知名专家杰弗里·萨克斯Jeffrey Sachs: 美国一直在发动战争 有可能与中国开战 | 中国不是敌人 | 语重心长: 不要让欧洲被美国入侵 (下集) Jeffrey Sachs

Summary

The transcript delves into the intricate geopolitics surrounding the Ukraine conflict, U.S. foreign policy, and its implications on global security. The speaker criticizes the U.S. and NATO's actions, pointing out their role in provoking the conflict and undermining peace efforts. The speaker also highlights the tragic consequences for Ukraine, with millions of casualties, and advocates for negotiations and neutrality. The speaker touches on broader themes of American imperialism, the Middle East, and Israel's influence on U.S. politics, while emphasizing the need for a more realistic, independent foreign policy in Europe and the U.S. towards Russia, Palestine, and Iran.

Takeaways

• 😀 The United States played an active role in overthrowing Yanukovych in Ukraine in 2014, as evidenced by an intercepted phone call involving Victoria Nuland and Ambassador Peter Piat.
• 😀 The Maidan protests were not purely spontaneous but were organized with significant financial backing and support, contradicting the narrative of a 'revolution of dignity'.
• 😀 The Minsk agreements, especially Minsk II, which proposed autonomy for Russian-speaking regions in Ukraine, were not enforced, despite unanimous support by the UN Security Council.
• 😀 The United States' actions, such as the expansion of NATO and the abandonment of arms control treaties, have contributed to rising tensions with Russia.
• 😀 The Biden administration's strategy was marked by a lack of negotiation and a focus on unilateral actions, contributing to the escalation of the war in Ukraine.
• 😀 Russia's intention in the war was not to conquer Ukraine but to force a negotiation on neutrality and prevent NATO's expansion towards its borders.
• 😀 The United States' withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002 and the installation of missile systems in Eastern Europe angered Russia and escalated tensions.
• 😀 Despite the early possibility of peace negotiations, Ukraine walked away from a near-agreement due to pressure from the United States and the UK.
• 😀 The ongoing war in Ukraine has resulted in over a million casualties, and the United States has funded the conflict while avoiding significant losses of its own citizens.
• 😀 The transcript highlights the dangers of unipolar American foreign policy and the need for Europe to develop an independent foreign policy that prioritizes peace and security over alignment with the U.S. stance.

Q & A

What was the role of the US in the overthrow of Yanukovych in 2014?

The US actively worked to overthrow Ukrainian President Yanukovych in 2014, with notable involvement by figures such as Victoria Nuland, who was caught in a phone call discussing the event. This action is considered to have been a part of broader US geopolitical interests in Ukraine.

What is the significance of the intercepted phone call between Victoria Nuland and the US Ambassador?

The intercepted phone call between Victoria Nuland and US Ambassador Peter Piat serves as a key piece of evidence suggesting US involvement in Ukraine's political upheaval. The call, which was leaked by Russian intelligence, highlights the US's direct influence in Ukrainian affairs.

What did the author think about the nature of the Maidan protests?

The author believed that the Maidan protests were not as spontaneous as portrayed in the media. He argued that they were part of an organized effort, with significant financial and logistical support from the US.

What was the Minsk II agreement, and why was it significant?

The Minsk II agreement, which was modeled after South Tyrolean autonomy, aimed to provide autonomy for Russian-speaking regions in Eastern Ukraine. Despite being supported by the UN Security Council, it was not enforced, and the US and Ukraine's refusal to implement it played a crucial role in escalating the conflict.

How did the author describe the role of NATO in the Ukraine conflict?

The author criticized NATO's 'open door' policy, which allowed the alliance to expand eastward without regard to Russia's security concerns. This policy, coupled with the US's refusal to commit publicly to halting NATO's expansion into Ukraine, was seen as a major provocation leading to the war.

What did the author mention about the US's game theory approach in foreign policy?

The author described the US foreign policy as being based on non-cooperative game theory, where decisions are made without negotiation or cooperation with other sides. This approach was seen as reckless and lacking in diplomacy, particularly in the case of Ukraine.

What did the author claim about the US's strategy toward Russia, particularly in 2019?

In 2019, the US followed a strategy to provoke and destabilize Russia, as outlined in a RAND Corporation paper. The goal was to create unrest, potential regime change, or economic crises in Russia by annoying and provoking the country.

What was the author’s view on the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine at the start of the war?

The author argued that Russia's primary intention at the beginning of the war was to force Ukraine into a neutral stance and keep NATO off Russia's border. Negotiations for peace were nearly reached but were scuttled by the US and the UK, who discouraged Ukraine from accepting the terms.

Why does the author think the war in Ukraine will end, and who does he believe will play a key role in it?

The author believes the war in Ukraine will end primarily because former President Trump and President Putin are likely to agree on ending it. The author argues that Trump does not want to support a losing cause, and this pragmatic view will lead to negotiations and a cessation of the conflict.

What is the author's opinion on European foreign policy regarding Russia?

The author advocates for Europe to adopt an independent foreign policy that prioritizes peace and security, rather than blindly following the US. He argues that Europe should engage with Russia and negotiate directly, avoiding the risks of being dragged into unnecessary conflicts due to the US's influence.