Russia Open Another Northern Front | SU-57 HIT, F-16 DELAY - Ukraine Map Analysis & News Update
Summary
TLDRIn diesem Video bespricht der Sprecher verschiedene geopolitische Entwicklungen. Er beginnt mit der Erwähnung seiner neuen Krawatte und geht dann auf die aktuelle Lage in der Ukraine ein, insbesondere auf militärische Bewegungen und Frontlinien. Der Sprecher hebt hervor, dass Russland möglicherweise eine neue Offensive im Norden eröffnet. Es folgen detaillierte Kartenanalysen und Diskussionen über mögliche russische Täuschungsstrategien. Außerdem wird der Schaden an einem russischen Su-57-Kampfjet diskutiert. Das Video schließt mit einem Überblick über die politische Situation in Frankreich nach den jüngsten Wahlen und deren möglichen Auswirkungen auf die Unterstützung der Ukraine.
Takeaways
- 🎗️ Die politische Landschaft Frankreichs könnte sich erheblich verändern, da die National Rally (RN) bei den Wahlen gut abschnitten hat und Präsident Macron die Nationalversammlung auflösen musste.
- 🛫 Es gibt Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust oder Schaden an einem russischen Su-57 Kampfflugzeug, welches durch einen Drohnenangriff beschädigt wurde.
- 📉 Die Ukraine plant, selbst produzierte gelenkte Bomben zu testen, was möglicherweise günstiger und unabhängiger von ausländischen Waffensystemen ist.
- 🚀 Die USA und G7 Partner arbeiten daran, eingefrorene russische Vermögenswerte zu nutzen, um die Ukraine zu unterstützen, was jedoch möglicherweise Auswirkungen auf die europäische Wirtschaft haben könnte.
- 🛑 Es gibt Spekulationen, dass die Ukraine möglicherweise einen Waffeneinschlag innerhalb Russlands durchgeführt hat, jedoch sind die Details und die Auswirkungen noch unklar.
- 📉 Die F-16 Kampfpiloten der Ukraine werden langsamer als erwartet ausgebildet, und es wird erwartet, dass erst Ende 2025 eine vollständige Staffel von 40 Piloten und 20 Jets bereitgestellt werden kann.
- 🛑 Es gibt Berichte, dass die russischen Kräfte in der Region Sumi Oblast vorrücken, was zu einer weiteren Eskalation des Konflikts führen könnte.
- 📊 Die Ukraine hat Schwierigkeiten, ihre Kampfflugzeuge mit modernen Waffensystemen auszustatten, da viele NATO-Länder zögern, ihre teuren Waffen freizugeben.
- 📍 Es gibt keine signifikanten Veränderungen in der nördlichen Frontlinie der Ukraine zu beobachten, obwohl es Gerüchte über eine mögliche Offensive gibt.
- 📈 Die russischen Kräfte haben in der Region Izyum und Sumi Oblast Fortschritte gemacht, was die ukrainische Verteidigungslinie unter Druck setzt.
- 🤔 Die Rolle Frankreichs und die Unterstützung für die Ukraine könnten sich in der Zukunft ändern, abhängig von den Ergebnissen der anstehenden Wahlen und der politischen Landschaft.
Q & A
Was ist das Thema des Videos, das im Skript dargestellt wird?
-Das Thema des Videos ist die politische und militärische Situation in der Ukraine, einschließlich der Entwicklungen im Krieg, die Rolle Russlands und die Auswirkungen auf die internationale Gemeinschaft.
Was ist die Hauptnachricht in Bezug auf die französische Politik?
-Die Hauptnachricht ist, dass die rechte Partei in Frankreich bei den Wahlen eine überwältigende Mehrheit gewonnen hat, was zu Neuwahlen im National Assembly und möglicherweise Veränderungen in der französischen Politik führen könnte.
Was bedeutet der Sieg der rechten Partei in Frankreich für die Unterstützung der Ukraine?
-Der Sieg könnte zu einer Verschiebung in der französischen Politik führen, aber bisher haben die National Rally (RN) öffentlich ihre Unterstützung für die Ukraine bekundet, möglicherweise mit einer gewissen Zurückhaltung.
