Crypto News: Bitcoin Crash, ETH Blast Off, RON, PYTH & MORE!!
Summary
TLDRВ этом выпуске Coin Bureau Weekly News обсуждается неожиданный спад крипторынка, возглавляемый BTC, из-за вывода средств из Grayscale и продажи со стороны BTC whales. В то же время, Ethereum демонстрирует устойчивость, с поддержкой активности транзакций и ожиданием успеха после обновления Den. Также рассматривается влияние геополитических напряжений на цепочку поставок и инфляцию, а также анализируются лучшие криптовалюты недели, включая Ronin, Flare Network, ASR и Chiliz.
Takeaways
- 📉 Несмотря на одобрение спот ETF и постоянные поступления средств, рынок криптовалюты выглядит слабым, главным образом из-за снижения цен BTC.
- 🔑 Проблема с GBTC arbitrageurs, которые приняли свои долгожданные прибыли, привела к исходам в размере более 5 миллиардов долларов и снижению цен на BTC.
- 🤔 Поток средств в другие спот Bitcoin ETF превысил исходы из GBTC на миллиарды долларов, что логически должен был вызвать рост цены BTC, но это не произошло.
- 🐳 Продавецская нагрузка после выпуска спот Bitcoin ETF, по словам аналитиков, пришла от крупных участников рынка BTC, что видно на трекерах транзакций.
- 📈 Интерес к BTC и криптовалютам на Wall Street продолжает расти, но еще не перерос в поступления в спот Bitcoin ETF из-за необходимости прохождения процедуры due diligence.
- 📊 На графиках дневного курса BTC выглядит очень слабым, находясь около критической зоны сопротивления в районе 42 тысяч долларов и может упасть до 38 тысяч в ближайшие дни.
- 🚀 ETH демонстрирует устойчивое поведение по сравнению с BTC, сохраняя свои последние приросты, несмотря на общий спад рынка криптовалюты.
- 🔄 Транзакции на Ethereum достигли мультигодового максимума, что может подтверждать потенциал для сильного роста ETH в ближайшие месяцы.
- 🛠 Технические проблемы с демной сетью Ethereum 2.0 не стали испытанием, но вызвали опасения по поводу будущих вызовов и рисков для цепочки.
- 🔄 Blast, спорный Ethereum L2, запустил свою тест-сеть, что может представлять угрозу для стейкинга ETH и дефи экосистемы Ethereum, если будут проблемы.
- ⚖️ Судебное разбирательство SEC против Coinbase может быть решено к концу марта, что может оказать глубокое влияние на рынок криптовалюты и индустрию.
Q & A
Что произошло с рынком криптовалюты в последней неделе?
-В последней неделе рынок криптовалюты испытал неожиданный спад, ведущий себя BTC. Спад связан с выходом более чем 5 миллиардов долларов из Grayscale Spot Bitcoin ETF в результате арбитражных операций с GBTC.
Почему цены BTC упали, несмотря на утверждение спот-ETF?
-Цены BTC упали, хотя в другие спот-биткоиновые ETFs поступало больше средств, чем уходило из Grayscale. Это связано с тем, что продавцами на рынке были не только арбитражные операции GBTC, но и большие участники рынка (BTC whales).
Какие прогнозы сделаны для динамики цены BTC в ближайшее время?
-BTC может упасть до 38к долларов в ближайшие дни, а на недельном графике - до 35к долларов, где находится скользящая средняя Bollinger Bands, которая указывает на фазу медвежьего рынка.
Что происходит с ETН в контексте текущих рыночных изменений?
-ETН демонстрирует устойчивое поведение, оставаясь над скользящей средней на дневном графике, что указывает на короткосрочный бычий тренд. Кроме того, объемы транзакций на Ethereum достигли мультилетнего максимума.
Какова связь между активностью транзакций на Ethereum и рынковыми перспективами ETН?
