Amerika Serikat Naikin Tarif Impor Indonesia 32%! Ini Dampak ke Kripto!

Summary

The United States has raised tariffs on Indonesian goods from 10% to 32%, significantly impacting sectors like textiles, footwear, and furniture. This policy, starting August 1, 2025, could have serious consequences for the Indonesian economy, potentially causing a drop in exports, labor income, and job losses. While the tariff escalation increases global trade tension, its indirect effect on the crypto market is noteworthy. A stronger US dollar due to rising tariffs could pressure Bitcoin prices, as it strengthens against other currencies. Investors may move capital to safer assets, affecting the broader market.

Takeaways

• 😀 The US has raised import tariffs on goods from Indonesia from 10% to 32%, almost tripling the rate.
• 😀 This change is set to take effect on August 1, 2025, and is expected to impact sectors like textiles, clothing, footwear, and furniture.
• 😀 Indonesia plays a significant role in labor-intensive industries, with exports of textiles and footwear to the US reaching over $86 billion in early 2025.
• 😀 The tariff hike could negatively affect Indonesia's economy, leading to a potential loss of IDR 14 trillion in economic output and a drop in exports by IDR 105.9 trillion.
• 😀 It’s estimated that 1.2 million people could lose their jobs due to the tariff increase, with significant consequences for labor income as well.
• 😀 Trump’s move to raise tariffs is seen as a strategy to encourage more factories to open in the US, offering fast permits and a professional process for businesses.
• 😀 The increased tariffs may not immediately affect crypto markets, as large investors are still cautious and not rushing to Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.
• 😀 Instead of turning to crypto, many investors have been seeking safety in the US dollar, which has risen as a result of the uncertainty caused by tariff increases.
• 😀 The strengthening of the US dollar (represented by the XY index) typically leads to a decrease in Bitcoin’s price because Bitcoin is priced in USD.
• 😀 Historical trends show that when the XY index strengthens, Bitcoin tends to struggle. For instance, from 2021 to 2022, the BTC price dropped as the dollar grew stronger.
• 😀 The potential ripple effect of the tariff policy could have broader global economic implications, including weaker crypto markets and rising dollar strength.

Q & A

What is the main topic of the video?

The video discusses the recent increase in U.S. import tariffs on Indonesian goods and how it may affect the Indonesian economy, particularly in labor-intensive sectors like textiles, footwear, and furniture, as well as its potential impact on the global crypto market.

How much has the import tariff on Indonesian goods increased?

The U.S. has raised the import tariff on Indonesian goods from 10% to 32%, nearly tripling the previous rate.

When will the new tariff policy take effect?

The new tariff policy will take effect on August 1, 2025.

What sectors will be most impacted by the U.S. tariff increase?

The sectors most impacted by the 32% tariff increase are labor-intensive industries, particularly the textile and textile products industry (TPT), ready-to-wear clothing, footwear, and furniture.

What could be the potential economic impact on Indonesia due to these tariffs?

The economic impact could include a drop in economic output by up to IDR 14 trillion, a decrease in export value by IDR 105.9 trillion, a loss of labor income worth IDR 2 trillion, and potentially 1.2 million job losses.

Why does the United States raise tariffs on Indonesian goods?

The U.S. raises tariffs to encourage companies to open factories within the United States, thus boosting local production and reducing reliance on foreign imports. This is part of a broader trade policy to 'Make America Great Again'.

How do import tariffs affect global trade and markets?

Import tariffs create economic pressure by raising the cost of foreign goods, which can lead to trade tensions and market instability. This often results in market adjustments, where investors might seek safer assets, like the U.S. dollar, instead of riskier investments like crypto.

What effect could the tariff increase have on the crypto market?

If the tariffs are increased, the global economic uncertainty could lead to a stronger U.S. dollar, which tends to reduce demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin. As the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin becomes more expensive for foreign buyers, possibly resulting in a drop in Bitcoin prices.

What is the relationship between the U.S. dollar index (XY) and Bitcoin's price?

There is an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar index (XY) and Bitcoin's price. When the U.S. dollar strengthens (indicated by an increase in XY), Bitcoin tends to decrease in value. This is because Bitcoin is priced in USD, and a stronger dollar makes Bitcoin more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Can we expect Bitcoin's price to be directly affected by the U.S. tariff policy?

While the tariff policy itself may not directly affect Bitcoin's price, its impact on the strength of the U.S. dollar can lead to a stronger dollar, which in turn could cause a decrease in Bitcoin's price as it becomes more expensive for international buyers.