Welche Schlagzeile bezieht sich das Skript auf, in Bezug auf die F-16 Kampfflugzeuge der Ukraine?
-Das Skript erwähnt, dass es Schwierigkeiten gibt, ukrainische Piloten für F-16 Kampfflugzeuge auszubilden und dass ein vollständiger Einsatz erst Ende 2025 erwartet wird, was die Erwartungen, F-16s bald im Einsatz zu sehen, enttauschen könnte.
Was ist der aktuelle Stand der Kampfjet-Produktion in Russland?
-Die Produktion der Su-57 Kampfjets in Russland scheint Probleme zu haben, und es gibt Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust eines Su-57 durch einen UAV-Angriff.
Welche Bedeutung hat der Vorschlag, russische F-16 Kampfflugzeuge zu verwenden, um russische Kreuzraketen abzufangen?
-Dieser Vorschlag zeigt, dass die Ukraine versucht, ihre Verteidigungskapazitäten zu verbessern, aber es erfordert präzise Luft-zu-Luft-Raketen, die teuer und in begrenzter Stückzahl vorliegen.
Was ist der Hintergrund des Diskurses über die Verwendung von gelenkten Bomben durch die Ukraine?
-Die Ukraine plant, ukrainisch hergestellte gelenkte Bomben zu testen, die möglicherweise als eine kostengünstigere Alternative zu hochtechnologischen Waffensystemen dienen, um Durchbrüche in stark verteidigten Linien zu erzielen.
Was ist die Haltung der USA und Frankreich gegenüber Russland und der Ukraine?
-Die USA und Frankreich haben ihre Unterstützung für die Ukraine und ihre Ablehnung Russlands ausgedrückt, einschließlich des Einsatzes einfroren russischer Vermögenswerte, um die Ukraine zu unterstützen.
Welche Rolle spielt die chinesische Währung in der Diskussion um die Nutzung einfroren russischer Vermögenswerte?
-Es gibt Bedenken, dass chinesische Investoren Gewinne aus einfroren russischen Vermögenswerten ziehen könnten, was Auswirkungen auf die Währungen wie Euro, Pfund und Dollar haben könnte.
Was ist das Hauptargument des Skripts über die militärische Fähigkeit Russlands?
-Das Skript argumentiert, dass die russische Militärmacht nicht in der Lage ist, in der gesamten NATO vorzudringen, und dass es auch keine offizielle Ankündigung von Putin gibt, dass er dies tun möchte.
Welche persönliche Bemerkung macht der Sprecher im Skript?
-Der Sprecher teilt mit, dass es sein Leidensweg ist, in einem Kampfflugzeug zu fliegen, und er drückt seinen Wunsch aus, in einem Mig 29 oder ähnlichen Flugzeug zu fliegen, sollte die russische Wirtschaft nach dem Krieg schwächer werden.
Outlines
🌏 geopolitische Analyse: Russland und Frankreich
Der erste Absatz behandelt die geopolitischen Entwicklungen in Bezug auf Russland, insbesondere die militärische Situation in der Ukraine und die mögliche Eröffnung einer neuen Front in Sumi Oblast. Es wird auch auf die Rolle Frankreichs eingegangen, das trotz der Unterstützung für die Ukraine bisher keine modernen Waffensysteme geliefert hat. Die Diskussion um die politischen Veränderungen in Frankreich und die möglichen Auswirkungen auf die Ukraine-Politik wird ebenfalls angesprochen.
🛫 Verlust eines russischen S-57 Kampfflugzeugs
Dieser Absatz konzentriert sich auf die Berichte über einen möglichen Verlust des russischen S-57 Kampfflugzeugs, das angeblich von einem Drohnenangriff beschädigt wurde. Es wird über die möglichen Auswirkungen und die Bedeutung dieses Flugzeugs für Russland gesprochen, sowie über die Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind, wenn ein solches hochmodernes Flugzeug beschädigt oder zerstört wird.
