Sam Altman : How to Build the Future

Y Combinator
27 Sept 201621:09

Summary

TLDRIn this insightful discussion, Jack Sam's brother delves into the nuances of making an impact on the world. He emphasizes the importance of finding the intersection of personal strengths, passions, and world needs when choosing what to work on. He also stresses the value of building a network of like-minded individuals and the significance of self-belief in one's endeavors. The conversation touches on work-life balance, the power of compound interest in career growth, and the wisdom of holding onto long-term investments. Jack shares his views on risk-taking, the importance of momentum, and the role of strong opinions about the future in driving success. He concludes with advice for young people to thoughtfully consider their path, take risks, and commit to making a meaningful difference.

Takeaways

  • 🎯 To make an impact, find the intersection of what you're good at, what you enjoy, and where you can create value.
  • 🤔 It's important to thoughtfully consider what you'll spend most of your time doing, rather than just falling into it.
  • 🌟 Be willing to move to where the work you're passionate about is happening, to be around like-minded people.
  • 💡 Helping others without expecting immediate benefits can lead to long-term gains in your career.
  • 🔥 Focus, personal connections, and self-belief are key to accomplishing big things.
  • 💼 Work-life balance in your 20s is important, but compound interest in skills and relationships can benefit you more in the long run if you work hard early on.
  • 🚫 Knowing when to quit is difficult; it should be an internal decision based on running out of ideas, not external criticism.
  • 💡 Motivation comes from enjoying what you do, believing in its importance, and liking the people you work with.
  • 💰 Long-term commitment to investments and startups can lead to significant wealth creation.
  • 📈 Having strong opinions about the future and being willing to take calculated risks are important for success.
  • 🚀 Don't be afraid to take risks and make sacrifices to impact the world in a way you care about.

Q & A

  • What does Sam advise on picking what's important to work on?

    -Sam suggests looking for the intersection of what you're good at, what you enjoy, and where you can create value for the world. He emphasizes the importance of thoughtful consideration of what one spends most of their waking time doing.

  • How does Sam feel about people just falling into what they work on without much thought?

    -Sam believes that while there is some benefit to just trying things out to figure out what one likes, it is worth putting in upfront thought about what you're going to spend most of your career doing.

  • What is Sam's advice on selecting who to work with?

    -Sam advises being willing to move to where like-minded people are doing great work in your field of interest. He also suggests that helping people without expecting immediate benefits can lead to valuable connections later in your career.

  • Why does Sam think it's valuable to help others without expecting anything in return?

    -Sam has found that helping people without any intention of getting a benefit later has often benefited him significantly in his career. He believes that this can lead to a network of good people to work with and do things together.

  • What are the three factors Sam believes are necessary to accomplish big things?

    -Sam believes that a combination of focus, personal connections, and self-belief are the three factors necessary to accomplish big things. He adds self-belief to a Charlie Rose quote, emphasizing the importance of conviction in one's work.

  • How does Sam view the concept of work-life balance in one's 20s?

    -Sam thinks that it's important to work harder than most people think in your 20s due to the compound effect of early efforts. He suggests that working hard early in your career can lead to leverage and compounding benefits later on.

  • What does Sam suggest about the timing of when to quit working on something?

    -Sam advises that the decision to quit should be an internal one, not based on external validation or criticism. He suggests quitting when you've run out of ideas and the project is not working, rather than giving up prematurely.

  • How does Sam define the source of motivation for long-term commitment to work?

    -Sam believes that the only sustainable motivation over the long term is a combination of enjoyment in what you're doing, a strong belief in its importance, and ideally, liking the people you work with.

  • What does Sam think about the role of risk in one's career?

    -Sam believes that most people have a poor understanding of risk and often don't take enough of it, especially early in their careers. He suggests that taking calculated risks on things you're passionate about is more valuable than playing it safe.

  • Why does Sam encourage people to ask for what they want?

    -Sam has learned that asking for what you want, even if it means facing rejection, can lead to opportunities that you wouldn't otherwise get. He believes being aggressive and asking can be key characteristics of a successful entrepreneur.

  • What lesson does Sam wish he had learned earlier about handling crises?