-Высокая активность транзакций на Ethereum может подтверждать, что ETН может迎来爆炸性的 рост в ближайшие месяцы, особенно учитывая, что увеличение транзакций произошло на этапе низкого рыночного цикла.
Каковы последствия для Ethereum после запуска тестовой сети от layer2 Blast?
-Blast, как существующий layer2, может представлять риск для Ethereum, если у него будут проблемы, такие как эксплойт, что может повлиять на стейкин StETH и, следовательно, на дефи экосистему Ethereum и цену ETН.
Какой влияние может оказать решение суда о случае SEC против Coinbase на рынок криптовалюты?
-Если суд решит отклонить дело SEC против Coinbase, это может убрать неопределенность регулятивного характера для некоторых altcoins, что может быть очень выгодно для всего рынка altcoins и уменьшить неопределенность для инвесторов.
Какие последствия могут возникнуть из-за напряженности в Аравийском море?
-Усиление конфликта в Аравийском море может привести к нарушению供应 chain, что может увеличить инфляцию и повлиять на мировую торговлю, особенно если судить по тому, что около 12% мировой торговли проходит через Суэцкий канал.
Какие криптовалюты были лидерами роста в прошлой неделе?
-В прошлую неделю лидеры роста среди криптовалют были Ronin, Flare Network, ASR Coin и Chiliz, что связано с различными новостями и событиями, влияющими на их рыночную стоимость.
Какие новости повлияли на рост Ronin?
-Ronin выросла на новости о новой игре на Ethereum, которая будет распределять свои.native токен для ранних пользователей, а также о поддержке кошелька Ronin для Ethereum, Polygon и BNB Chain.
Какие события могут предшествовать возможному росту цен Chiliz?
-Chiliz может увеличиться на новости о слиянии с южнокорейским криптопроектом Clayton, что может повлиять на токеномику и динамику цен Chiliz.
Outlines
📉 BTC's Unexpected Downturn Amid ETF Approvals
В первом параграфе обсуждается неожиданное падение рынка криптовалюты, ведущим которым является Bitcoin (BTC), несмотря на одобрение ETF и постоянные потоки средств. Рассматривается, что снижение цен было вызвано продажей активов Grayscale Bitcoin ETF и потенциальным ростом интереса к BTC и криптовалюте на Wall Street. Однако, аналитики предупреждают о возможных дальнейших падениях цен BTC до 38k или даже 35k долларов, что может привести к долгосрочному ослаблению рынка, если уровень Ballinger band moving average будет нарушен.
🚀 ETH's Resilience and Upcoming Potential
Второй параграф фокусируется на Ethereum (ETH), который демонстрирует устойчивость и потенциал роста в отличие от BTC. Обсуждается активный интерес к ETH со стороны ассет менеджеров и предположение о начале цикла ротации в пользу ETH. Также затрагивается высокая активность транзакций на Ethereum, подчеркивающая его потенциал в ближайшие месяцы. Тем не менее, вызывает опасения разработка и запуск тестовой сети для сверхскоростного слоя 2 'Blast', который может представлять риски для Ethereum и его экосистемы DeFi.
🏛 SEC vs Coinbase: Legal Battle and Market Implications
Третий параграф освещает судебный процесс между SEC и Coinbase, который затрагивает вопрос о том, будут ли некоторые криптовалюты рассматриваться как незарегистрированные ценные бумаги. Обсуждается вероятность отмены судом дела SEC против Coinbase, что может быть благоприятным для рынку альткоинов и снизит неопределенность регулирования. Также рассматриваются потенциальные последствия для конкурентов Ethereum, в случае если судебное решение будет в их пользу.
⚔️ Geopolitical Tensions and Their Impact on Crypto
В четвёртом параграфе рассматривается влияние геополитических напряжений на крипторынок, особенно конфликт в регионе Большого и Красного морей, который может привести к нарушению цепочки поставок и увеличению инфляции. Обсуждается возможный сценарий, при котором Центральные банки могут быть вынуждены поддерживать или повышать процентные ставки, что может негативно сказаться на ценах криптовалют.