🇺🇦 Ukraines F-16 Piloten und Kampfflugzeuge
Der dritte Absatz diskutiert die Aussicht auf die Einführung von F-16 Kampfflugzeugen in die Ukraine, einschließlich der Pilotenausbildung und der Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind. Es wird auch auf die Bedeutung dieser Kampfflugzeuge für die ukrainische Verteidigung und die Bedenken hinsichtlich der Waffenversorgung eingegangen.
💥 Entwicklung und Test von ukrainischen Lenkwaffen
In diesem Absatz wird über die Pläne der Ukraine, ihre eigenen gelenkwaffenfähigen Bomben zu entwickeln und zu testen, gesprochen. Es wird auch diskutiert, wie diese Waffen möglicherweise eingesetzt werden, um die Verteidigungskapazitäten der Ukraine zu stärken und die Herausforderungen, die damit verbunden sind.
🗺️ Aktuelle Frontlinien und territoriale Veränderungen
Der fünfte Absatz bietet einen Überblick über die aktuellen Veränderungen an den Frontlinien in der Ukraine, einschließlich der territorialen Eroberungen Russlands und der Reaktionen der ukrainischen Streitkräfte. Es werden auch die geopolitischen Implikationen dieser Veränderungen diskutiert.
🇫🇷 Politische Veränderungen in Frankreich und ihre Auswirkungen
Der letzte Absatz thematisiert die politischen Veränderungen in Frankreich nach den Wahlen und der möglichen Auflösung der Nationalversammlung. Es wird diskutiert, wie diese Entwicklungen die Unterstützung Frankreichs für die Ukraine beeinflussen könnten und welche Auswirkungen dies auf die internationale Gemeinschaft haben könnte.
📣 Abschließende Bemerkungen und persönliche Wünsche
Der Schlussabschnitt bringt persönliche Wünsche zum Ausdruck, darunter die Sehnsucht, in einem Kampfflugzeug zu fliegen, und gibt einen Ausblick auf die bevorstehenden Diskussionen und Entwicklungen. Es werden auch die aktuellen geopolitischen Standpunkte und die Rolle der USA in der Ukraine-Krise thematisiert.
Mindmap
Keywords
💡Akmat
💡Riva
💡Frontlinie
💡Su-57
💡F16
💡Glide Bombe
💡Ukraine-Konflikt
💡Französische Politik
💡Unterstützung für die Ukraine
💡Flugzeugträger
Highlights
New tie introduced by the speaker.
Discussion about the political situation in France and its implications for Ukraine.
Analysis of the military situation in Ukraine, including the occupation of red and purple areas.
Reports of a new Northern Russian offensive led by the Chechen Special Forces.
Update on the village of Riva and its liberation by Russian forces.
The role of the Chechen Special Forces in the conflict and their influence on Muslim countries.
Claims of a second Su-57 aircraft being damaged or destroyed in Ukraine.
Details on the attack on the airbase and the potential first combat loss of a Su-57.
Discussion on the production and deployment challenges of the Su-57 aircraft.
Reports of 20 Ukrainian F16 pilots expected to graduate by the end of the year.
Concerns about the availability of precise air-to-air missiles for Ukrainian jets.
Ukraine's plan to use jets to intercept Russian cruise missiles and the challenges involved.
The potential need for Ukraine to develop and use glide bombs for breakthroughs in heavily defended areas.
Announcement of Ukrainian-made guided bombs testing and the move towards domestic production.
Map updates detailing changes in the conflict zones and the strategic implications.
Speculation about Ukrainian forces' movements in Kherson and the potential impact on the conflict.
Election results in France and the potential impact on France's support for Ukraine.
Macron's response to the election and the political changes in France.
Statement from Macron and Biden on their commitment to support Ukraine and opposition to Russia.
