TS Nguyễn Trí Hiếu: Giá vàng giảm rồi sẽ tăng mạnh sau khi ông Trump đắc cử Tổng thống Mỹ | VTC Now

Summary

This video discusses the impact of the U.S. presidential election results on global markets, particularly focusing on gold prices, trade relations, and geopolitical tensions. Experts analyze how the election outcome, with Donald Trump’s victory, could affect the U.S. dollar, global gold prices, and Vietnam's trade with the U.S. The conversation also touches on the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, speculating on how these issues may influence economic trends. The analysis highlights the unpredictable nature of global financial markets in response to political events.

Takeaways

• 😀 Vietnam should consider importing high-tech products, U.S. agricultural goods, and possibly military equipment to balance trade and avoid tariffs from the U.S.
• 😀 Strengthening of the U.S. dollar, following Trump’s victory, may push global gold prices down in the short term.
• 😀 Geopolitical factors, including ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, could drive global gold prices up, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
• 😀 The limited gold supply in Vietnam is contributing to difficulties in meeting local demand, further driving up prices in the domestic market.
• 😀 Trump has claimed he could end the Ukraine war within 24 hours, but this is viewed skeptically, with the reality likely being reduced U.S. aid to Ukraine.
• 😀 The U.S.-Ukraine conflict and Middle East tensions could continue to have a significant impact on global gold prices, potentially pushing them higher.
• 😀 Vietnam's trade surplus with the U.S. is a concern, and importing U.S. goods could help reduce the imbalance and mitigate risks of being labeled a currency manipulator.
• 😀 Gold prices in Vietnam are influenced not only by international trends but also by the country's limited gold supply, especially gold bars and jewelry.
• 😀 The speaker is skeptical about the possibility of Trump quickly resolving the Ukraine crisis but suggests that his actions could lead to a withdrawal of U.S. support for Ukraine.
• 😀 In the coming weeks, gold prices in Vietnam may stabilize but could fluctuate dramatically based on geopolitical developments and global economic conditions.

Q & A

What is the central focus of the discussion in the video?

The central focus of the video is the analysis of the U.S. presidential election, specifically Donald Trump's victory, and its potential impact on global markets, including Vietnam's trade relations, gold prices, and geopolitical tensions.

How might Vietnam adjust its imports from the U.S. after Trump's victory?

Vietnam may consider increasing imports from the U.S., including agricultural products, high-tech goods, aircraft, and military weapons. This could help reduce Vietnam's trade surplus with the U.S. and avoid potential tariffs or currency manipulation sanctions.

Why is Vietnam concerned about potential sanctions from the U.S. following a trade surplus?

Vietnam is concerned about being placed on a list of countries that manipulate their currency, which could result in higher tariffs or other economic penalties, potentially damaging its economy.

What factors are influencing the fluctuations in the gold market, according to the speaker?

The fluctuations in the gold market are influenced by geopolitical events, such as the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as the U.S. presidential election and the strengthening of the U.S. dollar.

How does the value of the U.S. dollar affect gold prices, according to the expert?

The strengthening of the U.S. dollar, as indicated by the increase in the U.S. Dollar Index (from 104 to 105), puts downward pressure on gold prices. As the U.S. dollar becomes stronger, the price of gold, which is priced in dollars, typically decreases.

What is the expert's prediction for the gold market in the short term?

In the short term, the expert predicts that gold prices may either stabilize or slightly decrease. However, the situation could change depending on developments in geopolitical conflicts, such as the war in Ukraine and tensions in the Middle East.

What role does the U.S. election and Trump's potential policies play in the gold market?

The U.S. election results and Trump's victory could lead to a strengthening of the U.S. dollar, which might suppress gold prices. However, the ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the war in Ukraine and conflicts in the Middle East, could push gold prices higher as investors seek safe-haven assets.

How is the supply of gold in Vietnam affecting the local gold market?

The supply of gold in Vietnam is currently limited, with both gold bars and jewelry being in short supply. This scarcity is driving up local gold prices, as demand continues to outstrip supply.

What is the expert's assessment of Donald Trump's stance on the war in Ukraine?

The expert suggests that while Donald Trump has expressed a desire to end the war in Ukraine quickly, his promise to end the conflict in a single day is unrealistic. Trump may seek to end U.S. military aid to Ukraine, which could leave Ukraine in a more vulnerable position and potentially escalate tensions.

How might the conflict between Israel and Iran impact global markets, especially gold?

The conflict between Israel and Iran has the potential to escalate into a broader regional war, particularly if Iran retaliates against Israel. This could further destabilize the Middle East and push investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset, driving up gold prices.

What is the expert's general outlook on gold prices in the coming weeks?

The expert believes that gold prices will likely remain stable or decline in the short term. However, geopolitical tensions and other global events could lead to significant volatility in the gold market within the next few weeks.