🏆 Last Week's Top Performing Altcoins
Пятый параграф анализирует лучшие результаты альткоинов за прошлую неделю, включая Ronin, Flare Network, ASR Coin, Pith Network и Chili. Обсуждается, какие новости и разработки могут быть задействованы в их росте, а также технические аспекты их графиков и потенциальные сценарии развития в будущем.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Криптовалюта
💡ETF
💡График
💡Сelloff
💡Whale
💡Ethereum
💡Лейер 2
💡SEC
💡Инфляция
💡Альткоины
💡Арбитраж
💡Bullinger Band
💡Ротация
💡Лид финансирование
💡Blast
💡Ронин
💡Флейр сеть
💡Питх сеть
💡Чили
Highlights
Coin Bureau Weekly News Roundup discusses the top stories in crypto.
BTC experiences a downturn despite recent spot ETF approvals and inflows.
Ethereum shows strength with multi-year high transactions and a controversial layer 2 launch.
SEC's case against Coinbase might be dismissed after a meeting with the judge.
Red Sea concerns lead to potential inflation impacts on the crypto market.
Analysis of last week's top-performing cryptos and their future prospects.
BTC's price is being influenced by outflows from Grayscale and inflows into other ETFs.
Ethereum's transaction levels are at their highest since the peak of the last bull market.
Blast, a controversial Ethereum layer 2, launches its test net with over $1.3 billion in assets.
Ethereum's dominance in the crypto ecosystem is highlighted by a developer report.
The SEC lawsuit against Coinbase could affect the status of certain cryptos as securities.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may disrupt supply chains and affect inflation.
Top-performing altcoins include Ronin, Flare Network, ASR, Pith Network, and Chiliz.
Ronin's price surge is linked to a new game airdrop and wallet support expansion.
Flare Network gains attention as Google Cloud becomes a validator on its blockchain.
ASR's rally is suspected to be related to Ethereum's Den test net and a layer two launch.
Pith Network's token pumps on speculation of future staker airdrops.
Chiliz's potential merger with a South Korean project, Clayton, is announced.
Transcripts
welcome to the coin Bureau Weekly News
Roundup my name is Jessica and my name
is guy here are the top stories in
crypto this
[Music]
week sell the news BTC tumbles despite
the recent spot ETF approvals and
continued inflows why is the crypto
Market looking so weak eth blasting off
transactions on ethereum hit a
multi-year high while a controversial
layer 2 launches its test net and a
developer report reveals the ev's
supremacy what does this mean for eth
SEC versus coinbase the crypto industry
speculates about the possibility that
the sec's case against coinbase will be
thrown out following a meeting with the
judge everything you need to know Red
Sea concerns disruption to a major
Supply chain lead to concerns that
inflation could come back in a big way
how it could affect the crypto market
and a closer look at last week's top
performing cryptos and where they could
be headed next all this and More in just
a
moment last week the crypto Market
experienced an unexpected downturn led
by
BTC the downturn is believed to have
been due to the over5 billion of
outflows coming from grayscale spot
Bitcoin ETF as gbtc arbitragers took
their long anticipated profits the
Practical effect of this was BTC selling
there's just one problem with this
perspective and that's that the inflows
into the other spot Bitcoin ETFs
exceeded the outflows from grayscales by
billions of dollars logically this
should have caused btc's price to rise
not fall however this assumes that gbtc
arbitrages are the only sellers in this
equation Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric
balunas revealed in a recent interview
that the selling pressure following the
spot Bitcoin ETFs appears to have come
from BTC
Wales this is consistent with what can
be seen on whale transaction trackers
like whale alert where billions of
dollars of BTC are being sent to
exchanges meanwhile on Wall Street the
interest in BTC and crypto reported
continues to grow the only reason this
hasn't translated to more inflows into
the spot Bitcoin ETFs yet is because it
takes time for asset managers and
investment advisers to do due diligence
on new ETFs and then offer them to
clients in other words there will likely
come a point where the inflows from
tradire investors will exceed the
outflows from gbtc and the selling
pressure from BTC Wales this will likely
occur regardless since all the gbtc
holders and BTC whales will eventually
run out of assets to sell all while
trafi keeps buying in the short term
though there's no question that this is
dragging down btc's price as you can see
BTC is looking very weak on the daily
chart it's sitting around a critical
zone of resistance of roughly 42k and