Transcripts
GTO legendss I hope that you're having a
fantastic day and I hope if you're an
Aussie you had a fantastic long weekend
as well now some notice last video not
the interview but the last update I
actually have a new tie so this is my
new my new tie I like it it's nice but
today we have a lot a lot to go over but
it won't be too long so regardless of
your bias we have bad news about fter
aircraft everywhere uh we need to talk
about France and people saying that this
is a shock and I don't keep up with
French politics at all but I'm not
shocked by this I don't think anyone
should be shocked by what we have seen
we need to look at the maps and we'll
look at the maps over then two days and
we need to have a look at some claims
coming out about a new Northern Russian
offensive opening up by the leader of
the chin arat Special Forces catov and
have a look and maybe a little bit
deeper there as well but that it's just
all very interesting and well let's get
stuck into it and we will talk about the
area on the map so here we have Ukraine
the center the capital of ke of course
here we have the red areas occupied
since 22 the purple since
2014 now some interesting things of
which you're keeping up with if you're
watch me is we know Russia a month ago
basically today launched the two-prong
defensive from belgrad into hariv here
it has really looked like it has stored
out holding in place now there's a lot
of claims both ways about what's
happening here but no maps are showing
much movement here we know there's been
a mass deployment of Ukrainian troops
back into this area and that Russia is
having some success down in the East
we'll look at more specifics on that but
what we have talked about and what the
problem could be is if Russia then open
another front line and many have said
they're expecting it somewhere but from
KK into Sumi region here of course what
then borders and it looks like looks
like from reports this is what we are
seeing so of course we have the sui
ablast up here now we will just zoom in
on this and we have this toino here and
this rivka sitting right here now this
is where it is said that here is now
under occupation so let's look at the
claims and let's look at a little bit
more in here now this was a Noel reports
map here now there has been reports as
well from Ukraine saying no this isn't
occupied but again we'll wait for more
to come it's sort of up in the air at
the moment no I'm not ignoring the s57
we're just talk this is more burning
news as far as Frontline so Riva this is
the area of which we're talking about is
in question now karov released on his
telegram to 2 million people my
telegram's only 10,000 come and join my
telegram if you'd like but friends
soldiers of akma church now regiment
with the RF Ministry defense under the
command of dear brother aamc salive
together with the military personnel of
other Russian units carried out tactical
actions and liberated another populated
era from the enemy this is the village
of Riva uh which is located on the
border of ERS region as a result large
scale planned offensive actions the
Ukrainian side suffered significant
losses and was forced to retreat the
coordinate and effective work of fighter
more units made to achieve this result I
sincerely thank every soldier participa
in the assault and liberation of the
village I'm convinced the same ending a
White's territory is temporal by the
Yoke of Ukraine blah blah blah anyway we
know this and it released then a video
then with the
here some Morts firing some Drone
footage whatever you can go and watch
that I'll put that on the T my telegram
if you'd like to watch now a part of
that was then geolocated to just in here
but the thing is no one gave what part
of the footage so it's hard to know
because if it's mortars here we know
then the front Lin working a lot further
out but if we just have a look at where
these roads are so we're on this fourth
Road in from the north so just about
here so we do know there has been some
Crossing now these Crossings and I've
spoken about people in the the north
here as well and I know people say this
is cope but I still believe that
Russia's key objectives are still in the
South and the East and that these are a
deception plan to try and draw units
away and we have seen many units
redeploy into here put significant
pressure on the Russians here we may
have to see a redeployment of soldiers
up into here as well and not to sort of
get like goggles trapped isolated on
looking at that area but that is very
interesting to see that now the akat
guys Special Forces Tik Tok brigades
whatever you want to call them have been
taken a lot of the piss uh throughout
this war and I and you know a lot of it
is completely legitimate as well you
know they're fighting in other areas but
let's have a look at what the um Russy
the U Royal United Service Institute has
said about than the chin the chin
fighters on Tik Tok comic as much as it
does tragic to Western audiences people
do miss the influence operating in
Muslim countries push a romantic image
of karov as a defender of Islam opposing
Western rhetorics this has been helped
by Popular m Fighters influence their
