Derivatives | Marketplace Whiteboard

Marketplace APM
15 Oct 200910:13

Summary

TLDRThe video explains derivatives in simple terms, using a relatable example of buying turkeys for Thanksgiving. It describes three main types of derivatives: futures (agreements to buy or sell an asset at a future date), options (the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell), and swaps (exchanging one set of cash flows for another). The speaker emphasizes how derivatives are contracts based on underlying assets, like commodities or interest rates, and discusses trading, risks like leverage, and counterparty risks. The goal is to simplify a complex financial concept for a broad audience.

Takeaways

  • 📈 Derivatives are financial contracts that derive their value from an underlying asset.
  • 🍗 A simple example of a derivative is a future contract for the delivery of 20 turkeys before Thanksgiving.
  • 📜 The essence of a derivative is an agreement or contract based on something else, like turkeys in this case.
  • ⏳ A future or forward contract involves delivering or receiving something at a set time in the future.
  • 📊 An option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price within a certain timeframe.
  • 🔄 A swap involves exchanging one kind of financial obligation, such as a floating interest rate, for another, like a fixed rate.
  • 💰 Derivatives can be based on a variety of underlying assets, including commodities (like turkeys), interest rates, credit, and even weather conditions.
  • 🏛 Derivatives can be traded on exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC), where agreements are made directly between parties.
  • ⚠️ Leverage is often used in derivatives, meaning people can borrow money to trade, which increases both potential profits and risks.
  • 🤝 Counterparty risk is a key concern with derivatives, as one party may default on their obligations, leaving the other party exposed to loss.

Q & A

  • What is a derivative, according to the script?

    -A derivative is a financial contract whose value is based on an underlying asset or instrument, such as commodities, interest rates, or currencies.

  • What is the first type of derivative mentioned in the script?

    -The first type of derivative mentioned is a future or forward contract, where an agreement is made to deliver an asset (like turkeys in the example) at a future date.

  • How does a forward contract work in the example provided?

    -In the example, Terry pre-pays $300 to Mr. Bailey for 20 turkeys at $15 each, to be delivered before Thanksgiving. This agreement is the forward contract, where the underlying asset is the turkeys.

  • What is the second type of derivative mentioned?

    -The second type of derivative mentioned is an option, which gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specified price before a certain date.

  • How does Terry use an option in the example?

    -Terry buys an option from Mr. Jones, paying $50 for the right to buy 20 turkeys at $15 before November 23rd. This acts as a hedge in case Mr. Bailey cannot deliver his turkeys.

  • What is the third type of derivative discussed?

    -The third type of derivative discussed is a swap, where two parties exchange financial instruments, such as swapping a floating interest rate for a fixed one.

  • What is meant by 'underlying' in the context of derivatives?

    -The 'underlying' refers to the asset or instrument on which a derivative is based. In the examples, the underlying assets include turkeys, interest rates, and commodities like gold or wheat.

  • Why do people use leverage with derivatives?

    -Leverage is used with derivatives to amplify potential returns by borrowing money. However, it also increases the risk of losing more than the initial investment if the contract value decreases.

  • What is counterparty risk in derivatives trading?

    -Counterparty risk refers to the possibility that one party in the derivative contract may default or fail to fulfill their obligation, as in the case of Mr. Bailey potentially not delivering the turkeys.

  • How can derivatives be traded, according to the script?

    -Derivatives can be traded on exchanges, where prices are transparent and regulated, or over-the-counter (OTC), where contracts are negotiated directly between parties without an exchange.

Outlines

00:00

📉 Introduction to Derivatives

In this opening segment, Patty Hersh introduces herself and the topic of derivatives, emphasizing the large scale and perceived risk of the derivatives market. She reassures the audience that although the concept of derivatives is simple, it covers a wide range of financial instruments. The core idea of derivatives is based on an underlying asset or value, making each derivative unique but bound by common principles.

05:01

🦃 The Turkey Contract Example: Explaining Futures and Forwards

Patty uses a story about a man named Terry MacLeod, who purchases turkeys in advance for Thanksgiving, to explain how a forward or future contract works. Terry arranges to buy turkeys from a farmer, Mr. Bailey, at a set price to ensure his supply. This agreement is a forward contract, where Terry secures his purchase at a predetermined price, with the turkeys being the underlying asset. This demonstrates how futures and forwards are contracts based on the future delivery of a product.