    -Sam wishes he had known earlier that each crisis becomes less scary than the one before it. He has learned that crises, while they seem overwhelming, are survivable and that you generally find a way to overcome them.

  • How does Sam approach long-term investments and what advice does he have for young people?

    -Sam believes in the power of long-term commitments and suggests holding onto good investments for as long as possible. His advice for young people is to think long-term, make commitments to things they believe in, and not to be overly focused on short-term gains.

Outlines

00:00

🛠️ Finding Your Impactful Work Niche

The paragraph discusses the importance of selecting meaningful work. It emphasizes finding the intersection of one's strengths, passions, and the ability to create value for the world. It suggests that people often fall into their work without much thought, but it's beneficial to put thoughtful consideration into what one spends most of their time doing. The speaker also shares insights from Y Combinator about working on impactful projects and the value of surrounding oneself with like-minded individuals in specific geographical areas.

05:01

🤝 Building a Supportive Network

This section delves into the challenge of finding the right people to work with and building a long-term professional network. It stresses the importance of being willing to move to areas where similar-minded individuals are concentrated, as this can significantly enhance one's work. The speaker also highlights the benefits of helping others without expecting immediate returns, as these actions can lead to valuable opportunities down the line. The paragraph also touches on the importance of self-belief and personal connections in accomplishing big things.

10:03

🚀 Balancing Hard Work and Life in Your 20s

The speaker reflects on the value of hard work in one's early career, likening it to compound interest where early efforts pay off over time. They discuss the importance of being proactive in learning, meeting new people, and gaining experience. The paragraph also addresses the challenge of knowing when to quit a project that isn't working, suggesting that it's often a matter of internal decision-making rather than external validation. The speaker encourages perseverance through the 'trough of sorrow' and emphasizes the importance of enjoying one's work and having a strong belief in its importance.

15:03

💡 Staying Motivated and Taking Risks

This part of the script focuses on the motivation required to sustain long-term projects and the willingness to take risks. The speaker argues that true motivation comes from enjoying one's work and believing in its significance. They also discuss the common mistake of giving up too early and the importance of internal decision-making when facing challenges. The paragraph highlights the need for momentum and the energizing effect it has on work, contrasting it with the draining effects of lack of progress.

20:04

💼 Long-Term Commitment and Risk Management

The final paragraph discusses the importance of having a long-term perspective in both investments and career choices. The speaker shares a personal story about receiving stock as a gift and how holding onto it for the long term has paid off. They advocate for making long-term commitments to ideas and projects, suggesting that this approach can lead to significant wealth and value creation. The speaker also encourages young people to have strong opinions about the future, to be willing to take risks, and to learn from failures and rejections.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Impact

Impact refers to the significant effect or influence one has on the world or a particular area. In the video, the concept of impact is central to the advice given about how to choose what to work on. The speaker emphasizes finding the intersection of what one is good at, what one enjoys, and where one can create value for the world, which is key to making a substantial impact. The example given is about selecting a field of work that aligns with one's strengths and passions to maximize one's potential to influence positively.

💡Focus

Focus is the act of concentrating one's attention or resources on a particular task or area. The video underscores the importance of focus in accomplishing big things, suggesting that it is one of the critical factors, alongside personal connections and self-belief, that drive success. The speaker mentions a Charlie Rose quote that encapsulates this idea, indicating that being intensely focused on a goal is essential for getting things done in the world.

💡Personal Connections

Personal connections refer to the relationships and networks one builds with others. In the context of the video, these connections are highlighted as a vital element in achieving success. The speaker suggests that surrounding oneself with like-minded individuals and building a supportive network can greatly enhance one's ability to work on impactful projects. This is exemplified by the speaker's advice to move to areas where there are clusters of people doing similar work.

💡Self-belief

Self-belief is the confidence one has in their own abilities and the conviction in the value of their work. The video emphasizes self-belief as a key driver for seeing projects through to completion, especially in the face of skepticism or failure. The speaker adds this element to a quote by Charlie Rose, suggesting that a deep-seated belief in one's endeavors is crucial for overcoming challenges and achieving one's goals.