International fans and countries Elite
and of course this has been greatly
exacerbated by what we're seeing in
Israel Gaza and other areas so this like
with everything you need to look then
outside of the box of what's Happening
where the influence May sit where
propaganda May sit and all of that we
know the unconventional strategy of
Russia is to paint Russia as a Bastion
of traditional
values uh the nuclear family things like
this that's part of their unconventional
warfare through other areas of the world
and just because you see something as a
piss take online remember how it may be
seen in other areas around the world so
that is very interesting to see what is
then happening up into the north now
let's talk about fighter aircraft the
images the claims whatever now there is
claims coming out from as well from
Ukraine saying that actually a second
s57 may have been damaged or destroyed
in the attack but we don't have any
Visual Evidence of that so let's talk
about where this was so it was it this
air base out here that sits some I
believe about 600 km away from Ukraine
let's measure the distance so to at
least nonoccupied territory yes
something around that Mark now what we
got last night was this last Australia
time this Photograph come out so this on
the 7th of s57 and then this on the eth
looking like two potential impacts now
we'll have a bit of an anal analyze of
this video in a second but then the GU
put this up 67 was hit for then the
first time now this was then very
quickly confirmed actually by fighter
bomber yes yes Airfield was attacked by
UAV so drone three pieces arrived Su 57
was damaged by shrapnel he's now being
determined whether it can be restored or
not if not then this will be the first
combat loss of a f Sue 57 inory history
I'll tell you again for the price of s57
alone shelters from uavs could be built
for PTA aircraft in the country of
course if you don't bully them along the
way you don't have to give out Kickbacks
so talking about corruption there and
there' still be some left Al lasts so
again this is a big loss here now is
this damaged destroyed well we we really
don't know how much of these operating
in the conflict in Ukraine the war will
we again we don't know but we do know
things like the k69 missile they were
developed specifically for this platform
and that these platforms are operating
in distances of what we know Ukraine
drones and or attack thems could reach
on some airfields so what I would say is
if these were not participating in the
conflict why would they be anywhere
they'd be on the complete other side of
the country these are an incredibly
expensive and Incredibly important
aircraft now how many of these has
Russia got about 22 we don't know how
many are actually flying in the air any
one time that's actually with any air
assd I was actually had coffee with a
friend in the Air Force yesterday he's
like when you have aircraft just divide
it by two and that's how many are
actually flight worthy at the time for
maintenance deep maintenance all of that
now one thing I'll say in this
photograph is yeah it does tend to look
off but but again it's been confirmed
here so we I don't know but one thing I
will say is for how damaged is this we
do know Gen 4 and a half Gen 5 depending
on this what you want to classify this
aircraft these are a very sensitive
aircraft a lot of computers and a lot of
single pieces of material to make the
body now what I'm talking about is if
say an F18 or an F16 hits a bird they
can replace singular panels bits and
pieces if an F35 does that's a massive
massive deal due to how then the
airframe the hull is made but we can see
that it doesn't look like it has caught
on fire and I guess that would be one of
the big ones to say that everything was
destroyed so will parts of this be
salvageable maybe engines maybe bits of
the cockpit Radars again I'm no bloody
aircraft guy but don't downplay this
this is a big loss of an aircraft like
this and the first generation of this
craft that we've actually seen destroyed
and I guess we do know that they may or
may not be participating in the conflict
we don't know we know Russia's had
problems actually getting those aircraft
then into production
as well but I will say and I always say
this that these are a stunning aircraft
what we need is lock heat Engineers
bloody who's the company that built sey
design just designed the outside looks
better than F35 but I don't know how the
performance in the air but what I'm
talking about is see how this is sort of
all one panel here this is what causes
massive damage if there is even like a
bird strike or drone or shrapnel onto
something like this so it could be
completely XX destroyed but again we are
not really sure now again there is even
more bad news coming out than for the
f16s so this is the wrong one here we go
total this from Politico but referencing
the isw spoke about the day a total of
20 Ukrainian F16 Pilots are expected to
graduate by the end of this year half of
the 40 needed to operate a full Squadron
of 20 Jets now I know many people
hanging their hat on any week now we
expecting F6 in the air and flying to
like the full amount and we're not sure
what has happened there I've got some