10:02

📜 Options Explained: Hedging with Another Farmer

Patty continues Terry's story, introducing the concept of an option. Terry, worried about Mr. Bailey's farm failing, pays Mr. Jones, another farmer, $50 for the option to buy turkeys at the same price. This option allows Terry to buy turkeys if needed but isn’t obligated to do so. The option is a form of insurance or a hedge against the failure of the original contract. If he doesn’t exercise the option, he loses the $50.

🔄 Swaps: Interest Rates and Financial Instruments

The third type of derivative Patty discusses is a swap. In this case, a floating interest rate on a loan or bond is exchanged for a fixed interest rate to provide certainty. For example, a bank may agree to a 5% fixed rate, regardless of fluctuations in market interest rates. This section introduces the concept of swapping financial obligations, where one party takes on the risk of fluctuating rates in exchange for a fixed payment.

🌾 The Wide Variety of Underlying Assets

Patty explains that derivatives can be based on various underlying assets such as commodities (turkeys, gold, wheat), interest rates, foreign exchange, or even weather patterns. She emphasizes that derivatives are not limited to physical goods but can involve complex financial metrics, including credit and equity derivatives. The underlying asset is key to understanding the value and purpose of a derivative.

💼 Trading Derivatives: Exchanges and Over-the-Counter Markets

Derivatives can be traded on formal exchanges or over-the-counter (OTC) between two parties. Patty uses Terry’s turkey contract as an example to explain how derivatives are traded. If Terry decides not to host Thanksgiving, he can sell his contract to a neighbor, who may offer less or more depending on market conditions. This ability to trade contracts is a key feature of derivatives, and prices can fluctuate based on supply and demand.

⚠️ Leverage and Counterparty Risk

Patty highlights two major risks associated with derivatives: leverage and counterparty risk. Leverage involves borrowing money to trade derivatives, which can lead to large losses if prices move unfavorably. Counterparty risk occurs when the party responsible for delivering the underlying asset (such as Mr. Bailey) fails, leaving the contract holder exposed. These risks are the reasons why derivatives are viewed as potentially dangerous in the financial system.

🍸 Conclusion: The Need for a Thanksgiving Drink

Patty wraps up with a lighthearted remark, suggesting that after dealing with the complexity and risks of derivatives, Terry might need a drink to cope with the stress. This humorous conclusion underscores the potential difficulty and high stakes involved in managing derivative contracts.

Mindmap

Keywords

💡Derivative

A derivative is a financial contract whose value is based on an underlying asset, such as commodities, interest rates, or currencies. In the video, the concept is introduced through an example of a contract for the future delivery of turkeys, showing how the contract's value is derived from the price of turkeys. The video explains that derivatives can take various forms, such as futures, options, and swaps.

💡Futures/Forward Contract

A futures or forward contract is a type of derivative where two parties agree to buy or sell an asset at a specified price at a future date. In the script, Terry enters a forward contract with Mr. Bailey to buy 20 turkeys at $15 each before Thanksgiving. This illustrates a simple form of a futures contract, where the delivery of the underlying asset (turkeys) happens in the future.

💡Option

An option is a type of derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a specified price before a certain date. In the video, Terry buys an option from another farmer, Mr. Jones, as a hedge in case Mr. Bailey fails to deliver the turkeys. This example shows how options can provide flexibility and protection against risk in financial transactions.

💡Swap

A swap is a derivative where two parties exchange financial instruments, typically involving the swapping of cash flows based on different interest rates or currencies. The video explains that swaps are often used to exchange a floating interest rate for a fixed one, helping to manage financial uncertainty. The swap is described as another form of contract derived from underlying financial instruments like loans or bonds.

💡Underlying Asset

An underlying asset is the financial or physical asset on which a derivative's value is based. In the video, the turkeys represent the underlying asset for Terry's forward contract, while interest rates or commodities like gold and silver can serve as underlying assets in other types of derivatives. The concept is central to understanding how derivatives function, as their value depends on the performance of these underlying assets.

💡Commodity

A commodity is a basic good used in commerce that is interchangeable with other goods of the same type. In the context of the video, turkeys are used as an example of a commodity that can be traded through derivatives like futures contracts. Other commodities mentioned include gold, silver, and agricultural products like wheat and soybeans, all of which can serve as underlying assets in derivative contracts.