could crash down to 38k in the coming
days note that long liquidations could
take BTC lower zooming out to the weekly
suggests that BTC could fall as low as
35k you'll notice that this is where the
Ballinger band moving average is on this
time frame and that it has been very
accurate at noting when BTC is in a bull
phase or a bare phase so long as BTC is
above this level the bull can continues
alternatively BTC could Bounce from this
level and retest the Ballinger band
moving average from below a move to
roughly
44k depending on the Catalyst which
causes this move it's possible that BTC
will break back above that key level
into bullish territory note that a short
squeeze could occur too in this case the
largest could be a retest of the recent
high of roughly
49k but make no mistake this would
require a very bullish Catalyst of some
kind we'll come back to one such
Catalyst later on now if you're planning
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description now although the crypto
Market has been looking sluggish if you
Peak below the surface you'll notice
something peculiar eth is looking
surprisingly robust relative to BTC for
starters eth is still above the
Ballinger band moving average on The
Daily meaning that it's still looking
bullish in the short term not only that
but eth has rallied significantly
against BTC over the last couple weeks
and has maintained these recent gains
despite the crypto Market dip in
previous instances of such rallies eth
would immediately lose ground to BTC
when the crypto Market fell this time is
different put simply it looks like the
rotation into eth has finally begun
though it may not be obvious when the
whole Market is flashing red this makes
perfect sense though given that asset
managers have turned their focus to the
spot ethereum ETF in a big Way Franklin
Templeton is the latest to call for an
approval while this is also nothing new
there is likewise something different
happening beneath the surface
transactions on ethereum are at their
highest level since November 2021 to put
things into perspective November 2021
was the top of the last crypto bull
market it's safe to say that ethereum
hitting these transaction levels at this
stage in the crypto cycle underscores
just how much eth could explode in the
next few months in fact coinbase says
that eth will have a breakout year due
to the denune upgrade whose first test
net recently experienced some issues if
you watched our recent ethereum update
you'll know we actually predicted that
ethereum could experience additional
technical Gremlins fortunately the
denune issues only occurred on testet
which is to be expected that's why they
have test Nets after all unfortunately
ethereum could face additional
challenges and risks in the near term
the elephant in the room here is blast
the controversial ethereum layer 2
that's currently in development which
also launched its test net last week to
bring you up to speed blast is a layer
two that's accumulated over $1.3 billion
do in assets mostly eth which is being
staked through Lio Finance the reason
why Blast has been so controversial is
mainly because it managed to attract so
much total value locked despite not
having developed anything allegedly to
add insult to injury it was only after a
few weeks that the layer 2 announced on
Twitter SLX that it had begun hiring
developers anyway controversies aside
the biggest concern about blast is the
massive amount of Lido staked eth that
it has accumulated ated were there to be
any issues with blast such as an exploit
or otherwise this could cause issues for
St eth which could in turn cause issues
for ethereum's defi ecosystem and eth's
price funnily enough blast recently
announced its Big Bang competition which
aims to incentivize dap developers to
deploy on its layer 2 before its launch
sometime in late February it's going to
be interesting to see which devs and
daps take blast up on its offer in the
coming weeks it seems likely that there
will be at least a few who do that's
because electric capital's recent
developer report revealed that nine out
of 10 multi-chain developers work with
evm compatible blockchains this
highlights just how dominant ethereum
has become in the broader crypto
ecosystem and more importantly it sets
the stage for a scenario where ethereum
and its layer 2os could take lots of
market share away from other evm chains
that were being treated as de facto
layer 2os during the last cycle put
differently ethereum could cement its
dominance among smart contract
cryptocurrencies and by the way if
you're enjoying the video so far be sure
to smash that like button to give it a
boost now there is one big caveat though
and that's that ethereum's competitors
could soon experience an unprecedented