running theories and I'm trying to use
like oam's razor to be like what is the
most likely issue for this and I just
the excuse that the Americans can't
train more than 12 parts or once
whatever they're putting out that's just
we know that's [ __ ] because of how
many parts America put through training
so we're not we're not really sure but
us officials have warned for months F16
will not make a huge difference on the
battlefield from Air Force secretary
Frank Kendall last year while the Jets
will give the ukrainians an increment of
capability that they don't have right
now uh it's not going to be a dramatic
Game Changer as far as I'm concerned for
their total military capabilities and I
think that these ideas of it was going
to it was going to be any week now on
the front line I sort of think was that
true at one point and then there might
have been some final testing and people
got that it's not ready to go yet again
we're not 100% sure what is what has
happened here and there's definitely
being some problems cuz this isn't what
was being said or what I guess was
getting expected at this rate Ukraine
won't have a full Squadron of train
piles until the end of 2025 so remember
a full Squadron is 40 Pilots 20 Jets
another issue is the weapons the plane
are carrying now this is what we spoke
about a while back of that the fighter
aircraft you know these days it's not
guns and we're too close for missile
switching to guns dog fighting in the
air that is gone even if we would like
to see how one of these would perform
against a flanker in a fight like that
most likely we're not going to see that
but that these are basically a taxi for
Munitions into areas now um Ukraine's
plan to use the Jets to knock down
Russian cruise missiles and bistic
missiles fire towards Ukrainian
infrastructure and civilian targets
those missions require precise air to- a
missiles that belong to the US and
dozens of NATO allies many of the
countries are hesitant to part with
their expensive weapons the production
capacity for a120 advanced medium a a to
a missile made by RTX has increased from
about 500 to 800 per year to over 1,000
I will say geing up for War I think
every single item from shells to bullets
to recruiting men to aim bloody 120s
needs to be increased massively if we
are having problems on a war that is
still localized between two Nations well
for God's sake uh but the worry from
capitals is that the new request from
keev could begin to put a strain on the
country's stocks so that will be very
very interesting to see how that then
unfolds and I know a lot of people are
very disappointed expecting to see those
f-16s any day now like this month and we
may not see them operate until the end
of the year even then if there's not a
full Squadron how will that then work
again we don't no now Ukraine today
speaking with Sky News has said that a
war plan has fired a weapon at a Target
inside Russia for its first time damage
assessment is still going it's confirmed
as a direct hit from a military Source
telling Sky News Now of course firing a
weapon inside Russia of these planes as
something new but we don't have any
footage of what then was hit so at this
point it is a claim and we do know as
well and I've spoken a little bit about
this about how much effect will these
have and we need to look at the
successes failures Russia has had to
have a look at maybe what will happen
here now at some point if Ukraine want
to achieve their their goals of Victory
they're going to have to break through
deep heavy defensive lines and I'll
bring these up here they're going to to
smash through this now let's have a look
at what is sueded for Russia the Fab
Glide bombs they're cheap a hell of a
lot of bang got a lot of them can drop
them well behind the line and these
goals they're going to require a
breakthrough of heavily defended deep
lines and the amount of Munitions that
is actually going to take to do this is
going to be too expensive or too
numerous to rely on Modern
technologically advanced weapon systems
and will Ukraine have to then come to
something like a Fab like the Russians
have been using and has been success
uccessful for the Russians now I've been
thinking about this for a couple of
weeks and like what would be the best
maybe platform would something like an
RAF tornado or something like that be a
better platform if that was to go in now
only today as I was researching other
stuff this came out as well soon the air
force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces will
begin testing Ukrainian made guided
bombs and this sounds a lot like then a
Glide bomb we are also currently working
on the conversion and creation of our
adjusted aerial bombs based on ordinary
Free Falling ones there is for some
constructive nuances you need to choose
a wing GPS module as well as control
module in a few weeks we should start
the firing test of the first batches of
such bombs already cran so this will be
interesting domestically produced so
getting away from some of the other
problems and maybe then used to break
through some areas on the line that said
that said the the Glide bombs have to
come well the planes have to come a lot