💡Leverage

Leverage refers to the use of borrowed funds to increase the potential return of an investment, but it also increases the risk of loss. The video explains that leverage is commonly used in derivative trading, allowing investors to control larger positions with less capital. However, this amplifies risk, as a small price movement can lead to significant losses if the investment does not perform as expected.

💡Counterparty Risk

Counterparty risk is the risk that the other party in a financial contract will default on their obligations. In the video, Terry faces counterparty risk if Mr. Bailey’s farm fails to deliver the turkeys. To mitigate this risk, Terry buys an option from Mr. Jones. The concept highlights the importance of considering the reliability of the other party in derivative transactions.

💡Hedge

A hedge is an investment strategy used to reduce or eliminate the risk of adverse price movements in an asset. In the video, Terry uses an option from Mr. Jones as a hedge against the possibility that Mr. Bailey will not deliver the turkeys. This example illustrates how derivatives like options are often used to protect against uncertainty and potential losses in financial markets.

💡Over-the-Counter (OTC)

Over-the-counter (OTC) refers to the trading of financial instruments directly between two parties, without the use of an exchange. In the video, the agreement between Terry and Mr. Bailey is an example of an OTC transaction. OTC derivatives are less regulated and more customizable than exchange-traded derivatives, but they carry higher counterparty risk due to the lack of standardization and oversight.

Highlights

Introduction to derivatives, a seemingly simple concept but encompasses an enormous world of financial instruments.

The concept of a derivative: a contract derived from something underlying, such as commodities, interest rates, or equities.

First type of derivative: Future or forward contracts, exemplified by Terry pre-buying 20 turkeys at a fixed price for future delivery.

Explanation of futures: A contract to deliver something (turkeys in this case) at a later date for a pre-agreed price.

Second type of derivative: Options, which give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell something at a certain price within a specified time frame.

Example of an option: Terry hedging his turkey purchase with a second turkey farmer in case the first supplier fails to deliver.

Third type of derivative: Swaps, where two parties exchange financial instruments, like swapping a floating interest rate for a fixed interest rate.

Swaps allow parties to manage interest rate risk, where a fixed rate offers stability compared to a fluctuating rate.

Underlying assets in derivatives: Includes commodities like turkeys, interest rates, foreign exchange, credit, mortgages, and even weather conditions.

Trading derivatives: Derivatives can be traded on exchanges or over-the-counter markets, depending on the type of contract and agreement between parties.

Derivatives trading does not always involve the underlying asset directly; traders often focus on the contract itself for profit.

Risk in derivatives: Leverage increases risk, as traders often use borrowed money, which can result in losing all invested funds if the trade goes poorly.

Counterparty risk: The risk that the other party in a derivative contract may default, leaving the contract holder exposed.

Example of counterparty risk: If Terry's turkey supplier goes bankrupt, his pre-purchased turkeys may never be delivered.

Hedging with options: Terry mitigates counterparty risk by purchasing an option with another supplier, ensuring he can still get turkeys if the first deal falls through.

Transcripts

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hi my name is patty Hersh I'm a senior

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does your marketplace today I want to

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talk about derivatives and it was been

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reading Business News or listening to it

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on the radio who have been hearing about

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this enormous market and derivatives

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threatens to drag the whole financial

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system down so of course the question

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arises well what exactly is this

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derivative that everyone's talking about

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well there's good news and bad news the

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good news is that a derivative is is at

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its essence a very simple concept but

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the bad news is that it in sort of

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encompasses this enormous world of

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financial instruments

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so each derivative is kind of slightly

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different although it does have a single

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kind of binding element that makes it

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similar so what exactly is a derivative

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let's see if we can there spell I'd as

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simply as possible okay so here's a very

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simple example and it's based around our

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good friend Terry remember him here he

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is now Terry is Terry MacLeod his name

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is he's actually the head of the clan

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MacLeod okay and every year at around

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Thanksgiving the clan descends on

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Terry's home we're talking about

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hundreds of people and he has to buy

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turkeys to feed them all usually costs

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him about 20 turkeys okay we're talking

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big old turkeys there 20 Turkish it

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takes now in the past Terry used to go

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to the supermarket that week before

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Thanksgiving and he'd say excuse me 20

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turkeys and the the butcher would say no

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problems here's 20 turkeys no problems