💡Work-Life Balance

Work-life balance refers to the equilibrium between an individual's professional and personal life. The video touches on this concept when discussing how to approach one's 20s, suggesting that while it's important to work hard, especially early in one's career, it's also crucial not to neglect other aspects of life. The speaker advocates for a balance that allows for both professional development and personal fulfillment.

💡Compound Interest

Compound interest is a financial concept where interest is added to the principal sum, and also to the accumulated interest of previous periods. In the video, this concept is metaphorically used to describe the benefits of hard work early in one's career. The speaker suggests that consistent effort and improvement in the early years can lead to exponential growth in skills, knowledge, and achievements over time, similar to how compound interest works in finance.

💡Risk

Risk is the potential for loss or the possibility that goals may not be achieved. The video discusses the importance of taking calculated risks, especially early in one's career, where the cost of failure is relatively low. The speaker argues against the fear of failure and advocates for a proactive approach to pursuing one's passions and ideas, even if they involve significant risks.

💡Burnout

Burnout refers to a state of chronic physical and emotional exhaustion caused by prolonged stress. In the video, burnout is discussed in the context of work and motivation, with the speaker noting that it often stems from failure and lack of momentum rather than from working too hard. The speaker suggests that working on projects that one finds interesting and that are successful can prevent burnout and maintain high energy levels.

💡Momentum

Momentum is the impulse or force that keeps something moving forward. In the video, momentum is described as a critical factor that can drive success and maintain motivation. The speaker contrasts the energizing effect of momentum with the draining effect of its absence, suggesting that successful people often benefit from the positive cycle of continued progress and achievement.

💡Long-term Commitment

Long-term commitment refers to a sustained dedication to a goal or project over an extended period. The video speaks to the value of making long-term commitments, particularly in business and investing. The speaker encourages viewers to consider the long-term value of their work and to commit to ideas and projects that they believe in, even if success is not immediate.

Highlights

The importance of finding the intersection of what you're good at, what you enjoy, and where you can create value for the world.

The value of upfront thought on what to work on to maximize impact.

Advice on being willing to move to areas where similar work is being done to find your 'tribe'.

The benefits of helping others without expecting immediate benefits, which can pay off later in one's career.

The significance of focus, personal connections, and self-belief in accomplishing big things.

The metaphor of compound interest in career development, emphasizing hard work early on.

The idea that working hard in your 20s can set a trajectory for the rest of your career.

The challenge of knowing when to quit a project and the importance of internal motivation over external validation.

The belief that most people give up too early on their projects.

The role of enjoyment and belief in one's work as long-term motivation.

The shift in motivation from external rewards to intrinsic satisfaction over time.

The realization that burnout comes from lack of momentum rather than overwork.

The importance of taking risks early in one's career when there is less to lose.

Encouragement to be a 'doer' rather than a 'talker' and to commit to projects despite the risks.

The lesson of asking for what you want and being willing to face rejection.

The insight that each crisis in a company's life becomes less scary with experience.

The long-term view on investment, advocating for holding onto stocks indefinitely.

The belief in making long-term commitments to ideas and projects for maximum impact.

The distinction between refinement based on strong opinions and unnecessary pivoting.

The final advice to young people to think hard about where they can make a significant impact and to take risks in pursuing it.

Transcripts

play00:00

I'm Jack Sam's brother and we are here

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in our backyard where we also live with

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our other brother and Sam wanted to give

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some advice about how to have an impact

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on the world and since you couldn't

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interview himself Here I am so Sam thank

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you thank you for taking the time yeah

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my pleasure

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so to get started I think one of the

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things that people talk a lot about is

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how to get things done once you're

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working on but I know you spend a lot of

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time thinking about sort of what to work

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on so could you talk a little bit about

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how to pick what's important to work on

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yeah um I think you want to look for the

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intersection of what you're good at what

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you enjoy and and what where you can

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create value for the world and in my

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experience if you don't find some of the

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intersection of those three it's hard to

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really have an impact I think most

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people kind of just fall into what they

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work on they don't give it much thought

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and there is benefit to that sometimes

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you actually have to just try stuff to

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figure out what you like but I really do

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think it is worth upfront thought about

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what you're going to spend most of your

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waking time doing so I think is really

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good when people think about what

