations

play03:19

And that try is how much effective

play03:22

That also I will try to explain you

play03:24

And slowly slowly

play03:25

We will compound money

play03:27

Then only you will have a big capital

play03:29

And then from that big capital

play03:30

You can do big option selling

play03:32

And with that capital will multiply more

play03:34

This thing is only compound effect

play03:35

Now we will come

play03:37

See, suppose I want to write strangle

play03:40

So, I came on this

play03:43

Now when I want to write strangle

play03:46

Then what I want to do

play03:49

First I will see index is at what level

play03:52

Right, so now

play03:53

I will do one thing

play03:54

I will open index chart

play03:56

So if you will come in the index chart

play03:59

What will you see

play04:00

Swing high, swing low

play04:01

You will see

play04:02

Now we will open Nifty chart

play04:04

Then we will see

play04:05

Now this is Nifty chart

play04:08

If you will see

play04:10

Market has taken 3 times rejection form 18080

play04:13

So you can assume this level as a hurdle

play04:16

So what was the strike price near 18080

play04:20

18100

play04:21

I am taking decision

play04:22

So when I will sit to do option selling for next week

play04:25

Then in option selling first I will think

play04:28

18100 is swing high

play04:31

And I have to be safe from that

play04:33

So I will first see 18100

play04:35

What is the price of CE

play04:36

18100 CE

play04:38

We will make it market

play04:42

And we will make it overnight

play04:43

And we will sell it

play04:46

So I have added it

play04:48

Now what is the margin requirement I can see

play04:51

91000

play04:52

This margin requirement because it is high

play04:54

To sell 1 lot also this much is required

play04:55

So many people don't do it

play04:57

But now I will show you this in a different way

play04:59

Now see what is swing low

play05:03

Market has taken good momentum from around 17500

play05:06

And market has taken hold at 17650

play05:10

So we can assume that for that day

play05:12

17500 is a good support

play05:14

Right

play05:15

So now we will come on 17500

play05:18

So 17500

play05:21

13th march PE

play05:24

We want to sell this

play05:25

Market overnight

play05:28

Ok

play05:33

So we have to add this

play05:35

Now we have done sell for both

play05:37

What is the margin requirement to sell both

play05:39

108000

play05:41

If we are selling of both the sides

play05:43

Then the margin requirement is less

play05:45

This is clear

play05:47

When we are selling 1 then 93000 was required

play05:49

When we are selling both the side then 112000- 111000

play05:52

It can be done

play05:53

But if we analyse this

play05:57

Then what risk you can see

play05:59

If we analyse this

play06:01

Then the risk you will see

play06:02

And then you will say, sir this is not a good strategy

play06:09

Now you see what is the probability of maximum profit

play06:12

3000/-

play06:13

So in 1 week on 1 lakh, 3000 is the maximum probability

play06:16

But how much is the risk

play06:19

Unlimited

play06:20

But how much is the probability of profit

play06:22

75

play06:23

and no one

play06:24

That you wait till unlimited

play06:27

If market

play06:29

Starts increasing

play06:31

Suppose it went upto 18200-18300

play06:34

Or if it went upto 18050

play06:36

Then you start to exit

play06:37

No one has told you that

play06:39

You wait till unlimited risk

play06:40

If at 18050 also, suppose

play06:42

I do it 18080

play06:46

On 18080 also

play06:48

If expiry is there

play06:50

Then your loss will limit to 1000

play06:53

So if you are going to 18080 also

play06:55

Then you know that you can exit

play06:56

And this is just for monday

play06:59

If we hold at expiry

play07:00

Then in 18080 also

play07:01

You will get some profit

play07:03

Right, until market is not coming out of 18162

play07:07

And does not go out of 17437

play07:09

You will not go in loss

play07:10

Now if I do this 18180

play07:12

Then you will have some loss

play07:15

Then you will have loss of around 1000

play07:17

So what do you mean by this

play07:18

You are safe up to 100 points extra

play07:20

What is the meaning of 100 points extra

play07:21

See, 35 point and 26 point

play07:24

This point you are getting

play07:25

You are gettin 61 points

play07:27

So on both the side

play07:28

61-62 points of 18100

play07:30

And 17500 of 60-61 points

play07:34

You are safe

play07:35

So you will get time to make decision

play07:37

Plus Nifty does not run 200 points in 1 minute

play07:40

Bank Nifty can run

play07:41

Nifty does not run that much

play07:43

So you will get time to adjust

play07:45

And if the day is very bad then no problem

play07:46

But it will be 1-2 times in a year

play07:48

Remaining time you will have 75% chances

play07:51

To make profit

play07:51

Now I will show you Greeks

play07:53

That why I have chosen this strike prices

play07:55

These greeks

play07:58

This is showing -50

play08:00

On expiry

play08:01

But If I

play08:03

Wait

play08:06

If I

play08:08

I come at 2 days to expiry

play08:10

On 11th April

play08:11

Then its delta is 0.36

play08:14

If our combined delta is 0.36

play08:17

Then, and now we will come on current price

play08:22

I will reset this

play08:24

So if I reset this

play08:27

Then technically there is no delta in this

play08:31

Right

play08:32

Because, it is a bit far

play08:34

But there is some delta

play08:36

If I increase it by 30-40-50 points

play08:40

Then you will see the real effect of delta

play08:41

It came near 0.4

play08:43

Now I will take it upto 18000

play08:46

It came up to 0.3

play08:48

What does this mean

play08:49

It came up to 0.2-0.3

play08:51

It means that now delta effect has started woking

play08:53

Means, how much time you are getting

play08:55

In delta effect coming

play08:56

If the market is at 17800-17900

play08:58

Then delta is not working at all

play08:59

It reached near 18000

play09:02

Delta started to work that also slow

play09:05

What does this mean

play09:06

You will benefit

play09:08

If market will run very fast also

play09:10

Then slowly slowly

play09:12

You will get time to adjust

play09:14

You will get time to think and understand

play09:15

Market will not run at a time

play09:16

So this effect of delta

play09:17

You have to take care

play09:18

But, you for this 3000 you took risk of 1,00,000

play09:24

But now I will tell you an adjustment in this