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but a couple of years ago he went to the

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store and they were out of Turkey store

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nothing it was a big problem for him

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because his family kind of revolted he

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had to serve them ham which was a

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complete nightmare anyway so he decided

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after that very traumatic event that he

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was going to try and prearranged the

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delivery of his turkeys so he went out

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and he tried to find the biggest turkey

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farm that he could

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this is bailey's farms and it's a way

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out in the countryside there and his old

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mr. Bailey is a very nice chat very

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accommodating and he said to mr. Bailey

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oh it's really way that you can kind of

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ensure that I get delivered 20 turkeys

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at Thanksgiving mr. Wace oh well I'll

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just guarantee that you know but I'll

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tell you what I can do I can allow you

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to kind of pre buy the turkeys you know

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if you pay me a certain amount of money

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now then I'll deliver you 20 turkeys you

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know any time you like before

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Thanksgiving the week before

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Thanksgiving it's always like that

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sounds like a good idea so he says not

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sure how much turkeys come in some years

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they're cheap thirteen dollars and years

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are expensive like 25 bucks how about we

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split the difference and say $15 $20 20

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turkeys at $15 all right is mr. Bailey a

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science fair enough so Terry provides

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him with $300 that's 20 turkeys at a

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princely price of $15 and that money

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across mr. Bailey provides a note so

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like an IOU so I owe you 20 turkeys to

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pick up at any time

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before Thanksgiving and what we've got

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is a contract and this contract

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okay this agreement is derived from

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something underlying okay and what's

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underlying it are the turkeys gets this

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element underlying it but essentially

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what this is is a contract to deliver 20

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turkeys before Thanksgiving paid for

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already by our friend Terry okay and

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this is the first okay of what one of

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three types of derivatives but it's it

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basically shows you what a derivative is

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a derivative is essentially a contract

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it's based on something else in

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agreement based on something else in

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this case turkeys so this is the first

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type so three types really of derivative

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and this is the first which is the

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future or forward okay because in the

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future mr. Bailey will be delivering

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twenty turkeys to Terry hence it's a

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future or forward contract okay the

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second type we have is called an option

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and an option is the option gives the

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buyer the option to buy or sell

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something okay so say in this case

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turkeys a little Terry's a little

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worried about mr. Bailey he's worried

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that mr. Bailey's farm might fail okay

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so it says very small chance of course

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tiny chance but it's possible so thinks

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will do is I'll hedge this contract by

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taking out an option okay what it is is

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he finds another turkey farmer all the

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way out here in the countryside and this

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is the Jones farm

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okay mr. Jones he's a nice enough chat

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but you know not as reliable but what he

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does is he says to mr. Jones or to what

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I'll give you 50 dollars 50 bucks for

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the right to buy 20 turkeys at $15 okay

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at any time before say the 23rd of

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November

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okay so what he's doing is is buying the

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option to buy cost him $50 in return he

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gets this note it's an option okay for

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20 turkeys $15

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right so he has the right to exercise

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that option at any point before say the

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23rd of November okay so what he's done

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in total to secure to make sure that

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he's going to get his 20 turkeys

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absolutely sure he's paid $300 to mr.

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Eyre took to mr. Bailey here but in case

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there's a problem he's got this hedge

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okay which is his option to buy $20 or

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20 turkeys at $15 which he's Chuck he's

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paid $50 for okay but that option can

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expire or will expire on the 23rd if he

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doesn't exercise it if he doesn't buy

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those turkeys doesn't exercise it he's

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paid $50 which he never sees again and

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he is there but he's actually secured

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his right to to get 20 turkeys should

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mr. Bailey not deliver okay so that's an

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option often often used by as a hedge by

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people okay so that's the second type of

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third type is called a swap okay and

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that's when you have say an instrument

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that has a floating interest rate so

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months to month depending on where the

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underlying interest rate is say LIBOR or

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whatever you don't know what the

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interest rate is going to be on the loan

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that you have or the bond and what a lot

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of people like to do is they later to

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take that floating rate where there's

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uncertainty and swap it for a fixed rate

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so say a bank will say okay well then

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you just pay you know 5% a month and

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we'll take the risk that one month it

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might be three and a half percent or one

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might one month it might be seven and

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half percent and we'll pay the

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difference so you know obviously they're

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gambling that so we're going to be lower