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they're good at what they like and and

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kind of how they can create value for

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the world in sort of in addition to what

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people are working on I know at Y

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Combinator you talked a lot about who

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people are working on things with yeah

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how do you advise people to select sort

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of who they're working on things with um

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this is this is really hard finding your

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tribe finding the sort of people that

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you end up working with on and off for

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the rest of your career is is really

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hard I think I'll tell you some things

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I've learned and I will admit that I

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don't have a perfect answer to this yet

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but I think one thing is you should be

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willing to move for whatever you're

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doing there tend to be pockets of it

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around the world where there are similar

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people that are doing great work in

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whatever field you care about and it's

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really worth trying to go be being near

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them and so you know we get criticized

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sometimes at YC for having people move

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to the Bay Area but bringing people

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together that are interested in this

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similar thing of startups I think has

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been really valuable for a lot of people

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I think another thing that I have

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learned is that whenever I've helped

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people for no immediate benefit and with

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no intention of ever getting to benefit

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at all time and again in my career it is

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really later benefited me a lot so I

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think you at some point often get to a

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point your career where you're limited

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by how many good people you know and and

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how many of those you can work with or

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get to do things that together and so

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fine just helping a lot of people and

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spending a lot of time with a lot of

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people has benefited me you know years

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after I really helped someone for no

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reason I get to invest in their startup

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and it goes on to be a huge success or

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were able to like work on opening I

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together any number of things I think

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just trying to help a lot of people and

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out of that scene who is really

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impressive and who gets things done is

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helpful and in terms of how to actually

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get things done so you've selected what

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to work on who to work on it with you

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think maybe you found your tribe and

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then kind of now what what are what are

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sort of the best ways to actually

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accomplish big things well there's a

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Charlie Rose quote on this that I've

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always loved and I've since added one

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more element to it but the quote is that

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the way things get done in the world are

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through a combination of focus and

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personal connection and the additional

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point I would make after having thought

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about it for a while is that the third

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factor is self belief it's you really

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have to have a deep-seated personal

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conviction that this thing you're going

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to do that a lot of people say is really

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stupid is going to work and going to be

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important but I think those three things

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focus personal connections and self

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belief in my experience are how things

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get done in the world so since you were

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you know as long as you know you've

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you've grown up and certainly three or

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20s and now you've worked incredibly

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hard and I know that a lot of the people

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around you have worked very hard what's

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sort of the advice or the way that you

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think about your work-life balance in

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your 20s and what do you recommend to

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people who want to do these things and

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also want to you know experience their

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20s well I don't think I work as hard to

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a lot of people I think I do work pretty

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hard um but I'd say it's really I think

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it's compound interest is a good

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metaphor here if you work really hard at

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the beginning of your career and you get

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a little bit better what you do every

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day every week every year and you learn

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more and you meet more people and you

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just get more done um there's a compound

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effect and it's far better to put that

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time in at the beginning

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career then at the end because if you do

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at the beginning you get to benefit from

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it you know for the rest of the time you

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work so you know one thing I always try

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to do is like meet every person I had

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time for go to every you know go to

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everything I could and just like spend a

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little bit more time trying to learn and

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get better what I did what I do and I

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think that is really valuable um the you

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know the beginning of your career I

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think in terms of studying the

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trajectory that the rest of your career

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follows is the most valuable time and so

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obviously you don't want to work all the

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time because your twenties your twenties

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but I do think you want to work harder

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than most people think you should and I

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think that if you do that you tend to

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benefit from it later life is super

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unfair sometimes you also just get

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unlucky and and so all you can do is

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kind of maximize chances there but I do

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think that working hard early in your

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career to get the leverage and the

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compounding effects is underrated and

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one of the most valuable piece of advice

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that I never got and so going into that

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idea of these early years being

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particularly valuable and working very

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hard on things how do you decide when

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you've worked on something long enough

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and it's time to call it quits or when

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you've worked on it for four years and

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you're just about to have that

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breakthrough how do you make that

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distinction yeah this this is really

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hard um knowing when to quit and knowing

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when to give up on something is there's

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no perfect answer to that but it's

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really challenging to even get that

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approximately correct I think most

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people give up on things way too early