boost as some of you may have heard the
SEC and coinbase went to court recently
to argue whether the case they embroiled
in should be dismissed an argument that
apparently lasted for almost 5 hours if
you watched our video about the sec's
lawsuit against coinbase you'll know
that the regulator alleges that some of
the cryptos on coinbase are unregistered
Securities it also alleges that
coinbase's staking Services constitute
unregistered Securities offerings now if
you watched our video about the ruling
in the sec's case against Ripple however
you'll know that the judge there ruled
that secondary sales of xrp on crypto
exchanges do not constitute unregistered
Securities offerings this is the main
reason why many believe that the sec's
case against coinbase will be thrown out
but as I just mentioned that's just one
part of why the SC sued coinbase in the
first place there's also the staking
Services aspect and this is where
coinbase could face more hurdles that's
because the SEC has precedence of its
own Kraken settled with the SEC over its
staking Services early last year of
course the specifics of Kraken staking
services and coinbase staking services
are different but it seems they're still
similar enough that they could prevent
coinbase from getting off the hook this
was explained by attorney Sam enzer in a
recent interview with Laura Shin which
is well worth a listen if you have the
time so this begs the question of when
the judge will decide whether to throw
out the sec's case against coinbase or
not Sam believes that this will happen
by the end of q1 so by the end of March
the bigger question though is whether
she will decide to throw about the whole
case or just parts of it and this isn't
clear yet regardless the judge's
decision will likely have a profound
impact on the crypto market and the
crypto industry take a second to
consider that if the judge does throw
out the case or even just the part about
certain cryptos being Securities this
means that the altcoins the SEC is after
will be off the hook obviously this
would be extremely bullish for all the
altcoins that the SEC has claimed are
securities including those in the sec's
lawsuit against
binance that's just because the judge's
decision could likewise be used as a
precedent by binance's lawyers to water
down the secc's allegations now if
you're wondering how this all relates to
ethereum it's because most of the
cryptos that the SEC has labeled as
Securities are so-called ethereum
Killers throwing out the sec's case
against coinbase would effectively
eliminate the regulatory uncertainty
around these cryptos and allow them to
grow and if you watched our recent
salana update you'll know that
institutional investors are reportedly
obsessed with that particular crypto
project it stands to reason then that
many have been hesitant to invest
because of the regulatory uncertainty
created by the SEC any Clarity from the
courts could therefore allow them to ape
in this would likely evolve into a new
wave of investment into the broader
altcoin ecosystem given that secondary
sales of every altcoin would
theoretically be above board but let's
not get ahead of ourselves just yet we
know that the SEC has a habit of handing
out surprises and they're seldom of the
good kind on that note there have been
no shortage of surprises on the
geopolitical stage but I suppose that
depends on whether whether or not you've
been paying attention if you haven't
been then here's the tldr the conflict
in the Middle East appears to be
escalating and it looks like it's
starting to affect Supply chains Ground
Zero in this regard has been the Red Sea
where yemeni Rebels the houthis have
been seemingly attacking ships at random
in protest at the brutal conflict
between Israel and Palestine or so they
claim in response the US and its allies
have started sending in larger and
larger forces to repel these attacks now
for context around 12% of the World's
Trade passes through the sewers Canal
which lies at the opposite end of the
Red Sea notably the route through the
Red Sea and the sewers Canal is critical
for transporting goods from Asia to
Europe and the UK the only alternative
is to go around the entire African
continent as many news outlets have
reported re-rooting trade in this way
runs the risk of increasing inflation
around the world with the situation in
the Middle East only continuing to
escalate some shippers are opting to go
the longer route due to the risks and
insurance costs associated with the Red
Sea passage as most of you will know any
inflation arising from such supply chain
disruptions could run the risk of
central banks having to keep interest
rates high or even raise them higher
this would do serious damage to risk