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or at about the same rate so that's how

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there's where the swap comes in where

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you swap a floating rate for a fixed

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rate okay but again it's a contract

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that's based on the underlying

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instrument which is in fact the bond or

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the loan that you're talking about so

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hence once again we're talking about

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this underlying and there are various

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things that can underlie these various

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contracts okay whoops underlying okay

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oops

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Angie I can't even spell so what have we

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got underlying well in this case we've

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got turkeys and turkeys are a commodity

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okay in commodities can include gold

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silver soybeans wheat whatever in the

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swap case wheat the underlying was an

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interest rate and interest rates in fact

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one of the the biggest underlying sand

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in the business in the business of

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derivatives

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so interest rates what else have you got

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well you got two we have M we have

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credit derivatives default swaps so

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credit isn't underlying what else we got

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there we had can have foreign exchange

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for X we can have M we can have the

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weather okay what are the weathers in

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there

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equities mortgages and on and on and on

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and on there's all sorts of things that

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you can have as your underlying

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instrument in your derivative but

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essentially once again was all the

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derivative is is this contract that's

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written based on the underlying and

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here's the great thing about derivatives

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because of this contract you can trade

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them okay employment derivatives are

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traded in two places they're either

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traded on an exchange

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okay so traded on an exchange kind of

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like you know the exchanges in Japan or

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the exchanges or the sp500 any of these

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exchanges or they can be traded

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over-the-counter and the

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over-the-counter caters whenever it's an

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agreement between one person and another

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so in an exchange you have this exchange

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that's working where you use the

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exchange trade through and you can see

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the prices listed in an over-the-counter

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market it's just an agreement in this

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case it's an agreement between Terry and

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mr. Bailey in this case of agreement

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between Terry and mr. Jones now how does

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this trade well say for example Terry's

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grandmother gets sick in Canada he

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decides to go to Canada and he has to

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yester bail on the whole Thanksgiving

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thing he can't have the clan MacLeod at

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his house what does he do

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well he cancels it obviously everyone

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who gets irritated him but he's the

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worst thing is he's got his paid $300

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for these turkeys but he can trade this

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note he can go to his neighbor and say

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look the week before Thanksgiving I said

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look you know I need to sell this I

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thought these turkeys coming but I can't

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use them can you use them and the

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neighbor might say okay well you know I

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can use them I'll pay you $150 for it

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okay so clearly he's losing money on the

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deal but on the other hand he might go

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to that his neighbor and say if there's

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like a a problem with turkey supply that

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year as there was the year that he went

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to the supermarket he can go to his

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neighbor and he can say you know there's

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not very many turkeys this year how

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about I sell you these 20 turkeys give

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this note for these 20 turkeys and you

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can you can pay me $400 for it and the

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guy might say oh absolutely because then

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he can go to the supermarket and sell

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them for even more okay because there's

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so much demand

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so in that case Terry can see he can

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actually trade his note here's his

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contract

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or more than its face value at $300 and

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that's what happens with these contracts

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is that is that most of the people who

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are trading them aren't really

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interested in what's underlying at all

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they aren't interested in the interest

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rate they aren't interested in the

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commodities they were interested in the

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contract and the fact that they can

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trade that contract up or trade that

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contract down so what's the problem with

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this why are people worried about it

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there are basically two reasons firstly

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because people use a leverage when they

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took when they're using their

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derivatives okay which means you're

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using borrowed money which means that

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you know if you if the price of the the

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contract goes up then you know you make

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money there's no problems but if the

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price of the contract goes down it means

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you can lose all of your money because

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you borrowed a whole bunch means you can

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lose all of your principal very very

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quickly the second is because of the

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counterparty risk we talked about mr.

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Bailey's problems here clearly Terry is

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not a risk to mr. Bailey because mr.

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Bailey's already got his $300 so that

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counterparty is taken care of but mr.

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Bailey is a risk to Terry which is way

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to get this option because if mr. Bailey

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goes if mr. Bailey has a problem or as

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far as his farm goes under it means that

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Terry's got this note for 20 turkeys

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he's got a feed 200 people okay he's got

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no turkeys coming in because mr. Bailey

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is not going to be surprised supplying

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him perhaps he hasn't covered himself

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with an option in that situation that

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counterparty risk is caught Terry and

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that means it's going to leave him very

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badly needing a Thanksgiving drink

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