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so the mistake that most people make is

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they try something it does not

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immediately work you see this

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particularly in young entrepreneurs it

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does not immediately work after seven

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weeks they say you know what I tried

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this thing it's just not meant to be and

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I have too many other projects and so

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they immediately give up and you kind of

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you know the satirical version of this

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is people that are 23 and have started

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14 startups because they give up on

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everyone before I could ever possibly

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successful these things are really hard

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they take a very long time there are a

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lot of critics there are a lot of people

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who say this thing sucks it's going to

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fail it's really stupid and then also

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there's like what at YC we call the

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trough of sorrow where no one even

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bothers to say it sucks because no one

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cares at all

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um and that is at least is demotivating

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most of the founders that I have spent a

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lot of time with that have gone on to be

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super successful spent a very long time

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on their idea when a lot of other people

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would have given up and either people

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said it sucks or people said nothing at

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all and a framework that I have for when

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to go up and when to keep working is it

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should be an internal not an external

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decision if people aren't using it or

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people are saying it's bad that alone is

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not a reason to give up you want to pay

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some attention to that they might be

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right but I think the best entrepreneurs

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I know they make an internal decision

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about when to give up or when to keep

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working on something it's basically when

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you have run out of ideas and something

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is not working then it's a good time to

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stop and so into this idea that you need

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a long time to do anything important

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what's the source of motivation for

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people like what should people be

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looking to find to be inspired or to

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keep going on these ideas for a long

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period of time

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um yeah I think if you don't actually

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believe what you're doing is really

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important if you don't derive

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satisfaction from what you're doing then

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you will not be able to sustain all of

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the bad things that happen an incredibly

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long period of time that the bad things

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happen over and so the only motivation

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that I have seen work for people over a

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long period of time is enjoyment and

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what they're doing and an intense belief

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that it matters and ideally liking the

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people that they go to work with every

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day um but the I think the reasons that

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a lot of people and by the way it's

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totally cool when people start off

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saying well I want to make money or I

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want to be famous I think a lot of

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people start that way and they don't

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like to admit it but pretty quickly or

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at least in the first few years I think

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a lot of people find a deeper mission

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for why they do what they do

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and that drives them than for the rest

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of the time they work have you noticed a

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change in what motivates you over the

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last say 10 or 12 years um yeah I mean I

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think I at this point I am sort of only

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interested in things that I find sort of

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interesting and important and early on

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like a lot of other people I think I was

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well I make money I want you know like

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be in the press or whatever else and I

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wouldn't say that doesn't motivate me at

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all but it's honestly not a big factor

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at this point yeah I just sort of like

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there's a set of things that I think are

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important and I want to work on this I

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think another point about motivation

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that is that people don't talk about

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enough is related to burnout so I was

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told and I thought for a long time that

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you get burned out from working too hard

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and at least in my own experience what I

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found is that burnout actually comes

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from failing and things not working

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momentum is really energizing the lack

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of momentum is super draining and I find

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that I have infinite energy to work on

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things that I find interesting and that

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are working and almost none to work on

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things that I either don't find

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interesting or aren't working and so I

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think you see a lot of founders try

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something and fail and assume that they

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just can't work hard enough or not

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amount of energy or passion or whatever

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and that's actually not true it's just

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that that thing didn't work and what you

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should do is shut that company down go

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on vacation and try again and many

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people then find that oh actually when

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I'm doing this thing that I like and

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that is working I have a huge amount of

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energy and I can get a lot of stuff done

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and so when you look at really

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successful people and say how do they

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get all those things done it's they have

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the benefit of momentum and momentum is

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energizing in the lack of momentum is

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really not energizing working on a lot

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of these problems that you know kind of

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inspire this type of motivation are sort

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of inherently riskier and I know you

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know this is something that we've talked

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about a lot about sort of the concept of

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taking risk in a career being a repeated

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game but how do you how do you think

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about the idea of taking risks in your

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career and how should people think about

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it maybe differently than they currently

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do well yeah I think people have

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terrible risk calculus in general even

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people who try to be really good about

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this are bad at it um the answer I think

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is almost always a you're wrong about

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what is risking what it's not risky and

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B most people don't take enough risk