a lot closer putting them in a hell of a
lot of danger in the air but one thing I
want to put on this is one of my dreams
like lifelong goals is to go in a
fighter aircraft and I don't care who I
just want to go in a fighter aircraft
now depending on how the economy will be
running after this the Russian economy
whenever the war ends they do flights in
Mig 29s and [ __ ] €1,000 I can never
afford that in my life but let's hope
that this sinks right down and I'd go
and I'd love to fly something like that
blood he know i' ever let me in one
maybe other than I'm never going to get
in an Air Force One I don't think I'd
pass the medical exam ation but let's
then have a look at then the maps and
there has been some interesting updates
now we're going to start on the map
update yesterday and then we'll move
forward till today so you know these
areas but we'll come down Don ask ablast
and we actually do see an interesting
change just down in here out from the
east of Vadar on this map the Russians
made some advancement out here but I
can't confirm that amongst any other
Maps we know the ties been deep State
and then Ukraine mod that any map
movement on this we can say is you know
packed by official stuff so there has
been some shift there and then an
interesting change if we just come up
north into Buck moot we do see then this
that the majority of this eastern part
of chasa remember this is shasa here but
this Far Eastern part has then come
under Russian control now there's a lot
of heavy fighting in here and then this
is confirmed by a GE location so we see
where this road comes down just on the
corner here we have a GE location of a
Russian flag being flown here so that is
where this is GE located to this guy
then putting it up but you can see the
complete destruction of these areas a
friction point is going to be this
Waterway running through here and it's
going to be a friction Point both ways
we know there's been a lot like
everything is down in here as far as
Bridges Crossings whatever lot of
strikes against those and Ukraine if
they do withdraw any other Crossings
will be likely taken out as well but
will be the Ukrainian withdrawal back
across this as well as Russia's
advancement across this anything like
this is a big big friction Point open
ground you've got to cross something
there but that is interesting now
there's no other changes on this map no
other changes in the north are shown
even up till then today it's interesting
that no changes are being seen on any of
the north on here but then we'll work
our way down the map as we do have some
updates from Noel reports to look at as
well so we come into this North sector
here this better stove siniva kiska
front we talk a lot about this and we
have speculated could there be some push
on Copans if there was a large Russian
offensive again and I'm still not
convinced that we're going to see this
all out offensive but Noel reports here
between kka and Ivanka we have has then
closed up this territory here being
shown the same then on then the Deep
state but just to keep you all in the
loop then nothing down here nothing down
until we get to then what I'll call the
sers front and Ros deliva here we have a
you Ukrainian here we go the Noel
reports Map update in here so we can see
this is Ros deliva kka so across here
basically where this is shown as gray
zone is showing that this is now closed
up by the Russian forces in just to the
south of Ros deliva across here so quick
update in there now again I will say no
um suriak is off just on some leave so
we don't have any of his but I guess
we'll get a lot of updates on him no
changes shown around y today but then we
come down to the abiva front and we do
see out from Oar a continuation of
expansion of control here out further
towards then the west and this is an
interesting expansion we've seen and
this head this flare has continued more
and more here and this does put pressure
into the north areas of course it puts
pressure on this road connecting then up
into Sloan katos area and other areas
out into poov as well and this has been
expanding and the has hasn't really been
a stoppage of Russian movement here
Beyond then the first line fell and then
it's putting pressure on the second line
we can see a small advancement out from
umansky here as well and this is then
double from uh Noel reports here out
from umans but
showing basically the same as then the
Deep State and closing up more of the
pressure in and around this front in
here now just as I was looking I
actually have missed something up in the
north now no change on this map but Noel
reports is saying in hoki here there has
been a push back from the Ukrainian
forces in here as well so basically
liberating this area you can see where
these roads run so just in here but has
not been updated on this map here but
that is all the map updates we have
today down the front line now there's a
lot of speculation that from kinky the
Ukrainian forces have actually left the
Left Bank and have pushed across to the
right no maps that no one I typically
follow is saying this but I'm hearing a
lot of speculation on that from contact
ofine as well so again hold out on