play09:28

Due to which you can maximize the return

play09:30

Now what we will do

play09:33

Nifty 18300 CE

play09:37

We will buy

play09:39

Fine

play09:42

We are getting in 11 rupees

play09:43

I have added this

play09:47

And

play09:50

Nifty 17300 PE

play09:58

I have added this also

play09:59

Now you see what is the margin requirement

play10:01

42000-43000

play10:03

We require 46000 to execute this trade

play10:06

And margin requirement comes to 46000

play10:09

So you saw that

play10:11

You will be able to write 1 lot

play10:13

Now we will see probability of profit in this

play10:15

Which we had seen

play10:17

Because you are also buying option

play10:20

So there is some less percent chances of profit

play10:26

Now you see

play10:27

Your maximum loss is fix, 8000

play10:29

Now what is the maximum profit

play10:32

2000 rupees

play10:33

So your profit is fixed 2000

play10:35

And loss is fixed at 8000

play10:38

So now our maximum loss can be 8000

play10:41

But when this will happen

play10:42

When you will leave this open

play10:45

That let whatever happen

play10:47

Sometimes we do this

play10:48

That we will see whatever happens

play10:50

If you will leave that then also your loss is limited to 8000

play10:53

And you have earned 2000 in 42000

play10:56

How much you had earned at 1,00,000

play10:58

You had earned 3000 rupees on 1,00,000

play11:01

Now, if we increase this

play11:03

We will increase the quantity

play11:05

We will make all 2 lots

play11:10

So if we will make all of them 2 lot

play11:12

Then we, roughly in same margin

play11:16

Roughly in 92000 margin

play11:20

How much will we earn

play11:32

Around 3900

play11:33

That means in 92000 margin we are earning 4000

play11:36

Fine, and this I am recording today on saturday

play11:40

And this is expiry

play11:41

This time on wednesday only

play11:44

If the expiry is till thursday

play11:45

Then these premiums are a bit more

play11:47

And that bit more premiums

play11:49

Gives you some more return

play11:50

So your loss is fixed

play11:52

Your profit is fixed

play11:54

And after that as slowly slowly

play11:55

Your levels will come

play11:57

If you are afraid

play11:58

Then think of leaving

play11:59

If you think market has reached 18001

play12:03

Then we should exit

play12:04

Then you exit from call side

play12:06

Leave put side

play12:07

Return will keep on coming on put side

play12:08

You exit call side

play12:09

So in this way

play12:12

You can fix your loss

play12:14

And you can maximize the profit

play12:16

And one can do according to his capital

play12:18

And this every week

play12:20

If you will add 3000

play12:21

You will be able to increase the quantity

play12:24

You will be able to increase quantity after every 1.5 month

play12:26

After 2 months

play12:28

You will be able to do 3 quantity

play12:29

After its 1 month

play12:30

You will be able to do 4 quantity

play12:31

You will be able to increase the quantity every month

play12:33

So this is the first benefit of option selling

play12:36

I have told you the simplest strategy

play12:38

Which option sellers use

play12:40

Where you have to see delta

play12:42

I will tell you where you need to see delta

play12:45

And generally, option sellers

play12:47

0.2 delta

play12:49

0.25 delta

play12:50

Write options

play12:51

Those who strangle

play12:53

Write 0.2 or 0.25 delta

play12:56

Now how they see

play12:57

I will tell you

play12:58

Nifty 18100 CE

play13:01

Fine

play13:02

Now in this

play13:07

I will go in option chain

play13:08

See

play13:11

Whenever you will see

play13:13

In this

play13:14

Then in sensibull generally

play13:16

Delta is not normally given

play13:17

But over here

play13:18

You will click delta

play13:19

You will be able to see delta

play13:20

Now you notice

play13:22

Then 18100 about which we were talking

play13:25

How much is the delta of 18100, it is 0.21

play13:27

How much is the delts of 17500, it is 0.15

play13:29

What does this mean

play13:30

This means that

play13:31

Index will move 100 points

play13:34

Then this will move 20-21 points

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And on put side

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It will move 100 point

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Then this delta will move 15-16 points

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There is soe gamma effect also

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So delta increases fast

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But overall you will get time to think

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Because Nifty takes time to increase 100-150 points

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Suppose, it increases 1 candle sometimes

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But our that day is bad

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Right

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So it will increase slowly

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You will be able to adjust in the slow increase

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Even if you will not be able to adjust

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Then atleast call side

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Suppose call side is increasing

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Then if market is going upwards

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Then you exit call side

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Leave put side

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Now if put side is increasing

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Then keep call side, and exit put side

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So anyone side will give you return

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If you will keep on doing this slowly

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Then over a period of time

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Money will compound slowly

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If you liked the video

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Then Like it

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Options TradingStrangle StrategyRisk ManagementProfit ProbabilityCompound EffectInvestment AdviceMarket AnalysisFinancial EducationInvestment StrategyOption Selling
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