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especially early in your career being on

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young and unknown and poor that is

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actually a great gift in terms of the

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amount of risk you can take

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and I think people don't capitalize on

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that enough I think what risk actually

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looks like is not doing something that

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you will then spend the rest of your

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life regretting and there's a quote you

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know people regret way more the things

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they didn't do them things that they did

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do so if you really believe in something

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there's an idea that you're super

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passionate about um you know and you

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take a calculated risk to start a

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company realizing you may forego a

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couple of years of studying come in

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another job and whatever else and you

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know maybe people call you a failure or

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whatever that's a great risk to take and

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if you don't take that risk I think you

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have a very high chance that you end up

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regretting that um I think the wrong

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kind of risk to take is where people

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don't actually do things or don't commit

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to something because they don't want to

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fail and they over rate the risk of

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failure and the reputation damage or

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embarrassment or whatever I think one

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really important thing to strive for in

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your career is to be a doer not a talker

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and the reason that people don't do

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stuff one is it's hard and two is it's

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risky and so you have these people that

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you know want to dabble on a bunch of

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different projects but never be all in

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on one and I think it's this combination

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of work and risk and it's you know I

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think that's really bad I think history

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belongs to the doers and I think you

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should take a risk actually do something

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don't just sit around and talk and

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organize and bring together groups and

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go to thought leadership conferences and

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whatever it is these people spend their

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time on other than actually building

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something and just take the risk of

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committing to what you you have

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conviction on yeah and I think people

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also seem to have sort of the fear of

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being told no a lot and not asking for

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what they want I'm sure that's something

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that you've encountered with people yeah

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um this was one of the other things I

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learned that I wish I had gotten advice

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on early in my career is ask for what

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you want you will get told no a lot but

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sometimes it will work and and I think

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you see a lot of entrepreneurs shoot

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themselves in the foot because they

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don't ask

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that person to quit the job and come

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join them they don't ask this big

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company to do a deal with them and

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they're just not aggressive enough and I

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think you being willing to ask what you

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want and be somewhat aggressive are

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really important characteristics of

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being an entrepreneur people don't want

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to fail they don't want to be told no

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they don't want to end up in some crisis

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another thing that I learned and I want

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to say I wish someone told me this one

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because I don't think it's a lesson

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anyone can teach you you have to just

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live through it is that each crisis gets

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less scary than the one before it

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you're running a company now I'm sure

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you've I hope you've noticed this by now

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you there are a lot of things that

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really go wrong and they feel like

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company killing events and they feel

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like there's no way you're going to

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survive because the crises are really

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bad and the thing you learn is that you

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generally do survive these and and that

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the world doesn't usually end and even

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if in the moment something happens you

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have no idea how you're going to get

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around it you eventually figure out a

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way and because of that you know on the

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19th major crisis you're like well I

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survived the first 18 I'll probably get

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through this one bit and you kind of

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just do yeah definitely that rings true

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so switching into a bit topic of sort of

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money and sort of the long-term view of

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it and how people can think about it

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most clearly I'm actually to start with

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a quick story that I think illustrates a

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bit of some of your views this is from

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when we were very young and our grandma

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gave us each some stock oh this is a

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good story in a company or you can tell

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this one okay so she gave us each some

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stock in a company that she thought we

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would like and so as you like to point

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out I was heavier as a child and one of

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the things I liked was Appleby's and you

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were hacking away on computers and other

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things I was Apple and so we each got an

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equal amount of Apple and Apple B's this

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is like 20 years ago 20 years you know

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and I think neither of us has sold it in

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fact you nicely brought me my Appleby's

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stock back from st. Louis recently your

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stock certificates it's so long ago

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still paper certificates and I think

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inflation-adjusted I've probably lost

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half my value there whereas I think your

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Apple has gone up something

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like I don't even want to think about it

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hundreds hundreds yeah it's been a lot

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how do you think about sort of the

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long-term willingness to hold on to

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things what are the advantages somebody

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has early in their career how should

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people think about money when they're

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young yeah you know I still have those

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uh Apple shares marked in my brokerage

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account as grandma's birthday Apple

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shares

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I don't know I'm good I'm gonna keep