anything like that but I think the main
area that's going to be very interesting
is Sumi oblast and the north ears this
does create a lot a lot of issues now
let's then talk about France now we know
France has been one of the biggest
supporters of Ukraine and wanting to
more and more uh talk about putting
troops groups on the ground more strikes
whatever but I will say as well then
French hasn't really backed that up with
the weapons going in like we haven't
seen France deploy L clerk tanks to
Ukraine we haven't seen uh say you know
we want to give you Raphael fighter we
haven't seen any of that so it's sort of
like well put your money where your
mouth is you know before you're
deploying troops give us some of those
weapon systems some of the more modern
stuff maybe first but there has been an
election and one of my guys who's
actually French has of sent me this
across now what we'll have a look at and
you'll see this map floating around a
lot now the brownie red on this map this
is the the right-wing party that has won
overwhelmingly in areas Matt I mentioned
before that macron was facing very
difficult European election well his
party came second with just 14.5% less
than half of what the reassembled
National or RN National rally got at
31.5 those results aren't quite final
yet but surely very close to the final
ones it's so bad that macron decided to
dissolve the National Assembly the lower
but more important House of the French
Parliament meaning new elections will
take place on the 30th of June and 7th
of July constitutionally this changes
nothing regarding the war in Ukraine as
he retains full authority over the Armed
Forces no matter what but he might have
to name a prime minister from a
different party and he'll have to think
very carefully about his political
capital and how to spend it I don't know
how what the outcome of the early
elections will be this is a situation
the fifth Republic has never faced
because the mainstream right-wing party
these and the mainstream leftwing party
used to dominate French politics but the
former or the latter would win the
elections and get
rule so the former or the latter would
win the elections and get ruled this is
no longer the case the national rally is
unlikely to get an absolute majority in
the assembly and macron's party is
unlikely to get it either this is
unprecedented in French politics at
least in the current regime so there's
big changes happening in France I asked
him some more about like what would the
effect on Ukraine be here and he said
well no the IR National rally they at
least publicly is saying that they you
know support Ukraine but there may be
some pullback there as well but it is
going to have of course a lot of
domestic changes in France as well and
macron may have to look internally and
go right what is happening that is
unpopular here and I guess you guys can
figure out yourselves what is happening
in France but this came out from the
guardian 2 French president Emanuel
macron and US President Joe Biden have
aligned their country's support for
Ukraine and opposition to Russia during
Biden say visit it a joint Roat released
by The Presidents included a commitment
to support efforts to use frozen Russian
assets to help keep so not that money
that is frozen but whatever money is
created on top of that that then that
can go through to Ukraine and many
people have pointed out problems
happening here and then could it
undermine things like the Euro the pound
the dollar for foreign investment
especially people talking Chinese money
tapping profits from Russian assets has
drawn concerns from countries but a US
Treasury official said this week that
the US and G7 Partners were making
progress Biden said if Putin succeeds in
this war with Ukraine that he'll not
stop there it's about much more than
Ukraine again this is being pushed and
pushed and pushed but we just don't see
that being the reality on the ground if
Putin could even if he wanted to and
push through here the military might is
not there it's just not EX resistant um
and again even if you believe every word
that comes out of Putin well then he
hasn't said that either so I believe
both sides we talk about this every time
either way you look at this Russian
military doesn't have the power to push
through anywhere in NATO and on the
other side if you believe Putin he has
not said that he wants to do that it
it's about much more than Ukraine all of
Europe will be threatened but we're not
going to let that happen the United
States is standing strong with Ukraine
we're standing with our allies and we're
standing with France well I guess you
could train more than 12 Pilots at once
but it it is an interesting wording I
don't know if it is uh the best way to
get support saying that Russia has goals
to threaten the rest of Europe because I
don't think critical thinkers believe it
I I people people going well they're
struggling in the east of Ukraine they
haven't captured areas of which they
wanted to now 2 and a half years into
the war but regardless let that is it uh
for today I hope that you're having a
great day and that I'll speak to you
tomorrow thank you bye-bye
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