assets such as crypto which are
currently pricing in lots of rate Cuts
in
2024 now the good news is that it's
likely that the US and its allies will
get the Red Sea situation under control
sooner or later the bad news is that
this could risk creating an escalation
elsewhere in the region probably
involving Iran for reference Iran backs
the houthi rebels called causing chaos
in the Red Sea attacks on the houthis by
the US and its allies could cause Iran
to do something in response now those of
you who are deep in the Weeds on
geopolitics know that one thing Iran
could do is cause issues in the straight
of hmus through which 20% of the world's
oil is shipped as it so happens though
Iran seems to be occupied with another
conflict that's magically emerged in any
case it's easy to for forget about the
worrying geopolitical backdrop against
which the markets exist at any moment
there could be a flare up of an existing
conflict a new conflict or a new set of
sanctions or trade restrictions that
could mess things up thankfully though
crypto seems to be largely immune to
most of these kinds of catalysts and
speaking of crypto it's about time we
looked at last week's top performing
altcoins so Jessica take it away
thanks Guy well last week's top
performing cryptos were Ronin flare AAR
pith Network and chili starting with
Ronin it's Ron coin appears to have
rallied on the news that a new game on
ethereum would be airdropping its native
token to early users and the news that
the Ronin wallet has added support for
ethereum polygon and the BNB chain as
you can see Ron has been on a massive
tear since October it's up by more than
5x since that time and appears to have
painted a massive double bottom pattern
if it plays out Ron could potentially
see explosive growth over the coming
weeks this assumes that BTC will
continue to behave next up we have flare
Network whose flr coin appears to have
pumped on the news that Google cloud has
become a validator on its layer one
blockchain as you can see flr has
likewise been in an uptrend since
October though it hasn't been nearly as
strong the catch is that flr doesn't
have much resistance between its current
levels and around
2.7 this could translate into some more
gains in the short term if the Catalyst
can keep it going as for a star Network
it's not entirely clear why it's ASR
coin rallied we suspect that it has
something to do with ethereum's Den test
net given that a star announced that it
would be launching a layer two on
ethereum last September thanks to a
partnership with polygon the more you
know now this would make sense given
that a star's price has been explosive
since that September announcement the
chart looks similar to Ron's in the
sense that it could be in the process of
painting a double bottom that could
foreshadow a massive game in the medium
term just remember that nothing goes up
only when it comes to pith Network it's
pith token appears to have permed due to
the speculation that pith stakers will
be eligible for additional airdrops in
the future note that we recently covered
pith Network for our coin Bureau club
members you can find more details on the
deals page now as you can see pith is
currently pushing up against a critical
zone of resistance if it can get above
this Zone then it could see new all-time
high in the medium term finally we have
Chili's whose chz coin appears to have
pumped on the news that the crypto
project will merge with a South Korean
crypto project called Clayton we
actually covered Clayton here on the
main Channel a while back you'll
understand why this is a fascinating
announcement if you watch the video
anyways as you can see this exciting
news hasn't done much to increase
Chile's price this could be because
Chile's faces a lot of resistance to the
upside it's going to be interesting to
see how the potential merger will affect
Chile's tokenomics and price action no
doubt a topic for a future video now if
you want to keep track of the altcoins
that are pumping the most and also where
you can trade them then be sure to check
out the coin Bureau telegram Channel
using the link in the
description and that's all for today's
coin Bureau weekly crypto review if you
enjoyed enjoyed it then you know what to
do hit that like button subscribe button
and Bell icon too don't forget to check
out our deals page where we have massive
discounts and airdrop bonuses of up to
$50,000 on some of the best exchanges
only for the viewers of this channel
also if you want to pick up some snazzy
crypto merch the coin bu merch store has
it all you can find the link to that
resource and many others in the
description below thank you so much for
watching and we'll see you in next
week's episode
[Music]
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