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them I should benchmark them against

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Applebee's um so I I think that one of

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the few arbitrage opportunities left in

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the market is time I think we have

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gotten really good at high frequency

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trading we've gotten really good at the

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price of things we've gotten worse at

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the long term value and I I don't think

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you can go beat the market in a lot of

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ways but the one way I do is is by

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making a long-term commitment to

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something I think that I my new belief

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on how long I should hold stock and the

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best companies I invest in is forever

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and I think you know in a world where

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people are increasingly focused on the

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tick and the quarterly earnings cycle

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you should try and go in the other

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direction and this is a great way to

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generate value and wealth and and so I

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think that when you're thinking about a

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startup it's really worthwhile to think

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about something you're willing to make a

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very long-term commitment to because

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that is where the current void in the

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market is um I think you know you get

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paid as a founder for the wealth you

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crave for other people so there's this

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view of the world that business is all

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about like trying to steal money and

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sometimes that's true but but they're

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the best companies just create massive

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amounts of value for the world and then

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they capture some of that for themselves

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but they capture far less than they

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create and they do it over a very long

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period of time so if you're going to be

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one of those companies

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um I think you want to make a super long

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term commitment to yourself and others

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that are going to work on it with you

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that this is going to take a long time

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um but it is worth waiting because you

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will make far more money over the long

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horizon by doing this company really

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well then a bunch of short-term things

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along the way so how much do you think

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people should have strong opinions about

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things versus putting something into the

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world iterating and sort of finding out

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whatever works and going with that I

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think you want a combination of those

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two things you won't want to have a

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strong opinion and then be flexible

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about the details so the thing I don't

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think works that often are the startups

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on their love of the pivot that are

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totally unrelated but I put a big

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difference between refinement and

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pivoting so when you start with a strong

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belief you know we should have a social

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graph in an online directory that is

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Facebook has stayed pretty similar to

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that although the product itself has

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changed a lot along the way and I think

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that's really good that is a strong idea

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with flexibility in the implementation

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and I think that's much better than the

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we're just going to keep trying random

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ideas because we want to have a startup

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I think strong with strong opinions

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about the future are really important

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and I think one of the things that I

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have noticed among the most interesting

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the most successful people that I spend

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time with is that they have strong

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opinions strongly held about the future

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they are willing to be convinced with

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new data they are wrong but the bar for

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that is fairly high and this idea that

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the future is fundamentally unknowable

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I've never liked actually I remember

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pretty clearly this time war I was sort

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of like spouting advice someone else had

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given me in high school or college about

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how you in you know you need to

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diversify and investing because the

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world is unknown unknowable and so all

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you can do is have the most balanced

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possible portfolio and I remember that I

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was saying that out loud someone else's

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said it to me probably grandma and and I

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realized that I really didn't agree with

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at all um because I had strong opinions

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and then I knew that there were some

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companies who stock I'd rather own than

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others and I knew that I would rather

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like own stock than own bombs because I

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thought technology was gonna be worth a

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lot more I have different ideas today

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about the next 10 or 20 years um but I

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think it's good it's not only okay it's

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good to have strong ideas about the

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future and it is okay to not be super

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diversified in your investment portfolio

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or your career or your life and then the

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final question is if you could leave

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young people who want to have a big

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impact with one or two pieces of advice

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what would you tell them well I don't

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want to give people a specific field to

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go work on because I think the whole

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idea is that people need to figure out

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themselves what they believe in and what

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they think and what they believe is

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high-impact to work on for the future so

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what I will say instead is it is really

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important to actually think hard about

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where you think you can make the biggest

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contribution that you're good at and the

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world needs and that you enjoy and then

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go meet people to work with go learn as

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much about that field as you can and

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then have the the courage of your

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convictions to actually take a risk and

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focus on it and go do something there

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and that it's okay if you fail and if

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you do fail you'll not be in much

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different place than you are today and

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you can go try the next thing but it's I

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think really important to be willing to

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go take a risk and make someone of

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sacrifice to be able to try to impact

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the world in some way that you really

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care about and I think the sooner you

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get to work on that the better you'll

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you'll be awesome all right well Stan

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thanks very much thank you jack

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