美國2024年總統選舉, 誰對台灣比較有利？川普還是拜登？Who is better for Taiwan in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

Summary

In this video, the host discusses the upcoming U.S. presidential election between Biden and Trump, its implications for Taiwan, and the unique challenges each candidate presents. The host explores the U.S. electoral system, including the Electoral College and the influence of independent voters. They analyze Trump's unpredictability and Biden's perceived weakness, concluding that while both have flaws, Biden might offer a safer option for Taiwan. The video also touches on third-party candidates and the potential impact on the election outcome.

Takeaways

• 🗳️ The upcoming U.S. election is a rematch between Biden and Trump, with significant implications for both America and Taiwan.
• 🎥 The speaker is reluctant to discuss the election due to embarrassment and frustration but feels compelled to do so due to its global impact.
• 🦈 Sponsored content features Surfshark VPN, highlighting its use for accessing geo-restricted content and internet security features.
• 🐘🐪 The two main U.S. political parties are symbolized by an elephant (Republicans) and a donkey (Democrats), with red and blue as their respective colors.
• 📊 The U.S. election system involves the Electoral College, which allocates votes based on state populations but with an uneven ratio, potentially discounting individual votes.
• 🤔 The speaker identifies as an independent voter and notes that a significant portion of the U.S. voting population either doesn't vote or is independent.
• 💪 Trump's presidency was characterized by a tough stance on China, initiating tariffs and challenging the status quo, but his unpredictability and loyalty-over-competence approach caused issues.
• 🔬 Biden's administration continued Trump's policies against China, especially in high-tech sectors, and has shown a more functional and competent approach, with a stronger military presence around Taiwan.
• 🕊️ Biden has expressed a commitment to defend Taiwan against a Chinese attack, aligning with traditional U.S. policies and maintaining strong relationships with regional allies.
• 👨‍👦 Biden's son Hunter has legal issues and a controversial personal life, which could potentially impact Biden's image.
• 👴 Both candidates face age-related concerns, with health and vitality being a factor in their ability to serve effectively.
• 🏆 The speaker predicts that Biden has an edge in the election due to independent voters' preferences and the impact of a third-party candidate, Robert F Kennedy Jr.

Q & A

What is the main topic of the video?

The main topic of the video is the upcoming U.S. presidential election, focusing on the potential candidates, how the election process works, and the implications for Taiwan.

Who is the sponsor of the video and what do they offer?

The sponsor of the video is Surfshark VPN, which offers internet security tools including a VPN service, virus scanners, and ad blockers.

Why does the video creator feel embarrassed and frustrated about making this video?

The video creator feels embarrassed and frustrated because they do not enjoy discussing the U.S. election, but they feel compelled to do so due to its impact on America and Taiwan.

What are the two main political parties in the United States mentioned in the video?

The two main political parties in the United States mentioned are the Republicans, symbolized by an elephant and associated with the color red, and the Democrats, symbolized by a donkey and associated with the color blue.

What is the significance of the Electoral College in U.S. presidential elections?

The Electoral College is a system where each state has a certain number of electoral votes, and the candidate who wins the majority of votes in a state gets all of that state's electoral votes. This system can result in a candidate winning the presidency without winning the popular vote.

How did Trump's presidency affect U.S.-China relations?

Trump's presidency was characterized by a tough stance on China, including initiating tariffs and starting a trade war. He was also unpredictable and did not adhere to the traditional one China policy.

What is Biden's stance on China compared to Trump's?

Biden has continued the tough stance on China initiated by Trump, doubling down on the trade war, especially concerning high-tech industries like semiconductors. However, Biden follows traditional U.S. policies and relies more on his staff for decision-making.

What are some of the issues surrounding Trump's and Biden's candidacies?

Trump faces legal issues as a convicted felon with multiple indictments, while Biden's administration has been criticized for its handling of the COVID-19 pandemic and foreign policy issues, and Biden's son Hunter has his own legal problems.

Why might the presence of a third-party candidate, Robert F Kennedy Jr, affect the election outcome?

The presence of a third-party candidate can affect the election by drawing votes away from the major party candidates. In this case, Robert F Kennedy Jr is expected to take votes that might otherwise go to Trump.

What is the video creator's opinion on which candidate would be better for Taiwan?

The video creator believes that Taiwan would be safer under Biden's presidency due to his more functional administration and stronger military presence around Taiwan, despite Biden appearing weak in the eyes of China.

What factors might influence the outcome of the election according to the video?

Factors that might influence the election outcome include Trump's alienation of lifelong Republicans, the removal of federal protection for abortion rights, Biden's administration's handling of various issues, and the impact of a third-party candidate.